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Q-Free ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Oct 28, 2021
3721_rns_2021-10-28_ec8a0a91-9a47-4257-8919-1376206cfa89.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q-FREE IS A PRIME MOVER IN TRAFFIC TECHNOLOGY…
COMPANY & PEOPLE

FOUNDED IN 1984

HEADQUARTERED IN NORWAY

OFFICES IN 15 COUNTRIES
BUSINESS AREAS & INSTALLED BASE
Tolling:

>40 million tolling tags sold

>2 000 tolling lanes in operation

>50 000 active ALPR SW licenses


30+ NATIONALITIES

50+ REFERENCE MARKETS
Traffic Management:

>500 000 highway lane miles monitored and managed


> 35 000 traffic controllers and ~100 centralSW systems deployed

…WITH A STRONG AND COMPELLING PURPOSE & OFFERING
Q-FLOW Optimize how people and goods move Q-CLEAN Stimulate sustainable transportation Q-SAFE Make roads and travel safe • Regional Freeway Management • Traffic Signal Operations and Management • Electronic Toll Collection and Congestion Charging • Incident Management • Connected Intersections • ALPR Enforcement • Weigh-in-motion • Smart Digital Tachographs • Congestion charging and Low-emission zones • Traffic Signal Operations and Management • Bicycle and pedestrian monitoring CONGESTION ACCIDENTS POLLUTION KEY MOBILITY CHALLENGES Q-FREE'S SOLUTIONS

HIGHLIGHTS

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q3-21 (Q3-20)
204 MNOK (210) +4% organic growth
118 MNOK (354) REVENUES: ORDER INTAKE:
EBITDA:
31 MNOK (32)
ORDER BACKLOG: 1 135 MNOK (1 169)
18 MNOK (18) 36 MNOK (24)
EBIT: CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS:

OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Q3-21
Finalized Queensland tolling project delivery in Australia

Went live with ALPR solution for New York toll authorities

Went live with statewide ATMS for Colorado DOT

Expanded cycle monitoring network in Scotland

Continued roll-out of weigh-in-motion in Ukraine

Established subsidiary in Kiev, Ukraine


FINANCIAL UPDATE

FINANCIAL SUMMARY Q3-21 AND 9M-21
| MNOK | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 204 | 210 | -3.1% |
| Gross contribution | 139 | 135 | +2.8% |
| Gross margin | 68.1% | 64.2% | +3.9 pp |
| OPEX | 108 | 103 | +5.1% |
| EBITDA | 31 | 32 | -4.6% |
| EBITDA margin | 15.1% | 15.3% | -0.2 pp |
| EBIT* | 18 | 18 | +3.6% |
| EBIT margin | 9.0% | 8.4% | +0.6 pp |
| EPS | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | YoY Change |
FY 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648 | 635 | +2.1% | 889 | |
| 421 | 399 | +5.6% | 545 | |
| 65.0% | 62.9% | +2.1 pp | 61.3% | |
| 343 | 348 | -1.6% | 469 | |
| 79 | 50 | +56% | 76 | |
| 12.1% | 7.9% | +4.2 pp | 8.5% | |
| 37 | 4 | >800% | -9* | |
| 5.7% | 0.6% | +5.1 pp | -1.0% | |
| 0.20 | -0.17 | -0.56 |
* FY 2020 EBIT includes 21 MNOK in impairment of intangible assets and PP&E

REVENUE DEVELOPMENT
QUARTERLY REVENUES NOK million

-3% YoY nominal revenue growth, but +4% organic growth adjusted for currency effects and Assets Held for Sale
Q3-21 REVENUES PER BUSINESS AREA Percent

YTD Tolling accounts for 63% of revenues and Traffic Management 37%

YOY REVENUE COMPARISON


SEGMENT REVENUE DETAILS
NOK million
| SEGMENT | Q3-21 | Q3-20 | YoY Change |
9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | YoY Change |
FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolling | 131 | 142 | -8% | 411 | 415 | -1% | 572 |
| Traffic Management |
73 | 58 | +25% | 234 | 197 | +19% | 282 |
| Assets held for sale |
-* | 10* | * | 2* | 24* | * | 35 |
| REVENUES | 204 | 210 | -3% | 648 | 635 | +2% | 889 |
4% YoY organic revenue growth adjusted for currency effects and Assets Held for Sale
9% YoY organic revenue growth adjusted for currency effects and Assets Held for Sale
* Parking assets divested in Q1-21

EBITDA DEVELOPMENT
EBITDA EXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS NOK million

103 MNOK in 12m rolling EBITDA, 105 MNOK when adjusting 12.1% EBITDA margin YTD 2021 vs. 7.9% YTD 2020 for assets held for sale
EBITDA MARGIN EXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS Percent


SEGMENT EBITDA DETAILS
NOK million
| SEGMENT | Q3-21 | Q3-20 | Margin change |
9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | Margin change |
FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolling | 33 | 39 | -2.8 pp | 88 | 78 | +2.6 pp | 104 |
| Traffic Management |
2 | -1 | +5.1 pp | 16 | 3 | +5.2 pp | 8 |
| Assets held for sale* |
0* | 0 | -2* | -6 | -7 | ||
| Group Functions |
-4 | -7 | -23 | -24 | -29 | ||
| EBITDA | 31 | 32 | -0.2 pp | 78 | 50 | +4.2 pp | 76 |

* Parking assets divested in Q1-21
ORDER INTAKE DEVELOPMENT
ORDER INTAKE & BOOK-TO-BILL PER QUARTER NOK million / ratio

Frame contracts with no committed minimum volume not included, YTD order intake down 6% compared to 2020
Q3-21 ORDER INTAKE PER BUSINESS AREA Percent

Tenders with an accumulated value in excess of 600 MNOK already submitted and awaiting award

POST-QUARTER CONTRACT WINS
Tolling contract with Transport for New South Wales in Australia

- Contract to design, supply, and install replacement tolling roadside systems for the Sydney Harbour Bridge and Harbour Tunnel
- Minimum revenues of ~40 MNOK including 5 years of recurring service and maintenance
- 3 rd major tolling project in Australia in the past 2 years
Tolling frame agreement with Vegamot/Bompengeselskapet Nord in Norway

- Q-Free chosen by Vegamot/Bompengeselskapet Nord as the preferred vendor for mobile tolling solutions + replacement of three-gantry toll stations
- Moreover, Q-Free is qualified as 1 of 2 suppliers that can bid on projects involving single gantry toll stations
- Expected revenues >100 MNOK actual amount will depend on call-offs and success on coming mini-tenders

THE OPPORTUNITY PIPELINE CONTINUES TO LOOK SIZEABLE AND ATTRACTIVE
ESTIMATES
ADDRESSABLE OPPORTUNITIES EXPECTED TO BE TENDERED/AWARDED IN 2021&2022 MNOK


NOTE: Planned tenders and contract signings might be delayed by customers
ORDER BACKLOG DEVELOPMENT
ORDER BACKLOG NOK million

Frame contracts with no committed minimum volumes are not included in the backlog
EXPECTED DELIVERY SCHEDULE NOK million

The Covid-19 pandemic might cause changes to the planned delivery schedule

CASH FLOW AND AVAILABLE FUNDS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS:
36 MNOK (24)
CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING:
-8 MNOK (-6)
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING:
-7 MNOK (-16)
AVAILABLE CREDIT AND CASH AT HAND NOK million

Available credit Cash at hand

KEY BALANCE SHEET ITEMS
BALANCE SHEET COMPOSITION NOK million


46% (42%) EQUITY RATIO (Q3-20):
WORKING CAPITAL RATIO (Q3-20):
14% (22%)

GW & other intangible assets
NET INTEREST BEARING DEBT
NET INTEREST BEARING DEBT NOK million


NET FINANCIAL ITEMS:
0.1 MNOK (-16)


OUR 2020-2023 PLAN


Q-FREE GENERATES ~250 MNOK IN ARR AND ~50% COMES FROM SW
ANNUALIZED RECURRING REVENUES NOK million


SPLIT OF ANNUALIZED RECURRING REVENUES NOK million, 100% = 150 MNOK


ESTIMATES
MAIN SW ARR DRIVERS
Advanced Traffic Management Systems

- Statewide inter-urban ATMS SW platforms including O&M
- Combination of cloud and onpremise SW systems
- Trend towards SaaS and cloud hosting

48% of SW ARR 31% of SW ARR 21% of SW ARR
- Automated (and manual) processing of license plate images for tolling transactions
- Trend towards more demanding KPIs and higher automation rates
License plate processing Tolling back-office systems
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- Advanced transaction processing and system management platform for tolling operators
- Important in new markets without legacy platforms

ESTIMATES
SW ARR GROWTH INITIATIVES
SPLIT OF CURRENT RECURRING SW REVENUES NOK million, 100% = 117 MNOK

ESTIMATES
ATMS ARR growth plan:
- Win new inter-urban statewide O&M contracts a la CDOT
- Increase sale of SW products on SaaS contracts a la LaneAware
ALPR ARR growth plan:
- Increase sale of Intrada® Insight in the US
- Replicate US business model in Europe
Tolling back-office ARR growth plan:
- Increase sale of simple back-office solutions to tag issuers a la Leaseplan
- Sell full-scale tolling back-office solutions a la Portugal and Slovenia in connection with new projects



COMMENTS ON OUTLOOK
2021 outlook:
- 8-10% organic revenue growth pending global supply chain situation
- − 9% growth YTD adjusted for discontinued business and currency effects
- − Global supply constraints on chips/microcontrollers will negatively impact 2021 tag sales (most orders are not lost but postponed)
• >10% EBITDA margin
- − 12% margin YTD
- − Favorable product mix with good margins
- − Solid cost control
2025 outlook:
- 1.3-1.5 bn NOK revenue target unchanged
- − Several large tolling projects expected in new markets + replacement contracts in existing markets
- − Early signs of market recovery for Traffic Management in the US
- Margin targets unchanged
- − Operational leverage
- − Increasing share of high-margin SW revenues
- − Ongoing conversion to SaaS and ARR


