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SAP SE — Earnings Release 2015
Jan 22, 2016
365_ip_2016-01-22_1e1599ab-bb91-4183-9e1d-460ef87d4d18.pdf
Earnings Release
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Preliminary Q4 and FY 2015 Results
Luka Mucic CFO and COO, SAP SE
Walldorf – January 22nd, 2016
01 2015 Preliminary Results
SAP outpaces market with record 2015 cloud and software revenue decisively beating guidance
| Outlook FY 2015 |
Actual performance 2015 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
€1.95bn to €2.05bn | €2.00bn |
| Cloud and software revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
+ 8% to 10% | + 12% |
| Operating profit (Non-IFRS at cc) | €5.6bn to €5.9bn | €5.903bn |
| Effective tax rate (IFRS) | 25% to 26% | + 23.3% |
| Effective tax rate (IFRS) | 25% to 26% | + 23.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Effective tax rate (Non-IFRS) | 26.5% to 27.5% | + 26.0% |
All 2015 figures in this presentation are non-IFRS approximate due to its preliminary nature
Exceptional momentum in 2015 – SAP is unique in combining a rapidly expanding cloud business and a growing core
Cloud and software revenue
- 20% to €17.23bn (+12% at cc) in FY
Cloud
- Cloud subscription and support: +109% to €2.30bn (€2.00bn at cc) in FY
- New cloud bookings: tremendous momentum with +103% (€0.88bn) in FY; +75% (€0.34bn) in Q4
- Cloud subscription and support backlog: +45% yoy €3.7bn at year-end
- Combination of deferred and backlog: € 1.0bn+ €3.7bn = €4.6bn
Core
- SAP S/4HANA provides companies with the digital core
- Adoption surges: >2,700 customers, more than doubling the number of customers in Q4
- Software license: +10% to €4.84bn (+4% at cc)
- Resilient software support: +14% to €10.09bn (+7% at cc)
All revenue figures are Non-IFRS reported
Software license and cloud subscription order entry*
Q4: €3.2bn or +25% yoy at cc | FY: €7.2bn or +18% yoy at cc | 1/3 from cloud subscription
Strong growth across all regions FY 2015
Americas
Cloud +120% Cloud and software +31%
EMEA Cloud +83% Cloud and software +12%
APJ
Cloud +99% Cloud and software +20%
All revenue figures are Non-IFRS reported
A fast growing cloud business changes SAP's revenue mix
Much larger cloud business in 2020 relative to core business – change in revenue mix weighs on blended operating margin for the group in short/medium term
Cloud subscription and support revenue
All other revenue
Share of more predictable revenue
Share of more predictable revenue is expected to increase to 70-75% by 2020
Support + Cloud subs – share of revenue All other revenue
Both core and cloud gross margins expand – Mix shift weighs on blended cloud and software gross margin
- Continued fast growth in the cloud cloud revenue share increases versus software and support
- Bigger cloud revenue share combined with lower profitability weighs on blended cloud and software gross margin (mix shift effect)
Gross margin development
With the strong top line and the success of our business transformation we generated the highest non-IFRS operating profit in SAP's history
- Beating high end of operating profit outlook due to the success of our business transformation and improving profitability of our cloud offering
- Continued focus on increasing absolute operating profit – SAP has a broader portfolio of business models compared to pure play competitors
- SAP is driving both traditional and cloud business more effectively and efficiently – both are contributing to continuous profit expansion
02 Outlook
FY 2016/2017 outlook – Raising 2017 ambition to reflect current currency environment and excellent business momentum
Our completeness of vision in the cloud and soaring adoption of SAP S/4HANA gives us tremendous confidence in our business in 2016 and beyond.
- Cloud and software revenue €17.23bn
- Operating profit €6.35bn
- * All numbers non-IFRS
- ** All numbers non-IFRS and at constant currency
2016
- Cloud subscriptions and support revenue in a range of €2.95 - €3.05bn. Upper end represents a growth rate of 33%
- Cloud and software revenue to increase by 6% - 8%
-
Operating profit in a range of €6.4 - €6.7bn
-
guidance** Cloud subscriptions and support revenue in a range of €3.8 - €4.0bn. Upper end represents a 2015 to 2017 CAGR of 32%
- Total revenue in a range of €23bn - €23.5bn
- Operating profit in a range of €6.7 - €7.0bn
- Support + cloud subs share of revenue 63% to 65%
SAP is not adjusting its long term, high level 2020 ambition (communicated in 2015) at this time.
03 Appendix
Operating cash flow exceeded €3.6bn while free cash flow marked an 9% increase year-over-year
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
01/01/15 - 12/31/15 |
01/01/14 - 12/31/14 |
∆ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow |
3,639 | 3,499 | +4% |
| - Capital expenditure |
-637 | -737 | |
| Free cash flow |
3,001 | 2,762 | +9% |
| Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue | 14% | 16% | -2pp |
| Cash conversion rate | 1.19 | 1.07 | +11% |
| Days sales outstanding (DSO in days) | 71 | 65 | +6 |
Stable total group liquidity while significantly repaying debt and paying dividend
FY 2015 – Non-IFRS adjustments
| IFRS Profit Measure | Actual Amounts FY/2014 |
Actual Amounts FY/2015 |
Est. Amounts for FY/2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjustments | €19m | €11m | <€20m |
| TomorrowNow and Versata Litigation |
€309m | €0m | €0m |
| Share-based payment expenses | €290m | €724m | €550m to €590m |
| Acquisition-related charges | €562m | €738m | €730m to €780m |
| Restructuring charges | €126m | €621m | €585m to €615m |
| Sum of all adjustments | €1,307m | €2,095m | €1,885m to €2,005m |
FY 2016 – Additional outlook information and non-IFRS adjustments
The company expects a full-year 2016 effective tax rate (IFRS) between 22.5% to 23.5% (2015: 23.3%) and an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) between 24.5% to 25.5% (2015: 26.0%).
| IFRS Profit Measure | Actual Amounts FY/2015 |
Est. Amounts for FY/2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjustments | €11m | <€20m |
| Share-based payment expenses | €724m | €600m to €640m |
| Acquisition-related charges | €738m | €690m to €740m |
| Restructuring charges | €621m | €40-60m |
| Sum of all adjustments | €2,095m | €1,350m to €1,460m |