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Rheinmetall AG Call Transcript 2023

Aug 10, 2023

356_ip_2023-08-10_50f71c18-530b-40ce-98b6-7d17f211d969.pdf

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CONFERENCE CALL Q2 2023 Transformation for growth

Armin Papperger, CEO Dagmar Steinert, CFO August 10, 2023

Disclaimer

This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to Rheinmetall's financial condition, results of operations and businesses and certain of Rheinmetall's plans and objectives. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of Rheinmetall's management with respect to future events.

In particular, such forward-looking statements include the financial guidance contained in the outlook.

Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as "will", "anticipates", "aims", "could", "may", "should", "expects", "believes", "intends", "plans" or "targets". By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. In particular, such factors may have a material adverse effect on the costs and revenue development of Rheinmetall. Further, the economic downturn in Rheinmetall's markets, and changes in interest and currency exchange rates, may also have an impact on Rheinmetall's business development and the availability of financing on favorable conditions. The factors that could affect Rheinmetall's future financial results are discussed more fully in Rheinmetall's most recent annual and quarterly reports which can be found on its website at www.rheinmetall.com.

All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Rheinmetall or any group company of Rheinmetall or any persons acting on their behalf contained in or made in connection with this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by factors of the kind referred to above. No assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements in this presentation will be realized. Except as otherwise stated herein and as may be required to comply with applicable law and regulations, Rheinmetall does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not undertake any obligation to do so.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of securities in Rheinmetall AG or any of its direct or indirect subsidiaries.

Rheinmetall AG and its affiliates are neither associated with nor provide any support to American Depository Receipts programs (ADR) or comparable offerings or investment schemes related to shares in Rheinmetall AG in the United States of America or any other jurisdiction. Therefore, neither Rheinmetall AG nor any of its affiliates has and or will accept any responsibility or liability whatsoever in relation to such ADR programs or comparable investment schemes.

Please note that all figures in this presentation have been rounded on a standalone basis. This can result in minor differences when adding figures together or calculating % shares.

Q2 2023 Group highlights Momentum compounding

  • Sales rose 6% to €1,498m
  • Operating result improved to €118m
  • Margin softened to 7.9%
  • OFCF lowered to €-219m

Solid Q2 financials EXPAL deal closed RHM nomination tripled

  • RHM nomination grows to €4,092m mostly driven by Ukrainian and German orders
  • RHM backlog jumps above €30bn

  • EXPAL closed July 31st

  • €1.2bn pre-closing adjustments
  • Further growth of the core business

Q2 2023 Market update: Germany Time becomes number one priority in German defence procurement

Boris Pistorius Minister of Defence

Benedikt Zimmer State Secretary of the Federal MoD

"The top priority for all of us in the future is the time factor. (…) The goal is first and foremost to realize the product that can be used by the troops as quickly a possible."

"By 2031, we must and want to invest well over €20bn in munitions."

"The factor time has now a top priority. The aim is to accelerate procurement."

Annette Lehnigk-Emden Director-general BAAINBw

"The time factor has the highest priority and, with immediate effect, is the determining factor in all current and new Bundeswehr armament projects (…)."

Q2 2023 Market update: Germany

Rheinmetall set to benefit from accelerated German procurement

*Note: Defence budget for '23, forecast as of '24 based on draft budget '24 and federal financial planning until '27. Information on the special fund not available. Source: Federal Ministry of Finance, Sipri

July

Q2

>€8bn

Q2 2023 Market update: Germany Massive increase of order intake over the last couple of weeks

  • 50 Puma 2 nd lot €501m - delivery 2025-2027
  • 57 heavy tractor units >€50m delivery 2023-2024
  • 367 load-handling systems >€285m delivery fulfilled Q3 2023

  • 3,058 Caracal (GER & NL) ~€1.9bn series delivery starts 2025

  • 120 mm tank ammunition ~€4bn with 1st call-off ~€309m
  • 155mm artillery ammunition ~€1.3bn with 1st call-off ~€127m
  • 30mm Puma ammunition ~€67m

Q2 2023 Conference call

Taking responsibility in a changing world Rheinmetall supports Ukraine in all areas

Taking responsibility in a changing world Ukraine picks Rheinmetall to strengthen strategic capabilities

Strategic cooperation with Ukraine signed

Closing expected

Maintenance of military vehicles JV with Ukroboronprom

Ammunition med & large cal

Air defence stationary & mobile

2023 Potential timeline

© Rheinmetall AG I August 10, 2023 8

Q2 2023 Market update: USA XM30 finalist – American Rheinmetall achieves a major breakthrough

  • OMFV renamed to XM30 combat vehicle program
  • American Rheinmetall down-selected along with GDLS, with first year funding of ~\$100m
  • Next steps:
  • Phase 3: detailed design phase
  • Phase 4: build and test of 7 prototype vehicles (option for 4 more)
  • Winner to be announced end of 2027
  • Start of production expected in 2029

Q2 2023 Market update: international markets International pipeline filled with major project wins

Australia Norway Austria

Contract with Australian
Navy for MASS ship
protection systems

Used for Hobart-class
destroyers and ANZAC-class
frigates

€125m (option
up to ~€610m
to equip entire fleet)

Largest single call-off from
existing contract with
Norway

> €150m for around 300
trucks TG3 MIL

Delivery starts end of 2026

Supply of key components
for Leopard 2 A7

Worth €129m for 54 tank
guns, fire control units and
sensor units + option for
18 additional vehicles

Delivery starts in 2024

Framework contract for
logistic vehicles of up to
1,375 HX and TG vehicles

Worth up to €525m

Delivery starts in 2023

MASS ship protection TG3 MIL Leopard 2A7 HX family

Q2 2023 Market update: international markets Update on our European customer potential for tank ammunition

Q2 2023 Operational update ¡Bienvenida Rheinmetall EXPAL Munitions!

  • Acquisition value of €1.2bn before purchase price adjustment
  • Development and manufacturing of artillery ammunition, mortar grenades, medium caliber ammunition and rocket propulsion systems
  • Significant increase of production capacities
  • Expected sales 2023 after closing of €150-190m

Q2 2023 Operational update Transformation in the civil market progressing

Emission reduction Alternative powertrain Innovations

  • Strategic truck contract for valves with emission reduction capabilities
  • Light weight engine block solution for hybrid vehicles

New customer for H2

  • recirculation blower
  • Launching customer for HV cooling pump
  • Cathode flaps now with 5 customers and triple digit million backlog

  • Pilot project for curb stone charger successfully started in Cologne

  • Important step within the mobility revolution

Financials

Q2 2023: Key financial data Solid improvement yields best Q2 ever

1) Continuing operations only August 10, 2023 15

Q2 2023: Key financial data Inventory build-up in anticipation of rising customer demand

Q2 2023: Balance Sheet EXPAL financing completed

Comments

  • Convertible bonds issued in Q1 with a nominal value of €1.0bn, due to IFRS accounting split into a debt and an equity component
  • Strong cash position of €1,347m build-up for purchase price payment (Expal); additionally, securities held for trade with a value of €134m per end of H1
  • Undrawn cash credit lines of €0.9bn per end of H1
  • Investment Grade Rating Baa2 stable outlook (Moody's)

Q2 2023: Divisions Acceleration of the security business held back by civil performance

in €m Sales* Operating Result* Margin* OFCF*
Q2 2022 Q2 2023 delta Q2 2022 Q2 2023 delta Q2 2022 Q2 2023 Q2 2022 Q2 2023 delta
Vehicle Systems 451 550 22.0% 46 57 23.2% 10.2% 10.3% (16) (253) -237
Weapon and Ammunition 307 360 17.3% 39 65 67.8% 12.7% 18.2% (51) 49 100
Electronic Solutions 243 249 2.6% 21 16 -22.6% 8.7% 6.6% (30) (17) 13
Sensors and Actuators 343 344 0.2% 24 9 -62.6% 7.1% 2.7% (21) (37) -15
Materials and Trade 184 154 -16.0% 11 5 -52.2% 5.9% 3.4% 3 0 -3
Non-divisional /
Consolidation
(120) (160) -32.9% (28) (35) -24.2% (64) 38 102
Rheinmetall Group 1,408 1,498 6.4% 114 118 4.0% 8.1% 7.9% (179) (219) -41

Q2 2023: Nomination and Backlog Rheinmetall Nomination tripled versus previous year

1) Rheinmetall Nomination = Order Intake (Div. W+A, ES, VS) + Frame Nomination (Div. W+A, ES, VS: New Frame agreements – call offs from existing frame backlog) + Booked Business (Div. S+A, M+T)

2) Rheinmetall Backlog = Order backlog (signed and fixed contracts) + Frame Backlog (signed frameworks incl. truck and ammunition framework agreements for several years) + Nominated backlog (inventory figure aligned to the annual sales planning S+A/M+T based on the nomination letters of the booked business)

OUTLOOK

Outlook F-35 opens a new dimension for Rheinmetall

  • Ground-breaking of greenfield production plant in Weeze on August 1st
  • F-35 center fuselage production to commence in 2025
  • New plant due to produce at least 400 F-35A fuselage sections
  • Matches increased demand by countries
  • Ramp-up of additional 400 service headcounts

Outlook We invest in our future!

Urgent demand requires rapid investment in our capacities

Substantial increase in inventories drives working capital growth

Preparation for growth affects free cash flow generation

Outlook Pronounced backend loading as expected

Outlook Growth becomes tangible in the mid-term

  • Strong book to bill ratio (LTM) of 2.6x
  • German contract award makes noticeable progress
  • Expal integration offers significant capacity expansion and capability enhancement for large caliber ammunition
  • Successful diversification in new markets like F-35
  • Rheinmetall fully committed to timely capacity increase and order execution

Outlook FY 2023 guidance confirmed

Guidance
2023e
EXPAL 2022
Sales Between
€7.4 to
7.6 bn
€150-190m € 6.4 bn
Operating Margin Around 12% Around 25% 11.8%
Operating free
cash flow
4-6% OFCF
to sales
€-152 m

Sales guidance includes FX effects and excludes contributions from acquisitions. EXPAL pro forma will be fully consolidated for the period August – December 2023. Q2 2023 Conference call

Q&A

Thank you for your attention!

Next events and IR contacts

Next Events

Commerzbank & ODDO BHF Corporate Conference 6 Sep
UBS, Quo Vadis Industrials Tour, virtual 15 Sep
and Goldman Sachs 12th
Berenberg
German Corp. Conference
20 Sep
Baader
Investment Conference
21 Sep
Q3/2023 report 9 Nov
Capital Markets Day 20/21 Nov
Metzler Roundtable 27 Nov
Deutsches
Eigenkapitalforum
28 Nov
Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference 6 Dec
Berenberg
European Conference
7 Dec
Kepler Cheuvreux, CEO Tour, virtual 11 Dec

IR Contacts

Dirk Winkels Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49-211 473-4749 Email: [email protected]

Anika Marker

Investor Relations Manager Tel: +49 171 4174060 Email: [email protected]

Rosalinde Schulte Investor Relations Assistant Tel: +49-211 473-4718 Email: [email protected]

Quick link to our documents

APPENDIX

Outlook Group - forecast business performance in 2023

2023 2022
Sales
Group € million sales growth to €7.4 bn
to €7.6 bn
6,410
Division Vehicle Systems € million sales growth 25% to 30% 2,270
Division Weapon and Ammunition € million sales growth 25% to 30% 1,470
Division Electronic Solutions € million sales growth 15% to 20% 1,063
Division Sensors and Actuators € million sales growth 5% to 8% 1,382
Division Materials and Trade € million sales growth 4% to 7% 743
Operating result margin
Group % operating result margin around 12% 11.8
Division Vehicle Systems % operating result margin 11% to 13% 11.4
Division Weapon and Ammunition % operating result margin 20% to 22% 20.8
Division Electronic Solutions % operating result margin 11% to 13% 11.1
Division Sensors and Actuators % operating result margin 7% to 9% 6.9
Division Materials and Trade % operating result margin 9% to 11% 9.1
OFCF (in relation to sales)
Group % 4% to 6
%
(2.4)

Statement of financial positions

€ million 6/30/2023 12/31/2022
Assets
Goodwill 481 483
Other intangible assets 347 338
Right-of-use assets 248 209
Property, plant and equipment 1,141 1,137
Investment property 2
3
2
4
Investments accounted for using the equity method 387 408
Other non-current assets 194 187
Deferred taxes 136 9
8
Non-current assets 2,958 2,884
Inventories 2,786 1,976
Contract assets 446 362
Trade receivables 1,439 1,548
Other current assets 284 242
Income tax receivables 2
4
2
3
Securities held for trade 134 132
Cash and cash equivalents 1,347 545
Assets held for sale 323 377
Current assets 6,783 5,206
Total assets 9,742 8,089
€ million 6/30/2023 12/31/2022
Equity and liabilities - -
Share capital 112 112
Capital reserves 685 566
Retained earnings 2,020 2,140
Treasury shares (5) (6)
Rheinmetall AG shareholders' equity 2,811 2,812
Non-controlling interests 269 271
Equity 3,079 3,083
Provisions for pensions and similar obligations 485 484
Other non-current provisions 195 205
Non-current financial debts 1,579 517
Other non-current liabilities 6
2
5
6
Deferred taxes 114 7
8
Non-current liabilities 2,436 1,341
Other current provisions 613 674
Current financial debts 663 454
Contract liabilities 1,597 1,120
Trade liabilities 932 931
Other current liabilities 176 200
Income tax liabilities 3
6
6
7
Liabilities directly related to assets held for sale 210 220
Current liabilities 4,226 3,665
Total equity and liabilities 9,742 8,089

Income Statement

Q2 2023 Q2 2022 H
1 2023
H
1 2022
1,498 1,408 2,861 2,674
213 86 545 229
1,711 1,494 3,405 2,902
22 39 55 68
861 714 1,754 1,398
507 464 1,007 921
63 62 126 122
183 166 365 319
(4) (2) (17) 15
3 (21) 2 (40)
118 104 193 185
3 1 19 2
18 7 41 14
103 9
8
171 172
(31) (30) (51) (45)
7
2
6
8
120 128
1 5 5 6
7
3
7
3
125 134
17 16 15 29
56 57 110 105
€ 2.42
€ 2.28
€ 0.14
€ 1.29 € 1.33 € 2.53 € 2.42
€ 1.27 € 1.21 € 2.42 € 2.28
€ 1.29
€ 1.27
€ 0.02
€ 1.33
€ 1.21
€ 0.12
€ 2.53
€ 2.42
€ 0.11

Cashflow Statement

€ million H
1 2023
H
1 2022
Earnings after taxes 125 134
Amortization / depreciation / impairment of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment 126 122
property
Allocation of CTA assets to secure pension and partial retirement obligations
(12) (50)
Other changes in pension provisions 4 (12)
Income / expenses from disposals of non-current assets (10) (1)
Changes in other provisions (22) (20)
Changes in working capital (350) (589)
Changes in receivables, liabilities (without financial debt) and prepaid & deferred items (120) (131)
Pro rata income / loss from investments accounted for using the equity method 17 (15)
Dividends received from investments accounted for using the equity method 4 4
Other non-cash expenses and income 16 0
perating activities 1
C
ash flo
w fro
m o
(223) (557)
Of which continuing operations (199) (549)
Of which discontinued operations (24) (8)
Investments in property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment property (132) (100)
Cash inflows from the disposal of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment property
Cash inflows from disinvestments in consolidated companies and financial assets
(2)
48
4
0
Cash outflows for investments in consolidated companies and financial assets (8) (198)
C
ash flo
w fro
m investing activities
(94) (294)
Of which continuing operations (72) (287)
Of which discontinued operations (22) (7)
Dividends paid out by Rheinmetall AG (187) (143)
Other profit distributions (4) (6)
Borrowing of financial debts 394 299
Repayment of financial debts (76) (108)
Cash inflows from the issuance of convertible bonds - Addition to equity 113 -
Cash inflows from the issuance of convertible bonds - Fair value financial liability 887 -
Transaction costs for the issuance of convertible bonds (7) -
C
ash flo
w fro
m financing activities
1,121 4
2
Of which continuing operations 1,094 62
Of which discontinued operations 27 (20)
C
hanges in cash and cash equivalents
804 (809)
Changes in cash and cash equivalents due to exchange rates (9) 3
T
o
tal change in cash and cash equivalents
795 (806)
Opening cash and cash equivalents January 1 568 1,058
C
lo
sing cash and cash equivalents June 30
1,363 251
Closing cash and cash equivalents June 30 from discontinued operations 16 15
C
lo
sing cash and cash equivalents as per co
nso
lidated statement o
f financial po
sitio
n
1,347 236

Derivation of diluted earnings per share

Continuing
Operations
Discontinued
Operations
H1 2023 Continuing
Operations
Discontinued
Operations
H1 2022
Earnings after taxes in € million -
Rheinmetall
AG shareholders
105 5 110 99 6 105
Adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond in € million 15 - 15 - - -
Effect of adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond on personnel
expenses in € million
(1) -1 - - -
Tax effects on the adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond and
on the effect on personnel expenses in €million
(4) - -4 - - -
Diluted earnings after taxes in € million -
Rheinmetall AG shareholders
115 5 120 99 6 105
Weighted number of shares in millions -
basic
43,40 43,35
Effect from the potential conversion of the convertible bond in millions 2,60 -
Weighted number of shares in millions -
diluted
46,00 43,35
Basic earnings per share € 2,42 € 0,11 € 2,53 € 2,28 € 0,14 € 2,42
Diluted earnings per share € 2,51 € 0,10 € 2,61 € 2,28 € 0,14 € 2,42
Adjusted diluted earnings per share (due to antidilutive effect) € 2,42 € 0,11 € 2,53 - - -