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Ørsted — Investor Presentation 2019
Aug 8, 2019
3378_rns_2019-08-08_ae8ac44f-5b3f-4e23-84ff-fc1b5ce3cdea.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Ørsted
Investor presentation
Q2 2019

8 August 2019
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to, the statements and expectations contained in the "Financial Outlook" section of this presentation. Statements herein, other than statements of historical fact, regarding our future results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, business strategy, plans and future objectives are forward-looking statements. Words such as "targets", "believe", "expect", "aim", "intend", "plan", "seek", "will", "may", "should", "anticipate", "continue", "predict" or variations of these words, as well as other statements regarding matters that are not historical fact or regarding future events or prospects, constitute forward-looking statements.
Ørsted have based these forward-looking statements on its current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted in the forward-looking statements and from the past performance of Ørsted. Although, Ørsted believes that the estimates and projections reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, they may prove materially incorrect and actual results may materially differ due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to market risks, development of construction and production assets, regulatory risks, operation of offshore and onshore wind farms, cost of electricity for offshore and onshore wind power. As a result you should not rely on these forward-looking statements. Please also refer to the overview of risk factors in "Risk and Management" on p. 66 of the 2018 annual report, available at www.orsted.com.
Unless required by law, Ørsted is under no duty and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement after the distribution of this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Ørsted
Two major US offshore wind projects awarded and results in line with expectations
Highlights – Q2 2019
- EBITDA totalled DKK 3.6 billion, an increase of 18% compared to Q2 2018, and in line with expectations
- EBITDA from offshore wind farms in operation increased by 29%, to DKK 2.3 billion in Q2 2019
- Green share of generation reached 85%
- Ørsted selected as preferred bidder for New Jersey’s first offshore wind farm with a capacity of 1.1GW
- Ørsted selected as preferred bidder in New York offshore wind solicitation with a capacity of 880MW
- Lockett onshore wind farm commissioned in July well ahead of schedule
- Successfully secured GBP 900 million funding through green bonds and NTD 25 billion of green loan facility
- The Copenhagen Maritime and Commercial Court ruled in our favour in case concerning the usage of the Ørsted name
- Consolidated Customer Solutions and Bioenergy into a new business unit, Markets & Bioenergy

Ørsted
Ørsted selected as preferred bidder in New Jersey and New York offshore wind solicitations
1,100MW Ocean Wind project in New Jersey
- Selected to negotiate a 20-year offshore wind renewable energy certificate (OREC)
- The 20-year OREC price is USD 98.10 per MWh from 2024, with a 2% annual escalator (corresponding to a levelized 2017 price of USD 86.40 per MWh)
- Project supported by PSEG, who has an option to become an equity investor in the project
- Subject to final investment decision, Ocean Wind is expected to be commissioned in 2024
880MW Sunrise Wind project in New York
- Selected to negotiate a 25-year offshore wind renewable energy certificate (OREC)
- 50-50 partnership with Eversource
- Exploring transmission partnerships with New York Power Authority (NYPA) and Con Edison
- Subject to final investment decision, Sunrise Wind is expected to be commissioned in 2024

Orsted
Construction programme – Offshore
| Project | Hornsea 1 | Borssele 1&2 | Virginia | Hornsea 2 | Changhua 1&2a |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | |||||
| Asset type | |||||
| Capacity | 1,218MW | 752MW | 12MW (EPC) | 1,386MW | 900MW |
| Expected completion | Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 / Q1 2021 | Q4 2020 | H1 2022 | 2022 |
| Status | On track | On track | On track | On track | On track |
| Comments | All foundations and array cables installed | ||||
| 131 out of 174 turbines installed | Manufacturing of key components progressing | ||||
| Construction of O&M building progressing | Key contracts signed | ||||
| Onshore construction work commenced | Key contracts signed | ||||
| Onshore construction work ongoing | Signing of contracts ongoing | ||||
| Start of onshore construction |

Orsted
Construction programme – Onshore, Bioenergy and Power Distribution
| Project | Lockett | Sage Draw | Willow Creek | Asnæs CHP plant | Renescience Northwich | Smart meter roll-out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | ||||||
| Asset type | ||||||
| Capacity | 184MW | 338MW | 103MW | 125MW Heat, 25MW Power | 120,000 tonnes waste | 1 million installations |
| Expected completion | Q3 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | End of 2019 | 2020 |
| Status | Commissioned | On track | On track | On track | Commissioning delayed | On track |
| Comments | Reached COD July 2019 | Construction commenced June 2019 | ||||
| Road and foundation installation underway | Construction commenced July 2019 | |||||
| Civil works scheduled to complete by end of 2019 | Conversion from coal to sustainable wood chips | Reconfiguration completed | ||||
| Ramp-up of waste throughput and production ongoing | 976,000 smart meters in use end of Q2 2019 |
Orsted
Offshore market development – US
| Massachusetts | • 800MW offshore wind solicitation with bids due on 23 August 2019
• Outcome expected in November 2019
• Passed bill which could increase offshore wind capacity to 3.2GW by 2030 |
| --- | --- |
| New York | • Ørsted/Eversource awarded 880MW in offshore wind solicitation with Sunrise Wind
• 1.7GW awarded with next auction of 800-1,200MW expected in H2 2020
• Target of 9GW of offshore wind capacity by 2035
• Federal agency BOEM expected to release final offshore lease areas early 2020, with lease auctions later in 2020 (expected to be two areas of at least 800MW each) |
| New Jersey | • Ørsted awarded 1.1GW in the first offshore wind solicitation
• Subsequent auctions of 1.2GW each expected in 2020 and 2022, respectively
• Target of 3.5GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030 |
| Connecticut | • Legislation signed approving procurement of additional 2GW of offshore wind capacity
• 400-800MW offshore wind solicitation with bids expected due on 30 September 2019
• Outcome expected in November 2019 |
| Rhode Island | • 400MW PPA for Revolution Wind has been approved by regulators |
| Maryland | • Target of approx. 1.6GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030
• Auctions of at least 400MW each expected in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively |

Orsted
Offshore market development – Europe
| United Kingdom | • 2019 UK CfD bid window closed, subsequent auctions every two years
• Target annual build-out of 1-2GW to reach 30GW capacity by 2030
• Hornsea 3 consent process moving forward as planned
• Crown Estate’s extensions leasing round in progress. Expected to conclude Q3 2019
• Auction framework for 7GW of new lease areas announced. Auction expected June 2020 |
| --- | --- |
| Germany | • First centralised tender expected in 2021, approx. 800MW to be built annually from 2026
• Target of 15GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030 |
| Netherlands | • 760MW awarded in the Holland Coast South 3&4 tender
• Government target of 11.5GW offshore wind by 2030
• Next tender of up to 760MW expected early 2020 |
| Denmark | • Three offshore wind tenders of at least 2.4GW in total towards 2030
• Tenders to include the offshore transmission assets
• Next tender of 800-1,000MW will be issued in 2019, with expected bid in 2021 |
| France | • 600MW awarded in the Dunkirk tender
• Government target increased from 5GW to 10GW offshore wind by 2028
• Final energy plan announced Feb. 2019. Round 4 expected in 2020 with 1GW capacity |
| Poland | • Target of 10.3GW offshore wind by 2040 |

Orsted
Offshore market development – APAC
Taiwan
- Taiwan has met its target of awarding 5.5GW to be commissioned by 2025
- Auctions of additional 4.5GW post 2025 is being planned. Third round development auction design expected to be announced in Q4 2019
- 600MW Greater Changhua 3 project ready for future auctions
Japan
- Target of 10GW offshore and onshore wind power to be constructed by 2030
- Signed MoU to work jointly with TEPCO on Choshi offshore wind project near Tokyo
- 11 areas designated as potentially suitable for development of offshore wind
- Four areas, incl. Choshi, have been selected to have wind measurement and geological surveys conducted by the government immediately
South Korea
- 13GW offshore wind build-out target towards 2030
- Strong need for offshore wind based on onshore limitations and large energy imports
- Feasibility study of offshore wind sites ongoing, conducted by the government and local players

Orsted
Continued expansion of US onshore portfolio

Development pipeline with offtake contracted
Plum Creek Wind - 230MW - SPP, NE
- 12 year PPA with Smucker Co, Avery Dennison and Vail Resort for >70% capacity
- Turbine Supply Agreement and Interconnection Agreement executed
- Target FID in H2 2019 and COD in 2020
Permian Solar - 400MW... - ERCOT West, TX
- Executed 12 year PPA with ExxonMobil
- Target FID in H2 2019 and COD in 2021
Orsted
Continued reduction of carbon emissions
98% carbon intensity reduction from our energy generation and operations (scope 1&2) by 2025
gCO₂e/kWh

New target: 50% reduction in scope 3 emissions by 2032¹
Thousand tonnes CO₂e

11 1. 2018 will be the base year for our scope 3 target, as this is the first year for which we have consolidated our scope 3 emissions
Orsted
Results in line with expectations

EBITDA increased by DKK 0.5bn
- Earnings from operating offshore wind farms up 29% driven by ramp up
- Generation from the underlying portfolio affected by curtailments and outages in Q2 2019
- Higher project development costs in Offshore
- Contribution from Onshore in Q2 2019
- Bioenergy below Q2 2018 due to timing of maintenance costs
- Higher earnings from trading related to hedging of our energy exposures and strong underlying margins in our gas portfolio, partly offset by lower earnings related to our gas at storage

Net profit up DKK 0.2bn
- Higher EBITDA
- Partly offset by higher depreciation from new wind farms in operation

FCF increased DKK 4.0bn
- Release of funds tied up in work in progress due to received milestone payment from partner related to construction of Hornsea 1
- Higher receivables and lower payables
- Gross investments of DKK 3.4bn
Orsted
Decrease in net debt and solid financial ratios

Net interest-bearing debt development
DKKm
31 Mar 2019
Free cash flow
Hybrid coupon
Disc. operations
Other
30 Jun 2019
Net interest-bearing debt of DKK 5.0bn
- Free cash flow of DKK 4.1bn
- Hybrid coupon paid offset by exchange rate adjustments

FFO / Adj. net debt %
44
30 Jun 2018
30 Jun 2019
FFO / Adj. net debt of 58%
- Credit metric above our target of around 30%

ROCE (LTM) %
23
30 Jun 2018
30 Jun 2019
ROCE of 29%
- Significant positive effect from farm-down gains in both years
Orsted
Offshore – Q2 financial performance

Power generation increased 22%
- Ramp-up of generation from Walney Ext., Borkum Riffgrund 2 and Hornsea 1 (Q2'19 +0.3TWh)
- Generation from the underlying portfolio affected by curtailments and outages (Q2'19 -0.3TWh)
- Higher wind speeds than Q2 2018 (8.0m/s vs. 7.9m/s in 2018. Norm 8.2m/s)

EBITDA increased DKK 0.2bn
- Earnings from operating wind farms increased 29% due to ramp-up
- Partnership earnings in line with Q2 2018
- Increased project development costs related to activities in the US and Taiwan

FCF increased DKK 7.4bn
- Release of funds tied up in work in progress, due to received milestone payment from partner related to construction of Hornsea 1
- Lower gross investment than Q2 2018
Orsted
Onshore – Q2 financial performance

Power generation TWh
Power generation of 0.8TWh
- Wind speed of 7.7m/s in Q2 2019 vs. norm of 8.4m/s
- High availability of 97% across portfolio

EBITDA DKKm
EBITDA of DKK 167m
- EBITDA from Sites and PTCs, partly offset by project development and other costs

Free cash flow DKKm
FCF of DKK -1.2bn
- Construction of Sage Draw and Lockett
- Acquisition of Willow Creek project and development activities of Coronal Energy
Orsted
Bioenergy – Q2 financial performance

EBITDA down DKK 0.1bn
- Lower EBITDA from Power due to timing of maintenance costs
- Underlying earnings in line with Q2 2018

FCF increased DKK 0.3bn
- Lower gross investment in bioconversion of Asnæs Power Station
- Higher trade and VAT payables due to higher generation

Orsted
Customer Solutions – Q2 financial performance

EBITDA increased DKK 0.2bn
- Higher earnings from trading related to hedging of our energy exposures
- Optimisation of LNG assets in Europe
- Strong underlying margins in our gas portfolio
- Partly offset by lower earnings related to our gas at storage

FCF decreased DKK 2.6bn
- Higher receivables related to ROC factoring
- Lower payables from lower gas volumes sourced

Orsted
2019 guidance and long-term financial estimates and policies
| 2019 guidance | DKKbn |
|---|---|
| EBITDA without new partnerships | 15.5-16.5 |
| Gross investments | 21-23 |
| Business unit EBITDA FY 2019 vs. FY 2018 | Direction |
| --- | --- |
| Offshore | Higher |
| Onshore | Significantly higher |
| Bioenergy | Higher |
| Customer Solutions | In line |
Financial estimates
| Total capex spend, 2019-2025 | DKK 200bn |
|---|---|
| Capex allocation split, 2019-2025: | |
| - Offshore | 75-85% |
| - Onshore | 15-20% |
| - Bioenergy + Customer Solutions | 0-5% |
| Average ROCE, 2019-2025 | ~10% |
| Average share of EBITDA from regulated and contracted activities, 2019-2025 | ~90% |
| Average yearly increase in EBITDA from offshore and onshore wind farms in operation, 2017-2023 | ~20% |
Financial policies
| Rating (Moody's/S&P/Fitch) | Baa1/BBB+/BBB+ |
|---|---|
| FFO/Adjusted net debt | Around 30% |
Dividend policy:
Ambition to increase the dividend paid by a high single-digit rate compared to the dividend for the previous year up until 2025
Orsted
Q&A
Conference call
DK: +45 35 44 55 83
UK: +44 203 194 0544
US: +1 855 269 2604
For questions, please press 01
Orsted

Appendix
Ørsted
Renewable capacity as of 30 June 2019
| Indicator | Unit | H1 2019 | FY 2018 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Installed renewable capacity | MW | 8,303 | 8,303 | 6,995 |
| - Offshore wind power | MW | 5,602 | 5,602 | 5,107 |
| - Denmark | MW | 1,006 | 1,006 | 1,006 |
| - United Kingdom | MW | 3,182 | 3,182 | 3,182 |
| - Germany | MW | 1,384 | 1,384 | 919 |
| - US | MW | 30 | 30 | - |
| - Onshore wind power, US | MW | 803 | 803 | - |
| - Solar power, US | MW | 10 | 10 | - |
| - Thermal heat, biomass, Denmark | MW | 1,888 | 1,888 | 1,888 |
| Decided (FID) renewable capacity (not yet installed) | MW | 5,006 | 3,665 | 3,931 |
| - Offshore wind power | MW | 4,256 | 3,356 | 3,806 |
| - United Kingdom | MW | 2,604 | 2,604 | 2,604 |
| - Germany | MW | - | - | 450 |
| - Netherlands | MW | 752 | 752 | 752 |
| - Taiwan | 900 | - | - | |
| - Onshore wind power, US | MW | 625 | 184 | - |
| - Thermal heat, biomass, Denmark | MW | 125 | 125 | 125 |
| Awarded and contracted capacity (not yet FID) renewable capacity | MW | 4,746 | 4,796 | 2,962 |
| - Offshore wind power | MW | 4,116 | 3,916 | 2,962 |
| - Germany | MW | 1,142 | 1,142 | 1,142 |
| - US | MW | 2,054 | 954 | - |
| - Taiwan | MW | 920 | 1,820 | 1,820 |
| - Onshore wind power, US | MW | 230 | 530 | - |
| - Solar power, US | MW | 400 | 350 | - |
| Sum of installed and FID capacity | MW | 13,309 | 11,968 | 10,926 |
| Sum of installed + FID + awarded and contracted capacity | MW | 18,055 | 16,764 | 13,888 |
Installed renewable capacity
Installed renewable capacity is calculated as the cumulative renewable gross capacity installed by Ørsted before divestments.
For installed renewable thermal capacity, we use the heat capacity, as heat is the primary outcome of thermal energy generation, and as bioconversions of the combined heat and power plants are driven by heat contracts.
Decided (FID) renewable capacity
Decided (FID) capacity is the renewable capacity for which a final investment decision (FID) has been made.
Awarded and contracted renewable capacity
Awarded renewable capacity is based on the capacities which have been awarded to Ørsted in auctions and tenders.
Contracted capacity is the capacity for which Ørsted has signed a contract or power purchase agreement (PPA) concerning a new renewable energy plant.
Typically, offshore wind farms are awarded, whereas onshore wind farms are contracted. We include the full capacity if more than 50% of PPAs/offtake are secured.
Ørsted
Offshore wind build-out plan

Orsted
Onshore wind build-out plan

Installed capacity
| Region | ERCOT, TX | SPP, SD | SPP, NE | ERCOT, TX |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected completion | Q1 2020 | Q4 2020 | 2020 (Pending FID) | 2021 (Pending FID) |
| Turbine | GE | GE | GE | n/a |
| Offtake solution | PPA with ExxonMobil | Currently being assessed | PPAs with Smucker Co, Avery Dennison and Vail Resort | PPA with ExxonMobil |

Orsted
Sustainability and ESG at Ørsted
Green leadership
- We want to help limit global warming to a maximum of 1.5C.
- In H1 2019, 82% of our energy generation was green. By 2025, we target 99%.
- We have reduced the carbon intensity of our energy generation by 83%¹. By 2025, we target 98%.
- We have also set a target to reduce the emissions in our supply chain and from the end-use of our products by 50% in 2032, compared to 2018

Carbon intensity of power and heat generation
Contributing to the global goals

WE SUPPORT
Ørsted has been a signatory to the UN Global Compact for 13 years and adheres to its ten principles for responsible business behaviour.
Strong commitment to UN Sustainable Development Goals
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) define some of the greatest societal challenges of our time.
SDGs where Ørsted makes the biggest difference:

Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

Promote inclusive and sustainable economic growth, employment and decent work for all

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts
ESG ratings of Ørsted
| Rating agency | Rating 2018 | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| CDP | B | • No. 17 of all energy companies |
| • Our aim is to achieve an A rating | ||
| MSCI | AAA | • Highest possible rating |
| SUSTAINALYTICS | 77 of 100 | • No. 1 among direct market cap peers |
| • ‘Outperformer’ among utilities | ||
| GRESB | 84 of 100 | • Highest possible 5-star rating |
| • No. 1 ‘Sector Leader’ | ||
| IS5 (rekom>) | B | • Top 3 of 104 electric utilities |
| • Awarded ‘Prime’ status |
- Compared with 2006
Ørsted
Group – Financial highlights
| FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Δ | FY 2018 | FY 2017 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | DKKm | 3,625 | 3,079 | 18% | 30,029 | 22,519 | 33% |
| • Offshore | 3,301 | 3,090 | 7% | 27,809 | 20,595 | 35% | |
| • Onshore | 167 | - | n.a. | 44 | - | n.a. | |
| • Bioenergy | (159) | (71) | 124% | 367 | 152 | 141% | |
| • Customer Solutions | 310 | 122 | 154% | 1,970 | 2,082 | (5%) | |
| Net profit – continuing operations | 1,093 | 876 | 25% | 19,486 | 13,279 | 47% | |
| Net profit – discontinued operations | (18) | (19) | (5%) | 10 | 6,920 | (692%) | |
| Total net profit | 1,075 | 857 | 25% | 19,496 | 20,199 | (3%) | |
| Operating cash flow | 7,510 | 3,293 | 128% | 10,343 | 1,023 | 911% | |
| Gross investments | (3,368) | (3,109) | 8% | (24,481) | (17,744) | (38%) | |
| Divestments | (11) | (14) | (29%) | 19,950 | 16,982 | 17% | |
| Free cash flow – continuing operations | 4,131 | 170 | n.a. | 5,812 | 261 | 2127% | |
| Net interest-bearing debt | 9,111 | 4,331 | 110% | (2,219) | (1,517) | (3%) | |
| FFO/Adjusted net debt¹ | % | 57.5% | 44.3% | 13.2%p | 69 | 50 | 19%p |
| ROCE¹ | % | 29.3% | 23.5% | 5.8%p | 32.1 | 25.2 | 6.9%p |

25 1. ROCE: Last 12 months
Orsted
Offshore — Financial highlights
| FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | DKKm | 3,301 | 3,090 | 7% |
| • Sites incl. O&Ms and PPAs | 2,281 | 1,767 | 29% | |
| • Partnership agreements and farm-down gains | 1,638 | 1,619 | 1% | |
| • Other incl. project development | (618) | (296) | 109% | |
| ROCE¹ | % | 36.0 | 26.5 | 9.5%p |
| KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS | ||||
| Power generation | TWh | 2.2 | 1.8 | 22% |
| Wind speed | m/s | 8.0 | 7.9 | 1% |
| Availability | % | 87 | 93 | (6%p) |
| Load factor | % | 31 | 31 | 0%p |
| Installed capacity | GW | 5.6 | 5.1 | 10% |
| Generation capacity | GW | 3.3 | 2.8 | 18% |

WIND SPEED
(m/s), offshore wind farms
The wind speed indicates how many metres per second the wind has blown in the areas where we have offshore wind farms. The weighting is based on our generation capacity.
-
Indicates m/s for full year 2019, if Q3 and Q4 2019 follows a normal wind year
-
ROCE: Last 12 months
Orsted
Onshore – Financial highlights
| FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | G2 2019 | |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | DKKm | 167 |
| • Sites | 80 | |
| • Production tax credits and tax attributes | 140 | |
| • Other incl. project development | (53) | |
| ROCE¹ | % | 3.9 |
| KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS | ||
| Power generation | GWh | 0.8 |
| Wind speed | m/s | 7.7 |
| Availability | % | 97 |
| Load factor | % | 47 |
| Installed capacity | MW | 813 |

- ROCE: Last 12 months
Orsted
Bioenergy – Financial highlights
| FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | DKKm | (159) | (71) | 124% |
| • Heat | 143 | 119 | 20% | |
| • Ancillary services | 91 | 90 | 1% | |
| • Power | (393) | (280) | 40% | |
| Free cash flow | 8 | (304) | n.a. | |
| KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS | ||||
| Heat generation | TWh | 1.1 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Power generation | TWh | 0.7 | 0.9 | (22%) |
| Degree days | # | 269 | 149 | 81% |
| Power price, DK | EUR/MWh | 36.8 | 39.8 | (7%) |
| Green dark spread, DK | EUR/MWh | (3.4) | (0.5) | 623% |

Orsted
Customer Solutions – Financial highlights
| FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | DKKm | 310 | 122 | 154% |
| • Distribution | 283 | 251 | 13% | |
| • Sales | (41) | (14) | 193% | |
| • Markets | 105 | (8) | n.a. | |
| • LNG | (37) | (107) | (65%) | |
| ROCE¹ | % | 13.7 | 8.8 | 4.9%p |
| KEY BUSINESS DRIVERS | ||||
| RAB Power | DKKm | 11,431 | 10,957 | 4% |
| Gas sales | TWh | 32.1 | 34.1 | (6%) |
| Power sales | TWh | 7.4 | 6.8 | 9% |
| Distribution of power | TWh | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0% |

- ROCE: Last 12 months
Orsted
Currency and energy exposure

Currency exposure - 1 July 2019 to 30 June 2024
| Risk after hedging, DKKbn | Effect of price +10% | Effect of price +10% |
|---|---|---|
| GBP: 18.6 sales position | +1.9 | -1.9 |
| USD: 1.9 sales position | +0.2 | -0.2 |
| TWD: 3.2 sales position | +0.3 | -0.3 |
The GBP exchange rate for hedges impacting EBITDA in 2019 and 2020 is hedged at an average exchange rate of DKK/GBP 8.4.

Energy exposure - 1 July 2019 to 30 June 2024
| Risk after hedging DKKbn | Effect of price +10% | Effect of price -10% |
|---|---|---|
| Power: 7.4 sales position | +0.7 | -0.7 |
| Gas: 0.4 sales position | +0.0 | -0.0 |
| Oil: 0.1 purchase position | +0.0 | -0.0 |
| Spread: 0.9 sales position | +0.1 | -0.1 |
Orsted
Local currency funding and potential partnership agreements reduce risk towards Taiwanese Dollar significantly

Cash flows from Changhua 1 & 2A
Illustrative

Risk mitigating actions
- CAPEX primarily denominated in EUR, DKK and TWD and to a minor extent USD
-
Future revenue minus OPEX denominated in TWD
-
Local currency funding (revolving credit facility and bond issues) to finance approximately 50% of the CAPEX budget and potential partnership agreement mitigate TWD risk
- Additional mitigating actions:
- Pursue CAPEX paid in TWD¹
-
Future unhedged TWD income potentially recycled into new projects in Taiwan
-
To maximize use of local currency funding and potential netting, but only to the extent that it does not increase CAPEX
Orsted
Capital employed
| CAPITAL EMPLOYED, DKKm | H1 2019 | FY 2018 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets and property and equipment | 92,364 | 84,832 | 81,071 |
| Equity Investments and non-current receivables | 1,410 | 1,445 | 1,243 |
| Net working capital, work in progress | 4,551 | 9,654 | 9,284 |
| Net working capital, tax equity | (3,528) | (3,719) | - |
| Net working capital, capital expenditures | (3,957) | (2,978) | (4,840) |
| Net working capital, other items | 1,326 | 1,489 | (2,475) |
| Derivatives, net | 656 | (2,626) | (1,709) |
| Assets classified as held for sale, net | 11,098 | 10,372 | 2,040 |
| Decommissioning obligations | (5,781) | (5,472) | (5,157) |
| Other provisions | (7,677) | (7,982) | (6,710) |
| Tax, net | 1,434 | (2,629) | 2,162 |
| Other receivables and other payables, net | (470) | 510 | (562) |
| TOTAL CAPITAL EMPLOYED | 91,426 | 82,896 | 74,347 |
| OF WHICH CONTINUING OPERATIONS | 91,612 | 83,039 | 74,494 |
| OF WHICH DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS | (186) | (143) | (147) |
Capital employed by segment
%, H1 2019
- Offshore
- Bioenergy
- Onshore
- Customer Solutions

Orsted
FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation
| FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS / ADJUSTED NET DEBT, DKKm | H1 2019^{1} | FY 2018 | H1 2018^{1} |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA – Business Performance | 30,186 | 30,029 | 23,387 |
| Interest expenses, net | (965) | (877) | (946) |
| Reversal of interest expenses transferred to assets | (428) | (506) | (595) |
| Interest element of decommission obligations | (209) | (192) | (189) |
| 50% of coupon payments on hybrid capital | (273) | (272) | (320) |
| Operating lease obligations, interest element | 76 | (196) | (216) |
| Adjusted net interest expenses | (1,799) | (2,043) | (2,266) |
| Reversal of gain (loss) on divestment of assets | (15,367) | (14,995) | (9,353) |
| Reversal of recognised lease payment | 376 | 778 | 845 |
| Current tax | (3,186) | (3,068) | (2,915) |
| FUNDS FROM OPERATION (FFO) | 10,210 | 10,701 | 9,698 |
| Total interest-bearing net debt | 4,980 | (2,219) | 4,603 |
| 50% of hybrid capital | 6,619 | 6,619 | 6,619 |
| Cash and securities, not available for distribution | 1,094 | 1,583 | 690 |
| Present value of operating lease payments | - | 4,819 | 5,667 |
| Decommission obligations | 5,781 | 5,471 | 5,157 |
| Deferred tax on decommissioning obligations | (719) | (757) | (866) |
| ADJUSTED INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT | 17,755 | 15,516 | 21,870 |
| FFO / ADJUSTED INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT | 57.5% | 69.0% | 44.3% |
33 1. Last 12 months
Orsted
Debt overview
Gross debt and hybrids Q2 2019

- Bonds
- Hybrids
- Bank loans
Effective funding costs – gross debt (excl. hybrid)

Long term gross debt maturity schedule Q2 2019, DKKbn
| Cost of debt (%) | Modified duration (%) | Avg. time to maturity (years) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond loans | 3.5 | 8.9 | 11.8 |
| Bank loans | 2.1 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
| Total | 3.3 | 8.8 | 11.2 |

- Bonds
- Bank loans
Orsted
Hybrid capital in short
Hybrid capital can broadly be defined as funding instruments that combine features of debt and equity in a cost-efficient manner:
- Hybrid capital encompasses the credit-supportive features of equity and improves rating ratios
- Perpetual or long-dated final maturity (1,000 years for Ørsted)
-
Absolute discretion to defer coupon payments and such deferrals do not constitute default nor trigger cross-default
-
Deeply subordinated and only senior to common equity
- Without being dilutive to equity holders (no ownership and voting rights, no right to dividend)
Due to hybrid's equity-like features, rating agencies assign equity content to the hybrids when calculating central rating ratios (e.g. FFO/NIBD).
The hybrid capital has increased Ørsted's investment capacity and supports the growth strategy and rating target.
Ørsted has made use of hybrid capital to maintain our ratings at target level in connection with the merger with Danish power distribution and production companies back in 2006 and in recent years to support our growth in the offshore wind sector.
Currently, Ørsted has fully utilised it's capacity to issue hybrids (S&P has the strictest limit of 15% of total capitalisation).
| HYBRIDS ISSUED BY
ØRSTED A/S^{1} | PRINCIPAL
AMOUNT | TYPE | FIRST
PAR CALL | COUPON | ACCOUNTING
TREATMENT^{2} | TAX
TREATMENT | RATING
TREATMENT |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6.25% hybrid due 3013 | EUR 700m | Hybrid capital
(subordinated) | June 2023 | Fixed for the first 10 years, first
25bp step-up in June 2023 | 100% equity | Debt – tax-deductible
coupon payments | 50% equity,
50% debt |
| 3.0% hybrid due 3015 | EUR 600m | Hybrid capital
(subordinated) | Nov. 2020 | Fixed during the first 5.5 years,
first 25bp step-up in Nov. 2025 | 100% equity | Debt – tax-deductible
coupon payments | 50% equity,
50% debt |
| 2.25% Green hybrid due
3017 | EUR 500m | Hybrid capital
(subordinated) | Nov. 2024 | Fixed during the first 7 years,
first 25bp step-up in Nov. 2029 | 100% equity | Debt – tax-deductible
coupon payments | 50% equity,
50% debt |
- All listed on Luxembourg Stock Exchange and rated Baa3 (Moody's), BB+ (S&P) and BBB- (Fitch). The Green hybrid is furthermore listed on the Luxembourg Green Exchange (LGX)
- Due to the 1,000-year structure
Ørsted
36
*O'CERO
Dark Green
Ørsted's outstanding Green Bonds
| Issuer | Ørsted A/S | Ørsted A/S | Ørsted A/S | Ørsted A/S | Ørsted A/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Face Value | EUR 750m | EUR 500m | GBP 350m | GBP 300m | GBP 250m |
| Format | Senior Unsecured | Hybrid capital | Senior Unsecured | Senior Unsecured | Senior Unsecured/CPI linked |
| Maturity | 26 November 2029 | 24 November 3017 | 17 May 2027 | 16 May 2033 | 16 May 2034 |
| Coupon | 1.5% | 2.25% | 2.125% | 2.5% | 0.375% |
| Listing | London Stock Exchange | Luxembourg Stock Exchange | Luxembourg Stock Exchange | Luxembourg Stock Exchange | Luxembourg Stock Exchange |
| Face Value (in DKK) | 5,499 | 3,674 | 2,968 | 2,518 | 2,128 |
| Allocated to green projects as (in DKK) | 5,499 | 2,550 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unallocated amount (in DKK) | 0 | 1,124 | 2,968 | 2,518 | 2,128 |
| Avoided emissions (t CO2/year) attributable to the bonds | 590,000 | 278,000 | - | - | - |
Ørsted has developed a Green Finance Framework which is an update to the previous framework from 2017. In the 2019 update Ørsted has broadened the green financing instruments to include Green Bonds, Green Loans and other types of green financing instruments. Furthermore Ørsted has decided to only use green proceeds for financing of offshore wind projects.
Besides the five outstanding Green Bonds, Ørsted has in May established a TWD 25bn Green RCF to finance the construction of the offshore wind projects in Taiwan
Ørsted
Financing strategy

We have a centralised financing strategy as customary for vertically and horizontally integrated European energy utilities.
The strategy supports:
- A capital structure supportive of our BBB+ rating ambition
- Concentration of and scale in financing activities
- Cost efficient financing based on a strong parent rating
- Optimal terms and conditions and uniform documentation
- Transparent debt structure and simplicity
- No financial covenants and restrictions on operating arrangements
- Corporate market more stable and predictable than project finance market
- Avoidance of structural subordination
All cash flow generated by our subsidiaries supports the creditworthiness and rating of and thus the debt taken up by the parent company, Ørsted A/S.
The financing strategy optimizes the effect of a fully integrated cash pool where cash at practically all of the company's more than 150 subsidiaries is made available for the company's financing and liquidity purposes.
Financing of activities at subsidiary level is provided by Ørsted A/S in a standardised and cost-efficient setup involving very few resources at Business Unit and Corporate Treasury.
Widespread use of project financing is not considered cost-efficient and dilutes the creditworthiness of the company.
Ørsted
Currency risk management
General hedging principles
- The main principle is to hedge highly certain cash flows, such as FX from hedged energy.
- Cost-of-hedging minimized by netting of exposures, use of local currency in construction contracts and debt in local currency.
Managing outright long risk (GBP)
- Operations: minimum 5-year hedging staircase determined by the Board of Directors with 100% in year 1 – declining to 20% in year 5. The hedging staircase is a compromise between stabilizing cash flows in the front-end and ensuring a balanced FFO/NIBD.
- Above 5-years the GBP exposure is to some extent hedged with GBP denominated debt.
Managing time-spread risk (new markets)
- Construction period: Hedge 100% of year 1 currency cash flow risk, while not increasing the total portfolio currency exposure.
- In markets where Ørsted has capital expenditures, but no revenue in local currency, the time-spread nature of the exposures is taken into account.

Orsted
Interest rate and inflation risk management
Four risk categories of assets and debt allocation
Illustrative
Fixed nominal
- Fixed nominal revenue assets
- Primarily continental-EU offshore wind
- Primarily matched with fixed nominal debt
Variable regulated
- Variable regulated revenue assets
- Primarily Power Distribution
- Ideally matched with variable-rate debt
Inflation-indexed
- Inflation-indexed revenue assets
- Primarily UK offshore wind
- Primarily matched with equity
Other
- Other, mainly energy price exposed assets
- Matched with equity
Objectives of interest rate and inflation risk management
- Protect long-term real value of equity by offsetting interest and inflation risk exposure embedded in assets by allocating debt with similar, but opposite risk exposure
- Cost of funding optimized by actively managing debt portfolio
- Cost of hedging minimised by using natural portfolio synergies between assets, allowing matching of up to 100% of asset value with appropriate debt
Framework for risk management
- Assets divided into four different risk categories, based on nature of inflation and interest risk exposure
- Simple risk metrics are used to match assets with appropriate debt within each category
- Fixed nominal-category has first priority for debt allocation, to protect shareholders against inflation eroding the real value from fixed nominal cash flows
- Inflation-indexed revenues reserved to service equity return for shareholders thereby to a large extent protecting the real value of equity against fluctuations in inflation rates
The pie charts represent approximate size of the exposures.
Orsted
Energy risk management
Risk picture
- We manage market risks to protect Ørsted against market price volatility and ensure stable and robust financial ratios that support our growth strategy
- For Offshore, a substantial share of energy production is subsidized through either fixed tariffs or green certificates. Remaining exposure is hedged at a declining rate up to five years
- Onshore mitigate their power exposure by entering into long term power sales agreements
- Customer Solutions and Bioenergy manage their market risk actively by hedging with derivatives in the energy markets up to five years

Offshore exposure
Subsidized exposure
Market exposure

Onshore exposure
Power purchase agreements
Market exposure
Note: expected exposure 2019-2023, as of 31/12-2018
Hedging of open exposure
- Open energy exposure is reduced actively
- Minimum hedging requirements are determined by the Board of Directors. In the first two years, a high degree of hedging is desired to ensure stable cash flows after tax
- The degree of hedging is declining in subsequent years. This is due to: 1) reduced certainty about long-term production volumes and 2) increasing hedging costs in the medium to long term; both spread costs and potential cost of collateral
Offshore minimum power hedging requirement

Note: actual hedging level is significantly higher
Orsted
Daniel Lerup
Head of Investor Relations
[email protected]
Rasmus Hærvig
Senior Investor Relations Officer
[email protected]
Sabine Lohse
Senior Investor Relations Officer
[email protected]
Dennis Callesen
Lead Investor Relations Officer
[email protected]
Orsted