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Terna — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 19, 2020
4300_rns_2020-11-19_61a0e1d3-d9d6-4e99-bef6-7848df22b3dc.pdf
Investor Presentation
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November 19th, 2020

Agenda
| Scenario | 3 |
|---|---|
| Strategy | 8 |
| 2021 – 2025 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy |
16 |
| Final Remarks | 20 |
| Annexes | 23 |




Scenario
Terna and the Sustainable Development Goals
- Increasing energy efficiency
- Research in non regulated activities
- Active role in International associations
- Realization of Development and Resiliency Plans
- Realization of cross-borders interconnections
- Development of International activities
- Implementation of Resiliency Plan
- Research, Development and Innovation
- Innovation focused on grid resiliency
▪ Terna is committed to supporting sustainable development by contributing to some of the objectives identified by the United Nations
| Incentivize lasting, inclusive and sustainable economic growth |
Guarantee sustainable models of production and consumption |
Protect, restore and promote a sustainable use of the ecosystem |
Promote a peaceful and inclusive society for sustainable development |
Strengthen the means of implementation and renew partnerships for sustainable development |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▪ In the current pandemic crisis scenario, Terna recently renewed its commitment to the 10 Principles of the Global Compact and the 17 SDGs
Scenario

Current -23% Target 2030 -55% Target 2050 Net zero emissions TARGET EMISSIONS* KEY ACTIONS


Grids development to improve interconnections and digitalization
80%-90% of RES in the power
generation by 2050

Energy efficiency and electrification of the heating sector

Batteries

Electric Vehicles and lowemission transport
INVESTMENTS

At least €1 trillion of sustainable investments over the next 10 years
A new European strategy heading to "Net Zero"

Italian electricity system evolution Scenario

From system operator to system enabler

1. Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan 2030 targets
2. MiSE data
3. Source: Terna for 2018 and 2019 data; National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan for 2030 target
Scenario
The key system tools to support the Energy Transition

Terna Plan enables future RES development and supports the Energy Transition




Terna's strategic approach Strategy
| Boosting Investments | Further acceleration on grid investments |
|---|---|
| Energy Transition | Enabling the Energy Transition |
| Sustainability | Sustainable approach to support stakeholders and local communities |
| Transformation | Development of a deep transformation process |

Domestic Regulated Activities (1/2) Strategy

Maximizing benefits for the system

1. Net of EU contributions 2. Calendar RAB including WIP *Including ~300 €mn of Italy-France interconnection project Note: RAB inflation at 1.1% on average during plan period
Domestic Regulated Activities (2/2) Strategy

Strong focus on quality, resiliency, technologies/capital light investments and sustainability

Strategy Non Regulated Activities


International Activities PROJECTS IN OPERATION
Brazil

Strategy
- 230 kV, 158 km
- Commissioned in October 2018
▪ Commissioning expected in 1H21
▪ 30-year concession
▪ 30-year concession

- 500 kV, 355 km
- Commissioned in April 2019
- 30-year concession

- 500 kV, 214 km
- Commissioned in October 2019
- 30-year concession
PROJECTS IN EXECUTION POTENTIAL NEW PROJECTS
| Brazil | ▪ ▪ ▪ |
500 kV, ~300 km Commissioning expected by 1Q23 Two 30-year concessions |
|---|---|---|
| ▪ | 138 kV, 132 km |
2021-2025 Cumulated Capex
lower than 300€mn
EBITDA cumulated in 5 years* >200€mn
Perù
New Ways of Working Strategy

Leveraging on Covid constraints to define New Ways of Working

Innovation & Digitization Strategy
INVESTMENTS TECHNOLOGICAL ENABLERS

2021-2025 cumulated capex* ~900€mn

– 2025 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy

Guidance 2021 and 2025 2021 – 2025 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy
| FY 2020* | FY 2021* | FY 2025* | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidance €bn |
Guidance €bn |
Guidance €bn |
|||
| Confirmed 2020 guidance | |||||
| Revenues | 2.49 | 2.57 | 3.04 | ||
| EBITDA | 1.79 | 1.84 | 2.21 | ||
| Capex 1 |
1.3 | 1.4 | 9.2 Cumulated 2021-2025 |
||
| EPS €cents |
38 | 39 | 49 | ||
Increasing visibility and growth

*Including Brugg Cables from acquisition date
1. Including Regulated, Non Regulated, capitalized financial charges and EU contributions
2021 – 2025 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy Dividend Policy
€ cents

Enhancing shareholders value

Financial Efficiency and Financial Structure 2021 – 2025 Group Financial Targets and Dividend Policy
- Gross Debt @ 84% Fix rate1
- Average duration of ~5 years1
- Net Debt / RAB2 <60% over the Plan
- Average Cost of Net Debt 2021-2025 @ 1.3%
- Strong commitment to maintain current rating level
| RATING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terna | Sovereign | |||
| Rating | Outlook | Rating | Outlook | |
| S&P | BBB+ | Stable | BBB | Stable |
| Moody's | Baa2 | Stable | Baa3 | Stable |
| Fitch | BBB+ | Stable | BBB- | Stable |
| Scope | A- | Stable | BBB+ | Negative |
Solid financial structure to support investments acceleration




Further acceleration on domestic core activities to allow the transition towards sustainable energy
Maintaining a low risk profile and limited capital absorption in non regulated and international
Guarantee financial stability
Ready for new strategic opportunities in line with TSO role evolution to support decarbonization targets

Enhancing TSO central role in the energy transition

Final Remarks
Further potential developments: other 10-year horizon strategic opportunities not included in the Plan

Opportunities enabling system evolution



P&L Targets Annexes

EPS CAGR >5%
Operational Efficiency Annexes

Continuous effort in operational efficiency

Terna's Sustainable Management Approach (1/2) Annexes
Terna's main goal is to create the necessary conditions to reach the NECP target of 55% RES share on electricity consumption by 2030, compared to the current 35%
Terna already top performer in sustainability… …takes on another challenge by adopting science-based targets

Commitment to reach the levels of decarbonization that limit global warming «well below 2°», as established in the Paris agreement 1
1°First in Italy to obtain certifications ISO37001 (anti-corruption) and ISO55001 (Asset Management) 0.5 Mtons of CO2

~95% Of regulated investments can be classified as «green» according to the criteria currently being defined by the European Taxonomy 2
0
reduction by 2030 compared to 2019, thanks to the modernization of the electricity system3
Challenging objective to set to zero the carbon footprint: more energy efficiency, less emissions, environemental projects in Italy

1. Terna obtained a score of 90 out of 100 from S&P ESG (highest score in the electricity utilities sector and part of the 99th percentile of all companies analysed by S&P (over 3,100)
2. Preliminary estimates
3. Corresponds to a total reduction of CO2 emitted by Terna by 2030 of 28% compared to 2019. Source: NIECP, Terna's 2019 Integrated Annual Report, S&P ESG, MSCI, Ethibel, Bloomberg GEI, FTSE4GOOD
3
Terna's Sustainable Management Approach (2/2) Annexes
Since 2005, Terna has been monitoring sustainability KPIs
| 2019 | Target | |
|---|---|---|
| Safety Index 1 |
≤1 | ≤1 |
| km of overhead lines 2 removed |
180 | 488 |
| km of new underground and undersea lines 2 |
46 | 608 |
| Green capex In line with 2018 Green Bond Principles |
203€mn | >600€mn |

Disclaimer
THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY TERNA S.P.A. (THE "COMPANY") FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION.
THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF WHATSOEVER NATURE.
HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS.
EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "AGOSTINO SCORNAJENCHI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154- BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.











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