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Hannover Rueck SE

Earnings Release May 4, 2022

197_ip_2022-05-04_d49dd5e3-8d3a-473f-b8eb-42a70e2f49fd.pdf

Earnings Release

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Conference Call on Q1/2022 financial results

Hannover, 4 May 2022

Group overview

Target Matrix

Outlook 2022

Appendix

Strong premium growth of ~20%; return on equity above target Very solid results despite negative impacts in P&C and L&H

3 Conference Call on Q1/2022 financial results

Strong operating cash flow driven by profitable premium growth AuM stable despite negative valuation effect of rising interest rates

Figures in m. EUR; 2021 restated pursuant to IAS 8

Shareholders' equity decreased by 10% due to rising interest rates

Group overview

Appendix

Strong growth in a continued improving pricing environment Underwriting result affected by large losses and reserving related to war in Ukraine

Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q1/2021 Q1/2022 Δ
Gross written premium 5,693 7,149 +25.6%
Net premium earned 3,863 4,782 +23.8%
Net underwriting result
incl. funds withheld
147 26 -82.2%
Combined ratio
incl. interest on funds withheld
96.2% 99.5% -
Net investment income from assets
under own management
265 301 +13.6%
Other income and expenses (100) (44) -56.5%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 312 284 -9.1%
Tax ratio 12.1% 31.4% -
Group net income 261 177 -32.4%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 2.17 1.46 -32.4%

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adjusted +19.5%, diversified growth from traditional and Structured Reinsurance business
  • NPE f/x-adjusted +18.0%
  • Net large losses of EUR 336 m. (7.0 % of NPE) above budget of EUR 284 m. for Q1/2022
  • Precautionary reserving for potential losses related to the war in Ukraine (~3% of NPE)
  • Increase in net investment income principally due to strong ordinary investment income
  • Other income and expenses mainly driven by negative currency effects

2021 restated pursuant to IAS 8

Large losses exceed budget of EUR 284 m. for Q1/2022

Natural and man-made catastrophe losses in m. EUR

Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10m. gross

8 Conference Call on Q1/2022 financial results

Nat-cat losses above budget, man-made losses within expectation European storms and Australian floods absorbed entire large-loss budget

Catastrophe losses
in m. EUR
Date Gross Net
Storm "Ylenia/Zeynep", Europe 16 - 19 Feb 140.7 124.2
Rain and flood, Australia 21 Feb - 7 Mar 223.2 185.6
2 Natural catastrophes 363.9 309.8
1 Marine loss 15.7 13.9
1 Property losses 12.1 12.1
2 Man-made losses 27.8 26.0
4 Major losses 391.7 335.8

Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10m. gross Large loss budget 2022: EUR 1,400 m., thereof EUR 250 m. man-made and EUR 1,150 m. NatCat

Combined ratios reflect large losses and precautionary reserving in property and marine related to war in Ukraine

Q1/2022: Combined Ratio vs. target combined ratios

1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately; EMEA incl. CIS

Group overview

Appendix

Favourable underlying profitability

Results impacted by Covid-19 pandemic - strong earnings in Financial Solutions

2,116
2,185 +3.2%
1,830 1,928 +5.4%
(122) (128) +5.2%
45 128 +183.8%
169 113 -32.8%
92 113 +22.9%
5.0% 5.9% -
37.2% 9.4% -
57 101 +77.6%
0.47 0.84 +77.6%

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adjusted -1.2%, growth in Mortality and Longevity offset by reduced premium volume in Morbidity
  • NPE f/x-adjusted growth +0.8%
  • Technical result impacted by Covid-19 losses of EUR 123 m. (thereof US: EUR 76 m.)
  • Ordinary investment income increased primarily due to higher contribution from fixed income
  • Fair value of financial instruments includes positive valuation effect of EUR 46 m. from extreme mortality cover and negative impact from valuation of reinsurance-related derivatives (EUR -45m)
  • Other income and expenses mainly driven by strong contribution from deposit accounted treaties of EUR 111 m. (Q1/2021: EUR 90 m.)

2021 restated pursuant to IAS 8

Good start to 2022 sets the basis for a promising business development Q1/2022 new and pipeline business1)

Group overview

Investments

Reserving update

Target Matrix

Outlook 2022

Appendix

Strong return on investment of 3.1%

Positive effects from increased reinvestment yields and inflation-linked bonds

in m. EUR Q1/2021 Q1/2022 RoI
Ordinary investment income1) 322 424 3.0%
Realised gains/losses 90 42 0.3%
Impairments/appreciation & depreciation (21) (15) -0.1%
Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) (50) 22 0.2%
Investment expenses (31) (43) -0.3%
NII from assets under own management 311 429 3.1%
NII from funds withheld 131 55
Total net investment income 441 484
Unrealised gains/losses on investments 31 Dec 21 31 Mar 22
On-balance sheet 2,310 (72)
thereof Fixed income AFS 1,299 (1,092)
Off-balance sheet 629 576
thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R 148 71
Total 2,939 504

1) Incl. results from associated companies 2021 restated pursuant to IAS 8

YTD

  • Increasing ordinary income from inflation-linked bonds, higher reinvestment yield, higher return from real estate investments as well as higher asset volume
  • Realised gains primarily from credit and equity shifts and reallocations due to strategic and regular portfolio adjustments
  • Stable depreciation on direct real estate investments; overall impairments at moderate levels
  • Change in fair value of financial instruments through P&L impacted by valuation of reinsurance-related derivatives, offset by valuation effect from extreme mortality cover
  • Decrease in valuation reserves due to higher minimal-risk yield curves; credit spreads on corporates with rather small changes overall; positive contribution from inflation-linked bonds

Ordinary income with increased return from government bonds Stable asset allocation, more defensive credit-risk taking

1)

Investment category 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1/2022
Fixed-income securities 87% 87% 85% 86% 85%
- Governments 35% 35% 34% 34% 34%
- Semi-governments 16% 15% 15% 14% 14%
- Corporates 29% 31% 30% 32% 31%
Investment grade 25% 26% 25% 28% 27%
Non-investment grade 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS 7% 7% 6% 6% 2)
6%
Equities 2% 3% 3% 4% 4%
- Listed equity <1 % <1% 1% 1% <1%
- Private equity 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Real Assets 6% 5% 5% 5% 6%
Others 1% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Short-term investments & cash 4% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total market values in bn. EUR 42.7 48.2 49.8 56.2 56.2

Asset allocation Ordinary income split

1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,405.5 m. (EUR 1,588.2 m.) as at 31 March 2022

2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 62.6%

3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 31 March 2022

Group overview

Reserve redundancies increased by EUR 167 m. in 2021 Level of additional IBNR is 50% of total reserves

in m. EUR

Year end1) Redundancy2) Change Impact on
loss ratio
P&C
premium
(net earned)
2010 956 89 1.6% 5,394
2011 1,117 162 2.7% 5,961
2012 1,308 190 2.8% 6,854
2013 1,517 209 3.1% 6,866
2014 1,546 29 0.4% 7,011
2015 1,887 341 4.2% 8,100
2016 1,865 -22 -0.3% 7,985
2017 1,813 -52 -0.6% 9,159
2018 1,694 -118 -1.1% 10,804
2019 1,457 -238 -1.9% 12,798
2020 1,536 80 0.6% 14,205
2021 1,703 167 1.0% 16,624

P&C gross loss reserves3) EUR 35,089 m.

1) Figures unadjusted for changes in foreign exchange rate, i.e. based on actual exchange rates at respective year end.

2) Redundancy of loss and loss adjustment expense reserve net of reinsurance for its non-life insurance business against held IFRS reserves, before tax and minority participations. Willis Towers Watson reviewed these estimates - see appendix 3) As at 31 December 2021, consolidated, IFRS, IBNR – Incurred but not reported

Group overview

Target Matrix

Outlook 2022

Appendix

Target Matrix: Q1/2022 Strategy cycle 2021 - 2023

Business group Key figures Strategic targets Q1/2022
Group Return on equity1
)
900 bps above risk-free 9.3%
Solvency ratio2
)
≥ 200% 242%
Property & Casualty reinsurance Gross premium growth3
)
≥ 5% +19.5%
EBIT growth4
)
≥ 5% -9.1%
Combined ratio ≤ 96% 99.5%
xRoCA5
)
≥ 2% n.a. yet
Life & Health reinsurance Gross premium growth3
)
≥ 3% -1.2%
EBIT growth4
)
≥ 5% +22.9%
Value of New Business (VNB)6
)
≥ EUR 250 m. n.a. yet
xRoCA5
)
≥ 2% n.a. yet

1) After tax; risk-free: 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 2) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements

3) Average annual growth at constant f/x rates 4) Average annual growth

5) Excess return (one-year economic profit in excess of the cost of capital) on allocated economic capital 6) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting

Group overview

Positive renewal trends lead to continued premium growth Risk-adjusted overall price increase of 3.7%

1.385 108 133 1,626 Inforce book up for renewal New/ cancelled/ restructured Price & volume changes on renewed Inforce book after renewal Change in shares: +0.8% Change in price: +3.7% Change in volume: +5.1% +17.4% 2 Jan - 1 Apr 2022 in m. EUR

Americas1)

  • Stable reinsurance terms and conditions with low single-digit risk-adjusted rate increases for loss-free Nat Cat business
  • High demand in cyber; growth driven by significant rate increases, limited exposure growth APAC1)
  • Overall premium growth of up to 30% depending on region and class of business, mainly driven by Southeast Asia. Considerable hardening in Malaysia after recent flood losses
  • Despite sufficient capacity, single-digit rate increases in the Japanese market

Aviation & Marine

  • Overall pricing development remains positive in aviation
  • Pronounced rating improvements in respect of the Protection & Indemnity marine line
  • New business opportunities from all geographies at satisfactory pricing

Agricultural Risks

Stable renewals and attractive pipeline

Underwriting year figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2021) 1) Excluding specialty business mentioned separately

Guidance for 2022 confirmed

Hannover Re Group

Gross written premium1)
5%
2)
Return on investment

2.3%
Group net income 2) EUR 1.4 -
1.5 bn.
Ordinary dividend ≥ prior year

• Special dividend if capitalisation exceeds capital requirements for future growth and profit targets are achieved

1) At unchanged f/x rates

2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2022 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 1.4 bn. and no unexpected material Covid-19 impact in L&H

Group overview

Strong capital generation in line with overall business growth Increase in solvency ratio supported by issuance of new hybrid bond

Solvency II movement analysis

Figures in m. EUR.

1) Model changes (pre-tax) in terms of Eligible Own Funds (EOF) relate to the calculation of technical provisions, mainly L&H. Changes in terms of Solvency Capital Requirements (SCR) relate to the regulatory approved internal capital model.

2) Operating earnings and assumption changes (pre-tax). EOF increase includes the L&H new business value of 326 m. EUR.

3) Changes (pre-tax) due to movements in foreign exchange rates, interest rates, credit spreads, inflation (mainly investments) and other financial market indicators.

4) Tax payments and changes in deferred taxes.

5) Incl. dividend payments and changes in foreseeable dividends and the issuance of a hybrid bond of 750 m. EUR.

Our business groups at a glance Q1/2022 vs. Q1/2021

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR Q1/2021 Q1/2022 Q1/2021 Q1/2022 Q1/2021 Q1/2022
Gross written premium 5,693 7,149 2,116 2,185 7,809 9,333
Net premium earned 3,863 4,782 1,830 1,928 5,693 6,710
Net underwriting result 144 22 (249) (178) (105) (157)
Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld 147 26 (122) (128) 25 (102)
Net investment income 269 306 172 178 441 484
From assets under own management 265 301 45 128 311 429
From funds withheld 4 5 127 50 131 55
Other income and expenses (100) (44) 169 113 68 69
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 312 284 92 113 404 396
Financing costs (1) (1) (0) (0) (19) (21)
Net income before taxes 312 283 92 113 385 375
Taxes (38) (89) (34) (11) (66) (93)
Net income 274 194 57 102 319 282
Non-controlling interest 13 18 1 1 13 19
Group net income 261 177 57 101 306 264
Retention 92.6% 93.1% 88.6% 88.6% 91.5% 92.0%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 96.2% 99.5% - - - -
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 8.1% 5.9% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.9%
Tax ratio 12.1% 31.4% 37.2% 9.4% 17.1% 24.7%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 2.17 1.46 0.47 0.84 2.54 2.19

Stress tests on assets under own management Ongoing focus on credit exposures

Portfolio Scenario Change in market
value
in m. EUR
Change in OCI before
tax
in m. EUR
-10% -221 -221
Equity (listed and private equity) -20% -443 -443
+50 bps -1,395 -1,354
Fixed-income securities +100 bps -2,715 -2,635
Credit spreads +50% -879 -875

High-quality fixed-income book well balanced

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High-quality fixed-income book well balanced
Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification
Governments Semi
governments
Corporates Pfandbriefe,
Covered bonds,
ABS
Short-term
investments,
cash
Total
AAA 74% 54% 1
%
62% - 44%
A
A
11% 23% 10% 13% - 13%
A 10% 8
%
35% 12% - 19%
BBB 4
%
1
%
44% 11% - 18%
<bbb< td="">2
%
13%10%2
%
-7
%
2
%
13% 10% 2
%
- 7
%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100%
Germany 15% 28% 3
%
19% 17% 13%
UK 7
%
2
%
7
%
6
%
7
%
6
%
France 3
%
1
%
7
%
9
%
3
%
4
%
GIIPS 0
%
1
%
5
%
3
%
0
%
2
%
Rest of Europe 3
%
17% 14% 24% 4
%
11%
USA 51% 12% 33% 18% 18% 35%
Australia 6
%
5
%
6
%
10% 15% 6
%
Asia 12% 15% 12% 1
%
24% 12%
Rest of World 4
%
18% 14% 10% 13% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Total b/s values in m. EUR 19,175 7,823 16,951 3,650 1,716 49,315

IFRS figures as at 31 March 2022

28 Conference Call on Q1/2022 financial results

Currency allocation matches modelled liability profile Strict duration-neutral strategy continued

Currency split of investments

  • Modified duration of fixed-income mainly congruent with liability- and capital-driven targets
  • GBP's higher modified duration predominantly due to life business

Modified duration

Q1/2022 5.6
2021 5.8
2020 5.8
2019 5.7
2018 4.8

IR calendar

Details on reserve review by WTW

  • The scope of WTW's work was to review certain parts of the held loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of outwards reinsurance, from Hannover Re Group's consolidated IFRS financial statements as at each 31 December 2021, and the implicit redundancy margin, for the non-life business of Hannover Re Group. WTW concludes that the reviewed loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of reinsurance, less the redundancy margin is reasonable in that it falls within WTW's range of reasonable estimates.
  • Life reinsurance and health reinsurance business are excluded from the scope of this review.
  • WTW's review of non-life reserves as at 31 December 2021 covered 98.6% / 99.7% of the gross and net held non-life reserves of €35.1 billion and €32.6 billion respectively. Together with life reserves of gross €5.7 billion and net €5.5 billion, the total balance sheet reserves amount to €40.8 billion gross and €38.1 billion net.
  • The results shown in this presentation are based on a series of assumptions as to the future. It should be recognised that actual future claim experience is likely to deviate, perhaps materially, from WTW's estimates. This is because the ultimate liability for claims will be affected by future external events; for example, the likelihood of claimants bringing suit, the size of judicial awards, changes in standards of liability, and the attitudes of claimants towards the settlement of their claims.
  • The results shown in WTW's reports are not intended to represent an opinion of market value and should not be interpreted in that manner. The reports do not purport to encompass all of the many factors that may bear upon a market value.
  • WTW's analysis is carried out based on data as at evaluation dates for each 31 December review; WTW has undertaken annual reviews since year-end 2009 onwards. WTW's analysis may not reflect developments or information that became available after the valuation dates and WTW's results, opinions and conclusions presented herein may be rendered inaccurate by developments after the valuation dates. Specifically, consequences of the Russia-Ukraine conflict are not reflected in our analyses and projections as at 31 December 2021.
  • As is typical for reinsurance companies, claims reporting can be delayed due to late notifications by some cedents. This increases the uncertainty in the estimates.
  • Hannover Rück SE has asbestos, environmental and other health hazard (APH) exposures which are subject to greater uncertainty than other general liability exposures. WTW's analysis of the APH exposures assumes that the reporting and handling of APH claims is consistent with industry benchmarks. However, there is wide variation in estimates based on these benchmarks. Thus, although Hannover Re Group's held reserves show some redundancy compared to the indications, the actual losses could prove to be significantly different to both the held and indicated amounts.
  • WTW has not anticipated any extraordinary changes to the legal, social, inflationary or economic environment, or to the interpretation of policy language, that might affect the cost, frequency, or future reporting of claims. In addition, WTW's estimates make no provision for potential future claims arising from causes not substantially recognised in the historical data (such as new types of mass torts or latent injuries, terrorist acts), except in so far as claims of these types are included incidentally in the reported claims and are implicitly developed.
  • In accordance with its scope WTW's estimates are on the basis that all of Hannover Re Group's reinsurance protection will be valid and collectable. Further liability may exist for any reinsurance that proves to be irrecoverable.
  • WTW's estimates are in Euros based on the exchange rates provided by Hannover Re Group as at each 31 December evaluation date. However, a substantial proportion of the liabilities is denominated in foreign currencies. To the extent that the assets backing the reserves are not held in matching currencies, future changes in exchange rates may lead to significant exchange gains or losses.
  • WTW has not attempted to determine the quality of Hannover Re Group's current asset portfolio, nor has WTW reviewed the adequacy of the balance sheet provisions except as otherwise disclosed herein.
  • In its review, WTW has relied on audited and unaudited data and financial information supplied by Hannover Rück SE and its subsidiaries, including information provided orally. WTW relied on the accuracy and completeness of this information without independent verification.
  • Except for any agreed responsibilities WTW may have to Hannover Re Group, WTW does not assume any responsibility and will not accept any liability to any person for any damages suffered by such person arising out of this commentary or references to WTW in this document.

Disclaimer

This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.

While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.

Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.

This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.

© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.

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