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Ørsted Investor Presentation 2021

Aug 12, 2021

3378_ir_2021-08-12_c7835e18-4373-4ed1-918e-8290558e5f47.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Investor presentation Q2 2021

12 August 2021

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to, the statements and expectations contained in the "Financial Outlook" section of this presentation. Statements herein, other than statements of historical fact, regarding our future results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, business strategy, plans and future objectives are forward-looking statements. Words such as "targets", "believe", "expect", "aim", "intend", "plan", "seek", "will", "may", "should", "anticipate", "continue", "predict" or variations of these words, as well as other statements regarding matters that are not historical facts or regarding future events or prospects, constitute forward-looking statements.

Ørsted have based these forward-looking statements on its current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted in the forward-looking statements and from the past performance of Ørsted. Although, Ørsted believes that the estimates and projections reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, they may prove materially incorrect and actual results may materially differ due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to changes in temperature, wind conditions, wake and blockage effects, and precipitation levels, the development in power, coal, carbon, gas, oil, currency and interest rate markets, changes in legislation, regulation or standards, the renegotiation of contracts, changes in the competitive environment in our markets and reliability of supply. As a result you should not rely on these forward-looking statements. Please also refer to the overview of risk factors in "Risk and Management" on p. 70 of the 2020 annual report, available at www.orsted.com.

Unless required by law, Ørsted is under no duty and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement after the distribution of this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Significant US offshore capacity awarded, and several strategic partnerships established

Highlights – Q2 2021

  • Full-year EBITDA guidance maintained despite low wind speeds
  • Ocean Wind 2 awarded 1,148 MW 20-year OREC contract in the competitive solicitation in New Jersey
  • Launched key strategic partnerships in Japan, Korea, Norway, and Scotland
  • Closed the agreement to enter a 50/50 joint venture with PGE for the Baltica 2 & 3 offshore wind projects in Poland
  • Closed the agreement to acquire Brookfield Renewable Ireland, a European onshore wind platform
  • Closed the agreement with Norges Bank IM to farm-down 50 % of the 752 MW offshore wind farm Borssele 1 & 2
  • Started constructing our first renewable hydrogen project, H2RES
  • Commissioned Permian Energy Center in Texas, our first combined 420 MWAC solar PV and 40 MWAC storage facility
  • Commissioned our largest onshore wind project to date, the 367 MW Western Trail wind farm in August

Ørsted awarded 1,148 MW offshore wind contract in New Jersey

1,148 MW Ocean Wind 2 project

  • Selected to negotiate a 20-year Offshore Renewable Energy Certificate (OREC) following a competitive solicitation
  • The 20-year OREC price is USD 84.03 per MWh from 2029, with a 2% annual escalator (corresponding to a levelized 2017 price of USD 67 per MWh)
  • With the award the Ocean Wind lease will be utilised to its maximum capacity of c. 2.3 GW
  • Subject to final investment decision, Ocean Wind 2 is expected to be commissioned in 2029
  • Ørsted has been awarded a total of 4.1 GW offshore wind projects in the US, which unlocks significant synergies in procurement, construction, and operations
  • In addition to the awarded capacity, Ørsted and our partners have rights to c. 4 GW of seabed leases on the US East Coast

Ørsted construction programme and pipeline

  1. US North-East cluster: South Fork (130 MW), Revolution Wind (704 MW) and Sunrise Wind (880 MW)

  2. US Mid-Atlantic cluster: Skipjack (120 MW), Ocean Wind (1,100 MW) and Ocean Wind 2 (1,148 MW)

  3. German Portfolio: Gode Wind 3 (242 MW) and Borkum Riffgrund 3 (900 MW)

5

  1. Offshore: Projects that have reached a certain level of maturity in a market with a regulatory framework such as secured consent, exclusivity through lease, secured EIA or established partnership. Onshore: Combination of land control/options and or interconnection studies/positions

Significant number of offshore wind auctions and tenders in the coming months

Q2 2021 – Low wind speeds offset by strong performance from Bioenergy & Other

Group EBITDA increased DKK 5.2 bn - Comparable EBITDA in line DKKm

Effects impacting comparability

  • No EBITDA from the divested Distribution, B2C, and city light businesses
  • Positive accounting effect as we ceased to report on business performance principle in 20211

Underlying effects

  • Wind speeds in Q2 2021 (7.8 m/s) significantly lower than normal wind speeds (8.6 m/s). Impact versus normal wind speed of DKK -0.9 bn. Positive effect from ramp-up of Borssele 1 & 2 and addition of the last 400 MW of Hornsea 1 receiving CfD
  • Partnership earnings in Q2 2021 related to adjustments to finalised construction projects
  • Increased Onshore generation driven by ramp-up more than offset by lower wind speeds, higher fixed costs, minor subsequent credit loss related to the winter storm in Texas, and the gain from Oak Solar divestment in Q2 2020
  • Increased earnings from CHP plants due to higher power prices and sale of ancillary services. Positive effect from revaluating our gas at storage from increasing gas prices

New partnerships

• DKK 5.4 bn farm-down gain from 50 % Borssele 1&2 divestment

Low wind speeds in North-western Europe during H1 2021

Q2 2021 – Financial performance

Net profit up DKK 6.4 bn

  • Higher EBITDA in Q2 2021
  • Lower net interest expenses due to lower net debt
  • Effective tax rate significantly impacted by the tax exempt gain from Borssele 1 & 2 farmdown

FCF totalled DKK 1.6 bn

  • Operating cash flow including tax equity contribution from partner at Permian Energy Center
  • Divestments relating to 50 % farm-down of Borssele 1 & 2 and 25 % of Ocean Wind 1, and final settlement with GIP regarding Hornsea 1 divestment

Net interest-bearing debt development DKKm

13,190
172 194 116 12,067
-1,605
31 Mar Free cash Hybrid Lease Exchange 30 Jun
2021 flow coupon obligation rate adj. 2021
additions

Net interest-bearing debt of DKK 12.1 bn, down DKK 1.1 bn

• Positive free cash flow of DKK 1.6 bn

Q2 2021 – Financial and non-financial ratios

FFO / Adj. net debt of 63 %

  • Positively impacted by Borssele 1 & 2 farm-down
  • Credit metric above our target of around 25 %

ROCE of 12.5 %

  • Increase driven by higher EBIT over the 12-month period
  • On track to achieve average ROCE of 11-12% in 2020-2027

Greenhouse gas emissions (scopes 1 & 2), g CO2e/kWh, YTD

Reduced emissions

  • Decrease due to additional offshore and onshore capacity
  • Partly offset by higher thermal generation from coal-fuelled units where we have a regulatory obligation to make all our energy capacities available to the market

TRIR of 3.1

• 10 % reduction in injuries leading to a decline in the total recordable injury rate (TRIR)

Implementation of the EU taxonomy

Taxonomy-non-eligible Taxonomy-eligible

Revenue

Taxonomy-eligible: Offshore, onshore, and bioenergy-based heat and power generation; renewable certificates/grants; partner revenue from construction, O&M, and power sales agreements Non-eligible: Legacy natural gas activities;

fossil-based heat and power generation; power sales to end customers

Taxonomyeligible EBITDA: >95 %

EBITDA

Taxonomy-eligible: Offshore, onshore, and bioenergy heat and power generation; renewable certificates/grants; construction agreements and divestment gains Non-eligible: Fossil-based part of our CHP activities and gas sales business

CAPEX

Taxonomy-eligible: Mainly related to the construction of offshore and onshore wind farms and solar PV assets

2021 guidance, strategic ambition and financial guidance

2021 guidance DKKbn
EBITDA without new partnerships 15-16
Gross investments 39-41
Business unit EBITDA FY 2021 vs. FY 2020 Direction
Offshore Significantly lower
Onshore Higher
Bioenergy & Other Higher

Strategic ambition and financial guidance

Ambition for installed renewable capacity by 2030 ~50 GW
-
Offshore
~30 GW
-
Onshore
~17.5 GW
Total CAPEX spend, 2020-2027 DKK 350 bn
-
Offshore & Hydrogen
~80 %
-
Onshore
~20 %
Average ROCE, 2020-2027 11-12 %
Average share of EBITDA from regulated and contracted
activities, 2020-2027
~90 %
Average yearly increase in EBITDA from offshore and
onshore assets in operation, 2020-2027
~12 %
Rating (Moody's/S&P/Fitch) Baa1/BBB+/BBB+
FFO/Adjusted net debt threshold ~25 %
Ambition to increase the dividend paid by a high single-digit rate compared
to the dividend for the previous year up until 2025

Earnings call DK: +45 78 15 01 09 UK: +44 333 300 9268 US: +1 833 823 0590

For questions, please press 01

Appendix

Renewable capacity as of 30 June 2021

Indicator, MW H1 2021 H1 2020 Δ FY 2020
Installed renewable capacity 12,084 10,460 1,624 11,318
Offshore wind power 7,551 6,820 731 7,572
Onshore wind power 1,985 1,555 430 1,658
Solar PV power 430 10 420 10
Other (incl. PtX) 2,118 2,075 43 2,078
-
Biomass, thermal heat
2,054 2,054 - 2,054
-
Biogas, power
3 - 3 3
-
Battery storage
61 21 40 21
Decided (FID) renewable capacity 4,426 3,601 825 4,068
Offshore wind power 2,220 3,038 (818) 2,286
Onshore wind power 1,297 103 1,194 665
Solar PV power 907 420 487 1,077
Battery storage - 40 (40) 40
Hydrogen 2 - 2 -
Awarded/contracted renewable capacity (no FID yet) 8,687 4,996 3,691 4,996
Offshore wind power 8,687 4,996 3,691 4,996
Sum of installed and FID capacity 16,510 14,061 2,449 15,386
Sum of installed, FID, and awarded/contracted capacity 25,197 19,057 6,140 20,382

Note: In Q2 2021, we aligned our definition of installed capacity, hence all assets (installed or FID'ed) are reported using nameplate capacity. Previously a few wind farms were reported using 'power optimised capacity' or 'export cable limit capacity'.

Installed renewable capacity

The installed renewable capacity is calculated as the cumulative renewable gross capacity installed by Ørsted before divestments.

For installed renewable thermal capacity, we use the heat capacity, as heat is the primary outcome of thermal energy generation, and as bioconversions of the combined heat and power plants are driven by heat contracts.

Decided (FID) renewable capacity

Decided (FID) capacity is the renewable capacity for which a final investment decision (FID) has been made.

Awarded and contracted renewable capacity

The awarded renewable capacity is based on the capacities which have been awarded to Ørsted in auctions and tenders. The contracted capacity is the capacity for which Ørsted has signed a contract or power purchase agreement (PPA) concerning a new renewable energy plant. Typically, offshore wind farms are awarded, whereas onshore wind farms are contracted. We include the full capacity if more than 50 % of PPAs/offtake are secured.

Installed storage capacity

The battery storage capacity is included after commercial operation date (COD) has been achieved. The capacity is presented as megawatts of alternating current (MWac).

Forecasted renewable capacity build-out

Global renewable energy capacity by technology1 GW installed

Global offshore wind capacity excl. mainland China GW installed

  1. Excludes solar thermal, geothermal, marine, tidal, and others which combined account for less than 1 % of capacity

  2. North America includes the United States and Canada. Excludes solar thermal, geothermal, marine, and tidal which combined account for less than 1 % of capacity

  3. Considering 30 GW offshore wind capacity target announced by US administration (not yet passed into law)

Source: BNEF New Energy Outlook 2020 for capacity of all technologies except offshore wind. Offshore wind figures from BNEF Offshore Wind Market Outlook H2 2021 for current capacity and post-COVID-19 forecasts 16

North American renewable capacity

by technology2 GW installed

Offshore wind build-out plan

  1. US North-East cluster: South Fork (130 MW), Revolution Wind (704 MW), and Sunrise Wind (880 MW)

17 2. US Mid-Atlantic cluster: Skipjack (120 MW), Ocean Wind 1 (1,100 MW) and Ocean Wind 2 (1,148MW)

  1. German Portfolio: Gode Wind 3 (242 MW) and Borkum Riffgrund 3 (900 MW)

Offshore market development – US

Massachusetts
Target of 3.2 GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030 target

Current auction ongoing for up to 1.6 GW of offshore wind capacity with bid award expected 17 December 2021
Connecticut Target of 2 GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030, of which 1.2 GW remains available


Next auction of approx. 1 GW expected in H2 2021 –
2023
New York Target 9 GW offshore wind by 2035


2.5 GW awarded in Q1 2021 and 4.2 GW in total

BOEM announced a proposed sale of lease areas in the New York Bight that could unlock up to 7 GW. Sale expected to commence in H2 2021/H1 2022
New Jersey Target of 7.5 GW offshore wind capacity by 2035, of which 3.8 GW remains available following recent awards to Ocean Wind 2 and Atlantic Shores


Next auction of 1.2 GW expected in 2022
Maryland Target of approx. 1.6 GW offshore wind by 2030, of which 1.2 GW remains available


Current solicitation ongoing with bid award expected by end 2021

Solicitations in 2020, 2021 and 2022 to procure around 1.2 GW cumulatively
Virginia Signed Clean Economy Act for development of at least 5.2 GW of offshore wind by 2034


Executive order signed establishing a non-binding 2.5 GW offshore wind target by 2026
Rhode Island Executive order signed to power the state with 100 % renewable energy by 2030


Next auction of up to 600 MW expected in H2 2021
California First BOEM lease auction expected in 2022


State modeling shows approx. 10 GW of offshore wind needed to meet the legislative mandate for 100 % clean power by 2045

Offshore market development – UK and Continental Europe

United
Kingdom

UK Government target annual build-out of 3 GW to reach 40 GW capacity by 2030, including 1 GW of floating wind by 2030

Leasing round in Scotland for 10 GW underway with applications due mid July 2021, results expected by end 2021/early 2022

Announcement of an upcoming leasing round for ~300 MW floating wind projects in the Celtic Sea, timing to be confirmed

CfD
auction expected to open end of 2021 for up to 12 GW of low carbon capacity. Separate pots for onshore wind, solar PV, bottom-fixed and floating offshore wind
Germany
Legally fixed target for offshore wind capacity is 20 GW by 2030 and 40 GW by 2040
First centralised tender launched in February 2021. 0.9-4 GW to be built annually from 2026


New tender framework confirmed, introducing caps of bid levels; selection criteria in case of several zero subsidy bids to be
evaluated in 2022
Netherlands Government target of 11.5 GW offshore wind by 2030, and new government expected to increase target in 2021 by 5-10 GW by 2030


Next tender of 1,520 MW for Holland Coast West with bid deadline H1 2022
Denmark Tender for Thor (0.8-1.0 GW) in Q4 2021. Hesselø
tender (0.8-1.0 GW) delayed due to complex seabed conditions


Tender for designing, building and co-owning an artificial island in the North Sea as hub for up to 10 GW offshore wind in Q1 2023

Tenders for 5 GW of offshore wind farms in total connected to the Bornholm and North Sea Energy Hubs towards 2033
France
Government ambition for tendered capacity of 8.75 GW for the period 2020-2028

Round 4 tender has commenced with a capacity of c. 1 GW
Poland
Offshore Wind Act with aim to award 10.9 GW offshore wind by 2027 signed into law. CfD
auctions in 2025 and 2027 with expected total 5 GW
Belgium
Allocation of approx. 2 GW towards target to construct approx. 4 GW by 2030 and MoU with Denmark for large scale offshore wind power imports
Baltic States
Lithuania: Draft laws for 700 MW 2024 offshore wind tender under review by Lithuanian parliament. Second tender of 700 MW planned for 2025

Latvia and Estonia: MoU between Latvia and Estonia in place for the development of a joint offshore wind project of up to 1 GW
Sweden
100% renewable electricity target by 2040 and carbon neutrality by 2045

National electrification and hydrogen strategies being developed. Government proposal to ease wind farm environmental permitting
Proposed Offshore transmission scheme pending
Norway
Norwegian authorities have opened two areas for offshore wind projects (bottom-fixed and floating) with a max capacity of 4.5 GW
to be allocated through competitive
process in 2022. Details of auction model to be clarified and announced during H1 2022

Offshore market development – APAC

Taiwan
Taiwan has met its target of awarding 5.5 GW to be commissioned by 2025
600 MW Greater Changhua 3 project ready for future auctions


Draft regulation for third round auction announced with 15 GW offshore wind target to be constructed from 2026-2035 up from previously 10GW

The third round auction is expected to take place in June 2022

Authorities have announced a sector deal confirming 10 GW offshore wind target towards 2030 and 30-45 GW by 2040
Japan
Bids submitted in first round auction in Japan in Choshi with TEPCO and in Noshiro and Yurihonjo with JWD/EURUS. Award expected in Q4 2021
11 areas designated as potentially suitable for development of offshore wind for 2nd round onwards with a capacity of approx. 7 GW –

among these, four areas (three in West
Coast and one in Kyusyu (southwest)) have been selected as promising for the 2nd round of promotional zones

12 GW offshore wind build-out has been targeted in order to reach the 20 % renewable mix towards 2030 and up to 35 % by 2040
The government announced 'Green New Deal' to fast track the build-out of renewable projects and industries
South Korea Authorities have further announced the 9th power supply demand plan in Jan. 2021 confirming renewable energy will be 77.8 GW to towards 2034 this equals 62.3 GW new

renewable capacity and of those 25 GW is expected from wind power

Floating lidars deployed and site exclusivity secured off the coast of Incheon to collect data for potential offshore wind sites
of 1.6 GW

Hydrogen Act announced in February 2021 and road map for implementation will follow mid 2021

MoU with POSCO Group to expand relations and support the development of Ørsted's 1.6GW offshore wind project
Other
markets

Vietnamese government released draft Energy Master Plan including a minimum 3-5GW offshore wind target in 2030 and a 9-11GW target for 2035

Ørsted has set up base in Vietnam to build local team and engage with local authorities and partners
Australian government is drafting OFW framework for introduction of legislation by Q3/Q4 2021, following which the government
will undertake a number of
studies to

declare official zones/areas for offshore wind

Upcoming offshore seabed auctions

Hydrogen project pipeline of +3GW

Overview of US offshore wind federal permitting process

Planning & Analysis Leasing Site Assessment Construction & Operations
BOEM1 conducts a BOEM conducts BOEM grants developer Submit COP for NOI Construction and Operations Plan (COP)
process of area
identification,
environmental
reviews, etc.
auctions and
issues leases
up to five years (not all
time must be taken) to
complete requirements
Requirements include
conducting site
Developer submits
a Construction and
Operations Plan
BOEM's issuance of the NOI starts the ~2-year clock for BOEM to approve the COP,
disapprove it, or approve it with modifications. If the COP is approved, then the
developer has its final federal permitting needed to start construction
characterization surveys
and submitting a Site
(COP) before the
five-year site
Environmental Impact Statement (EIS)
Assessment Plan (SAP)
BOEM must approve the
assessment period
expires
BOEM issues a
Notice of Intent
(NOI) once it
deems the
developer's COP
submission as
Complete and
SAP BOEM prepares a Draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) and a
Final EIS. BOEM explores alternatives to the proposed COP
A Record of Decision (ROD) is issued at the end of this process. This
is not the final approval but is a framework for any further required
reviews, site-specific actions, or broad regional mandates
Sufficient Final Permit Approvals
Federal permitting overview2 BOEM may issue
BOEM oversees a four-step process: Planning & Analysis,
Leasing, Site Assessment, and Construction & Operations.
It can take up to roughly a decade in total
We highlight key milestones within each step
This is a new process for BOEM, who have yet to permit
any Projects under this federal process
an Initiation of
Action Notice (IAN)
~2-3 months
before issuing its
NOI. This can
provide an
indication on
timing
BOEM coordinates inter-agency approval. Approval timing varies
per agency, but the last approval deadline is 90 days after the ROD.
This generally coincides with the COP approval
Approvals come from: NOAA,3 The US Army Corps of Engineers, the
Fish and Wildlife Service, and the Environmental Protection Agency

1: BOEM stands for the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management

2: State-level permitting processes vary across states and typically run concurrent with the federal process

3: NOAA stands for National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 23

Onshore build-out plan

Sustainability and ESG at Ørsted

Green leadership

  • In Q2 2021, 93 % of our energy generation was green. We target 99 % green energy generation by 2025.
  • By 2025, we aim to be carbon neutral (scopes 1-2) by reducing ≥ 98 % of our carbon emissions vs. 2006, and by eliminating or covering the remaining < 2 % with offset projects certified to remove atmospheric carbon.
  • By 2040, we aim to reach net-zero emissions across our entire carbon footprint (scopes 1-3), with a midway target to reduce our scope 3 emissions by 50 % by 2032.
  • In 2021, we have placed a ban on landfilling of wind turbine blades.
  • No later than 2030, all projects commissioned must have net positive biodiversity impact.

Contributing to the global goals ESG ratings of Ørsted

Ørsted is an active and LEAD participant of the UN Global Compact and adheres to its ten principles for responsible business behaviour.

Our targets are approved by the Science Based Targets initiative to help keep global warming below 1.5 ºC and are the most ambitious science-based targets in our sector.

Catalysing the green energy transformation

With our core business, we aspire to have a transformational impact on SDG 7 on affordable and clean energy and SDG 13 on climate action:

Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts

Rating agency Score Benchmark
A Highest possible rating and
recognised as a global
leader on climate action
AAA Highest possible rating for
four consecutive years
B+ No. 1 of all utilities and
awarded highest possible
'Prime' status
80 Platinum Medal for being
among top 1 % of
companies assessed by
EcoVadis

ESG Performance

Group – Financial highlights

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q2 2021 Q2 2020 D FY 2020 FY 2019 D
EBITDA DKKm 8,196 2,956 177 % 18,124 17,484 4 %
Offshore
7,527 2,361 219 % 14,750 15,161 (3 %)

Onshore
178 312 (43 %) 1,131 786 44 %

Bioenergy & Other
503 185 172 % 2,136 1,495 43 %
Operating profit (EBIT) 6,237 1,129 452 % 10,536 10,052 5 %
Total net
profit
5,544 (825) n.a. 16,716 6,044 177 %
Operating cash flow 3,147 8,197 (62 %) 16,466 13,079 26 %
Gross investments (12,133) (3,757) 223 % (26,967) (23,305) 16 %
Divestments 10,591 45 n.a. 19,039 3,329 472 %
Free
cash flow –
continuing operations
1,605 4,485 (64 %) 8,538 (6,897) n.a.
Net interest-bearing debt 12,067 22,272 (46 %) 12,343 17,230 (28 %)
FFO/Adjusted net debt1 % 62.9 43.4 20 %p 48.3 31.0 17 %p
ROCE1 % 12.5 10.8 2 %p 9.7 10.6 (1 %p)

Offshore – Financial highlights

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q2 2021 Q2 2020 D FY 2020 FY 2019 D
EBITDA DKKm 7,527 2,361 219 % 14,750 15,161 (3 %)
Sites,
O&Ms and PPAs
2,368 2,578 (8 %) 15,476 13,750 13 %

Construction agreements and
divestment gains
5,648 396 n.a. 1,593 3,765 (58 %)

Other, incl. project
development
(489) (613) (20 %) (2,319) (2,354) (1 %)
KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS
Power
generation
TWh 2.5 2.6 (4 %) 15.2 12.0 27 %
Wind speed m/s 7.8 8.4 (7 %) 9.8 9.2 7 %
Availability % 93 95 (2 %p) 94 93 1 %p
Load factor % 29 32 (3 %p) 45 42 3 %p
Decided (FID) and installed
capacity*
GW 9.8 9.9 (1 %) 9.9 9.9 0 %
Installed capacity* GW 7.6 6.8 12 % 7.6 6.8 11 %
Generation capacity** GW 4.0 3.8 5 % 4.4 3.6 21 %

The wind speed indicates how many metres per second the wind has blown in the areas where we have offshore wind farms. The weighting is based on our generation capacity * Indicates m/s for full year 2021 (if Q3 and Q4 follows the normal wind year)

In Q2 2021, we aligned our definition of installed capacity, hence all assets (installed or FID'ed) are reported using nameplate capacity. Previously a few wind farms were using 'power optimised capacity' or 'export cable limit capacity' We have improved the accuracy of our offshore wind speed calculations in 2021 and restated 2020 wind speed data to support comparison. In 2021 we have used an improved input data set for calculating wind speeds for offshore wind farms. Previously individual wind speed measuring points covered several wind farms and were reported for an average hub height. Now each offshore wind farm has its own specific wind speed measuring point for the actual wind farm height. For comparison reasons we have also updated the actual and normal wind speed data reported for 2020 using the new more detailed wind speed datasets.

28 ** Generation capacity: Gunfleet Sands and Walney 1 & 2 are consolidated according to ownership interest. Other wind farms are financially consolidated

Onshore – Financial highlights

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q2 2021 Q2 2020 D FY 2020 FY 2019 D
EBITDA DKKm 178 312 (43 %) 1,131 786 44 %

Sites
(5) 103 n.a. 451 466 (3 %)
Production tax credits and tax attributes
312 268 16 % 1,004 628 60 %

Other, incl. project development
(129) (59) 119 % (324) (308) 5 %
KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS
Power
generation
TWh 2.0 1.6 25 % 5.7 3.5 64 %
Wind speed, US m/s 7.3 8.0 (9 %) 7.6 7.3 4 %
Availability, US wind % 97 96 1 %p 96 98 (2 %p)
Availability, US solar PV % 90 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Load factor, US wind % 45 49 (4 %p) 45 45 0 %p
Load factor, US solar PV % 29 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Installed capacity GW 2.5 1.6 50 % 1.7 1.0 67 %

2020 2021 "Normal wind year"

The wind speed indicates how many metres per second the wind has blown in the areas where we have onshore wind farms. The weighting is based on our generation capacity * Indicates m/s for full year 2021 (if Q3 and Q4 follows the normal wind year)

Bioenergy & Other – Financial highlights

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q2 2021 Q2 2020 D FY 2020 FY 2019 D
EBITDA DKKm 503 185 172 % 2,136 1,495 43 %

CHP plants
351 152 131 % 1,111 1,152 (4 %)

Gas Markets & Infrastructure
232 (190) n.a. 411 390 5 %
LNG
- - n.a. - (957) n.a.

Distribution, B2C, and city light
- 305 n.a. 926 1,280 (28 %)

Other, incl. project development
(80) (82) (2 %) (312) (370) (16 %)
KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS
Heat generation TWh 1.1 1.0 10 % 6.7 8.3 (20 %)
Power
generation
TWh 1.5 0.9 67 % 4.4 4.6 (4 %)
Degree days # 487 436 12 % 2,432 2,399 1 %

Currency and energy exposure

Energy exposure Q3 2021 – Q2 2026 DKKbn

Before hedging After hedging

Risk after hedging
DKKbn
Effect of price +10 % Effect of price -10 %
Power: 9.3 sales position +0.9 -0.9
Gas: 0.3 sales position +0.0 -0.0
Oil: 0.2 sales position +0.0 -0.0
  1. The GBP exchange rate for hedges impacting EBITDA in 2021 and 2022 is hedged at an average exchange rate of DKK/GBP 8.4 and 8.2.

31 2. For USD and TWD we manage our risk as a natural time spread between front-end capital expenditures and long-end revenue.

Capital employed

Capital employed, DKKm H1 2021 FY 2020 H1 2020 FY 2019
Intangible assets and property and equipment 138,459 122,249 114,496 106,685
Equity Investments and non-current receivables 902 1,928 2,241 1,044
Net working capital, work in progress 6,463 9,775 10,030 8,756
Net working capital, tax equity (8,338) (7,246) (7,588) (4,587)
Net working capital, capital expenditures (4,991) (4,040) (9,121) (3,304)
Net working capital, other items 1,699 2,228 1,092 2,540
Derivatives, net (11,466) (209) 2,454 782
Assets classified as held for sale, net 654 793 8,182 8,211
Decommissioning obligations (7,768) (7,002) (6,490) (6,158)
Other provisions (6,811) (6,861) (6,168) (6,443)
Tax, net 451 (771) (334) (253)
Other receivables and other payables, net (277) (1,172) (591) (481)
TOTAL CAPITAL EMPLOYED 108,977 109,672 108,237 106,792

Offshore

Onshore

Bioenergy & Other

FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation

Funds from operations (FFO), DKKm H1 2021 FY 2020 H1 2020
EBITDA* 21,423 18,124 18,489
Change in provisions and other adjustments 606 (403) (1,003)
Reversal of gain (loss) on divestment of assets (5,196) (805) (878)
Income tax paid (952) (1,118) (1,296)
Interests and similar items, received/paid (1,301) (1,829) (1,439)
Reversal of interest expenses transferred
to assets
(545) (449) (377)
50 % of coupon
payments on
hybrid capital
(215) (245) (278)
Dividends received and capital reductions 46 18 15
FUNDS FROM OPERATION (FFO) 13,866 13,293 13,233
Adjusted interest-bearing net debt, DKKm H1 2021 FY 2020 H1 2020
Total
interest-bearing
net debt
12,067 12,343 22,272
50 % of hybrid capital 8,992 6,616 6,616
Cash
and securities, not available for distribution
977 1,485 1,628
FFO / ADJUSTED INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT 62.9 % 65.0 % 43.4 %

ADJUSTED INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT 22,036 20,444 30,516

*Last 12 months – EBITDA according to business performance up until end of 2020

Debt overview

Hybrid capital in short

Hybrid capital can broadly be defined as funding instruments that combine features of debt and equity in a cost-efficient manner:

  • Hybrid capital encompasses the creditsupportive features of equity and improves rating ratios
  • Perpetual or long-dated final maturity (1,000 years for Ørsted)
  • Absolute discretion to defer coupon payments and such deferrals do not constitute default nor trigger cross-default
  • Deeply subordinated and only senior to common equity
  • Without being dilutive to equity holders (no ownership and voting rights, no right to dividend)

Due to hybrid's equity-like features, rating agencies assign equity content to the hybrids when calculating central rating ratios (e.g. FFO/NIBD).

The hybrid capital increases Ørsted's investment capacity and supports our growth strategy and rating target.

Ørsted has made use of hybrid capital to maintain our ratings at target level in connection with the merger with Danish power distribution and production companies back in 2006 and in recent years to support our growth in the offshore wind sector.

Accounting treatment

  • Hybrid bonds are classified as equity
  • Coupon payments are recognised in equity and do not have any effect on profit (loss) for the year
  • Coupon payments are recognised in the statement of cash flows in the same way as dividend payments
  • For further information see note 6.3 in the 2020 Annual Report
Hybrids
issued by
Ørsted A/S1
Principal
amount
Type First
par call
Coupon Accounting
treatment2
Tax
treatment
Rating
treatment
6.25 % hybrid due 3013 EUR 350 m Hybrid
capital
(subordinated)
Jun.
2023
Fixed during the first 10 years,
first 25bp
step-up in Jun. 2023
100 % equity Debt –
tax-deductible
coupon payments
50 % equity,
50 % debt
2.25 % Green hybrid due 3017 EUR 500 m Hybrid
capital
(subordinated)
Nov. 2024 Fixed
during the first 7 years,
first 25bp step-up in Nov. 2029
100 % equity Debt –
tax-deductible
coupon payments
50 % equity,
50 % debt
1.75 % Green hybrid due 3019 EUR 600 m Hybrid
capital
(subordinated)
Dec. 2027 Fixed
during the first 8 years,
first 25bp step-up in Dec. 2032
100 % equity Debt –
tax-deductible
coupon payments
50 % equity,
50 % debt
1.50 % Green hybrid due 3021 EUR 500 m Hybrid
capital
(subordinated)
Feb. 2031 Fixed during the first 10 years,
first 25bp step-up in Feb. 2031
100 % equity Debt –
tax-deductible
coupon payments
50 % equity,
50 % debt
2.50 % Green hybrid due 3021 GBP 425 m Hybrid
capital
(subordinated)
Feb. 2033 Fixed during the first 12 years,
first 25bp step-up in Feb. 2033
100 % equity Debt –
tax-deductible
coupon payments
50 % equity,
50 % debt
  1. All listed on Luxembourg Stock Exchange and rated Baa3 (Moody's), BB+ (S&P) and BBB- (Fitch). The four Green hybrids are furthermore listed on the Luxembourg Green Exchange (LGX)

  2. Due to the 1,000-year structure 35

Ørsted's outstanding bonds

Bond Type Issue date Maturity Face Value Principal
amount
Coupon Coupon payments Green
bond
Allocated to green
projects (DKKm)
Avoided emissions (t CO2
/year)
attributable to the bonds
Senior Unsecured Dec. 2009 16 Dec. 2021 EUR 500m EUR 272m 4.875% Every 16 Dec. No n/a n/a
Senior Unsecured Sep. 2012 19 Sep. 2022 EUR 750m EUR 517m 2.625% Every 19 Sep. No n/a n/a
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2017 26 Nov. 2029 EUR 750m EUR 750m 1.5% Every 26 Nov. Yes 5,499 632,000
Senior Unsecured Apr. 2010 9 Apr. 2040 GBP 500m GBP 500m 5.750% Every 9 Apr. No n/a n/a
Senior Unsecured Jan. 2012 12 Jan. 2032 GBP 750m GBP 750m 4.875% Every 12 Jan. No n/a n/a
Senior Unsecured May 2019 17 May 2027 GBP 350m GBP 350m 2.125% Every 17 May Yes 2,968 346,000
Senior Unsecured May 2019 16 May 2033 GBP 300m GBP 300m 2.5% Every 16 May Yes 2,518 283,000
Senior Unsecured/CPI-linked May 2019 16 May 2034 GBP 250m GBP 250m 0.375% Every 16 May & 16 Nov. Yes 1,800 198,000
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2019 19 Nov. 2026 TWD 4,000m TWD 4,000m 0.92% Every 19 Nov. Yes 882 76,000
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2019 19 Nov. 2034 TWD 8,000m TWD 8,000m 1.5% Every 19 Nov. Yes 1,765 152,000
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2020 13 Nov. 2027 TWD 4,000m TWD 4,000m 0.6% Every 13 Nov. Yes 500 43,000
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2020 13 Nov. 2030 TWD 3,000m TWD 3,000m 0.7% Every 13 Nov. Yes 661 57,000
Senior Unsecured Nov. 2020 13 Nov. 2040 TWD 8,000m TWD 8,000m 0.98% Every 13 Nov. Yes 1,000 86,000
Hybrid capital Jun. 2013 26 Jun. 3013 EUR 700m EUR 350m 6.25% Every 26 Jun. No n/a n/a
Hybrid capital Nov. 2017 24 Nov. 3017 EUR 500m EUR 500m 2.25% Every 24 Nov. Yes 3,674 423,000
Hybrid capital Dec. 2019 9 Dec. 3019 EUR 600m EUR 600m 1.75% Every 9 Dec. Yes 2,800 413,000
Hybrid capital Feb. 2021 18 Feb. 3021 EUR 500m EUR 500m 1.50% Every 18 Feb. Yes n/a n/a
Hybrid capital Feb. 2021 18 Feb. 3021 GBP425m GBP425m 2.50% Every 18 Feb. Yes n/a n/a

36 Ørsted's Green Finance Framework, allocated the dark green shading in the Second Opinion from CICERO Shades of Green, includes Green Bonds, Green Loans and other types of green financing instruments. Ørsted applies green proceeds exclusively for the financing of eligible projects, currently offshore wind projects. Besides the outstanding Green Bonds, Ørsted additionally has a TWD 25bn Green RCF to finance the construction of the offshore wind projects in Taiwan.

Financing strategy

At Ørsted, we have a centralised financing strategy utilizing our strong balance sheet and diverse portfolio.

The strategy supports:

  • A capital structure supportive of our BBB+ rating ambition
  • Concentration of and scale in financing activities
  • Cost efficient financing based on a strong parent rating
  • Optimal terms and conditions and uniform documentation
  • Transparent and simple debt structure
  • No financial covenants and restrictions on operating arrangements
  • Corporate market more stable and predictable than project finance market
  • Avoidance of structural subordination

The financing strategy optimizes the effect of a fully integrated cash pool where cash at practically all of the company's more than 200 subsidiaries is made available for the company's financing and liquidity purposes.

Financing of activities at subsidiary level is provided by Ørsted A/S in a standardised and cost-efficient setup.

Widespread use of project financing is not considered cost-efficient and dilutes the creditworthiness of the company.

Currency risk management

General principles

  • Highly certain cash flows are hedged
  • Cost-of-hedging is minimized by netting of exposures in the portfolio of projects, as well as use of construction contracts and debt in local currencies.

Managing outright long risk

  • Operations: 5-year minimum hedging staircase mandate by the Board of Directors with 100 % in year 1 – declining to 20 % in year 5. The hedging staircase is a compromise between stabilizing cash flows in the front-end and ensuring a balanced FFO/NIBD.
  • Beyond the 5-year horizon the currency exposures are to some extent hedged with foreign-currency debt.

Managing time-spread risk (new markets)

  • Construction period: Hedge 100 % of year 1 currency cash flow risk by swapping the exposure to a year with the same currency revenue.
  • In new markets the capital expenditures beyond year 1 are netted with future revenue in the same currency.

Interest rate and inflation risk management

Assets and debt allocation Illustrative

Objectives of interest rate and inflation risk management

    1. Protect long-term real value of equity by offsetting interest and inflation risk exposure embedded in assets by allocating debt with similar, but opposite risk exposure
    1. Cost of funding optimized by actively managing debt portfolio
    1. Cost of hedging minimised by using natural portfolio synergies between assets, allowing matching of up to 100 % of asset value with appropriate debt

Framework for risk management

  • Assets divided into risk categories based on nature of inflation and interest rate risk exposure
  • Simple risk metrics are used to match assets with appropriate debt within each category
  • Fixed nominal-category has first priority for debt allocation to protect shareholders against inflation
  • Inflation-indexed revenues reserved to service equity return for shareholders thereby to a large extent protecting the real value of equity against fluctuations in inflation

Energy risk management

  • We manage energy market risks to protect Ørsted against price volatility and to ensure stable and robust financial ratios that support our growth strategy
  • For Offshore, a substantial share of energy production is subsidized through either fixed tariffs or green certificates. Remaining exposure is hedged at a declining rate up to five years
  • Onshore mitigate their power exposure by entering into long-term power sales agreements and commodity hedges
  • Markets & Bioenergy manage their market risk actively by hedging with derivatives in the energy markets up to five years

Note: expected exposure 2021-2025, as of 31/12/2020

Risk picture Hedging of open exposure

  • Open energy exposure is reduced actively
  • Minimum hedging requirements are determined by the Board of Directors. In the first two years, a high degree of hedging ensures stable cash flows
  • The degree of hedging is declining in subsequent years. This is due to: 1) reduced certainty about long-term production volumes and 2) increasing hedging costs in the medium to long term: both spread costs and potential cost of collateral

Offshore minimum power hedging requirement

Note: actual hedging level is significantly higher

Allan Bødskov Andersen Head of Investor Relations [email protected]

Alex Morgan Lead Investor Relations Officer [email protected]

Rasmus Hærvig Senior Manager [email protected]

Sabine Lohse Senior Investor Relations Officer [email protected]

Henriette Stenderup IR Coordinator [email protected]