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Sydbank Audit Report / Information 2019

Feb 27, 2019

3387_rns_2019-02-27_fe28426b-c258-4b33-bfcd-6d7c6591c4ac.pdf

Audit Report / Information

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Credit Risk 2018

Sydbank Group

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1
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2 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

Contents

Introduction ................................................................................................................. 4
Credit and client policy ........................................................................................... 5
Rating ............................................................................................................................. 6
Industry breakdown ................................................................................................. 12
Focus on agriculture ................................................................................................ 15
Focus on retail clients .............................................................................................. 16
Concentration ............................................................................................................. 18
Collateral ....................................................................................................................... 20
Impairment charges ................................................................................................. 22
Financial counterparties ......................................................................................... 23
Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables ................................................................. 25
Appendix 2 – Glossary ............................................................................................ 34

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K

3

Introduction

Credit risk is the risk of loss as a result of the non-performance by clients and other counterparties of their payment obligations to the Group. Credit risk concerns loans and advances, credit commitments and guarantees as well as market values of derivatives and any holdings.

The most significant credit risks in the Group relate to the Group’s loans and advances and guarantees issued to retail and corporate clients. The main focus of this report is a description of the lending and guarantee portfolio which may be compared with loans and advances and guarantees in the 2018 Annual Report.

The correlation between the gross exposure, as shown in “Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables”, and loans and advances and guarantees in the 2018 Annual Report is shown in the table below.

Appendix 2 explains some of the terms used in this report.

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Gross exposure – credit risk
DKKm 2018 2017
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Loans and advances at fair value 6,510 5,248
Loans and advances at amortised
cost 60,983 64,312
Loans and advances according to
fnancial statements
67,493 69,560
Loans and advances to
municipalities (315) (300)
Undrawn credit commitments 40,367 42,202
Derivatives 1,416 1,523
Repo (deposits) 1,075 2,535
Contingent liabilities etc 15,677 15,447
Gross exposure to retail and
corporate clients 125,713 130,967
Governments incl municipalities 12,292 9,377
Credit institutions 10,291 12,225
Gross exposure – credit risk 148,296 152,569

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

4

Credit and client policy

The Group’s overall credit risk is managed according to policies and limits determined and adopted by the Board of Directors.

  • maintaining and increasing clients’ business volume with the Group through a balanced composition of:

  • loans and advances and guarantees

The Board of Directors lays down the general framework for credit granting and the largest exposures are submitted on a regular basis to the Board of Directors for approval or information.

  • deposits

  • payment services transactions

  • trading in securities etc

  • financial instruments

Employees with a written lending authority may grant approvals. Such authority is adjusted to the employee’s client portfolio and the individual client’s rating. In connection with new clients employees have limited lending authority.

Retail clients

Credit granting to retail clients is based on the client’s disposable amount, wealth and leverage (defined as total household debt divided by household personal income) as well as knowledge of the client.

The objective is that the majority of retail client exposures are approved by the client’s branch and that the remaining client exposures are approved by specially appointed heads of credit. Consequently exposures where the client has negative assets of more than DKK 100,000 are approved by heads of credit. Major exposures and exposures with an increased risk are approved centrally by Credits.

Corporate clients

As a rule corporate clients are served by the regional head office or by special corporate departments. The Group’s largest and most complex exposures are handled by Corporate & Institutional Banking. The objective is that all small corporate exposures with satisfactory credit quality are approved at regional level. Mediumsize and major exposures are approved centrally by Credits, the Group Executive Management or the Board of Directors.

  • avoiding/reducing risk of loss by implementing action plans for weak exposures. These action plans involve reducing the Group’s exposure as well as hedging risks by securing additional collateral.

Risks in connection with lending must be precalculated on an informed and well-founded basis.

The Group’s credit exposure is in particular to clients in Denmark and Northern Germany.

Particular focus is given to weak exposures. The objective is to ensure that the Group’s action plans for these exposures are evaluated and adjusted on an ongoing basis to reduce the risk of loss.

In 2018 credit control activities were strengthened with the establishment of a new department, Credit Control. The department is tasked with ensuring that procedures and lending authorities are complied with as well as checking the Bank’s systems and business procedures in this area.

Moreover Credits has a department which is assigned to exposures with a significant risk of loss. These exposures are closely monitored and Credits is actively involved in preparing solutions to mitigate the Group’s credit risk.

Risk Follow-up

Risk Follow-up is part of the division Risk.

The Group’s credit-related decisions are based on a systematic and structured review of the client’s circumstances and industry affiliation. The review is based on all accessible information, including industry analyses and financial statements, and also comprises an assessment of the client’s forward-looking business plan and its feasibility.

Credit activities

Credit activities are conducted partly in the retail and corporate departments and partly centrally in Credits. As described below, the Group has developed rating models to assess risks to retail clients, corporate clients and investment clients.

The Group’s credit activities are an active element in the Group’s efforts to increase its earnings by:

  • maintaining and increasing the portfolio of profitable and promising retail, corporate and investment clients

By means of analyses, random sampling and inspections at branches and departments and centrally, Risk Follow-up monitors the credit quality of exposures, registrations, impairment charge calculations as well as the compliance with policies and business procedures in general.

This process involves research and analyses using information from the Group’s database of all exposures.

Moreover Risk Follow-up conducts regular credit quality analyses of the Group’s new exposures as well as regular random sampling of the retail and corporate client portfolios.

Finally Risk Follow-up evaluates on the basis of a credit expert assessment whether the Group’s rating models rank clients correctly.

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K

5

Rating

The Group has developed rating models to manage credit risks to retail, corporate and investment clients. The overriding objective is to constantly monitor the financial circumstances of a client and to identify as early as possible any financial difficulties in order to work out a plan of action in cooperation with the client.

Model development is based on the recommendations submitted by the Basel Committee. Through dialogue with other interested parties in the market (credit institutions, supervisory authorities, rating agencies etc) the Group has ensured that the models comply with market standards.

In connection with the calculation of the Group’s Pillar 1 capital requirements, the Group estimates on an ongoing basis the risk parameters PD, LGD and EAD as regards the Group’s retail clients and PD as regards the Group’s corporate clients.

PD represents the probability that the client will default on his obligations to the Group within the next 12 months.

LGD represents the proportion of a given exposure that is expected to be lost if the client defaults on his obligations within the next 12 months.

EAD represents the expected size of an exposure, ie how much a client is expected to have drawn on the granted credit facilities at the time of default. In order to calculate EAD a conversion factor (CF) is estimated for the purpose of converting undrawn credit commitments to expected EAD.

The risk parameters are included in the calculation of a number of important internal ratios and key figures concerning the Group’s exposure portfolio, including expected loss.

Sydbank is working on a project with the purpose of gaining approval to apply the advanced IRB approach to calculate the capital requirement as regards corporate exposures. The objective is to gain approval in 2019/2020.

On the basis of the rating models, clients are assigned to rating categories 1-10 where rating category 1 represents the best credit quality and rating category 10 represents the category of clients who have defaulted on their obligations to the Group.

Clients are rated in the 3 partially independent models described below and all models are based on statistical processing of client data for the purpose of classifying clients according to their probability of default (PD) within the next 12 months.

Retail

The retail client model is based primarily on account behaviour. On the basis of this data and inherent statistical correlations, clients are rated according to their probability of default (PD) vis-à-vis the Group within the next 12 months.

Corporate

The corporate client model is based partly on accounting data and partly on financial conduct and is supplemented by appraisals made by the credit officer and/or account manager of the client’s current strength profile as well as an industry analysis. It is possible on the basis of a specific assessment to override a rating. All overrides must be approved by the Bank’s Credit Committee. As regards the largest clients, ie exposures exceeding 1% of the Group’s total capital, calculated ratings are assessed by Credits at least twice a year.

Investment

The investment client model is based on the following:

Expected loss is calculated as follows: EAD x PD x LGD.

  • Excess cover within the client’s investment exposure

  • Approved stop loss

Furthermore the ratings constitute a vital management tool in the Group’s credit process in connection with eg:

  • Volatility of the investment portfolio

  • Strength profile of the client.

  • the targeting of sales activities, including pricing

  • the assessment and determination of lending authority

  • the treatment and follow-up of the risk of loans and credit commitments

  • the calculation of impairment charges as regards facilities without objective evidence of credit impairment.

Exposures outside the rating models

The Group has no internal rating model to assess risk as regards credit institutions and public authorities (governments, regions and municipalities). The Danish FSA has approved the Group’s use of the Standardised Approach to calculate the risk exposure amount concerning this asset class.

Sydbank applies the advanced IRB approach to calculate the capital requirement as regards retail exposures and the foundation IRB approach to calculate the capital requirement as regards corporate exposures.

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

6

Loans/advances and guarantees by rating category

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DKKm Corporate Retail Total 2018
Loans/ Loans/ Loans/
advances Guarantees % advances Guarantees % advances Guarantees %
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DKKm
Corporate
Loans/
advances
Guarantees
%
Retail
Loans/
advances
Guarantees
%
Total 2018
Loans/
advances
Guarantees
%
1
585
74
1.3
2
11,843
1,491
25.3
3
12,506
1,559
26.7
4
8,910
618
18.1
5
4,750
522
10.0
6
2,558
235
5.3
7
731
93
1.6
8
504
61
1.0
9
2,716
324
5.8
Default
1,814
125
3.6
NR/STD
521
138
1.3
5,415
4,057
38.0
4,382
1,973
25.5
2,271
1,065
13.4
912
479
5.6
613
320
3.7
343
129
1.9
57
31
0.4
60
15
0.3
1,034
162
4.8
206
23
1.0
960
387
5.4
6,000
4,131
13.1
16,225
3,464
25.4
14,777
2,624
22.4
9,822
1,097
14.1
5,363
842
8.0
2,901
364
4.2
788
124
1.2
564
76
0.8
3,750
486
5.5
2,020
148
2.8
1,481
525
2.5
Total
47,438
5,240
100.0
16,253
8,641
100.0
63,691
13,881
100.0
Impairment of loans
and advances
2,147
561 2,708
Total
45,291
5,240
15,692
8,641
60,983
13,881
% of total
74
38
26
62
100
100

The table above shows that corporate loans and advances (including to public authorities) account for 74% (2017: 72%) of total loans and advances, and retail loans and advances constitute 26% (2017: 28%).

71% (2017: 71%) of the Group’s corporate loans and advances and guarantees are rated in categories 1-4 and 83% (2017: 83%) of the Group’s retail loans and advances are rated in categories 1-4.

Default

  • The client has at least one non-accrual credit facility.

  • An impairment charge/provision has been registered in connection with the client and a loss must be regarded as unavoidable.

  • The exposure has been transferred to the Group’s central department for non-performing exposures.

Moreover the Group has a procedure in place whereby all exposures in arrears for more than 90 days are either approved or transferred to the department for non-performing exposures.

According to the Group’s rating system, a client is in default if at least one of the following events has occurred:

  • A write-off has been recorded as regards the client.

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 7

Rating

Validation

The risk parameters are monitored and validated on an ongoing basis in compliance with the Group’s business procedures which reflect Danish FSA requirements, the supplementary guidelines issued by the Committee of European Banking Supervisors (CEBS) as well as internal requirements.

The validation process includes an assessment of:

  • model ability to rank clients by default risk

  • realised values compared with expected values (backtesting)

  • data quality

  • model application.

The backtest of the retail client rating model for the period from 1 January 2018 to 31 December 2018 shows the following:

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Number of real- Number of esti-
Rating Number ised defaults mated defaults
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1 56,205 8 17
2 21,533 20 9
3 12,792 41 19
4 5,313 43 22
5 4,718 49 58
6 2,955 39 57
7 1,203 36 50
8 914 30 67
9 6,641 322 1,110
Total 112,274 588 1,409

The total number of retail client defaults is 58% (2017: 58%) below the estimated number. The primary reason is found in rating category 9 where the Group’s PD estimates were very prudent during the period compared to the realised default rates.

It is expected that the estimates are prudent. The current degree of prudence is considered to be sufficient.

Apart from rating category 9 the backtest is believed to reflect a satisfactory correlation between the number of estimated and realised defaults in each rating category. However it can be noted that during the period the number of realised defaults in rating categories 2, 3 and 4 exceeds the number expected by the model. Such differences may occur from time to time. The Group is working on a re-estimation of the rating model to further reduce deviations.

The backtest of the corporate client rating model for the same period shows the following:

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Number of real- Number of esti-
Rating Number ised defaults mated defaults
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1 385 0 0
2 2,574 1 1
3 2,640 7 3
4 1,665 10 7
5 1,410 11 13
6 634 11 12
7 153 1 6
8 92 6 6
9 1,009 132 132
Total 10,562 179 180

The number of corporate client defaults is in line with expectations. In 2017 the number of defaults was 24% lower than expected.

During the period the number of realised defaults in rating categories 3 and 4 is higher than expected The Group is of the opinion that these variations are periodic.

The table below shows the average PD for solvency purposes used to calculate the Group’s risk exposure amount at the end of the year as well as the realised annual default rates for 2013 to 2018.

%
Corporate
Retail
Year
PD
solvency
31 Dec
Realised
default
rate
PD
solvency
31 Dec
Realised
default
rate
2018
1.78
1.79
2017
1.71
1.58
2016
2.01
1.83
2015
2.35
1.78
2014
2.79
2.04
2013
3.02
1.94
1.10
0.53
1.18
0.50
1.12
0.47
1.16
0.55
1.03
0.55
1.07
0.50

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

8

The PD estimate for solvency purposes as regards corporate clients rose considerably in 2013 due to the implementation of the Group’s new rating model and a greater degree of prudence in relation to the applied PD estimates for solvency purposes.

As regards retail clients the realised default rates as well as the PD estimate for solvency purposes were stable during the period.

Consequently the Group anticipates that under normal economic conditions the PD estimates for solvency purposes are prudent compared to the realised default rates.

The following 2 figures show PD for solvency purposes and the realised default rate since 2008. As can be seen, PD for solvency purposes is typically higher than the realised default rate. In 2009 the realised default rate as regards corporate clients was higher than estimated and in 2018 the realised and estimated rates were at the same level.

Probability of default – corporate clients

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%
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
PD solvency purposes Realised default rate
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Probability of default – retail clients

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%
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
PD solvency purposes Realised default rate
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C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K

9

Rating

Loss given default (LGD)

LGD is defined as the proportion of a given exposure that is expected to be lost if the client defaults within the next 12 months.

The size of LGD will vary depending on the category of the borrower as well as the realisable value of any collateral or other type of hedging.

As regards retail clients the Group uses its own estimates of the realisable value of collateral and of the loss on the unsecured part of the exposure.

The realisable value reflects the market value of collateral net of:

  • the expected state of assets provided that the exposure is non-performing

  • the expected decline in asset values during a recession

  • the transferability of the collateral

Therefore it is anticipated that in time the estimated LGD and the realised values of loss will show a good correlation.

Conversion factor (CF)

As regards exposures with undrawn credit commitments, a conversion factor is estimated indicating the expected utilisation of an undrawn credit commitment at the time of default. EAD is then calculated as the amount already drawn plus expected additional drawings until default.

The Group uses its own conversion factor estimates for retail clients whereas the conversion factor for corporate clients is determined in accordance with the Danish FSA’s rules on the foundation IRB approach.

The table below shows the average estimated and realised conversion factors for undrawn credit commitments of retail clients in default from 2014 to 2018.

  • model uncertainty.

As regards corporate clients the Group applies supervisory parameters of its collateral as well as of the loss on the unsecured part of the exposure in accordance with the foundation IRB approach. This approach sets a number of limitations as to eligible forms of collateral.

As a consequence of these limitations, the Group cannot deduct a number of assets held as collateral when determining the Pillar 1 capital requirement.

The table below shows the average estimated and realised LGD of retail clients in default from 2014 to 2018.

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Conversion factor – retail clients %
Year Estimated Realised
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2018 99 26
2017 100 21
2016 99 7
2015 99 26
2014 98 0

As can be seen from the table, the Group’s CF estimates as regards retail clients were around 100% throughout the period, corresponding to full recognition of undrawn credit commitments. The realised conversion factors were significantly below this level.

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Loss given default – retail clients %
Year Estimated Realised
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2018 69 67
2017 69 61
2016 70 60
2015 70 71
2014 69 73

Comparing estimated and realised LGD rates is difficult as the estimated values reflect the percentage of the loss of the original exposure when the loss has been finally determined and repayments on the exposure can no longer occur. As regards virtually all exposures in default, this period lasts several years and quite often substantial payments are recorded several years after the exposure was in default.

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

10

Risk exposure amount (REA)

REA is a function of PD, LGD and EAD. REA appears from “Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables”. The figures below show the correlation between the unweighted exposure and REA of corporate clients and retail clients respectively.

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REA and unweighted exposure – corporate clients
DKKm
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
2015 2016 2017 2018
Unweighted exposure REA
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entire loan to a guarantee model according to which the Bank provides a guarantee for the part of the loan in the LTV range of 60-80%. The Group no longer has a credit risk as regards the part of the loan in the LTV range of 0-60%. As a consequence of the amendment of the agreement, funded mortgage-like loans are only recognised at the guarantee amount for the LTV range of 60-80% of the unweighted exposure.

The positive development in the composition of the Group’s exposures to corporate clients by way of growth in exposures to the Group’s best clients (rating categories 1-4) as well as the improvement in the ratings of some of the Group’s other corporate clients is reflected in the development in the risk weight as regards corporate clients.

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REA and unweighted exposure – retail clients
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DKKm
36,000 12,000
31,500
27,000 9,000
22,500
18,000 6,000
2015 2016 2017 2018
Unweighted exposure REA (right axis)
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The decline in 2017 in unweighted exposure in relation to retail clients is due to the change in the Group’s agreement with Totalkredit on joint funding of mortgage-like loans effective 1 January 2017. The agreement was changed from an offsetting model according to which the Bank covers losses as regards the

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 11

Industry breakdown

The Group’s credit exposure to corporate clients takes into account individual industry prospects. Due to special risk assessments, the Group may deliberately underweight its exposure to a few industries. The table below shows the exposure by way of loans and advances and guarantees to 10 primary industries as well as to retail clients and

public authorities. After impairment charges, total loans and advances represent DKK 60,983m.

In addition the table shows loans and advances by stage according to IFRS 9 and the related accumulated impairment charges as well as impairment charges for loans and advances etc for the year by industry etc.

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2018
DKKm Loans/ Loans/
advances advances Loans/ Loans/ Loans/
before impair- after impair- advances advances advances
ment charges ment charges Guarantees stage 1 stage 2 stage 3
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Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fisheries 3,971 3,301 745 2,413 1,018 540
Manufacturing and extraction of raw materials 8,731 8,469 908 7,699 741 291
Energy supply etc 2,181 2,168 659 2,111 45 25
Building and construction 2,969 2,857 824 2,675 164 130
Trade 12,331 11,855 704 10,954 673 704
Transportation, hotels and restaurants 3,259 3,185 225 2,815 393 51
Information and communication 330 324 10 305 15 10
Finance and insurance 5,341 5,228 535 4,888 216 237
Real property 4,715 4,428 419 3,866 400 449
Other industries 3,266 3,134 203 2,840 243 183
Total corporate 47,094 44,949 5,232 40,566 3,908 2,620
Public authorities 344 342 8 344 - -
Retail 16,253 15,692 8,641 14,499 1,424 330
Total 63,691 60,983 13,881 55,409 5,332 2,950
Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fisheries
Pig farming 1,021 776 172 642 226 153
Cattle farming 928 750 233 521 278 129
Crop production 950 844 209 560 321 69
Other agriculture 1,072 931 131 690 193 189
Total 3,971 3,301 745 2,413 1,018 540
Manufacturing and extraction of raw materials
Iron and metal 1,785 1,689 82 1,411 313 61
Food, beverage and tobacco 2,093 2,077 119 2,030 53 10
Clothing 1,334 1,306 219 1,268 26 40
Other manufacturingand extraction of raw materials 3,519 3,397 488 2,990 349 180
Total 8,731 8,469 908 7,699 741 291
Trade
Wholesale 8,834 8,449 403 7,807 430 597
Retail 2,097 2,031 229 1,888 128 81
Car dealers andgarages 1,400 1,375 72 1,259 115 26
Total 12,331 11,855 704 10,954 673 704
Finance and insurance
Holding companies 1,754 1,678 126 1,603 73 78
Financingcompanies 3,587 3,550 409 3,285 143 159
Total 5,341 5,228 535 4,888 216 237
Real property
Leasing of commercial property 2,200 2,050 242 1,765 211 224
Leasing of residential property 861 812 61 716 62 83
Housing associations and cooperative housing
associations 938 937 7 938 0 0
Purchase, development and sale on own account 562 498 105 373 74 115
Other related to realproperty 154 131 4 74 53 27
Total 4,715 4,428 419 3,866 400 449

12 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

As shown below, the accumulated impairment ratio as regards loans and advances constitutes 4.3% and credit impaired loans and advances in stage 3 represent 4.6% of the total volume of lending. The table shows that 13.6% of loans and advances to agriculture are regarded as credit impaired and that the impairment charges constitute 59.3%. The impairment ratio for agriculture totals 16.9%. The Group’s risk on

the exposure to agriculture is described in a separate paragraph. Compared with the figures for 2017, the accumulated impairment ratio as regards loans and advances has gone up from 4.0% to 4.3%. The increase is predominantly attributable to changed impairment rules as a consequence of the transition to IFRS 9.

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Impairment
Impairment Impairment Impairment Impairment Loans/advances charges in
charges for charges for charges for charges for in stage 3 stage 3 as % of Impairment
loans/advances loans/advances loans/advances loans/advances Losses reported as % of loans/advances charges as % of
- stage 1 - stage 2 - stage 3 etc for the year for the year loans/advances in stage 3 loans/advances
----- End of picture text -----

10 340 320 177 134 13.6 59.3 16.9
14 111 137 22 37 3.3 47.1 3.0
3 2 8 (14) 2 1.1 32.0 0.6
5 31 76 (11) 11 4.4 58.5 3.8
23 95 358 30 85 5.7 50.9 3.9
5 38 31 (70) 19 1.6 60.8 2.3
1 1 4 (5) 2 3.0 40.0 1.8
16 9 88 (21) 24 4.4 37.1 2.1
4 55 228 (87) 28 9.5 50.8 6.1
3 31 98 (22) 22 5.6 53.6 4.0
84 713 1,348 (1) 364 5.6 51.5 4.6
2 - - - - - - 0.6
8 317 236 (121) 88 2.0 71.5 3.5
94 1,030 1,584 (122) 452 4.6 53.7 4.3
2 135 108 109 58 15.0 70.6 24.0
4 96 78 4 55 13.9 60.5 19.2
2 78 26 33 6 7.3 37.7 11.3
2 31 108 31 15 17.6 57.1 13.2
10 340 320 177 134 13.6 59.3 16.9
2 67 27 22 16 3.4 44.3 5.4
3 6 7 (19) 3 0.5 70.0 0.8
2 2 24 21 0 3.0 60.0 2.1
7 36 79 (2) 18 5.1 43.9 3.5
14 111 137 22 37 3.3 47.1 3.0
16 69 307 108 67 6.8 51.4 4.4
4 19 43 (3) 8 3.9 53.1 3.1
3 14 8 (75) 10 1.9 30.8 1.8
23 95 358 30 85 5.7 50.9 3.9
3 4 69 (31) 16 4.4 88.5 4.3
13 5 19 10 8 4.4 11.9 1.0
16 9 88 (21) 24 4.4 37.1 2.1
2 31 117 (19) 1 10.2 52.2 6.8
1 12 36 (22) 1 9.6 43.4 5.7
1 0 0 (1) 0 0.0 - 0.1
1 7 56 8 2 20.5 48.7 11.4
(1) 5 19 (53) 24 17.5 70.4 14.9
4 55 228 (87) 28 9.5 50.8 6.1

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 13

Industry breakdown

The table below shows the Group’s loans and advances to industries by rating category. 76.7% (2017: 76.2%) of rated loans and advances after impairment charges are rated in categories 1-4 whereas the percentage for agriculture is 35.5 (2017: 32.2).

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Loans and advances by rating category
DKKm 2018
Industry 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total
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Agriculture, hunting, forestry and
fisheries 144 1,026 1,236 1,085 472 8 3,971
Manufacturing and extraction of
raw materials 3,278 3,481 1,108 781 79 4 8,731
Energy supply etc 1,432 507 182 25 23 12 2,181
Building and construction 644 1,374 680 186 80 5 2,969
Trade 1,967 6,951 2,258 595 558 2 12,331
Transportation, hotels and
restaurants 672 1,671 582 277 31 26 3,259
Information and communication 170 110 24 22 3 1 330
Finance and insurance 2,133 2,336 398 126 213 135 5,341
Real property 1,407 2,104 411 463 330 - 4,715
Other industries 577 1,842 429 384 25 9 3,266
Public authorities 4 14 - 7 - 319 344
Retail 9,797 3,183 956 1,151 206 960 16,253
Total 22,225 24,599 8,264 5,102 2,020 1,481 63,691
Impairment of loans and advances 24 40 64 1,434 1,112 34 2,708
Total loans and advances 22,201 24,559 8,200 3,668 908 1,447 60,983
% 36.4 40.3 13.4 6.0 1.5 2.4 100.0

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

14

Focus on agriculture

Agriculture – loans and advances by rating category

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DKKm 2018
Sub-industry 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total
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Pig farming 9 256 406 199 149 2 1,021
Cattle farming - 88 369 363 108 - 928
Crop production 26 258 307 300 58 1 950
Other agriculture 109 424 154 223 157 5 1,072
Total 144 1,026 1,236 1,085 472 8 3,971
Impairment of loans and advances 0 1 9 361 298 1 670
Total loans and advances 144 1,025 1,227 724 174 7 3,301
% 4.4 31.1 37.2 21.9 5.2 0.2 100.0

Agriculture is divided into the following sub-industries:

  • Pig farming

  • Cattle farming (beef cattle and dairy cattle)

  • Crop production

  • Other agriculture (primarily forestry, mink farming and leisure farmers).

Outlook for agriculture

The share of loans and advances in the weakest rating categories (7-9 and default) represents 39.2% (2017: 39.2%) before impairment charges. After impairment charges this share constitutes 27.1% (2017: 31.5%). The decline is attributable to further impairment charges as regards agricultural exposures in 2018 primarily as a result of the dry summer and developments in pork prices.

As shown in the table on pp 12-13, 15.0% of loans and advances to pig farming, 13.9% of loans and advances to cattle farming and 13.6% of total loans and advances to agriculture are credit impaired and classified as stage 3.

At year-end 2018 an impairment charge totalling DKK 670m (2017: DKK 483m) was recorded, equivalent to 16.9% (2017: 11.1%) of loans and advances.

DKK 320m of the impairment charges for loans and advances of DKK 670m concern credit impaired exposures. Impairment charges include management estimates of DKK 100m.

The agricultural sector continues to be in a challenging situation following the repercussions of significant crop losses as a result of the protracted drought in the summer of 2018. Pork prices are low and mink pelts are traded at prices below the cost of production.

Following a satisfactory 2017 in which the level of earnings in agriculture was high and represented approx DKK 5bn after owners’ wages, a significant loss for 2018 of around DKK 6-7bn was forecast by SEGES in October 2018.

At present earnings in the agricultural industry vary greatly in the different branches of farming.

Currently milk producers can obtain a price of DKK 2.60 per kg milk, which is sufficient for most farms to generate a profit as the breakeven point is typically around DKK 2.35-2.50 per kg. The average settlement price was approx DKK 2.63 per kg in 2018. The settlement price for 2019 is forecast to be DKK 2.56 per kg.

2018 was a difficult year for pork producers with average settlement prices of around DKK 8.67 per kg, which for a great number of producers is not sufficient to balance their finances. The break-even point for the most efficient pork producers is around DKK 9.00 per kg.

SEGES’ forecast for the settlement price of pork was significantly raised most recently in December 2018 to currently DKK 9.88 per kg on average for 2019. The current listing is DKK 8.30 per kg.

The upward revision compared with the previous forecast from October 2018 constitutes DKK 0.94 per kg, which is decisive for the financial survival of many producers.

The reason for the revision is that China has been hit by African swine fever and therefore needs increased imports. Moreover it would seem that pork production in the EU will decline in 2019. The growing demand and falling supply are projected to have a substantial impact on settlement prices for pork producers. However the developments in settlement prices are subject to significant uncertainty.

If the forecast holds true pork producers will have highly satisfactory earnings in 2019.

Given the current listing of DKK 8.30 per kg earnings are presently very unsatisfactory and loss-making.

Subject to “normal” growth conditions crop producers are expected to break even in 2019.

Mink producers have been hit by a grave earnings crisis. 3 consecutive years of very low pelt prices and production losses and no prospects of mink pelt prices increasing in 2019. In connection with pelting in November/December 2018 many mink producers decided to stop production – or reduce it considerably.

The end result of the poor harvest in 2018 – for milk producers, pork producers and crop producers – will not become clear until the financial statements are prepared in the coming months.

To cover impairment charges for not yet calculated crop losses and especially uncertainty surrounding the development in pork prices, a management estimate of DKK 100m has been provided as at 31 December 2018.

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 15

Focus on retail clients

At 31 December 2018 loans and advances to retail clients represent DKK 16,253m (2017: DKK 18,719m) – a decline of DKK 2,466m.

Other loans and advances than mortgage-like loans to retail clients constitute DKK 11,606m at 31 December 2018 (2017: DKK 12,452m) – a decline of 7% in 12 months.

At 31 December 2018 mortgage-like loans make up 29% (2017: 34%) of total loans and advances to retail clients.

The significant decrease in mortgage-like loans in 2017 is attributable to the amended funding agreement.

As of 1 January 2017 the funding agreement was changed from an offsetting model according to which the Bank covered losses as regards the entire loan to a guarantee model according to which the Bank provides a guarantee for the part of the loan in the LTV range of 60-80%. As a consequence of the amendment of the agreement, funded mortgage-like loans are not recognised in the Group’s balance sheet.

Total credit intermediation to retail clients by product type

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DKKm
Product type 2018 2017 2016
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Mortgage-like loans 4,647 6,267 16,834
Housing loans, bridging loans
and construction credit facilities 4,908 5,407 6,014
Car loans 2,051 1,946 1,973
Foreign currency loans and other
investment credit facilities 410 526 694
Other loans and advances 4,237 4,573 5,231
Total loans and advances 16,253 18,719 30,746
Funded loans and advances
– off-balance sheet 9,862 9,974 -
Arranged mortgage loans
– Totalkredit 59,694 58,088 58,278
Total credit intermediation 85,809 86,781 89,024

Total loans and advances to retail clients – by product type

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2018 2017 2016
17%
26% 29% 24%
34% 2%
6%
3%
3% 55%
10%
13% 20%
30%
29%
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Mortgage-like loans Housing loans, bridging loans and construction credit facilities Car loans Foreign currency loans and other investment credit facilities Other loans and advances

16 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

The tables below show that a substantial part of the decline in loans and advances to retail clients was in rating categories with low risk. At 31 December 2018 loans and advances before impairment charges to clients in the 4 best rating categories represent DKK 12,980m (2017: DKK 15,087m) – a decline of DKK 2,107m, primarily attributable to a decrease in mortgage-like loans and housing loans.

Outlook for retail clients

Low unemployment combined with a rise in property prices and extremely low interest rates contribute to a low credit risk as regards retail clients.

Based on these fundamental factors low impairment charges as regards retail clients are expected in the year ahead.

At 31 December 2018 the share of loans and advances to clients in the 4 best rating categories constitutes 82.6% (2017: 83.7%). The decline in this share is attributable to a decrease in mortgage-like loans primarily granted to clients in rating categories 1-4 as well as an increase in car loans that are not rated (NR).

Net impairment charges as regards retail clients in 2018 totalled an income of DKK 121m (2017: income of DKK 95m).

Loans and advances to retail clients – by product type and rating category

DKKm 2018
Product type 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total %
Mortgage-like loans 3,624 689 174 152 8 - 4,647 28.6
Housing loans, bridging loans and
construction credit facilities 3,031 1,089 269 482 31 6 4,908 30.2
Car loans 803 204 48 39 3 954 2,051 12.6
Foreign currency loans and other
investment credit facilities 230 97 47 34 2 - 410 2.5
Other loans and advances 2,109 1,104 418 444 162 - 4,237 26.1
Total 9,797 3,183 956 1,151 206 960 16,253 100.0
Impairment of loans and advances 1 9 13 356 164 18 561
Loans and advances after impairment
charges 9,796 3,174 943 795 42 942 15,692
% 62.4 20.2 6.0 5.1 0.3 6.0 100.0
DKKm
Product type
1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total 2017
%
Mortgage-like loans 4,750 1,034 261 215 7 - 6,267 33.5
Housing loans, bridging loans and
construction credit facilities 3,199 1,228 283 662 29 6 5,407 28.9
Car loans 832 233 54 54 2 771 1,946 10.4
Foreign currency loans and other
investment credit facilities 221 219 38 44 3 1 526 2.8
Other loans and advances 2,088 1,283 405 628 169 - 4,573 24.4
Total 11,090 3,997 1,041 1,603 210 778 18,719 100.0
Impairment of loans and advances incl
collective impairment charges - - - 539 132 12 683
Loans and advances after impairment
charges 11,090 3,997 1,041 1,064 78 766 18,036
% 61.5 22.2 5.8 5.9 0.4 4.2 100.0

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 17

Concentration

Under the EU’s Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR), exposures to a client or a group of connected clients, after the deduction of particularly secure claims, may not exceed 25% of total capital. The compliance with these rules is reported to the Danish FSA on a quarterly basis.

The table below shows the exposures which after the deduction of particularly secure claims constitute 10% or more of total capital.

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DKKm 2018 2017
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Exposure > 20% of
total capital - -
Exposure 10-20% of
total capital - -
Total - -
% of total capital - -

Consequently one CRR group may consist of several BIS groups but one BIS group cannot form part of several CRR groups.

Credit policy

In accordance with its credit policy, the Group does not wish to be dependent on or have exposures to large single clients. This implies among other factors that the following must be observed as the exposures are always calculated according to the principles for BIS groups:

  • The 10 largest exposures may as a rule not exceed 10% of the Group’s total credit portfolio (however excluding exposures to credit institutions, investment funds and public enterprises).

  • After deduction of the loan value of any collateral, the 10 largest exposures may not exceed 5% of the total credit portfolio (however excluding exposures to credit institutions, investment funds and public enterprises).

  • The 20 largest exposures may not exceed 125% of the Group’s total capital.

At year-end 2018 and year-end 2017 no exposure after the deduction of particularly secure claims constitutes 10% or more of total capital.

According to CRR the 20 largest exposures may not exceed 150% of the Group's Common Equity Tier 1 capital. The limit is thus fixed under the Supervisory Diamond’s threshold of 175% (applicable from 1 January 2018) of Common Equity Tier 1 capital.

At year-end 2018 the 20 largest exposures – according to CRR – represent 147% (2017: 132%) of Common Equity Tier 1 capital.

In addition to calculating exposures according to CRR, Sydbank uses an internal exposure concept – BIS group – that consolidates clients that are interdependent as a result of any knock-on effect.

At year-end 2018 the 10 largest exposures represent 5.1% (2017: 5.1%) of the Group’s total credit portfolio.

After deduction of the loan value of any collateral, the 10 largest BIS exposures constitute 4.6% (2017: 4.6%) of the total credit portfolio.

At year-end 2018 the 20 largest BIS exposures represent 91% (2017: 86%) of the Group’s total capital.

No exposure (however excluding exposures to credit institutions, investment funds and public enterprises) represents more than 10% of the Group’s Tier 1 capital.

Loans and advances to corporate clients by amount/rating

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DKKm 2018
Amount 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total %
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0-1 328 691 309 241 46 - 1,615 3.4
1-5 1,101 3,041 1,555 838 298 - 6,833 14.4
5-10 716 2,123 1,146 606 378 - 4,969 10.5
10-20 1,028 2,694 1,335 637 294 - 5,988 12.6
20-50 1,986 3,416 1,354 955 327 - 8,038 17.0
50-100 2,219 3,076 1,055 411 118 - 6,879 14.5
100-200 2,525 3,251 554 263 - - 6,593 13.9
200-500 1,840 3,124 - - 353 - 5,317 11.2
500- 685 - - - - - 685 1.4
NR/STD - - - - - 521 521 1.1
Total 12,428 21,416 7,308 3,951 1,814 521 47,438 100.0
% 26.2 45.1 15.4 8.3 3.8 1.2 100.0

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

18

The table below shows loans and advances to the Group’s 100 largest BIS groups by industry and rating category. Since a BIS group often comprises several industries, the loans and advances to some industries in some rating categories may be modest.

The 100 largest BIS groups represent a total of 29.0% (2017: 27.9%) of the Group’s total loans and advances. 83.9% (2017: 83.5%) of these loans and advances are rated in categories 1-4. Moreover loans and advances to agriculture as regards these 100 largest clients represent 2.3% (2017: 2.6%).

Loans and advances to 100 largest BIS groups by industry/rating category

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DKKm 2018
Industry/rating category 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-9 Default NR/STD Total %
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Agriculture, hunting, forestry and
fisheries - 179 - 198 49 - 426 2.3
Manufacturing and extraction of
raw materials 1,884 1,084 168 208 - - 3,344 18.1
Energy supply etc 1,040 15 - - - - 1,055 5.7
Building and construction 269 336 245 5 - - 855 4.6
Trade 1,007 3,545 742 100 354 - 5,748 31.1
Transportation, hotels and
restaurants 227 481 128 - - - 836 4.5
Information and communication 51 - - - - - 51 0.3
Finance and insurance 1,343 1,202 95 - 67 126 2,833 15.3
Real property* 740 930 - 8 - - 1,678 9.1
Other industries 272 778 95 104 - - 1,249 6.8
Public authorities - - - - - 281 281 1.5
Retail 97 31 - 3 - - 131 0.7
Total 6,930 8,581 1,473 626 470 407 18,487 100.0
% 37.5 46.4 8.0 3.4 2.5 2.2 100.0
  • DKK 472m of the real property loans and advances of DKK 1,678m derives from bridging loans to non-profit housing associations which will be replaced by mortgage loans when construction has been completed.

The table below shows the size of the Group’s corporate clients according to the client’s net turnover/assets (assets if the client’s net turnover is not available).

Corporate clients by size of enterprise/rating category, excluding default

% 2018
Rating category
Net turnover/assets (DKKm)
0-25
1-2
19
3-4
42
5-6
23
7-9
16
Total
100
Loans/advances and
guarantees
20
25-50 19 44 24 13 100 7
50-100 22 45 22 11 100 10
100-200 24 58 10 8 100 11
200-400 37 41 15 7 100 11
400- 36 49 11 4 100 36
NA 15 54 20 11 100 5
Total 28 47 16 9 100 100

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K

19

Collateral

The Group aims to mitigate the risk on individual exposures by way of charges on assets, netting agreements and guarantees.

The most frequent types of charges include mortgages and charges on financial assets (shares, bonds and units).

The Group assesses on an ongoing basis the value of collateral provided. The value is determined as the expected net proceeds on realisation.

The 2 tables below illustrate the breakdown of collateral by type and rating category respectively.

The Group receives different kinds of guarantees for exposures. Many of these are provided by companies or individuals who have a group relationship with the debtor.

Collateral received and types of collateral

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DKKm 2018 2017
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Loans and advances at fair value 6,510 5,248
Loans and advances at amortised cost 60,983 64,312
Guarantees 13,881 13,562
Credit exposure for accounting purposes 81,374 83,122
Collateral value 45,342 44,161
Total unsecured 36,032 38,961
Types of collateral
Real property 10,065 12,187
Financial collateral 12,536 10,803
Leased assets, mortgages etc 6,519 5,428
Floating charges, operating equipment etc 6,546 6,227
Guarantees 1,245 1,188
Other items of collateral 229 262
Total collateral used 37,140 36,095
Particularlysecured transactions (mortgageguarantees) 8,202 8,066
Total 45,342 44,161

In the event that the Group uses collateral that is not immediately convertible into liquid holdings, it is the Group’s policy to dispose of such assets as quickly as possible. In 2018 repossessed equipment as well as real property taken over in connection with non-performing exposures amounted to DKK 12m (2017: DKK 13m). Leased assets are assessed and depreciated on an ongoing basis. As a result the calculated collateral as regards the Group’s leasing activities will decline during periods of lower leased asset prices.

Mortgages on real property have fallen by DKK 2,122m from DKK 12,187m in 2017 to DKK 10,065m in 2018. The decrease is primarily attributable to the decline in mortgage-like loans to retail clients.

Financial collateral has increased by DKK 1,733m from DKK 10,803m in 2017 to DKK 12,536m in 2018, which is primarily attributable to the rise in loans and advances at fair value which have gone up by DKK 1,262m. Loans and advances at fair value are repo loans and advances with financial collateral.

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

20

The table below shows the size of loans and advances, guarantees as well as collateral according to rating category. The value of collateral is assessed relative to loans and advances and guaran-

tees. Excess collateral is not included in the calculation of collateral. 55.7% (2017: 53.1%) of the Group’s loans and advances and guarantees after impairment charges is covered via collateral.

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Collateral by rating category
DKKm 2018
Collateral
Rating category Loans/advances Guarantees value Unsecured
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1 6,410 4,131 8,223 2,318
2 18,520 3,464 12,412 9,572
3 18,042 2,624 11,327 9,339
4 10,362 1,097 5,221 6,238
5 5,363 842 2,851 3,354
6 2,901 364 1,591 1,674
7 788 124 357 555
8 564 76 234 406
9 3,750 486 1,988 2,248
Default 2,020 148 634 1,534
NR/STD 1,481 525 504 1,502
Total 70,201 13,881 45,342 38,740
Impairment of loans and advances 2,708 2,708
Total 67,493 13,881 45,342 36,032

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 21

Impairment charges

As a result of IFRS 9, which became effective on 1 January 2018, impairment charges are made for expected credit losses as regards all financial assets measured at amortised cost and similar provisions are made for expected credit losses as regards undrawn credit commitments and financial guarantees.

Impairment charges include a management estimate of DKK 100m (2017: DKK 75m) concerning agricultural exposures.

Impairment calculation is effected quarterly in a process managed by the centralised credit organisation.

Impairment charges for expected credit losses depend on whether the credit risk of a financial asset has increased significantly since initial recognition and follow a 3-stage model:

  • Stage 1 – facilities with no significant increase in credit risk. The asset is written down by an amount equal to the expected credit loss as a result of the probability of default over the coming 12 months

  • Stage 2 – facilities with a significant increase in credit risk. The asset is transferred to stage 2 and is written down by an amount equal to the expected credit loss over the life of the asset

  • Stage 3 – facilities where the financial asset is in default or is otherwise credit impaired.

The Group’s loans and advances and impairment charges at 31 December 2018 allocated to these 3 stages are shown in the table below.

Loans and advances and impairment charges

DKKm Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Total
Loans and advances
before impairment
charges
Impairment charges
55,409
94
5,332
1,030
2,950
1,584
63,691
2,708
Loans and advances
after impairment
charges
55,315 4,302 1,366 60,983
% Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Total
Impairment charges
as % of bank loans
and advances 0.2 19.3 53.7 4.3
Share of bank loans
and advances before
impairment charges 87.0 8.4 4.6 100.0
Share of bank loans
and advances after
impairment charges 90.7 7.1 2.2 100.0

Impairment charges for bank loans and advances etc represent minus DKK 122m in 2018 compared with minus DKK 51m in 2017.

Reported losses in 2018 total DKK 452m compared with DKK 660m in 2017.

The figure below shows the development in impairment charges for bank loans and advances from 2014 to 2018 as well as reported losses.

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Impairment charges etc and reported losses
DKKm
1,500
1,000
500
0
(500)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Impairment charges Losses reported
for the year for the year
----- End of picture text -----

Credit impaired loans and advances are equal to loans and advances in stage 3. The table below shows that the unsecured part of credit impaired loans and advances represents DKK 362m, equivalent to 12% of total credit impaired loans and advances.

Credit impaired loans and advances

DKKm
Credit impaired
loans and advances
Impairment charges Carrying amount 2018
Value of collateral
Unsecured part of
carrying amount
Corporate
2,620
1,348 1,272 941
331
Retail
330
236 94 63
31
Total
2,950
1,584 1,366 1,004
362

S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

22

Financial counterparties

Trading in securities, currencies and derivatives as well as payment services etc involve exposure to financial counterparties in the form of delivery risk or credit risk.

Delivery risk is the risk that the Group does not receive payments or securities in connection with the settlement of securities or currency transactions equalling the securities or payments delivered by the Group.

Management grants delivery risk lines and credit risk lines to financial counterparties based on the risk profile of the individual counterparty which is assessed in terms of rating, earnings, capital position as well as the size of the financial counterparty. Risks and lines to financial counterparties are monitored continuously.

The Group participates in an international foreign exchange settlement system, CLS[®] , which aims to reduce delivery risk. In CLS[®] payment is made on the net position for each currency and only 1 amount for each currency is paid or received. In addition this net exposure is only to 1 counterparty, who is the Group’s partner in the system.

The Group seeks to mitigate credit risk to financial counterparties in many ways, eg by concluding netting agreements (ISDA agreements). Moreover the Group has entered into agreements (CSA agreements) with all significant counterparties to ensure credit risk mitigation of derivatives. Exposures are calculated on a daily basis after which the parties settle collateral. Consequently exposures are reset in all material respects on a daily basis. The agreements are managed by Securities & International Transactions.

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 23

24 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables

The Group’s credit exposure
DKKm
Exposure category
Corporate clients
Approach
STD
Gross
exposure
471
Credit
risk
mitigation
0
Effect of
conversion
factors
(158)
Exposure
(un -
weighted)
313
REA
312
2018
Average
exposure
for the year
518
IRB 95,643 (11,812) (33,375) 50,456 26,586 96,593
Retail clients STD 1,156 0 (2) 1,154 865 1,089
IRB 28,443 (5,402) (72) 22,969 7,371 28,868
Total corporate and retail clients 125,713 (17,214) (33,607) 74,892 35,134 127,068
Governments incl municipalities STD 12,292 0 (457) 11,835 10 10,907
Credit institutions STD 10,291 (5,484) (1,104) 3,703 888 11,843
Total 148,296 (22,698) (35,168) 90,430 36,032 149,818
Share IRB (%) 84 76 95 81 94 84
Share STD (%) 16 24 5 19 6 16
Corporate clients STD 613 0 (198) 415 413 2017
917
IRB 98,490 (12,030) (34,997) 51,463 28,131 98,604
Retail clients STD 985 (1) (3) 982 734 940
IRB 30,879 (5,966) (59) 24,854 8,271 33,407
Total corporate and retail clients 130,967 (17,997) (35,257) 77,714 37,549 133,868
Governments incl municipalities STD 9,377 0 (990) 8,387 11 8,906
Credit institutions STD 12,225 (7,611) (406) 4,208 1,372 11,941
Total 152,569 (25,608) (36,653) 90,309 38,932 154,715
Share IRB (%) 85 70 96 84 93 85
Share STD (%) 15 30 4 16 7 15

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 25

Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables

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Credit exposure by industry
DKKm 2018
Corporate Retail
Industry/exposure category clients clients Other Total %
----- End of picture text -----

Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fisheries 6,484 50 6,534 5.2
Manufacturing and extraction of raw materials 14,568 32 14,600 11.6
Energy supply etc 4,917 2 4,919 3.9
Building and construction 6,906 65 6,971 5.5
Trade 21,193 76 21,269 17.0
Transportation, hotels and restaurants 6,158 61 6,219 5.0
Information and communication 1,102 14 1,116 0.9
Finance and insurance 9,325 134 9,459 7.5
Repo/reverse 7,561 0 7,561 6.0
Real property 9,304 145 9,449 7.5
Other industries 5,241 156 5,397 4.3
Sector guarantees 280 0 280 0.2
Retail 3,075 28,864 31,939 25.4
Total corporate and retail clients 96,114 29,599 125,713 100.0
Governments incl municipalities 12,292 12,292
Credit institutions, repo/reverse 5,112 5,112
Credit institutions, other 5,142 5,142
Sector guarantees 37 37
Total 96,114 29,599 22,583 148,296

26 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

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----- Start of picture text -----

Credit exposure by industry
DKKm 2017
Corporate Retail
Industry/exposure category clients clients Other Total %
----- End of picture text -----

Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fisheries 6,977 69 7,046 5.4
Manufacturing and extraction of raw materials 15,172 32 15,204 11.6
Energy supply etc 4,526 3 4,529 3.5
Building and construction 7,350 74 7,424 5.7
Trade 21,584 86 21,670 16.5
Transportation, hotels and restaurants 6,722 64 6,786 5.2
Information and communication 1,011 15 1,026 0.8
Finance and insurance 9,106 207 9,313 7.1
Repo/reverse 7,633 72 7,705 5.9
Real property 9,544 153 9,697 7.4
Other industries 5,645 183 5,828 4.4
Sector guarantees 312 0 312 0.2
Retail 3,521 30,906 34,427 26.3
Total corporate and retail clients 99,103 31,864 130,967 100.0
Governments incl municipalities 9,377 9,377
Credit institutions, repo/reverse 7,427 7,427
Credit institutions, other 4,761 4,761
Sector guarantees 37 37
Total 99,103 31,864 21,602 152,569

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 27

Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables

Credit exposure to corporate clients by rating category (IRB)

DKKm 2018
Rating category
Gross
exposure
Exposure after
effect of
conversion factors
Exposure-weighted, average REA
PD (%) LGD (%) Risk weight (%)
1
3,024
1,406
2
30,466
17,287
3
28,771
18,433
4
14,907
10,443
5
7,510
5,447
6
3,723
2,994
7
1,046
818
8
721
578
9
3,409
2,948
Default
2,066
1,914
0.03
17.9
5.8
0.04
31.0
11.4
0.13
35.7
25.4
0.40
41.5
52.8
0.90
44.1
76.6
1.91
43.7
96.6
3.76
44.2
115.6
6.32
44.6
152.9
16.47
43.7
184.9
100.00
44.6
0.0
81
1,973
4,676
5,509
4,173
2,894
945
883
5,452
-
Total
95,643
62,268
26,586
2017
1
4,375
3,585
2
31,755
17,753
3
28,203
17,163
4
13,990
9,352
5
8,003
5,730
6
4,090
3,073
7
1,656
1,341
8
371
312
9
4,657
3,878
Default
1,390
1,306
0.03
10.9
3.5
0.04
30,6
11.1
0.12
39.4
27.3
0.40
43.6
55.8
0.91
44.0
78.0
1.89
43.0
91.4
3.73
44.7
123.6
6.28
44.3
124.8
13.06
44.1
175.6
100.00
44.1
0.0
127
1,970
4,682
5,216
4,471
2,807
1,658
390
6,810
-
Total
98,490
63,493
28,131

The table above shows the breakdown by rating category of the gross exposure of corporate clients after the deduction of the conversion factor as well as exposure-weighted LGD, PD and average risk weight. The average risk weight is determined according to

the Danish executive order on capital adequacy as a function of LGD and PD. REA is calculated as the exposure after the conversion factor multiplied by the risk weight.

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28

Credit exposure to retail clients by rating category (IRB)

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DKKm 2018
Exposure after Exposure-weighted, average
Gross effect of
Rating category exposure conversion factors PD (%) LGD (%) Risk weight (%) REA
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DKKm
Rating category
Gross
exposure
Exposure after
effect of
conversion factors
Exposure-weighted, average
PD (%) LGD (%) Risk weight (%)
2018
REA
1
13,705
13,667
2
7,077
7,067
3
3,486
3,470
4
1,236
1,232
5
851
850
6
489
488
7
82
82
8
82
80
9
1,233
1,233
Default
202
202
0.03
60.8
6.2
0.04
57.0
7.0
0.14
58.9
18.8
0.40
62.2
41.0
1.16
53.8
68.9
1.85
59.7
85.4
4.01
55.3
100.9
6.93
57.6
139.4
16.56
59.9
230.9
100.00
58.5
413.4
842
494
653
505
585
417
83
112
2,846
834
Total
28,443
28,371
-
-
-
7,371
2017
1
13,977
13,950
2
8,160
8,145
3
4,060
4,048
4
1,371
1,367
5
868
867
6
406
406
7
129
130
8
132
132
9
1,571
1,570
Default
205
205
0.03
60.1
6.1
0.04
55.0
6.8
0.14
57.7
18.5
0.39
59.2
38.0
1.20
58.3
75.1
1.85
60.7
88.8
3.84
56.9
97.2
7.15
63.0
160.2
15.98
58.8
233.5
100.00
60.4
285.9
850
553
748
519
651
360
126
212
3,666
586
Total
30,879
30,820
-
-
-
8,271

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 29

Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables

Credit exposure by client’s country of domicile Credit exposure by client’s country of domicile
DKKm
Corporate clients
Denmark
86,706
Germany
5,501
Sweden
216
Other
3,691
2018
Total
96,114
Retail clients 28,626 435 15 523 29,599
Total corporate and retail clients 115,332 5,936 231 4,214 125,713
Governments incl municipalities 9,531 2,679 0 82 12,292
Credit institutions 3,239 1,434 3,851 1,767 10,291
Total 128,102 10,049 4,082 6,063 148,296

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Denmark Germany Switzerland Other 2017
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Corporate clients 88,276 5,507 1,485 3,835 99,103
Retail clients 30,735 431 203 495 31,864
Total corporate and retail clients 119,011 5,938 1,688 4,330 130,967
Governments incl municipalities 9,295 4 0 78 9,377
Credit institutions 9,190 691 22 2,322 12,225
Total 137,496 6,633 1,710 6,730 152,569

30 S Y D B A N K / C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8

Credit exposure by exposure category and maturity

DKKm Non-allocated 3 months
or less
Over 3 months
not exceeding 1
year
Over 1 year not
exceeding 5
years
Over 5
years
2018
Total
Corporate clients - 55,500 26,782 8,853 4,979 96,114
Retail clients - 9,244 3,021 2,492 14,842 29,599
Total corporate and retail clients - 64,744 29,803 11,345 19,821 125,713
Governments incl municipalities 428 11,236 594 19 15 12,292
Credit institutions - 10,101 190 0 0 10,291
Total 428 86,081 30,587 11,364 19,836 148,296
2017
Corporate clients - 55,962 27,673 9,437 6,031 99,103
Retail clients - 9,664 3,368 3,449 15,383 31,864
Total corporate and retail clients - 65,626 31,041 12,886 21,414 130,967
Governments incl municipalities 439 7,978 918 26 16 9,377
Credit institutions - 12,087 138 0 0 12,225
Total 439 85,691 32,097 12,912 21,430 152,569

The table shows the maturity of the Group’s exposures broken down into different segments. According to the Group’s documents, the majority of corporate exposures can be terminated at very short notice and retail exposures can normally be terminated at a notice of 3 months.

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 31

Appendix 1 – Supplementary tables

Credit exposure by credit quality

DKKm
Neither past due nor credit impaired
93,208
Corporate
clients
29,211
Retail
clients
Other
22,583
2018
Total
145,002
Past due but not credit impaired 77 42 - 119
Credit impaired 2,829 346 - 3,175
Total 96,114 29,599 22,583 148,296

Credit impaired receivables represent receivables in stage 3. Past due amounts consist of loans and advances from a client’s first day of arrears where there is no objective evidence of credit impairment. A very limited share of past due amounts concerns high credit risk clients.

Past due amounts

DKKm
2018
Corporate
Retail
2017
Corporate
Retail
Total

clients
clients
Total

clients
clients
0-30 days
75
41
116
31-60 days
2
1
3
61-90 days
-
-
-
44
47
91
1
5
6
-
1
1
Total
77
42
119
45
53
98

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Impairment charges for loans and advances etc recognised in the income statement

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DKKm 2018 2017
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Impairment and provisions (181) (64)
Write-offs 165 148
Recovered from debt previously written off 106 135
Total (122) (51)

Credit impaired loans/advances and guarantees as well as impairment charges and provisions by client’s country of domicile

DKKm Credit impaired
loans/advances and
guarantees
Impairment charges
and provisions
2018
Credit impaired loans/
advances and guarantees
after impairment charges
Denmark 2,899 1,598 1,301
Germany 122 52 70
Other 154 46 108
Total 3,175 1,695 1,479

C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 33

Appendix 2 – Glossary

CEBS Committee of European Banking Supervisors.
CF Conversion Factor, ie the proportion of the undrawn credit commitment that the client is expected to
have drawn at default.
CLS® Continuous Linked Settlement. A settlement system operating on the principle of “payment on delivery”,
which minimises the settlement risk of currency transactions concluded between CLS®participants.
CSA Credit Support Annex. The part of an ISDA agreement that concerns collateral.
Default When a client is not expected to honour all of his payment obligations.
EAD Exposure At Default. EAD represents the expected size of an exposure, ie how much a client is expected
to owe at the time of default.
Gross exposure Loans and advances, undrawn credit commitments, interest receivable, repo/reverse transactions and
guarantees as well as counterparty risk on derivatives. The exposure is determined after impairment
charges and provisions.
IRB Internal Ratings Based approach to manage credit risk and calculate the capital requirement as regards
credit risk.
ISDA agreement Agreement where the mutual rights and obligations of 2 or more parties are netted. Credit risk is mitigated
by means of netting agreements.
LGD Loss Given Default. LGD represents the proportion of a given exposure that is expected to be lost if the
client defaults within the next 12 months.
Net exposure Gross exposure after inclusion of the conversion factor and after deduction of collateral.
PD Probability of Default. Probability that a client will default on his obligations within the next 12 months.
REA Risk exposure amount calculated in accordance with prevailing capital adequacy rules.
STD Standardised approach to calculate credit risk.
Unsecured portion Following a cautious assessment of collateral provided, the portion of an exposure for which collateral does
not exist.

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C r e d i t R i s k 2 0 1 8 / S Y D B A N K 35

Sydbank A/S Tel +45 74 37 37 37 Peberlyk 4 sydbank.com 6200 Aabenraa, Denmark [email protected] CVR No DK 12626509