Earnings Release • Mar 17, 2022
Earnings Release
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Portfolio Update
FY Financial Performance
Outlook
Appendix
| Operational Highlights |
Sales: Strong demand from private and institutional investors continues unabated; continued upward pressure on prices Strong momentum in Q4 (7 institutional deals signed), FY-2021 sales volume of c.€1.1bn ahead of expectations Favourable demand and pricing environment continues in 2022 YTD Acquisitions: €1.8bn of new projects approved in 2021; GDV climbs to €7.5bn (+ 23,9% yoy) Supply: Instone well positioned to cope with ongoing supply bottlenecks and cost price inflation Sustainability: Voluntary first time publication of fully-fledged sustainability report including "limited assurance" provided by Deloitte and covering i.a. Scope 1,2,3 emissions as well as various social and governance aspects |
|---|---|
| --------------------------- | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| FY-2021 Results |
Adjusted revenues: €783.6m (FY 2020: €480.1m, +63.2%) Adjusted gross profit margin: 28.3% (FY 2020: 30.5%) Adjusted EBIT: €155.7m (FY 2020: €83.8m, +85.8%) Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €96.9m (FY 2020: €41.1m; +135.8%) Dividend proposal €0.62 per share (FY 2020: €0.26/share; +138.5%) |
|---|---|
| -------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Adj. revenues of €900-1,000m |
|
|---|---|
| Adj. gross profit of 25-26% |
|
| Outlook | Adj. EAT of €90-100m |
| Sales volume of >€1,000m |
|
| Management is closely monitoring the full extent of developments triggered by Russian invasion of Ukraine |
|
Retail sales ratio remains above long term mean since end of 1st lockdown
Pricing environment remains favourable
House price inflation1
| Apartment 85 sqm, metropolitan area |
Owner occupier |
|---|---|
| Buying | |
| Price/sqm | 5,500 € |
| Purchase price (incl. transaction costs 7.5%) |
502,563 € |
| Financing (20% equity) | 402,050 € |
| Financing costs at 1.6% (per month) |
536 € |
| Total monthly charges (2.0% amortisation) | 1,206 € |
| Renting | |
| Rent 14 €/sqm/month |
1,190 € |
| • Construction of 400k resi units p.a., of which 100k are publicly subsidized |
Positive: Although support schemes are unclear, there is commitment to support new developments. INS benefits from role as forerunner in the segment of affordable housing |
|---|---|
| • Strengthening of climate protection in new construction (KfW40 standard), focus on GHG (expiry of KfW55- programme) - |
Neutral to negative: General commitment to support high energy standard for new builds (future focus on KfW40 equivalent properties) – Short term uncertainty due to limited budget for new projects in 2022 (€1bn) and still no clarity for support schemes in 2023 and beyond |
| • Accelerated energetic refurbishment of existing housing stock (energy standard EH 70 for larger refurbishments; new heating systems share of 65% from renewable energies) |
Neutral: Return on investments for landlords of existing housing stock is unclear |
| • Extension of existing rental regulation (rent price break), introduction of qualified rent tables |
Neutral: In the existing legal framework new builds are exempt from the rent restrictions |
| • Promotion of the state owned housing company (BlmA) for more new construction |
Neutral to positive: INS has a highly competitive product (nyoo) |
| • Increase of regular depreciation for residential investments from 2% to 3% |
Positive Supportive for post tax returns (IRRs) |
| • Subsidies for the foundation of housing companies with low return target (with rents below market levels) |
Neutral to positive: INS with competitive edge (nyoo product) for the affordable segment |
| • Potential introduction of reduced real estate transfer tax for first time buyers |
Positive: Help to buy-scheme could create additional demand from retail clients |
| • Abolishment of tax benefits associated with share deals |
Neutral: No noticeable impact as Instone sales are almost entirely asset deals |
| volume (€m) |
Exp. units | |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | ||
| Metropolitan area Stuttgart |
70 | 160 |
| Metropolitan area Nuremberg |
111 | 180 |
| Metropolitan area Rhine-Main | 55 | 100 |
| Metropolitan area Nuremberg |
68 | 160 |
| Metropolitan area Rhine-Main | 283 | 600 |
| Metropolitan area Rhine-Main | 31 | 40 |
| Metropolitan area NRW |
715 | 1,500 |
| Metropolitan area Hamburg | 84 | 120 |
| Metropolitan area Rhine-Main |
97 | 220 |
| Metropolitan area NRW |
73 | 180 |
| SUBTOTAL | 1,587 | 3,260 |
| At-equity investment Stuttgart region |
200 | / |
| TOTAL | 1,787 | / |
13 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021
| €m | Q4 2021 | Q4 2020 | Change | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 378.0 | 188.8 | 100.2% | 783.6 | 480.1 | 63.2% |
| Project cost |
-277.5 | -136.3 | 103.6% | -562.1 | -333.5 | 68.5% |
| Gross profit |
100.5 | 52.5 | 91.4% | 221.5 | 146.6 | 51.1% |
| Gross Margin |
26.6% | 27.8% | 28.3% | 30.5% | ||
| Platform cost |
-22.2 | -20.7 | 7.2% | -80.5 | -65.5 | 22.9% |
| Share of results of joint ventures |
12.0 | 2.0 | 14.6 | 2.7 | ||
| EBIT | 90.4 | 33.8 | 167.5% | 155.7 | 83.8 | 85.8% |
| EBIT Margin | 23.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 17.5% | ||
| Financial and other results |
-9.1 | -8.9 | -19.2 | -22.0 | ||
| EBT | 81.3 | 25.0 | 225.2% | 136.5 | 59.4 | 129.8% |
| EBT Margin | 21.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% | ||
| Taxes | -24.7 | -8.7 | -39.6 | -18.3 | ||
| Tax rate |
-30.4% | -34.8% | 29.0% | 30.8% | ||
| EAT | 56.6 | 16.2 | 249.4% | 96.9 | 41.1 | 135.8% |
| EAT Margin | 15.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% | ||
| EAT post minorities |
55.9 | 16.2 | 244.2% | 98.7 | 41.1 | 140.1% |
| EPS1 | 1.19 | 0.39 | 204.4% | 2.10 | 0.99 | 112.4% |
EPS more than doubled, despite increased number of shares outstanding
| €m | 31/12/2021 | 31/12/2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate debt | 199.1 | 207.2 |
| Project debt | 191.4 | 274.5 |
| Financial debt | 390.5 | 481.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents and term deposits |
-151.0 | -232.0 |
| Net financial debt | 239.5 | 249.7 |
| Inventories and contract asset / liabilities |
1,190.1 | 946.4 |
| LTC* | 20.1% | 26.4% |
| Adjusted EBIT (LTM)** | 155.7 | 83.8 |
| Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)** | 160.3 | 87.9 |
| Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Cash Flow (€m) | Q4 2021 | Q4 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA adj. | 91.6 | 34.9 | 160.3 | 87.9 |
| Other non-cash items | -25.1 | 1.6 | -36.6 | -3.8 |
| Taxes paid | -0.3 | 1.9 | -8.3 | -11.4 |
| Change in working capital |
-134.3 | 55.0 | -71.5 | 47.2 |
| Operating cash flow |
-68.1 | 93.5 | 43.9 | 119.9 |
| Land plot acquisition payments (incl. RETT*) |
139.3 | 32.9 | 212.4 | 105.1 |
| Operating cash flow excl. investments |
71.3 | 126.4 | 256.3 | 225.0 |
Positive operating CF based on retail prepayments and institutional milestone payments
| Liquidity (€m) | Total | t/o drawn |
t/o available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate debt | |||
| Promissory notes | 197.5 | 197.5 | 0.0 |
| Revolving Credit Facilities | 119.0 | 0.0 | 119.0 |
| Total | 316.5 | 197.5 | 119.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents and term deposits |
151.0 | ||
| Total corporate funds available |
270.0 | ||
| Project debt | |||
| Project finance** | 295.6 | 190.9 | 104.7 |
Ample financial headroom for future growth
Additional upside from planned future growth investments
| Prospective NAV (€m) | 31/12/2021 | 31/12/2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Expected selling prices of project pipeline (GDV) |
7,500 | 6,054 |
| Payments received | -1,191 | -942 |
| Expected project costs | -4,293 | -3,368 |
| Net debt | -240 | -250 |
| Expected proceeds from "at-equity" projects |
132 | 71 |
| Prospective Net Asset Value |
1,909 | 1,566 |
| Number of shares (m) |
47.0 | 47.0 |
| Prospective Net Asset Value per share (€) |
40.62 | 33.32 |
| €m | Outlook 2021 |
2021 results |
Outlook 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues (adjusted) | 780-800 | 783.6 | 900-1,000 |
| Gross profit margin (adjusted) |
c.28% | 28.3 | 25-26% |
| EAT (adjusted) | 93-96 | 96.9 | 90-100 |
| Volume of concluded Sales contracts |
>1,000 | 1,140.1 | >1,000 |
Dividend policy: 30% payout ratio based on adjusted EAT
Secured via projects with masterplan in place*: Secured via existing projects *: Secured via pre-sales*: 100% 100% 58%
21 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021 * % figures as of 31 December 2021; referring to midpoint of guidance
| Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG1 emissions according to TCFD3 • guidelines |
|
|---|---|
| SBTI2 • compliant net zero targets (Net zero climate neutrality by 2045) |
|
| Environment | • Qualitative climate-scenario analysis |
| • Declared membership of German Sustainable Building Council (DGNB), pre-certification of pilot project nyoo in platinum (requirement for series certification) |
|
| • Completed first stakeholder survey, initiated platform for continuous dialogue |
|
| • Started construction of first two affordable housing projects under Instone innovative "nyoo" brand |
|
| Social | • Confirmed Instone's position as an attractive employer |
| • Re-iterated affirmative diversity policy |
|
| • Confirmed Instone's responsibility for work standards at our contractors |
|
| • Established first independent ESG rating by Sustainalytics; ranked top 2% among global developers |
|
| • Strengthened ESG governance structure |
|
| Governance | • Established 3 people strong dedicated ESG team |
| • Established sustainability targets in management compensation scheme |
|
| • Launched ESG website |
1) GHG=Greenhouse gas emissions / Scope 1-3: classification of emissions (direct and indirect) according to GHG Protocol
2) SBTI=Science-Based Targets Initiative / New approach for setting emissions reduction targets with focus on the amount of emissions that have to be reduced in order to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, limiting global warming to 1.5°C
3) Task Force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures
GHG emissions Instone portfolio1
1) Diagram refers to the entire Instone portfolio based on the planned energy efficiency during usage (operational carbon only
2) As defined as of December 31, 2021
24 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021
3) Based on share of surface area / Portfolio: All buildings planned, under construction and completed in 2021
| Major KPIs | 2020 | 2021 | Targets | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected GHG emissions of portfolio in use | 11 kg CO2e/m² | 9.5 kg CO2e/m² | -50% (2030 vs. 2020) | |
| Share of projects with renewable energy supply | ~14% | ~22% | At least 40% (2030) | |
| Share of projects with energy requirements at least NZEB -10% |
~79.6% | ~82.5% | 100% of project portfolio in 2030 | |
| GHG emissions / scope 1 and 2 abs. |
3,387 t CO2e |
3,456 t CO2e |
-42% (2030 vs. 2020) |
|
| GHG emissions / scope 1 and 2 Intensity |
0.024 t CO2e/sqm |
0.010 t CO2e/sqm | -42% (2030 vs. 2020) | |
| E | GHG emissions / scope 3 abs. | 110,058 t CO2e | 147.849 t CO2e |
Net zero climate neutrality (2045) |
| GHG emissions / scope 3 Intensity | 0.766 t CO2e/sqm | 0.416 t CO2e/sqm | Net zero climate neutrality (2045) | |
| Charging stations for EVs | ~330 | ~734 | From 2025, 100% of projects in construction to provide charging stations |
|
| Brownfield developments (land plot size) | 833.746sqm | 690,204sqm | Acquisition focus on brownfield projects |
|
| Collection of environmental KPIs (e.g. environmental diversity, waste, water and recycling) |
/ | ongoing | 100% dates delivered by 2025 |
|
| Shares of affordable housing: social / subsidized / privately financed (incl. nyoo) |
15% / 2% / 83% | 17% / 1.5% / 81.5% | at least 50% share of revenues with affordable housing (social / subsidized / nyoo) by 2030 |
|
| S | Share of female employees in management positions (below C-level) |
25% (1st)* / 22% (2nd) | 25% (1st)* / 23% (2nd) | at least stable |
| Employee satisfaction and loyalty |
75% | 70% / 76% | 75% / 80% | |
| Code of Conduct for employees and contractors (UN Charter) | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Employee compliance and data protection training |
96% | 99% | 100% | |
| Compliance cases (suspected) |
2 | 0 | 0 | |
| G | Independent Supervisory Board |
100% | 100% | 100% |
| of ESG targets into management compensation scheme (1st Integration management level) |
Implemented | Implemented | Continuous evaluation and adoption |
25 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021
KPI definitions and further explanations can be found in our Annual Report 2021, p. 60
| Weighted average corporate debt maturity | 2.4 years |
|---|---|
| Weighted average corporate interest costs |
3.33% |
| Share of corporate debt with floating interest | 24.1% |
27 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021 All calculations based on drawn values
| €m | Q4 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume of sales contracts |
761.7 | 170.7 | 89.1 | 118.6** | 246.0 | 94.9 | 54.1* | 69.4 |
| Project Portfolio | 7,500.0 | 7,154.9 | 6,268.1 | 6,054.2 | 6,053.6 | 5,937.5 | 5,701.3 | 5,744.4 |
| thereof already sold | 3,038.9 | 2,308.7 | 2,444.0 | 2,360.5 | 2,328.8 | 2,108.6 | 2,017.1 | 2,189.0 |
| thereof already realized revenues |
1,621.0 | 1,276.2 | 1,436.1 | 1,307.8 | 1,265.5 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Units | Q4 2021 | Q3 2021 |
Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 |
| Volume of sales contracts |
1,906 | 468 | 169 | 372** | 708 | 128 | 347* | 109 |
| Project Portfolio | 16,418 | 15,913 | 14,338 | 13,678 | 13,561 | 13,374 | 13,075 | 12,952 |
| thereof already sold (Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values) |
7,215 | 5,401 | 5,679 | 5,510 | 5,381 | 4,770 | 4,648 | 4,799 |
*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.
**Of which €6.3m (186 units) from updated business plan of already sold project part in "Schönhof-Viertel", Frankfurt.
28 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected, in milion EUR) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg | ||||||
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" | Hamburg | 96 | ||||
| Kösliner Weg | Norderstedt-Garstedt | 93 | ||||
| Sportplatz Bult | Hannover | 120 | ||||
| Rothenburgsort | Hamburg | 215 | ||||
| Büntekamp | Hannover | 146 | ||||
| Saeseler Chaussee | Hamburg | 84 | ||||
| Berlin | ||||||
| Wendenschlossstr. | Berlin | N/A | ||||
| Rote Kaserne West | Potsdam | 64 | ||||
| NRW | ||||||
| Niederkasseler Lohweg | Düsseldorf | N/A | ||||
| Unterbach / Wohnen am Hochfeld | Düsseldorf | 186 | ||||
| Literaturquartier | Essen | N/A | ||||
| REME | Mönchengladbach | 118 | ||||
| west.side | Bonn | 202 | ||||
| Gartenstadtquartier | Dortmund | 103 | ||||
| Bickendorf | NRW | 715 | ||||
| Projekt NRW - I | NRW | 73 |
Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected, in milion EUR) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhine-Main | ||||||
| Wiesbaden-Delkenheim, Lange Seegewann | Wiesbaden | 106 | ||||
| Siemens-Areal | Frankfurt | 602 | ||||
| St. Marienkrankenhaus | Frankfurt am Main | 217 | ||||
| Friedberger Landstraße | Frankfurt am Main | 306 | ||||
| Elisabethenareal Frankfurt | Frankfurt am Main | 87 | ||||
| Steinbacher Hohl | Frankfurt am Main | 53 | ||||
| Gallus | Frankfurt am Main | 41 | ||||
| Westville | Frankfurt am Main | N/A | ||||
| Aukamm | Wiesbaden | 186 | ||||
| Heusenstamm | Heusenstamm | 156 | ||||
| Kesselstädter Str. | Maintal | 207 | ||||
| Polaris | Hofheim | 61 | ||||
| Rheinblick Wiesbaden | Wiesbaden | 284 | ||||
| Eichenheege | Maintal | 97 | ||||
| Leipzig | ||||||
| Semmelweisstrasse | Leipzig | 109 | ||||
| Parkresidenz | Leipzig | 258 | ||||
| Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße | Leipzig | 109 | ||||
| Heide Süd | Halle (Saale) | 38 | ||||
Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected, in milion EUR) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden-Wurttemberg | ||||||
| City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel | Stuttgart | 128 | ||||
| Schwarzwaldstraße | Herrenberg | 50 | ||||
| S`LEDERER | Schorndorf | N/A | ||||
| Neckartalterrassen | Rottenburg | 163 | ||||
| Schäferlinde | Herrenberg | 61 | ||||
| Schwarzwaldstraße BA II | Herrenberg | 70 | ||||
| Bavaria South | ||||||
| Ottobrunner Straße | München | 100 | ||||
| Beethovenpark | Augsburg | N/A | ||||
| Bavaria North | ||||||
| Schopenhauerstraße | Nürnberg | 68 | ||||
| Stephanstraße | Nürnberg | N/A | ||||
| Seetor | Nürnberg | 112 | ||||
| Eslarner Straße | Nürnberg | 50 | ||||
| Lagarde | Bamberg | 81 | ||||
| Boxdorf | Nürnberg | 59 | ||||
| Marina Bricks | Regensburg | 30 | ||||
| Thumenberger Weg | Nürnberg | 111 | ||||
| Worzeldorf | Nürnberg | 68 |
Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.
Instone Share
Frankfurt
| March | 17 | Annual Report 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| March | 21 | Roadshow Germany (Warburg) |
| March | 22 | Roadshow UK (Deutsche Bank) |
| March | 23 | Roadshow France (Kepler Cheuvreux) |
| May | 12 | Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2022 |
| May | 19 | German SMID Cap Forum, Stifel Europe, Frankfurt/Main |
| June | 09 | Annual General Meeting |
| June | 16 | Morgan Stanley Europe & EEMEA Property Conference, London |
| August | 11 | Group Interim Report for the first half of 2022 |
| September | 19 | 11th German Corporate Conference, Berenberg/Goldman Sachs, Munich |
| November | 10 | Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2022 |
Head of Business Development & Communication
T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034 [email protected]
Senior Investor Relations Manager
T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792 [email protected]
Roadshows & Investor Events
T +49 201 45355-311 M +49 152 53033602 [email protected]
Instone Real Estate Group SE Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.