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Terna — Investor Presentation 2024
Mar 19, 2024
4300_rns_2024-03-19_a07daf06-c42c-4475-862b-fd2edbf2ade0.pdf
Investor Presentation
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A Wider Vision


Agenda
| E l i f T 's R l t v o u o n o e r n a o e |
3 |
|---|---|
| S t t r a e g y |
9 |
| F Y 2 0 2 3 R l t e s s u |
1 5 |
| 2 0 2 4 2 0 2 8 G F i i l T d D i i d d P l i t r o p n a n c a a r g e s a n e n o c u v y – |
2 2 |
| C l i R k A W i d V i i o s n g e m a r s e r s o n : |
3 0 |

2



4
Evolution of Terna's Role
The Role of Terna as a TSO


EU and Italian decarbonization targets

Italy aligned with EU goals, increasing RES development targets with NECP1 '23
Notes: 1) National Energy and Climate Plan
5

Key Factors for Italian decarbonization targets achievement


Terna's leadership in the Twin Transition

7

Green by Nature, Social by Purpose

A Just Transition as a strategic objective





2024-2028 Investment Plan

Fostering investments to enable the Twin Transition
Notes: 1) Includes: non regulated capex and capitalized financial charges


Terna's main development projects in the 2024-2028 Plan


Benefits for the system


Digital Transition & Innovation
Network Engineering
Guarantee the progress and execution of projects through project management optimization and digitalization of construction sites

Transmission Operator
Optimize costs and guarantee the service level of the assets, working on the adoption of new systems and generating value from data
System Operator
Increase transmission capacity for the transition to RES, with co-pilot projects and "human-controlled AI"
Corporate
Ensure the identification and pro-active management of the Plan's risks, through ad-hoc platforms, integrated with employee equipment
Investments and scale-up of digital tools to support decisions and risk management

ESG Ambitions
Green by Nature
Science Based Target: alignment with 1.5 C° ambition, entailing the reduction of its absolute scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions 46% by 2030 (vs. 2019)
Nature: commitment to be "Science-based Target for Nature ready" in line with the developments of the Science-based Targets Network (SBTN)

Circular Economy: full integration of circular economy principles in the business model, by adopting circular criteria at all stages of the value chain, from procurement to disposal of assets
Social by Purpose

Safety: commitment to maximize safety in the workplace during the daily operations within the timeframe of the plan and beyond

Inclusion: enhancement of hiring programs that guarantee equal opportunities and the effective inclusion of every kind of diversity
| ਵਿੱਚ | |
|---|---|
Stakeholder engagement: open dialogue and participation of local communities. Extend initiatives of listening to stakeholders on all significant projects
Terna's TSO role vital for achieving the energy transition and safeguarding stakeholders



Key Figures
| F Y 2 0 2 3 |
F Y 2 0 2 2 |
F Y 2 0 2 2 ∆ v s |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A l t c u a €m n |
G i d u a n c e bn € |
A l t c u a €m n |
||
| R e v e n u e s |
3 1 8 7 , |
3 1 1 |
2 9 6 4 , |
% 7 + |
| E B I T D A |
2 1 6 9 , |
2 1 2 |
2 0 5 9 , |
% 5 + |
| G N t r o p e u 1 I n c o m e |
8 8 5 |
8 5 7 |
3 % + |
|
| 2€ E P S ts ce n |
4 4 0 |
3 4 |
4 2 6 |
|
| C a p e x |
2 2 9 0 , |
2 2 |
1 7 5 7 , |
3 0 % + |
| N D b t t e e |
1 0 4 9 4 , |
8 5 7 6 , |
Growth in all P&L metrics, with 30% Capex acceleration YoY
Notes: 1) Attributable to Terna 2) €/cents per share

Revenues

Growth driven by both regulated and non regulated activities
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding off

EBITDA


From EBITDA to Net Income


>3% Group Net Income increase vs. 2022
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding off

Capex

30% increase in Capex


Cash Flow & Net Debt Evolution
€mn

Strong Operating cash flow generation
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding off; 1) Including Other Fixed Assets Changes 2) Including Cash Flow Hedge accruals and other






2024 – 2028 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy
Domestic Regulated Activities
| C A T E G O R Y |
C U M U L A T E D C A P E X |
M A I N P R O J E C T S |
|---|---|---|
| D l t e e o p m e n v |
1 0 8 b € n |
T h i L i k S A C O I 3 r r e n a n n y – – S A d i i L i k l i i d i t t r a c n o v n g g r c o n g e s o n s – – C l L i k R E S i i t t t e n r a n n e g r a o n – – |
| A R l d t s s e e n e w a a n E f f i i c e n c y |
2 9 b € n |
Q S l i f i t a o e c e u y r v – Q l i f P t u a y o r o c e s s e s – Q l i f h i t t t a o e e n r o n m e n u y v – |
| D f d O h t e e n c e a n e r |
1 7 b € n |
D i i l i i d R i l i t t g a z a o n a n e s e n c e – – N k M P h i l d C b t t e w o r a n a g e m e n y s c a a n y e r – E l i M h i S i t t e c r c a c n e s e c u r y – |
~15.5 €bn of regulated Capex in the Plan period
Notes: Including EU contributions; figures may not add up due to rounding


Regulatory milestones
| 2 0 2 4 |
2 0 2 5 |
2 0 2 6 |
2 0 2 7 |
2 0 2 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De is ion he t tp t c on o u u ba d la io fo he t t se re g u n r io d 2 0 2 4- 2 0 2 7 p er |
W A C C da fo he te t up r io d 2 0 2 2 0 2 5- 7 p er |
O S S R In le la io te t g ra re g u n |
S f n W A C C ta t o ew r io d p er |
|
| S f he ta t o t r n ew la io d, i h to t re g u ry p er w da d l i f f te ta up g en er a r i ia d inc ive te t cr r an en s la ion t re g u |
||||
| C l i t t u r r e n r e g u a o r y p e r o |
d | N l i d t e w r e g u a o r y p e r o |
||
| f Sta R O S S Ba rt o se |
f le Sta R O S S Int rt o eg ra |
Regulatory updates expected in next years, with the start of ROSS Integrale (2026) and the new regulatory period (2028)


Non-Regulated Activities


Guidance 2024 and 2028
| F Y 2 0 2 3 |
F Y 2 0 2 4 |
F Y 2 0 2 8 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| A l t c u a bn € |
G i d u a n c e bn € |
G i d u a n c e bn € |
|
| R e e n e s v u |
3 9 1 |
3 5 5 |
4 6 0 |
| E B I T D A |
2 1 7 |
2 4 2 |
3 2 5 |
| C 1 a p e x |
2 2 9 |
2 6 |
1 6 5 C l d 2 0 2 4- 2 0 2 8 t m a e u u |
| S E P € t c e n s |
4 4 |
4 9 |
5 5 |
Increasing growth and value creation
Notes: P&L values restated for International deconsolidation; 1) Including Regulated, Non Regulated, capitalized financial charges and EU contributions;


Yield & Growth


Financial Efficiency and Financial Structure
- – Gross Debt @ ~87% Fix rate1
- – Average duration of ~6 years1
FINANCIAL RATING
| T e r n a |
S o e v |
i r e g n |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R i t a n g |
O l k t u o o |
R i t a n g |
O l k t u o o |
|
| S & P |
B B B + |
P i i t o s e v |
B B B |
P i i t o s e v |
| M d 's o o y |
B 2 a a |
S b l t a e |
B 3 a a |
S b l t a e |
- – FFO/Net Debt @~11% in 2028
- – Strong commitment to maintain current rating level
- – Average Cost of Net Debt 2024-2028 @ 3.3%
ESG RATING
- –Moody's ESG: Advance
- –Sustainalytics: Negligible risk
- – S&P Global CSA (Corporate Sustainability Assessment) score: 87/100
- –CDP (former Carbon Disclosure Project): A-
- –ISS ESG: Prime
Maintaining financial stability and low-risk profile
Notes: 1) As of FY2023. Calculated on medium-long term debt


Closing Remarks: A Wider Vision


Closing Remarks: A Wider Vision
1
2


3Maintaining financial stability and low-risk profile
A Wider Vision
A Twin Transition for a Just Transition




2024 Total Grid Fee update1

Notes: 1) ARERA Resolutions and Terna's preliminary estimates, net of pass-through items


P&L Targets


Consolidated Income Statement1
| € m n |
F Y 2 3 |
F Y 2 2 |
Δm n |
Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| To ta l Re ve nu e |
3, 1 8 7 |
2, 9 6 4 |
2 2 2 |
7. 5 % |
| Re la d Ac iv i ies te t t g u |
2, 6 0 7 |
2, 4 2 5 |
1 2 8 |
0 % 5. |
| Tra iss ion ns m |
2, 1 0 8 |
1, 9 6 9 |
1 3 9 |
7. 1 % |
| D isp tc h ing a |
4 3 1 |
4 5 0 |
-1 9 |
-4. 2 % |
| O t he ² r |
5 1 |
5 6 |
-6 | -9. 9 % |
| I F R I C 1 2 |
8 1 |
6 7 |
1 3 |
1 9. 6 % |
| No Re la te d a d In ter t ion l Ac t iv i t ies n g u n na a |
5 1 7 |
4 2 2 |
9 5 |
2 2. 4 % |
| To ta l Co ts s |
1, 0 1 8 |
9 0 5 |
1 1 3 |
1 2. 5 % |
| Re la d Ac iv i ies te t t g u |
8 4 5 |
3 5 5 |
4 9 |
9. 1 % |
| La bo Co ts ur s |
2 8 5 |
2 6 6 |
1 9 |
1 % 7. |
| Ex ter l Co ts na s |
1 8 7 |
1 7 7 |
1 0 |
5. 9 % |
| O t he ² r |
3 1 |
2 5 |
6 | 2 5. 3 % |
| I F R I C 1 2 |
8 1 |
6 7 |
1 3 |
1 9. 6 % |
| No Re la te d Ac t iv i t ies n g u |
4 3 0 |
3 6 4 |
6 6 |
% 1 8. 1 |
| In ion l Ac iv i ies ter t t t na a |
4 | 6 | -2 | -3 4. 4 % |
| E B I T D A |
2, 1 6 9 |
2, 0 5 9 |
1 0 9 |
5. 3 % |
| & D A |
8 0 6 |
7 2 6 |
8 1 |
% 1 1. 1 |
| E B I T |
1, 3 6 2 |
1, 3 3 3 |
2 9 |
2. 2 % |
| C Ne t F ina ia l ha nc rg es |
1 1 8 |
1 0 0 |
1 8 |
% 1 7. 6 |
| f Pr Ta Pr i t e x o |
1, 2 4 5 |
1, 2 3 3 |
1 1 |
% 0. 9 |
| Ta xe s |
3 6 4 |
3 5 5 |
9 | 2. 5 % |
| Ta Ra te ( % ) x |
2 9. 3 % |
2 8. 8 % |
- | 0. 5 p p |
| Ne Inc t om e |
8 8 0 |
8 8 7 |
2 | 0. 3 % |
| Ne Pr t f F i t / ina ( Lo ia ) l Fro C ha D isc t inu d Op t ion o nc ss m rg es on e era s |
3 | -2 0 |
2 3 |
1 1 2. 3 % |
| To l Ne Inc ta t om e |
8 8 3 |
8 5 8 |
2 5 |
2. 9 % |
| M ino i ty In ter t r es |
-3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Gr Ne t Inc ou p om e |
8 8 5 |
8 5 7 |
2 8 |
3. 3 % |
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding; 1) Managerial Accounting 2) Including Quality of Service


Consolidated Balance Sheet
| € m n |
De 3 1, 2 0 2 3 c. |
De 3 1, 2 0 2 2 c. |
Δm n |
|---|---|---|---|
| & P P E |
1 7, 5 9 7 |
1 6, 2 0 1 |
1, 3 9 6 |
| In tan i b le As t g se |
8 6 7 |
7 7 6 |
9 1 |
| F in ia l In d O t he an c v. an r |
5 0 1 |
5 0 9 |
-8 |
| To l F ixe d As ta ts se |
1 8, 9 6 5 |
1 7, 4 8 5 |
1, 4 7 9 |
| Ne W C t |
-2 1 7 5 , |
-2 3 3 7 , |
8 5 5 |
| Fu ds n |
-3 3 |
-6 8 |
3 5 |
| Ca Ne t i ta l Inv te d p es |
1 6, 7 5 7 |
1 4, 6 8 4 |
2, 0 7 3 |
| Ne t As ts He l d fo Sa le se r |
8 0 |
6 1 |
1 9 |
| To ta l Ne t Ca i ta l Inv te d p es |
1 6, 8 3 8 |
1 4, 7 4 5 |
2, 0 9 2 |
| F in d by an ce : |
|||
| Co l i da te d Ne t De b t ns o |
1 0, 4 9 4 |
8, 5 7 6 |
1, 9 1 8 |
| To ta l S ha ho l de 's Eq i ty re r u |
6, 3 4 3 |
6, 1 6 9 |
1 7 4 |
| To ta l |
1 6, 8 3 8 |
1 4, 7 4 5 |
2, 0 9 2 |


Consolidated Cash Flow
| € m n |
F Y 2 3 |
F Y 2 2 |
|---|---|---|
| To ta l Ne t In co m e |
8 8 3 |
8 8 5 |
| 1 D & A |
7 8 8 |
7 1 9 |
| Ne t C ha in Fu ds ng e n |
-3 5 |
2 0 |
| O in Ca h F low t p er a g s |
1, 6 3 6 |
1, 5 9 6 |
| 2 Ca & O Δ W k ing i ta l t he or p r |
-5 3 6 |
9 3 2 |
| Ca h F low fro O t in Ac t iv i t ies s m p er a g |
1, 1 0 0 |
2, 5 2 8 |
| Ca i l Ex d i ta tur p p en es |
-2 2 9 0 , |
-1 7 5 7 , |
| Fr Ca h F low Eq i to ty ee s u |
-1 1 9 0 , |
1 7 7 |
| fo Sa Ne t As ts He l d le se r |
-1 9 |
5 7 |
| 3 D iv i de ds & Eq i ty n u |
-7 0 9 |
5 9 8 |
| C ha in Ne Ca h ( De b ) t t ng e s |
-1 9 1 8 , |
1, 4 2 6 |
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding; 1) Net of assets' disposal 2) Including Other Fixed Assets Changes 3) Including Cash Flow Hedge accruals, Hybrid Green Bond and other


Disclaimer
THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY TERNA S.P.A. (THE "COMPANY") FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION.
THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF WHATSOEVER NATURE.
HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO ORANY CHANGES IN EVENTS.
EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "FRANCESCO BECCALI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.


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