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Telenor ASA — Earnings Release 2022
Feb 2, 2023
3773_rns_2023-02-02_c09591f4-5623-40ca-9e71-9f9acef43a3e.pdf
Earnings Release
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TELENOR GROUP
Fourth quarter 2022
Sigve Brekke, CEO
1
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Telenor Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.
This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Telenor Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the slide "Outlook for 2022" contains forward-looking statements regarding the Telenor Group's expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
The comments in the presentation are related to Telenor's development in 2022 compared to the same quarter of 2021, unless otherwise stated.
Executing on CMD plan
Leading Nordic telco
Strengthen positions in Asia
Crystallisation of Infrastructure values
Portfolio development in Amp
Environmental enabler for our partners and customers Social and digital inclusion
Delivering on our strategy
| Growth in the Nordics | Successful M&A | |
|---|---|---|
| 5% Nordic mobile service revenue growth |
Closed merger in Malaysia and Fibre deal in Norway |
|
| Modernisation continuing | Record results | |
| Copper decommission completed |
Net income of NOK 45 bn in 2022 |
|
Sensitivity: Internal
4
Creating CelcomDigi the leading telecom operator in Malaysia
- The largest telecom tech company on Bursa Malaysia
- Telenor's 33.1% ownership share equals NOK ~38bn
- Transaction closed 30 November, with Telenor recognizing a gain of NOK 33bn in Q4
- Material value creation through realization of NOK ~18bn of identified synergies
- Merger expected to be dividend accretive for Telenor from 2024 onwards
* Q3 numbers
Closing in on completion of merger in Thailand
- The dtac and True transaction has entered final phase and closing is expected in Q1
- Creating a telecom tech frontrunner across mobile, broadband and television
- Clear benefits and synergy potential from scale advantages, investment capabilities and competence
- Strategic owners and equal partners with CP Group, each with ~30% ownership
Norwegian fibre transaction crystallises infrastructure values
- Transaction closed 1 February
- Sold 30% of the Norwegian fibre business to KKR and Oslo Pensjonsforsikring at enterprise value NOK 36 billion
- Network of 130,000 km of cables connecting upwards of 560,000 homes
- Strong partners supporting further value creation through continued investments in Norwegian fibre
Strong trends in Nordic Mobile Service Revenues
Year-on-year growth (%)
Nordic Modernisation: Legacy free Norwegian operation
- Last POTS and retail DSL lines decommissioned according to plan in December 2022
- EBITDA headwind easing into 2023
Next phase of modernising Telenor Norway
Finalising copper decommission Enabling structural initiatives
Enabler for change Nordic collaboration
Nordic collaboration on Tech, IT and shared services
New Norwegian organisation
Teams organised around customer value
Estimated around 400 fewer FTEs and consultants
Executing on the value creation strategy
Carve-outs and modernisation
- Closed merger in Malaysia
- Closed fibre transaction in Norway
- Copper decommission
- Closing merger in Thailand
TELENOR GROUP
Fourth quarter 2022
Tone Hegland Bachke, CFO
Fourth quarter and full year highlights
Sensitivity: Internal
13 Q4 2022
Service Revenue growth reflecting strength in the Nordics
OPEX increased by 5% in Q4, excluding energy
Q4 YoY change NOK million* Q4 YoY change NOK million* Salaries and Personnel Sales, Marketing, Commissions Operation and Maintenance Energy Other opex Group 96 130 214 97 Finland 57 Norway 54 Sweden 26 Denmark 11 Thailand Pakistan Other/ Q4 22 Eliminations/ Bangladesh Intercompany Bangladesh 10 7,539 311 8,162 Q4 21 +8%
Quarterly opex Opex by category
-100
58
114
250
300
Q4 2022
15
623
Lower energy costs for 2022 than indicated at CMD
Energy cost development*
NOK million
Organic EBITDA remained stable
Q4 2022 YoY change
%-points contribution to YoY % EBITDA growth
Organic EBITDA growth of 1% in 2022
FY 2022 NOK billion
Net income to equity holders of NOK 45 billion
Net income to equity holders of Telenor
NOK billion
Capex to sales of 17% in 2022 -Leverage within target range
Capex ex. licenses and spectrum NOK billion
• Leverage ratio from Q4 2022 onwards includes dividends from associates
• Leverage ratio = Net debt / [EBITDA before other items + dividends from associated companies]
• Leverage ratio before Q422 includes Digi
Free Cash Flow of NOK 10.6 billion in 2022
Free cash flow
NOK billion
Mid-term outlook
- Outlook for FCF excl. M&A unchanged from CMD
- 2023 FCF impacted by deconsolidation of Digi and Dtac, only partly offset by dividends
- Asian dividend ramp-up in 2024 and 2025 backed by synergy realization
- FCF improvement in the Nordics throughout the period
FCF excl. M&A and disposals M&A and disposals
Outlined FCF forecast excl. new spectrum, M&A and disposals from CMD
Proposed shareholder remuneration
Shareholder remuneration
NOK billion
Share buyback
- Sold 30% of the Norwegian fibre business
- The board intends to use 35% of the proceeds for share buyback
- Agreement in place to redeem a proportionate share of the Norwegian state holding
-
Buyback programme to start in February
-
Proposing dividend of NOK 9.4 per share for FY 2022, in line with dividend policy and subject to approval by AGM
- First tranche of NOK 5.0 per share in May, second tranche of NOK 4.4 per share in October
Outlook Telenor Nordics
23 Q4 2022 Organic service revenue growth in fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excluding licences and spectrum.
TELENOR GROUP
Fourth quarter 2022
Appendix
Geographic split of key financials 2022
EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licences.
Norway
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Sweden
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Denmark
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Finland
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
1 824 1 800 1 859 1 893 1 994 35% 38% 38% 38% 33% Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 5%
Additional information – Nordics
Q4 2022
Thailand (dtac)
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Bangladesh (Grameenphone)
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Pakistan
33
Q4 2022
Organic growth YoY Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Service revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Q4 growth in Service Revenues and EBITDA
| Country | Service revenues | EBITDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Organic | Reported | Organic | |
| Norway | -1% | -1% | -3% | -3% |
| Sweden | 1% | 5% | -8% | 2% |
| Denmark | 11% | 7% | 12% | 7% |
| Finland | 9% | 5% | 1% | -3% |
| Thailand | 5% | -2% | 10% | 3% |
| Bangladesh | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% |
| Pakistan | -12% | -5% | -23% | -17% |
| Telenor Group | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
Net income of NOK 45 billion for 2022
| NOK m | 2021 | 2022 | Q4 2021 | Q4 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 97 153 | 98 953 | 24 865 | 25 402 |
| EBITDA before other items | 42 656 | 42 374 | 10 148 | 10 146 |
| Other items | (1 754) | 743 | (1 205) | (338) |
| EBITDA | 40 902 | 43 117 | 8 943 | 9 809 |
| Depreciation & amortization and Impairments | (23 247) | (25 771) | (5 805) | (5 896) |
| Operating profit | 17 654 | 17 346 | 3 137 | 3 913 |
| Associated companies and JVs | (459) | (303) | (173) | (37) |
| Net financials | (3 472) | (6 312) | (793) | (593) |
| Taxes | (5 008) | 2 914 | (1 028) | 1 694 |
| Profit (loss) from discontinued operations | (4 123) | 33 716 | 145 | 33 148 |
| Minorities | 3 063 | 2 449 | 702 | 220 |
| Net income - Telenor equity holders |
1 528 | 44 913 | 587 | 37 906 |
| Earnings per share (NOK) | 1.09 | 32.09 | 0.42 | 27.09 |
Debt maturity profile (NOK bn)
Net debt* in partly-owned subsidiaries:
| NOK bn | Q4 2022 | Q4 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| dtac | 20.2 | 19.6 |
| Grameenphone | 2.9 | 2.3 |
Subsidiaries Telenor ASA
31.6
4.2
Net debt reconciliation
| NOK bn | Q4 2022 |
Q4 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Non–current interest-bearing liabilities | 83 297 | 87 811 |
| Non-current lease liabilities | 24 417 | 28 101 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities |
8 596 | 9 276 |
| Current lease liabilities |
6 674 | 6 977 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | (9 929) | (15 223) |
| Fair value hedge instruments |
(27) | (1 071) |
| Financial instruments | (277) | (327) |
| Non-current license obligations |
(11 944) | (12 496) |
| Current license obligations |
(2 931) | (2 264) |
| Net interest-bearing debt excl. license obligations |
97 875 | 100 783 |
Balance sheet and key ratios
| 31 Dec 2022 |
31 Dec 2021 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total assets |
239 059 | 225 740 |
| Equity attributable to Telenor ASA shareholders |
60 139 | 26 294 |
| Gross debt* | 122 984 | 132 165 |
| Net debt | 97 875 | 100 783 |
| Dividends from associates and joint ventures |
1 376 | - |
| Leverage** | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Return on capital employed*** | 14% | 8% |
*) Gross debt = current interest-bearing liabilities + non-current interest-bearing liabilities + current and non-current lease liabilities
**) 12 months rolling EBITDA; Leverage= Net Debt (EBITDA + Dividends from Associates and Joint Ventures)
***) Calculated based on an after-tax basis of the last twelve months return on average capital employed
Return on capital employed
*) See APM section in quarterly report for ROCE calculation and definition
**) 2012-2019 numbers including Myanmar