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Rheinmetall AG Call Transcript 2020

Nov 6, 2020

356_ip_2020-11-06_80c198f6-f53a-448b-a446-f0a88096c6be.pdf

Call Transcript

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Q3 driven by Auto recovery and Defence margin expansion

Conference Call Q3 Düsseldorf, 6 November 2020

Disclaimer

This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to Rheinmetall's

In particular, such forward-looking statements include the financial guidance contained in the outlook for 2020.

financial condition, results of operations and businesses and certain of Rheinmetall's plans and objectives. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of Rheinmetall's management with respect to future events. Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as "will", "anticipates", "aims", "could", "may", "should", "expects", "believes", "intends", "plans" or "targets". By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. In particular, such factors may have a material adverse effect on the costs and revenue development of Rheinmetall. Further, the economic downturn in Rheinmetall's markets, and changes in interest and currency exchange rates, may also have an impact on Rheinmetall's business development and the availability of financing on favorable conditions. The factors that could affect Rheinmetall's future financial results are discussed more fully in Rheinmetall's most recent annual and quarterly reports which can be found on its website at www.rheinmetall.com. made in connection with this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by factors of the kind referred to above. No assurances can be given that the forward-Rheinmetall AG and its affiliates are neither associated with nor provide any support to American Depository Receipts programmes (ADR) or comparable offerings or affiliates has and or will accept any responsibility or liability whatsoever in relation to such ADR programmes or comparable investment schemes.

All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Rheinmetall or any group company of Rheinmetall or any persons acting on their behalf contained in or looking statements in this presentation will be realized. Except as otherwise stated herein and as may be required to comply with applicable law and regulations, Rheinmetall does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not undertake any obligation to do so.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of securities in Rheinmetall AG or any of its direct or indirect subsidiaries.

investment schemes related to shares in Rheinmetall AG in the United States of America or any other jurisdiction. Therefore, neither Rheinmetall AG nor any of its

Q3 2020 Group: Highlights

- Global awareness campaign to support employee safety in Q3 Upgraded measures in place to prepare for second wave

  • All sites fully operational in Q3
  • Auto volume recovery supported strong operating leverage
  • Strict cost management yielded results
  • Continued expansion of Defence margin
  • Defence order intake on expected lower level
  • Lynx order intake to be included in Q4 2020
  • Clear reduction of working capital
  • Strict control of capex

Q3 2020 Group: Key financial data Strong profitability in a recovering market and effective cost management

Q3 2020 Group: Operating free cash flow Very strong cash generation

  • Q3 2019 included €15m CTA funding in Auto 0
  • Strong contribution from working capital reduction -150
    • €45 m restructuring provisions included
    • Automotive with strict capex control

Q3 2020 Group: Capex Cash preservation in Automotive remains a key priority

Capital expenditure

in €m

  • +4% High confidence to achieve FY capex saving target of -30% in Automotive

    - YTD already down 37%

  • Defence FYe capex plan includes Higher capitalized development cost (e.g. Land 400 Phase III, Future tactical truck family) €51 m non cash MilVehCoE leasing
    • agreement in Q3(IFRS 16 effect)

Q3 2020 Group: Group key financials Moody's confirmed financial strength in latest Q3 rating

Net financial debt and Net financial debt/EBITDA (LTM) in €m and ratio

  • 1.00 Investment grade rating "Baa3 with stable outlook" confirmed by Moody's
  • 0.75 Equity ratio remains on solid level
  • 0.25 0.50 Net debt reduced and significantly below Q3 19
  • 0.00 Cash on balance €690m
    • Undrawn credit lines of €0.7bn per end of Q3

Q3 2020 Automotive: Highlights

Return to earnings and cash generation on the back of recovering demand

  • Sequential market recovery continued
  • FX adjusted growth of -9.8% compares to -8.8% regionally adjusted IHS growth* 5.1
  • Strong operating leverage of 15% driven by recovering volumes and continued disciplined cost management 572
    • EBIT included €40m for restructuring
    • OFCF improvement helped by lower capex and no CTA funding
Quarterly sales and margin development Comments on quarterly performance
In €m and % Sequential market recovery continued
6.5 6.2 1.7 5.1
IHS growth*
FX adjusted growth of -9.8% compares to -8.8% regionally adjusted
659 637 618 -15.3 572 Strong operating leverage of 15% driven by recovering volumes and
continued disciplined cost management
338 EBIT included €40m for restructuring
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 OFCF improvement helped by lower capex and no CTA funding
In €m Q3 2019 Q3 2020 YTD 2019 YTD 2020
Sales 659 572 -13.2% 2,099 1,528 -27.2%
Operating result 43 29 -31.0% 144 -12 -108.4%
Operating margin in % 6.5% 5.1% -140bp 6.9% -0.8% -770 bp
Special items - -40 - 2 -340 --
EBIT 43 -11 -124.9% 146 -352 -341.0%
Operating Free Cash Flow 6 49 716.7% -8 -97 1,112.5%
Operating FCF / Sales 0.9% 8.6% 770bp -0.4% -6.3% -600bp
*IHS Markit: 3 November 2020; global LV growth adjusted for China Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020 8

Q3 2020 Automotive: Highlights Ongoing cost discipline and recovering volumes helped operating leverage

*IHS Markit: 3 November 2020; global LV growth adjusted for China

Q3 2020 Automotive: Divisional highlights Divisional business environment on different recovery levels

Mechatronics

  • Margin Q3 2020 • Market in recovery mode, but strain from FX-effects
    • 5.1% • Strict cost management

Hardparts

  • Very weak pistons business
  • Result gained on strict cost cutting
  • 6.7% • At equity almost back to PY level

Aftermarket

  • 9.1% • Strong sales recovery in Europe
  • 2 -1.7% • Favorable customer mix and cost cutting held back by expenses for micro mobility

Q3 2020 Automotive: Highlights Non-LV still a drag, but trucks with sequential improvement

Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020

11

Q3 2020 Automotive: China performance Strong results, but sales burdened by adverse FX effects

  • Comments on the quarter
  • Operational sales increase of +2.4% compares to very strong PY Q3 (first ramp-up quarter of electric vapor and vacuum pumps), but held back by adverse FX effects Chinese market recovery of 10.3% (IHS Markit 3rd Nov 2020)
  • benefitted from low base effect (Q3 19 -7.1%)
  • All plants operational, business activity approaching 100% pre corona level
  • EBIT improved by 20% to €24m
  • JV EBIT margin increased from 7.5% to 8.7%

Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020 *Including 100% figures of 50/50 JV, consolidated at equity 12

Joint Venture Wholly owned foreign enterprise

Q3 2020 Automotive: Innovation Latest order for EVAP increases life time order value to above €1bn

Electronic Vapor Pump (EVAP) Regulatory requirements for fuel emissions tightened Pump allows cleansing of activated carbon filters during standstill or electric operation Product will be sold for vehicles in the US, China, Japan and South Korea

Serial production in the US and China started in mid-2018 and rose to > 750k units in 2019

market EVAP

Q3 2020 Defence: Highlights Further improvement of operating margin and cash generation

  • Sales better than expected including slightly negative FX effect
  • Good execution supported margin development
  • EBIT included site closure cost and positive one-off income
  • OFCF was largely driven by higher earnings and improved working capital
Quarterly sales and margin development Comments on quarterly performance
In €m and % Sales better than expected including slightly negative FX effect
1,324
15.8
Good execution supported margin development
901
823
809
740
EBIT included site closure cost and positive one-off income
9.4
3.9
10.3
7.8
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3

capital
OFCF was largely driven by higher earnings and improved working
In €m Q3 2019 Q3 2020 YTD 2019 YTD 2020
Order intake* 1.136 477 -58.0% 2.201 1.960 -11.0%
Sales 823 809 -1.7% 2.198 2.450 11.5%
Operating result 64 76 17.7% 134 197 47.6%
Operating margin in % 7.8% 9.4% 160bp 6.1% 8.1% 200bp
Special item - 5 - -2 3 -258.8%
EBIT 64 81 25.5% 132 200 52.2%
Operating Free Cash Flow -104 -7 93.3% -328 -300 8.5%
-0.8% 1.190bp -14.9% -12.2% 270bp
Operating FCF / Sales -12.7% Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020 14

Q3 2020 Defence: Divisional highlights All divisions were able to expand margins and absolute results

Weapon & Ammunition

  • Q3 2020 • Stronger ammunition sales
  • 9.4% • Additional personnel protective equipment sales

Electronic Systems

11.5% • Favorable product mix and good execution

Vehicle Systems

8.8% • Expiring Puma sales partially compensated by better margin programmes

Q3 2020 Defence: Order overview Order intake on expected level

Q3 2020 Defence: Launch of new IFV platform Hungary is the first NATO member to select the Lynx

Details

  • Establishment of JV with the Hungarian MOD with a 51% Rheinmetall share
  • Order Size Quantity: 218 Lynx and 9 armored recovery vehicles "Büffel"
  • Order volume: clearly above €2bn
  • 2 phase delivery model:
    • Phase 1 (22-23): Delivery of 46 Lynx produced in Germany
    • Phase 2 (24-29): Delivery of the remaining vehicles from Hungarian JV
  • Order intake expected in Q4 2020
  • Additional aftermarket potential for maintenance, spare parts, ammunition and future upgrades

The IFV is more than just a new, highly advanced vehicle: it is a future-proof platform, blending protection with firepower and mobility in a uniquely modular concept. Deal enables the Hungarian Army to meet its NATO commitments through continued modernization

2020 Guidance update FY result guidance upgraded

  • GROUP Operational sales growth for 2020 between minus 7% and minus 6%
    • Operating margin expected between positive 6% to 6.5%
    • Based on the current IHS' FY 2020 regionally adjusted outlook of 21.9%* we guide our operational sales development for 2020 between minus 20 to minus 23%
    • Operating result expected between 10 €m to 20 €m positive
    • Operational sales growth expectation of around 6%
    • Operating margin between 10 to 11%

Disclaimer:

Next events and IR contacts

Next Events*

Deutsches Eigenkapitalforum 16 November 2020 Berenberg, European Conference 2 December 2020 Credit Suisse, Industrial Conference 3 December 2020 Commerzbank, German Investment Seminar 12 January 2021 Bank of America SMID Cap Conference 13 January 2021 Kepler Cheuvreux UniCredit, German Investment Seminar 18/19 January 2021 FY Earnings release 18 March 2021 *All events will be conducted as virtual conferences

IR Contacts

Dirk Winkels Head of IR Tel: +49-211 473-4749 Email: [email protected]

René Weinberg Senior Investor Relations Manager Tel: +49-211 473-4759 Email: [email protected]

Rosalinde Schulte Investor Relations Assistant Tel: +49-211 473-4718 Email: [email protected] Corporate Presentation Annual Reports Interim Reports

Quick link to documents

APPENDIX

20

Group: Quarterly development

Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020 21

Consolidation/Others

Defence Automotive

Group: Free cash flow summary

Group: Free cash flow summary
Δ YTD Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Δ Q3
YTD 2019 YTD 2020 in €m
'19/'20 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 '19/'20
170 -185 -355 Net Income 60 184 18 -252 49 -11
204 476 272 Amortization / depreciation 68 75 46 75 62 -6
-16 -43 -27 Change in pension accruals -15 -1 -43 1 -1 14
358 248 -110 Cash Flow 113 258 21 -176 110 -3
-392 -462 -70 Changes in working capital and other items -159 423 -182 -192 -88 71
-133 -10 123 Changes in other items -22 87 -10 -70 70 92
-167 -223 -56 Net cash used in operating activities -64 769 -142 -172 91 155
-167 -146 21 Cash outflow for additions to tangible
and intangible assets
-63 -120 -46 -49 -50 13

Automotive: Quarterly development

Sales by division

in €m

Operational result by division in €m

Automotive: Free Cash Flow summary

Automotive: Free Cash Flow summary
YTD 2019 YTD 2020 Δ YTD Q3
in €m
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Δ Q3
'19/'20 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 '19/'20
103 -309 -412 Net Income 30 30 3 -301 -10 -40
119 386 267 Amortization / depreciation 41 43 45 309 33 -8
-16
206
-33
44
-17
-162
Change in pension accruals
Cash Flow
-15
56
-2
71
-32
16
-1
7
-
23
15
-33
-61 -69 -8 Changes in working capital and other items -3 92 -46 -4 -18 -15
-47 -17 30 Changes in other items -8 -18 1 -82 65 73
98 -41 -139 Net cash used in operating activities 45 145 -30 -80 69 24
Cash outflow for additions to tangible
-106 -55 51 and intangible assets -39 -63 -19 -17 -20 19

Defence: Quarterly development

Sales by division

in €m

Operational result by division

Defence: Free Cash Flow summary

Defence: Free Cash Flow summary
YTD 2019 YTD 2020 Δ YTD
'19/'20
in €m Q3
2019
Q4
2019
Q1
2020
Q2
2020
Q3
2020
Δ Q3
'19/'20
73
79
133
85
60
6
Net Income
Amortization / depreciation
37
29
172
30
11
28
64
29
58
28
21
-1
2 3 1 Change in pension accruals 1 1 -1 3 - -1
154 221 67 Cash Flow 67 203 40 96 86 19
-331 -393 -62 Changes in working capital and other items -151 331 -138 -183 -71 80
-91 -39 52 Changes in other items 5 111 -24 -22 7 2
-268 -211 57 Net cash used in operating activities -80 646 -124 -110 23 103
-61 -89 -28 Cash outflow for additions to tangible
and intangible assets
-24 -52 -28 -32 -29 -5

In €m 9m 2019 9m 2020 Δ Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Δ 3.979 -315 Sales 1.481 1.382 -99 4.294 233 -38 Changes in inventory and other own work capitalized 107 75 -32 271 4.212 -353 Total operating performance 1.588 1.458 -130 4.565 70 -39 Other operating income 31 19 -12 109 2.201 -255 Cost of materials 868 770 -98 2.456 1.291 41 Personnel expenses 408 442 34 1.250 476 272 Amortization, depreciation and impairment 71 62 -9 204 462 -49 Other operating expenses 179 150 -29 511 4 -18 Income from investments carried at equity 9 18 9 22 -7 -23 -16 Other net financial income -3 -6 -3 -166 -435 Earnings before interests and taxes (EBIT) 99 66 -33 269 4 7 3 Net interest income 0 3 3 -38 -33 5 Interest expenses -16 -9 7 234 -192 -426 Earnings before taxes (EBT) 83 60 -23 -65 7 72 Income taxes -23 -11 12 -185 -355 Earnings after taxes 17060 49 -11 Of which: 6 -1 Minority interests 3 5 2 7 -191 -354 Rheinmetall AG shareholders 57 44 -13 162 310 -163 EBITDA 171 127 -44 473

Group: Income Statement

Group: Cash Flow Statement

Group: Cash Flow Statement
9m 2019 9m 2020 Δ Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Δ
170 -185 -355 Net income 60 49 -11
204 476 272 Amortization, depreciation and impairments 71 62 -9
-15 -42 -27 Allocation of CTA assets to secure pension and partial retirement
obligations
-15 0 15
-1 -3 -2 Changes in pension provisions 0 -1 -1
-1 -7 -6 Income from disposition of non-current assets 0 -8 -8
-44 64 108 Changes in other provisions -2 73 75
-392 -462 -70 Changes in inventories -159 -88 71
-78 -60 19 Changes in receivables, liabilities (without financial debts) and
prepaid & deferred items
-10 5 15
-22 6 28 Pro rata income from investments carried at equity -9 -8 1
7 7 - Dividends received from investments carried at equity 1 1 -
5 -17 -22 Other non-cash expenses and income -2 6 8
-167 -223 -56 Cashflows from operating activities -64 91 155
-149 -97 52 Cashflows from investing activities -59 -20 39
-59 99 158 Cashflows from financing activities -67 36 103
-374 -221 153 Changes in financial resources -190 107 297
4 -9 -13 Changes in cash and cash equivalents due to exchange rates 3 -3 -6
-370 -230 140 Total change in financial resources -186 104 290
920 196 Cash and cash equivalents 31.12.2019 724 920 196
724 690 335 Cash and cash equivalents 30.09.2020 355 690 335

Group: Balance Sheet

Group: Balance Sheet
31.12.2019 30.09.2020 Δ 31.12.2019 30.09.2020 Δ
Non-current assets
In €m
3.195 2.927 -268 Equity 2.272 1.869 -403
In €m
Goodwill
567 475 -92 Share capital 112 112 -
Other intangible assets 233 250 17 Additional paid-in capital 553 556 3
Usage rights 204 238 34 Retained earnings 1.478 1.081 -397
Property, plant and equipment 1.361 1.084 -277 Treasury shares -17 -13 4
Investment property 42 39 -3 Rheinmetall AG shareholders' equity 2.125 1.735 -390
Investments carried at equity 309 290 -19 Minority interests 146 134 -12
Other non-current financial assets 255 260 5 Non-current liabilities 2.365 2.353 -12
Deferred taxes 224 292 68 Provisions for pensions and sim. obligations 1.169 1.134 -35
Current assets 4.220 4.235 15 Other non-current provisions 214 206 -8
Inventories 1.463 1.682 219 Non-current financial debts 880 907 27
Contractual assets
Trade receivables
388
1.147
458
1.117
70
-30
Other non-current liabilities 86 88 2
Liquid financial assets 20 0 -10 Deferred taxes 16 18 2
Other current financial assets 242 232 16 Current liabilities 2.779 2.939 160
Income tax receivables 41 57 -20 Other current provisions 709 750 41
Cash and cash equivalents 920 690 -230 Current financial debts 112 353 241
Assets for disposal - - - Contractual liabilities 948 880 -68
Total assets 7.415 7.162 -253 Trade liabilities 695 616 -79
Other current liabilities 215 239 24
Income tax liabilities 99 102 3
Total liabilities 7.415 7.162 -253
Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020

Group 2015 – 2019: Key figures (as reported)
in €m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Balance Sheet Total assets 5.730 6.150 6.101 6.759 7.415
Shareholder's equity 1.562 1.781 1.870 2.173 2.272
Equity ratio (in %) 27,3 29,0 30,7 32,1 30,6
Pension liabilities 1.128 1.186 1.080 972 1.169
Net financial debt -81 19 230 -30 -52
Net financial debt / EBITDA 0,17 -0,03 -0,37 0,04 0,07
Net gearing (in %) 5,2 -1,1 -12,3 1,4 2,3
Income Sales 5.183 5.602 5.896 6.148 6.255
statement Operating result 287 353 400 491 505
Operating margin (in %) 5,5 6,3 6,8 8,0 8,1
EBITDA 490 581 626 836 792
EBIT 287 353 385 518 512
EBIT margin (in %) 5,5 6,3 6,5 8,4 8,2
EBT 221 299 346 485 477
Net income 160 215 252 354 354
Earnings per share (in EUR) 3,88 4,69 5,24 7,10 7,77
Dividend per share (in EUR) 1,10 1,45 1,70 2,10 2,40
ROCE (in %) 10,6 12,3 13,8 17,1 15,4
29 161 276 -35 314
CF statement
Headcount
Free cashflow from operations
Employees (Dec. 31) according to capacity
20676 20993 21610 22899 23780

Segments 2015 –
2019: Key figures
Automotive
Defence
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
in €m
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2.621
2.670
2.922
2.888
2.705
Order intake
2.693
3.050
2.963
5.565
5.186
445
458
520
478
447
Order backlog (Dec. 31)
6.422
6.656
6.416
8.577
10.399
2.592
2.656
2.861
2.930
2.736
Sales
2.591
2.946
3.036
3.221
3.522
216
223
249
262
184
Operating result
90
147
174
254
343
8,3
8,4
8,7
8,9
6,7
Operating margin (in %)
3,5
5,0
5,7
7,9
9,8
335
356
367
421
348
EBITDA
175
239
268
403
450
216
223
227
266
186
EBIT
90
147
172
247
341
8,3
8,4
7,9
9,1
6,8
EBIT margin (in %)
3,5
5,0
5,7
7,7
9,7
167
149
154
161
143
Capex
96
95
89
101
166
96
105
106
26
73
OFCF
-38
103
238
-29
266
10.934
10.820
11.166
11.710
11.405
Employees (Dec. 31) according to capacity
9.581
10.002
10.251
10.948
12.100
1.450
1.499
1.621
1.664
1.525
Sales
881
1.111
1.175
1.056
1.018
Weapon &
118
140
176
171
118
Mechatronics
Operating Result
73
108
117
121
123
Ammunition
8,1%
9,3%
10,9%
10,3%
7,7%
Margin
8,3%
9,7%
10,0%
11,5%
12,1%
952
921
968
988
937
Sales
759
745
691
839
948
Electronic
73
62
60
65
28
Hardparts
Operating Result
12
25
20
46
75
Solutions
7,7%
6,7%
6,2%
6,5%
3,0%
Margin
1,5%
3,4%
2,9%
5,5%
7,9%
285
319
358
367
361
Sales
1.195
1.392
1.480
1.568
1.787
Vehicle
27
29
33
36
35
Aftermarket
Operating Result
-9
29
53
108
150
Systems
9,5%
9,1%
9,2%
9,7%
9,8%
Margin
-0,8%
2,1%
3,6%
6,9%
8,4%
Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020
31

Glossary

Glossary
bn billions LBP Large bore piston
bp basis points LEP Life extension programme
CAGR compounded average growth rate LV Light vehicle
CER
CP
Constant Exchange Rates
Commercial Paper
m
MIV
million
Mechanized Infantry Vehicle
CTA Contractual trust agreement MGCS Main Ground Combat Vehicle
D&A Depreciation & Amortization NWC Net working capital
e expected OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer
EA Export approval Op. operational
EBIT Earnings before Interest and Tax Op. res. Operating result
EBITDA Earnings before Interest, Tax , Depreciation and Amortization Operating FCF Operating free cash flow
EBT Earnings before Tax Op. margin Operating margin
EIB European Investment Bank P&L Profit & Loss Account
EPS Earnings per share PPE Personnel Protection Equipment
EPL Einzelplan PY Previous Year
EV Electric Vehicle rep reported
FTE
FX
Full Time Equivalents
Foreign exchange rate
ROCE
RoW
Return on capital employed
Rest of the World
GDP Gross Domestic Product SOP Start of production
HEV Hybrid and Electric Vehicles USMCA USA, Mexico, Canada
IDZ Infanterist
der Zukunft
WACC Weighted average cost of capital
IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards WLTP Worldwide Harmonized Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedure
IFV Infantry Fighting Vehicle WFoE Wholly foreign owned enterprise
JV Joint Venture
Analyst Conference Call Q3 2020 32