AI assistant
Rheinmetall AG — Call Transcript 2023
Aug 10, 2023
356_ip_2023-08-10_50f71c18-530b-40ce-98b6-7d17f211d969.pdf
Call Transcript
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
CONFERENCE CALL Q2 2023 Transformation for growth
Armin Papperger, CEO Dagmar Steinert, CFO August 10, 2023
Disclaimer
This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to Rheinmetall's financial condition, results of operations and businesses and certain of Rheinmetall's plans and objectives. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of Rheinmetall's management with respect to future events.
In particular, such forward-looking statements include the financial guidance contained in the outlook.
Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as "will", "anticipates", "aims", "could", "may", "should", "expects", "believes", "intends", "plans" or "targets". By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. In particular, such factors may have a material adverse effect on the costs and revenue development of Rheinmetall. Further, the economic downturn in Rheinmetall's markets, and changes in interest and currency exchange rates, may also have an impact on Rheinmetall's business development and the availability of financing on favorable conditions. The factors that could affect Rheinmetall's future financial results are discussed more fully in Rheinmetall's most recent annual and quarterly reports which can be found on its website at www.rheinmetall.com.
All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Rheinmetall or any group company of Rheinmetall or any persons acting on their behalf contained in or made in connection with this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by factors of the kind referred to above. No assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements in this presentation will be realized. Except as otherwise stated herein and as may be required to comply with applicable law and regulations, Rheinmetall does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not undertake any obligation to do so.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of securities in Rheinmetall AG or any of its direct or indirect subsidiaries.
Rheinmetall AG and its affiliates are neither associated with nor provide any support to American Depository Receipts programs (ADR) or comparable offerings or investment schemes related to shares in Rheinmetall AG in the United States of America or any other jurisdiction. Therefore, neither Rheinmetall AG nor any of its affiliates has and or will accept any responsibility or liability whatsoever in relation to such ADR programs or comparable investment schemes.
Please note that all figures in this presentation have been rounded on a standalone basis. This can result in minor differences when adding figures together or calculating % shares.
Q2 2023 Group highlights Momentum compounding
- Sales rose 6% to €1,498m
- Operating result improved to €118m
- Margin softened to 7.9%
- OFCF lowered to €-219m
Solid Q2 financials EXPAL deal closed RHM nomination tripled
- RHM nomination grows to €4,092m mostly driven by Ukrainian and German orders
-
RHM backlog jumps above €30bn
-
EXPAL closed July 31st
- €1.2bn pre-closing adjustments
- Further growth of the core business
Q2 2023 Market update: Germany Time becomes number one priority in German defence procurement
Boris Pistorius Minister of Defence
Benedikt Zimmer State Secretary of the Federal MoD
"The top priority for all of us in the future is the time factor. (…) The goal is first and foremost to realize the product that can be used by the troops as quickly a possible."
"By 2031, we must and want to invest well over €20bn in munitions."
"The factor time has now a top priority. The aim is to accelerate procurement."
Annette Lehnigk-Emden Director-general BAAINBw
"The time factor has the highest priority and, with immediate effect, is the determining factor in all current and new Bundeswehr armament projects (…)."
Q2 2023 Market update: Germany
Rheinmetall set to benefit from accelerated German procurement
*Note: Defence budget for '23, forecast as of '24 based on draft budget '24 and federal financial planning until '27. Information on the special fund not available. Source: Federal Ministry of Finance, Sipri
July
Q2
>€8bn
Q2 2023 Market update: Germany Massive increase of order intake over the last couple of weeks
- 50 Puma 2 nd lot €501m - delivery 2025-2027
- 57 heavy tractor units >€50m delivery 2023-2024
-
367 load-handling systems >€285m delivery fulfilled Q3 2023
-
3,058 Caracal (GER & NL) ~€1.9bn series delivery starts 2025
- 120 mm tank ammunition ~€4bn with 1st call-off ~€309m
- 155mm artillery ammunition ~€1.3bn with 1st call-off ~€127m
- 30mm Puma ammunition ~€67m
Q2 2023 Conference call
Taking responsibility in a changing world Rheinmetall supports Ukraine in all areas
Taking responsibility in a changing world Ukraine picks Rheinmetall to strengthen strategic capabilities
Strategic cooperation with Ukraine signed
Closing expected
Maintenance of military vehicles JV with Ukroboronprom
Ammunition med & large cal
Air defence stationary & mobile
2023 Potential timeline
© Rheinmetall AG I August 10, 2023 8
Q2 2023 Market update: USA XM30 finalist – American Rheinmetall achieves a major breakthrough
- OMFV renamed to XM30 combat vehicle program
- American Rheinmetall down-selected along with GDLS, with first year funding of ~\$100m
- Next steps:
- Phase 3: detailed design phase
- Phase 4: build and test of 7 prototype vehicles (option for 4 more)
- Winner to be announced end of 2027
- Start of production expected in 2029
Q2 2023 Market update: international markets International pipeline filled with major project wins
| Australia | Norway | Austria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contract with Australian Navy for MASS ship protection systems Used for Hobart-class destroyers and ANZAC-class frigates €125m (option up to ~€610m to equip entire fleet) |
Largest single call-off from existing contract with Norway > €150m for around 300 trucks TG3 MIL Delivery starts end of 2026 |
Supply of key components for Leopard 2 A7 Worth €129m for 54 tank guns, fire control units and sensor units + option for 18 additional vehicles Delivery starts in 2024 |
Framework contract for logistic vehicles of up to 1,375 HX and TG vehicles Worth up to €525m Delivery starts in 2023 |
MASS ship protection TG3 MIL Leopard 2A7 HX family
Q2 2023 Market update: international markets Update on our European customer potential for tank ammunition
Q2 2023 Operational update ¡Bienvenida Rheinmetall EXPAL Munitions!
- Acquisition value of €1.2bn before purchase price adjustment
- Development and manufacturing of artillery ammunition, mortar grenades, medium caliber ammunition and rocket propulsion systems
- Significant increase of production capacities
- Expected sales 2023 after closing of €150-190m
Q2 2023 Operational update Transformation in the civil market progressing
Emission reduction Alternative powertrain Innovations
- Strategic truck contract for valves with emission reduction capabilities
- Light weight engine block solution for hybrid vehicles
New customer for H2
- recirculation blower
- Launching customer for HV cooling pump
-
Cathode flaps now with 5 customers and triple digit million backlog
-
Pilot project for curb stone charger successfully started in Cologne
- Important step within the mobility revolution
Financials
Q2 2023: Key financial data Solid improvement yields best Q2 ever
1) Continuing operations only August 10, 2023 15
Q2 2023: Key financial data Inventory build-up in anticipation of rising customer demand
Q2 2023: Balance Sheet EXPAL financing completed
Comments
- Convertible bonds issued in Q1 with a nominal value of €1.0bn, due to IFRS accounting split into a debt and an equity component
- Strong cash position of €1,347m build-up for purchase price payment (Expal); additionally, securities held for trade with a value of €134m per end of H1
- Undrawn cash credit lines of €0.9bn per end of H1
- Investment Grade Rating Baa2 stable outlook (Moody's)
Q2 2023: Divisions Acceleration of the security business held back by civil performance
| in €m | Sales* | Operating Result* | Margin* | OFCF* | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | Q2 2023 | delta | Q2 2022 | Q2 2023 | delta | Q2 2022 | Q2 2023 | Q2 2022 | Q2 2023 | delta | |
| Vehicle Systems | 451 | 550 | 22.0% | 46 | 57 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | (16) | (253) | -237 |
| Weapon and Ammunition | 307 | 360 | 17.3% | 39 | 65 | 67.8% | 12.7% | 18.2% | (51) | 49 | 100 |
| Electronic Solutions | 243 | 249 | 2.6% | 21 | 16 | -22.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | (30) | (17) | 13 |
| Sensors and Actuators | 343 | 344 | 0.2% | 24 | 9 | -62.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | (21) | (37) | -15 |
| Materials and Trade | 184 | 154 | -16.0% | 11 | 5 | -52.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3 | 0 | -3 |
| Non-divisional / Consolidation |
(120) | (160) | -32.9% | (28) | (35) | -24.2% | (64) | 38 | 102 | ||
| Rheinmetall Group | 1,408 | 1,498 | 6.4% | 114 | 118 | 4.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | (179) | (219) | -41 |
Q2 2023: Nomination and Backlog Rheinmetall Nomination tripled versus previous year
1) Rheinmetall Nomination = Order Intake (Div. W+A, ES, VS) + Frame Nomination (Div. W+A, ES, VS: New Frame agreements – call offs from existing frame backlog) + Booked Business (Div. S+A, M+T)
2) Rheinmetall Backlog = Order backlog (signed and fixed contracts) + Frame Backlog (signed frameworks incl. truck and ammunition framework agreements for several years) + Nominated backlog (inventory figure aligned to the annual sales planning S+A/M+T based on the nomination letters of the booked business)
OUTLOOK
Outlook F-35 opens a new dimension for Rheinmetall
- Ground-breaking of greenfield production plant in Weeze on August 1st
- F-35 center fuselage production to commence in 2025
- New plant due to produce at least 400 F-35A fuselage sections
- Matches increased demand by countries
- Ramp-up of additional 400 service headcounts
Outlook We invest in our future!
Urgent demand requires rapid investment in our capacities
Substantial increase in inventories drives working capital growth
Preparation for growth affects free cash flow generation
Outlook Pronounced backend loading as expected
Outlook Growth becomes tangible in the mid-term
- Strong book to bill ratio (LTM) of 2.6x
- German contract award makes noticeable progress
- Expal integration offers significant capacity expansion and capability enhancement for large caliber ammunition
- Successful diversification in new markets like F-35
- Rheinmetall fully committed to timely capacity increase and order execution
Outlook FY 2023 guidance confirmed
| Guidance 2023e |
EXPAL | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | Between €7.4 to 7.6 bn |
€150-190m | € 6.4 bn |
| Operating Margin | Around 12% | Around 25% | 11.8% |
| Operating free cash flow |
4-6% OFCF to sales |
€-152 m |
Sales guidance includes FX effects and excludes contributions from acquisitions. EXPAL pro forma will be fully consolidated for the period August – December 2023. Q2 2023 Conference call
Q&A
Thank you for your attention!
Next events and IR contacts
Next Events
| Commerzbank & ODDO BHF Corporate Conference | 6 Sep |
|---|---|
| UBS, Quo Vadis Industrials Tour, virtual | 15 Sep |
| and Goldman Sachs 12th Berenberg German Corp. Conference |
20 Sep |
| Baader Investment Conference |
21 Sep |
| Q3/2023 report | 9 Nov |
| Capital Markets Day | 20/21 Nov |
| Metzler Roundtable | 27 Nov |
| Deutsches Eigenkapitalforum |
28 Nov |
| Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference | 6 Dec |
| Berenberg European Conference |
7 Dec |
| Kepler Cheuvreux, CEO Tour, virtual | 11 Dec |
IR Contacts
Dirk Winkels Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49-211 473-4749 Email: [email protected]
Anika Marker
Investor Relations Manager Tel: +49 171 4174060 Email: [email protected]
Rosalinde Schulte Investor Relations Assistant Tel: +49-211 473-4718 Email: [email protected]
Quick link to our documents
APPENDIX
Outlook Group - forecast business performance in 2023
| 2023 | 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | |||
| Group | € million | sales growth to €7.4 bn to €7.6 bn |
6,410 |
| Division Vehicle Systems | € million | sales growth 25% to 30% | 2,270 |
| Division Weapon and Ammunition | € million | sales growth 25% to 30% | 1,470 |
| Division Electronic Solutions | € million | sales growth 15% to 20% | 1,063 |
| Division Sensors and Actuators | € million | sales growth 5% to 8% | 1,382 |
| Division Materials and Trade | € million | sales growth 4% to 7% | 743 |
| Operating result margin | |||
| Group | % | operating result margin around 12% | 11.8 |
| Division Vehicle Systems | % | operating result margin 11% to 13% | 11.4 |
| Division Weapon and Ammunition | % | operating result margin 20% to 22% | 20.8 |
| Division Electronic Solutions | % | operating result margin 11% to 13% | 11.1 |
| Division Sensors and Actuators | % | operating result margin 7% to 9% | 6.9 |
| Division Materials and Trade | % | operating result margin 9% to 11% | 9.1 |
| OFCF (in relation to sales) | |||
| Group | % | 4% to 6 % |
(2.4) |
Statement of financial positions
| € million | 6/30/2023 | 12/31/2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Goodwill | 481 | 483 |
| Other intangible assets | 347 | 338 |
| Right-of-use assets | 248 | 209 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 1,141 | 1,137 |
| Investment property | 2 3 |
2 4 |
| Investments accounted for using the equity method | 387 | 408 |
| Other non-current assets | 194 | 187 |
| Deferred taxes | 136 | 9 8 |
| Non-current assets | 2,958 | 2,884 |
| Inventories | 2,786 | 1,976 |
| Contract assets | 446 | 362 |
| Trade receivables | 1,439 | 1,548 |
| Other current assets | 284 | 242 |
| Income tax receivables | 2 4 |
2 3 |
| Securities held for trade | 134 | 132 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,347 | 545 |
| Assets held for sale | 323 | 377 |
| Current assets | 6,783 | 5,206 |
| Total assets | 9,742 | 8,089 |
| € million | 6/30/2023 | 12/31/2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity and liabilities | - | - |
| Share capital | 112 | 112 |
| Capital reserves | 685 | 566 |
| Retained earnings | 2,020 | 2,140 |
| Treasury shares | (5) | (6) |
| Rheinmetall AG shareholders' equity | 2,811 | 2,812 |
| Non-controlling interests | 269 | 271 |
| Equity | 3,079 | 3,083 |
| Provisions for pensions and similar obligations | 485 | 484 |
| Other non-current provisions | 195 | 205 |
| Non-current financial debts | 1,579 | 517 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 6 2 |
5 6 |
| Deferred taxes | 114 | 7 8 |
| Non-current liabilities | 2,436 | 1,341 |
| Other current provisions | 613 | 674 |
| Current financial debts | 663 | 454 |
| Contract liabilities | 1,597 | 1,120 |
| Trade liabilities | 932 | 931 |
| Other current liabilities | 176 | 200 |
| Income tax liabilities | 3 6 |
6 7 |
| Liabilities directly related to assets held for sale | 210 | 220 |
| Current liabilities | 4,226 | 3,665 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 9,742 | 8,089 |
Income Statement
| Q2 2023 | Q2 2022 | H 1 2023 |
H 1 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,498 | 1,408 | 2,861 | 2,674 |
| 213 | 86 | 545 | 229 |
| 1,711 | 1,494 | 3,405 | 2,902 |
| 22 | 39 | 55 | 68 |
| 861 | 714 | 1,754 | 1,398 |
| 507 | 464 | 1,007 | 921 |
| 63 | 62 | 126 | 122 |
| 183 | 166 | 365 | 319 |
| (4) | (2) | (17) | 15 |
| 3 | (21) | 2 | (40) |
| 118 | 104 | 193 | 185 |
| 3 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| 18 | 7 | 41 | 14 |
| 103 | 9 8 |
171 | 172 |
| (31) | (30) | (51) | (45) |
| 7 2 |
6 8 |
120 | 128 |
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 3 |
7 3 |
125 | 134 |
| 17 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
| 56 | 57 | 110 | 105 |
| € 2.42 | |||
| € 2.28 | |||
| € 0.14 | |||
| € 1.29 | € 1.33 | € 2.53 | € 2.42 |
| € 1.27 | € 1.21 | € 2.42 | € 2.28 |
| € 1.29 € 1.27 € 0.02 |
€ 1.33 € 1.21 € 0.12 |
€ 2.53 € 2.42 € 0.11 |
Cashflow Statement
| € million | H 1 2023 |
H 1 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings after taxes | 125 | 134 |
| Amortization / depreciation / impairment of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment | 126 | 122 |
| property Allocation of CTA assets to secure pension and partial retirement obligations |
(12) | (50) |
| Other changes in pension provisions | 4 | (12) |
| Income / expenses from disposals of non-current assets | (10) | (1) |
| Changes in other provisions | (22) | (20) |
| Changes in working capital | (350) | (589) |
| Changes in receivables, liabilities (without financial debt) and prepaid & deferred items | (120) | (131) |
| Pro rata income / loss from investments accounted for using the equity method | 17 | (15) |
| Dividends received from investments accounted for using the equity method | 4 | 4 |
| Other non-cash expenses and income | 16 | 0 |
| perating activities 1 C ash flo w fro m o |
(223) | (557) |
| Of which continuing operations | (199) | (549) |
| Of which discontinued operations | (24) | (8) |
| Investments in property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment property | (132) | (100) |
| Cash inflows from the disposal of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment property Cash inflows from disinvestments in consolidated companies and financial assets |
(2) 48 |
4 0 |
| Cash outflows for investments in consolidated companies and financial assets | (8) | (198) |
| C ash flo w fro m investing activities |
(94) | (294) |
| Of which continuing operations | (72) | (287) |
| Of which discontinued operations | (22) | (7) |
| Dividends paid out by Rheinmetall AG | (187) | (143) |
| Other profit distributions | (4) | (6) |
| Borrowing of financial debts | 394 | 299 |
| Repayment of financial debts | (76) | (108) |
| Cash inflows from the issuance of convertible bonds - Addition to equity | 113 | - |
| Cash inflows from the issuance of convertible bonds - Fair value financial liability | 887 | - |
| Transaction costs for the issuance of convertible bonds | (7) | - |
| C ash flo w fro m financing activities |
1,121 | 4 2 |
| Of which continuing operations | 1,094 | 62 |
| Of which discontinued operations | 27 | (20) |
| C hanges in cash and cash equivalents |
804 | (809) |
| Changes in cash and cash equivalents due to exchange rates | (9) | 3 |
| T o tal change in cash and cash equivalents |
795 | (806) |
| Opening cash and cash equivalents January 1 | 568 | 1,058 |
| C lo sing cash and cash equivalents June 30 |
1,363 | 251 |
| Closing cash and cash equivalents June 30 from discontinued operations | 16 | 15 |
| C lo sing cash and cash equivalents as per co nso lidated statement o f financial po sitio n |
1,347 | 236 |
Derivation of diluted earnings per share
| Continuing Operations |
Discontinued Operations |
H1 2023 | Continuing Operations |
Discontinued Operations |
H1 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings after taxes in € million - Rheinmetall AG shareholders |
105 | 5 | 110 | 99 | 6 | 105 |
| Adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond in € million | 15 | - | 15 | - | - | - |
| Effect of adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond on personnel expenses in € million |
(1) | -1 | - | - | - | |
| Tax effects on the adjustment for interest expense in respect of the convertible bond and on the effect on personnel expenses in €million |
(4) | - | -4 | - | - | - |
| Diluted earnings after taxes in € million - Rheinmetall AG shareholders |
115 | 5 | 120 | 99 | 6 | 105 |
| Weighted number of shares in millions - basic |
43,40 | 43,35 | ||||
| Effect from the potential conversion of the convertible bond in millions | 2,60 | - | ||||
| Weighted number of shares in millions - diluted |
46,00 | 43,35 | ||||
| Basic earnings per share | € 2,42 | € 0,11 | € 2,53 | € 2,28 | € 0,14 | € 2,42 |
| Diluted earnings per share | € 2,51 | € 0,10 | € 2,61 | € 2,28 | € 0,14 | € 2,42 |
| Adjusted diluted earnings per share (due to antidilutive effect) | € 2,42 | € 0,11 | € 2,53 | - | - | - |