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Salcef Group — Investor Presentation 2022
Nov 15, 2022
4374_ip_2022-11-15_56a218ef-fee1-4adf-8bbe-20bca26b17a1.pdf
Investor Presentation
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9M 2022 Results Presentation
15 November 2022
Speakers


Valeriano Salciccia Chief Executive Officer

Fabio De Masi Chief Financial Officer

Alessio Crosa IR & Sustainability Manager
Key messages

- Revenue growth above expectations, with 3Q as the best quarter ever for the Group
- Backlog confirmed at € 1.35 Bn
- Profitability flat QoQ at above 20%, confirming resilience of the business and managerial discipline
- FY 2022 revenues expected to grow by around 20% YoY, with EBITDA margin flat at the 9M level


9M 2022 Highlights

- 2022 figure does not consider the fair value change on financial investments and the down payment on the Verona-Padua HS line contracts. Reduction vs. YE 2021 mainly attributable to the approx. € 25 mln paid to the PSC Group for the acquisition of the railway business unit and dividend paid for € 28.5 mln
4
Revenues
€ Mln
- Consolidated Revenues at € 385.8 Mln, up 20.7% YoY mainly due to:
- Organic growth at 14.4%, mainly supported by Track & Light Civil Works (13.6%) and Energy, Signalling & Telecom (23.2%)
- Expected ramp-up of the Verona-Padua HS line contract in Heavy Civil Works, which more than offset the termination of material projects in 2021
- Contribution of Bahnbau Nord (€ 13.1 Mln1 ) in Track & Light Civil Works and of the recently acquired business unit of the PSC Group (€ 7.0 mln) in Energy, Signalling & Telecom
| 9M 2022 | 9M 2021 | Δ (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Track and Light Civil Works | 263.7 | 220.6 | 19.6% |
| Energy, Signalling & Telecom |
58.7 | 41.9 | 39.9% |
| Heavy Civil Works |
22.0 | 20.5 | 7.4% |
| Railway Materials | 30.3 | 29.0 | 4.5% |
| Railway Machines | 11.1 | 7.7 | 44.0% |
| Total | 385.8 | 319.7 | 20.7% |

| 68.4% | Track & Light Civil Works (69.0% in 9M 2021) |
|---|---|
| 15.2% | Energy, Sign. & Telecom (13.1% in 9M 2021) |
| 5.7% | Heavy Civil Works (6.4% in 9M 2021) |
| 7.8% | Railway Materials (9.1% in 9M 2021) |
| 2.9% | Railway Machines (2.4% in 9M 2021) |
Focus on Business Units (1/3)

Track & Light Civil Works
9M 2022 Revenues at € 263.7 Mln, up 19.6% YoY mainly due to:
- Activities within the new 3-year framework agreements with RFI
- Light civil works in Italy
- Construction contracts in the US
- 2 new track renewal framework agreements signed in Romania worth from a minimum of approx. € 70 Mln up to a maximum of approx. € 235 Mln



Focus on Business Units (2/3)
Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication

- 9M 2022 Revenues at € 58.7 Mln, up 39.9% YoY mainly due to:
- Consolidation of the railway business unit acquired by PSC Group
- Growing contribution from Germany and from the new contracts acquired in 2021
- Signalling activities increasing their weight in the business, now at approx. 6% of the total
- New contracts with Terna in the Power Transmission business for cumulative € 25 Mln



Focus on Business Units (3/3)
Heavy Civil Works

- 9M 2022 Revenues at € 22 . 0 Mln , up 7 . 4 % YoY mainly due to the expected contribution from the Verona -Padua HS line contract
- New € 3 mln contract acquired in Germany for the construction of a railway bridge
Railway Materials

- 9M 2022 Revenues at € 30 . 3 Mln , up 4 . 5 % YoY
- First test installation of FAST System completed and successful
Railway Machines

- 9M 2022 Revenues at € 11 . 1 Mln , up 44 . 0 % YoY mainly due to the recovery of the activities in the US
- New building acquired for the construction of an additional production plant




Revenues by Geography
€ Mln
- Domestic revenues materially growing 32.5% (29.5% organic)
- Recovery in North America proceeding in line with expectations
- Slow-down in Middle East / North Africa, with the lower production in Abu Dhabi partially offset by increasing activities in Egypt
| 9M 2022 | 9M 2021 | Δ (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 310.6 | 234.5 | 32.5% |
| Europe [Excluding Italy] | 34.4 | 25.5 | 34.5% |
| North America | 30.9 | 32.0 | (3.4%) |
| Middle East | 4.2 | 24.3 | (82.9%) |
| North Africa | 5.8 | 3.3 | 75.6% |
| Total | 385.8 | 319.7 | 20.7% |

| 80.5% | Italy (73.4% in 9M 2021) |
|---|---|
| 8.9% | Europe (excl. Italy) (8.0% in 9M 2021) |
| 8.0% | North America (10.0% in 9M 2021) |
| 1.1% | Middle East (7.6% in 9M 2021) |
| 1.5% | North Africa (1.0% in 9M 2021) |
Economic and Financial KPI

€ Mln
| 9M 2022 | 9M 2021 | Δ (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 385.8 | 319.7 | 20.7% |
| EBITDA | 77.5 | 71.5 | 8.4% |
| EBITDA Margin | 20.1% | 22.4% | - |
| D&A | (25.8) | (19.8) | 30.4% |
| EBIT | 51.7 | 51.7 | Unch. |
| EBIT Margin | 13.4% | 16.2% | - |
| Adjusted Net Financial Income (Expenses)* |
2.8 | 1.6 | 75.2% |
| Adjusted EBT |
54.5 | 53.3 | 2.3% |
| Adjusted Income Taxes** |
(15.0) | (14.3) | 5.0% |
| Adjusted Net Profit |
39.5 | 39.0 | 1.2% |
| * Fair value change of warrant and financial investments |
(10.1) | (9.7) | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| ** DTA reversal related to revaluations and non-recurring tax expenses |
(0.9) | (2.4) | (64.4%) |
| Net Profit | 28.5 | 26.9 | 6.2% |
Adjusted Net Financial Position1 70.5 114.52 (38.5%)
- EBITDA Margin down 2.3 p.p. vs. 9M 2021. Flat vs. 1H 2022 confirming resilience in the current context of higher production costs
- Higher D&A on the back of higher Capex made both in 2021 and in 9M 2022 in line with the Group's Capex plan
- P&L adjustments related to:
- Change in fair value of financial investments and, only for 2021, of the warrant
- DTA reversal
- Tax rate at 27.5%
-
Adjusted NFP at € 70.5 Mln (Net Cash) include the approx. € 25 mln paid to the PSC Group for the acquisition of the railway business unit and dividend paid for € 28.5 mln
-
Figure at 31 December 2021
1. 2022 figure does not consider the fair value change on financial investments and the down payment on the Verona-Padua HS line contracts
Adjusted NFP at 30 September 2022


€ Mln
- Backlog1 flat at record € 1.35 Bn, of which € 1,080 mln (80.0%) from Italian market and € 270 mln (20.0%) from foreign markets
- Overall weight of domestic backlog still impacted by the different time frame of Italian contracts, typically longer than foreign ones. Compared to 1H 2022, slight increase of the international component due to the contracts signed in Romania
- Track & Light and Civil Works and Energy Signalling & Telecommunication confirmed as the core Business Units, with 86.4% of the total backlog
- Book-to-bill ratio at 1.39x

| Business Unit | Amount | % |
|---|---|---|
| Track and Light Civil Works | 855.6 | 63.4% |
| of which Foreign | 259.9 | 19.3% |
| Energy, Signalling & Telecom | 310.0 | 23.0% |
| of which Foreign | 2.2 | 0.2% |
| Heavy Civil Works | 144.8 | 10.7% |
| of which Foreign | 5.8 | 0.4% |
| Railway Machines | 4.2 | 0.3% |
| of which Foreign | 2.0 | 0.1% |
| Railway Materials | 35.2 | 2.6% |
| Total | 1,349.9 | 100.0% |
| Italy | 1,079.9 | 80.0% |
| Foreign | 270.0 | 20.0% |
- Does not include agreements between Group companies, to be considered intercompany
2022 Outlook

- Business volumes expected to growth by around 20% YoY (~ 15% organic), mainly driven by:
- Execution of the contracts for the Verona-Padua high-speed line
- Consolidation within the Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication BU of the recently acquired business from May 2022
- Further growth of the core business in Italy
- No exposure to Russia or other countries involved in EU sanctions
- In the current scenario and excluding any further deterioration, EBITDA margins for 2022 expected to remain broadly in line with 9M level, with higher EBITDA in absolute terms
- 2022 Capex expected at € 48 mln (€ 41 mln at 9M stage) with a strong focus on strengthening the production capacity and developing new businesses
Q&A






Appendix
Active in the railway sector for more than 70 years


Market scouting for additional M&A opportunities


Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (1/3)

Mission 3 Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility Component 1: Investments on railway network Component 2: Integrated Logistics € 31.5 Bn € 24.8 Bn € 0.6 Bn EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) Complementary Fund € 3.2 Bn € 2.9 Bn TOTAL € 28 Bn € 3.5 Bn
2020-2021 overall expenditure at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.3 Bn budget

| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 High-speed railway connections to the South for passengers and freight |
4,640 | 52 | 125 | 359 | 748 | 919 | 1,125 | 1,313 | TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines |
| Napoli - Bari | 1,400 | 30 | 80 | 143 | 180 | 271 | 352 | 344 | |
| Palermo - Catania - Messina | 1,440 | 22 | 25 | 100 | 199 | 283 | 439 | 372 | |
| Salerno - Reggio Calabria | 1,800 | 0 | 20 | 116 | 369 | 365 | 334 | 596 | |
| 1.2 High-speed lines | 8,570 | 550 | 881 | 904 | 758 | 2,030 | 1,935 | 1,512 | TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines |
| Brescia - Verona - Padova | 3,670 | 152 | 341 | 440 | 76 | 900 | 1,096 | 665 | |
| Liguria - Alpi | 3,970 | 398 | 532 | 454 | 636 | 886 | 559 | 505 | |
| Verona - Brennero | 930 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 46 | 244 | 280 | 342 | |
| 1.3 Cross-country connections | 1,580 | 2 | 9 | 52 | 175 | 301 | 427 | 614 | TARGET: 87 km of new lines |
| Orte - Falconara | 510 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 61 | 92 | 125 | 204 | |
| Roma - Pescara | 620 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 125 | 186 | 234 | |
| Taranto - Metaponto - Potenza - Battipaglia | 450 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 84 | 116 | 176 | |
| 1.4 ERTMS | 2,970 | 0 | 50 | 299 | 425 | 563 | 705 | 928 | TARGET: 3,400 km of lines equipped with ERTMS |
| 1.5 Upgrading metropolitan railway junctions and key national rail networks |
2,970 | 172 | 189 | 280 | 320 | 616 | 715 | 680 | TARGET: 1,280 km of lines upgraded |
| 1.6 Upgrading regional railways | 936 | 41 | 116 | 30 | 158 | 254 | 152 | 185 | TARGET: 680 km of lines enhanced |
| 1.7 Improvement, electrification and more resilience for Southern railways |
2,400 | 0 | 53 | 187 | 217 | 506 | 700 | 737 | TARGET: 573 km of lines enhanced |
| 1.8 Enhancement of Southern Italian train stations |
700 | 0 | 21 | 64 | 103 | 195 | 192 | 125 | TARGET: 54 stations upgraded |
| 24,766 | 817 | 1,443 | 2,175 | 2,903 | 5,384 | 5,951 | 6,094 |
Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (2/3)

| Mission 3 Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility |
EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) |
Complementary Fund |
TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Component 1: Investments on railway network | € 24.8 Bn | € 3.2 Bn | € 28 Bn | € 31.5 Bn |
| Component 2: Integrated Logistics | € 0.6 Bn | € 2.9 Bn | € 3.5 Bn |
| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upgrading regional railways (which are not owned/operated by RFI) |
1,550 | 0 | 150 | 360 | 405 | 377 | 248 | 10 |
| of regional railways Securing |
454 | |||||||
| Upgrade and renewal of rolling stock fleet |
278 | |||||||
| Enhancement of regional rail network with simultaneous upgrade and/or renewal of rolling stock fleet |
140 | |||||||
| Enhancement of regional railways |
677 | |||||||
| Renewal of rolling stock |
200 | 0 | 60 | 50 | 40 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| Safe roads - Implementation of a dynamic monitoring system for remotely controlling bridges, viaducts and tunnels (A24-A25) |
1,000 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 90 | 337 | 223 | 50 |
| Safe roads - Implementation of a dynamic monitoring system for remotely controlling bridges, viaducts and tunnels (ANAS) |
450 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 75 |
| 3,200 | 0 | 385 | 610 | 635 | 844 | 591 | 135 |
- Already allocated through a decree of the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility, to 29 projects, with the overall amount allocated 81% to the South and 19% to the Centre-North
- With the only exceptions of the upgrade and renewal of the rolling stock fleet and some technological works in the signalling field, all the other projects are potentially in the scope of Group's core business
Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (3/3)

| Mission 2 Green revolution and ecological transition |
Complementary Fund |
TOTAL | € 59.5 Bn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Component 2: Renewable Energy, hydrogen, power grids and sustainable mobility |
€ 23.8 Bn | € 1.4 Bn | € 25.2 Bn |
| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cycling 4.1 Encouraging |
600 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 225 | 100 | 80 | 65 |
| Rapid 4.2 mass transportation development |
3,600 | 0 | 180 | 476 | 709 | 967 | 738 | 530 |
| Installation of eletric charging 4.3 infastructure |
741 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 150 | 141 | 50 |
| of bus fleets and 4.4 Renovation green trains |
3,639 | 0 | 0 | 440 | 594 | 931 | 979 | 695 |
| 8,580 | 0 | 180 | 1,045 | 1,928 | 2,148 | 1,939 | 1,340 |
€ 0.7 Bn for 11 km of new subways, rolling stock and technical/civil works
TRAMWAYS
€ 2 Bn for 85 km of new tramways, rolling stock and technical/civil works
TROLLEY WAYS and FUNICULARS
€ 0.9 Bn for 120 km of new trolley ways and 15 km of new funiculars
- Projects will be mainly focused on the metropolitan areas of the major Italian cities.
- Expenditures have been already agreed between the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility and the Local Authorities. Final Decree expected soon
Disclaimer

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE, OR SUBSCRIBE FOR, SECURITIES
IMPORTANT: Please read the following before continuing. For the purposes of this disclaimer, this presentation (the "Presentation") comprises the attached slides and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, the Presentation. This Presentation and the information, statements and opinions contained herein have been prepared by Salcef Group S.p.A. (the "Company" or "Salcef") for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts and is solely for information purposes and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. The following applies to the Presentation, the oral presentation and any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation.
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements about the Company, and/or the group headed by Salcef (the "Group"), based on current expectations and opinions developed by the Company, as well as based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects of the Group. Forward looking statements include (but are not limited to) statements identified generally by the use of terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "plan", "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "believe", "intend", "project", "goal", "aim", "foresee", or "target" or the negative of these words or other variations on these words or comparable terminology. By their nature, forwardlooking statements are based upon various assumptions, expectations, projections, provisional data, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including, without limitation, examination of historical operating trends and other data available from third parties. Projections, estimates and targets presented herein are based on information available to Salcef as at the date of this Presentation. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company and/or the Group to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements or other information contained in this Presentation. The information contained herein has a merely informative and provisional nature and does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice. This Presentation speaks as of the date hereof and the information contained herein is provided as at the date of this Presentation and, except to the extent required by applicable law, Salcef nor any other person is under any obligation to update and keep current this Presentation, nor the information contained in this Presentation or any other written, electronic or oral information provided in connection with this Presentation. The information contained herein may be subject to updating, completion, revision and amendment and may change materially without notice. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Salcef or the Group shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future.
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Contacts
Alessio Crosa Investor Relations & Sustainability Manager
Tel: +39 06 416281 E-mail: [email protected]
Bloomberg: SCF:IM Reuters: SCFG.MI Borsa Italiana: SCF