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Salcef Group Investor Presentation 2022

Nov 15, 2022

4374_ip_2022-11-15_56a218ef-fee1-4adf-8bbe-20bca26b17a1.pdf

Investor Presentation

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9M 2022 Results Presentation

15 November 2022

Speakers

Valeriano Salciccia Chief Executive Officer

Fabio De Masi Chief Financial Officer

Alessio Crosa IR & Sustainability Manager

Key messages

  • Revenue growth above expectations, with 3Q as the best quarter ever for the Group
  • Backlog confirmed at € 1.35 Bn
  • Profitability flat QoQ at above 20%, confirming resilience of the business and managerial discipline
  • FY 2022 revenues expected to grow by around 20% YoY, with EBITDA margin flat at the 9M level

9M 2022 Highlights

  1. 2022 figure does not consider the fair value change on financial investments and the down payment on the Verona-Padua HS line contracts. Reduction vs. YE 2021 mainly attributable to the approx. € 25 mln paid to the PSC Group for the acquisition of the railway business unit and dividend paid for € 28.5 mln

4

Revenues

€ Mln

  • Consolidated Revenues at € 385.8 Mln, up 20.7% YoY mainly due to:
    • Organic growth at 14.4%, mainly supported by Track & Light Civil Works (13.6%) and Energy, Signalling & Telecom (23.2%)
    • Expected ramp-up of the Verona-Padua HS line contract in Heavy Civil Works, which more than offset the termination of material projects in 2021
    • Contribution of Bahnbau Nord (€ 13.1 Mln1 ) in Track & Light Civil Works and of the recently acquired business unit of the PSC Group (€ 7.0 mln) in Energy, Signalling & Telecom
9M 2022 9M 2021 Δ (%)
Track and Light Civil Works 263.7 220.6 19.6%
Energy, Signalling
& Telecom
58.7 41.9 39.9%
Heavy Civil
Works
22.0 20.5 7.4%
Railway Materials 30.3 29.0 4.5%
Railway Machines 11.1 7.7 44.0%
Total 385.8 319.7 20.7%

68.4% Track & Light Civil Works (69.0% in 9M 2021)
15.2% Energy, Sign. & Telecom (13.1% in 9M 2021)
5.7% Heavy Civil Works (6.4% in 9M 2021)
7.8% Railway Materials (9.1% in 9M 2021)
2.9% Railway Machines (2.4% in 9M 2021)

Focus on Business Units (1/3)

Track & Light Civil Works

9M 2022 Revenues at € 263.7 Mln, up 19.6% YoY mainly due to:

  • Activities within the new 3-year framework agreements with RFI
  • Light civil works in Italy
  • Construction contracts in the US
  • 2 new track renewal framework agreements signed in Romania worth from a minimum of approx. € 70 Mln up to a maximum of approx. € 235 Mln

Focus on Business Units (2/3)

Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication

  • 9M 2022 Revenues at € 58.7 Mln, up 39.9% YoY mainly due to:
    • Consolidation of the railway business unit acquired by PSC Group
    • Growing contribution from Germany and from the new contracts acquired in 2021
  • Signalling activities increasing their weight in the business, now at approx. 6% of the total
  • New contracts with Terna in the Power Transmission business for cumulative € 25 Mln

Focus on Business Units (3/3)

Heavy Civil Works

  • 9M 2022 Revenues at € 22 . 0 Mln , up 7 . 4 % YoY mainly due to the expected contribution from the Verona -Padua HS line contract
  • New € 3 mln contract acquired in Germany for the construction of a railway bridge

Railway Materials

  • 9M 2022 Revenues at € 30 . 3 Mln , up 4 . 5 % YoY
  • First test installation of FAST System completed and successful

Railway Machines

  • 9M 2022 Revenues at € 11 . 1 Mln , up 44 . 0 % YoY mainly due to the recovery of the activities in the US
  • New building acquired for the construction of an additional production plant

Revenues by Geography

€ Mln

  • Domestic revenues materially growing 32.5% (29.5% organic)
  • Recovery in North America proceeding in line with expectations
  • Slow-down in Middle East / North Africa, with the lower production in Abu Dhabi partially offset by increasing activities in Egypt
9M 2022 9M 2021 Δ (%)
Italy 310.6 234.5 32.5%
Europe [Excluding Italy] 34.4 25.5 34.5%
North America 30.9 32.0 (3.4%)
Middle East 4.2 24.3 (82.9%)
North Africa 5.8 3.3 75.6%
Total 385.8 319.7 20.7%

80.5% Italy
(73.4% in 9M 2021)
8.9% Europe (excl. Italy) (8.0% in 9M 2021)
8.0% North America (10.0% in 9M 2021)
1.1% Middle East (7.6% in 9M 2021)
1.5% North Africa (1.0% in 9M 2021)

Economic and Financial KPI

€ Mln

9M 2022 9M 2021 Δ (%)
Revenues 385.8 319.7 20.7%
EBITDA 77.5 71.5 8.4%
EBITDA Margin 20.1% 22.4% -
D&A (25.8) (19.8) 30.4%
EBIT 51.7 51.7 Unch.
EBIT Margin 13.4% 16.2% -
Adjusted
Net Financial Income (Expenses)*
2.8 1.6 75.2%
Adjusted
EBT
54.5 53.3 2.3%
Adjusted
Income Taxes**
(15.0) (14.3) 5.0%
Adjusted
Net Profit
39.5 39.0 1.2%
* Fair value change of warrant and financial
investments
(10.1) (9.7) 3.5%
** DTA reversal related to revaluations and
non-recurring tax expenses
(0.9) (2.4) (64.4%)
Net Profit 28.5 26.9 6.2%

Adjusted Net Financial Position1 70.5 114.52 (38.5%)

  • EBITDA Margin down 2.3 p.p. vs. 9M 2021. Flat vs. 1H 2022 confirming resilience in the current context of higher production costs
  • Higher D&A on the back of higher Capex made both in 2021 and in 9M 2022 in line with the Group's Capex plan
  • P&L adjustments related to:
    • Change in fair value of financial investments and, only for 2021, of the warrant
    • DTA reversal
  • Tax rate at 27.5%
  • Adjusted NFP at € 70.5 Mln (Net Cash) include the approx. € 25 mln paid to the PSC Group for the acquisition of the railway business unit and dividend paid for € 28.5 mln

  • Figure at 31 December 2021

1. 2022 figure does not consider the fair value change on financial investments and the down payment on the Verona-Padua HS line contracts

Adjusted NFP at 30 September 2022

€ Mln

  • Backlog1 flat at record € 1.35 Bn, of which € 1,080 mln (80.0%) from Italian market and € 270 mln (20.0%) from foreign markets
  • Overall weight of domestic backlog still impacted by the different time frame of Italian contracts, typically longer than foreign ones. Compared to 1H 2022, slight increase of the international component due to the contracts signed in Romania
  • Track & Light and Civil Works and Energy Signalling & Telecommunication confirmed as the core Business Units, with 86.4% of the total backlog
  • Book-to-bill ratio at 1.39x

Business Unit Amount %
Track and Light Civil Works 855.6 63.4%
of which Foreign 259.9 19.3%
Energy, Signalling & Telecom 310.0 23.0%
of which Foreign 2.2 0.2%
Heavy Civil Works 144.8 10.7%
of which Foreign 5.8 0.4%
Railway Machines 4.2 0.3%
of which Foreign 2.0 0.1%
Railway Materials 35.2 2.6%
Total 1,349.9 100.0%
Italy 1,079.9 80.0%
Foreign 270.0 20.0%
  1. Does not include agreements between Group companies, to be considered intercompany

2022 Outlook

  • Business volumes expected to growth by around 20% YoY (~ 15% organic), mainly driven by:
    • Execution of the contracts for the Verona-Padua high-speed line
    • Consolidation within the Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication BU of the recently acquired business from May 2022
    • Further growth of the core business in Italy
    • No exposure to Russia or other countries involved in EU sanctions
  • In the current scenario and excluding any further deterioration, EBITDA margins for 2022 expected to remain broadly in line with 9M level, with higher EBITDA in absolute terms
  • 2022 Capex expected at € 48 mln (€ 41 mln at 9M stage) with a strong focus on strengthening the production capacity and developing new businesses

Q&A

Appendix

Active in the railway sector for more than 70 years

Market scouting for additional M&A opportunities

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (1/3)

Mission 3 Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility Component 1: Investments on railway network Component 2: Integrated Logistics € 31.5 Bn € 24.8 Bn € 0.6 Bn EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) Complementary Fund € 3.2 Bn € 2.9 Bn TOTAL € 28 Bn € 3.5 Bn

2020-2021 overall expenditure at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.3 Bn budget

TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
1.1 High-speed railway connections to
the South for
passengers and freight
4,640 52 125 359 748 919 1,125 1,313 TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines
Napoli - Bari 1,400 30 80 143 180 271 352 344
Palermo - Catania - Messina 1,440 22 25 100 199 283 439 372
Salerno - Reggio Calabria 1,800 0 20 116 369 365 334 596
1.2 High-speed lines 8,570 550 881 904 758 2,030 1,935 1,512 TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines
Brescia - Verona - Padova 3,670 152 341 440 76 900 1,096 665
Liguria - Alpi 3,970 398 532 454 636 886 559 505
Verona - Brennero 930 0 8 10 46 244 280 342
1.3 Cross-country connections 1,580 2 9 52 175 301 427 614 TARGET: 87 km of new lines
Orte - Falconara 510 0 1 27 61 92 125 204
Roma - Pescara 620 0 2 16 57 125 186 234
Taranto - Metaponto - Potenza - Battipaglia 450 2 6 9 57 84 116 176
1.4 ERTMS 2,970 0 50 299 425 563 705 928 TARGET: 3,400 km of lines equipped with ERTMS
1.5 Upgrading metropolitan railway
junctions and key national rail networks
2,970 172 189 280 320 616 715 680 TARGET: 1,280 km of lines upgraded
1.6 Upgrading regional railways 936 41 116 30 158 254 152 185 TARGET: 680 km of lines enhanced
1.7 Improvement, electrification
and
more resilience for
Southern railways
2,400 0 53 187 217 506 700 737 TARGET: 573 km of lines enhanced
1.8 Enhancement of
Southern Italian
train stations
700 0 21 64 103 195 192 125 TARGET: 54 stations upgraded
24,766 817 1,443 2,175 2,903 5,384 5,951 6,094

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (2/3)

Mission 3
Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility
EU Recovery
and Resilience
Facility (RRF)
Complementary
Fund
TOTAL
Component 1: Investments on railway network € 24.8 Bn € 3.2 Bn € 28 Bn € 31.5 Bn
Component 2: Integrated Logistics € 0.6 Bn € 2.9 Bn € 3.5 Bn
TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Upgrading
regional
railways
(which
are
not owned/operated
by
RFI)
1,550 0 150 360 405 377 248 10
of
regional
railways
Securing
454
Upgrade
and
renewal
of
rolling
stock
fleet
278
Enhancement
of
regional
rail
network
with
simultaneous
upgrade
and/or
renewal
of
rolling
stock
fleet
140
Enhancement
of
regional
railways
677
Renewal
of
rolling
stock
200 0 60 50 40 30 20 0
Safe
roads
- Implementation
of
a
dynamic
monitoring
system for
remotely
controlling
bridges,
viaducts
and
tunnels
(A24-A25)
1,000 0 150 150 90 337 223 50
Safe
roads
- Implementation
of
a
dynamic
monitoring
system for
remotely
controlling
bridges,
viaducts
and
tunnels
(ANAS)
450 0 25 50 100 100 100 75
3,200 0 385 610 635 844 591 135
  • Already allocated through a decree of the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility, to 29 projects, with the overall amount allocated 81% to the South and 19% to the Centre-North
  • With the only exceptions of the upgrade and renewal of the rolling stock fleet and some technological works in the signalling field, all the other projects are potentially in the scope of Group's core business

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (3/3)

Mission 2
Green revolution and ecological transition
Complementary
Fund
TOTAL € 59.5 Bn
Component 2: Renewable Energy, hydrogen, power grids and
sustainable mobility
€ 23.8 Bn € 1.4 Bn € 25.2 Bn
TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
cycling
4.1
Encouraging
600 0 0 130 225 100 80 65
Rapid
4.2
mass transportation
development
3,600 0 180 476 709 967 738 530
Installation
of
eletric
charging
4.3
infastructure
741 0 0 0 400 150 141 50
of
bus
fleets
and
4.4
Renovation
green
trains
3,639 0 0 440 594 931 979 695
8,580 0 180 1,045 1,928 2,148 1,939 1,340

€ 0.7 Bn for 11 km of new subways, rolling stock and technical/civil works

TRAMWAYS

€ 2 Bn for 85 km of new tramways, rolling stock and technical/civil works

TROLLEY WAYS and FUNICULARS

€ 0.9 Bn for 120 km of new trolley ways and 15 km of new funiculars

  • Projects will be mainly focused on the metropolitan areas of the major Italian cities.
  • Expenditures have been already agreed between the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility and the Local Authorities. Final Decree expected soon

Disclaimer

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE, OR SUBSCRIBE FOR, SECURITIES

IMPORTANT: Please read the following before continuing. For the purposes of this disclaimer, this presentation (the "Presentation") comprises the attached slides and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, the Presentation. This Presentation and the information, statements and opinions contained herein have been prepared by Salcef Group S.p.A. (the "Company" or "Salcef") for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts and is solely for information purposes and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. The following applies to the Presentation, the oral presentation and any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation.

This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements about the Company, and/or the group headed by Salcef (the "Group"), based on current expectations and opinions developed by the Company, as well as based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects of the Group. Forward looking statements include (but are not limited to) statements identified generally by the use of terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "plan", "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "believe", "intend", "project", "goal", "aim", "foresee", or "target" or the negative of these words or other variations on these words or comparable terminology. By their nature, forwardlooking statements are based upon various assumptions, expectations, projections, provisional data, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including, without limitation, examination of historical operating trends and other data available from third parties. Projections, estimates and targets presented herein are based on information available to Salcef as at the date of this Presentation. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company and/or the Group to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements or other information contained in this Presentation. The information contained herein has a merely informative and provisional nature and does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice. This Presentation speaks as of the date hereof and the information contained herein is provided as at the date of this Presentation and, except to the extent required by applicable law, Salcef nor any other person is under any obligation to update and keep current this Presentation, nor the information contained in this Presentation or any other written, electronic or oral information provided in connection with this Presentation. The information contained herein may be subject to updating, completion, revision and amendment and may change materially without notice. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Salcef or the Group shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future.

The information contained in this Presentation does not purport to be comprehensive nor to include everything which might be material to your purposes and has not been independently verified by any third party. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or any of its respective affiliates or any of its of their respective directors, officers, advisers, employees or agents or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained therein or any other statement made or purported to be made in connection with the Company and its consolidates subsidiaries, for any purpose whatsoever, including but not limited to any investment considerations. Neither the Company nor any of its respective affiliates, directors, officers, advisers, agents or employees, nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of these materials or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. Neither this Presentation nor any part or copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. The information contained in this Presentation is not for publication or distribution, directly or indirectly, in Australia, Canada or Japan. Neither this Presentation nor its delivery to any recipient will or is intended to constitute or contain or form part of any offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to purchase, or subscribe for, any securities or related financial instruments, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement or recommendation to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. By attending the meeting where this Presentation is made, by reading the presentation slides or by accessing and/or accepting delivery of this Presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations and restrictions. The Presentation cannot be reproduced in any form, further distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable laws.

Contacts

Alessio Crosa Investor Relations & Sustainability Manager

Tel: +39 06 416281 E-mail: [email protected]

Bloomberg: SCF:IM Reuters: SCFG.MI Borsa Italiana: SCF