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SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2014
Nov 10, 2014
65792_rns_2014-11-10_e2249b53-193a-4793-a95c-88c75ac01141.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Select Harvests Limited
Investor Presentation
12 November 2014






Disclaimer & Basis of Preparation

This presentation is provided for information purposes only and has been prepared using information provided by the company. The information contained in this presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Investors should consider their own individual investment and financial circumstances in relation to any investment decision.
Certain statements contained in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements or statements about future matters that are based upon information known and assumptions made as of the date of this presentation. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from any future results or performance expressed, predicted or implied by the statements contained in this presentation






FY14 Performance

Earnings Before Interest & Tax ("EBIT")
- Reported FY14 EBIT $41.8M* vs Reported FY13 EBIT $5.2M
- Underlying FY14 EBIT $41.8M* up 11% vs Underlying FY13 EBIT $37.7M
Net Profit after Tax ("NPAT")
- Reported FY14 NPAT $29.0M* vs Reported FY13 NPAT $2.9M
- Underlying FY14 NPAT $29.0M* up 27% vs Underlying FY13 NPAT $22.9M
Cash flow/Gearing/Funding
- FY14 Operating cash flow $23.1m (FY13 $4.1m) strong conversion
- $55M of working capital as at 30 June 2014 majority will be converted to cash by 31 December 2014
- Dual banking arrangement was agreed with NAB & Rabo including acquisition facility
Earnings Per Share ("EPS")
Reported FY14 EPS 50.2 cents per share ("cps") - up 25% vs Underlying FY13 EPS 40.1 cps
Dividends
- Final Dividend (unfranked) 9 cps last year Final Dividend 9 cps
- Full Year Dividends total 20 cents per share last year Full Year Dividends totalled 12 cps
* FY14 includes $6m pre-tax revaluation of almond trees
Increased profit and strong cash flow generation despite lower than anticipated crop volumes






FY14 Performance

OHS & Environment
- ─ OHS Another improved safety result with group Lost Time Injuries (LTI) down 72.7%, year on year
- ─ Zero major environment incidents
Acquisitions
─ Allinga & Mendook
Other Achievements
- ─ Consumer complaints down 20%
- ─ Processing damage at Carina West processing facility down 22%
- ─ Processing cost flat at Thomastown
Post Year End Events
- ─ Amaroo acquisition including Water acquisition 6,215 ML
- ─ Mullroo (Grewal) acquisition
- ─ Capital raising $47M placement, $19.7M Share Purchase Plan
- ─ Seven year high 41.7% Market Share Aug 2014 for Lucky Brand
- ─ Industrial sales continue to grow
Performance improvement extends beyond the financials






Almond Division – Performance, Activities & Outlook

Performance –
- Wet harvest significantly diminished yield & quality
- Price A$8.50/kg (FY13 A$6.38/kg) up 33% offsetting for reduced volume & quality
- Costs increased due to impact of wet harvest
- $6.0m revaluation of trees support by higher almond price
- FY14 Acquisitions Allinga & Mendook (680 planted acres & 2,600 unplanted acres)
- FY15 Acquisitions Amaroo & Mullroo (Grewal) 2,481 planted acres & 2,865 unplanted acres in FY15 to date.
Activities
- Commenced orchard replant program 512 acres. Largely offset by Orchard maturity profile of portfolio
- Due diligence, bedding down and integration of acquisitions
- Improving on farm productivity and execution
- Planning orchards (replants/greenfields)
- Growing and supporting 2015 crop
Outlook
- Strategy to double plantings by 2018 remains unchanged
- Almond pricing has increased on FY14 average price up 10-15%.
- Introducing additional measures to protect crop and product quality: additional harvest equipment, Dryer & Bio stimulants
SHV well positioned to take advantage of Supply & Demand fundamentals






Food Division – Performance, Activities & Outlook

Performance
- Industrial delivers another record result 24% up on FY13
- Revenue reduction driven by loss of major retailer private label almond contracts
- Branded business remains strong
- Improved sales mix has driven margin improvement
- Production cost per kg remained flat year-on-year in spite of private label volume loss
Activities
- Brand relaunches (reformulate, relaunch) Sunsol Mueslis, Lucky Smart Snax
- Absolute focus on margin management and return on investment
- Multiple Consumer products price increases
- Scoping new markets both local and export
Outlook
- Investment in research, product development, brand image/awareness is becoming evident
- Turnaround has commenced building block are now in place
Emergence of a Brand driven Food Business






Acquisitions – Geographic Diversity, Scale & Future.
Allinga – Loxton, SA (A$16.3M)
- 680 acres mature almond
- 1,000 acres suitable for planting to almonds (FY15)
- Gained SA water buyback/efficiently funding (Net $5m) to support new plantings
Amaroo – Paringa, SA (A$52.5M)
- 2,046 acres almond (1,288 acres mature, 758 acres immature)
- 1,500 acres suitable for planting to almond (plant FY16,17)*
- Other acquired assets 6,215 ML high security water entitlements, 764 acres citrus (leased out),
Mullroo (Grewal) – Lake Cullulleraine, VIC (A$8.5M)
- 435 acres almond (175 acres mature, 260 acres immature)
- 1,365 acres suitable for planting to almond (plant FY16, 17)*
Mendook – Euston, NSW (A$2.0M)
- 1,600 acres suitable for planting to almonds (plant FY16)*
- * Subject to business case

Geographically diversified portfolio of 13,311 acres of planted almond orchard





Orchard Profile – Young Orchards PLUS Longevity


Select Harvests almond orchards have an average age of 10.9 years. On track to double acreage by 2018.






Global Supply - US Drought


Red States = Extreme Drought Dark Brown States – Exceptional Drought
SHV AGM 2013 – 0% Exceptional Drought, 11% Extreme Drought, 84% Severe Drought
SHV AGM 2014 – 55% Exceptional Drought, 80% Extreme Drought, 94% Severe Drought
ENTIRE US ALMOND INDUSTRY IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT THIS YEAR





Global Supply -Crop Outlook

US Crop Update (2013/14) - harvested
- Market estimate of USA 2013/14 Almond crop now 1.7-1.8 billion pounds (Ref: Hilltop Ranch 2 Nov 2014)
- Down 300-400 million pounds on original NASS Objective Estimate of 2.1 billion pounds
SHV Crop Update (2014/15) - growing
- Good blossom & pollination
- Growing conditions have been good







Outlook – Business Focus
Almond Division
- Maximise 2015 crop
- Integrate acquisitions
- Prepare for 2015 & 2016 greenfield plantings & funding options
- Development of orchard benchmarking
- Secure further mature orchards
Food Division
- Continue innovation stream in industrial/packaged goods segments
- Raise the bar on quality and increase velocity of new product development
- Increase focus on SE Asia customer base

Significant opportunity to improve the base business







Thank you
Please direct any queries to:
Paul Thompson Paul Chambers Andrew Angus Managing Director Chief Financial Officer Investor Relations +61 3 9474 3544 +61 3 9474 3544 +61 402 823 757







Select Harvests - Financial History
| SHV Historical Summary | Units | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Sales | (A$M) | 217.9 | 229.5 | 224.7 | 248.6 | 238.4 | 248.3 | 251.3 | 191.1 | 188.3 |
| EBIT | (A$M) | 38.4 | 40.5 | 27.1 | 26.8 | 26.0 | 22.6 | 19.6 | 37.7 | 41.8 |
| EBIT Margin (EBIT/Sales -%) | (%) | 17.6% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 19.7% | 22.2% |
| PBT | (A$M) | 37.9 | 40.0 | 25.4 | 23.0 | 23.6 | 18.5 | 13.4 | 32.7 | 37.4 |
| Underlying NPAT | (A$M) | 26.5 | 28.1 | 18.1 | 16.7 | 17.3 | 17.7 | 9.5 | 22.9 | 29.0 |
| Issued Shares | No. of Shares | 39.7 | 38.7 | 39.0 | 39.5 | 39.8 | 56.2 | 56.8 | 57.5 | 58.0 |
| Earnings Per Share | (AUD Cents per Share) | 67.1 | 71.0 | 46.7 | 42.6 | 43.3 | 33.7 | 16.8 | 40.1 | 50.2 |
| Dividend per Share | (AUD Cents per Share) | 53.0 | 57.0 | 45.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 |
| Payout Ratio | (%) | 80.0% | 80.0% | 96.7% | 28.2% | 48.5% | 38.6% | 47.6% | 29.9% | 39.8% |
| Net Tangible Assets per Share | (A$/Share) | 1.83 | 1.57 | 1.41 | 1.56 | 1.87 | 2.17 | 2.19 | 2.14 | 2.47 |
| Net Interest Cover | (times) | 82.3 | 75.8 | 15.6 | 7.1 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| Net Debt | (A$M) | 1.3 | 1.6 | 46.8 | 52.4 | 45.0 | 73.1 | 66.8 | 79.3 | 94.8 |
| Shareholder Equity | (A$M) | 101.5 | 95.5 | 94.1 | 100.9 | 113.6 | 168.8 | 160.3 | 159.5 | 182.8 |
| Net Debt to Equity Ratio | (%) | 1.3% | 1.7% | 49.7% | 51.9% | 39.6% | 43.3% | 41.7% | 49.7% | 51.9% |
| Share Price | (A$/Share) | 13.02 | 11.60 | 6.00 | 2.16 | 3.46 | 1.84 | 2.40 | 3.9 | 5.14 |
| Market Capitalisation | (A$M) | 517.0 | 449.4 | 234.1 | 85.4 | 137.6 | 103.5 | 120.0 | 224.3 | 298.12 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.5 | 16.0 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 10.2 |
Source: Company Data





Why Select Harvests? - 2015 Orchard Profile

| Almond orchard | Planted Orchard | Planted Orchard | Bearing Orchard | Bearing Orchards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| portfolio | Area (acres) | Area (hectares) | Area (acres) | Area (hectares) |
| Northern Region | ||||
| Owned | 1,491 | 604 | 1,423 | 576 |
| Leased | 3,017 | 1,221 | 3,017 | 1,221 |
| Total | 4,508 | 1,825 | 4,440 | 1,798 |
| Central Region | ||||
| Owned | 4,165 | 1,686 | 3,554 | 1,439 |
| Leased | 1,481 | 600 | 1,481 | 600 |
| Total | 5,646 | 2,286 | 5,035 | 2,039 |
| Southern Region | ||||
| Owned | 3,156 | 1,278 | 2,467 | 999 |
| Leased | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 3,156 | 1,278 | 2,467 | 999 |
| Total All Regions | ||||
| Owned | 8,812 | 3,568 | 7,444 | 3,014 |
| Leased | 4,498 | 1,821 | 4,498 | 1,821 |
| Total | 13,311 | 5,389 | 11,943 | 4,835 |
| Land bank (unplanted) | Acres | Hectares | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Region | - | - | ||
| Central Region | 1,600 | 648 | ||
| Southern Region | 3,865 | 1,565 | ||
| Total all Regions | 5,465 | 2,213 |
Source: Company Data





Why Select Harvests? - 2015 Orchard Profile

| AREA BY TREE AGE | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years 0-7 | Years 8-26 | Years 26+ | TOTAL PLANTED | AVAILABLE TO PLANT | TOTAL | |||||||
| (acres) | (ha) | (acres) | (ha) | (acres) | (ha) | (acres) | (ha) | (acres) | (ha) | (acres) | (ha) | |
| Northern Region | ||||||||||||
| Company Owned | 312 | 126 | 1,179 | 477 | - | - | 1,491 | 604 | - | - | 1,491 | 604 |
| Leased | 1,332 | 539 | 1,685 | 682 | - | - | 3,017 | 1,221 | - | - | 3,017 | 1,221 |
| Total | 1,644 | 666 | 2,864 | 1,160 | - | - | 4,508 | 1,825 | - | - | 4,508 | 1,825 |
| CentralRegion | ||||||||||||
| Company Owned | 638 | 258 | 2,455 | 994 | 1,072 | 434 | 4,165 | 1,686 | 1,600 | 648 | 5,765 | 2,334 |
| Leased | - | - | 1,481 | 600 | - | - | 1,481 | 600 | - | - | 1,481 | 600 |
| Total | 638 | 258 | 3,936 | 1,594 | 1,072 | 434 | 5,646 | 2,286 | 1,600 | 648 | 7,246 | 2,934 |
| SouthernRegion | ||||||||||||
| Company Owned | 1,018 | 412 | 2,138 | 866 | - | - | 3,156 | 1,278 | 3,865 | 1,565 | 7,021 | 2,843 |
| Leased | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 1,018 | 412 | 2,138 | 866 | - | - | 3,156 | 1,278 | 3,865 | 1,565 | 7,021 | 2,843 |
| TOTAL | ||||||||||||
| Company Owned | 1,968 | 797 | 5,772 | 2,337 | 1,072 | 434 | 8,812 | 3,568 | 5,465 | 2,213 | 14,277 | 5,780 |
| Leased | 1,332 | 539 | 3,166 | 1,282 | - | - | 4,498 | 1,821 | - | - | 4,498 | 1,821 |
| Total | 3,300 | 1,336 | 8,938 | 3,619 | 1,072 | 434 | 13,311 | 5,389 | 5,465 | 2,213 | 18,776 | 7,601 |
Source: Company Data





Significant Orchard Growth. Double plantings by 2018


Growth - 5,465 acres of unplanted land suitable for almonds will be planted over the next 4 years





Global Supply – US Reservoirs/Temp/Snowpack


Temperature
- Six Months In and Sizzling California Sets Record - Andrea Thompson, Climate Central, 16 July 2014
- ─ California just finished the hottest first half year on record, a period going back 120 years, according to the national climate overview for June released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- ─ http://www.climatecentral.org/news/california-warmest-year-record-17774
Snowpack
- California drought: Sierra snowpack is barely there - Peter Fimrite, SFGate, San Francisco Chronicle , 2 May 2014
- ─ The snow levels in the Sierra were only 18 percent of average on Thursday, when the last of the season's once-a-month measurements was taken by the California Department of Water Resources. That's worse than last month, when the snowpack was 32 percent of normal for the date. Conditions get worse the farther north one goes in the Sierra and Cascade ranges. The snowpack is a paltry 7 percent of average in the northern part of the state, according to the measurements
- ─ http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/California-drought-Sierra-snowpackis-barely-5446649.php
Reservoir Conditions: Most storages have less than half of their historical average water levels
Temperature: Hottest 6 months on record drives evaporation/transpiration
Snowpack: Historically low snowpack which provide the surface water / ground water recharge is concerning






Global Supply - US Groundwater Levels


This trio of images depicts satellite observations of declining water storage in California as seen by NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellites in June 2002 (left), June 2008 (center) and June 2014 (right). Colors progressing from green to orange to red represent greater accumulated water loss between April 2002 and June 2014. California's Sacramento and San Joaquin River basins, including the Central Valley, have suffered the greatest losses, in part due to increased groundwater pumping to support agricultural production. Between 2011 and 2014, the combined river basins have lost 4 trillion gallons (15 cubic kilometers, or 12 million acre-feet) of water each year, an amount far greater than California's 38 million residents use in cities and homes annually.
Source: NASA (http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/spaceimages/details.php?id=PIA18816)
Source 2: Dept of Water Resources, California (http://www.water.ca.gov/waterconditions/docs/Drought\_Response-Groundwater\_Basins\_April30\_Final\_BC.pdf)
Groundwater accounts for 30-60% of California water use. NASA data shows serious water loss since 2002






Global Demand – Diverse. High Growth

Almonds have held the No.1 position in global tree nut innovations since 2006 (35% market share 2013).
Long term US per capita consumption of almond outpaces all other tree nuts (376% growth since 1980)





