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Prudential plc Interim / Quarterly Report 2020

Aug 11, 2020

50562_rns_2020-08-11_f5300312-1ad6-4079-b8f6-4221fe193047.pdf

Interim / Quarterly Report

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Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited and the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited take no responsibility for the contents of this announcement, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this announcement.

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(Incorporated and registered in England and Wales under the number 01397169)

(Stock code: 2378)

INSIDE INFORMATION

PRESS RELEASE AND HALF YEAR RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2020

This announcement contains inside information NEWS RELEASE

11 August 2020

PRUDENTIAL PLC HALF YEAR 2020 RESULTS

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PRUDENTIAL ANNOUNCES RESILIENT ASIA OPERATING PROFIT AND INTENTION TO FULLY SEPARATE JACKSON

Strategic updates and performance highlights on a constant (and actual) exchange rate basis

  • Prudential plc intends to fully separate Jackson from the Group, commencing with minority IPO planned for first half of 2021 and full divestment over time

  • Post-separation Prudential Group to focus on high growth Asia and Africa markets with a view to sustained double-digit growth in embedded value per share

  • New dividend policy aligned with revised Group strategy to focus on value creation through growth

  • Asia half year adjusted operating profit[1] up 14 per cent[2] , with double-digit adjusted operating profit[1] growth[2] in nine Asia markets

  • Jackson local statutory RBC ratio expected to be above 425 per cent after Athene equity investment[9]

  • Group regulatory capital surplus[8] strong at $12.4 billion, with an LCSM ratio of 334 per cent (31 December 2019: 309 per cent)

Mike Wells, Prudential plc’s Group Chief Executive, said: “We have delivered a resilient performance in the first half, despite a challenging new business sales environment, which is likely to persist for the rest of the year, and further falls in interest rates. Our diverse, high-quality platform in Asia and our focus on writing profitable value-adding business led to a 14 per cent[2] increase in Asia adjusted operating profit[1] . Our performance is again broad-based, with nine markets reporting double-digit adjusted operating profit[1] growth[2] . In the US adjusted operating profit[1] was (19) per cent lower due to market-related effects on the level of DAC amortisation but, while sales were lower, we have maintained our leadership position in the annuities market.

“The Board of Prudential plc has decided to pursue the full separation and divestment of Jackson to enable the Group to focus exclusively on its high-growth Asia and Africa businesses. This would result in two separately listed companies with distinct investment propositions, which we believe would lead to improved strategic outcomes for both businesses. The Group would have primary listings in both London and Hong Kong and secondary listings in Singapore and the US. Jackson is expected to be solely listed in the US.

“The separation and divestment of Jackson would transform Prudential into a Group purely targeting the structural opportunities of Asia and Africa. Our differentiated product and geographic portfolio is well positioned to meet the health, protection and savings needs in these regions, where insurance penetration is low and demand for savings solutions is rapidly developing. The postseparation Group would focus on growth, with a view to achieving sustained double-digit growth in embedded value per share. This would be supported by growth rates of new business profit, which are expected to substantially exceed GDP growth in the markets in which the Group operates.

“The Group expects to commence separation by way of a minority IPO, targeting the first half of 2021, followed by future sell-downs over time, subject to market conditions, with the proceeds used to increase financial flexibility for further investment in our Asia and Africa business. If market conditions are not supportive of an IPO, the Group’s current intention is that separation would be facilitated through a demerger of the Group’s stake in Jackson to our existing shareholders. Any required shareholder approval for the separation will be sought in advance of its execution.

“Jackson intends to seek a strong credit rating and capitalisation and is expected to target an RBC ratio in the circa 425-475 per cent range at the point of the proposed listing. This range would be subject to market conditions and will be kept under review. Proceeds from anticipated new Jackson debt issuance would enable repayment of a portion of the Group’s debt during 2021 and 2022, and support Prudential’s intention to maintain its strong credit rating following the separation. Proceeds from further selldowns in Jackson following the IPO would provide further resources to the Group for investment in Asia and Africa.

“To support the separation process, other than any pre-separation returns of capital including from Jackson’s debt issuance as indicated above, Prudential plc does not currently expect Jackson to remit any regular dividends in 2020 or 2021 prior to an IPO. Prudential will adopt a new dividend policy that is aligned to the Asia and Africa growth strategy and to the intended separation of Jackson. The new policy will apply with immediate effect. This new policy reflects a rebalancing of capital allocation from cash dividends to reinvestment in Asia, which is expected to deliver profitable and sustainable compounding growth. For the 2020 first interim dividend, the Board has approved a dividend of 5.37 cents per share[10] , representing one third of the current expectation for the 2020 full-year dividend under the Group’s new dividend policy. Dividends are expected to grow broadly in line with the growth in Asia operating free surplus generation net of right-sized central costs, and will be set taking into account financial prospects, market conditions and investment opportunities.

“We believe we are well positioned both to weather the disruption caused by the Covid-19 pandemic as we continue to support our customers and communities in the recovery to come, and emerge stronger and with a more focused strategy.”

customers and communities in the recovery to come, and emerge stronger and with a more focused strategy.”
Summary financials – continuing operations Half year
Half year
Change on
Change on
(ie excluding demerged M&G plc business in HY19) 2020 $m
2019 $m
AER basis
CER basis
Adjusted operating profit1 2,541
2,619
(3)%
(2)%

Operating free surplus generated before the effects of US EEV modelling
enhancements made in the second half of 20193,4 1,979
1,943
2%
3%
Life new business profit5 1,160
2,125
(45)%
(45)%

IFRS profit after tax6
534
1,158
(54)%
(54)%

Net cash remittances from business units7
432
1,093
(60)%
-
30 June 2020
31 December 2019
Total
Per share
Total
Per share
LCSM shareholder surplus over Group minimum capital requirement8 $12.4bn
n/a
$9.5bn
n/a
IFRS shareholders’ funds $19.1bn
732¢
$19.5bn
749¢
EEV shareholders’ funds $48.9bn
1,876¢
$54.7bn
2,103¢

1

Notes

  • 1 In this press release ‘adjusted operating profit’ refers to adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns from continuing operations. This alternative performance measure is reconciled to IFRS profit for the period in note B1.1 of the IFRS financial statements.

  • 2 Period-on-period percentage increases are stated on a constant exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. 3 For insurance operations, operating free surplus generated represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating items. For asset management businesses, it equates to post-tax adjusted operating profit for the period. Further information is set out in note 11 of the EEV basis results.

  • 4 During the second half of 2019, as part of the implementation of the NAIC’s changes to the US statutory reserve and capital framework, enhancements were made to the model used to allow for hedging within US statutory reporting, which were subsequently incorporated into the EEV model. HY20 has been prepared on the same basis as FY19. Accordingly, operating free surplus in HY20 is $(535) million lower than it would have been if the previous EEV modelling approach applied at HY19 had been used. After allowing for this, operating free surplus generated in the first half of 2020 is $1,444 million, down (25) per cent on a constant exchange rate basis and (26) per cent on an actual exchange rate basis.

  • 5 New business profit, on a post-tax basis, on business sold in the period, calculated in accordance with EEV Principles.

  • 6 IFRS profit after tax from continuing operations reflects the combined effects of operating results determined on the basis of longer-term investment returns, together with short-term investment variances which for HY20 were driven by the impact of lower interest rates and equity markets on the Group’s obligations to policyholders, together with amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments, the impacts of the corporate transactions and tax.

  • 7 Net cash amounts remitted by business units are included in the holding company cash flow, which is disclosed in detail in note I(iii) of the Additional unaudited financial information. This comprises dividends and other transfers from business units that are reflective of emerging earnings and capital generation.

  • 8 Surplus over Group minimum capital requirement and estimated before allowing for first interim ordinary dividend. Shareholder business excludes the available capital and minimum requirement of participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Further information on the basis of calculation of the LCSM measure is contained in note I(i) of the Additional unaudited financial information.

  • 9 Based on the RBC capital position as at 30 June 2020 and assuming the Athene investment transaction completed at that date. 10 Under the Group’s previous dividend policy, the first interim dividend would have been 12.28 cents per share.

Contact:

Contact:
Media Investors/Analysts
Jonathan Oliver +44 (0)20 3977 9500 Patrick Bowes +44 (0)20 3977 9702
Tom Willetts +44 (0)20 3977 9760 William Elderkin +44 (0)20 3977 9215

Person responsible

The person responsible for arranging the release of this announcement on behalf of Prudential plc is Tom Clarkson, Company Secretary.

Notes to Editors:

  • a. The results in this announcement are prepared on two bases: International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and European Embedded Value (EEV). The results prepared under IFRS form the basis of the Group’s statutory financial statements. The supplementary EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the amended European Embedded Value Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in 2016. The Group’s EEV basis results are stated on a posttax basis and include the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group’s asset management and other operations. The IFRS and EEV results are presented in US dollars, reflecting the change in the Group’s presentational currency made in the second half of 2019, and comparative amounts are restated accordingly. The basis of translation is discussed in note A1 of the IFRS financial statements. Period-on-period percentage increases are stated on a constant exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. Constant exchange rates are calculated by translating prior period results using the current period foreign exchange rate, ie current period average rates for the income statement and current period closing rates for the balance sheet.

  • b. EEV and adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns are stated after excluding the effect of shortterm fluctuations in investment returns against long-term assumptions, which for IFRS in half year 2020 were driven by the impact of lower interest rates and equity markets on the Group’s obligations to policyholders. They also exclude the effect of corporate transactions undertaken in the period, which in 2020 was the gain (loss) arising upon reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolio to Athene. Furthermore, for EEV basis results, operating profit based on longer-term investment returns excludes the effect of changes in economic assumptions and the mark-to-market value movement on core borrowings. Separately on the IFRS basis, adjusted operating profit also excludes amortisation of accounting adjustments arising principally on the acquisition of REALIC that completed in 2012. All amounts shown are for continuing operations (Asia, US and Africa), with HY19 excluding the results of the demerged M&G plc business.

  • c. Total number of Prudential plc shares in issue as at 30 June 2020 was 2,608,860,447.

  • d. A pre-recorded presentation for analysts and investors will be available on-demand from 9.30am (UK time) using the following link: https://www.investis-live.com/prudential/5f0d7eb427577e1000c23420/ebgd A copy of the script used in the recorded video, a pdf of the Presentation and this RNS will also be available from 9.30am (UK time) on 11 August 2020 on the Prudential plc’s website.

A Q&A call for analysts and investors will be held on the same day at 11.30am (UK time).

Registration to a "listen in" only and online question facility

To register to listen into the conference call and submit questions online, please do so via the following link: - https://www.investis live.com/prudential/5f10213027577e1000f6b945/prad The call will be available to replay afterwards using the same link.

Dial-in details

A dial-in facility will be available to listen to the call and ask questions: please allow 15 minutes ahead of the start time to join the call (lines open half an hour before the call is due to start, ie from 11.00am (UK time)).

Dial-in: +44 (0)20 3936 2999 (UK and international) / 0800 640 6441 (Freephone UK), Participant access code 717140 . Once participants have entered this code their name and company details will be taken.

2

Transcript

Following the call a transcript will be published on the results centre page of Prudential plc's website on 14 August 2020.

Playback facility

Please use the following for a playback facility: +44 (0)20 3936 3001 (UK and international excluding US) / + 1 845 709 8569 (US only), replay code 943386 . This will be available from approximately 3.00pm (UK time) on 11 August 2020 until 11.59pm (UK time) on 25 August 2020.

  • e. 2020 First Interim Ordinary Dividend
2020 First Interim Ordinary Dividend
Ex-dividend date 20 August 2020 (UK, Hong Kong and Singapore)
Record date 21 August 2020
Payment of dividend 28 September 2020 (UK, Hong Kong and ADR holders)
On or about 05 October 2020 (Singapore)
  • f. About Prudential plc

Prudential plc is an Asia-led portfolio of businesses focused on structural growth markets. The business helps people get the most out of life through life and health insurance, and retirement and asset management solutions. Prudential plc has 20 million customers and is listed on stock exchanges in London, Hong Kong, Singapore and New York. Prudential plc is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc. a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America, nor with The Prudential Assurance Company Limited, a subsidiary of M&G plc, a company incorporated in the United Kingdom.

g. Discontinued Operations

Throughout this results announcement ‘discontinued operations’ refers to the recently demerged UK and Europe operations (referred to as M&G plc). All amounts presented refer to continuing operations unless otherwise stated.

  • h. Forward-Looking Statements

This document may contain 'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of Prudential's plans and its goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about Prudential's beliefs and expectations and including, without limitation, statements containing the words 'may', 'will', 'should', 'continue', 'aims', 'estimates', 'projects', 'believes', 'intends', 'expects', 'plans', 'seeks' and 'anticipates', and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as at the time they are made, and therefore undue reliance should not be placed on them. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty.

A number of important factors could cause Prudential's actual future financial condition or performance or other indicated results of the entity referred to in any forward-looking statement to differ materially from those indicated in such forward-looking statement. Such factors include, but are not limited to, the impact of the current Covid-19 pandemic, including adverse financial market and liquidity impacts, responses and actions taken by regulators and supervisors, the impact to sales, claims and assumptions and increased product lapses, disruption to Prudential’s operations (and those of its suppliers and partners), risks associated with new sales processes and information security risks; future market conditions, including fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the potential for a sustained low-interest rate environment, and the impact of economic uncertainty, asset valuation impacts from the transition to a lower carbon economy, derivative instruments not effectively hedging exposures arising from product guarantees, inflation and deflation and the performance of financial markets generally; global political uncertainties, including the potential for increased friction in cross-border trade and the exercise of executive powers to restrict trade, financial transactions, capital movements and/or investment; the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, including, in particular, the policies and actions of the Hong Kong Insurance Authority, as Prudential's Group-wide supervisor, as well as new government initiatives generally; given its designation as an Internationally Active Insurance Group (“IAIG”), the impact on Prudential of systemic risk and other group supervision policy standards adopted by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors; the impact of competition and fast-paced technological change; the effect on Prudential's business and results from, in particular, mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates; the physical impacts of climate change and global health crises on Prudential's business and operations; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; the impact of internal transformation projects and other strategic actions failing to meet their objectives; the ability to complete a potential minority initial public offering of Jackson, or one of its related companies, or other strategic options in relation to Jackson, or one of its related companies; the effectiveness of reinsurance for Prudential’s businesses; the risk that Prudential's operational resilience (or that of its suppliers and partners) may prove to be inadequate, including in relation to operational disruption due to external events; disruption to the availability, confidentiality or integrity of Prudential's information technology, digital systems and data (or those of its suppliers and partners); any ongoing impact on Prudential of the demerger of M&G plc; the impact of changes in capital, solvency standards, accounting standards or relevant regulatory frameworks, and tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Prudential and its affiliates operate; the impact of legal and regulatory actions, investigations and disputes; and the impact of not adequately responding to environmental, social and governance issues. These and other important factors may, for example, result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of operations or re-estimations of reserves for future policy benefits. Further discussion of these and other important factors that could cause Prudential's actual future financial condition or performance or other indicated results of the entity referred to in any forward-looking statements to differ, possibly materially, from those anticipated in Prudential's forward-looking statements can be found under the 'Risk Factors' heading of this document.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date on which they are made. Prudential expressly disclaims any obligation to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document or any other forward-looking statements it may make, whether as a result of future events, new information or otherwise except as required pursuant to the UK Prospectus Rules, the UK Listing Rules, the UK Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the Hong Kong Listing Rules, the SGX-ST listing rules or other applicable laws and regulations.

3

Group Chief Executive’s report

During the first half of 2020, our focus has been on supporting our customers, distributors, colleagues and communities through the challenges created by Covid-19. At the same time, we are continuing to invest for the future and deliver on our strategic objectives, including with our announcement today that we intend to pursue the full separation and divestment of Jackson to enable the Group to focus exclusively on our high-growth Asia and Africa businesses.

Since the Covid-19 pandemic began, we have leveraged our ability to act at pace to help our customers and the communities in which we operate. Both as an organisation and as individuals, we have shown how we are able to learn from the changing conditions around us and quickly generate new ways to support all of our stakeholders.

The Group’s purpose is to help people get the most out of life. We do this by making healthcare accessible and affordable, helping people accumulate wealth through growing their assets, and empowering our customers to save for their goals. In all our businesses, we see strong alignment with the benefits to the wider society of financial inclusion through the increased provision of health and protection and long-term savings. By helping to build better lives and stronger communities and to maintain the selfreinforcing growth cycle, we seek to create long-term value for both our customers and our shareholders.

We continue to respond to our customers’ needs for flexible and targeted products, alongside our more traditional comprehensive savings and protection solutions. During the first half we introduced in all markets free, limited-time, Covid-19 cover for new or existing customers or Pulse users and we continue to make improvements to our offerings. We have expanded the number of products we are able to market through virtual platforms thereby increasing our resilience. In total, 90 per cent of our products in Asia, based on APE sales[1] , can now be sold without face-to-face contact. In the second quarter, some 150,000 policies have been sold by our agents across Asia throughout virtual platforms, equivalent to 38 per cent of policies written by this channel.

Our agents, partners, bank staff and the other professionals who distribute our services form an important part of the wider Prudential family, and help to identify products that best fit customer needs. To that end, we have been finding new ways to help them to work effectively while staying safe. We have continued to hire agents across our markets, and we have launched a virtual sales process with some of our key partner banks in Asia. Jackson wholesalers are continuing to adapt to the virtual sales environment and have conducted more than 20,000 virtual meetings since March. We also successfully launched our new distribution relationship with State Farm, adding more than 5,700 agents offering Jackson annuity products.

Throughout this crisis, the health and well-being of our approximately 19,000 colleagues has been a top priority. As at the end of July, 56 per cent of our Asia workforce were working away from the office. In Africa that figure is around 40 per cent. In the United States and at our London office, close to 100 per cent of our colleagues were working remotely. A recent survey of our colleagues[19] found that 90 per cent felt confident in the company’s rapid response to the pandemic. Our agile workplace technology has proven well suited to remote working and our people have adapted well to this new environment. We are taking a cautious approach to reopening our offices, adapting them to local social distancing requirements.

Our people have been working tirelessly to support our communities in a variety of ways, both large and small. In particular, we have disbursed more than $1.8 million from the $2.5 million Covid-19 fund we announced in May. New initiatives include support for continued education and learning for vulnerable communities, ongoing provision of PPE and needed medical equipment to hospitals and clinics in Asia and, in our African markets, public health awareness campaigns, food relief for deprived communities and support for education. We have also taken steps to help our smaller suppliers deal with the particular pressures they are under at the current time.

Our teams are innovating with an eye to the world beyond Covid-19. Pulse by Prudential, our Asia digital health app, is now available in 11 markets and has been downloaded more than 8.1 million times[21] since its launch a year ago. New tools are being added weekly, focusing on promoting healthy lifestyles and in turn reducing major non-communicable diseases, such as heart disease and diabetes.

Meanwhile, we have continued to execute successfully throughout the half year on our key strategic objectives. In March, we announced a significant bancassurance deal with TMB in Thailand, which together with Thanachart Bank gives us access to a customer base of more than nine million people. Last month, Prudential Ghana and Fidelity Bank announced a 10-year extension to their exclusive bancassurance agreement. In June we announced major reinsurance and investment transactions with Athene in the US and we have today announced that we intend to pursue the full separation and divestment of Jackson.

Intended separation of US operations

The Board of Prudential plc has decided to pursue the full separation and divestment of Jackson to enable the Group to focus exclusively on its high-growth Asia and Africa businesses.

The separation would result in two separately listed companies with distinct investment propositions, which the Board believes would result in improved strategic outcomes for both businesses. The separation would improve alignment of management and employees to their businesses, customers and shareholders. The Group would maintain its dual primary listings in both London and Hong Kong and secondary listings in Singapore and the US. Jackson would be expected to be solely listed in the US.

The Group intends to commence separation by way of a minority IPO followed by future sell-downs over time, with the proceeds used to increase financial flexibility for further investment in our Asia and Africa business. Any required shareholder approvals for the separation will be sought in advance of its execution.

Preparations for the IPO, targeting the first half of 2021, continue to progress well. If market conditions are not supportive of an IPO, the Group’s current intention is that separation would be facilitated through a demerger of the Group’s stake in Jackson to our existing shareholders.

4

Focus on growth opportunities in Asia and Africa

Prudential’s differentiated product and geographic portfolio is well positioned to meet the protection and savings needs of the growing populations in Asia and Africa, where insurance penetration is currently low and demand for savings solutions is rapidly developing.

We have a pan-Asian footprint, with our largest life and protection operations[18] in Hong Kong, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia. We also operate in Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan, the Philippines, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar and have successful partnerships in China and India. Within this footprint, Prudential has top three positions[2] in nine out of 13 life markets, with significant with-profits funds in three markets providing a distinct product offering. We have a focus on capital-efficient health and protection insurance products and fee-based earnings. In asset management, Eastspring manages $220 billion across 11 markets in Asia and provides focused investment solutions to third-party retail and institutional clients as well as to our internally sourced life funds.

Over the decade from 2009 to 2019, embedded value in Asia grew on average by 15 per cent[3,5] per annum and at 31 December 2019 was $39.2 billion[3] . On average over the same period, total assets under management[22] grew by 14 per cent[3,5] per annum from $69.7 billion[3] to $266.6 billion[3] , APE sales[4] grew by 12 per cent[3,5] per annum, new business profit[6] and adjusted operating profit[7] grew by 16 per cent[3,5] per annum and Asia operating free surplus generation[8] grew by 19 per cent[3,5] per annum.

Our joint venture operations in China and India provide us with scaled access to two of the largest economies in the region in which we see significant growth potential in both insurance and savings. In Indonesia, we continue to strengthen our market leadership and propel growth by broadening our product offerings, enhancing our agent quality, as well as digitalising our business model. In Thailand our new distribution agreements will enable us to leapfrog and play a major role in serving the growing retirement and investment needs of a rising middle class. As the four largest economies in our footprint, these markets offer us the most significant opportunities for growth going forward.

In Hong Kong, we will continue to build our already strong and substantial business through agent expansion and increased digitalisation of our service offering, including in the Greater Bay Area as policy guidance emerges. In Singapore, we see significant opportunities in expanding the servicing of the wealth and small and medium enterprise markets, alongside supporting a fastageing population to address uncovered retirement and health needs. In Malaysia, we have leading market positions in both the conventional and takaful markets, with the underprovided sharia market presenting substantial opportunity for growth. In our other high-potential markets of Vietnam, the Philippines, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar, we see the opportunity for rapid growth through the roll-out of our efficient and scalable business model. In Africa, where we have a growing presence in some of the world’s most under-penetrated markets, we continue to focus on technology and distribution to build a scalable business.

We have been able to substantially accelerate our digital development and customer-centric digital ecosystem, materially amplifying our physical franchise. Pulse by Prudential, our new digital health app, is now live in 11 markets, and the number of downloads has increased to more than 8.1 million at the beginning of August[21] from 1.3 million when we announced our full-year results in March this year. Pulse is broadening our customer base, gathering new data and converting this into new sales. Seventy per cent of Pulse users are new to Prudential, representing an internet-savvy and materially younger demographic than our in-force customer base. This is a rich source of new relationships and leads, which support our future growth. We are at the start of the monetisation journey from this digitally-led customer engagement, with 1.5 million free introductory covers provided and around 200,000 policies from our full range of products sold direct or through online-to-offline agency referrals. We intend to scale these monetisation activities at pace, which are complementary to our existing routes-to-market.

Eastspring has a broad product set, as well as significant distribution capabilities and a strong long-term track record. Product areas cover equity, bonds and multi-asset products, which underpin the savings offered to life business customers and are distributed to third-party institutions and retail clients. Distribution channels include wholesale, intermediary and direct online formats, which are tailored as required, depending on the geography involved. This means that Eastspring can continue to grow and develop through both market cycles and changes to individual investment styles. Operational efficiency at Eastspring has led to industry-leading margins[20] and investment in technology to deliver common platforms, and world-class risk management and governance capabilities. We expect Eastspring to further expand its product capabilities, tailoring them to the fast-developing needs of the Group’s life business, as well as third-party clients.

Since 2014 we have also built a rapidly growing multi-product business in Africa, with operations now in eight countries across the continent. Further information on how we have been investing and developing this business is set out further below within the Africa performance section.

We intend to take full advantage of the long-term structural opportunities in our chosen markets and geographies, while both operating with discipline and continuing to innovate, to deliver profitable and increasingly diversified growth.

Our trusted brands and digitally enabled multi-channel distribution enable us to meet the growing needs of our customers for longterm savings and financial security, and to design differentiated and tailored consumer products, which integrate investment and protection solutions. This offering is delivered through efficient and agile infrastructure, which in turn allows us to innovate and deploy products rapidly as consumer demands evolve.

We have significant investment appetite that is based on the absolute size and demographic characteristics of each economy and on our ability to build competitive advantage leveraging our scale and expertise. While we will continue to build on our leading positions in Hong Kong and ASEAN, we see the greatest growth opportunities in the largest economies of China, India, Indonesia and Thailand.

Our Asia-focused strategy will support long-term delivery of future shareholder returns through value appreciation, with a focus on achieving sustained double-digit growth in embedded value per share. This will in turn be supported by growth rates of new business profit, which is expected to substantially exceed GDP growth in the markets in which the Group operates.

5

Financial impacts of intended separation

Jackson intends to seek a strong credit rating and capitalisation and is expected to raise debt and target an RBC ratio in the circa 425-475 per cent range at the point of proposed listing. Jackson’s holding company would currently be expected to target financial leverage in the circa 20-25 per cent range. These ranges are subject to market conditions and will be kept under review.

The target RBC ratio would include the proceeds of any primary equity issued by Jackson at or before the IPO and the target financial leverage would be expected to be raised at Jackson’s holding company in advance of any IPO. Proceeds from the anticipated increase in Jackson’s debt would enable repayment of a portion of the Group’s existing debt during 2021 and 2022, and support Prudential’s intention to maintain its strong credit rating after any separation of Jackson. Proceeds from further sell-downs in Jackson following the IPO would provide further resources to fund the Group’s continued investment in Asia and Africa growth opportunities.

To support the intended separation process, other than any pre-separation returns of capital including from Jackson’s debt issuance, Prudential plc does not currently expect Jackson to remit any regular dividends in 2020 or 2021 prior to the IPO. Prudential will adopt a new dividend policy that is aligned to the Asia and Africa growth strategy and to the intended separation of Jackson. The new policy will apply with immediate effect.

The Group will continue to right-size its head-office costs with the evolving footprint of the business. The Group is aiming to deliver a further annual cost reduction of around $70 million by 2023 on top of the $180 million cost savings from 2021 previously announced as a result of the M&G demerger[27] . This reduction would take into account the intended smaller size of the Group, while still retaining the quality of reporting, risk management and governance required by our regulators and stakeholders. We would continue to maintain a cost-effective presence in London to support our most liquid primary listing and our capital markets relationships as well as to access the depth and quality of financial service talent based there.

Capital allocation and dividend policy

Since 2013, Prudential has committed over $9 billion of capital to support growth in Asia, including around $5 billion of inorganic investments to grow our distribution reach and to build digital capability. Around one-third of this investment has been made since January 2019. Asia has grown significantly over the last 10 years and the Group continues to have substantial opportunities for value creation from further investment in Asia. This investment is expected to deliver profitable and sustainable compounding growth and high risk-adjusted returns for shareholders. Accordingly, the new dividend policy reflects a rebalancing of capital allocation from cash dividends to reinvestment of capital into the Asia business and will apply with immediate effect.

Reflecting the Group’s capital allocation priorities, dividends will be determined primarily based on Asia’s operating capital generation after allowing for the capital strain of writing new business and recurring central costs, with a portion of capital generation retained for reinvestment in the business. Dividends are expected to grow broadly in line with the growth in Asia operating free surplus generation net of right-sized central costs, and will be set taking into account financial prospects, investment opportunities and market conditions.

The total 2020 dividend will be subject to market conditions and financial performance in 2020 remaining in line with expectations. Based on current estimates of Asia’s full-year 2020 operating capital generation, the Group’s total 2020 dividend is expected to be around $420 million under the new policy, equivalent to around 16.10 cents per share.

For the 2020 first interim dividend, the Board has approved a dividend of 5.37 cents per share[13] , representing one third of the current expectation for the 2020 full-year dividend under the Group’s new dividend policy. The second interim dividend is expected to be approved by the Prudential Board in the first quarter of 2021 and paid to shareholders in May 2021, in accordance with the Group’s normal financial calendar.

Starting from the 2021 first interim dividend, the Board intends to apply a formulaic approach to first interim dividends, which will be calculated as one-third of the previous year’s full-year dividend.

Financial performance

In the first half of the year, the Group’s adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns (adjusted operating profit[7] ) from our continuing operations decreased by (2) per cent on a constant exchange rate basis to $2,541 million (decreased by (3) per cent on an actual exchange rate basis). This comprised a 14 per cent increase in Asia adjusted operating profit[7] , reflecting the resilience of our business underpinned by the success of our health and protection offering, and a lower contribution from our US business reflecting the adverse effect of market movements, including the amortisation of DAC in the period.

Our IFRS profit after tax from continuing operations was $534 million in the first half of 2020 (2019: $1,158 million on an actual exchange rate basis). This principally reflects the impact of lower interest rates, as well as lower equity market levels on our guaranteed US liabilities, only partially offset by gains on hedge instruments held for equity and interest rate related risk management purposes. The Group also benefited from a $668 million post-tax gain ($846 million pre-tax) from the reinsurance transaction with Athene concluded in the period.

6

Asia performance

In Asia, we have been focused on supporting our communities, customers and staff through the challenges created by Covid-19 this year. We have also made significant strategic progress and achieved a positive financial performance despite the difficult macro and operating environment.

At the start of this report I set out some of the ways we have been supporting our stakeholders through the Covid-19 pandemic. For example, in Hong Kong, we have teamed up with the Chinese University of Hong Kong and one of our health services partners, Prenetics, to provide free Covid-19 tests to the 30,000 healthcare workers and their families in the city. In Indonesia, we have provided free Covid-19 rapid tests to 100,000 consumers in Jakarta and Surabaya as well as free online doctor consultation with Halodoc and in Malaysia, we have organised fundraising to distribute provisions to low-income families and made donations to Mercy Malaysia.

Covid-19-related restrictions applied from the start of the year in Hong Kong and mainland China, and across the region during the second quarter of 2020, resulting in APE sales[4] declining (34) per cent[9] compared with 2019. However, we believe the Covid-19 disruptions have also acted to intensify our structural opportunities. The region’s growing population has a clear and increasing need for the broad-based products we deliver. Insurance penetration in Asia is only 2.7 per cent of GDP, compared with 7.5 per cent in the UK[10] , while mutual fund penetration is just 12 per cent in Asia, compared with 96 per cent in the US[11] . In China, for example, recent research[12] suggests that four out of five consumers intend to purchase more insurance products after the Covid-19 crisis.

Second quarter APE sales[4] were down (45) per cent[9] from the same period last year, compared with a reduction of (24) per cent[9] in the first quarter. The continued restriction of travel from mainland China to Hong Kong led to a (64) per cent[9] fall in APE sales[4] over the first half of the year in this market, with new business profit declining by (67) per cent[9] , additionally reflecting lower rates. In markets outside Hong Kong, APE sales[4] declined (12) per cent[9] over the first half of the year, while new business profit proved more resilient, down (6) per cent[9] . China, which entered and exited lockdown earlier than other markets, saw APE sales[4] down (5) per cent[9 ] over the first half of the year, with second quarter APE sales[4] 20 per cent[9 ] higher than the same period last year as restrictions eased. Improved business mix saw half year new business profit[6] rise by 4 per cent[9] in China. We consider this sales performance to be encouraging in the context of the disruption to traditional forms of distribution. The Covid-19 pandemic has, nevertheless, reinforced the structural demand for protection in the region, with seven of our life markets increasing the proportion of health and protection sales in the first half. The sales environment improved across our markets as restrictions were gradually eased, with all 13 of our life markets reporting higher monthly sales[4] in June compared with levels in April and May.

The strength of our diverse, high-quality platform, and our long-held focus on writing profitable, value-adding business are demonstrated in the 14 per cent[9] increase in Asia adjusted operating profit[7] . This continued positive earnings progression is supported by a 6 per cent growth[3] in life renewal premiums[16] to $9.7 billion, underpinned by our recurring premium business model, high customer retention rate of 95 per cent, focus on protection products and business model diversity.

As well as our progress with Pulse by Prudential, we have made significant advances in virtualising our customer and agent onboarding process through close engagement with regulators, customers and existing distribution teams. Some 90 per cent of our products (based on APE sales) can now be sold virtually, with 38 per cent (150,000) of policies sold by agents in the second quarter requiring no face-to-face contact. Agent engagement and management have moved online, supporting both 7 per cent growth[14] in new agent recruits and 7 per cent growth[15] in our overall agency force. An increased level of automation is evident across our business, with e-submission rates now at 88 per cent, and auto-underwriting being performed on up to 60 per cent of all new cases.

Eastspring saw adjusted operating profit[7] rise by 10 per cent[9] in the first half of 2020 supported by a 12 per cent[9,23] increase in average funds under management. Cost management remains vigorous as the cost-income ratio further improved by 1 percentage point to 50 per cent. Funds under management declined to $209 billion at 31 March 2020 (31 December 2019: $241 billion) due to third-party net outflows and lower equity markets, but rebounded to $220 billion at 30 June 2020 as a result of positive Asia life flows ($2.9 billion in the first half) and recovering markets. We continue to expand our offerings despite adverse market conditions, with notable funds launched in Taiwan and Thailand as well as institutional top-ups in Japan and Malaysia. We also made good progress in China, where our Wholly Foreign-owned Enterprise’s total sourced and sub-advised FUM reached RMB2.8 billion at end-June.

We have also continued to expand and strengthen our strategic footprint in South-east Asia. In Thailand, our 15-year strategic partnership with TMB has significantly strengthened our distribution capabilities in the country’s fast-growing life insurance sector and strongly complemented our position in the mutual fund market. Meanwhile, we have also partnered with BFL in Laos, and expect to establish an exclusive partnership with Yoma Bank in Myanmar, which has started to contribute new business. We are investing in technology and bringing into play expertise from our other operations in these exciting new markets.

The near-term outlook for the Asia business remains uncertain due to the risks around renewed restrictions on movements both of customers and distribution teams. Any such restrictions will likely vary during the period meaning that we will need to continue to be agile in our operational delivery. Our early move to full virtualisation of new business and agent onboarding means that we can continue to mitigate, in part, the impact on sales. The near-term outlook for sales and new business profit in Hong Kong will continue to be impacted by the closure of the border with mainland China, which may not re-open in 2020.

Africa performance

Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, APE sales[4] at Prudential Africa have grown by 59 per cent[9] to $54 million in the first six months of the year, with the number of active agents nearly doubling compared with the same period last year. The increase in active agents is a direct result of implementing a Rookie Development Programme in each market to help transition new agents, from the classroom to the field, and making those agents active within the first month of their recruitment. In most markets, as a response to Covid-19-related restrictions, we rapidly innovated to create an end-to-end virtual sales submission process, and a virtual

7

recruitment and onboarding process for distributors, as well as delivering training digitally, which has helped to support our APE growth. In Ghana, we have renewed our exclusive agreement with Fidelity Bank for an additional 10 years, building on a successful partnership over the past five years. Meanwhile, our team in Nigeria has launched a new partnership with the largest mobile operator in the country, MTN, in an effort to reach its subscriber base of over 70 million people, and provide protection to the millions of uninsured Nigerians. Integration of the recently acquired Beneficial businesses continues with all businesses performing well, supported by the ongoing transformation of the agency businesses’ operating model and relatively lighter Covid-19 restrictions. Finally, all of our businesses have identified organisations in their markets that will benefit from support from our Covid19 relief fund. Over 100,000 people in Africa will be reached rapidly via this community initiative.

US performance

The US is the world’s largest retirement savings market[24] , with approximately 4 million Americans reaching retirement age every year[25] . This transition continues to trigger the unprecedented shift of trillions of dollars from savings accumulation to retirement income generation[26] .

Jackson believes that a retirement strategy that integrates an income guarantee will mitigate much of the risk of retirees running out of money during retirement. In response to this demand and the ongoing shift to fee-based solutions, Jackson has positioned itself with product innovation and distribution strategies to provide a wide spectrum of choice when selecting the retirement savings and income product that best fits customer needs. This will allow Jackson to enhance further its market-leading variable annuity position in the brokerage market, diversify in the fixed annuity and fixed indexed annuity space and grow in the advisory retirement solutions market.

Supporting this ambition is a flexible and scalable operating platform that enables excellent service to be delivered efficiently. In 2020, Service Quality Management awarded Jackson the 2019 Contact Center of the Year award. Also in 2020, the company received the number one overall operational ranking for 2019 from its broker-dealer partners, according to the Operations Managers’ Roundtable.

Jackson has supported our stakeholders during the Covid-19 pandemic by using funding from the Covid-19 relief fund to support a charity in each of our main office locations of Lansing, Nashville and Chicago. The projects will address systemic economic insecurity, which has been worsened by the virus, through financial coaching and direct assistance.

Recent events in the US have raised awareness and heightened discussion of issues related to racial bias, structural racism and social justice. Following these events, Jackson’s leadership have held meetings with the Diversity & Inclusion Advisory Council and Visions in Black Excellence (VIBE Business Resource Associate Group), participated in a panel on ‘Allyship’ organised by Jackson Pride Business Resource Associate Group and issued supportive communications to all Jackson’s associates. We have introduced panels and training opportunities for all associates and managers in this area, and have made significant charitable contributions to the Lansing Chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, the Urban League of Middle Tennessee, and Facing History and Ourselves in Chicago. We will build on our longstanding existing activities and continue to engage with our associates on these issues.

In June we announced that Jackson had agreed to fully reinsure substantially all of its in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolio to Athene. In addition, Athene agreed to make a $500 million anchor equity investment in the US business, in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest in the enlarged common equity of the US business. This illustrated successful progress on our third-party capital strategy, and meaningfully enhanced Jackson’s capital position, with an estimated RBC ratio above 400 per cent at 30 June 2020, reflecting the benefit of the reinsurance transaction with Athene from 1st June and surplus generated in the period, but before the equity investment had completed, as we continue to build to an independent US business.

Adjusted operating profit[7] fell (19) per cent in the period, largely as a result of the impact on DAC of market movements. Before allowing for DAC acceleration impacts, adjusted operating profit[7] , while reduced, was resilient (down by (6) per cent) despite market disruptions. Despite APE sales[4] being (9) per cent lower, we maintained our leadership position in the annuities market.

A recent survey[17] indicated that nearly two-thirds of financial professionals are having more frequent annuity conversations with clients during the pandemic and 68 per cent indicated that they are more likely to discuss annuities with clients in the future. Our conservative credit strategy protected our capital position, and the Athene reinsurance transaction reduces our exposure to credit risk going forward.

Jackson expects that the current declines in interest rates will lead to lower sales of fixed and fixed indexed annuities compared with 2019, for the near term. US adjusted operating profit[7] is expected to remain sensitive at an operating level to the impact of equity markets on separate account balances, which drive fee revenues, and on DAC accounting effects. The reinsurance transaction with Athene, which reduced spread assets and liabilities, will lead to lower spread-related earnings, albeit with reduced exposure to credit risk as well. Additional portfolio repositioning after the reinsurance transaction has resulted in an even more conservative positioning in respect of US credit risk. Jackson’s estimated RBC position is significantly improved from the year end and its operating capital generation is expected to remain strong.

We will continue to operate with discipline in this business, utilising our strong brand, our prudent product design and risk management, our award-winning service and our single stack operating platform, which has industry-leading cost advantages and is highly scalable.

Outlook

The Covid-19 outbreak has disrupted the global economy and our individual markets to varying degrees and at different periods, and the extent to which we may be affected in the remaining part of the year is uncertain. However, the long-term structural opportunities for us in Asia remain clear. Our multi-channel and multi-product approach, employing digital sales, fulfilment and premium collection, is continuing to deliver on those opportunities. In Asia we have operations in 15 markets, with a total of over 15

8

million customers, and we have outstanding product, platform and distribution strengths. We believe we are well positioned both to weather the disruption caused by the pandemic and to support our customers and communities for many years to come.

We remain focused on our strategic priorities, including to enable our investors to benefit to the fullest extent from the opportunity presented by our business in Asia. We continue to invest and innovate to meet important needs for Asia consumers, we operate a highly resilient business model, and we are dedicated to our purpose of helping people get the most out of life. Our proposed separation and divestment of Jackson would enable the Group to focus exclusively on our high-growth Asia and Africa businesses, and I believe it would result in two separately listed companies with distinct investment propositions and improved strategic outcomes. I am confident that we will not only continue to demonstrate our agility and resilience through this period, but that we will emerge from it stronger, more digitally enabled and even better able to serve our customers.

Notes

  • 1 Based on the APE sales mix achieved in Asia within the first half of 2020.

  • 2 Based on full year 2019 (fiscal year 2020 for India). Sources include formal (eg competitors results release, local regulators and insurance association) and informal (industry exchange) market share data. Ranking based on new business (APE sales, weighted full year premium or full year premium depending on availability of data) or total weighted revenue premiums.

  • 3 On an actual exchange rate basis.

  • 4 APE sales is a measure of new business activity that comprises the aggregate of annualised regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums on new business written down during the period for all insurance products, including premiums for contracts designated as investment contracts under IFRS 4. It is not representative of premium income recorded in the IFRS financial statements. See note II of the Additional unaudited financial information for further explanation.

  • 5 CAGR is compound annual growth rate.

  • 6 New business profit, on a post-tax basis, on business sold in the period, calculated in accordance with EEV Principles.

  • 7 Adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns is management’s primary measure of profitability and provides an underlying operating result based on longer-term investment returns and excludes non-operating items. Further information on its definition and reconciliation to profit for the period is set out in note B1.1 of the IFRS financial statements.

  • 8 For insurance operations, operating free surplus generated represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating items. For asset management businesses, it equates to post-tax adjusted operating profit for the period. Further information is set out in note 11 of the EEV basis results.

  • 9 Period-on-period percentage increases are stated on a constant exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. As in previous years, we comment on our performance in local currency terms (expressed on a constant exchange rate basis) to show the underlying business trends in periods of currency movement.

  • 10 Source: Swiss Re Sigma 2017. Insurance penetration calculated as premiums on per cent of GDP. Asia penetration calculated on a weighted population basis. 11 Source: Investment Company Institute, industry association and Lipper.

  • 12 Source: McKinsey & Company: Fast forward China: How COVID-19 is accelerating 5 key trends shaping the Chinese economy, May 2020

  • 13 Under the Group’s previous dividend policy, the first interim dividend would have been 12.28 cents per share.

  • 14 Growth calculated as new agent recruits over half year 2020 compared with half year 2019, excluding India.

  • 15 Growth calculated agents as at half year 2020 compared with half year 2019, excluding India.

  • 16 See note II of the Additional unaudited financial information for definition and reconciliation to IFRS balances.

  • 17 Source: Jackson® and the Insured Retirement Institute (IRI) surveyed 200 financial professionals between April 8 and April 17, 2020.

  • 18 Based on adjusted operating profit to 30 June 2020.

  • 19 Survey of our London and Asia colleagues.

  • 20 When compared against global competitors. Industry margin source: BCG Global Asset Management Market-Sizing Database 2020; BCG Global Asset Management Benchmarking Database 2020.

  • 21 Downloads as at 5 August 2020.

  • 22 Comprising internal funds, primarily held by Asia insurance businesses, and external funds managed by Eastspring. Internal funds include internally managed funds held in joint ventures and associates but excludes assets attributable to external unit holders of the consolidated collective investment schemes alongside other adjustments.

  • 23 On a constant exchange rates basis Eastspring average funds under management over the half year to 30 June 2019 were $200.2 billion (actual exchange rate basis: $206.7 billion). Average funds under management over the period to 30 June 2020 were $224.1 billion.

  • 24 Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Asset Study 2019.

  • 25 Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Single Year of Age and Sex for the United States: 1 April 2010 to 1 July 2018. Source: US Census Bureau, Population Division.

  • 26 Source: 2016 Federal Reserve Board’s Triennial Survey of Consumer Finances.

  • 27 As compared with 2018 and before a planned $10 million increase in Africa costs as previously disclosed.

9

Group Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer’s report on the 2020 first half financial performance

The Group has demonstrated positive operating results while supporting our colleagues, distributors, customers and communities during the disruption caused by Covid-19, and continuing to invest for the future and deliver on our strategic objectives. These 2020 half year results reflect the first full period of financial reporting after the demerger of M&G plc in October 2019.

Our businesses in Asia delivered a 14 per cent[1] increase in adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns (adjusted operating profit[2] ), reflecting the benefits of our well positioned and broad-based portfolio, which has long focused on high quality, recurring premium business.

Our US business delivered a robust performance in particularly challenging market conditions, with its risk management process working as planned, while delivering operating in-force capital generation in line with our expectations. This, alongside the benefit from the reinsurance transaction with Athene, resulted in an estimated 30 June RBC ratio for Jackson of above 400 per cent as well as delivering a material reduction in credit-related exposure. The $500 million investment by Athene into the US business completed in July and contributed around 24 percentage points to Jackson’s coverage ratio[3] .

The first half of 2020 saw high levels of macro volatility. In the US, the S&P 500 index fell (20) per cent over the first quarter before recovering by 20 per cent in the second, resulting in a (4) per cent decline over the first half of the year. In Asia, equity indices were similarly volatile, with the MCSI Asia ex Japan index 18 per cent down in the first quarter and up 17 per cent in the second. Government bond yields were lower over the period, notably with the US 10-year government bond yield ending the period at 0.7 per cent (31 December 2019: 1.9 per cent). The first half of 2020 also saw significant volatility in credit spreads, for example spreads on US dollar denominated A-rated corporate bonds rose by 184 per cent in the first quarter and fell by 48 per cent in the second quarter.

In comparative results for the first six-months of 2019, which have been re-presented in US dollars following the change in presentational currency in our 2019 Annual Report, discontinued operations refer to the results of M&G plc which was demerged in October 2019. As in previous years, growth rates referred to are on a constant exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated.

Covid-19

The Group Chief Executive’s report has set out how the Group has risen to the operational challenges presented by Covid-19. In terms of financial performance, the containment measures taken by governments across the globe have impacted sales levels and new business profitability in the first half of 2020, albeit we have seen strong recoveries in those markets where measures have eased such as China. These impacts are discussed later in this report. The sales trajectory going forward will remain at risk to further restrictions on movement for both our customers and distributors. The impact that Covid-19 has had on markets, with lower interest rates and equity markets, has negatively impacted profitability in the period as discussed below. The sensitivity of our IFRS, EEV and capital metrics to further market movements are set out in the financial statements later in this document.

In terms of the balance sheet, experience has largely been within our operating assumptions and no strengthening of assumptions has been required at 30 June 2020. In Asia, where we focus on health and protection business, we have seen very low levels of Covid-19 claims to date. We have provided our customers with premium grace periods in line with local regulations but no significant impacts on our financial position have arisen to date. There have been no impairments to goodwill or intangible assets at 30 June 2020 and we will continue to review for triggers for impairment in line with our normal accounting procedures. Our investments are largely at fair value in the balance sheet and no significant changes to our valuation procedures have been applied. There has been a small increase in losses on bonds sold by Jackson during the first half of 2020 to $(148) million (2019: $(24) million on an actual exchange rate basis) given the widening of credit spreads, especially in the first quarter.

Finally, our liquidity position remains healthy with $1.9 billion of central liquidity at 30 June 2020 alongside $2.6 billion of undrawn committed facilities. We have not breached any of the requirements of our core structural borrowings nor modified any of their terms.

Adjusted operating profit before tax from continuing operations

For the first half of 2020, Prudential’s adjusted operating profit[2] from continuing operations was $2,541 million ((2) per cent lower than the same period in 2019 on a constant exchange rate and (3) per cent lower on an actual exchange rate basis).

This reflects the combination of a 14 per cent[1] increase in adjusted operating profit[2] from our Asia life and asset management operations, offset by a (19) per cent decrease in adjusted operating profit[2] from our US business, and lower central expenses. The decline in US adjusted operating profit[2] is driven by unfavourable DAC accounting adjustments in the current period and favourable DAC accounting adjustments in the prior period. Before allowing for DAC acceleration in the current period (2019: DAC deceleration), US adjusted operating profit[2] decreased by 6 per cent.

Central expenses were 7 per cent[1] lower than the prior period reflecting a reduction in interest expense on core borrowings following the transfer of debt to M&G plc in 2019, partly offset by increased restructuring costs of $(108) million (2019: $(30) million[4] ). Restructuring costs reflect the Group’s substantial and ongoing IFRS 17 project, and costs associated with the planned reduction in central overhead expenses. During the first half of 2020 our head office activities incurred costs of $(205) million (2019: $(212) million[4] ). We remain on track to deliver total annualised savings of circa $180 million[5 ] and have currently completed actions to deliver $160 million, targeting a revised run-rate from 1 January 2021[6] .

IFRS basis non-operating items from continuing operations

Non-operating items in the first half of 2020 consist of short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business of negative $(2,706) million (2019: negative $(1,455) million[4] ), $846 million of net gains arising from the US reinsurance transaction with Athene (2019: gains on other corporate transactions of $17 million[4] ), and the amortisation of acquisition accounting

10

adjustments of negative $(18) million (2019: negative $(22) million[4] ) arising mainly from the REALIC business acquired by Jackson in 2012.

Negative short-term fluctuations comprised negative $(448) million for Asia (2019: positive $544 million[4] ), negative $(2,288) million in the US (2019: negative $(1,968) million) and positive $30 million in other operations (2019: negative $(31) million[4] ).

Falling interest rates in certain parts of Asia led to lower discount rates on certain policyholder liabilities under the local reserving basis applied, which were not fully offset by unrealised bond gains in the period. This together with the effect of falling equity markets led to the overall negative short-term investment fluctuations in Asia.

In the US, a significant portion of our liabilities are fair valued under ‘grandfathered’ US GAAP (the basis of our IFRS reporting) and, among other factors, assume that future market returns follow the risk-free curve. The sharp decline in US interest rates, alongside lower equity markets, in the period resulted in a significant increase in these liabilities leading to accounting losses. These were only partially offset by gains on equity and interest rate derivatives held to protect the economics of the business from large movements in investment markets and for which a degree of variability is accepted within the accounting results. Further discussion of Jackson’s non-operating items is contained in the US section of this report.

After allowing for non-operating items, the total profit after tax from continuing operations was $534 million (2019: $1,158 million[1] ).

In addition to the effects recorded directly in the reported after-tax profit as described above, movements on the Group’s IFRS shareholders’ funds also reflect the transfer of assets to Athene as part of the reinsurance transaction, reducing cumulative unrealised gains on debt securities by $(1.8) billion largely mitigated by the positive effect of lower interest rates in the period on the valuation of Jackson’s debt securities. Overall IFRS shareholders’ funds were $19.1 billion (31 December 2019: $19.5 billion[4] ).

IFRS effective tax rates

In the first half of 2020, the effective tax rate on adjusted operating profit based on longer-term investment returns from continuing operations was 18 per cent (2019: 16 per cent). This expected higher rate reflects losses arising in other operations on which no tax relief is expected to be available in future periods.

The effective tax rate on total IFRS profit in the first half of 2020 was 19 per cent (2019: less than 1 per cent), reflecting a reduction from 2019 in non-taxable investment-related marked-to-market gains arising in Asia.

Corporate transactions

Extension of Thailand bancassurance partnership

On 19 March, the Group announced that its Thailand business had entered into a strategic bancassurance partnership with TMB Bank Public Company Limited (TMB) with an initial term of 15 years to provide Prudential’s suite of health and wealth solutions to TMB’s customer base. The new agreement significantly expands and extends Prudential’s partnership with Thanachart Bank to TMB Bank, which, following their merger, is the sixth largest bank by deposits and fourth largest bank by branches in Thailand.

The extended exclusive partnership agreement will commence on 1 January 2021 and until this time the current arrangement with Thanachart Bank will continue. The fee for extending the current arrangements was Thai Baht 24.5 billion (equivalent to US$754 million based on the exchange rate at 18 March 2020), with Thai Baht 12.0 billion paid in April 2020 and the remainder due on 1 January 2021.

Jackson reinsurance of fixed and fixed indexed annuity business

In June 2020, Jackson reinsured substantially all of its in-force portfolio of US fixed and fixed indexed annuities with Athene (circa $27.6 billion of liabilities). The transaction excluded liabilities relating to Jackson’s legacy life and institutional business, the REALIC portfolio and group pay-out annuity business reinsured from John Hancock as well as investments in the general account by the variable annuity policyholders. At 30 June 2020 these remaining liabilities, net of reinsurance, totalled $34.8 billion, the vast majority of which attract spread type earnings. The transaction improved the capital position of Jackson by increasing the Jackson RBC ratio by 69 percentage points and the Group’s LCSM cover ratio by 25 percentage points. This is discussed further in the ‘Group capital position’ section below and the ‘Local statutory capital – Jackson National Life’ section within the discussion on the US financial performance.

The reinsurance agreement was effective on 1 June 2020 and resulted in an IFRS pre-tax gain recorded through the profit and loss account of $846 million. After allowing for tax and the reduction in unrealised gains recorded directly in other comprehensive income, the impact of the reinsurance transaction on IFRS shareholders’ equity is a reduction of $(1,135) million[19] . The policies reinsured to Athene contributed around $100 million to adjusted operating profit in 2019.

This transaction reduced the Group’s EEV by $(423) million, which largely reflects the loss of future profits recorded in the value of in-force business as a result of the reinsurance and the loss of unrealised gains on assets passed to Athene partly offset by the reinsurance commission received after deducting tax.

In June 2020, Prudential announced an agreement with Athene for its subsidiary Athene Life Re Ltd to invest $500 million in Prudential’s US business in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest for which the voting interest is 9.9 per cent. This transaction subsequently completed on 17 July 2020 and so will be accounted for in the second half of 2020. If the transaction had completed at 30 June, the effect on the Group’s 30 June 2020 IFRS shareholders’ funds would be a further reduction of $(0.6) billion[3] and EEV shareholders’ equity would be further reduced by $(1.1) billion[3] .

11

IFRS profit

IFRS profit
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
Adjusted operating profit based on longer-term

investment returns before tax from
continuing operations

Asia
Long-term business 1,590
1,417
12
1,396
14

Asset management
143
133
8
130
10
Total Asia 1,733
1,550
12
1,526
14
US
Long-term business 1,256
1,556
(19)
1,556
(19)

Asset management
10
16
(38)
16
(38)
Total US 1,266
1,572
(19)
1,572
(19)
Total segment profit from continuing operations 2,999
3,122
(4)
3,098
(3)
Other income and expenditure (350)
(473)
26
(466)
25
Total adjusted operating profit before tax and

restructuring costs
2,649
2,649
-
2,632
1

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(108)
(30)
(260)
(28)
(286)
Total adjusted operating profit before tax 2,541
2,619
(3)
2,604
(2)
Non-operating items:

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
on shareholder-backed business (2,706)
(1,455)
(86)
(1,445)
(87)
Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments (18)
(22)
18
(21)
14

Gain on disposal of businesses and

corporate transactions
846
17
n/a
20
n/a
Profit from continuing operations before tax

attributable to shareholders
663
1,159
(43)
1,158
(43)
Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders'returns (129)
(1)
n/a
1
n/a
Profit from continuing operations for the period 534
1,158
(54)
1,159
(54)

Profit from discontinued operations for the period,

net of related tax
-
835
n/a
813
n/a
Profit for the period 534
1,993
(73)
1,972
(73)
IFRS earnings per share
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 cents
2019 cents
Change %
2019 cents
Change %
Basic earnings per share based on adjusted operating profit

after tax from continuing operations
79.0
84.5
(7)
84.3
(6)

Basic earnings per share based on:

Total profit after tax from continuing operations
19.7
44.6
(56)
Total profit after tax from discontinued operations
-
32.3
n/a
44.8
(56)
31.5
n/a
Group capital position

Prudential is applying the local capital summation method (LCSM) that has been agreed with the Hong Kong Insurance Authority (IA) to determine Group regulatory capital requirements until the Group-wide Supervision (GWS) Framework is effective. The timing of finalisation and implementation of the GWS Framework remains uncertain, although it is expected to become effective in early 2021. The Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region approved the enabling primary legislation in July and further implementation guidance is expected in due course. Subject to that guidance, we currently expect the GWS methodology to be largely consistent with that applied under LCSM.

The estimated shareholder LCSM cover ratio[7] at 30 June 2020 was 334 per cent (31 December 2019: 309 per cent) and included a 25 per cent benefit from the Athene reinsurance transaction.

Overall, LCSM surplus over group minimum capital requirements increased by $2.9 billion since 31 December 2019 to $12.4 billion[17] at the end of June. LCSM in-force operating capital generation in the period was $1.2 billion, which supported $(0.2) billion of investment in new business. Non-operating items (excluding corporate transactions) were positive overall and contributed $2.6 billion to surplus and was after an increase in required capital of $0.8 billion, largely as a result of market movements in the period. This positive contribution arose largely from the derivative gains in Jackson more than offsetting the effect of market movements on policyholder liabilities as well the introduction of the new Singapore risk-based capital framework (RBC2) effective 31 March 2020. Corporate transactions had a broadly neutral impact with the inorganic investment in Asia offsetting the benefit of the Athene reinsurance deal. The payment of the 2019 second interim reduced the surplus by $0.7 billion.

The 30 June 2020 Jackson local statutory results reflect a $0.8 billion benefit from the reinsurance of the in-force portfolio of Jackson’s US fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd effective from 1 June 2020, which similarly benefits the Group’s LCSM surplus over Group minimum capital requirement.

The $500 million equity investment in Prudential’s US business from Athene Life Re Ltd in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest completed in July 2020 and so will be reflected in the second half of 2020. The net impact of this transaction is a further $0.2 billion reduction in the Group LCSM shareholder surplus with the cover ratio increasing by a further 6 per cent assuming this transaction had completed as at 30 June 2020.

12

More information is set out in note I(i) of the Additional unaudited financial information. The Group’s LCSM position is resilient to external macro movements as demonstrated by the sensitivity disclosure contained in note I(i) of the Additional unaudited financial information, alongside further information on the basis of calculation of the LCSM measure.

30 June 2020
31 December 2019
Estimated Group LCSM capital position7 Total
Shareholder
Total
Shareholder**
Available capital ($ billion) 37.0
17.7
33.1
14.0

Group minimum capital requirement (GMCR) ($ billion)
11.5
5.3
9.5
4.5

LCSM surplus (over GMCR) ($ billion)
25.5
12.4
23.6
9.5

LCSM ratio (over GMCR) (%)
323%
334%
348%
309%
*The shareholder LCSM amounts exclude the available capital and minimum capital requirements of the participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia.

Financing and liquidity

Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses

30 June 2020 $m
30 June 2019 $m 31 December 2019 $m
Mark-to- Mark-to- Mark-to-
IFRS
market
EEV

IFRS
market
EEV

IFRS
market
EEV
basis
value
basis

basis
value
basis

basis
value
basis
Subordinated debt substituted to
M&G plc in 2019 -
-
-

3,931
266
4,197

-
-
-

Other core structural borrowings
6,499
588
7,087

5,539
512
6,051

5,594
633
6,227
Total borrowings of shareholder-

financed businesses
6,499
588
7,087

9,470
778
10,248

5,594
633
6,227
Less: holding company cash and

short-term investments
(1,907)
-
(1,907)

(3,010)
-
(3,010)

(2,207)
-
(2,207)
Net core structural borrowings of

shareholder-financed businesses
4,592
588
5,180

6,460
778
7,238

3,387
633
4,020
Gearing ratio* 19% 21% 15%
  • Net core structural borrowings as proportion of IFRS shareholders’ funds plus net debt, as set out in note II of the Additional unaudited financial information.

The total borrowings of the shareholder-financed businesses increased by $0.9 billion, from $5.6 billion to $6.5 billion in the first half of 2020. This reflected the issuance of $1,000 million 3.125 per cent notes in April 2020 raised for general corporate purposes including to support the growth of the business. The Group had central cash resources of $1.9 billion at 30 June 2020 (31 December 2019: $2.2 billion), resulting in net core structural borrowings of the shareholder-financed businesses of $4.6 billion at end of June 2020 (31 December 2019: $3.4 billion).

In addition to its net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses set out above, the Group has access to funding via the medium-term note programme, the US shelf programme (the platform for issuance of SEC registered bonds in the US market), a commercial paper programme and committed revolving credit facilities. All of these are available for general corporate purposes.

Prudential plc has maintained a consistent presence as an issuer in the commercial paper market for the past decade and had $506 million in issue at the end of the first half of 2020 (31 December 2019: $520 million).

As at 30 June 2020, the Group had a total of $2.6 billion of undrawn committed facilities, expiring in 2025. Apart from small drawdowns to test the process, these facilities have never been drawn, and there were no amounts outstanding at 30 June 2020.

In addition to the Group’s traditional sources of liquidity and financing, Jackson also has access to funding via the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis with advances secured against collateral posted by Jackson. Given the wide range of Jackson’s product set and breadth of its customer base including retail, corporate and institutional clients, further sources of liquidity also include premiums and deposits.

Cash remittances

Holding company cash flow [8]

_Holding company cash flow_8
Actual exchange rate
Half year
Half year

2020* $m

2019* $m
Change %
From continuing operations
Asia excluding ICICI Prudential proceeds 400
329
22

ICICI Prudential proceeds
-
249
(100)
Total Asia 400
578
(31)
Jackson
-
509
(100)
Other operations
32
6
433
Total net cash remitted from continuing operations 432
1,093
(60)

From discontinued operations

M&G plc
-
453
(100)
Net cash remitted by business units 432
1,546
(72)
Central outflows (172)
(288)
Dividends paid (674)
(1,108)

Other movements
203
(1,282)
Total holding company cash flow (211)
(1,132)
Cash and short-term investments at the beginning of the period 2,207
4,121

Foreign exchange and other movements
(89)
21
Cash and short-term investments at the end of the period 1,907
3,010

*The holding company cash flow describes the movement in the cash and short-term investments of the centrally managed Group holding companies.

13

Cash remitted to the Group from continuing operations in the first half of 2020 amounted to $432 million, including $400 million from Asia. Asia remittances in the first half of 2019 included $249 million in respect of capital proceeds from the required sale of shares in the Group’s Indian JV, ICICI Prudential. Excluding this amount, Asia remittances were up 22 per cent compared with the same period last year.

Cash remittances were used to meet central costs of $(172) million and to pay dividends of $(674) million. Central costs include net interest paid of $(147) million and a net tax benefit, which is not expected to recur going forward, of $94 million.

Other movements of $203 million includes the proceeds of the issuance of $1 billion of senior debt in April 2020 offset by central contributions to the funding of Asia strategic growth initiatives, principally payments for bancassurance distribution agreements, including TMB and UOB. Further information is contained in note I(iii) of the Additional unaudited financial information.

Cash and short-term investments totalled $1.9 billion at the end of June 2020 (30 June 2019: $3.0 billion[4] ; 31 December 2019: $2.2 billion[4] ).

The Group will seek to manage its financial condition such that it has sufficient resources available to provide a buffer to support the retained businesses in stress scenarios and to provide liquidity to service central outflows. As discussed in the the Group Chief Executive’s report, Prudential plc does not currently expect Jackson to remit any regular dividends in 2020 or 2021 prior to the intended IPO.

Shareholders' funds

IFRS EEV
Half year
Half year
Full year
Half year
Half year
Full year

2020 $m

2019 $m

2019 $m

2020 $m

2019 $m

2019 $m
Adjusted operating profit after tax and non-

controlling interests from continuing

operations9
2,052
2,183
4,528
2,193
3,409
6,896
Profit (loss) after tax for the period9 512
1,987
783
(4,824)
5,509
(645)

Exchange movements, net of related tax
(200)
47
2,943

(513)
154
666

Unrealised gains and losses on US fixed

income securities classified as available-for-
sale (before the impact of Jackson’s

reinsurance with Athene)
1,781
2,233
2,679
-
-
-

Impact of Jackson’s reinsurance with Athene
(1,803)
-
-
-
-
-
Demerger dividend in specie of M&G plc -
-
(7,379)
-
-
(7,379)

Other dividends
(674)
(1,108)
(1,634)

(674)
(1,108)
(1,634)
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital -
-
-
317
177
206

Other
17
(90)
117
(75)
(151)
95
Net (decrease) increase in shareholders’

funds
(367)
3,069
(2,491)
(5,769)
4,581
(8,691)
Shareholders’ funds at beginningof theperiod 19,477
21,968
21,968

54,711
63,402
63,402
Shareholders’ funds at end of theperiod 19,110
25,037
19,477
48,942
67,983
54,711
Shareholders' value per share10 732¢
963¢
749¢
1,876¢
2,615¢
2,103¢

Group IFRS shareholders’ funds in the 6 months to 30 June 2020 decreased by (2) per cent[4] to $19.1 billion (31 December 2019: $19.5 billion[4] ), largely reflecting profit after tax for the period being more than offset by dividends paid in the period of $(0.7) billion and foreign exchange movements of $(0.2) billion.

The Group’s EEV basis shareholders’ funds at 30 June 2020 were $48.9 billion. This compares with $54.7 billion[4] at 31 December 2019. The reduction over the period is primarily driven by EEV loss from continuing operations of $(4.8) billion, largely driven by the effect of lower interest rates and equity markets, and external dividends of $(0.7) billion. On a per share basis, the Group’s embedded value at 30 June 2020 equated to 1,876 cents. More information on the Group’s EEV results are included in the segmental detail that follows.

Free surplus generation from continuing operations[11 ]

Free surplus generation is the financial metric we use to measure the internal cash generation of our business operations and is based (with adjustments) on the capital regimes that apply locally in the various jurisdictions in which the Group operates. For life insurance operations, it represents amounts emerging from the in-force business during the period, net of amounts reinvested in writing new business. For asset management businesses, it equates to post-tax adjusted operating profit for the period.

Asia operating free surplus generation[12] increased by 13 per cent[4] to $988 million reflecting recent business growth, higher asset management earnings and lower levels of new business investment as Covid-19 containment measures introduced by the authorities across the region lowered sales in the period.

US operating free surplus generation[12] was $1,029 million (2019: $1,075 million) before reflecting the impact of the expected reduction from in-force business following EEV hedge modelling enhancements made in the second half of 2019. The 2019 result benefited from a $355 million reserve benefit related to the John Hancock portfolio which did not repeat in the current year. Half year 2020 also saw lower new business investment following a fall in sales volumes.

After allowing for restructuring costs, operating free surplus generated from continuing operations, before the adjustments to reflect US hedge modelling changes, increased by 3 per cent[1] to $1,979 million. The US EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year 2019 reduced the value of in-force business at 31 December 2019, and the subsequent unwind of those cash flows over half year

14

2020 reduces the expected transfer to net worth and hence operating free surplus generation by $(535) million. After allowing for these costs operating free surplus fell by (25) per cent[1] to $1,444 million.

Analysis of movement in free surplus for insurance and asset management operations11 Analysis of movement in free surplus for insurance and asset management operations11

Actual exchange rate
Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs and US
EEV hedge modelling enhancements during the second half of

2019
Asia
988
886
12
-
871
13
US
1,029
1,075
(4)
-
1,075
(4)
Total operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs
and US EEV hedge modelling enhancements during the second

half of 2019
2,017
1,961
3
1,946
4
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(38)
(18)
(111)
(17)
(124)
Operating free surplus generated before US EEV hedge modelling

enhancements during the second half of 2019
1,979
1,943
2
1,929
3

Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements during the

second half of 2019
(535)
-
n/a
-
n/a
Operating free surplus generated
1,444
1,943
(26)
1,929
(25)
Gain (loss) on reinsurance of US in-force fixed and fixed indexed

annuity portfolio
851
-

Other non-operating (loss) profit
(665)
347

Net cash flows paid to parent company
(400)
(1,103)


Foreign exchange movements on foreign operations,

timing differences and other items
467
118
Total movement in free surplus from continuing operations
1,697
1,305

Free surplus at 1 January from continuing operations
5,997
5,351
Free surplus at 30 June from continuing operations
7,694
6,656

15

Asia

Operational and financial highlights

While the evolving impact of Covid-19 containment measures across the region impacted new business sales volumes and associated profitability in the first half of 2020, the strength of our franchise was evident from the improvement in new business sales in markets where restrictions have eased, and a positive in-force performance which underpinned a 13 per cent increase[1] in operating free surplus generation[12] and a 14 per cent[1] increase in adjusted operating profit[2] .

This level of growth, in a disrupted and volatile period, reflects the benefit of our focus on high quality, recurring premium business, supported by a diverse portfolio of well-positioned, at scale, market operations supporting profit progression across market cycles.

Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
New business profit 912
1,675
(46)
1,673
(45)

Adjusted operating profit2,*

1,733
1,550
12
1,526
14

EEV operating profit*
2,036
2,868
(29)
2,853
(29)

Operating free surplus generation*

988
886
12
871
13

*Before restructuring costs

New business performance

Life EEV new business profit and APE new business sales (APE sales)

d APE new business sales (APE sales)
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
New
New
New
New
New
APE
business
APE
business
APE
business
APE
business
APE
business
sales
profit
sales
profit
sales
profit

sales
profit
sales
profit
Hong Kong 388
353
1,075
1,070
(64)
(67)
1,086
1,081
(64)
(67)

China JV


319
127
350
126
(9)
1

337
122
(5)
4
Indonesia
123
68
156
85
(21)
(20)
152
82
(19)
(17)
Other life insurance markets

835
364
979
394
(15)
(8)

965
388
(13)
(6)
Total Asia 1,665
912
2,560
1,675
(35)
(46)
2,540
1,673
(34)
(45)
Total Asia excluding Hong Kong
1,277
559
1,485
605
(14)
(8)
1,454
592
(12)
(6)
Total new business margin
55%
65%
66%

Life insurance new business APE sales decreased by (34) per cent[1] to $1,665 million and related new business profit decreased by (45) per cent[1] .

The APE sales development reflects the widespread impact of Covid-19-related restrictions across the region during the second quarter of 2020, with new sales in the second quarter of 2020 down (45) per cent[1] compared with a reduction of (24) per cent[1] in the first quarter. More recently, as restrictions have eased in a number of countries, all 13 markets have seen improving sales trends in June compared with those in April and May.

We continue to benefit from our diversified distribution footprint and broad portfolio. Overall new sales through our bank partners were (13) per cent[1] lower, albeit three of our top six bank partners recorded double-digit growth, despite Covid-related restrictions. Outside Hong Kong, overall new sales through our bank partners were (6) per cent[1] lower, while agency sales (25) per cent[1] down reflecting Covid-related disruption.

We continue to increase the weight of health and protection products which represent 28 per cent of new sales (2019: 27 per cent), with seven markets reporting an increase in the proportion of health and protection sales.

Three markets saw higher APE sales in the first half of 2020, led by Thailand, where bancassurance expansion underpinned the 45 per cent[1] APE growth. In Vietnam, APE increased by 8 per cent[1] , also driven by strong bancassurance growth, as easing of restrictions from May helped new sales return to positive growth in the second quarter. Similarly, in Taiwan, the return to positive sales growth in the second quarter supported marginally higher APE sales (up less than $1 million[1] ) in the first half.

In China, new sales were (5) per cent[1] lower, with first quarter sales impacted by Covid-related disruption. However, as restrictions eased, momentum increased and the second quarter produced APE sales 20 per cent[1] higher than the same period last year. The business recovery was broad-based, driven by double-digit growth[1] across agency and bancassurance channels, when compared with the second quarter last year.

Sales in Indonesia declined by (19) per cent[1] as increased sales through the bancassurance channel were offset by lower agencyrelated activity, following Covid-19 mitigation measures introduced at the end of March, but saw substantial month-on-month pickup in June as these measures started to ease. In Singapore, sales fell by (21) per cent[1] reflecting Covid restrictions, but with strong sequential improvement in June as these restrictions eased. Similarly, in Malaysia, sales were (20) per cent[1] lower over the first half, but with improving momentum as restrictions eased from early in May.

In Hong Kong, new sales were (64) per cent[1] lower, with sales to mainland China customers down very sharply reflecting reduced visitor levels due to travel restrictions. These travels restrictions resulted in minimal levels of mainland China visitors since the end of January, with a consequential impact on associated new sales. Easing of these travel restrictions will be dependent on how Covid-19 cases evolve over the second half of the year and their impact on the re-opening of the border with mainland China, which may not take place in 2020. The domestic business was supported by strong sales in the first quarter of our tax-efficient

16

Qualifying Deferred Annuity Plan (QDAP), given the tax year end at the end of March. We saw higher domestic monthly sales in June compared with levels in April and May as Covid-19 restrictions were gradually eased. The move towards a virtual business model also saw good progress, as we were one of the first insurers in Hong Kong offering non-face-to-face sales across a wide range of products.

Regulatory permission to conduct virtual sales of our flagship Evergreen Growth Saver product via our bank partners and the agency channel was received towards the end of the second quarter.

The decline in new business profits by (45) per cent[1] mainly reflects the impact of lower sales volumes and interest rates in the period particularly in Hong Kong, where business disruption was more pronounced. Excluding Hong Kong, new business profits were (6) per cent[1] lower, driven by a (12) per cent[1] reduction in new sales, partly offset by increased proportion of protection sales, among other factors. In China, new business profits were 4 per cent[1] higher driven by favourable shift in product mix.

EEV basis results

EEV basis results
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
New business profit 912
1,675
(46)
1,673
(45)

Business in force
998
1,076
(7)
1,065
(6)
Operating profit from long-term business 1,910
2,751
(31)
2,738
(30)

Asset management
126
117
8
115
10
Operating profit from long-term business and asset

management before restructuring costs
2,036
2,868
(29)
2,853
(29)
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (29)
(17)
(71)
(16)
(81)

Non-operating (loss) profit
(3,161)
1,116
(383)
1,113
(384)
(Loss) profit for the period (1,154)
3,967
(129)
3,950
(129)
Other movements (829)
(468)
Net (decrease) increase in embedded value (1,983)
3,499
Embedded value at 1 January 39,235
32,008

Embedded value at 30 June
37,252
35,507
% New business profit13/average embedded value 5%
10%
% Operating profit13/average embedded value 11%
17%

Asia EEV operating profit decreased compared with the prior period to $2,036 million (2019: $2,853 million[1] ), largely driven by a $(761) million[1] fall in life new business profit, given weaker sales volumes and the effect of lower interest rates in the period. Operating profit generated by the in-force life business was $998 million (2019: $1,065 million[1] ), marginally lower than the prior period. This reflected a $(41) million[1] reduction in the expected return to $753 million, with the impact from lower interest rates and other economic assumption changes of $(165) million more than offsetting the effect of recent growth in the business. Operating experience variances and assumption changes were positive at $245 million (2019: $271 million[1] ) and are driven by favourable persistency and mortality/morbidity effects among other factors, demonstrating the durability of the in-force business.

Asset management segment operating profit after tax was up 10 per cent[1] on the prior period at $126 million (2019: $115 million[1] ), which is discussed in more detail below.

The non-operating loss was $(3,161) million (2019: non-operating profit of $1,113 million[1] ), mainly as a result of lower interest rates reducing future assumed investment returns partly offset by higher than assumed returns on bonds in the period.

Overall, Asia segment embedded value decreased by (5) per cent[4] to $37.3 billion in the six months to 30 June 2020 (31 December 2019: $39.2 billion[4] ). Of this, $35.9 billion (31 December 2019: $37.8 billion[4] ) relates to the value of the long-term business and includes our share of our India associate valued using embedded value principles which is lower than its market capitalisation. The remainder represents Asia asset management and goodwill attributable to shareholders which are carried at IFRS net asset value within the Group’s EEV. Overall Asia segment embedded value increased by 5 per cent[4] compared with 30 June 2019.

Asia analysis of movement in free surplus[11]

Asia analysis of movement in free surplus11
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %

2019 $m
Change %
Operating free surplus generated from in-force life business

and asset management before restructuring costs
1,286
1,209
6

1,190
8

Investment in new business
(298)
(323)
8

(319)
7
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs 988
886
12

871
13
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (29)
(17)
(71)

(16)
(81)
Operating free surplus generated 959
869
10

855
12
Non-operating (loss) profit (508)
872

Net cash flows paid to parent company
(400)
(578)


Foreign exchange movements on foreign operations, timing differences and other items
26
(45)
Total movement in free surplus
77
1,118

Free surplus at 1 January
4,220
2,591
Free surplus at 30 June
4,297
3,709

In-force operating free surplus generation[12] was $1,286 million, up 8 per cent[1] compared with the prior period. Excluding the effect of operating assumption changes and experience variances, in-force free surplus generation was 2 per cent[1] higher than 2019 with the growth of the in-force portfolio being dampened by the effect of lower interest rates compared with the prior period. Operating assumption changes and experience variances were positive, again illustrating the high quality nature of the in-force business.

17

Investment in new business was $(298) million, 7 per cent[1] below that in 2019. This reflects lower APE sales volumes, substantially offset by the effect of lower interest rates.

Overall higher in-force generation and lower investment in new business led to operating free surplus generated[12] increasing by 13 per cent[1] to $988 million.

The non-operating loss of $(508) million mainly relates to the impact of lower interest rates in the period and their impact on the discount rates that apply for local statutory reporting, only partially offset by favourable valuation movements on fixed income securities. 2019 non-operating profits included $282 million[4] of gains from the reduction in the Group’s stake in ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company and the disposal of Prudential Vietnam Finance Company together with equity and bond gains. Changes in interest rates over the first half of 2019 had a more muted impact on discount rates.

Local statutory capital

We maintained a strong balance sheet with a shareholder LCSM surplus over the regulatory minimum capital requirement of $6.5 billion and coverage ratio of 308 per cent at 30 June 2020 (31 December 2019: $4.7 billion and 253 per cent). This increase in surplus and ratio includes the adoption of the new RBC2 regime in Singapore at the end of March and is after allowing for revisions to the local Hong Kong solvency position from a change in the calculation of the Hong Kong valuation interest rate (VIR). If our withprofits funds in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia are added the surplus increases to $19.6 billion (31 December 2019: $18.8 billion). We seek to safeguard our business from market volatility through our strong focus on protection products and our prudent asset and liability management strategy.

IFRS profit

Overall Asia adjusted operating profit[2] increased by 14 per cent[1] to $1,733 million, driven by a 14 per cent[1] increase in life insurance adjusted operating profit[2] , alongside a 10 per cent[1] increase at Eastspring.

This growth reflects the benefits of our focus on high quality recurring premium business and diversified portfolio of scale businesses, with over 87 per cent of our total life income[14] (excluding other income described below) driven by insurance margin and fee income (2019: 86 per cent[1] ), again supporting profit progression across market cycles.

Our Asia life insurance adjusted operating profit[2] growth is broad-based and at scale. Overall, nine insurance markets reported double-digit growth[1] , with all nine delivering growth of 15 per cent[1] or more. At a market level, highlights include Hong Kong up 21 per cent[1] to $412 million, Singapore up 20 per cent[1] to $262 million, Malaysia up 16 per cent[1] to $158 million and China up 17 per cent[1] to $101 million. Adjusted operating profit[2] in Indonesia was $249 million, marginally lower than the prior period.

Profit margin analysis of Asia long-term insurance and asset management operations[15]

Profit margin analysis of Asia long-term insurance and asset management operations15 Profit margin analysis of Asia long-term insurance and asset management operations15
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year 2020
Half year 2019
Half year 2019
Margin
Margin
Margin
$m
bps
$m
bps
$m
bps
Spread income 146
79
154
111
150
107

Fee income
135
97
144
109
140
106
With-profits 58
17
53
19
52
19

Insurance margin
1,287
1,103
1,086

Other income
1,440
1,544
1,528
Total life income 3,066
2,998
2,956
Expenses:

Acquisition costs
Administration expenses
DAC adjustments
(864)
(52)%
(1,038)
(41)%
(1,029)
(41)%
(711)
(219)
(708)
(261)
(695)
(256)
117
170
169

Share of related tax charges from joint ventures

and associates
(18)
(5)
(5)
Long-term insurance business pre-tax

adjusted operating profit
1,590
1,417
1,396

Eastspring
143
133
130
Adjusted operating profit from long-term
business and asset management before

restructuring costs
1,733
1,550
1,526

Tax charge
(260)
(217)
(214)
Adjusted operating profit after tax for the

period before restructuring costs
1,473
1,333
1,312

Non-operating (loss) profit after tax
(420)
784
792
Profit for the period after tax before

restructuring costs
1,053
2,117
2,104

Our adjusted operating profit[2] continues to be based on high-quality drivers. The overall 14 per cent[1] growth in Asia life insurance adjusted operating profit[2] to $1,590 million (2019: $1,396 million[1] ) was driven principally by 19 per cent[1] growth in insurance margin-related revenues and reflects our ongoing focus on recurring premium health and protection products and the associated continued growth of our in-force business. Renewal premiums[10] , reflecting the long-term nature of our insurance business, grew 6 per cent[4] .

Fee income decreased by (4) per cent[1] , reflecting the impact of weaker equity markets in the period, while spread income decreased by (3) per cent[1] driven by lower interest rates in the period.

18

With-profits earnings relate principally to the shareholders’ share in bonuses declared to policyholders. As these bonuses are typically weighted to the end of a contract, under IFRS, with-profit earnings consequently emerge only gradually over time. The 12 per cent[1] growth in with-profits earnings reflects the ongoing growth in these portfolios.

Other income primarily represents amounts deducted from premiums to cover acquisition costs and administration expenses. As such, the (6) per cent[1] decrease from half year 2019 largely reflects lower new business volumes, whereas new business acquisition expense fell (16) per cent[1] to $(864) million. The ratio of shareholder acquisition costs to shareholder-related APE sales (excluding with-profits-related sales) increased to 69 per cent (2019: 66 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), reflecting changes to product and geographical mix. Administration expenses, including renewal commissions, increased by 2 per cent[1] reflecting in-force business growth.

Asset management

Actual exchange rate
Half year
Half year

2020 $m

2019 $m
Change %
Total external net flows*,16 (8,362)
3,956
n/a
External funds under management* ($bn) 82.4
85.2
(3)

Funds managed on behalf of M&G plc ($bn)

15.7
24.9
(37)

Internal funds under management ($bn)

121.6
105.6
15
Total funds under management ($bn) 219.7
215.7
2
Analysis of adjusted operating profit

Retail operating income
188
191
(2)

Institutional operating income

125
118
6
Operating income before performance-related fees 313
309
1

Performance-related fees
2
1
100
Operating income (net of commission) 315
310
2

Operating expense
(157)
(157)
-

Group's share of tax on joint ventures'adjusted operating profit
(15)
(20)
25
Adjusted operating profit 143
133
8
Adjusted operating profit after tax 126
117
8
Average funds managed by Eastspring $224.1bn
$206.7bn
8

Fee margin based on operating income
28bps
30bps
(2)bps

Cost/income ratio10



50%
51%
(1)ppts
*
Excluding $15.7 billion of funds managed on behalf of M&G plc.

Eastspring’s total funds under management were $219.7 billion at 30 June (31 December 2019: $241.1 billion[4] ), reflecting thirdparty net outflows and lower equity markets in the period. Funds under management were 5 per cent higher than at the end of March ($209 billion) due to positive Asia life flows and equity market recovery.

Third-party outflows[16] of $(8.4) billion reflected the impact, following the Covid-19 pandemic, of higher market volatility on retail funds, notably in a number of retail bond funds in Thailand. In addition, there were $(7.3) billion net outflows from funds managed on behalf of M&G plc and further outflows are anticipated in the second half of 2020.

The strength of our combined asset management and insurance franchise was demonstrated through internal net flows remaining positive over the period at $2.9 billion. The structural benefit of this source of flows is evident in the 15 per cent[4] increase in internal funds under management from our Asia and US businesses over the last year.

Market movements for equity funds were negative (MSCI Asia fell 5.5 per cent since 31 December 2019), but were largely mitigated by strong market movements on bond funds.

Compared with the prior period, Eastspring’s average funds under management increased by 8 per cent[4] (12 per cent[20] on a constant exchange rate basis), reflecting the benefit of strong net inflows over the second half of 2019 and the acquisition of TFUND in December 2019.

Eastspring’s adjusted operating profit[2] of $143 million was 8 per cent above the prior period on an actual exchange rate basis (10 per cent on a constant exchange rate basis). Operating income (net of commission) increased by 2 per cent[4] with the benefit of higher average funds under management being partly offset by adverse client and asset mix effects that reduced the fee margin based on operating income to 28 basis points (2019: 30 basis points[4] ). Cost discipline remains robust, with operating costs in line with the prior period, with the resulting cost/income ratio[10] (1) per cent[4] lower at 50 per cent.

Return on segment equity

The benefit of our focus on profitable and capital efficient health and protection, with-profit and asset management businesses is evident in the attractive 26 per cent (2019: 30 per cent) operating return delivered on average segment equity[10,13] over the first half of 2020.

19

United States

Operational and financial highlights

The financial performance of the US business in the first half of 2020 reflects the robust performance of Jackson’s risk management processes, including its disciplined approach to product pricing, in a period of extreme macro volatility with lower equity markets and risk free rates. This is evident from Jackson’s estimated RBC ratio, which is above 400 per cent at 30 June 2020 (31 December 2019: 366 per cent) and includes a 69 percentage point uplift from the reinsurance transaction with Athene announced in June. We estimate that the annual effect on statutory operating capital generation from policies being reinsured to Athene will be a reduction of circa $150 million. While not reflected in the half year’s results, Athene’s previously announced equity investment into the US business completed as expected in July 2020 and represents an important step on Jackson’s path to independence. Assuming this transaction had completed at end-June, Jackson’s estimated RBC ratio would have been above 425 per cent.

The reinsurance transaction has also acted to increase Jackson’s resilience to credit market stress. As at 30 June 2020, if 20 per cent of the general account credit assets were to be instantaneously downgraded by 1 whole letter rating, the RBC ratio would fall by circa 12 percentage points (31 March 2020: circa 16 percentage points).

The US started to see the effects of the Covid-19 outbreak in March, with stay-at-home orders in many states and increased market volatility. Total APE sales (including $1.3 billion of single premium institutional sales) were down (9) per cent from the first half of 2019 and down (15) per cent from the second half of 2019. In general, policyholders are remaining invested and not making significant shifts in their allocations. Even as close to 100 per cent of associates in the US are now working from home, industryleading service levels are being maintained and our wholesaling teams are working closely with distributors to help them serve new and existing clients through virtual platforms.

All of the results below reflect the whole US segment, except for the discussion on local statutory All of the results below reflect the whole US segment, except for the discussion on local statutory capital which covers Jackson capital which covers Jackson
National Life only.
Half year Half year
2020 $m 2019 $m
Change %
New business profit 248 450
(45)
Adjusted operating profit2,* 1,266 1,572
(19)
EEV operating profit* 696 1,040
(33)
*Before restructuring costs

New business performance

Life EEV new business profit and APE new business sales (APE sales)

Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
Variable annuities 643
628
2
Elite Access (variable annuity) 88
96
(8)
Fixed annuities 31
23
35
Fixed indexed annuities 89
120
(26)
Total retail APE sales 851
867
(2)
Wholesale 128
208
(38)
Total APE sales 979
1,075
(9)
% APE variable annuities 75
67
8pp
% APE other products 25
33
(8)pp
Total new business profit 248
450
(45)
New business margin 25%
42%

Retail APE sales were down 2 per cent from the first half of 2019 and down 23 per cent from the second half of 2019. The retail sales decline in the first half of 2020 compared with the second half of 2019 reflected the impact of material pricing actions on fixed annuities and fixed indexed annuities, with APE sales of these products down 66 per cent compared with the second half of 2019. These pricing actions were in response to the evolving interest rate environment and our disciplined capital management. Variable annuity APE sales were up 2 per cent from the first half of 2019 and in line with the second half of 2019, with Covid-19-related containment measures and higher equity market volatility both acting to dampen new sales activity.

Wholesale-related sales were 38 per cent below the prior period, and reflect opportunistic sales during the first quarter of the year.

New business profit was (45) per cent lower at $248 million (2019: $450 million), compared with a fall in APE sales volumes of (9) per cent. The lower margins achieved were largely as a result of the fall in interest rates over the first half of 2020, causing new business profit to fall $(119) million compared with the same period last year, and a $(47) million adverse effect of the hedge modelling enhancements that were effected in the second half of 2019.

20

Movement in policyholder liabilities

Movement in policyholder liabilities
Half year 2020 $m
Half year 2019 $m
General account
General account
Separate account
and other
Separate account
and other

liabilities
liabilities

liabilities
liabilities
At 1 January 195,070
74,479
163,301
73,079

Premiums
6,544
2,321
6,032
3,104
Surrenders (5,353)
(2,102)
(6,008)
(2,271)
Maturities/deaths (848)
(945)
(782)
(962)
Net flows 343
(726)
(758)
(129)
Transfers from separate to general account (1,042)
1,042
637
(637)

Investment-related items and other movements
(10,151)
6,640
21,737
49
At 30 June 184,220
81,435
184,917
72,362

Overall US net outflows in half year 2020 were $(0.4) billion compared with outflows of $(0.9) billion in the first half of 2019. Higher variable annuity sales in the period combined with lower surrenders resulted in positive separate account net flows of $0.3 billion compared with net outflows of $(0.8) billion in the prior period. Lower institutional sales in the first half of 2020 led to increased net outflows from $(0.1) billion in half year 2019 to $(0.7) billion in half year 2020. Falling equity markets in the period contributed to lower period-end policyholder liabilities at 30 June 2020 of $265.7 billion as compared with $269.5 billion at 31 December 2019. The general account liabilities of $81.4 billion at 30 June include $27.7 billion that were reinsured to Athene and for which a corresponding reinsurance asset is held. All the flows presented above are before the effects of that reinsurance.

IFRS profit

Profit margin analysis of US long-term insurance and asset management operations[15]

Half year 2020
Half year 2019
Margin
Margin

$m
bps
$m
bps
Spread income 273
96
298
106

Fee income
1,596
176
1,601
181
Insurance margin 708
711

Other income
26
18
Total life income 2,603
2,628
Expenses:

Acquisition costs
Administration expenses
DAC adjustments
(484)
(49)%
(494)
(46)%

(853)
(69)
(825)
(70)

(10)
247
Long-term insurance business pre-tax adjusted operating

profit
1,256
1,556

Asset management
10
16
Adjusted operating profit from long-term business and

asset management before restructuring costs
1,266
1,572

Tax charge
(195)
(263)
Adjusted operating profit after tax for the period before

restructuring costs
1,071
1,309

Non-operating loss after tax
(1,150)
(1,581)
(Loss) profit for the period after tax before restructuring

costs
(79)
(272)

Adjusted operating profit

US adjusted operating profit[2] was $1,266 million over the first half of 2020 down (19) per cent from the prior period. This mainly reflects the impact of unfavourable DAC adjustments in the current period as compared with favourable DAC adjustments in the prior period as discussed further below. Before allowing for the impact of DAC acceleration in the current period (2019: DAC deceleration), adjusted operating profit[2] decreased by 6 per cent.

Fee income was $1,596 million (2019: $1,601 million), marginally below the prior period, reflecting both marginally higher average separate account balances (given the performance of equity markets in the second half of 2019) and a modest decline in the average fee margin.

Spread income declined by (8) per cent to $273 million (2019: $298 million) reflecting lower asset yields in the period not being fully offset by falls in crediting rates. Spread income benefited from a higher contribution from swaps held for duration management purposes. If the income from these swaps was excluded the core spread margin would be 80 basis points (2019: 95 basis points). Following the reinsurance transaction effective 1 June and resulting reduction in spread generating liabilities, spread income is expected to reduce further in the future reflecting this and the ongoing impact of low interest rates.

Insurance margin primarily represents income from variable annuity guarantees and profits from legacy life businesses. This decreased marginally to $708 million (2019: $711 million).

Acquisition costs declined 2 per cent to $(484) million in line with the 2 per cent reduction in retail APE sales. Administrative expenses increased from $(825) million in half year 2019 to $(853) million in half year 2020. Excluding asset-based commissions, the resulting administration expense ratio would be broadly flat at 35 basis points (2019: 34 basis points).

DAC adjustments, being the cost deferred on sales in the period net of amortisation of amounts deferred previously, were $(10) million (2019: $247 million), reflecting lower costs deferred from lower sales but also higher DAC amortisation. Over the first half of 2020, weaker capital market returns resulted in a separate account investment performance below that assumed within the DAC mean reversion formula. In addition, the application of DAC mean reversion formula means that favourable returns from 2017 are

21

no longer applied in 2020. The combination of these led to an unfavourable DAC acceleration effect of $(32) million. This compares with a favourable DAC deceleration effect of $191 million in the first half of 2019, resulting in a significant increase in DAC amortisation in half year 2020 as compared with the same period last year.

Non-operating items

The non-operating result was negative $(1,458) million pre-tax (2019: negative $(1,987) million pre-tax) and contributed to a net loss after tax of $(79) million (2019: $(272) million). The non-operating result over the first half of 2020 includes a loss of $(2,304) million from short-term investment fluctuations and amortisation of previous acquisition accounting adjustments offset by a $846 million pre-tax gain as a result of the Athene transaction.

In the US, Jackson provides certain guarantees on its annuity products, the value of which would typically rise when equity markets fall and long-term interest rates decline as occurred in the first half of 2020. Jackson charges fees for these guarantees which are in turn used to purchase downside protection, in particular options and futures to mitigate the effect of equity market falls.

Jackson designs its hedge programme to protect the economics of the business from large movements in investment markets and does not seek to hedge the IFRS accounting basis. It therefore accepts a degree of variability in the accounting results.

Losses from short-term investment fluctuations of negative $(2,288) million (pre-tax) in the period mainly reflect the effect of lower interest rates and lower equity markets on guarantee liabilities which exceeded the gains on derivatives in the period.

In total, the US segment shareholders’ funds at 30 June were $9.0 billion (31 December 2019: $8.9 billion), with the adverse effects of the Athene transaction that are recorded directly within other comprehensive income broadly offset by unrealised gains on bonds in the period. At 30 June 2020, and post the Athene transaction, the cumulative net unrealised gains held in the available-for-sale reserve was $2.2 billion, excluding these amounts US segment equity was $6.8 billion.

Following the Athene reinsurance transaction, Jackson’s investment portfolio, as recorded in the general account and as measured on an IFRS basis, has been reduced in size from $76.1 billion as of 31 December 2019 to $56.0 billion as of 30 June 2020. After repositioning the portfolio following the transfer of assets, the mix remains conservative. The invested assets held at 30 June 2020 comprised 10 per cent in US Treasuries, 52 per cent in corporate bonds (of which 97 per cent[18] were investment grade), 15 per cent in commercial mortgage loans with an average loan-to-value of 55 per cent, and 23 per cent in other assets.

EEV basis results

EEV basis results
Half year Half year
2020 $m 2019 $m Change %
New business profit 248 450 (45)
Business in force 440 576 (24)
Operating profit from long-term business 688 1,026 (33)
Asset management 8 14 (43)
Operating profit from long-term business and asset management before restructuring costs 696 1,040 (33)
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (9) (1) (800)
Non-operating (loss) profit (3,927) 189 n/a
(Loss) profit for the period (3,240) 1,228 (364)
Other movements 441 (364)
Net (decrease) increase in embedded value (2,799) 864
Embedded value at 1 January 16,342 18,709
Embedded value at 30 June 13,543 19,573
% New business profit13/average embedded value 3% 5%
% Operating profit13/average embedded value 9% 11%

EEV operating profit from the long-term business reduced to $688 million (2019: $1,026 million) reflecting lower new business profit in the period and a reduction in the level of expected return on business in force.

The reduction in the level of expected return to $440 million (2019: $576 million) reflects the combined effect of a lower opening value for the expected return calculation, principally driven by the impact of EEV methodology changes implemented at the end of 2019, and a lower discount rate applied to this opening value compared with the prior period, reflecting the decline in the risk-free rate.

The EEV non-operating loss reflects the combined impact of investment return variances and economic assumption changes resulting from the effect of macro developments in the period, notably lower equity market performance and lower interest rates, changes in the fair value of the surplus loan notes issued by Jackson of $(24) million, and the $(423) million loss as a result of the Athene reinsurance transaction in June. This largely represents the loss of future profits and unrealised investment gains as a result of the business being reinsured partly offset by reinsurance commission received after deducting tax.

The investment return variances in the period were negative $(380) million (2019: $1,254 million) and are determined by the effect of macro developments in the period, notably lower equity market performance, and lower interest rates. Lower than assumed equity market performance was partially offset by positive gains on derivatives to manage these effects.

Economic assumption changes of $(3,100) million largely reflect the impact of lower interest rates in the period including the consequential impact on the projected future fund growth rates for the variable annuity business. These projected lower growth rates reduce the expected growth in fund values for policyholders and hence the expected profitability for shareholders.

Overall segment embedded value ended the period at $13.5 billion (31 December 2019: $16.3 billion).

22

US analysis of movement in free surplus[11]

US analysis of movement in free surplus11
Half year
Half year
2020 $m
2019 $m
Change %
Operating free surplus generated from in-force life business and asset
management before restructuring costs and US EEV hedge modelling
enhancements during the second half of 2019 1,248
1,419
(12)
Investment in new business (219)
(344)
36
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs and US EEV
hedge modelling enhancements during the second half of 2019 1,029
1,075
(4)
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (9)
(1)
(800)
Operating free surplus generated before US EEV hedge modelling
enhancements during the second half of 2019 1,020
1,074
(5)
Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements during the second half of 2019 (535)
-
n/a
Operating free surplus generated 485
1,074
(55)
Gain on reinsurance of US in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolio 851
-
Other non-operating loss (157)
(525)
Net flows paid to parent company -
(525)
Timing differences and other items 441
163
Total movement in free surplus 1,620
187
Free surplus at 1 January 1,777
2,760
Free surplus at 30 June 3,397
2,947

The US business generated in-force operating free surplus (before restructuring costs and modelling enhancements during the second half of 2019) of $1,248 million over the first half of 2020 (2019: $1,419 million). The reduction compared with the prior period largely reflects the absence of the $355 million reserve benefit recognised in the first half of 2019 related to the John Hancock portfolio.

Investment in new business reduced by 36 per cent to $(219) million (2019: $(344) million), largely reflecting the (9) per cent fall in sales volumes in the period and lower levels of institutional sales, which have higher capital requirements.

After allowing for the impact of restructuring costs and EEV hedge modelling enhancements made in the second half of 2019, US operating free surplus generation was $485 million (2019: $1,074 million).

The Athene transaction gave rise to a benefit to free surplus of $851 million, primarily from reinsurance commission received and reduced required capital. Other non-operating free surplus loss of $(157) million (2019: $(525) million) largely reflects the net impact of market, interest rate and credit spread movements in the period on Jackson’s hedging, statutory liability and capital positions. Overall free surplus increased from $1.8 billion at the start of the period to $3.4 billion at 30 June 2020.

Local statutory capital – Jackson National Life (Jackson)

Jackson’s RBC ratio at 30 June 2020 was estimated to be above 400 per cent (31 December 2019: 366 per cent) reflecting the benefit of the reinsurance transaction with Athene from 1 June and surplus generated in the period, but before the benefit of the Athene investment which completed on 17 July. Surplus increased from $3.8 billion at the start of the period to $6.3 billion at 30 June 2020.

Surplus
$m
1 January 2020 3,795
Capital generation from new business written during the first half of 2020 (60)
Operating capital generation from business in force at 1 January 2020 587
Operating capital generation 527
Other non-operating movements, including market effects and modelling changes 1,130
US reinsurance transaction 809
Dividends paid -
30 June 2020 6,261

In-force available capital generation was broadly in line with expectations and added positively to the RBC ratio.

In the highly volatile market conditions seen over the first half of the year, Jackson’s risk management strategy performed as anticipated.

In addition to the effect of net operational capital generation and the reinsurance transaction, the increase in surplus over the period was also driven by the impact of market and interest rate movements. Jackson’s risk management strategy performed effectively and Total Adjusted Capital (TAC) increased over the period as a result of positive hedge pay-offs exceeding market-related increases in policyholder liabilities. This was partially offset by higher required capital reflecting the combination of equity market falls and lower interest rates increasing the cost of guarantees disproportionately in the modelling of tail scenarios over the first quarter of 2020, partly mitigated by the equity market recovery over the second quarter of 2020. This increase in required capital led to a reduction in the RBC ratio before allowing for the reinsurance transaction with Athene.

Over the first half of 2020, capital impacts from credit related losses, impairments, or ratings downgrades were minimal, reflecting the conservative positioning of Jackson’s investment portfolio.

Return on segment equity

23

The 24 per cent (2019: 33 per cent) operating return delivered on average segment equity[10,13 ] over the first half of 2020 largely reflects the impact of unfavourable DAC adjustments in the current period on adjusted operating profit, as compared with favourable DAC adjustments in the prior period.

Notes

  • 1 On a constant exchange rate basis.

  • 2 Adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns is management’s primary measure of profitability and provides an underlying operating result based on longer-term investment returns and excludes non-operating items. Further information on its definition and reconciliation to profit for the period is set out in note B1.1 of the IFRS financial statements.

  • 3 Assuming transaction had been completed at 30 June 2020

  • 4 On an actual exchange rate basis.

  • 5 As compared with head office expenditure of $(490) million in 2018 and before a planned $10 million increase in Africa costs as business grows.

  • 6 Approximately half of the corporate expenditure is incurred in sterling and our assumptions forecast an exchange rate of £1=$1.2599.

  • 7 Surplus over Group minimum capital requirement and estimated before allowing for second interim ordinary dividend. Shareholder business excludes the available capital and minimum requirement of participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Further information on the basis of calculation of the LCSM measure is contained in note I(i) of the Additional unaudited financial information.

  • 8 Net cash amounts remitted by business units are included in the holding company cash flow, which is disclosed in detail in note I(iii) of the Additional unaudited financial information. This comprises dividends and other transfers from business units that are reflective of emerging earnings and capital generation.

  • 9 Excluding profit for the period attributable to non-controlling interests.

  • 10 See note II of the Additional unaudited financial information for definition and reconciliation to IFRS balances.

  • 11 For insurance operations, operating free surplus generated represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating items. For asset management businesses, it equates to post-tax adjusted operating profit for the period. Restructuring costs are presented separately from the operating business unit amount. Further information is set out in note 11 of the EEV basis results.

  • 12 Operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs.

  • 13 Annualised profits have been calculated by multiplying half year profits by two. Further information can be found in note II of the Additional unaudited financial information.

  • 14 Total insurance margin ($1,287 million) and fee income ($135 million) of $1,422 million divided by total life income excluding other income of $1,626 million (Comprised of total life income of $3,066 million less other income of $1,440 million).

  • 15 For discussion on the basis of preparation of the sources of earnings in the table see note I(iv) of the Additional unaudited financial information. 16 Excludes Money Market Funds.

  • 17 The 30 June 2020 Group LCSM position includes the impact of a change in the calculation of the valuation interest rate (VIR) used to value long term insurance liabilities in Hong Kong. In line with the circular issued by the Hong Kong IA in March 2020, an application was made to update the basis of this calculation, which was formally granted by the Hong Kong IA.

  • 18 Excluding assets in consolidated funds financed largely by external third-party (non-recourse) borrowings, for which the Group’s exposure is limited to the investment held by Jackson. Including these assets, the US corporate debt portfolio is 93 per cent investment grade.

  • 19 The effects shown are based on the date of the Athene transaction which was effective at 1 June 2020. This differs to the announcement of the agreement in June which showed effects as of 31 March 2020.

  • 20 On a constant exchange rates basis Eastspring average funds under management over the half year to 30 June 2019 were $200.2 billion (actual exchange rate basis: $206.7 billion). Average funds under management over the period to 30 June 2020 were $224.1 billion.

24

Group Chief Risk and Compliance Officer’s report on the risks facing our business and how these are managed

Our Group Risk Framework and risk appetite have allowed us to control our risk exposure throughout the first half of 2020. Our governance, processes and controls enable us to deal with uncertainty effectively, which is critical to the achievement of our strategy of capturing long-term structural opportunities and helping our customers achieve their long-term financial goals.

This section explains the main risks inherent in our business and how we manage those risks, with the aim of ensuring an appropriate risk profile is maintained.

1. Introduction

The Group

2020 has already been an eventful year. Over Q1 and into Q2, the Covid-19 pandemic impact swept across the world, resulting in significant humanitarian suffering and material disruption to social and economic activity. The business had to consider and navigate the risks arising from the coronavirus on multiple fronts. These have included the capital and liquidity risks arising from the abrupt market dislocation as well as the risks associated with the disruption to the Group’s operations across Asia, the US and UK and its key partners. Concurrently, the business has aimed to maintain uninterrupted delivery of services for its policyholders, and has been committed to doing the right thing for both its customers and employees throughout the crisis. The Risk and Compliance function has been able to transition successfully into new ways of working across multiple time zones to provide strong stewardship and enhanced monitoring of these risks during the most acute phases of the pandemic.

Through these extraordinary circumstances, the function has also provided risk opinions, guidance and assurance on critical activity, including Athene’s reinsurance of $27.6 billion of Jackson’s fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolio and $500 million equity investment into Prudential’s US business and the intended separation of Jackson from the Group. At the same time, the function retained its focus on managing the risks of the ongoing business, performing its defined role in providing risk management support and oversight, as well as objective challenge to ensure the Group remained within its risk appetite.

The Group continues to engage constructively with the Hong Kong Insurance Authority (IA) as its Group-wide supervisor and is transitioning to a new supervisory framework. The Group’s mature and well-embedded risk framework will enable the business to capture the opportunities in the growth markets in which it is now focused while continuing to operate with discipline.

The world economy

At the start of the year the prospects for global growth appeared to be improving. The ‘Phase One’ initial trade agreement was signed by the US and China in January and there were signs that macroeconomic data was stabilising throughout the Eurozone and parts of Asia. This positive momentum, however, was abruptly reversed by the Covid-19 pandemic, leading to the shutdown of much of the world’s economy and a sharp recession. The speed and severity of the impact was illustrated by the jump in US unemployment rate, from a low of 3.5 per cent in February to a high of 14.7 per cent in April (both numbers representing extremes not seen in the US for decades). In response to this unprecedented shock, governments and central banks have deployed massive fiscal and monetary stimulus measures to mitigate the impact on the labour force and restore confidence in financial markets. Many countries around the world are in the midst of easing lockdown measures and in some areas growth is expected to rebound from depressed levels in response. However, the economic landscape is evolving rapidly, and the full extent of the longer-term impacts are currently uncertain. A full economic recovery to pre-pandemic levels appears unlikely to be achieved within a short time frame. Any rebound in global growth is also expected to be fragile and extremely susceptible to the risks of renewed increases in coronavirus infection rates, uncertainties from the US election in November and escalations in geopolitical tensions, in particular those between the US and China.

Financial markets

2020 began with risk assets performing well until concerns over the economic impact of the Covid-19 outbreak dented investor confidence, eventually leading to a global sell-off that unfolded at an extraordinary speed. The S&P 500 index plunged by 35 per cent from an all-time high on 19 February to its low point on 23 March. Interest rates in major markets declined significantly, falling to historical lows as investors fretted over the risks to the economic outlook. Credit spreads widened significantly, in line with the plunge in equity markets. The stress on financial markets was broadly eased by the central banks maintaining accommodative monetary policies and implementing various support programmes. For the US Federal Reserve this included the purchase of Treasury bonds, swap arrangements with foreign central banks to lessen the international shortage of dollars and a commercial paper purchase facility. The Fed also intervened directly in credit markets, setting up new facilities designed to purchase corporate bonds in the primary and secondary markets and going beyond even the measures taken during the 2008 financial crisis. Since their trough in late March, financial markets have rallied strongly, driven by broad reductions in infection rates in some countries, optimism with respect to the restart of the global economy, and, in the US, a small group of large-cap stocks that has buoyed the cap-weighted index. Despite this, global financial markets remain highly susceptible to downside risks, which remain elevated, particularly for equity markets where valuations appear disconnected from the real economy.

(Geo)political landscape

2019 was described as the ‘year of the street protestor’ with mass demonstrations on distinct issues in many countries across the world. While the coronavirus, and the restrictions put in place by governments, curtailed these protests and any related civil unrest at the start of the 2020, the drivers have not changed and their re-emergence as the world comes out of the crisis looks likely. Meanwhile, individual incidents and events have triggered fresh protests against long-standing social issues and inequalities. The pandemic has offered a glimpse into the delicate balancing act needed between a country’s economy and individual rights and liberties on the one hand and the health and lives of its people on the other, and this is providing another source of geopolitical risk. The goal of suppressing the spread of Covid-19 within national borders has offered a common yardstick by which governments are being judged. A commonality between the current protests and movements, aided by social media, is the speed in which they can gather momentum and their increasingly leaderless nature. This, combined with the new focal point for popular discontent provided by the pandemic, may in future increase both the instability of governments and the unpredictability of their actions. The resilience of businesses and governments is therefore likely to continue to be tested. As a global organisation, the Group has well-established

25

local and global plans to mitigate the business risks from disruption. These have operated well during the current crisis and will continue to be critically evaluated and enhanced as the longer-term lessons from the pandemic response become clearer.

It is unlikely that the longer-term political and geopolitical implications of the pandemic will become evident for some time. With borders closing during regional Covid-19 infection peaks and medical resources for a time scarce, geopolitical relationships were tested between even historically cooperative neighbours. Various governments have effected, or are considering effecting, the postponement of elections and other constitutional or legislative processes in response to the pandemic, and the longer-term impact from this increase in constitutional and political uncertainty remains to be seen. Being a global crisis, the pandemic has also somewhat distracted from more traditional geopolitical issues impacting on global trade. Nations continue to face the challenge of reconciling the inter-connectedness of the global economy with heightened nationalistic sentiment and the pandemic may provide a further drive towards deglobalisation. A key source of geopolitical risk in 2020 will continue to be China’s relationship with the US and its traditional allies, and in the second half of the year Hong Kong’s perceived level of autonomy will influence geopolitical tensions, with potential global trade and economic consequences. Responses by the US, UK and other governments to the recently enacted national security law in Hong Kong, the final form and full extent of which are still being determined, may impact Hong Kong’s economy. Being a key market for the Group which also hosts regional and head office functions, this could potentially impact Prudential’s sales, operations and product distribution. For internationally active groups which operate across impacted jurisdictions such as Prudential, government measures and responses may also add to the complexity of legal and regulatory compliance. Compliance with Prudential’s legal or regulatory obligations in one jurisdiction may conflict with the law or policy objectives of another jurisdiction, or may be seen as supporting the law or policy objectives of that jurisdiction over another, creating additional legal, regulatory compliance and reputational risks for the Group.

Regulations

Prudential operates in highly regulated markets, and the nature and focus of regulation and laws remain fluid. A number of national and international regulatory developments are in progress, with a continuing focus on solvency and capital standards, conduct of business, systemic risk regulation and macroprudential policy. Some of these changes will have a significant impact on the way that the Group operates, conducts business and manages its risks. These regulatory developments will continue to be monitored at a national and global level and form part of Prudential’s engagement with government policy teams and regulators. The immediate regulatory and supervisory responses to Covid-19 have been broad and have included increased scrutiny of the operational resilience, liquidity and capital strength (including the impact of making dividend payments) of financial services companies as well as changes that have helped the Group to continue to support its customers through non-face-to-face contact. Against this evolving regulatory backdrop, constructive engagement continues with Prudential’s Group-wide supervisor, the Hong Kong IA, on the Group-wide Supervision Framework (GWS). The timing of finalisation and implementation of the GWS Framework remains uncertain, although it is expected to become effective in early 2021. The Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region approved the enabling primary legislation in July.

Societal developments

The experience of the pandemic has underlined the ability of evolving demographic, geographical and environmental factors to change the nature, likelihood and impact of extreme events, and drive public health trends such as tackling obesity, with consequential potential impacts to Prudential’s underwriting assumptions and product design. Given the unique set of variables associated with extreme events, whilst insights can be gleaned from the current pandemic, the impact of extreme events on the functioning of society and the disruption to business operations, staff, customers and sales cannot be predicted or fully mitigated. The Group has been actively managing the impact of the current crisis, including assisting affected policyholders and staff in meeting their resulting needs.

In support of increased ease of access and social inclusion, and to meet evolving customer needs, the Group is increasing its use of digital services, technologies and distribution methods for the products and services that it offers. The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated these developments, with the Group’s businesses having implemented virtual face-to-face sales of select ranges of products in many of its markets, and adoption of Prudential’s Pulse application has continued to increase. Changes to the Group’s use of technology and distribution models have broad implications, touching on Prudential’s conduct of business, increasing the risks of technology and data being compromised or misused and potentially leading to new and unforeseen regulatory issues.

A strong sense of purpose for an enterprise is a driver of long-term profitability, and this is making companies evaluate their place in, and contribution to, society. The ‘why and how’ a business acts has become arguably at least as important as what it produces or the services that it provides. Recent events have highlighted the structural inequalities in our societies and are prompting organisations to question where they stand on these important issues. Understanding and managing the environmental, social and governance (ESG) implications of the Group’s business is fundamental to Prudential’s brand, reputation and ultimately its long-term success. Ensuring high levels of transparency and responsiveness to stakeholders is a key aspect of this.

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2. Key internal, regulatory, economic and (geo)political events over the past 12 months

Q3 2019

Central bank monetary policy becomes increasingly accommodative, contributing to a reversal in the weakness in risk assets. In August, following a record high in July, the S&P 500 corrects amid recession fears and trade tensions. The index continues to struggle in September but rebounds strongly over Q4.

Government bond yields decline significantly, with the 10-year US Treasury yield falling by circa 50 basis points to 1.5 per cent over August (representing a circa 120 basis points drop over the year), its lowest rate since 2017. In Japan and Europe, the volume of negativeyielding debt surges significantly.

The Group submits its Insurance Capital Standards (ICS) field-testing results for 2019 to the IAIS on 31 July 2019. This is the last fieldtesting exercise prior to the finalisation of the ICS 2.0 specifications and the start of a five-year monitoring period in 2020.

Hong Kong enters technical recession in Q3, with its economy shrinking by 2.9 per cent overall over 2019, as protests in the territory, which peak in violence during November, impact the territory’s economy.

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

On 21 October 2019, M&G plc’s shares begin trading on the London Stock Exchange, marking the successful completion of its demerger from Prudential plc. The Hong Kong IA formally assumes its role as Groupwide supervisor for Prudential plc.

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) implements changes to the US statutory reserve and capital framework for variable annuities, effective from 1 January 2020. Jackson chooses to early adopt the changes as at 31 December 2019 for US statutory reporting.

In May, following its initial announcement in March, the Group confirms that it continues to prepare for a Jackson minority IPO alongside active evaluation of other options with respect to creating an independent Jackson.

On 18 June the Group announces the reinsurance of $27.6 billion of Jackson’s fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolio by Athene, and a $500 million equity investment into Prudential’s US business in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest.

Eastspring successfully completes the acquisition of 50.1 per cent of Thanachart Fund, which manages $7.5 billion of mutual funds in Thailand, for circa $142 million, with an option to increase its ownership to 100 per cent in the future. The acquisition makes Eastspring the fourth-largest asset manager in Thailand.

In January 2020, the virus responsible for what initially appeared to be viral pneumonia is identified as a novel coronavirus (the resulting disease has since been named Covid-19) and over Q1 and Q2 the coronavirus begins its spread across the globe. Across its markets the Group rolls out initiatives to support customers and staff.

Shriti Vadera joins the Board as a Non-executive Director and member of the Nomination & Governance Committee on 1 May 2020, and is expected to succeed Paul Manduca as Chair of the Board and of the Nomination & Governance Committee on 1 January 2021.

The broader economic cycle support customers and staff. continues to deteriorate. US domestic data begins to In January, Prudential show economic weakness in Vietnam announces an November. Despite this, exclusive bancassurance equity markets reach new allpartnership with Southeast time highs over the quarter, Asia Commercial Joint supported by continued Stock Bank (SeABank), a application of fast-growing bank in accommodative monetary Vietnam with around 1.2 policy by central banks. million customers and almost 170 branches, for a The US Federal Reserve 20-year term.

Since its launch, downloads of Pulse by Prudential exceed five million in June. The digital health platform is now one of the most popular health and wellness apps offered by an insurer in the Asia region.

The US Federal Reserve 20-year term. Markets rally sharply during Q2 lowers its benchmark federal on the back of asset purchases, funds target rate for the third The Covid-19 pandemic direct intervention by the US time in four months in shuts down much of the Federal Reserve in credit October. This follows the world’s economy and markets, stimulus programmes, ECB’s delivery of a package triggers a sharp recession. the gradual rebound in economic of easing measures, Equity markets sell off at an activity enabled by the including a renewal of extraordinary speed, progressive easing of lockdown quantitative easing, in volatility spikes, credit measures and a broad reduction September. Central banks in spreads widen sharply and in virus infection rates. China and other emerging interest rates in major markets turn more dovish markets decrease to new A broad easing of Covid-19 amid continued weakness in historical lows. Central restrictions begins to take place economic data. banks maintain across many countries in the accommodative monetary latter half of Q2 and into Q3, The 26th Annual Conference policies and implement including in some countries with of the IAIS takes place in Abu various asset purchase and high infection rates, with many Dhabi on 14 and 15 support programmes to countries taking steps to mitigate November, and it is agreed restore confidence in a second wave of infections. that the ICS project will move financial markets. Other countries, such as the US from Field Testing into the Governments deploy and those in Central and South Monitoring Period phase and massive fiscal stimulus to America and South Asia continue ICS v2.0 is released. The mitigate the economic to see high daily case numbers. Holistic Framework (HF) for fallout and the systemic risk is endorsed by unprecedented shock on the The Insurance (Amendment) (No the FSB at the conference for labour force. 2) Ordinance was enacted in implementation by the IAIS in Hong Kong on 24 July 2020. 2020. The FSB also confirms On 20 March, the Hong Timing remains uncertain, that G-SII designations will Kong IA published the although the GWS Framework is be suspended until its review Insurance Ordinance expected to become effective in in 2022, although a number (Amendment) (No 2) Bill as early 2021. The primary of the previous G-SII part of its submission to the legislation will be supported by requirements are included Hong Kong Legislative subsidiary legislation and either into the Insurance Council, a key step towards guidance material which is Core Principles or the GWS implementation. subject to consultation with the

27

Common Framework

In Singapore, a revised risk-
based capital framework
(RBC2) for insurers comes
into force as at 31 March
2020.
The California Consumer
Protection Act (CCPA)
comes into force on 1
January 2020, creating data
privacy rights to California
consumers. Jackson
ensures compliance with the
Act in December 2019.
industry and to the Hong Kong
legislative process.
IAIS releases the requirements
for a Covid-19 tailored Data
Collection exercise for 2020. The
original Data Collection exercise,
released in March for the purpose
of monitoring the build-up of
systemic risk for insurers, is
paused for 2020. In April 2020,
the IAIS also releases the
requirements for the 2020 ICS
and Aggregation Method Data
Collection exercises.
US-China tensions rise during Q2
over Beijing’s proposed national
security law for Hong Kong,
which is eventually implemented
on 30 June 2020. In response,
the US House of Representatives
and Senate pass a bill imposing
sanctions on banks which do
business with Chinese officials
involved in cracking down on pro-
democracy protestors. The bill is
signed into law by the US
President on 14 July.
The Network for Greening the
Financial System publishes its
Guide for Supervisors in May
2020 which outlines
recommendations for integrating
climate-related and
environmental risks into
prudentialsupervision.
(ComFrame).
US-China trade talks
continue positively during Q4,

following breakdowns in
negotiations in May and

August and a resumption in

September, culminating in

the signing of a ‘Phase One’
trade deal between the two
countries in January 2020.
Following the East Asia
Summit in Bangkok in
November, 15 of the 16
negotiating participants agree

to sign up to the Regional
Comprehensive Economic

Partnership (RCEP), most

likely in Q1 2020, with India

deciding not to participate.
On 27 November, the US
president signs the Hong

Kong Human Rights and

Democracy Act into law,
requiring annual reviews of

Hong Kong’s special trade

status under US law, as well
as sanctions against any
official deemed responsible

for human rights abuses or

for undermining the city’s

autonomy.

28

3. Managing the risks in implementing our strategy

This section provides an overview of the Group’s strategy, the significant risks arising from the delivery of this strategy and current risk management focus. The risks outlined below, which are not exhaustive, are discussed in more detail in section 5.

Our strategy Significant risks arising from the
delivery of the strategy
Risk management focus
Group-wide
Our strategy is to
capture the long-term
structural opportunities
for our markets and
geographies, while
operating with discipline
and seeking to enhance
our capabilities through
innovation to deliver
high-quality resilient
outcomes for our
customers.

Transformation risks around
key change programmes,
including those related to the
Group’s digital strategy

Continuing the focus on, and ensuring consistency in
transformation risk management across the Group’s
business units.

Provision of independent risk assurance, challenge and
advice on first line programme risk identification and
assessments.

Group-wide regulatory risks

Engagement with national governments, regulators and
industry groups on macroprudential and systemic risk-
related regulatory initiatives, international capital
standards, and other initiatives with Group-wide impacts.

Engagement with the Hong Kong IA on, and
implementation of, the Group-wide Supervision
Framework, which is expected to be enacted in 2020 and
with implementation likely to commenceinQ1 2021.

Information security and data
privacy risks

Operationalisation of the Group-wide governance model
and strategy for cyber security management focusing on
automation, business enablement, efficiency, and
continuous improvement.

Continued focus on compliance with applicable privacy
laws across the Group and the appropriate use of
customer data.

Business disruption and third-
party risks

Continued application of the Group’s global business
continuity management, with an enhanced focus on
operational resilience as it relates to customer outcomes
and embedding of insights from the Covid-19 pandemic.

Applying the distinct oversight and risk management
required over the Group’s third parties, including its
strategic partnerships for product distribution, non-
traditional services and processing activities.

Conduct risk

Continuing the enhancement of the Group-wide
customer conduct risk management framework building
on the Group’s existingcustomer commitmentspolicy.

Model and data risks

Focus on requirements for data and AI and complex
toolingethicsprinciples and framework.

People and culture

Focusing on Group Culture as a key mechanism to
support sound risk management behaviours, practices
and awareness.

Embedding responses and insights from Group-wide
employee engagement surveys through enhancements
to the GroupRisk Framework.

ESG – commitments and
disclosure

Assessing the potential financial impacts from climate-
related transition risk in the asset book and integration of
climate risk into the Group Risk Framework.

Supporting the Group ESG Committee in its
responsibility to coordinate ESG activities and develop its
disclosures.
Asia
Serving the protection
and investment needs of
the growing middle class
in Asia.

Financial risks

Maintaining, and enhancing where necessary, risk limits
and implementing business initiatives to manage
financial risks, including asset allocation, bonus
revisions, product repricing and reinsurance where
required.

Persistency risk

Implementation of business initiatives to manage
persistency risk, including additional payment methods,
enhancing customer experience, revisions to product
design and incentive structures. Ongoing experience
monitoring.

Morbidity risk

Implementation of business initiatives to manage
morbidity risk, including product repricing where required.
Ongoingexperience monitoring.

29

Our strategy Significant risks arising from the
delivery of the strategy
Risk management focus
United States
Providing asset
accumulation and
retirement income
products to US retirees.

Financial risks

Maintaining, and enhancing where necessary, risk limits,
hedging strategies (including mitigating measures
against basis risk), modelling tools and risk oversight
appropriate to Jackson’sproduct mix.

Policyholder behaviour risk

Continued monitoring of policyholder behaviour
experience and review of assumptions.
Africa
Offering products to new
customers in Africa, one
of the fastest-growing
_regions inthe world. _

The Group continues to increase its focus on Prudential Africa’s most significant risks, being
those related to physical and information security and financial crime, as its presence there
expands and grows in materiality.

4. Risk governance

a System of governance

Prudential has in place a system of governance that promotes and embeds a clear ownership of risk, processes that link risk management to business objectives and a proactive Board and senior management providing oversight of risks. Mechanisms and methodologies to review, discuss and communicate risks are in place together with risk policies and standards to enable risks to the Group to be identified, measured and assessed, managed, monitored and reported.

Material risks will be retained selectively when it is considered that there is value in doing so, and where it is consistent with the Group’s risk appetite and philosophy towards risk-taking. The Group Risk Framework, which is owned by the Board, details Prudential’s risk governance, risk management processes and risk appetite. The Group’s risk governance arrangements are based on the ‘three lines of defence’ model, comprising risk taking and management, risk control and oversight, and independent assurance. The aggregate Group exposure to its key risk drivers is monitored and managed by the Risk and Compliance function which is responsible for reviewing, assessing, providing oversight and reporting on the Group’s risk exposure and solvency position from the Group economic, regulatory and ratings perspectives.

During 2019 and 2020, the Group has reviewed and updated its policies and processes for alignment with the requirements of its Group-wide supervisor. The frameworks relating to oversight of transformation risk and model risk were further embedded and the Group has focused on development of a Group-wide customer conduct risk framework, building on its existing customer commitments policy.

The following section provides more detail on our risk governance, risk culture and risk management process. Specific events may have impacts across some or all of major risk categories. The Covid-19 pandemic is one such example, and the various risks impacting the Group, and its responses to it, are summarised in section 5.

b Group Risk Framework

  • i. Risk governance and culture

Prudential’s risk governance comprises the Board organisational structures, reporting relationships, delegation of authority, roles and responsibilities, and risk policies that have been established to make decisions and control activities on risk-related matters.

The risk governance structure is led by the Group Risk Committee, supported by independent non-executive directors on risk committees of the Group’s main subsidiaries. The Group Risk Committee reviews and approves changes made to the Group Risk Framework and to relevant policies. It also reviews and approves new risk policies and recommends to the Board any material policies which require Board approval. A number of core risk policies and standards support the Framework to enable risks to the Group to be identified, measured and assessed, managed, monitored and reported.

Culture is a strategic priority of the Board, which recognises its importance in the way that the Group does business. It shapes the organisation-wide values that are used to prioritise risk management awareness, behaviours and practices. The Group works to promote a responsible, risk aware culture through ensuring the right balance between risk, profitability and long-term growth in organisational decision-making. This is supported through inclusion of risk considerations in performance management for key individuals; by building appropriate skills and capabilities in risk management; and by ensuring that employees understand and care about their role in managing risk through open discussions. The Group Risk Committee has a key role in providing advice to the Remuneration Committee on risk management considerations to be applied in respect of executive remuneration.

Prudential’s Group Code of Business Conduct and Group Governance Manual include a series of guiding principles that govern the day-to-day conduct of all its people and any organisations acting on its behalf. This is supported by specific risk-related policies which require that the Group act in a responsible manner. These include, but are not limited to, policies related to financial crime covering anti-money laundering and sanctions and anti-bribery and corruption. The Group’s third-party supply policy requires that human rights and modern slavery considerations are embedded across all of its supplier and supply chain arrangements. Embedded procedures to allow individuals to speak out safely and anonymously against unethical behaviour and conduct are also in place.

ESG is owned by the Board, which is responsible for determining strategy and prioritisation of key focus areas. In order to provide greater senior executive involvement and holistic oversight of ESG matters material to the Group, in 2020, a Group ESG Committee was established. The Committee is chaired by the Group Chief Financial and Chief Operating Officer, supported by senior functional leaders and representatives from the Group’s business units, including the chief

30

investment officers of the Group’s asset managers. The Group ESG Committee reports to the Board through the Group Nomination & Governance Committee which comprises the Group’s Chairman, the Senior Independent Director, and the chairs of the Audit, Remuneration and Risk committees and is regularly attended by the Group Chief Executive. The policies and procedures to support how the Group operates in relation to certain ESG topics are included in the Group Governance Manual. Prudential manages key ESG issues through a multi-disciplinary approach with functional ownership for specific ESG topics.

ii. The risk management cycle

Risk identification

In accordance with provision 28 of the UK Corporate Governance Code, a process is in place to support Group-wide identification of the Company’s emerging and principal risks and this combines both top-down and bottom-up views of risks at the level of the Group and its business units. The Board performs a robust assessment and analysis of these principal and emerging risks facing the Company through the risk identification process, the Group Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) report and the risk assessments undertaken as part of the business planning review, including how they are managed and mitigated, which supports decision-making.

The ORSA is the ongoing process of identifying, assessing, controlling, monitoring and reporting the risks to which the business is exposed. It includes an assessment of capital adequacy to ensure that the Group’s solvency needs are met at all times. Stress and scenario testing, which includes reverse stress testing requiring the Group to ascertain the point of business model failure, is another tool that helps to identify the key risks and scenarios that may have a material impact on the Group. The risk profile is a key output from the risk identification and risk measurement processes and is used as a basis for setting Group-wide limits, management information, assessment of solvency needs, and determining appropriate stress and scenario testing. The Group’s annual set of principal risks is given enhanced management and reporting focus.

Risk measurement and assessment

All identified risks are assessed based on an appropriate methodology for that risk. All quantifiable risks, which are material and mitigated by holding capital, are modelled in the Group’s internal model, which is used to determine economic capital requirements and is subject to independent validation and processes and controls around model changes and limitations.

Risk management and control

The Group’s control procedures and systems focus on aligning the levels of risk-taking with the Group’s strategy and can only provide reasonable, and not absolute, assurance against material misstatement or loss. Risk management and control requirements are set out in the Group’s risk policies and define the Group’s risk appetite in respect of material risks and the framework under which the Group’s exposure to those risks is limited. The processes to enable Group senior management to effect the measurement and management of the Group material risk profile in a consistent and coherent way, which include the flows of management information required, are also set out in the Group’s risk policies. The methods and risk management tools that the Group employs to mitigate each of its major categories of risks are detailed in section 5 below.

Risk monitoring and reporting

The identification of the Group’s principal risks informs the management information received by the Group Risk Committee and the Board. Risk reporting of key exposures against appetite is also included, as well as ongoing developments in the Group’s principal and emerging risks.

iii. Risk appetite, limits and triggers

The Group recognises that interests of its customers and shareholders, and a managed acceptance of risk in pursuit of its strategy, lies at the heart of its business, and that effective risk management capabilities represent a key source of competitive advantage. Qualitative and quantitative expressions of risk appetite are defined and operationalised through risk limits, triggers and indicators. The Risk and Compliance function reviews the scope and operation of these measures at least annually. The Board approves changes to the Group’s aggregate risk appetite and the Group Risk Committee has delegated authority to approve changes to the system of limits, triggers and indicators.

Group risk appetite is defined and monitored in aggregate by the setting of objectives for its liquidity, capital requirements and non-financial risk exposure, covering risks to shareholders, including those from participating and third-party business. Group limits operate within these expressions of risk appetite to constrain material risks, while triggers and indicators provide additional defined points for escalation. The Group Risk Committee is responsible for reviewing the risks inherent in the Group’s business plan and for providing the Board with input on the risk/reward trade-offs implicit therein. This review is supported by the Risk and Compliance function, which uses submissions from local business units to calculate the Group’s aggregated position relative to Group risk appetite and limits.

  • Capital requirements. Limits on capital requirements aim to ensure that the Group maintains sufficient capital in excess of internal economic capital requirements in business-as-usual and stressed conditions, achieves its desired target rating to meet its business objectives, and supervisory intervention is avoided. The two measures currently in use at the Group level are the regulatory local capital summation method (LCSM) capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels) and internal economic capital (ECap/GEICA) requirements. In addition, capital requirements are monitored on local statutory bases.

  • Liquidity. The objective of the Group’s liquidity risk appetite is to ensure that sufficient cash resources are available to meet financial obligations as they fall due in business-as-usual and stressed scenarios. This is measured using a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) which considers the sources of liquidity against liquidity requirements under stress scenarios.

  • Non-financial risks. The Group is exposed to non-financial risks, including environmental, social and governance

31

risks, as an outcome of its chosen business activities and strategy. It aims to manage these risks effectively to maintain its operational resilience and its commitments to customers and other external stakeholders, and to avoid material adverse impact on its reputation.

5. The Group’s principal risks

Broadly, the risks assumed across the Group can be categorised as those relating to its financial situation; its business and industry; regulatory and legal compliance; and those relating to ESG. Principal risks, whether materialising within the Group or at third parties on which the Group relies, may have a financial impact and could also impact the performance of products or services provided to customers and distributors and the ability to fulfil commitments to customers, giving rise to potential risks to its brand and reputation. These risks, which are not exhaustive, are detailed below. The materiality of these risks, whether material at the level of the Group or its business units, is also indicated. The Group’s disclosures covering risk factors are aligned to the same categories and can be found at the end of this document.

In reading the sections below, it is useful to understand that there are some risks that Prudential’s policyholders assume by virtue of the nature of their products, and some risks that the Group and its shareholders assume. Examples of the latter include those risks arising from assets held directly by and for the Group or the risk that policyholder funds are exhausted. This report is focused mainly on risks to the shareholder but will include those which arise indirectly through policyholder exposures.

Covid-19 risks and responses

The Group has responded in a number of ways to the risks arising from the coronavirus pandemic; some responses were part of existing risk management processes and procedures, while others have been initiated specifically in response to the pandemic, in particular during the acute phases experienced in Q1 and Q2.

The Group Critical Incident Procedure (GCIP) defines specific governance to be invoked in the event of a critical incident, such as a significant market, liquidity or credit-related event. This includes, where necessary, the convening of a Critical Incident Group (CIG) to oversee, coordinate, and where appropriate, direct any activity during a critical incident. In response to the economic and financial market shocks triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic the Group CRCO invoked the GCIP and convened a series of CIG meetings to provide high-cadence monitoring and management of potential threats to the capital or liquidity position of the Group. Local Incident Management teams were also activated to monitor and manage the tailored response required to support the operations, customers and employees of the Group’s businesses.

These risks arising from the Covid-19, and the Group’s responses to them, are summarised below, with further information provided, where relevant, within the descriptions of the Group’s principal risks.

Risk areas Responses

Staff safety and well-being
Proactive move to working from home arrangements across jurisdictions, with local
incident management teams monitoring country specific developments, undertaking
risk assessments and providing regular staff communications and support.

Customer outcomes are not met,
increasing conduct risk
Initiatives and campaigns rolled out across markets, including customer cash benefits,
goodwill payments, and extended grace periods for premium payments.

Disruption to the operations of the
Group, and its key partners
Application of the Group and local business continuity plans. Local Incident
Management teams activated to monitor, manage and lead a tailored response to
ensure continuity of service to existing customers.

Financial market and liquidity
impacts, including to Group and
business unit solvency
Invocation of the Group’s Critical Incident Procedures and convening of a Critical
Incident Group to monitor and manage threats to the Group’s solvency or liquidity
position.

Heightened risk of phishing and
social engineering tactics
Group-wide phishing awareness campaigns. Heightened threat monitoring and review
of cyber hygiene controls. Active management of connections to the Group network.

Sales impacts
Roll-out of virtual face-to-face sales processes in most of the Group’s markets with at
least limited product offerings with appropriate regulatory engagement, oversight of
incremental operational risks and ongoing monitoring of the commercial impact to
existing sales channels.

Insurance risks, in particular
increased lapses and surrenders
resulting from the broader
economic effects
Close monitoring by the Group’s businesses and targeted management actions where
necessary. Covid-19-related claims have not been material to date, but are being
closely monitored.
Risks to the Group’s financial situation (including those from the external macroeconomic and geopolitical
environment)
The global economic and geopolitical environment may impact on the Group directly by affecting trends in financial markets and
asset values, as well as driving short-term volatility.
Risks in this category include the market risks to our investments and the credit quality of our investment portfolio as well as
liquidity risk.

Global economic and geopolitical conditions

Changes in global economic conditions can impact Prudential directly; for example, by leading to reduced investment returns and fund performance and liquidity, and increasing the cost of promises (guarantees) that have been made to the Group's customers. Changes in economic conditions, such as the abrupt and uncertain longer-term impacts resulting from the Covid-19 crisis, can also

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have an indirect impact on the Group; for example, leading to a decrease in the propensity for people to save and buy Prudential’s products, as well as changing prevailing political attitudes towards regulation.

The geopolitical environment can also impact the Group in a wide range of ways, both directly and indirectly. Financial markets and economic sentiment have been highly susceptible to geopolitical developments in recent years, with implications for the Group’s financial situation. We have seen in recent times that geopolitical tensions can result in the imposition of protectionist or restrictive regulatory and trading requirements by governments and regimes. The Covid-19 pandemic has further prompted governments to rethink the current globalised nature of supply chains, and may have geopolitical and trading implications, the full extent of which may not be clear for a while. Various governments have effected, or are considering effecting, the postponement of elections and other constitutional or legislative processes in response to the pandemic, and the longer-term impact from this increase in constitutional and political uncertainty remains to be seen.

Responses by the US, UK and other governments to the recently enacted national security law in Hong Kong, the final form and full extent of which are still being determined, may impact Hong Kong’s economy. Being a key market for the Group which also hosts regional and head office functions, this could potentially impact Prudential’s sales, operations and product distribution. For internationally active groups which operate across impacted jurisdictions such as Prudential, government measures and responses may also add to the complexity of legal and regulatory compliance. Compliance with Prudential’s legal or regulatory obligations in one jurisdiction may conflict with the law or policy objectives of another jurisdiction, or may be seen as supporting the law or policy objectives of that jurisdiction over another, creating additional legal, regulatory compliance and reputational risks for the Group. All these factors can increase the operational, business disruption, regulatory and financial market risks to the Group and can directly impact its sales and distribution networks. Developments in Hong Kong and the continuing impacts of the pandemic are being closely monitored by the Group and plans have been enacted to manage the disruption to the business, our employees and customers within our existing business resilience processes. Further information on the Group’s business disruption risks are included below.

Macroeconomic and geopolitical risks are considered material at the level of the Group.

Market risks to our investments

This is the potential for reduced value of Prudential’s investments resulting from the volatility of asset prices, driven by fluctuations in equity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates and property prices. Interest rates in the Group’s key markets decreased to historically low levels in Q1 2020, with the stance of central banks making it likely they will remain extremely low for a while. A persistently low interest rate environment poses challenges to both the capital position of life insurers as well as to new business profitability and this is a scenario that the Group is planning for.

The Group has appetite for market risk where it arises from profit-generating insurance activities to the extent that it remains part of a balanced portfolio of sources of income for shareholders and is compatible with a strong solvency position.

The Group’s market risks are managed and mitigated by the following:

  • The Group market risk policy;

  • The Group Asset Liability Committee – a first-line risk management advisory committee to the Group Chief Executive Officer which supports the identification, assessment and management of key financial risks significant to the achievement of the Group’s business objectives;

  • Risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;

  • Asset and liability management programmes which include management actions such as asset allocation, bonus revisions, repricing and the use of reinsurance where appropriate;

  • Hedging derivatives, including equity options and futures, interest rate swaps and swaptions and currency forwards;

  • The monitoring and oversight of market risks through the regular reporting of management information; and

    • Regular deep dive assessments.

As noted above, in response to the economic and financial market shocks triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic, the Group CRCO invoked the GCIP and convened a series of CIG meetings to provide high-cadence monitoring and management of any potential threats to the capital or liquidity position of the Group.

  • Equity and property investment risk. In Asia, the shareholder exposure to equity price movements results from unitlinked products, where fee income is linked to the market value of the funds under management. Further exposure arises from with-profits businesses where bonuses declared are based broadly on historical and current rates of return from the Asia business’s investment portfolios, which include equities.

In Jackson, investment risk arises from the assets backing customer policies. Equity risk is driven by the variable annuity business, where the assets are invested in both equities and bonds and the main risk to the shareholder comes from providing the guaranteed benefits offered. The exposure to this is primarily controlled by using a derivative hedging programme, as well as through the use of reinsurance to pass on the risk to third-party reinsurers.

Basis risk is the inherent risk associated with imperfect hedging and is caused by variables or characteristics that drive differences between the value of an underlying position and the hedge instruments used to offset changes in its value. Within Jackson’s variable annuity business, basis risk can arise from differences between the performance of the Separate Account funds in which policyholders choose to invest and that of the instruments used to replicate these funds for hedging and liability modelling purposes, which are primarily linked to the S&P 500 index. This risk exposure is proportionate to the magnitude of liability risk/hedge position which fluctuates with equity and interest rate levels. Therefore, while the market sell-off in Q1 increased this liability risk/hedge exposure, the rally in equity markets since March has had a corresponding opposite and positive impact. Jackson is actively evaluating ways to further mitigate basis risk, particularly in light of the market volatility seen as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic.

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  • Interest rate risk. This is driven by the valuation of Prudential’s assets (particularly the bonds that it invests in) and liabilities, which are dependent on market interest rates and expose the Group to the risk of those moving in a way that is detrimental. Some products that Prudential offers are sensitive to movements in interest rates. As part of the ongoing management of this risk, a number of mitigating actions to the in-force business have been taken, as well as repricing and restructuring new business offerings in response to recent relatively low interest rates. Nevertheless, some sensitivity to interest rate movements is still retained. The impact of lower interest rates may also manifest through reduced solvency levels in some of the Group’s businesses, impairing their ability to make remittances, as well as reduced new business profitability.

The Group’s appetite for interest rate risk is limited to where assets and liabilities can be tightly matched and where liquid assets or derivatives exist to cover interest rate exposures.

In Asia, our exposure to interest rate risk arises from the guarantees of some non-unit-linked investment savings products, including the Hong Kong with-profits and non-profit business. This exposure exists because of the potential for an asset and liability mismatch, where long-dated liabilities and guarantees are backed by short-dated assets, which cannot be eliminated but is monitored and managed through local risk and asset liability management committees against risk appetite aligned with the Group’s limit framework.

Interest rate risk results from the cost of guarantees in the variable annuity and fixed indexed annuity business, which may increase when interest rates fall. The level of sales of variable annuity products with guaranteed living benefits is actively monitored, and the risk limits we have in place help to ensure we are comfortable with the level of interest rate and market risks incurred as a result. Derivatives are also used to provide some protection. Jackson is also affected by interest rate movements to its fixed annuity book where the assets are primarily invested in bonds and shareholder exposure comes from the mismatch between these assets and the guaranteed rates that are offered to policyholders. As at 1 June 2020, this risk has been substantially transferred as part of the reinsurance transaction with Athene, leaving only a limited exposure from residual policies including those from the blocks acquired externally (ie from the REALIC and John Hancock businesses).

  • Foreign exchange risk. The geographical diversity of Prudential’s businesses means that it has some exposure to the risk of foreign exchange rate fluctuations. Some entities within the Group that write policies, invest in assets or enter into other transactions in local currencies or currencies not linked to the US dollar. Although this limits the effect of exchange rate movements on local operating results, it can lead to fluctuations in the Group financial statements when results are reported in US dollars. This risk is accepted within our appetite for foreign exchange risk.

In cases where a non-US dollar denominated surplus arises in an operation which is to be used to support Group capital, or where a significant cash payment is due from a subsidiary to the Group, this currency exposure may be hedged where it is believed to be economically favourable to do so. Further, the Group generally does not have appetite for significant direct shareholder exposure to foreign exchange risks in currencies outside the countries in which it operates, but it does have some appetite for this on fee income and on non-sterling investments within the with-profits fund. Where foreign exchange risk arises outside appetite, currency swaps and other derivatives are used to manage the exposure.

Liquidity risk

Prudential’s liquidity risk arises from the need to have sufficient liquid assets to meet policyholder and third-party payments as they fall due, and the Group considers this under both normal and stressed conditions. It includes the risk arising from funds composed of illiquid assets and results from a mismatch between the liquidity profile of assets and liabilities. Liquidity risk may impact on market conditions and valuation of assets in a more uncertain way than for other risks like interest rate or credit risk. It may arise, for example, where external capital is unavailable at sustainable cost, increased liquid assets are required to be held as collateral under derivative transactions or where redemption requests are made against Prudential’s external funds. Liquidity risk is considered material at the level of the Group.

Prudential has no appetite for liquidity risk, ie for any business to have insufficient resources to cover its outgoing cash flows, or for the Group as a whole to not meet cash flow requirements from its debt obligations under any plausible scenario.

The Group has significant internal sources of liquidity, which are sufficient to meet all of our expected cash requirements for at least 12 months from the date the financial statements are approved, without having to resort to external sources of funding. The Group has a total of $2.6 billion of undrawn committed facilities that can be made use of, expiring in 2025. Access to further liquidity is available through the debt capital markets and an extensive commercial paper programme is in place, and Prudential has maintained a consistent presence as an issuer in the market for the past decade.

A number of risk management tools are used to manage and mitigate this liquidity risk, including the following:

  • The Group’s liquidity risk policy;

  • Risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;

  • Regular assessment by the Group and business units of LCRs which are calculated under both base case and stressed scenarios and are reported to committees and the Board;

  • The Group’s Liquidity Risk Management Plan, which includes details of the Group Liquidity Risk Framework as well as gap analysis of liquidity risks and the adequacy of available liquidity resources under normal and stressed conditions;

    • Regular stress testing;
  • Our contingency plans and identified sources of liquidity;

  • The Group’s ability to access the money and debt capital markets;

  • Regular deep dive assessments; and

  • The Group’s access to external committed credit facilities.

Credit risk

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Credit risk is the potential for reduction in the value of investments which results from the perceived level of risk of an investment issuer being unable to meet its obligations (defaulting). Counterparty risk is a type of credit risk and relates to the risk of the counterparty to any contract we enter into being unable to meet their obligations causing the Group to suffer loss.

Prudential invests in bonds that provide a regular, fixed amount of interest income (fixed income assets) in order to match the payments needed to policyholders. It also enters into reinsurance and derivative contracts with third parties to mitigate various types of risk, as well as holding cash deposits at certain banks. As a result, it is exposed to credit risk and counterparty risk across its business. The assets backing the Jackson general account portfolio and the Asia shareholder business means credit risk is considered a material risk for the Group’s business units.

The Group has some appetite to take credit risk where it arises from profit-generating insurance activities, to the extent that it remains part of a balanced portfolio of sources of income for shareholders and is compatible with a strong solvency position.

  • A number of risk management tools are used to manage and mitigate this credit risk, including the following:

  • A credit risk policy and dealing and controls policy;

  • Risk appetite statements and limits that have been defined on issuers, and counterparties;

  • Collateral arrangements for derivative, secured lending reverse repurchase and reinsurance transactions;

  • The Group Credit Risk Committee’s oversight of credit and counterparty credit risk and sector and/or name-specific reviews;

    • Regular assessments; and
  • Close monitoring or restrictions on investments that may be of concern.

The total debt securities[4] at 30 June 2020 were $121.5 billion (30 June 2019: $126.9 billion; 31 December 2019: $134.6 billion). Credit risk arises from the debt portfolio in the Asia business comprising the shareholder, with-profit and unit-linked funds, the value of which was $82.1 billion at 30 June 2020. The majority (71 per cent) of the portfolio is in unit-linked and with-profits funds. The remaining 29 per cent of the debt portfolio is held to back the shareholder business.

In the general account of the Group’s US business, $39.0 billion of debt securities are held to support shareholder liabilities including those from our fixed annuities, fixed indexed annuities and life insurance products. The shareholder-backed debt portfolio of the Group’s other operations was $0.3 billion as at 30 June 2020. Further details of the composition and quality of our debt portfolio, and exposure to loans, can be found in the IFRS financial statements.

  • Group sovereign debt. Prudential invests in bonds issued by national governments. This sovereign debt holding represented 27 per cent or $17.1 billion[1] of the shareholder debt portfolio of the Group as at 30 June 2020 (31 December 2019: 22 per cent or $18.8 billion of the shareholder debt portfolio). The particular risks associated with holding sovereign debt are detailed further in our disclosures on risk factors.

The exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and with-profits funds in sovereign debt securities at 30 June 2020 are given in note C1 of the Group’s IFRS financial statements.

  • Corporate debt and loan portfolio. In the Asia shareholder business, corporate debt exposures totalled $11.3 billion of which $10.3 billion or 92 per cent were investment grade rated. In the US general account, corporate debt exposures amounted to $29.1 billion following the Athene transaction, and the portfolio remains of high credit quality with 97 per cent[5] remaining investment grade rated.

  • Bank debt exposure and counterparty credit risk. Prudential’s exposure to banks is a key part of its core investment business, as well as being important for the hedging and other activities undertaken to manage its various financial risks. Given the importance of its relationship with its banks, exposure to the sector is considered a material risk for the Group. The exposure to derivative counterparty and reinsurance counterparty credit risk, which includes the recently announced reinsurance agreement with Athene Life Re, is managed using an array of risk management tools, including a comprehensive system of limits. Where appropriate, Prudential reduces its exposure, buys credit protection or uses additional collateral arrangements to manage its levels of counterparty credit risk.

At 30 June 2020:

  • 93 per cent of the Group’s shareholder portfolio (excluding all government and government-related debt) is investment grade rated[2] . In particular, 53 per cent of the portfolio is rated[2] A- and above (or equivalent); and

  • The Group’s shareholder portfolio is well diversified: no individual sector[3] makes up more than 10 per cent of the total portfolio (excluding the financial and sovereign sectors). The exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and with-profits funds in bank debt securities at 30 June 2020 are given in note C1 of the Group’s IFRS financial statements.

Risks from the nature of our business and our industry These include the Group’s non-financial risks (including operational and financial crime risk), transformation risks from significant change activity and the insurance risks assumed by the Group in providing its products.

Transformation risk Prudential has a number of significant transformation and change programmes under way to deliver the Group’s strategy for growth, improve customer experiences, strengthen its operational resilience and control environment, and meet regulatory and industry requirements. If the Group does not deliver these programmes to defined timelines, scope and cost, this may negatively impact on its operational capability, ability to deliver its strategy and reputation.

In 2020, transformation risk remains a material risk for Prudential. The Group’s transformation and change programmes inherently give rise to design and execution risks, and may introduce new, or increase existing, business risks and dependencies. These include, but are not limited to, an increased strain on operational capacity, newly-implemented controls being ineffective or a general weakening of the control environment of the Group. Implementing further strategic transformation initiatives may amplify these risks. In order to manage these risks, the Group’s Transformation Risk Framework aims to ensure that, for both

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transformation and strategic initiatives, strong programme governance is in place with embedded risk expertise to achieve ongoing and nimble risk oversight, and regular risk monitoring and reporting to risk committees is delivered.

The Group’s current portfolio of transformation and significant change programmes include the intended separation of Jackson from the Group; the expansion of the Group’s digital capabilities and use of technology, platforms and analytics; and improvement of business efficiencies through operating model changes (covering data, systems and people). Programmes related to regulatory/industry change such as the transition to the Hong Kong IA’s GWS Framework, changes required to effect the discontinuation of inter-bank offered rates (IBORs) in their current form and the implementation of IFRS 17 are also ongoing. See below for further detail on these regulatory changes.

Non-financial risks

In the course of doing business, the Group is exposed to non-financial risks. A combination of the complexity of the Group, its activities and the extent of transformation in progress creates a challenging operating environment. The Group’s main non-financial risks are detailed below. These risks are considered to be material at the level of the Group.

  • Operational risk. Prudential defines operational risk as the risk of loss (or unintended gain or profit) arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, personnel or systems, or from external events. This may arise from employee error, model error, system failures, fraud or other events which disrupt business processes or has a detrimental impact to customers. Activities across the scope of our business, including operational activity, regulatory compliance, and those supporting ESG activities more broadly can expose us to operational risks. A large volume of complex transactions is processed by the Group across a number of diverse products and are subject to a high number of varying legal, regulatory and tax regimes. Prudential has no appetite for material losses (direct or indirect) suffered as a result of failing to develop, implement or monitor appropriate controls to manage operational risks.

The Group’s outsourcing and third-party relationships require distinct oversight and risk management processes. A number of important third-party relationships exist which provide the distribution and processing of Prudential’s products, both as market counterparties and as outsourcing partners, including new IT and technology partners. In Asia, the Group continues to expand its strategic partnerships and renew bancassurance arrangements and in Africa Prudential is continuing its expansion through acquisitions. These third-party arrangements support Prudential in providing a high level and cost-effective service to our customers, but they also make us reliant on the operational resilience and performance of our outsourcing partners.

The Group’s requirements for the management of material outsourcing arrangements, which are in accordance with relevant applicable regulations, are included through its well-established Group-wide third-party supply policy. Third-party management is also included and embedded in the Group-wide framework and risk management for operational risk (see below). Third-party management forms part of the Group’s operational risk categorisations and a defined qualitative risk appetite statement and supporting limits and triggers are in place.

The performance of the Group’s core business activities places reliance on the IT infrastructure, provided by our external IT and technology partners, that supports day-to-day transaction processing and administration. This IT environment must also be secure, and an increasing cyber risk threat needs to be addressed as the Group’s digital footprint increases and the sophistication of cyber threats continue to evolve – see separate information security risk sub-section below. Exposure to operational and other external events could impact operational resilience by significantly disrupting systems, operations and services to customers, which may result in financial loss, customer impacts and reputational damage. Operational challenges also exist in keeping pace with regulatory changes. This requires implementing processes to ensure we are, and remain, compliant on an ongoing basis, including regular monitoring and reporting.

Group-wide framework and risk management for operational risk

The risks detailed above form key elements of the Group’s operational risk profile. A Group-wide operational risk framework is in place to identify, assess, manage, control and report effectively on all operational risks across the business. The key components of the framework are:

  • Application of a risk and control self-assessment (RCSA) process, where operational risk exposures are identified and assessed as part of a periodical cycle. The RCSA process considers a range of internal and external factors, including an assessment of the control environment, to determine the business’s most significant risk exposures on a prospective basis;

    • An internal incident management process, which identifies, quantifies and monitors remediation conducted through root cause analysis and application of action plans for risk events that have occurred across the business;
  • A scenario analysis process for the quantification of extreme, yet plausible manifestations of key operational risks across the business on a forward-looking basis. This is carried out at least annually and supports external and internal capital requirements as well as informing risk oversight activity across the business; and

  • An operational risk appetite framework that articulates the level of operational risk exposure the business is willing to tolerate, covering all operational risk categories, and sets out escalation processes for breaches of appetite.

Outputs from these processes and activities performed by individual business units are monitored by the Risk function, which provides an aggregated view of the risk profile across the business to the Group Risk Committee and Board.

These core framework components are embedded across the Group via the Group Operational Risk Policy and Standards documents, which set out the key principles and minimum standards for the management of operational risk across the Group. The Group Operational Risk Policy, standards and operational risk appetite framework sit alongside other risk policies and standards that individually engage with key operational risks, including outsourcing and third-party supply, business continuity, financial crime, technology and data, operations processes and extent of transformation. These policies and standards include subject matter expert-led processes that are designed to identify, assess, manage and control operational risks, including:

  • A transformation risk framework that assesses, manages and reports on the end-to-end transformation life cycle, project prioritisation and the risks, interdependencies and possible conflicts arising from a large portfolio of transformation activities;

  • Internal and external review of cyber security capability and defences;

  • Regular updating and testing of elements of disaster-recovery plans and the Critical Incident Procedure process;

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  • Group and business unit-level compliance oversight and testing in respect of adherence with in-force regulations;

  • Regulatory change teams in place to assist the business in proactively adapting and complying with regulatory developments;

    • On financial crime risks (see below), screening and transaction monitoring systems are in place and a programme of compliance control monitoring reviews is undertaken, as well as regular risk assessments;
  • A framework is in place for emerging risk identification and analysis in order to capture, monitor and allow us to prepare for operational risks that may crystallise beyond the short-term horizon;

  • Corporate insurance programmes to limit the financial impact of operational risks; and

  • Reviews of key operational risks and challenges within Group and business unit business plans.

These activities are fundamental in maintaining an effective system of internal control, and as such outputs from these also inform core RCSA, incident management and scenario analysis processes and reporting on operational risk. Furthermore, they also ensure that operational risk considerations are embedded in key business decision-making, including material business approvals and in setting and challenging the Group’s strategy.

  • Business disruption risk. Events in 2020 have shown how material business disruption risk is to effective business operations and delivery of business services to policyholders, and the potential impact to our customers and the market more broadly. The Group continuously seeks to develop greater business resilience through planning, preparation, testing and adaption. Business continuity management (BCM) is one of a number of activities undertaken by the Group Security function that helps the Group to protect its key stakeholders and its systems, and business resilience is at the core of the Group’s embedded BCM programme. The BCM programme and framework are appropriately linked to all business activities, and includes business impact analyses, risk assessments, incident management plans, disaster recovery plans, and the exercising and execution of these plans. Based on industry standards, the BCM programme is designed to provide business continuity that matches the Group’s evolving business needs and is appropriate to the size, complexity and nature of the Group’s operations. Prudential is also taking a broader, multi-functional approach to building greater business resilience, working with our external third-party providers and our service delivery teams to improve our ability to withstand, absorb and recover from disruption to our business services, while minimising the impact on our customers. The Group continuously reviews and develops its contingency plans and its ability to respond effectively when disruptive incidents occur, such as those resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic and, prior to this, the Hong Kong protests.

Business disruption risks are closely monitored by the Group Security function, with key operational effectiveness metrics and updates on specific activities being reported to the Group Risk Committee and discussed by cross-functional working groups.

Information security risk and data privacy. Information security and data privacy risks remain significant considerations for Prudential. This includes the risk of malicious attack on its systems, network disruption and risks relating to data security, integrity, privacy and misuse. The cyber security threat and criminal capability in this area continues to evolve globally in sophistication and potential significance with an increased level of understanding of complex financial transactions which increases the risks to the financial services industry. The systemic risk of sophisticated but untargeted attacks remains high, particularly so during times of heightened geopolitical tensions. The scale of the Group’s IT infrastructure and network (and the services required to monitor and manage it), stakeholder expectations and high-profile cyber security and data misuse incidents across industries mean that these risks are considered material at the level of the Group.

Prudential and the insurance industry are making increasing use of emerging technological tools and digital services, or forming partnerships with third parties that provide these capabilities. While this provides new opportunities, opening up markets, improving insights and increasing scalability, it also comes with additional risks which are managed within the Group’s existing governance and risk management processes, including additional operational risks and increased risks around data security and misuse. Automated digital distribution channels increase the criticality of system and process resilience in order to deliver uninterrupted service to customers.

Developments in data protection requirements, such as the California Consumer Protection Act which came into force on 1 January 2020, continue to evolve worldwide. This increases financial and reputational implications for Prudential in the event of a breach of its (or third-party suppliers’) IT systems. As well as protecting data, stakeholders expect companies and organisations to use personal information transparently and appropriately. Given this, both information security and data privacy are key risks for the Group. As well as having preventative risk management in place, it is fundamental that the Group has robust critical recovery systems in place in the event of a successful attack on its infrastructure, a breach of its information security or a failure of its systems in order to retain its customer relationships and trusted reputation.

During 2020, work to operationalise the revised organisational structure and governance model for cyber security management has continued. This change has resulted in a centralised Group-wide Information Security and Privacy function, leveraging skills, tools and resources across the business under a ‘centre of excellence’ model. This global function is led by the Group Chief Information Security Officer and falls within the scope of the responsibilities of the Group Chief Digital Officer, working closely with the Group Risk and Compliance Function and Group Chief Risk and Compliance Officer to ensure appropriate second line oversight. Cyber risk management is also conducted locally within business units with input from business information security officers and with oversight from local risk committees. The Prudential plc Board is briefed at least twice annually on cyber security by the Group CISO and executive training is provided to ensure that members understand the latest regulatory expectations and the threats facing the Group and that they have the means to enable appropriate oversight in this area.

A new Group-wide information security policy has been introduced that aligns to over 20 international standards such as ISO 27001/2, MAS, and NIST Cyber Security Framework to ensure full coverage and adoption of best practices. Local policies are also aligned to relevant local regulation or law. Our Group-wide privacy policy was developed in collaboration with industry experts to support a pragmatic approach to the evolving regulatory environment globally and ensure compliance with all applicable laws and regulations. This approach ensures that all our stakeholders have confidence in our approach to information security and risk management.

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These developments have allowed the Group to progress on its cyber security strategy, which for 2020 has four key objectives:

  • Automation of key processes to provide near real-time information on cyber security risks, allowing for increased response times scalability of defences to threat vectors across all security disciplines. This also enables improved, and more rapid, decision-making;

  • Using technology for the rapid enablement of the Group’s businesses, which supports the Group Digital Transformation strategy while meeting the security requirements and expectations;

  • Optimisations for efficiency in cyber security and data privacy management. This includes the delivery of centralised services across the Group in areas such as vulnerability management; and

  • Continuous identification and implementation of improvements to the people, processes or technology deployed on cyber security and privacy management.

  • Financial crime risk. As with all financial services firms, Prudential is exposed to risks relating to money laundering (the risk that the products or services of the Group are used by customers or other third parties to transfer or conceal the proceeds of crime); fraud (the risk that fraudulent claims or transactions, or procurement of services, are made against or through the business); sanctions compliance (the risk that the Group undertakes business with individuals and entities on the lists of the main sanctions regimes); and bribery and corruption (the risk that employees or associated persons seek to influence the behaviour of others to obtain an unfair advantage or receive benefits from others for the same purpose).

Prudential operates in some high-risk countries where, for example, the acceptance of cash premiums from customers may be common practice, large-scale agency networks may be in operation where sales are incentivised by commission and fees or where there is a higher concentration of exposure to politically-exposed persons.

The Group-wide policies we have in place on anti-money laundering, fraud, sanctions and anti-bribery and corruption reflect the values, behaviours and standards that are expected across the business. Across Asia, screening and transaction monitoring systems are in place and a series of improvements and upgrades are being implemented, while a programme of compliance control monitoring reviews is being undertaken. Risk assessments are performed annually at higher risk locations. Due diligence reviews and assessments against Prudential’s financial crime policies are performed as part of the Group’s business acquisition process. The Group continues to undertake strategic activity to monitor and evaluate the evolving fraud risk landscape, mitigate the likelihood of fraud occurring and increase the rate of detection.

The Group has in place a mature confidential reporting system through which staff and other stakeholders can report concerns relating to potential misconduct. The process and results of this are overseen by the Group Audit Committee.

Insurance risks

Insurance risk makes up a significant proportion of Prudential’s overall risk exposure. The profitability of its businesses depends on a mix of factors, including levels of, and trends in, mortality (policyholders dying), morbidity (policyholders becoming ill) and policyholder behaviour (variability in how customers interact with their policies, including utilisation of withdrawals, take-up of options and guarantees and persistency, ie lapsing of policies), and increases in the costs of claims, including the level of medical expenses increases over and above price inflation (claim inflation).

The principal drivers of the Group’s insurance risk vary across its business units. Across Asia, where a significant volume of health and protection business is written, the most significant insurance risks are persistency risk, morbidity risk and medical inflation risk. In Jackson, policyholder behaviour risk is particularly material, especially in the take up of options and guarantees on variable annuity business which impacts profitability and is influenced by market performance and the value of policy guarantees.

The Group has appetite for retaining insurance risks in order to create shareholder value in the areas where it believes it has expertise and controls to manage the risk and can support such risk with its capital and solvency position.

The impact of Covid-19 to economic activity and employment levels across the Group’s markets has the potential to elevate the incidence of claims, lapses, or surrenders of policies, and some policyholders may choose to defer or stop paying insurance premiums or reduce deposits into retirement plans. In particular extended travel restrictions could affect product persistency in the Group’s Asia business. While these impacts to the business have not been material to date, they are being closely monitored by the Group’s businesses with targeted management actions being implemented where necessary, which includes additional IBNR claims reserves in some markets where delays in non-acute medical treatments due to movement restrictions have been observed.

The Group’s persistency assumptions reflect similarly a combination of recent past experience for each relevant line of business and expert judgement, especially where a lack of relevant and credible experience data exists. Any expected change in future persistency is also reflected in the assumptions. Persistency risk is managed by appropriate training and sales processes (including active customer engagement and service quality) and managed locally post-sale through regular experience monitoring and the identification of common characteristics of business with high lapse rates. Where appropriate, allowance is made for the relationship (either assumed or observed historically) between persistency and investment returns and any additional risk is accounted for. Modelling this dynamic policyholder behaviour is particularly important when assessing the likely take-up rate of options embedded within certain products. The effect of persistency on the Group’s financial results can vary but depends mostly on product design and market conditions.

In Asia, Prudential writes significant volumes of health and protection business and so a key assumption is the rate of medical inflation, which is often in excess of general price inflation. There is a risk that the expenses of medical treatment increase more than expected, so the medical claim cost passed on to Prudential is higher than anticipated. Medical expense inflation risk is best mitigated by retaining the right to reprice our products each year and by having suitable overall claims limits within our policies, either limits per type of claim or in total across a policy, annually and/or over the policy lifetime. Prudential’s morbidity risk is mitigated by appropriate underwriting when policies are issued and claims are received. Our morbidity assumptions reflect our recent experience and expectation of future trends for each relevant line of business.

Prudential’s insurance risks are managed and mitigated using the following:

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  • The Group’s insurance, product and underwriting risk policies;

  • The risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;

  • Using persistency, morbidity and longevity assumptions that reflect recent experience and expectation of future trends, and industry data and expert judgement where appropriate;

  • Using reinsurance to mitigate mortality and morbidity risks;

  • Ensuring appropriate medical underwriting when policies are issued and appropriate claims management practices when claims are received in order to mitigate morbidity risk;

  • Maintaining the quality of sales processes, training and using initiatives to increase customer retention in order to mitigate persistency risk;

  • Using product repricing and other claims management initiatives in order to mitigate medical expense inflation risk; and

    • Regular deep dive assessments.

Conduct risk

Prudential’s conduct of business, especially the design and distribution of its products, is crucial in ensuring that the Group’s commitment to meeting customers’ needs and expectations are met. The Group’s conduct risk framework is owned by the first line which reflects management focus on achieving good customer outcomes.

Conduct risk drivers can be found throughout the product life cycle, from the complexity of the Group’s products, to its diverse distribution channels (including virtual face-to-face sales processes implemented in response to Covid-19 restrictions) and the ongoing servicing of its customers. Prudential aims to mitigate conduct risk with robust controls, which are identified and assessed through the Group’s conduct risk assessment framework, and regularly tested within its monitoring programmes. Conduct risk is heightened in markets where financial sophistication among consumers may be lower. In alignment with the Group’s purpose of helping people get the most out of life, Prudential strives towards making health and protection coverage affordable and accessible to all. Management of Prudential’s conduct risk in its emerging markets is therefore high on the agenda.

Prudential’s conduct risks are managed and mitigated using the following:

  • The Group’s code of business conduct and customer commitments, product and underwriting risk policies;

  • Maintaining the quality of sales processes, training and using other initiatives to improve customer outcomes;

  • Ensuring proper sales practices via the use of welcome calls and mystery shopping;

  • Proper claims management and complaint handling practices;

  • Regular deep dive assessments on, and monitoring of, conduct risks;

  • Conduct risk assessments; and

  • Consideration of customer outcomes as part of any business change, including acquired, reinsured or divested business.

Risks related to regulatory and legal compliance

These include risks associated with prospective regulatory and legal changes and compliance with existing regulations and laws – – including their retrospective application with which the Group must comply with in the conduct of its business.

Prudential operates under the ever-evolving requirements set out by diverse regulatory, legal and tax regimes which may impact Prudential’s business or the way in which it is conducted. This covers a broad range of risks including changes in government policy and legislation, capital control measures, and new regulations at either national or international level. In addition to the risks arising from regulatory change, the breadth of local and Group-wide regulatory arrangements presents the risk that regulatory requirements are not fully met, resulting in specific regulator interventions or actions including retrospective interpretation of standards by regulators which may result in regulatory censure or significant additional costs to the business. Furthermore, as the industry’s use of emerging technological tools and digital services increases, this is likely to lead to new and unforeseen regulatory issues and the Group is monitoring the regulatory developments and standards emerging around the governance and ethical use of technology and data.

In certain jurisdictions in which Prudential operates there are also a number of ongoing policy initiatives and regulatory developments that are having, and will continue to have, an impact on the way Prudential is supervised. Decisions taken by regulators, including those related to solvency requirements, corporate or governance structures, capital allocation, financial reporting and risk management may have an impact on our business.

The focus of some governments toward more protectionist or restrictive economic and trade policies could impact on the degree and nature of regulatory changes and Prudential’s competitive position in some geographic markets. This could take effect, for example, through increased friction in cross-border trade, capital controls or measures favouring local enterprises such as changes to the maximum level of non-domestic ownership by foreign companies. These developments continue to be monitored by the Group at a national and global level and these considerations form part of the Group’s ongoing engagement with government policy teams and regulators.

Further information on specific areas of regulatory and supervisory requirements and changes are included below.

  • Group-wide supervision. From 21 October 2019, Prudential’s Group-wide supervisor changed to the Hong Kong IA. As a result, the Group currently applies the local capital summation method (LCSM) to determine Group regulatory capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels). The enabling legislation for the Hong Kong IA’s GWS Framework was enacted in July 2020. The timing of finalisation and implementation of the GWS Framework remains uncertain, although it is expected to become effective in early 2021.

  • Global regulatory developments and systemic risk regulation. Efforts to curb systemic risk and promote financial stability are also under way. At the international level, the Financial Stability Board (FSB) continues to develop recommendations for the asset management and insurance sectors, including ongoing assessment of systemic risk measures. The International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) has continued its focus on the following key developments.

39

In November 2019 the IAIS adopted the Common Framework (ComFrame) which establishes supervisory standards and guidance focusing on the effective group-wide supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs). Prudential was included in the first register of IAIGs released by the IAIS on 1 July 2020 and was designated an IAIG by the Hong Kong IA following an assessment against the established criteria in ComFrame.

The IAIS has also been developing the ICS (Insurance Capital Standard) as part of ComFrame. The implementation of ICS will be conducted in two phases: a five-year monitoring phase followed by an implementation phase. The Aggregation Method is one of the alternatives being considered to the default approach undertaken for the ICS during the monitoring period and the related proposals are being led by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). Alongside the current ICS developments, the NAIC is also developing its Group Capital Calculation (GCC) for the supervision of insurance groups in the US. The GCC is intended to be a risk-based capital (RBC) aggregation methodology. In developing the GCC, the NAIC will also consider Group capital developments by the US Federal Reserve Board, which will inform the US regulatory association in its construction of a US group capital calculation.

The FSB has endorsed a new holistic framework (HF) for systemic risk for implementation by the IAIS in 2020 and suspended G-SII designations until a review to be undertaken in 2022. Many of the previous G-SII measures have already been adopted into the insurance core principles (ICPs) and ComFrame. As an IAIG, Prudential continues to be subject to these measures. The HF also includes a monitoring element for the identification of a build-up of systemic risk and to enable supervisors to take action where appropriate. As a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, this monitoring requirement has been replaced with a Covid19-focused exercise for 2020. In June 2020 the IAIS published an application paper on the liquidity risk elements introduced into the ICPs and ComFrame. A public consultation on the development of liquidity metrics to be used as an ancillary indicator for monitoring is planned for Q4 2020, with a further consultation focused on macroeconomic elements expected to follow in 2021.

In the US, various initiatives are under way to introduce fiduciary obligations for distributors of investment products, which may reshape the distribution of retirement products. Jackson has introduced fee-based variable annuity products in response to the potential introduction of such rules, and we anticipate that the business’s strong relationships with distributors, history of product innovation and efficient operations should further mitigate any impacts.

In Asia, regulatory regimes are developing at different speeds, driven by a combination of global factors and local considerations. New local capital rules and requirements could be introduced in these and other regulatory regimes that challenge legal or ownership structures, or current sales practices, or could be applied to sales made prior to their introduction retrospectively, which could have a negative impact on Prudential’s business and reported results.

  • IFRS 17. In May 2017, the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) published its replacement standard on insurance accounting IFRS 17, ‘Insurance Contracts’. Some targeted amendments to this standard, including to the effective date, were issued in June 2020. IFRS 17, ‘Insurance Contracts’, as amended, will introduce fundamental changes to the IFRS-based reporting of insurance entities that prepare accounts according to IFRS from 2023. IFRS 17 is expected to, among other things, include altering the timing of IFRS profit recognition, and the implementation of the standard is likely to require changes to the Group’s IT, actuarial and finance systems. The Group is reviewing the complex requirements of this standard and considering its potential impact.

  • Inter-bank offered rate reforms. In July 2014, the Financial Stability Board (FSB) announced widespread reforms to address the integrity and reliability of IBORs. The discontinuation of IBORs in their current form and their replacement with alternative risk-free reference rates such as the Sterling Overnight Index Average benchmark (SONIA) in the UK and the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the US could, among other things, impact the Group through an adverse effect on the value of Prudential’s assets and liabilities which are linked to, or which reference IBORs, a reduction in market liquidity during any period of transition and increased legal and conduct risks to the Group arising from changes required to documentation and its related obligations to its stakeholders.

Risk management and mitigation of regulatory risk at Prudential includes the following:

  • Risk assessment of the Business Plan which includes consideration of current strategies;

  • Close monitoring and assessment of our business environment and strategic risks;

  • The consideration of risk themes in strategic decisions; and

  • Ongoing engagement with national regulators, government policy teams and international standard setters.

The Group’s ESG-related risks

These include environmental risks associated with climate change (including physical and transition risks), social risks that arise from the diverse people and communities that the Group interacts with and governance-related risks.

The business environment in which Prudential operates is continually changing and responding effectively to those material risks associated with ESG themes is crucial in maintaining Prudential’s brand and reputation, its ability to attract and retain customers and staff, and in turn its financial performance and delivery of its long-term strategy. The Group maintains active engagement with its key stakeholders as it responds to ESG-related matters, including investors, customers, employees, governments, policymakers and regulators in its key markets, as well as with industry bodies and forums – all of whom have expectations in this area which may differ.

Further information on ESG governance is detailed in section 4 above and further detail on how the Group addresses material risks associated with ESG themes is included in the Prudential plc ESG Report 2019.

  • Environmental risks. The environmental risk associated with climate change is one ESG area that poses significant risks to Prudential and its customers. The global transition to a lower carbon economy could potentially see the financial assets of carbon-intensive companies re-price as a result of facing significantly higher costs or decreasing demand for their products and services. The speed of this transition, including the extent to which it is orderly and managed, will be influenced by factors such

40

as public policy, technology and changes in market or investor sentiment. This ‘transition risk’ may adversely impact the valuation of investments held by the Group. The Group expects the physical impacts of climate change, driven by both specific short-term climate-related events such as natural disasters and longer-term changes in the natural environment, to increasingly influence the longevity, mortality and morbidity risk assessments of the Group’s product offerings. Climate-driven change in countries in which Prudential, or its key third parties, operate could impact on its operational resilience, underwriting assumptions and could change its claims profile. More information about the activities the Group is undertaking to increase its understanding and risk management of these climate-related risks can be found in the Prudential plc ESG Report 2019.

  • Social risks. Social risks that could impact Prudential include the emerging population risks associated with public health trends (such as an increase in obesity) and demographic changes (such as population urbanisation) which may impact customer lifestyles and therefore may impact claims against the Group’s insurance product offerings. As a life and health insurer, we are committed to playing a greater role in preventing and postponing illness in order to protect our customers. Further information about how we are investing in artificial intelligence technology to enable access to an affordable and quality healthcare digital offering can be found within the Pulse case study included in the ESG Report 2019. Other social risks may arise from a failure to consider the rights, diversity, well-being, and interests of people and communities in which the Group, or its third parties, operates. These risks are increased as Prudential operates in multiple jurisdictions with distinct local cultures and considerations. The Group assumes responsibilities as a responsible employer and is exposed to the risk of being unable to attract, retain and develop highly-skilled staff, which can be increased where Prudential does not have responsible working practices.

  • Governance risks. A failure to maintain high standards of corporate governance may adversely impact the Group and its customers, staff and employees, through poor decision-making and a lack of oversight of its key risks, particularly in joint ventures or partnerships where Prudential does not have direct overall control. Poor governance may arise where key governance committees have insufficient independence, a lack of diversity, skills or experience in their members, or unclear (or insufficient) oversight responsibilities and mandates. Inadequate oversight over remuneration increases the risk of poor senior management behaviours. Prudential operates across multiple jurisdictions and has a group and subsidiary governance structure which may add further complexity to these considerations.

Notes

  • 1 Excluding assets held to cover linked liabilities and those of the consolidated unit trusts and similar funds.

  • 2 Based on hierarchy of Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch, where available and if unavailable, NAIC and other external ratings and the internal ratings have been used.

  • 3 Source of segmentation: Bloomberg Sector, Bloomberg Group and Merrill Lynch. Anything that cannot be identified from the three sources noted is classified as other. Excludes debt securities from other operations.

  • 4 In 2020, to align more closely with the internal risk management analysis, the Group altered the compilation of its credit ratings analysis to use the middle of the Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch ratings, where available. Where ratings are not available from these rating agencies, NAIC ratings (for the US), local external rating agencies’ ratings and lastly internal ratings have been used. Securities with none of the ratings listed above are classified as unrated and included under the ‘below BBB- and unrated’ category. The total securities (excluding sovereign debt) that were unrated at 30 June 2020 were $788 million (30 June 2019: $794 million; 31 December 2019: $648 million). Previously, Standard & Poor’s ratings were used where available and if not, Moody’s and then Fitch were used as alternatives. Additionally, government debt is shown separately from the rating breakdowns in order to provide a more focused view of the credit portfolio.

  • 5 Excluding assets in consolidated funds financed largely by external third-party (non-recourse) borrowings, for which the Group’s exposure is limited to the investment held by Jackson. Including these assets, the US corporate debt portfolio is 93 per cent investment grade.

41

Corporate governance

The Directors confirm that the Company has complied with all the provisions of the Corporate Governance Code issued by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Limited (HK Code) throughout the accounting period, except as described below.

The Company does not comply with provision B.1.2(d) of the HK Code which requires companies, on a comply or explain basis, to have a remuneration committee which makes recommendations to the board on the remuneration of non-executive directors. This provision is not compatible with provision 34 of the UK Corporate Governance Code which recommends the board determines the remuneration of non-executive directors. Prudential has chosen to adopt a practice in line with the recommendations of the UK Corporate Governance Code.

Following the introduction by the UK Government of measures to limit the spread of Covid-19 by prohibiting non-essential travel and public gatherings of more than two people, and following the issuance of the Company’s 2020 AGM Notice, the Company provided an update to shareholders in late April 2020 on its revised arrangements for the 2020 annual general meeting (AGM). In light of those restrictions and to protect the health of Prudential’s shareholders and employees, the Board decided, with regret, that shareholders, external advisors (including the auditor) and Directors (other than the Chairman) would not be able to attend the AGM in person (and thus provision E1.2 of the HK Code could not be complied with). The AGM on 14 May 2020 was therefore held as a ‘closed meeting’ with just two shareholders to provide the requisite quorum to enable the formal business of passing resolutions to be conducted. In recognising the continuing importance of the annual general meeting as an opportunity to engage with shareholders the Board encouraged participation from shareholders. The revised meeting arrangements included an option for shareholders to submit questions to the Board in advance of the meeting, the answers to which were posted on the Company’s website, and shareholders were also asked to vote their shares by proxy ahead of the meeting. Prudential is keeping shareholders informed through its website and released a number of updates during the period of the Covid-19 pandemic, including a Q1 business update and other presentations.

Notwithstanding the pandemic and related unprecedented measures and circumstances, the Board continues to receive regular updates on shareholder engagement activities.

The Directors also confirm that the financial results contained in this document have been reviewed by the Group Audit Committee.

42

IFRS disclosure and additional financial information Prudential plc Half Year 2020 results International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) basis results

Condensed consolidated income statement
Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
Condensed consolidated statement of financial position
Condensed consolidated statement of cash flows
Notes
Page
A
Basis of preparation
A1
Basis of preparation and exchange rates
8
A2
New accounting pronouncements in 2020
9
B
Earnings performance
B1
Analysis of performance by segment
B1.1
Segment results
10
B1.2
Short-term fluctuations in investment
11
returns on shareholder-backed business
B1.3
Determining operating segments and
13
performance measure of operating
segments
B2
Acquisition costs and other expenditure
14
B3
Additional segmental analysis of revenue
15
B4
Tax charge
B4.1
Total tax charge by nature
16
B4.2
Reconciliation of shareholder effective
16
tax rate
B5
Earnings per share
19
B6
Dividends
20
C
Financial position
C1
Group assets and liabilities by business type
21
C1.1
Additional analysis of debt securities
25
C1.2
Additional analysis of US mortgage
loans
27
C2
Fair value measurement
27
Page
2
3
4
6
7
Page
C
Financial position (continued)
C3
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus
C3.1
Group overview
33
C3.2
Asia insurance operations
36
C3.3
US insurance operations
37
C4
Intangible assets
C4.1
Goodwill
38
C4.2
Deferred acquisition costs and other
38
intangible assets
C5
Borrowings
C5.1
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-
40
financed businesses
C5.2
Operational borrowings
40
C6
Sensitivity analysis to key market risks
41
C6.1
Sensitivity to interest rate risk
41
C6.2
Sensitivity to equity and property price risk
42
C7
Deferred Tax
43
C8
Share capital, share premium and own shares
44
D
Other Information
D1
Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions
45
D2
Contingencies and related obligations
45
D3
Post balance sheet events
45
D4
Related party transactions
45
Statement of Directors’ responsibilities
Independent review report to Prudential plc
46
47
Additional financial information* Page
I
Additional financial information
(i)
Group capital position
48
(ii)
Funds under management
52
(iii)
Holding company cash flow
53
(iv)
Analysis of adjusted operating profit by driver
54
(v)
Asia operations – analysis of adjusted operating profit by business unit
58
II
Calculation of alternative performance measures
60
(i)
Reconciliation of adjusted operating profit to profit before tax
60
(ii)
Calculation of IFRS gearing ratio
60
(iii)
Return on IFRS shareholders’ equity
60
(iv)
Calculation of IFRS shareholders’ funds per share
61
(v)
Calculation of asset management cost/income ratio
62
(vi)
Reconciliation of Asia renewal insurance premium to gross premiums earned
62
(vii)
Reconciliation of APE new business sales to gross premiums earned
62
(viii)
Reconciliation between IFRS and EEV shareholders’ equity
63

* The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG independent review opinion on page 47

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
2020 $m
2019 $m
Note Half year
Half year
Full year*
Continuing operations:

Gross premiums earned
19,842
21,081
45,064

Outward reinsurance premiums
B3
(30,149)
(673)
(1,583)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance
B3
(10,307)
20,408
43,481

Investment return
3,910
31,873
49,555
Other income 333
258
700
Total revenue, net of reinsurance
B3
(6,064)
52,539
93,736
Benefits and claims and movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds,

net of reinsurance
9,855
(47,448)
(83,905)
Acquisition costs and other expenditure
B2
(3,032)
(3,508)
(7,283)

Finance costs: interest on core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed

businesses
(163)
(293)
(516)
Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions - 17
(142)
Total charges net of reinsurance 6,660
(51,232)
(91,846)
Share of profit from joint ventures and associates, net of related tax 133
137
397
Profit before tax_(being tax attributable to shareholders’ and policyholders’_

_returns)_note (i)
729
1,444
2,287
Remove tax charge attributable to policyholders'returns (66)
(285)
(365)
Profit before tax attributable to shareholders' returns
B1.1
663
1,159
1,922
Total tax charge attributable to shareholders' and policyholders' returns
B4
(195) (286) (334)

Remove tax charge attributable to policyholders' returns
66 285 365
Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders'returns
B4
(129)
(1)
31
Profit from continuing operations 534
1,158
1,953
Discontinued UK and Europe operations' profit after tax - 835 1,319

Re-measurement of discontinued operations on demerger
- - 188

Cumulative exchange loss recycled from other comprehensive income
- - (2,668)
Profit (loss) from discontinued operationsnote (ii) - 835
(1,161)
Profit for the period 534
1,993
792
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the Company:

From continuing operations
512
1,152
1,944

From discontinued operations
-
835
(1,161)

Non-controlling interests from continuing operations
22
6
9
534
1,993
792
Earnings per share (in cents) 2020 2019
Note Half year Half year
Full year*
Based on profit attributable to equity holders of the Company:
B5

Basic
Based on profit from continuing operations 19.7¢ 44.6¢
75.1¢

Based on profit (loss) from discontinued operations
- 32.3¢
(44.8)¢
Total 19.7¢ 76.9¢
30.3¢
Diluted
Based on profit from continuing operations 19.7 ¢ 44.6¢
75.1¢

Based on profit (loss) from discontinued operations
- 32.3¢
(44.8)¢
Total 19.7¢ 76.9¢
30.3¢
Dividends per share (in cents) 2020 2019
Note Half year Half year
Full year*
Dividends relating to reporting period:
B6

First interim ordinary dividend
5.37¢ 20.29¢
20.29¢

Second interim ordinary dividend
- -
25.97¢
Total 5.37¢ 20.29¢
46.26¢
Dividends paid in reporting period:
B6

Current year first interim dividend
- -
20.29¢

Second interim ordinary dividend for prior year
25.97¢ 42.89¢
42.89¢
Total 25.97¢ 42.89¢
63.18¢
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Notes

(i) This measure is the formal profit before tax measure under IFRS. It is not the result attributable to shareholders principally because total corporate tax of the Group includes those on the income of consolidated with-profits and unit-linked funds that, through adjustments to benefits, are borne by policyholders. These amounts are required to be included in the tax charge of the Company under IAS 12. Consequently, the IFRS profit before tax measure is not representative of pre-tax profit attributable to shareholders as it is determined after deducting the cost of policyholder benefits and movements in the liability for unallocated surplus of with-profits funds after adjusting for tax borne by policyholders.

(ii) Discontinued operations for half year and full year 2019 related to the UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) that were demerged from the Group in October 2019.

==> picture [514 x 43] intentionally omitted <==

2

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

2020 $m 2019 $m 2019 $m
Note Half year Half year
Full year*
Continuing operations

Profit for the period
534 1,158
1,953
Other comprehensive income (loss):

Items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges:

Exchange movements arising during the period
(201) 45
152

Related tax
- 1
(15)
(201) 46
137
Valuation movements on available-for-sale debt securities:
Unrealised gains arising in the period (before the impact of Jackson’s

reinsurance transaction with Athene):
Net unrealised gains on holdings arising in the period 2,737 3,411
4,208

Deduct net gains included in the income statement on disposal and

impairment
(197) (25)
(185)
2,540 3,386
4,023
Related change in amortisation of deferred acquisition costs
C4.2
(287) (560)
(631)
Related tax (472) (593)
(713)
1,781 2,233
2,679
Impact of Jackson’s reinsurance transaction with Athene:
D1
Gains recycled to the income statement on transfer of debt securities to

Athene
(2,817) -
-
Related change in amortisation of deferred acquisition costs
C4.2
535 -
-
Related tax 479 - -
(1,803) -
-
Total valuation movements on available-for-sale debt securities (22) 2,233
2,679
Total items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss (223) 2,279
2,816
Items that will not be reclassified to profit or loss

Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension

schemes:
Net actuarial losses on defined benefit pension schemes - (112)
(108)

Related tax
-
18



19
Total items that will not be reclassified to profit or loss - (94)
(89)
Other comprehensive (loss) income (223) 2,185
2,727
Total comprehensive income for the period from continuing operations 311 3,343
4,680
Profit (loss) for the period from discontinued operations - 835
(1,161)

Cumulative exchange loss recycled through profit or loss
- -

2,668

Other items, net of related tax
- 4
203
Total comprehensive income for the period from discontinued operations† - 839
1,710
Total comprehensive income for the period 311 4,182
6,390
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the Company

From continuing operations
290 3,337
4,669

From discontinued operations
- 839
1,710

Non-controlling interests from continuing operations
21 6
11
311 4,182
6,390
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

† Discontinued operations for half year and full year 2019 related to the UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) that were demerged from the Group in October 2019.

3

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY

Period ended Period ended 30 June 2020 $m 30 June 2020 $m
Available
-for-sale Non-
Share Share Retained Translation securities Shareholders' controlling Total
Note capital premium earnings reserve reserves equity interests equity
Reserves
Profit for the period - - 512 - - 512 22 534
Other comprehensive loss - - - (200) (22) (222) (1) (223)
Total other comprehensive
income (loss) for the period - - 512 (200) (22) 290 21 311
Dividends
B6
- - (674) - - (674) (16) (690)
Reserve movements in respect of
share-based payments - - 29 - - 29 - 29
Effect of transactions relating to
non-controlling interests - - 32 - - 32 - 32
Share capital and share
premium
New share capital subscribed
C8
- 10 - - - 10 - 10
Treasury shares
Movement in own shares in
respect of share-based payment
plans - - (54) - - (54) - (54)
Net increase (decrease) in equity - 10 (155) (200) (22) (367) 5 (362)
Balance at beginning of period 172 2,625 13,575 893 2,212 19,477 192 19,669
Balance at end ofperiod 172 2,635 13,420 693 2,190 19,110 197 19,307
Period ended Period ended 30 June 2019* $m 30 June 2019* $m
Available
-for-sale Non-
Share Share Retained Translation securities Shareholders' controlling Total
Note capital premium earnings reserve reserves equity interests equity
Reserves
Profit from continuing operations
for the period - - 1,152 - - 1,152 6 1,158
Other comprehensive income
(loss) from continuing operations - - (94) 46 2,233 2,185 - 2,185
Total comprehensive income from
continuing operations for the
period - - 1,058 46 2,233 3,337 6 3,343
Total comprehensive income from
discontinued operations for the
period - - 838 1 - 839 - 839
Total comprehensive income
(loss) for the period - - 1,896 47 2,233 4,176 6 4,182
Dividends
B6
- - (1,108) - - (1,108) - (1,108)
Reserve movements in respect of
share-based payments - - 3 - - 3 - 3
Share capital and share
premium
New share capital subscribed
C8
- 13 - - - 13 - 13
Foreign exchange translation
differences due to change in
presentation currency
C8
(1) (3) - - - (4) - (4)
Treasury shares
Movement in own shares in
respect of share-based payment
plans - - (12) - - (12) - (12)
Movement in Prudential plc
shares purchased by unit trusts
consolidated under IFRS - - 1 - - 1 - 1
Net increase (decrease) in equity (1) 10 780 47 2,233 3,069 6 3,075
Balance at beginning of period 166 2,502 21,817 (2,050) (467) 21,968 23 21,991
Balance at end ofperiod 165 2,512 22,597 (2,003) 1,766 25,037 29 25,066
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

==> picture [514 x 43] intentionally omitted <==

4

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY (continued)

Year ended 31 December 2019 $m Year ended 31 December 2019 $m Year ended 31 December 2019 $m
Available
-for-sale Non-
Share Share Retained Translation securities Shareholders' controlling
Total
Note capital premium earnings reserve* reserves equity interests
equity
Reserves
Profit from continuing operations - - 1,944 - - 1,944 9
1,953
Other comprehensive income
(loss) from continuing operations - - (89) 135 2,679 2,725 2
2,727
Total comprehensive income from
continuing operations - - 1,855 135 2,679 4,669 11
4,680
Total comprehensive income (loss)
from discontinued operations* - - (1,098) 2,808 - 1,710 - 1,710
Total comprehensive income for
the year - - 757 2,943 2,679 6,379 11
6,390
Demerger dividend in specie of
M&G plc B6 - - (7,379) - - (7,379) -
(7,379)
Other dividends B6 - - (1,634) - - (1,634) -
(1,634)
Reserve movements in respect of
share-based payments - - 64 - - 64 -
64
Effect of transactions relating to
non-controlling interests - - (143) - - (143) 158
15
Share capital and share premium
New share capital subscribed C8 - 22 - - - 22 -
22
Impact of change in presentation
currency in relation to share capital
and share premium C8 6 101 - - - 107 -
107
Treasury shares
Movement in own shares in respect
of share-based payment plans - - 38 - - 38 -
38
Movement in Prudential plc shares
purchased by unit trusts
consolidated under IFRS - - 55 - - 55 - 55
Net increase (decrease) in equity 6 123 (8,242) 2,943 2,679 (2,491) 169
(2,322)
Balance at beginning of year 166 2,502 21,817 (2,050) (467) 21,968 23
21,991
**Balance at end of year ** 172 2,625 13,575 893 2,212 19,477 192
19,669
  • The $2,808 million movement in translation reserve from discontinued operations is recognised in other comprehensive income and represents an exchange gain of $140 million on translating the results from discontinued operations during the period of ownership in 2019 and the recycling of the cumulative exchange loss of $2,668 million through the profit or loss upon the demerger.

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5

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION

2020 $m 2019 $m
Note 30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec*
Assets
Goodwill
C4.1
942 649
969
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets
C4.2
18,604 16,111
17,476

Property, plant and equipment
964 999
1,065

Reinsurers' share of insurance contract liabilitiesnote (i)
44,918 12,919
13,856
Deferred tax assets
C7
4,259 3,515
4,075
Current tax recoverable 387 472
492
Accrued investment income 1,517 1,695
1,641
Other debtors 3,211 2,560
2,054
Investment properties 23 14
25

Investments in joint ventures and associates accounted for using the equity

method
1,507 1,311
1,500
Loans 14,910 15,925
16,583
Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemesnote (ii) 234,698 233,757
247,281

Debt securitiesnote (ii)
121,462 126,856
134,570
Derivative assets 2,459 1,555
1,745
Other investmentsnote (ii) 1,569 1,220
1,302
Deposits 3,351 1,898
2,615

Assets held for distributionnote (iii)
- 277,861
-
Cash and cash equivalents 8,384 6,628
6,965
Total assets
C1
463,165 705,945
454,214
Equity

Shareholders' equity
19,110 25,037
19,477

Non-controlling interests
197 29
192
Total equity
C1
19,307 25,066
19,669
Liabilities
Contract liabilities (including amounts in respect of contracts classified as

investment contracts under IFRS 4)
C3.1
391,924 362,933
385,678

Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
C3.1
5,512 3,747
4,750

Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses
C5.1
6,499 9,470
5,594

Operational borrowings
2,245 2,421
2,645

Obligations under funding, securities lending and sale and repurchase agreements
9,085 8,598
8,901

Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated investment funds
5,967 4,432
5,998
Deferred tax liabilities
C7
5,278 4,710
5,237
Current tax liabilities 428 406
396
Accruals, deferred income and other liabilities 16,208 13,487
14,488
Provisions 245 323
466
Derivative liabilities 467 1,320
392
Liabilities held for distributionnote (iii) - 269,032
-
Total liabilities
C1
443,858 680,879
434,545
Total equity and liabilities
C1
463,165 705,945
454,214
* The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from

pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Notes

(i) At 30 June 2020, reinsurers’ share of insurance contract liabilities include $27.7 billion in respect of the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd, as discussed in note D1.

(ii) Included within equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes, debt securities and other investments are $265 million of lent securities as at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $10 million; 31 December 2019: $90 million).

(iii) Assets and liabilities held for distribution at 30 June 2019 related to the Group’s UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) which were demerged in October 2019.

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6

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
2020 $m 2019 $m
Note Half year Half year
Full year*
Continuing operations:

Cash flows from operating activities

Profit before tax_(being tax attributable to shareholders' and policyholders' returns)_
729 1,444
2,287

Adjustments to profit before tax for non-cash movements in

operating assets and liabilities:

Investments
24,670 (38,673)
(60,812)
Other non-investment and non-cash assets (32,617) (2,685)
(2,487)
Policyholder liabilities (including unallocated surplus) 8,188 34,702
56,067

Other liabilities (including operational borrowings)
1,466 4,072
5,097

Other itemsnote (i)
(327) 102
(361)
Net cash flows from operating activities 2,109 (1,038)
(209)
Cash flows from investing activities

Net cash flows from purchases and disposals of property, plant and equipment
(43) (21)
(64)

Net cash flows from other investing activitiesnote (ii)
(733) (102)
(260)
Net cash flows from investing activities (776) (123)
(324)
Cash flows from financing activities

Structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations:note (iii)
C5.1

Issuance of debt, net of costs
982 -
367
Redemption of subordinated debt - (504)
(504)

Fees paid to modify terms and conditions of debt issued by the Group
- (182)
(182)

Interest paid
(157) (289)
(526)

Equity capital:

Issues of ordinary share capital
10 13
22

External dividends:
Dividends paid to the Company's shareholders
B6
(674) (1,108)
(1,634)

Dividends paid to non-controlling interests
(16) -
-
Net cash flows from financing activities 145 (2,070)
(2,457)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations 1,478 (3,231)
(2,990)

Net cash flows from discontinued operationsnote (iv)
- 292
(5,690)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
6,965 15,442
15,442

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
(59) 10
203
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 8,384 12,513
6,965
Comprising:

Cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations
8,384 6,628
6,965

Cash and cash equivalents from discontinued operations
- 5,885
-
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Notes

(i) The adjusting items to profit before tax included within other items are adjustments in respect of non-cash items together with operational interest receipts and payments, dividend receipts and tax paid.

(ii) Net cash flows from other investing activities include amounts paid for distribution rights and cash flows arising from the acquisitions and disposals of businesses.

(iii) Structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses exclude borrowings to support short-term fixed income securities programmes, non-recourse borrowings of investment subsidiaries of shareholder-financed businesses and other borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses. Cash flows in respect of these borrowings are included within cash flows from operating activities. The changes in the carrying value of the structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses for the Group (including both continuing and discontinued operations in 2019) are analysed below:

Cash movements $m Non-cash movements $m
Balance at Foreign
Demerger of
UK and
Balance
beginning
Issue
Redemption

exchange
Europe
Other
at end
of period
of debt

of debt



movement

operations
movements
of period
30 Jun 2020 5,594
982
-

(84)
-
7
6,499
30 Jun 2019 9,761
-
(504)

(6)
219
-
9,470
31 Dec2019
9,761
367
(504)


116
(4,161)
15
5,594

(iv) Discontinued operations for half year and full year 2019 related to the UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) that were demerged from the Group in October 2019. The half year and full year 2019 cash flows shown above are presented excluding any transactions between continuing and discontinued operations.

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7

NOTES TO PRIMARY STATEMENTS

A Basis of preparation

A1 Basis of preparation and exchange rates

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the six months ended 30 June 2020 have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 ‘Interim Financial Reporting’ as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and as endorsed by the European Union (EU). The Group’s policy for preparing this interim financial information is to use the accounting policies adopted by the Group in its last consolidated financial statements, as updated by any changes in accounting policies it intends to make in its next consolidated financial statements as a result of new or amended IFRS and other policy improvements. EU-endorsed IFRS may differ from IFRSs issued by the IASB if, at any point in time, new or amended IFRS have not been endorsed by the EU. At 30 June 2020, there were no unendorsed standards effective for the period ended 30 June 2020 which impacted the condensed consolidated financial statements of the Group, and there were no differences between IFRS endorsed by the EU and IFRS issued by the IASB in terms of their application to the Group.

The IFRS basis results for half year 2020 and half year 2019 are unaudited. The 2019 full year IFRS basis results have been derived from the 2019 statutory accounts. The auditors have reported on the 2019 statutory accounts which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditors’ report was: (i) unqualified; (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report; and (iii) did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 2006.

Going concern basis of accounting

Prudential aims to meet the savings and investment needs of its customers, which by their very nature can often be over a timeframe of many years. The Group as a whole and each of its life assurance operations are subject to extensive regulation and supervision, which are designed primarily to reinforce the Group’s management of its long-term solvency, liquidity and viability to ensure that it can continue to meet obligations to policyholders.

Risk management is core to the Group‘s activities. In assessing going concern, the Directors took account of the Group’s principal risks and the mitigations available to it which are described in the Group Chief Risk and Compliance Officer’s report.

After making sufficient enquiries the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Company and the Group have adequate resources to continue their operations for a period of at least 12 months from the date that these interim financial statements are approved. No material uncertainties that may cast significant doubt on the ability of the Group to continue as a going concern have been identified.

In half year 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has impacted the global economy and the Group’s individual markets to varying degrees and at different periods, and the full extent of the longer-term impacts are currently uncertain. The Directors have made the assessment of going concern taking into account both the Group’s current performance and the Group’s outlook. In particular, the Directors considered the adequacy of the Group’s solvency, liquidity and financial performance using revised projections from the previous business plan that reflected the shift in market conditions as a result of Covid-19 together with the impact of targeted related management actions.

In terms of liquidity, at 30 June 2020, the Group had central cash and short-term investment balances of $1.9 billion as set out in the Group’s Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer’s report. This amount has been subject to stress testing that assumes the closure of short-term debt markets, as well as additional calls on liquidity by the business units. This stress testing allows for the fact that the Group has undrawn liquidity facilities of $2.6 billion available to it.

To factor in the uncertainty of the longer-term impacts of Covid-19, a number of stress scenarios have been assessed, for example scenarios of different durations of lockdown and the associated recovery back to a normalised level of sales, with stress scenarios assuming a significant overall contraction in sales and worsened market conditions compared to 2019.

The Directors noted the effect of a number of stresses on the Group’s capital position, including those set out in note I(i) Group capital position within Additional Financial Information. The Group was considered to have sufficient regulatory capital to meet stressed changes in market conditions that are severe but plausible. For the Group’s US operations, the beneficial impact on the local RBC solvency position of the equity investment by Athene Life Re Ltd in July 2020 (as discussed in note D3) was also factored into the assessment.

The Directors therefore consider it appropriate to continue to adopt the going concern basis of accounting in preparing these interim financial statements for the period ended 30 June 2020.

8

Exchange rates

The exchange rates applied for balances and transactions in the presentation currency of the Group, US dollars ($), and other currencies were:

$: Local currency Closing rate as at period end Average rate for the period to date
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2019
31 Dec 2019

Half year 2020
Half year 2019
Full year 2019
China 7.07
6.87
6.97
7.03
6.78
6.91
Hong Kong 7.75
7.81
7.79
7.76
7.84
7.84

Indonesia
14,285.00
14,127.50
13,882.50
14,574.24
14,192.79
14,140.84
Malaysia 4.29
4.13
4.09
4.25
4.12
4.14

Singapore
1.40
1.35
1.34
1.40
1.36
1.36

Thailand
30.87
30.69
29.75
31.62
31.61
31.05
UK 0.81
0.79
0.75
0.79
0.77
0.78
Vietnam 23,206.00
23,305.00
23,172.50
23,303.21
23,253.04
23,227.64

Certain notes to the financial statements present half year 2019 comparative information at constant exchange rates (CER), in addition to the reporting at actual exchange rates (AER) used throughout the condensed consolidated financial statements. AER are actual historical exchange rates for the specific accounting period, being the average rates over the period for the income statement and the closing rates at the balance sheet date for the statement of financial position. CER results are calculated by translating prior period results using the current period foreign exchange rate, ie current period average rates for the income statement and current period closing rates for the statement of financial position.

The accounting policies applied by the Group in determining the IFRS basis results in this report are the same as those previously applied in the Group’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2019, as disclosed in the 2019 statutory accounts, aside from those discussed in note A2 below.

A2 New accounting pronouncements in 2020

The IASB has issued the following new accounting pronouncements to be effective from 1 January 2020:

  • Amendments to IAS 1 and IAS 8 ‘Definition of Material’;

  • Amendment to IFRS 3 ‘Business Combinations’; and

  • Amendments to IFRS 9, IAS 39 and IFRS 7 ‘Interest Rate Benchmark Reform’.

The adoption of these pronouncements have had no significant impact on the Group financial statements.

9

B EARNINGS PERFORMANCE

B1 Analysis of performance by segment

B1.1 Segment results

2020 $m 2019 $m 2020 vs 2019 % 2019 $m
AER
CER

AER
CER
AER
Note Half year Half year
Half year

Half year
Half year
Full year


note (i)
note (i)




note (i)
note (i)

note (i)
Continuing operations:

Asia
Insurance operations 1,590 1,417
1,396

12%
14%
2,993

Asset management
143 133
130

8%
10%
283
Total Asia 1,733 1,550
1,526

12%
14%
3,276
US
Insurance operations (Jackson) 1,256 1,556
1,556

(19)%
(19)%
3,038

Asset management
10 16
16



(38)%
(38)%
32
Total US 1,266 1,572
1,572

(19)%
(19)%
3,070
Total segment profit 2,999 3,122
3,098

(4)%
(3)%
6,346
Other income and expenditure:

Investment return and other income
18 32
31

(44)%
(42)%
50
Interest payable on core structural borrowings (163) (293)
(286)



44%
43%
(516)

Corporate expenditurenote (ii)
(205)

(212)
(211)


3%
3%
(460)
Total other income and expenditure (350) (473)
(466)

26%
25%
(926)
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (108) (30)
(28)

(260)%
(286)%
(110)
Adjusted operating profit
B1.3
2,541 2,619
2,604

(3)%
(2)%
5,310

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on

shareholder-backed business
B1.2
(2,706) (1,455)
(1,445)

(86)%
(87)%
(3,203)
Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustmentsnote (iii) (18)

(22)
(21)




18%
14%
(43)

Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions
D1
846

17
20


n/a
n/a
(142)
Profit before tax attributable to shareholders 663 1,159
1,158

(43)%
(43)%
1,922
Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders'returns
B4
(129) (1)
1



n/a
n/a
31
Profit for the period from continuing operations 534 1,158
1,159

(54)%
(54)%
1,953
Discontinued UK and Europe operations’ profit after tax - 835
813

n/a
n/a
1,319
Re-measurement of discontinued operations on

demerger
- -
-

n/a
n/a
188
Cumulative exchange loss recycled from other

comprehensive income
- -
-
n/a
n/a
(2,668)
Profit (loss) for the period from discontinued

operations
- 835
813

n/a
n/a
(1,161)
Profit for the period 534 1,993
1,972

(73)%
(73)%
792
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the Company

From continuing operations
512 1,152
1,153

(56)%
(56)%
1,944

From discontinued operations
- 835
813



n/a
n/a
(1,161)

Non-controlling interests from continuing operations
22 6
6

267%
267%
9
534 1,993
1,972

(73)%
(73)%
792
Basic earnings per share (in cents) 2020 2019 2020 vs 2019 % 2019
AER AER
CER

AER
CER
AER
Note Half year Half year
Half year

Half year
Half year
Full year
B5
note (i)


note (i)
note (i)




note (i)
note (i)

note (i)
Based on adjusted operating profit, net of tax, from

continuing operationsnote (iv)
79.0¢ 84.5¢
84.3¢

(7)%
(6)%
175.0¢

Based on profit for the period from continuing operations
19.7 ¢ 44.6¢
44.8¢



(56)%
(56)%
75.1¢

Based on profit (loss) for the period from discontinued


operations
- 32.3¢
31.5¢
n/a
n/a
(44.8)¢

Notes

(i) For definitions of AER and CER refer to note A1.

(ii) Corporate expenditure as shown above is primarily for head office functions in London and Hong Kong.

(iii) Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments principally relate to the REALIC business of Jackson which was acquired in 2012. (iv) Tax charges have been reflected as operating and non-operating in the same way as for the pre-tax items. Further details on tax charges are provided in note B4.

10

B1.2 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Asia operationsnote (i) (448) 544
657

US operationsnote (ii)
(2,288) (1,968)
(3,757)

Other operations
30 (31)
(103)
Total (2,706) (1,455)
(3,203)

(i) Asia operations

In Asia, the negative short-term fluctuations of $(448) million (half year 2019: positive $544 million; full year 2019: positive $657 million) reflect the net value movements on shareholders’ assets and policyholder liabilities arising from market movements in the period. In half year 2020 falling interest rates in certain parts of Asia led to lower discount rates on policyholder liabilities under the local reserving basis applied, which were not fully offset by unrealised bond gains in the period. This together with the effect of falling equity markets led to the overall negative short-term investment fluctuations in Asia.

(ii) US operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns in the US are reported net of the related charge for amortisation of deferred acquisition costs (DAC) of $(50) million as shown in note C4.2 (half year 2019: credit of $616 million; full year 2019: credit of $1,248 million) and comprise amounts in respect of the following items:

$1,248 million) and comprise amounts in respect of the following items:
2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Net equity hedge resultnote (a) (4,378) (2,529)
(4,582)

Other than equity-related derivativesnote (b)
2,114 560
678

Debt securitiesnote (c)
175 14
156
Equity-type investments: actual less longer-term return (128) (9)
18

Other items
(71) (4)
(27)
Total net of relatedDAC amortisation (2,288) (1,968)
(3,757)

Notes

  • (a) The purpose of the inclusion of net equity hedge result in short-term fluctuations in investment returns is to segregate the amount included in pre-tax profit that relates to the accounting effect of market movements on both the value of guarantees in Jackson’s products including variable annuities and on the related derivatives used to manage the exposures inherent in these guarantees. The level of fees recognised in non-operating profit is determined by reference to that allowed for within the reserving basis. The variable annuity guarantees are valued in accordance with either Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 820, Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures or ASC Topic 944, Financial Services – Insurance depending on the type of guarantee. Both approaches require an entity to determine the total fee (‘the fee assessment’) that is expected to fund future projected benefit payments arising using the assumptions applicable for that method. The method under ASC Topic 820 requires this fee assessment to be fixed at the time of issue. As the fees included within the initial fee assessment are earned, they are included in non-operating profit to match the corresponding movement in the guarantee liability. Other guarantee fees are included in operating profit, which in half year 2020 was $350 million (half year 2019: $341 million; full year 2019: $699 million), pre-tax and net of related DAC amortisation. As the Group applies US GAAP for the measured value of the product guarantees, the net equity hedge result also includes asymmetric impacts where the measurement bases of the liabilities and associated derivatives used to manage the Jackson annuity business differ.

The net equity hedge result therefore includes significant accounting mismatches and other factors that do not represent the economic result. These other factors include:

  • The variable annuity guarantees and fixed indexed annuity embedded options being only partially fair valued under ‘grandfathered’ US GAAP;

  • – The interest rate exposure being managed through the other than equity-related derivative programme explained in note (b) below; and

  • Jackson’s management of its economic exposures for a number of other factors that are treated differently in the accounting frameworks such as future fees and assumed volatility levels.

The net equity hedge result can be summarised as follows:

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Fair value movements on equity hedge instruments (301) (3,190)
(5,314)

Accounting value movements on the variable and fixed indexed annuity guarantee

liabilities*
(4,503) 294
(22)
Fee assessments net of claim payments 426 367
754
Total net of related DAC amortisation (4,378) (2,529)
(4,582)
  - The value movement on the variable annuity guarantees and fixed indexed annuity options is discussed in the Group Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer’s report.
  • (b) The fluctuations for other than equity-related derivatives comprise the net effect of:

  • Fair value movements on free-standing, other than equity-related derivatives;

  • Fair value movements on the Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB) reinsurance asset that are not matched by movements in the underlying GMIB liability, which is not fair valued; and

  • Related amortisation of DAC.

The free-standing, other than equity-related derivatives, are held to manage interest rate exposures and durations within the general account and the variable annuity guarantees and fixed indexed annuity embedded options described in note (a) above. Accounting mismatches arise because of differences between the measurement basis and presentation of the derivatives, which are fair valued with movements recorded in the income statement, and the exposures they are intended to manage.

11

(c) Short-term fluctuations related to debt securities is analysed below:

2020 $m
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Credits (charges) in the period:

Losses on sales of impaired and deteriorating bonds
(148)
(24)
(28)

Bond write-downs
(31)
(1)
(15)
Recoveries/reversals 1
1
1
Total credits (charges) in the period (178)
(24)
(42)

Risk margin allowance deducted from adjusted operating profit*
55
54
109
(123)
30
67
Interest-related realised gains (losses):

Gains (losses) arising in the period†
369
42
220

Amortisation of gains and losses arising in current and prior periods to adjusted

operating profit
(67)
(59)
(129)
302
(17)
91
Related amortisation of deferred acquisition costs (4)
1
(2)
Total short-term fluctuations related to debt securities net of related DAC
amortisation 175 14
156
  • The debt securities of Jackson are held in the general account of the business. Realised gains and losses are recorded in the income statement with normalised returns included in adjusted operating profit with variations from period to period included in the short-term fluctuations category. The risk margin reserve charge for longer-term credit-related losses included in adjusted operating profit of Jackson for half year 2020 is based on an average annual risk margin reserve of 18 basis points (half year 2019: 18 basis points; full year 2019: 17 basis points) on average book values of $62.3 billion (half year 2019: $60.0 billion; full year 2019: $62.6 billion) as shown below:

Moody’s rating category (or equivalent under NAIC ratings of mortgage-backed securities)

Half year 2020 Half year 2020 Half year 2019 Half year 2019 Full year 2019 Full year 2019
Average
book
Annual
expected
Average
book
Annual
expected


Average
book
Annual
expected
value
RMR
loss
value
RMR
loss

value
RMR
loss
$m
%
$m
$m
%
$m

$m
%
$m
A3 or higher 39,118
0.10
(40)
34,318
0.10
(36)

38,811
0.10
(38)

Baa1, 2 or 3
21,521
0.24
(51)

24,385
0.23
(55)



22,365
0.24
(53)
Ba1, 2 or 3 1,383
0.74
(10)

1,008
0.93
(10)



1,094
0.85
(9)
B1, 2 or 3 200
2.39
(5)

246
2.62
(6)



223
2.56
(6)
Below B3 108
3.36
(4)

37
3.42
(1)



75
3.39
(3)
Total 62,330
0.18
(110)
59,994
0.18
(108)

62,568
0.17
(109)
Related amortisation of deferred acquisition costs 20 18 19
Risk margin reserve charge to adjusted operating

profit for longer-term credit-related losses
(90) (90) (90)
  • Excluding the realised gains that are part of the gain arising in respect of the reinsured Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd, as discussed in note D1.

In addition to the accounting for realised gains and losses described above for Jackson general account debt securities, included within the statement of other comprehensive income is a pre-tax gain of $2,253 million for net unrealised gains arising during the period on debt securities classified as available-for-sale net of related amortisation of deferred acquisition costs (half year 2019: gain of $2,826 million; full year 2019: gain of $3,392 million for net unrealised losses), together with a pre-tax loss of $(2,282) million for the recycling of the gains on transfer of debt securities to Athene (see note D1) to the income statement, net of related amortisation of deferred acquisition costs. Temporary market value movements do not reflect defaults or impairments. Additional details of the movement in the value of the Jackson portfolio are included in note C1.1.

12

B1.3 Determining operating segments and performance measure of operating segments

Operating segments

The Group's operating segments for financial reporting purposes are defined and presented in accordance with IFRS 8 ‘Operating Segments’ on the basis of the management reporting structure and its financial management information.

Under the Group's management and reporting structure, its chief operating decision maker is the Group Executive Committee (GEC). In the management structure, responsibility is delegated to the Chief Executive Officers of the Group’s Asia and US business units for the day-to-day management of their business units (within the framework set out in the Group Governance Manual). Financial management information used by the GEC aligns with these business segments. These operating segments derive revenue from both insurance and asset management activities.

Operations which do not form part of any business unit are reported as ‘Unallocated to a segment’. These include head office costs in London and Hong Kong. The Group’s Africa operations and treasury function do not form part of any operating segment under the structure, and their assets and liabilities and profit or loss before tax are not material to the overall financial position of the Group. The Group’s treasury function and Africa operations are therefore also reported as ‘Unallocated to a segment’.

Performance measure

The performance measure of operating segments utilised by the Company is adjusted IFRS operating profit based on longerterm investment returns (adjusted operating profit) , as described below. This measurement basis distinguishes adjusted operating profit from other constituents of total profit or loss for the period as follows:

  • Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business. This includes the impact of short-term market effects on the carrying value of Jackson’s guarantee liabilities and related derivatives as explained below;

  • Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments arising on the purchase of business. This comprises principally the charge for the adjustments arising on the purchase of REALIC in 2012; and

  • Gain or loss on corporate transactions, such as the effect of the Jackson’s reinsurance arrangement with Athene Life Re Ltd in half year 2020, disposals undertaken and costs connected to the demerger of M&G plc from Prudential plc in 2019.

The determination of adjusted operating profit for investment and liability movements is as described in note B1.3 of the Group’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2019.

For Group debt securities at 30 June 2020 held by the insurance operations in Asia and the US, the level of unamortised interest-related realised gains and losses related to previously sold bonds for the Group was a net gain of $1,301 million (30 June 2019: net gain of $738 million; 31 December 2019: net gain of $916 million).

For equity-type securities, the longer-term rates of return are estimates of the long-term trend investment returns for income and capital having regard to past performance, current trends and future expectations. Different rates apply to different categories of equity-type securities.

  • For Asia insurance operations, investments in equity securities held for non-linked shareholder-backed business amounted to $5,712 million as at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $2,904 million; 31 December 2019: $3,473 million). The longer-term rates of return applied in half year 2020 ranged from 4.6 per cent to 17.6 per cent (30 June 2019: 5.2 per cent to 17.6 per cent; 31 December 2019: 5.0 per cent to 17.6 per cent) with the rates applied varying by business unit.

  • For US insurance operations, as at 30 June 2020, the equity-type securities for non-separate account operations amounted to $1,854 million (30 June 2019: $1,499 million; 31 December 2019: $1,481 million). For these operations, the longer-term rates of return for income and capital applied in 2020 and 2019, which reflect the combination of the average risk-free rates over the period and appropriate risk premiums are as follows:

2020
2019
Half year
Half year
Full year
Equity-type securities such as common and preferred stock

and portfolio holdings in mutual funds
4.9% to 5.8%
6.0% to 6.7%
5.5% to 6.7%

Other equity-type securities such as investments in limited

partnerships andprivate equityfunds
6.9% to 7.8%
8.0% to 8.7%
7.5% to 8.7%

==> picture [514 x 39] intentionally omitted <==

13

B2 Acquisition costs and other expenditure

B2 Acquisition costs and other expenditure
2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Acquisition costs incurred for insurance policies (1,433) (2,109)
(4,177)

Acquisition costs deferrednote C4.2
614

625
1,422

Amortisation of acquisition costsnote (i)
(470) 376
694

Recoveries for expenses associated with Jackson’s business ceded to Athenenote (ii)
1,231 -
-
Administration costs and other expenditurenote (iii) (2,584) (2,291)
(5,019)

Movements in amounts attributable to external unit holders

of consolidated investment funds (390) (109)
(203)
Totalacquisitioncosts and otherexpenditure (3,032) (3,508)
(7,283)

Notes

(i) The charge of $(470) million in half year 2020 includes $(313) million arising in the US which includes $(764) million for the write-off of the deferred acquisition costs held for the in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities reinsured to Athene. Offsetting this amount is a credit of $814 million (half year 2019: $616 million; full year 2019: $1,248 million) recorded in non-operating profit largely as a result of the losses arising from market effects on variable annuity guarantee liabilities and associated hedging. (ii) As part of the reinsurance transaction with Athene Life Re Ltd discussed in note D1, Jackson received $1,231 million of ceding commission as a recovery for past acquisition expenses associated with the business ceded.

(iii) Included in total administration costs and other expenditure is depreciation of property, plant and equipment of $(109) million (half year 2019: $(107) million; full year 2019: $(224) million), of which $(72) million (half year 2019: $(66) million; full year 2019: $(141) million) relates to the right-of-use assets recognised under IFRS 16.

14

B3 Additional segmental analysis of revenue

Half year 2020 $m
Unallocated
Total to a Group
Asia US segment segment total
Gross premiums earned 10,890 8,892 19,782 60 19,842
Outward reinsurance premiumsnote (i) 50 (30,195) (30,145) (4) (30,149)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance 10,940 (21,303) (10,363) 56 (10,307)
Other incomenote (ii) 285 28 313 20 333
Total external revenue 11,225 (21,275) (10,050) 76 (9,974)
Intra-group revenue - 17 17 (17) -
Interest income 883 1,283 2,166 22 2,188
Other investment return 3,235 (1,575) 1,660 62 1,722
Total revenue,net of reinsurance 15,343 (21,550) (6,207) 143 (6,064)
Half year 2019 $m
Unallocated
Total to a Group
Asia US segment segment total
Gross premiums earned 11,458 9,588 21,046 35 21,081
Outward reinsurance premiums (499) (170) (669) (4) (673)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance 10,959 9,418 20,377 31 20,408
Other incomenote (ii) 228 14 242 16 258
Total external revenue 11,187 9,432 20,619 47 20,666
Intra-group revenue 21 31 52 (52) -
Interest income 805 1,460 2,265 27 2,292
Other investment return 8,826 20,732 29,558 23 29,581
Total revenue,net of reinsurance 20,839 31,655 52,494 45 52,539
Full year 2019 $m
Unallocated
Total to a Group
Asia US segment segment total
Gross premiums earned 23,757 21,209 44,966 98 45,064
Outward reinsurance premiums (1,108) (467) (1,575) (8) (1,583)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance 22,649 20,742 43,391 90 43,481
Other incomenote (ii) 548 61 609 91 700
Total external revenue 23,197 20,803 44,000 181 44,181
Intra-group revenue - 34 34 (34) -
Interest income 1,569 2,971 4,540 67 4,607
Other investment return 13,406 31,623 45,029 (81) 44,948
Total revenue,net of reinsurance 38,172 55,431 93,603 133 93,736

Notes

(i) In half year 2020, outward reinsurance premiums include $(30,150) million paid during the period in respect of the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd. See note D1 for further details. Also included in outward reinsurance premiums for half year 2020 is a credit of $542 million for the recapture of previously reinsured business in Asia.

(ii) Other income comprises income from external customers and consists primarily of revenue from the Group’s asset management business of $261 million (half year 2019: $198 million; full year 2019: $453 million). The remaining other income consists primarily of policy fee revenue from external customers.

15

B4 Tax charge

B4.1 Total tax charge by nature

The total tax charge in the income statement is as follows:

2020 $m 2019 $m
Current
Deferred
Half year
Half year
Full year
Tax charge tax
tax
Total
Total
Total
Attributable to shareholders:
Asia operations (103)
(127)
(230)
(244)
(468)

US operations
(70)
183
113
143
345

Other operations
(16)
4
(12)
100
154
Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders'returns (189)
60
(129)
(1)
31
Attributable to policyholders:

Asia operations
(69)
3
(66)
(285)
(365)
Total tax(charge) credit (258)
63
(195)
(286)
(334)

The principal reason for the increase in the tax charge attributable to shareholders’ returns is the losses arising in Other operations where, following the demerger of M&G plc, it is unlikely that relief will be available in future periods.

The principal reason for the decrease in the tax charge attributable to policyholders’ returns reflects the reduction in deferred tax liabilities in Singapore following the clarification of tax filing requirements.

B4.2 Reconciliation of shareholder effective tax rate

In the reconciliation below, the expected tax rates reflect the corporation tax rates that are expected to apply to the taxable profit or loss of the relevant business. Where there are profits or losses of more than one jurisdiction, the expected tax rates reflect the corporation tax rates weighted by reference to the amount of profit or loss contributing to the aggregate business result.

16

2020 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019
Half year Half year Full year
Total
Percentage
Total
Percentage
Total
Percentage
Asia
US
Other
attributable to

impact
attributable to

impact
attributable to

impact
operations
operations
operations
shareholders

on ETR


shareholders

on ETR

shareholders

on ETR
$m
$m
$m
$m
%

$m
%
$m
%
note (iv)
Adjusted operating

profit (loss)
1,733
1,266
(458)
2,541
2,619 5,310

Non-operating (loss)

profit
(450)
(1,458)
30
(1,878)
(1,460) (3,388)
Profit (loss) before tax 1,283
(192)
(428)
663
1,159 1,922
Expected tax rate: 20%
21%
18%
21%
Tax at the expected

rate
257
(40)
(77)
140
21.1%
232
20.0%
393
20.4%
Effects of recurring
tax reconciliation
items:
Income not taxable
or taxable at
concessionary rates
(31)
(14)
-
(45)
(6.8)%
(70)
(6.0)%
(126)
(6.6)%
Deductions not
allowable for tax
purposes
12
6
3
21
3.2%
26
2.2%
55
2.9%
Items related to
taxation of life
insurance
businessesnote (i)
7
(62)
-
(55)
(8.3)%
(179)
(15.4)%
(317)
(16.5)%
Deferred tax
adjustments
3
-
-
3
0.5%
(12)
(1.0)%
(33)
(1.7)%
Unrecognised tax

lossesnote (ii)
-
-
72
72
10.9%
-
-
46
2.4%
Effect of results of
joint ventures and

associates
(31)
-
(6)
(37)
(5.6)%
(35)
(3.0)%
(100)
(5.2)%
Irrecoverable
withholding taxes
-
-
26
26
3.9%
27
2.3%
59
3.1%

Other
3
13
(6)
10
1.5%
5
0.4%
13
0.7%
Total
(37)
(57)
89
(5)
(0.7)%
(238)
(20.5)%
(403)
(20.9)%
Effects of non-
recurring tax

reconciliation items:
Adjustments to tax
charge in relation to

prior years
21
-
-
21
3.1%
20
1.7%
(67)
(3.5)%
Movements in
provisions for open

tax mattersnote (iii)
(12)
-
-
(12)
(1.8)%
8
0.7%
(1)
0.0%
Demerger related

activities
-
-
-
-
-
4
0.4%
76
4.1%
Impact of carry back

of US losses
-
(16)
-
(16)
(2.4)%
-
-
-
-
Impact of changes
in local statutory tax

rates

1
-
-
1
0.2%
-
-
-
-
Adjustments in
relation to business
disposals -
-
-
-
-
(25)
(2.2)%
(29)
(1.4)%
Total 10
(16)
-
(6)
(0.9)%
7
0.6%
(21)
(1.1)%
Total actual tax charge

(credit)

230
(113)
12
129
19.5%
1
0.1%
(31)
(1.6)%
Analysed into:
Tax on adjusted

operating profit (loss)

260
195
12
467
430 773
Tax on non-operating

(loss) profit

(30)
(308)
-
(338)
(429) (804)
Actual tax rate on:
Adjusted operating

profit (loss):

Including non-
recurring tax

reconciling items
15%
15%
(3)%
18%
16% 15%
Excluding non-
recurring tax

reconciling items
14%
15%
(3)%
18%
16% 15%

Totalprofit (loss)
18%
59%
(3)%
19%
0% (2)%

Notes

(i) The $62 million reconciling item in US operations reflects the impact of the dividend received deduction on the taxation of profits from variable annuity business. The $7 million adverse reconciling item in Asia operations reflects non tax deductible investment related marked-to-market losses.

17

(ii) The $72 million adverse reconciling item in unrecognised tax losses reflects losses arising where it is unlikely that relief for the losses will be available in future periods.

(iii) The statement of financial position contains the following provisions in relation to open tax matters.

Half year 2020 $m
At beginning of period
198

Movements in the current period included in tax charge attributable to shareholders
(12)

Provisions utilised in the period
(34)

Other movements
(3)*
At end ofperiod
149
  • Other movements include interest arising on open tax matters and amounts included in the Group’s share of profits from joint ventures and associates, net of related tax.

(iv) Half year and full year 2019 actual tax rate of the relevant business operations are shown below:

Half year 2019 % Full year 2019 %
Total Total
Asia
US
Other
attributable to
Asia
US
Other
attributable to
operations
operations
operations
shareholders
operations
operations
operations
shareholders
Tax rate on adjusted operating

profit (loss)
14%
17%
10%
16%

13%
14%
10%
15%

Tax rate on profit (loss) before

tax
10%
35%
13%
0%

11%
48%
10%
(2)%

18

B5 Earnings per share

B5 Earnings per share
Half year 2020
Net of tax
Non- and non- Basic Diluted
Before controlling
controlling
earnings earnings
tax Tax interests
interests
per share per share
$m $m $m
$m
cents cents
Based on adjusted operating profit 2,541 (467) (22)
2,052
79.0¢ 79.0¢
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on
shareholder-backed business (2,706) 513 -
(2,193)
(84.4)¢ (84.4)¢
Amortisation of acquisition accounting
adjustments (18) 3 -
(15)
(0.6)¢ (0.6)¢
Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions 846 (178) - 668 25.7¢ 25.7¢
Based onprofitforthe period 663 (129) (22) 512 19.7¢ 19.7¢
Half year 2019
Net of tax
Non- and non- Basic Diluted
Before controlling controlling earnings earnings
tax Tax interests interests per share per share
$m $m $m $m cents cents
Based on adjusted operating profit 2,619 (430) (6) 2,183 84.5¢ 84.5¢
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on
shareholder-backed business (1,455) 407 - (1,048) (40.6)¢ (40.6)¢
Amortisation of acquisition accounting
adjustments (22) 4 - (18) (0.7)¢ (0.7)¢
Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions 17 18 - 35 1.4¢ 1.4¢
Based on profit for the period from continuing
operations 1,159 (1) (6) 1,152 44.6¢ 44.6¢
Based on profit for the period from discontinued
operations 835 32.3¢ 32.3¢
Based on profit for the period 1,987 76.9¢ 76.9¢
Full year 2019
Net of tax
Non- and non- Basic Diluted
Before controlling
controlling
earnings earnings
tax Tax interests
interests
per share per share
$m $m $m
$m
cents cents
Based on adjusted operating profit 5,310 (773) (9)
4,528
175.0¢ 175.0¢
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on
shareholder-backed business (3,203) 772 -
(2,431)
(94.0)¢ (94.0)¢
Amortisation of acquisition accounting
adjustments (43) 8 -
(35)
(1.3)¢ (1.3)¢
Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions (142) 24 - (118) (4.6)¢ (4.6)¢
Based on profit for the year from continuing
operations 1,922 31 (9) 1,944 75.1¢ 75.1¢
Based on loss for the year from discontinued
operations (1,161) (44.8)¢ (44.8)¢
Based on profit for the year 783 30.3¢ 30.3¢

Earnings per share are calculated based on earnings attributable to ordinary shareholders, after related tax and non-controlling interests.

The weighted average number of shares for calculating earnings per share, which excludes those held in employee share trusts and consolidated investment funds, is set out as below:

Number of shares (in millions) Number of shares (in millions)
2020 2019
Weighted average number of shares for calculation of: Half year Half year
Full year
Basic earnings per share 2,596 2,583
2,587

Shares under option at end of period
2 4
4

Shares that would have been issued at fair value on assumed option price
(2) (3)
(4)
Diluted earningsper share 2,596 2,584
2,587

19

B6 Dividends

B6
Dividends
Half year 2020 Half year 2019 Full year 2019
Cents per share
$m
Cents per share
$m
Cents per share
$m
Dividends relating to reporting period:

First interim ordinary dividend
5.37¢
140
20.29¢
526
20.29¢
528

Second interim ordinary dividend
-
-
-
-
25.97¢
675
Total 5.37¢
140
20.29¢
526
46.26¢
1,203
Dividends paid in reporting period:

Current year first interim ordinary

dividend
-
-
-
-
20.29¢
526
Second interim ordinary dividend for

prior year
25.97¢
674
42.89¢
1,108
42.89¢
1,108
Total 25.97¢
674
42.89¢
1,108
63.18¢
1,634

In addition to the dividends shown in the table above, on 21 October 2019, following approval by the Group’s shareholders, Prudential plc demerged its UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) via a dividend in specie of $7,379 million.

Dividend per share

The 2020 first interim dividend of 5.37 cents per ordinary share will be paid on 28 September 2020 to shareholders in the UK on the register at 6.00pm BST and to shareholders on the Hong Kong branch register at 4.30pm Hong Kong time on 21 August 2020 (Record Date). Shareholders holding shares on the UK or Hong Kong share registers will continue to receive their dividend payments in either pounds sterling or Hong Kong dollars respectively, unless they elect otherwise. Shareholders holding shares on the UK or Hong Kong registers may elect to receive dividend payments in US dollars. Elections must be made through the relevant UK or Hong Kong share registrar on or before 7 September and 11 September 2020 respectively. The corresponding amount per share in pounds sterling and Hong Kong dollars is expected to be announced on or about 17 September 2020.The US dollar to pound sterling and Hong Kong dollar conversion rates will be determined by the actual rates achieved by Prudential buying those currencies during the two working days preceding the subsequent announcement. Holders of US American Depositary Receipts (US Shareholders) will be paid their dividends in US dollars on or about 28 September 2020. The 2020 first interim dividend will be paid on or about 5 October 2020 to shareholders with shares standing to the credit of their securities accounts with The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP) at 5.00pm Singapore time on the Record Date (SG Shareholders). The exchange rate at which the dividend payable to the SG Shareholders will be translated from US dollars into Singapore dollars, will be determined by CDP.

Shareholders on the UK register are eligible to participate in a Dividend Reinvestment Plan.

20

C FINANCIAL POSITION

C1 Group assets and liabilities by business type

The analysis below is structured to show the investments and other assets and liabilities of the Group by reference to the differing degrees of policyholder and shareholder economic interest of the different types of business.

The Group has streamlined its disclosures relating to the investments, other assets and liabilities of the Group in these condensed consolidated financial statements, including combining various disclosures into a single section within this note and further analysis of the categories of debt securities. The 2019 comparative information, in particular that relating to investments, has been re-presented from previously published information to conform to the current period’s format and the altered approach to credit ratings analysis described below.

Debt securities are analysed below according to the issuing government for sovereign debt and to credit ratings for the rest of the securities.

In 2020, to align more closely with the internal risk management analysis, the Group altered the compilation of its credit ratings analysis to use the middle of the Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch ratings, where available. Where ratings are not available from these rating agencies, NAIC ratings (for the US), local external rating agencies’ ratings and lastly internal ratings have been used. Securities with none of the ratings listed above are classified as unrated and included under the ‘below BBB- and unrated’ category. The total securities (excluding sovereign debt) that were unrated at 30 June 2020 were $788 million (30 June 2019: $794 million; 31 December 2019: $648 million). Previously, Standard & Poor’s ratings were used where available and if not, Moody’s and then Fitch were used as alternatives. Additionally, government debt is shown separately from the rating breakdowns in order to provide a more focused view of the credit portfolio.

In the table below, AAA is the highest possible rating. Investment grade financial assets are classified within the range of AAA to BBB- ratings. Financial assets which fall outside this range are classified as below BBB-.

21

30 Jun 2020 $m
Asia insurance
With
-profits
Unit-
linked
assets
and
Other
Asia
Asset
manage-
Elimina-
Total
Unallocated
Elimination
of intra-group
debtors
and
Group
business
liabilities
business
ment
tions
Asia
US
to a segment
creditors
total

note (i)
note (ii)
Debt securitiesnote (ix), note C1.1
Sovereign debt

Indonesia
381
580
455
-
-
1,416
-
-
-
1,416
Singapore 2,788
525
904
88
-
4,305
-
-
-
4,305

Thailand
-
-
1,567
16
-
1,583
-
-
-
1,583
United Kingdom -
7
-
-
-
7
-
154
-
161

United States
24,656
23
2,356
-
-
27,035
5,371
-
-
32,406
Vietnam -
14
2,789
-
-
2,803
-
-
-
2,803
Other (predominantly Asia) 1,816
687
3,216
13
-
5,732
19
140
-
5,891
Subtotal 29,641
1,836
11,287
117
-
42,881
5,390
294
-
48,565
Other government bonds

AAA
1,464
103
479
-
-
2,046
447
-
-
2,493
AA+ to AA- 353
34
101
-
-
488
519
-
-
1,007
A+ to A- 524
113
226
-
-
863
191
-
-
1,054
BBB+ to BBB- 466
88
248
8
-
810
2
-
-
812
Below BBB-and unrated 104
17
331
-
-
452
-
1
-
453
Subtotal 2,911
355
1,385
8
-
4,659
1,159
1
-
5,819
Corporate bonds

AAA
1,122
270
504
-
-
1,896
265
-
-
2,161
AA+ to AA- 1,575
273
1,712
2
-
3,562
973
-
-
4,535
A+ to A- 6,670
808
4,723
-
-
12,201
11,792
-
-
23,993
BBB+ to BBB- 7,806
1,043
3,389
-
-
12,238
14,036
-
-
26,274
Below BBB-and unrated 2,835
655
945
3
-
4,438
2,046
7
-
6,491
Subtotal 20,008
3,049
11,273
5
-
34,335
29,112
7
-
63,454
Asset-backed securities
AAA 108
16
23
-
-
147
2,227
-
-
2,374
AA+ to AA- 36
6
8
-
-
50
184
-
-
234
A+ to A- 17
-
25
-
-
42
575
-
-
617
BBB+ to BBB- 15
-
10
-
-
25
193
-
-
218
Below BBB-and unrated 6
-
-
-
-
6
175
-
-
181
Subtotal 182
22
66
-
-
270
3,354
-
-
3,624
Total debt securities 52,742
5,262
24,011
130
-
82,145
39,015
302
-
121,462
Loans
Mortgage loansnote C1.2 -
-
158
-
-
158
8,119
-
-
8,277

Policy loans
1,189
-
324
-
-
1,513
4,705
8
-
6,226

Other loans
389
-
18
-
-
407
-
-
-
407
Total loans 1,578
-
500
-
-
2,078
12,824
8
-
14,910
Equity securities and holdings in

collective investment schemes
Direct equities 14,493
10,345
1,537
56
-
26,431
263
4
-
26,698

Collective investment schemes
13,455
6,097
4,175
10
-
23,737
36
7
-
23,780
US separate account assetsnote (iii) -
-
-
-
-
-
184,220
-
-
184,220
Total equity securities and holdings in

collective investment schemes
27,948
16,442
5,712
66
-
50,168
184,519
11
-
234,698
Other financial investmentsnote (iv) 991
572
1,817
97
-
3,477
3,827
75
-
7,379
Total financial Investments 83,259
22,276
32,040
293
-
137,868
240,185
396
-
378,449
Investment properties -
-
7
-
-
7
7
9
-
23

Investments in joint ventures and

associates accounted for using the

equity method
-
-
1,268
239
-
1,507
-
-
-
1,507

Cash and cash equivalents
913
599
1,242
132
-
2,886
2,493
3,005
-
8,384

Reinsurers' share of insurance contract
liabilitiesnote (v) 211
-
8,709
-
-
8,920
35,993
5
-
44,918
Other assetsnote (vi) 1,954
482
8,051
799
(33)
11,253
17,942
3,828
(3,139)
29,884
Total assets 86,337
23,357
51,317
1,463
(33)
162,441
296,620
7,243
(3,139)
463,165
Shareholders' equity -
-
10,535
994
-
11,529
8,955
(1,374)
-
19,110

Non-controlling interests
-
-
2
159
-
161
-
36
-
197
Total equity -
-
10,537
1,153
-
11,690
8,955
(1,338)
-
19,307
Contract liabilities and unallocated
surplus of with-profits fundsnote (iii) 76,647
21,376
33,541
-
-
131,564
265,655
217
-
397,436

Core structural borrowings
-
-
-
-
-
-
250
6,249
-
6,499

Operational borrowings
243
15
111
25
-
394
1,212
639
-
2,245

Other liabilitiesnote (vii)
9,447
1,966
7,128
285
(33)
18,793
20,548
1,476
(3,139)
37,678
Total liabilities 86,337
23,357
40,780
310
(33)
150,751
287,665
8,581
(3,139)
443,858
Total equity and liabilities 86,337
23,357
51,317
1,463
(33)
162,441
296,620
7,243
(3,139)
463,165

22

30 Jun 2019 $m
Asia insurance
With
-profits
Unit-
linked
assets
and
Other
Asia
Asset
manage-
Elimina-
Total
Unallocated
Discontinued
Elimination
of intra-
group
debtors
and
Group
business
liabilities
business
ment
tions
Asia
US
to a segment
operations
creditors
total
note (i)
note (ii)
Debt securitiesnote (ix), note C1.1
Sovereign debt

Indonesia
184
516
445
-
-
1,145
-
-
-
-
1,145
Singapore 2,188
376
649
47
-
3,260
-
-
-
-
3,260

Thailand
-
-
1,407
-
-
1,407
-
-
-
-
1,407
United Kingdom -
6
-
-
-
6
-
1,248
-
-
1,254

United States
16,617
18
2,162
-
-
18,797
6,022
-
-
-
24,819
Vietnam 1
13
2,479
-
-
2,493
-
-
-
-
2,493
Other (predominantly Asia) 2,314
638
2,488
15
-
5,455
9
74
-
-
5,538
Subtotal 21,304
1,567
9,630
62
-
32,563
6,031
1,322
-
-
39,916
Other government bonds

AAA
1,658
44
440
-
-
2,142
966
-
-
-
3,108
AA+ to AA- 176
8
88
-
-
272
493
-
-
-
765
A+ to A- 826
136
319
-
-
1,281
262
-
-
-
1,543
BBB+ to BBB- 316
72
357
-
-
745
4
-
-
-
749
Below BBB-and unrated 22
4
341
-
-
367
-
-
-
-
367
Subtotal 2,998
264
1,545
-
-
4,807
1,725
-
-
-
6,532
Corporate bonds

AAA
700
179
550
-
-
1,429
362
262
-
-
2,053
AA+ to AA- 1,769
527
1,735
-
-
4,031
1,498
169
-
-
5,698
A+ to A- 5,464
536
4,480
-
-
10,480
17,184
182
-
-
27,846
BBB+ to BBB- 5,577
893
2,898
-
-
9,368
23,042
25
-
-
32,435
Below BBB-and unrated 2,669
595
454
-
-
3,718
2,091
6
-
-
5,815
Subtotal 16,179
2,730
10,117
-
-
29,026
44,177
644
-
-
73,847
Asset-backed securities
AAA 231
22
91
-
-
344
3,357
401
-
-
4,102
AA+ to AA- 53
3
16
-
-
72
694
-
-
-
766
A+ to A- 20
-
21
-
-
41
1,024
-
-
-
1,065
BBB+ to BBB- -
-
-
-
-
-
335
-
-
-
335
Below BBB-and unrated 22
-
7
-
-
29
264
-
-
-
293
Subtotal 326
25
135
-
-
486
5,674
401
-
-
6,561
Total debt securities 40,807
4,586
21,427
62
-
66,882
57,607
2,367
-
-
126,856
Loans
Mortgage loansnote C1.2 -
-
179
-
-
179
9,655
-
-
-
9,834

Policy loans
996
-
296
-
-
1,292
4,692
-
-
-
5,984

Other loans
80
-
19
-
-
99
-
8
-
-
107
Total loans 1,076
-
494
-
-
1,570
14,347
8
-
-
15,925
Equity securities and holdings in
collective investment schemes
Direct equities 15,316
13,100
1,386
-
-
29,802
160
65
-
-
30,027

Collective investment schemes
11,890
5,223
1,518
52
-
18,683
128
2
-
-
18,813
US separate account assetsnote (iii)
-
-
-
-
-
-
184,917
-
-
-
184,917
Total equity securities and holdings

in collective investment schemes

27,206
18,323
2,904
52
-
48,485
185,205
67
-
-
233,757
Other financial investmentsnote (iv) 511
626
800
93
-
2,030
2,342
301
-
-
4,673
Total financial Investments 69,600
23,535
25,625
207
-
118,967
259,501
2,743
-
-
381,211
Investment properties -
-
7
-
-
7
7
-
-
-
14

Investments in joint ventures and

associates accounted for using the

equity method
-
-
1,092
219
-
1,311
-
-
-
-
1,311

Cash and cash equivalents
680
509
1,500
139
-
2,828
1,506
2,294
-
-
6,628

Reinsurers' share of insurance
contract liabilitiesnote (v) 105
-
4,502
-
-
4,607
8,308
4
-
-
12,919
Assets held for distributionnote (viii) -
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
281,427
(3,566)
277,861
Otherassetsnote (vi) 3,288
401
6,572
542
(44)
10,759
16,416
3,269
-
(4,443)
26,001
Total assets 73,673
24,445
39,298
1,107
(44)
138,479
285,738
8,310
281,427
(8,009)
705,945
Shareholders' equity -
-
9,005
722
-
9,727
8,594
(3,822)
10,538
-
25,037

Non-controlling interests
-
-
2
15
-
17
-
12
-
-
29
Total equity -
-
9,007
737
-
9,744
8,594
(3,810)
10,538
-
25,066
Contract liabilities and unallocated
surplus of with-profits fundsnote (iii) 65,004
22,392
23,470
-
-
110,866
257,279
61
-
(1,526)
366,680

Core structural borrowings
-
-
-
-
-
-
250
9,220
-
-
9,470

Operational borrowings
303
46
112
17
-
478
1,017
926
-
-
2,421

Liabilities held for distributionnote (viii)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
270,889
(1,857)
269,032
Other liabilitiesnote (vii) 8,367
2,007
6,709
353
(45)
17,391
18,598
1,913
-
(4,626)
33,276
Total liabilities 73,674
24,445
30,291
370
(45)
128,735
277,144
12,120
270,889
(8,009)
680,879
Total equity and liabilities 73,674
24,445
39,298
1,107
(45)
138,479
285,738
8,310
281,427
(8,009)
705,945

23

31 Dec 2019 $m

31 Dec 2019 $m
Asia insurance
With
-profits
Unit-
linked
assets
and
Other
Asia
Asset
manage-
Elimina-
Total
Unallocated
Elimination
of intra-group
debtors
and
Group
business
liabilities
business
ment
tions
Asia
US
to a segment
creditors
total

note (i)
note (ii)
Debt securitiesnote (ix), note C1.1
Sovereign debt

Indonesia
222
610
488
-
-
1,320
-
-
-
1,320
Singapore 3,514
554
708
94
-
4,870
-
-
-
4,870

Thailand
-
-
1,398
19
-
1,417
-
-
-
1,417
United Kingdom -
7
-
-
-
7
-
615
-
622

United States
20,479
113
2,827
-
-
23,419
6,160
597
-
30,176
Vietnam 1
15
2,900
-
-
2,916
-
-
-
2,916
Other (predominantly Asia) 1,745
665
2,809
13
-
5,232
9
116
-
5,357
Subtotal 25,961
1,964
11,130
126
-
39,181
6,169
1,328
-
46,678
Other government bonds

AAA
1,752
81
538
-
-
2,371
977
-
-
3,348
AA+ to AA- 135
8
78
-
-
221
495
-
-
716
A+ to A- 890
159
389
-
-
1,438
245
-
-
1,683
BBB+ to BBB- 356
88
201
-
-
645
4
-
-
649
Below BBB-and unrated 31
9
381
-
-
421
-
2
-
423
Subtotal 3,164
345
1,587
-
-
5,096
1,721
2
-
6,819
Corporate bonds

AAA
732
384
516
-
-
1,632
341
-
-
1,973
AA+ to AA- 1,574
441
1,908
-
-
3,923
1,566
-
-
5,489
A+ to A- 5,428
542
5,063
-
-
11,033
17,784
-
-
28,817
BBB+ to BBB- 5,443
883
3,497
-
-
9,823
22,775
-
-
32,598
Below BBB-and unrated 2,111
569
781
3
-
3,464
2,157
2
-
5,623
Subtotal 15,288
2,819
11,765
3
-
29,875
44,623
2
-
74,500
Asset-backed securities
AAA 236
19
104
-
-
359
3,658
-
-
4,017
AA+ to AA- 132
6
46
-
-
184
780
-
-
964
A+ to A- 1
-
14
-
-
15
1,006
-
-
1,021
BBB+ to BBB- -
-
-
-
-
-
359
-
-
359
Below BBB-and unrated -
-
-
-
-
-
212
-
-
212
Subtotal 369
25
164
-
-
558
6,015
-
-
6,573
Total debt securities 44,782
5,153
24,646
129
-
74,710
58,528
1,332
-
134,570
Loans
Mortgage loansnote C1.2 -
-
165
-
-
165
9,904
-
-
10,069

Policy loans
1,089
-
316
-
-
1,405
4,707
9
-
6,121

Other loans
374
-
19
-
-
393
-
-
-
393
Total loans 1,463
-
500
-
-
1,963
14,611
9
-
16,583
Equity securities and holdings in

collective investment schemes
Direct equities 14,143
12,440
1,793
59
-
28,435
150
4
-
28,589

Collective investment schemes
15,230
6,652
1,680
14
-
23,576
40
6
-
23,622
US separate account assetsnote (iii) -
-
-
-
-
-
195,070
-
-
195,070
Total equity securities and holdings in

collective investment schemes
29,373
19,092
3,473
73
-
52,011
195,260
10
-
247,281
Other financial investmentsnote (iv) 963
383
1,363
106
-
2,815
2,791
56
-
5,662
Total financial Investments 76,581
24,628
29,982
308
-
131,499
271,190
1,407
-
404,096
Investment properties -
-
7
-
-
7
7
11
-
25

Investments in joint ventures and

associates accounted for using the

equity method
-
-
1,263
237
-
1,500
-
-
-
1,500

Cash and cash equivalents
963
356
1,015
156
-
2,490
1,960
2,515
-
6,965

Reinsurers' share of insurance contract
liabilitiesnote (v) 152
-
5,306
-
-
5,458
8,394
4
-
13,856
Other assetsnote (vi) 1,277
237
6,983
826
(35)
9,288
17,696
3,440
(2,652)
27,772
Total assets 78,973
25,221
44,556
1,527
(35)
150,242
299,247
7,377
(2,652)
454,214
Shareholders' equity -
-
9,801
1,065
-
10,866
8,929
(318)
-
19,477

Non-controlling interests
-
-
2
153
-
155
-
37
-
192
Total equity -
-
9,803
1,218
-
11,021
8,929
(281)
-
19,669
Contract liabilities and unallocated
surplus of with-profits fundsnote (iii) 70,308
23,571
26,814
-
-
120,693
269,549
186
-
390,428

Core structural borrowings
-
-
-
-
-
-
250
5,344
-
5,594

Operational borrowings
302
21
123
27
-
473
1,501
671
-
2,645

Other liabilitiesnote (vii)
8,363
1,629
7,816
282
(35)
18,055
19,018
1,457
(2,652)
35,878
Total liabilities 78,973
25,221
34,753
309
(35)
139,221
290,318
7,658
(2,652)
434,545
Total equity and liabilities 78,973
25,221
44,556
1,527
(35)
150,242
299,247
7,377
(2,652)
454,214

24

Notes

  • (i) The with-profits business of Asia comprises the with-profits assets and liabilities of the Hong Kong, Malaysia and Singapore operations. ‘Other business’ includes assets and liabilities of other participating businesses and other non-linked shareholder-backed business.

  • (ii) Further analysis of the shareholders’ equity by business type of the US operations is provided below:

30 Jun 2020 $m 2019 $m
Asset 30 Jun
31 Dec
Insurance
management
Total

Total
Total
Shareholders' equity 8,943
12
8,955

8,594
8,929
  • (iii) The US separate account assets comprise investments in mutual funds attaching to the variable annuity business that are held in the separate account. The related liabilities are reported in contract liabilities at an amount equal to the separate account assets.

  • (iv) Other financial investments comprise derivative assets, other investments and deposits.

  • (v) Reinsurers’ share of contract liabilities includes the reinsurance ceded in respect of the acquired REALIC business by the Group’s US insurance operations and at 30 June 2020 also includes amounts ceded in respect of the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s inforce fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd, as discussed in note D1.

  • (vi) Of total ‘Other assets’ at 30 June 2020, there are:

  • Property, plant and equipment (PPE) of $964 million (30 June 2019: $999 million; 31 December 2019: $1,065 million). During the period, the Group made additions of $51 million of PPE (half year 2019: $107 million; full year 2019: $160 million), of which $8 million relates to right-of-use assets (half year 2019: $86 million; full year 2019: $96 million).

  • Premiums receivable of $778 million (30 June 2019: $718 million; 31 December 2019: $794 million), of which $734 million (30 June 2019: $652 million; 31 December 2019: $738 million) are due within one year.

  • (vii) Within ’Other liabilities’ at 30 June 2020 is accruals, deferred income and other liabilities of $16,209 million (30 June 2019: $13,487 million; 31 December 2019: $14,488 million), of which $11,213 million (30 June 2019: $8,555 million; 31 December 2019: $9,172 million) are due within one year.

  • (viii) Assets and liabilities held for distribution at 30 June 2019 related to the Group’s UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) which were demerged in October 2019.

  • (ix) The credit ratings, information or data contained in this report which are attributed and specifically provided by Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch Solutions and their respective affiliates and suppliers (‘Content Providers’) is referred to here as the ‘Content’. Reproduction of any Content in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the relevant party. The Content Providers do not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness, timeliness or availability of any Content and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such Content. The Content Providers expressly disclaim liability for any damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content. A reference to a particular investment or security, a rating or any observation concerning an investment that is part of the Content is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any such investment or security, nor does it address the suitability of an investment or security and should not be relied on as investment advice.

C1.1 Additional analysis of debt securities

This note provides additional analysis of the Group’s debt securities. With the exception of certain debt securities classified as ‘available-for-sale’ under IAS 39, which primarily relate to US insurance operations as disclosed below, the Group’s debt securities are carried at fair value through profit or loss.

(a) Holdings by consolidated investment funds of the Group

Of the $121,462 million of Group’s debt securities at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $126,856 million; 31 December 2019: $134,570 million), the following amounts were held by the consolidated investment funds of the Group:

30 Jun 2020 $m 2019 $m
Asia
US
Group total
30 Jun
31 Dec
Debt securities held byconsolidated investment funds 17,219
1,244
18,463
21,914
22,113

(b) Additional analysis of US debt securities

Debt securities for US operations included in the statement of financial position comprise:

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Available-for-sale 37,597 56,225
57,091
Fair value through profit and loss 1,418 1,382
1,437
Total US debt securities 39,015 57,607
58,528

The corporate bonds held by the US insurance operations comprise:

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Publicly traded and SEC Rule 144A securities* 21,215 34,895
34,781

Non-SEC Rule 144A securities
7,897 9,282
9,842
TotalUS corporate bonds 29,112 44,177
44,623
  • A 1990 SEC rule that facilitates the resale of privately placed securities under Rule 144A that are without SEC registration to qualified institutional investors. The rule was designed to develop a more liquid and efficient institutional resale market for unregistered securities.

25

(c) Movements in unrealised gains and losses on Jackson available-for-sale debt securities

The movement in the statement of financial position value for debt securities classified as available-for-sale from a net unrealised gain of $3,496 million at 31 December 2019 to a net unrealised gain of $3,219 million at 30 June 2020 is analysed in the table below.

Changes in unrealised
appreciation reflected in
Changes in unrealised
appreciation reflected in

other comprehensive income
Gains recycled to
income statement on
transfer of debt
Unrealised
gains (losses)
arising in
30 Jun 2020 $m
securities to Athene

the period
31 Dec 2019 $m

note D1
Assets fair valued at below book value
Book value
2,188*
3,121
Unrealised gain (loss)
(109)
(82
)
(27)
Fair value (as included in statement of financial position)
2,079
3,094
Assets fair valued at or above book value
Book value
32,190*
50,474
Unrealised gain (loss)
3,328
(2,817)
2,622
3,523
Fair value (as included in statement of financial position)
35,518
53,997
Total
Book value
34,378*
53,595
Net unrealised gain (loss)
3,219
(2,817)
2,540
3,496
Fair value (as included in the footnote above in the

overviewtable and the statement of financialposition)
37,597
57,091
  • Book value represents cost or amortised cost of the debt securities.

Jackson debt securities classified as available-for-sale in an unrealised loss position

(i) Fair value of securities as a percentage of book value The following table shows the fair value of the debt securities in a gross unrealised loss position for various percentages of book value:

30 Jun 2020 $m 30 Jun 2019 $m 31 Dec 2019 $m
Fair
Unrealised

Fair
Unrealised
Fair
Unrealised
value
loss

value
loss
value
loss
Between 90% and 100% 1,871
(62)

2,827
(41)
3,083
(25)
Between 80% and 90% 111
(17)

48
(7)
11
(2)
Below 80% 97
(30)

40
(15)
-
-
Total 2,079
(109)
2,915
(63)
3,094
(27)

(ii) Unrealised losses by maturity of security

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
1 year to 5 years (30) (3)
(1)

5 years to 10 years
(39) (13)
(12)

More than 10 years
(20) (24)
(7)

Mortgage-backed and other debt securities
(20) (23)
(7)
Total (109) (63)
(27)

(iii) Age analysis of unrealised losses for the periods indicated

The following table shows the age analysis of all the unrealised losses in the portfolio by reference to the length of time the securities have been in an unrealised loss position:

30 Jun 2020 $m 30 Jun 2019 $m 31 Dec 2019 $m
Non-
investment
Investment
Non-
investment
Investment
Non-
investment
Investment
Age analysis grade
grade
Total*
grade
grade
Total*
grade
grade
Total*
Less than 6 months (24)
(80)
(104)

(1)
(5)
(6)

(1)
(20)
(21)
6 months to 1 year (3)
(1)
(4)




(1)
(18)
(19)





(1)
(1)
(2)

1 year to 2 years
-
-
-



(1)
(11)
(12)





-
(1)
(1)

2 years to 3 years
(1)
-
(1)




-
(13)
(13)




-
(1)
(1)

More than 3 years
-
-
-

-
(13)
(13)




-
(2)
(2)
Total (28)
(81)
(109)
(3)
(60)
(63)
(2)
(25)
(27)
  • For Standard and Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch rated debt securities, those with ratings range from AAA to BBB- are designated as investment grade. For NAIC rated debt securities, those with ratings 1 or 2 are designated as investment grade.

Further, the following table shows the age analysis of the securities whose fair values were below 80 per cent of the book value:

30 Jun 2020 $m 30 Jun 2019 $m 31 Dec 2019 $m
Fair
Unrealised

Fair
Unrealised
Fair
Unrealised
Age analysis value
loss

value
loss
value
loss
Less than 3 months 60
(17)

33
(13)

-
-
3 months to 6 months 37
(13)


7
(2)


-
-
Total below 80% 97
(30)
40
(15)
-
-

26

(d) Asset-backed securities The Group’s holdings in asset-backed securities (ABS) comprise residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), collateralised debt obligations (CDO) funds and other asset-backed securities.

The US operations’ exposure to asset-backed securities comprises:

The US operations’ exposure to asset-backed securities comprises:
2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
RMBS
Sub-prime (30 Jun 2020: 2% AAA) 35 112
93

Alt-A (30 Jun 2020: 35% AAA, 39% A)
14 129
116

Prime including agency (30 Jun 2020: 85% AAA, 6% AA, 5% A)
263 736
862

CMBS (30 Jun 2020: 86% AAA, 5% AA, 3% A)
1,646 2,884
3,080

CDO funds (30 Jun 2020: 81% AAA, 9% AA, 5% A), $nil exposure to sub-prime
397 449
696

Other ABS (30 Jun 2020: 26% AAA, 5% AA, 48% A), $35 million exposure to sub-prime
999 1,364
1,168
TotalUS asset-backed securities 3,354 5,674
6,015

(e) Group bank debt exposure

The Group exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and with-profits funds in bank debt securities are analysed below. The table excludes assets held to cover linked liabilities and those of the consolidated investment funds.

Exposure to bank debt securities

Exposure to bank debt securities
30 Jun 2020 $m 2019 $m
Group
Senior debt
Subordinated debt
total 30 Jun
31 Dec
Group
Group
Total
Tier 1
Tier 2
Total
total

total
Shareholder-backed business
Asia 549
572
329
901
1,450 858
993
Eurozone 223
-
26
26
249 410
337
United Kingdom 352
7
91
98
450 892
723

United States
1,565
5
52
57
1,622 3,037
3,134
Other 259
-
137
137
396 693
647
Total 2,948 584
635
1,219
4,167 5,890
5,834
With-profits funds
Asia 534
87
572
659
1,193 1,198
1,130
Eurozone 77
-
101
101
178 129
131
United Kingdom 182
1
105
106
288 146
155

United States
670
2
15
17
687 25
34
Other 116
-
262
262
378 256
284
Total 1,579 90
1,055
1,145
2,724 1,754
1,734

C1.2 Additional analysis of US mortgage loans

In the US, mortgage loans of $8,119 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $9,655 million; 31 December 2019: $9,904 million) are all commercial mortgage loans that are secured by the following property types: industrial, multi-family residential, suburban office, retail or hotel. The average loan size is $18.6 million (30 June 2019: $18.7 million; 31 December 2019: $19.3 million). The portfolio has a current estimated average loan to value of 55 per cent (30 June 2019: 53 per cent; 31 December 2019: 54 per cent).

At 30 June 2020, Jackson had mortgage loans with a carrying value of $947 million where the contractual terms of the agreements had been restructured to grant forbearance for a period of no longer than six months (30 June and 31 December 2019: nil). Under IAS 39, restructured loans are reviewed for impairment with an impairment recorded if the expected cash flows under the newly restructured terms discounted at the original yield (the pre-structured interest rate) are below the carrying value of the loan. No impairment is recorded for these loans in half year 2020 as the expected cash flows and interest rate did not materially change under the restructured terms.

C2 Fair value measurement

(a) Determination of fair value

The fair values of the financial instruments for which fair valuation is required under IFRS are determined by the use of current market bid prices for exchange-quoted investments, or by using quotations from independent third parties, such as brokers and pricing services or by using appropriate valuation techniques.

The estimated fair value of derivative financial instruments reflects the estimated amount the Group would receive or pay in an arm’s length transaction. This amount is determined using quoted prices if exchange listed, quotations from independent third parties or valued internally using standard market practices.

Other than the loans which have been designated at fair value through profit or loss, the carrying value of loans and receivables is presented net of provisions for impairment. The fair value of loans is estimated from discounted cash flows expected to be received. The discount rate used is updated for the market rate of interest where applicable.

27

The fair value of the subordinated and senior debt issued by the parent company is determined using quoted prices from independent third parties.

The fair value of financial liabilities (other than subordinated debt, senior debt and derivative financial instruments) is determined using discounted cash flows of the amounts expected to be paid.

Valuation approach for level 2 fair valued assets and liabilities

A significant proportion of the Group’s level 2 assets are corporate bonds, structured securities and other non-national government debt securities. These assets, in line with market practice, are generally valued using a designated independent pricing service or quote from third-party brokers. These valuations are subject to a number of monitoring controls, such as comparison to multiple pricing sources where available, monthly price variances, stale price reviews and variance analysis on prices achieved on subsequent trades. For further detail on the valuation approach for level 2 fair valued assets and liabilities, refer to note C3.1 of the Group IFRS financial statement for the year ended 31 December 2019.

Valuation approach for level 3 fair valued assets and liabilities

Investments valued using valuation techniques include financial investments which by their nature do not have an externally quoted price based on regular trades, and financial investments for which markets are no longer active as a result of market conditions, eg market illiquidity. The valuation techniques used include comparison to recent arm’s length transactions, reference to other instruments that are substantially the same, discounted cash flow analysis, option-adjusted spread models and, if applicable, enterprise valuation.

The Group’s valuation policies, procedures and analyses for instruments categorised as level 3 are overseen by Business Unit committees as part of the Group’s wider financial reporting governance processes. The procedures undertaken include approval of valuation methodologies, verification processes, and resolution of significant or complex valuation issues. In undertaking these activities the Group makes use of the extensive expertise of its asset management functions. In addition, the Group has minimum standards for independent price verification to ensure valuation accuracy is regularly independently verified. Adherence to this policy is monitored across the business units.

(b) Fair value measurement hierarchy of Group assets and liabilities

Assets and liabilities carried at fair value on the statement of financial position

The table below shows the assets and liabilities carried at fair value analysed by level of the IFRS 13 ‘Fair Value Measurement’ defined fair value hierarchy. This hierarchy is based on the inputs to the fair value measurement and reflects the lowest level input that is significant to that measurement.

All assets and liabilities held at fair value are classified as fair value through profit or loss, except for $37,752 million (30 June 2019: $56,225 million; 31 December 2019: $58,302 million) of debt securities classified as available-for-sale, principally in the US operations. All assets and liabilities held at fair value are measured on a recurring basis. As of 30 June 2020, the Group did not have any financial instruments that are measured at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

28

Financial instruments at fair value

30 Jun 2020 $m
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Quoted prices
(unadjusted)
in active
Valuation
based on
significant
observable
Valuation
based on
significant
unobservable
markets
market inputs
market inputs
Total
Loans -
-
3,606
3,606
Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes 230,670
3,554
474
234,698

Debt securities
64,300
57,091
71
121,462
Other investments (including derivative assets) 109
2,350
1,569
4,028

Derivative liabilities
(65)
(402)
-
(467)
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities 295,014
62,593
5,720
363,327
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features

held at fair value
-
(936)
-
(936)
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated investment
funds (5,521)
(8)
(438)
(5,967)
Other financial liabilities held at fair value -
-
(3,743)
(3,743)
Total financial instruments at fair value 289,493
61,649
1,539
352,681
Percentage oftotal(%) 82%
18%
0%
100%
Analysed by business type:

Financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value:
With-profits 67,290
12,963
314
80,567

Unit-linked and variable annuity separate account
204,723
1,208
-
205,931

Non-linked shareholder-backed business
23,001
48,422
5,406
76,829
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value 295,014
62,593
5,720
363,327
Other financial liabilities at fair value (5,521)
(944)
(4,181)
(10,646)
Group total financial instruments at fair value 289,493
61,649
1,539
352,681
30 Jun 2019 $m
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Quoted prices
(unadjusted)
in active
Valuation
based on
significant
observable
Valuation
based on
significant
unobservable
markets
market inputs
market inputs
Total
Loans -
-
3,562
3,562
Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes 230,817
2,723
217
233,757

Debt securities
61,763
65,085
8
126,856
Other investments (including derivative assets) 190
1,361
1,224
2,775

Derivative liabilities
(66)
(675)
(579)
(1,320)
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities 292,704
68,494
4,432
365,630
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features

held at fair value
-
(847)
-
(847)
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated investment
funds (4,432)
-
-
(4,432)
Other financial liabilities held at fair value

-
(6)
(3,922)
(3,928)
Total financial instruments at fair value 288,272
67,641
510
356,423
Percentage oftotal(%) 81%
19%
0%
100%
Analysed by business type:

Financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value:
With-profits 61,541
6,451
203
68,195

Unit-linked and variable annuity separate account
206,548
1,256
-
207,804

Non-linked shareholder-backed business
24,615
60,787
4,229
89,631
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value 292,704
68,494
4,432
365,630
Other financial liabilities at fair value (4,432)
(853)
(3,922)
(9,207)
Group total financial instruments at fair value 288,272
67,641
510
356,423

29

31 Dec 2019 $m
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Quoted prices
(unadjusted)
in active
Valuation
based on
significant
observable
Valuation
based on
significant
unobservable
markets
market inputs
market inputs
Total
Loans -
-
3,587
3,587
Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes 243,285
3,720
276
247,281

Debt securities
67,927
66,637
6
134,570
Other investments (including derivative assets) 70
1,676
1,301
3,047

Derivative liabilities
(185)
(207)
-
(392)
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities 311,097
71,826
5,170
388,093
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features

held at fair value
-
(1,011)
-
(1,011)
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated investment
funds (5,973)
(23)
(2)
(5,998)
Other financial liabilities held at fair value



-
-
(3,760)
(3,760)
Total financial instruments at fair value 305,124
70,792
1,408
377,324
Percentage oftotal(%) 81%
19%
0%
100%
Analysed by business type:

Financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value:
With-profits 66,061
7,762
260
74,083

Unit-linked and variable annuity separate account
217,838
1,486
-
219,324

Non-linked shareholder-backed business
27,198
62,578
4,910
94,686
Total financial investments, net of derivative liabilities at fair value 311,097
71,826
5,170
388,093
Other financial liabilities at fair value (5,973)
(1,034)
(3,762)
(10,769)
Group total financial instruments at fair value 305,124
70,792
1,408
377,324

Assets and liabilities at amortised cost and their fair value

The table below shows the financial assets and liabilities carried at amortised cost on the statement of financial position and their fair value. Cash deposits, accrued income, other debtors, accruals, deferred income and other liabilities are excluded from the analysis below. These are carried at amortised cost, which approximates fair value.

2020 $m 2019 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun 31 Dec
Carrying
Fair

Carrying
Fair
Carrying
Fair
value
value

value
value
value
value
Assets
Loans 11,304
11,435

12,363
12,740
12,996
13,511
Liabilities
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary
(3,730)
(3,793)

(3,986)
(3,996)
(3,891)
(3,957)

participation features

Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed
(6,499)
(7,087)

(9,470)
(10,248)
(5,594)
(6,227)

businesses
Operational borrowings (excluding lease liabilities) (1,703)
(1,703)

(1,858)
(1,857)
(2,015)
(2,015)

Obligations under funding, securities lending and
(9,085)
(9,442)

(8,598)
(8,769)
(8,901)
(9,135)

sale and repurchase agreements
Total (9,713)
(10,590)
(11,549)
(12,130)
(7,405)
(7,823)

(c) Fair value measurements for level 3 fair valued assets and liabilities

Reconciliation of movements in level 3 assets and liabilities measured at fair value

The following table reconciles the value of level 3 fair valued assets and liabilities at the beginning of the period to that presented at the end of the period.

Total investment return recorded in the income statement represents interest and dividend income, realised gains and losses, unrealised gains and losses on the assets classified at fair value through profit and loss and foreign exchange movements on an individual entity’s overseas investments.

Total gains and losses recorded in other comprehensive income includes unrealised gains and losses on debt securities held as available-for-sale principally within Jackson and foreign exchange movements arising from the retranslation of the Group’s overseas subsidiaries and branches.

30

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2020 $m Half year 2020 $m Half year 2020 $m
Net asset
Equity value
securities attributable
and Other to unit
holdings in investments holders of
collective (including consolidated Other
Reconciliation of movements in level 3 assets and liabilities measured investment Debt derivative investment financial
at fair value Loans schemes securities assets) funds liabilities Total
Balance at beginning of period 3,587 276 6 1,301 (2) (3,760) 1,408
Total gains (losses) in income statement* 120 (44) (6) (170) 134 (91) (57)
Total gains (losses) recorded in other comprehensive income - (4) - - - - (4)
Purchases and other additions - 348 20 484 (583) - 269
Sales - (102) (2) (46) 13 - (137)
Issues 52 - - - - (53) (1)
Settlements (153) - - - - 161 8
Transfers into level 3 - - 53 - - - 53
Balance at end of period 3,606 474 71 1,569 (438) (3,743) 1,539
Half year 2019 $m
Net asset
Equity value
securities attributable
and Other Borrowings to unit
holdings in investments attributable holders of
collective (including to with consolidated Other
Reconciliation of movements in level 3 assets investment Debt derivative Derivative -profits investment financial
and liabilities measured at fair value Loans schemes securities assets) liabilities businesses funds liabilities Total
Balance at beginning of period 6,054 656 1,505
6,714

(539)
(2,045) (1,258) (4,335) 6,752
Reclassification to held for distribution (2,509) (440) (1,498)
(5,513)

-
2,045 1,258 451 (6,206)
Total gains (losses) in income statement* 118 (2) 6
19

(19)
- - (140) (18)
Total gains (losses) recorded in other
comprehensive income 1 - 1
(12)

(21)
- - (10) (41)
Purchases - 3 -
164

-
- - - 167
Sales - - (6)
(148)

-
- - - (154)
Issues 34 - -
-

-
- - (46) (12)
Settlements (136) - -
-
- - - 158 22
Balance at end ofperiod 3,562 217 8
1,224

(579)
- - (3,922) 510
Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Net asset
Equity value
securities attributable
and Other Borrowings
to unit
holdings in investments attributable
holders of
collective (including to with
consolidated
Other
Reconciliation of movements in level 3 assets investment
Debt
derivative Derivative -profits
investment
financial
and liabilities measured at fair value Loans schemes
securities
assets) liabilities businesses
funds
liabilities Total
Balance at beginning of year 6,054 656
1,505
6,714
(539)
(2,045)
(1,258)
(4,335) 6,752
Demerger of UK and Europe operations (2,509) (440)
(1,498)
(5,513)
-
2,045
1,258
451 (6,206)
Total gains (losses) in income statement* 1 (11)
6
30
539
-
-
(28) 537
Total gains (losses) recorded in other
comprehensive income - 3
-
(6)
-
-
-
(11) (14)
Purchases - 69
-
269
-
-
(2)
- 336
Sales - (1)
(7)
(193)
-
-
-
- (201)
Issues 275 -
-
-
-
-
-
(143) 132
Settlements (234) - - - - - - 306 72
Balance at end ofyear 3,587 276 6 1,301
-
-
(2)
(3,760) 1,408
* Of the total net gains and (losses) in the income statement of $(57) million at half year 2020 (half year 2019: $(18) million for continuing operations; full year 2019:
$537 million), $(103) million (half year 2019: $12 million; full year 2019: $19 million) relates to net unrealised gains and losses of financial instruments still held at
the end of the period, which can be analysed as follows:
2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun 31 Dec
Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes (72) (2) (11)
Debt securities (5) - -
Other investments (157) 51 34
Derivative liabilities - (19) -
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated investment funds 132 - -
Other financial liabilities (1) (18) (4)
Total (103) 12 19

At 30 June 2020, the Group held $1,539 million (30 June 2019: $510 million; 31 December 2019: $1,408 million) of net financial instruments at fair value within level 3. This represents less than 0.5 per cent (30 June 2019: 0.5 per cent of continuing operations; 31 December 2019: 1 per cent) of the total fair valued financial assets net of financial liabilities.

Included within these net assets and liabilities are policy loans of $3,606 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $3,562 million; 31 December 2019: $3,587 million) measured as the loan outstanding balance, plus accrued investment income, attached to acquired REALIC business and held to back the liabilities for funds withheld under reinsurance arrangements. The funds withheld liability of $3,743 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $3,758 million; 31 December 2019: $3,760 million) is also classified within level 3. The fair value of the liabilities is equal to the fair value of the underlying assets held as collateral, which primarily consist of policy loans and debt securities. The assets and liabilities offset and therefore their movements have no impact on shareholders’ profit and equity.

31

Excluding the loans and funds withheld liability under Jackson’s REALIC reinsurance arrangements as described above, which amounted to a net liability at 30 June 2020 of $(137) million (30 June 2019: $(196) million; 31 December 2019: $(173) million), the level 3 fair valued financial assets net of financial liabilities were a net asset of $1,676 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $706 million; 31 December 2019: $1,581 million). Of this amount, equity securities of $2 million are internally valued, representing less than 0.1 per cent of the total fair valued financial assets net of financial liabilities (30 June and 31 December 2019: nil). Internal valuations are inherently more subjective than external valuations.

Level 3 financial assets net of financial liabilities comprise the following:

  • Private equity investments in both equity securities and limited partnerships within other financial investments of $1,687 million (30 June 2019: $1,224 million; 31 December 2019: $1,301 million) consisting of investments held by Jackson which are primarily externally valued in accordance with International Private Equity and Venture Capital Association guidelines using the proportion of the company’s investment in each fund as shown in external valuation reports;

  • Equity securities and holdings in collective investment schemes of $356 million (30 June 2019: $217 million; 31 December 2019: $276 million) consisting primarily of property and infrastructure funds held by the Asia participating funds, which are externally valued using the net asset value of the invested entities;

  • Liabilities of $(438) million (30 June 2019: nil; 31 December 2019: $(2) million) for the net asset value attributable to external unit holders in respect of consolidated investment funds, which are non-recourse to the Group. These liabilities are valued by reference to the underlying assets; and

  • Other sundry individual financial instruments of a net asset of $71 million (30 June 2019: net liability of $(735) million of which $(574) million represent derivative liabilities; 31 December 2019: net asset of $6 million).

Of the net asset of $1,676 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $706 million; 31 December 2019: $1,581 million) referred to above:

  • A net asset of $314 million (30 June 2019: $202 million; 31 December 2019: $258 million) is held by the Group’s Asia participating funds and therefore shareholders’ profit and equity are not impacted by movements in the valuation of these financial instruments; and

  • A net asset of $1,362 million (30 June 2019: $504 million; 31 December 2019: $1,323 million) is held to support nonlinked shareholder-backed business. The majority of these instruments ($1,360 million out of the $1,362 million) are externally valued and are therefore inherently less subjective than internal valuations. These instruments consist primarily of private equity investments held by Jackson as described above. If the value of all these Level 3 financial instruments decreased by 10 per cent, the change in valuation would be $(136) million (30 June 2019: $(51) million; 31 December 2019: $(132) million), which would reduce shareholders’ equity by this amount before tax. All of this amount would pass through the income statement substantially as part of short-term fluctuations in investment returns outside of adjusted operating profit.

(d) Transfers into and transfers out of levels

The Group’s policy is to recognise transfers into and transfers out of levels as of the end of each half year reporting period except for material transfers which are recognised as of the date of the event or change in circumstances that caused the transfer. Transfers are deemed to have occurred when there is a material change in the observed valuation inputs or a change in the level of trading activities of the securities.

During half year 2020, the transfers between levels within the Group’s portfolio, were primarily transfers from level 1 to level 2 of $4,232 million and transfers from level 2 to level 1 of $1,843 million. These transfers which relate to equity securities and debt securities arose to reflect the change in the observed valuation inputs and in certain cases, the change in the level of trading activities of the securities. There were transfers into level 3 of $53 million in the period.

32

C3 Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus

C3.1 Group overview

(i) Analysis of movements in policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds[notes (a),(b) ]

Half year 2020 $m
Asia US Total
note C3.2 note C3.3
At 1 January 2020 132,570 269,549 402,119
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position
(excludes $186 million classified as unallocated to a segment) 115,943 269,549 385,492
- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated statement of financial position 4,750 - 4,750
_- Group's share of policyholder liabilities of joint ventures and associate_note (d) 11,877 - 11,877
Net flows:
Premiums 9,746 8,865 18,611
Surrenders (2,083) (7,455) (9,538)
Maturities/deaths (1,153) (1,793) (2,946)
Net flowsnote (d) 6,510 (383) 6,127
Shareholders' transfers post-tax (54) - (54)
Investment-related items and other movements 6,526 (3,511) 3,015
Foreign exchange translation differences (1,580) - (1,580)
At 30 June 2020 143,972 265,655 409,627
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position
(excludes $217 million classified as unallocated to a segment) 126,052 265,655 391,707
- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated statement of financial position 5,512 - 5,512
_- Group's share of policyholder liabilities of joint ventures and associate_note (d) 12,408 - 12,408
Half year 2019 $m
Discontinued
UK and
Asia US Europe Total
note C3.2 note C3.3
At 1 January 2019 105,408 236,380 210,002 551,790
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position
_(excludes $50 million classified as unallocated to a segment)_note (c) 91,836 236,380 193,020 521,236
- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated statement of
financial position 3,198 - 16,982 20,180
_- Group's share of policyholder liabilities of joint ventures and associate_note (d) 10,374 - - 10,374
Reclassification of UK and Europe liabilities as held for distribution - - (210,002) (210,002)
Net flows:
Premiums 9,800 9,136 - 18,936
Surrenders (1,982) (8,279) - (10,261)
Maturities/deaths (1,278) (1,744) - (3,022)
Net flowsnote (d) 6,540 (887) - 5,653
Shareholders' transfers post-tax (49) - - (49)
Investment-related items and other movements 7,947 21,786 - 29,733
Foreign exchange translation differences 547 - - 547
At 30 June2019 120,393 257,279 - 377,672
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position
_(excludes $61 million classified as unallocated to a segment)_note (c) 105,593 257,279 - 362,872
- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated statement of
financial position 3,747 - - 3,747
_- Group's share of policyholder liabilities of joint ventures and associate_note (d) 11,053 - - 11,053
Average policyholder liability balancesnote (e)
Half year 2020 133,141 267,602 - 400,743
Halfyear 2019 109,428 246,830 - 356,258

Notes

(a) The items above represent the amount attributable to changes in policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds as a result of each of the components listed. The policyholder liabilities shown include investment contracts without discretionary participation features (as defined in IFRS 4) and their full movement in the year but exclude liabilities that have not been allocated to a reporting segment. The items above are shown gross of external reinsurance.

(b) The analysis includes the impact of premiums, claims and investment movements on policyholders’ liabilities. The impact does not represent premiums, claims and investment movements as reported in the income statement. For example, premiums shown above exclude any deductions for fees/charges; claims (surrenders, maturities and deaths) shown above represent the policyholder liabilities provision released rather than the claims amount paid to the policyholder.

(c) The opening and closing policyholder liabilities of the Asia insurance operations for half year 2019 were after deducting the intra-group reinsurance liabilities ceded by the discontinued UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) to the Hong Kong with-profits business, which were recaptured in October 2019 upon demerger.

(d) Including net flows of the Group’s insurance joint ventures and associate. The Group’s investment in joint ventures and associate are accounted for on an equity method basis in the Group’s statement of financial position. The Group’s share of the policyholder liabilities as shown above relates to life businesses of the China JV, India and the Takaful business in Malaysia.

(e) Average policyholder liabilities have been based on opening and closing balances, adjusted for acquisitions, disposals and other corporate transactions arising in the year, and exclude unallocated surplus of with-profits funds.

33

(ii) Analysis of movements in policyholder liabilities for shareholder-backed business

Half year 2020 $m
Asia
US
Total
At 1 January 2020 62,262
269,549
331,811

Net flows:
Premiums 5,155
8,865
14,020
Surrenders (1,702)
(7,455)
(9,157)
Maturities/deaths (477)
(1,793)
(2,270)
Net flowsnote 2,976
(383)
2,593
Investment-related items and other movements 3,139
(3,511)
(372)
Foreign exchange translation differences (1,052)
-
(1,052)
At 30 June 2020 67,325
265,655
332,980
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position 54,917
265,655
320,572

(excludes $217 million classified as unallocated to a segment)

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and associate
12,408
-
12,408
Half year 2019 $m
Discontinued
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
At 1 January 2019 51,705
236,380
51,911
339,996

Reclassification of UK and Europe liabilities as held for distribution
-
-
(51,911)
(51,911)

Net flows:
Premiums 5,076
9,136
-
14,212
Surrenders (1,714)
(8,279)
-
(9,993)
Maturities/deaths


(567)
(1,744)
-
(2,311)
Net flowsnote 2,795
(887)
-
1,908
Investment-related items and other movements 2,100
21,786
-
23,886
Foreign exchange translation differences 315
-
-
315
At 30 June 2019 56,915
257,279
-
314,194
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial position

(excludes $61 million classified as unallocated to a segment)
45,862
257,279
-
303,141

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and

associate
11,053
-
-
11,053
Note

Including net flows of the Group’s insurance joint ventures and associate.

34

(iii) Movement in insurance contract liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

Further analysis of the movement in the period of the Group’s gross contract liabilities, reinsurer’s share of insurance contract liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds (excluding those held by joint ventures and associate) is provided below:

Reinsurers' share Unallocated
of insurance surplus of
Contract liabilities contract liabilities with-profits funds
$m $m $m
At 1 January 2020 385,678 (13,856) 4,750
Income and expense included in the income statementnote (a) 7,555 (31,066) 742
Other movementsnote (b) (110) - -
Foreign exchange translation differences (1,199) 4 20
At 30 June 2020 391,924 (44,918) 5,512
At 1 January 2019 521,286 (14,193) 20,180
Removal of opening balances relating to the discontinued UK and Europe
operationsnote (c) (193,020) 2,169 (16,982)
Income and expense included in the income statement 33,996 (880) 655
Other movementsnote (b) 53 - (116)
Foreign exchange translation differences 618 (15) 10
At 30 June 2019 362,933 (12,919) 3,747

Notes

(a) The increase in reinsurers’ share of insurance contract liabilities in half year 2020 includes $27.7 billion in respect of the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd, as discussed in note D1.

(b) Other movements include premiums received and claims paid on investment contracts without discretionary participating features, which are taken directly to the statement of financial position in accordance with IAS 39.

(c) The $2,169 million of reinsurer’s share of insurance contract liabilities excluded the intra-group reinsurance assets for the with-profits business ceded to the Asia insurance operations, which were eliminated on consolidation at 1 January 2019.

The total charge for benefit and claims in half year 2020 shown in the income statement comprises the amounts shown as ‘income and expense included in the income statement’ in the table above together with claims paid of $13,504 million in the period and claim amounts attributable to reinsurers of $(590) million.

The movement in the gross contract liabilities and the reinsurer’s share of insurance contract liabilities during the first half of 2020 includes the impact of a change to the calculation of the valuation interest rate (VIR) used to value long-term insurance liabilities in Hong Kong. The effect of the change to the VIR was such that the implicit duration of liabilities is reduced and closer to best estimate expectations. The change reduced policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurance) of the Hong Kong’s shareholderbacked business at 30 June 2020 by $1,039 million. The resulting benefit of $1,039 million in the income statement is included within short-term fluctuations in investment returns in the Group’s supplementary analysis of profit.

35

C3.2 Asia insurance operations

Half year 2020 $m

business
Total
liabilities
business
At 1 January 2020 70,308
28,850
33,412
132,570

Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial

position
65,558
23,571
26,814
115,943

- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated

statement of financial position
4,750
-
-
4,750

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and

_associate_note (a)
-
5,279
6,598
11,877
Premiums:
New business 375
909
1,009
2,293
In-force 4,216
1,148
2,089
7,453
4,591
2,057
3,098
9,746
Surrendersnote (b) (381)
(1,209)
(493)
(2,083)
Maturities/deaths (676)
(87)
(390)
(1,153)
Net flows 3,534
761
2,215
6,510
Shareholders' transfers post tax (54)
-
-
(54)

Investment-related items and other movementsnote (c)
3,387
(2,243)
5,382
6,526
Foreign exchange translation differencesnote (d) (528)
(794)
(258)
(1,580)
At 30 June 2020 76,647
26,574
40,751
143,972
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial

position
71,135
21,376
33,541
126,052

- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated

statement of financial position
5,512
-
-
5,512

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and

_associate_note (a)
-
5,198
7,210
12,408
Half year 2019 $m

Shareholder-backed business
Unit-linked
Other
With-profits

business
Total
liabilities
business
At 1 January 2019 53,703
25,704
26,001
105,408

Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial

position
50,505
20,846
20,485
91,836

- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated

statement of financial position
3,198
-
-
3,198

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and

_associate_note (a)
-
4,858
5,516
10,374
Premiums:
New business 769
1,003
1,180
2,952
In-force 3,955
1,206
1,687
6,848
4,724
2,209
2,867
9,800
Surrendersnote (b) (268)
(1,385)
(329)
(1,982)
Maturities/deaths



(711)
(89)
(478)
(1,278)
Net flows 3,745
735
2,060
6,540
Shareholders' transfers post-tax (49)
-
-
(49)

Investment-related items and other movementsnote (c)


5,847
753
1,347
7,947
Foreign exchange translation differencesnote (d) 232
176
139
547
At 30 June2019 63,478
27,368
29,547
120,393
Comprising:
- Policyholder liabilities on the consolidated statement of financial

position
59,731
22,392
23,470
105,593

- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds on the consolidated

statement of financial position
3,747
-
-
3,747

- Group's share of policyholder liabilities relating to joint ventures and

_associate_note (a)
-
4,976
6,077
11,053
Average policyholder liability balancesnote (e)

Half year 2020
68,347
27,712
37,082
133,141

Half year 2019
55,118
26,536
27,774
109,428

Notes

(a) The Group’s investment in joint ventures and associate are accounted for on an equity method and the Group’s share of the policyholder liabilities as shown above relate to the life business of the China JV, India and the Takaful business in Malaysia.

(b) The rate of surrenders for shareholder-backed business (expressed as a percentage of opening policyholder liabilities) was 2.7 per cent in the first half of 2020 (half year 2019: 3.3 per cent).

(c) Investment-related items and other movements in the first half of 2020 primarily represents fixed income asset gains and lower discount rates due to falling interest rates for with-profits and other businesses, partially offset by unfavourable equity market performance for unitlinked business. (d) Movements in the period have been translated at the average exchange rates for the period ended 30 June 2020 and 2019. The closing balance has been translated at the closing spot rates as at 30 June 2020 and 2019. Differences upon retranslation are included in foreign exchange translation differences.

(e) Average policyholder liabilities have been based on opening and closing balances, adjusted for any acquisitions, disposals and other corporate transactions arising in the year, and exclude unallocated surplus of with-profits funds.

36

C3.3 US insurance operations

Half year 2020 $m
Variable annuity
separate account
General
account
and other

liabilities
business
Total
note (d)
At 1 January 2020 195,070
74,479
269,549

Premiums
6,544
2,321
8,865
Surrenders (5,353)
(2,102)
(7,455)
Maturities/deaths (848)
(945)
(1,793)
Net flowsnote (a) 343
(726)
(383)
Transfers from separate to general account (1,042)
1,042
-

Investment-related items and other movementsnote (b)
(10,151)
6,640
(3,511)
At 30 June 2020 184,220
81,435
265,655
Half year 2019 $m
Variable annuity
separate account
General
account
and other

liabilities
business
Total
At 1 January 2019 163,301
73,079
236,380

Premiums
6,032
3,104
9,136
Surrenders (6,008)
(2,271)
(8,279)
Maturities/deaths


(782)
(962)
(1,744)
Net flowsnote (a) (758)
(129)
(887)
Transfers from general to separate account


637
(637)
-

Investment-related items and other movements
21,737
49
21,786
At 30 June2019 184,917
72,362
257,279
Average policyholder liability balancesnote (c)

Half year 2020
189,645
77,957
267,602

Halfyear 2019
174,109
72,721
246,830

Notes

(a) Net outflows in the first half of 2020 were $383 million (first half of 2019 outflows: $887 million) with surrenders and withdrawals from general account exceeding new inflows on this business given lower volumes of institutional sales in the period, partially offset by net inflows into the variable annuity separate accounts.

(b) Negative investment-related items and other movements in variable annuity separate account liabilities of $(10,151) million for the first half of 2020 largely represent negative separate account return following the decrease in the US equity market in the period, partially offset by increased obligations for variable annuity guarantees, following falls in interest rates and equity markets.

(c) Average policyholder liabilities have been based on opening and closing balances, adjusted for any acquisitions, disposals and other corporate transactions arising in the period.

(d) Included within the policyholder liabilities for the general account and other business of $81,435 million at 30 June 2020 are $27.7 billion in respect of the reinsured Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd, as discussed in note D1.

37

C4 Intangible assets

C4.1 Goodwill

Goodwill shown on the consolidated statement of financial position at 30 June 2020 represents amounts allocated to businesses in Asia and Africa in respect of both acquired asset management and life businesses.

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Carrying value at beginning of period 969 2,365
2,365

Reclassification/Demerger of UK and Europe operations
- (1,731)
(1,731)

Additions in the period
- -
299

Exchange differences
(27) 15
36
Carrying value at end ofperiod 942 649
969
C4.2 Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets
2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets attributable to shareholders 18,538 16,037
17,409

Other intangible assets, including computer software, attributable to with-profits funds
66 74
67
Total of deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets 18,604 16,111
17,476

The deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets attributable to shareholders comprise:

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Deferred acquisition costs related to insurance contracts as classified under IFRS 4 14,567 13,142
14,206

Deferred acquisition costs related to investment management contracts, including life

assurance contracts classified as financial instruments and investment management

contracts under IFRS 4
34 34
33
Deferred acquisition costs related to insurance and investment contracts 14,601 13,176
14,239
Present value of acquired in-force policies for insurance contracts as classified under

IFRS 4 (PVIF)
34 39
38

Distribution rights and other intangibles
3,903 2,822
3,132
Present value of acquired in-force (PVIF) and other intangibles attributable to shareholders 3,937 2,861
3,170
Total of deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assetsnote (a) 18,538 16,037
17,409

Notes

(a) Total deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets attributable to shareholders can be further analysed by business operations as follows:

2020 $m 2019 $m 2019 $m
Deferred acquisition

costs
PVIF and other
30 Jun
30 Jun 31 Dec
Asia
US*
intangibles† Total Total Total
Balance at beginning of period: 1,999
12,240

3,170

17,409
15,008 15,008

Removal of UK and Europe operations from opening

balance
-
-

-

-
(143) (143)
Additions‡ 261
353

904

1,518
1,469 2,601
Amortisation to the income statement:note (c)
Adjusted operating profit (157)
(363)

(111)
(631) (371) (792)

Non-operating profit (loss)
-
50

(2)
48 616 1,243
(157)
(313)

(113)

(583)
245 451
Disposals and transfers -
-

(13)

(13)
(6) (11)

Exchange differences and other movements
(30)
-

(11)

(41)
24 134

Amortisation of DAC related to net unrealised valuation
movements on the US insurance operation's available-for-

sale securities recognised within other comprehensive

income
-
248

-
248 (560) (631)
Balance at end of period 2,073
12,528
**3,937 **
18,538
16,037 17,409
  • Under the Group’s application of IFRS 4, US GAAP is used for measuring the insurance assets and liabilities of its US and certain Asia operations. Under US GAAP, most of the US insurance operation’s products are accounted for under Accounting Standard no. 97 of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FAS 97) whereby deferred acquisition costs are amortised in line with the emergence of actual and expected gross profits which are determined using an assumption for long-term investment returns for the separate account of 7.4 per cent (half year and full year 2019: 7.4 per cent) gross of asset management fees and other charges to policyholders, but net of external fund management fees. The other assumptions impacting expected gross profits include mortality assumptions, lapses, assumed unit costs and future hedge costs. The amounts included in the income statement and other comprehensive income affect the pattern of profit emergence and thus the DAC amortisation attaching. DAC amortisation is allocated to the operating and non-operating components of the Group’s supplementary analysis of profit and other comprehensive income by reference to the underlying items. The charge of $(313) million in half year 2020 in the US operations includes $(764) million for the write-off of the deferred acquisition costs in respect of the reinsured Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd.

  • PVIF and other intangibles comprise present value of acquired in-force (PVIF), distribution rights and other intangibles such as software rights. Distribution rights relate to amounts that have been paid or have become unconditionally due for payment as a result of past events in respect of bancassurance partnership arrangements in Asia. These agreements allow for bank distribution of Prudential’s insurance products for a fixed period of time. Software rights include additions of $21 million, amortisation of $(17) million, disposals of $(8) million, foreign exchange of $2 million and closing balance at 30 June 2020 of $83 million (30 June 2019: $70 million; 31 December 2019: $85 million).

  • On 19 March 2020, the Group signed a new bancassurance agreement with TMB Bank for a period of 15 years. This extended exclusive partnership agreement required the novation of TMB Bank’s current bancassurance distribution agreement with another insurance group. The agreement cost Thai Baht 24.5 billion, which will be paid in two instalments with Thai Baht 12.0 billion paid in April 2020 and the remainder on 1 January 2021. The amount included in additions in the table above is $788 million.

38

(b) The DAC amount in respect of US arises in the insurance operations which comprises the following amounts:

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Variable annuity and other business 12,975 12,038
12,935

Cumulative shadow DAC (for unrealised gains/losses booked in other comprehensive

income)*
(447) (622)
(695)
Total DACforUS operations 12,528 11,416
12,240
  • A net gain of $248 million (half year 2019: a loss of $(560) million; full year 2019: a loss of $(631) million) for shadow DAC amortisation is booked within other comprehensive income to reflect a reduction in shadow DAC of $535 million as a result of the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s fixed and fixed annuity business to Athene Life offset by the impact from the positive unrealised valuation movement for half year 2020 of $2,540 million (half year 2019: positive unrealised valuation movement of $3,386 million; full year 2019: positive unrealised valuation movement of $4,023 million). These adjustments reflect the movement from period to period, in the changes to the pattern of reported gross profits that would have happened if the assets reflected in the statement of financial position had been sold, crystallising the unrealised gains and losses, and the proceeds reinvested at the yields currently available in the market.

(c) Sensitivity of US DAC amortisation charge

The amortisation charge to the income statement in respect of the US DAC asset is reflected in both adjusted operating profit and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. The amortisation charge to adjusted operating profit in a reporting period comprises:

  • A core amount that reflects a relatively stable proportion of underlying premiums or profit; and

  • An element of acceleration or deceleration arising from market movements differing from expectations.

In periods where the cap and floor features of the mean reversion technique (which is used for moderating the effect of short-term volatility in investment returns) are not relevant, the technique operates to dampen the second element above. Nevertheless, extreme market movements can cause material acceleration or deceleration of amortisation in spite of this dampening effect. It is currently estimated that DAC amortisation will accelerate (decelerate) by $17 million for every 1 per cent under (over) the mean reversion rate (set using the calculation described below to give an average over an 8 year period of 7.4 per cent) the annualised actual separate account growth rate differs by.

Furthermore, in those periods where the cap or floor is relevant, the mean reversion technique provides no further dampening and additional volatility may result.

In half year 2020, the DAC amortisation charge for adjusted operating profit was determined after including a charge for accelerated amortisation of $(32) million (half year 2019: credit for deceleration: $191 million; full year 2019: credit for deceleration: $280 million). DAC amortisation for variable annuities is sensitive to separate account performance. The acceleration arising in the first half of 2020 reflects a mechanical increase in the projected separate account return for the next five years under the mean-reversion technique. Under this technique, the projected level of return for each of the next five years is adjusted so that in combination with the actual rates of return for the preceding three years (including the current period) the assumed long-term annual separate account return of 7.4 per cent is realised on average over the entire eight-year period.

The application of the mean reversion formula has the effect of dampening the impact of equity market movements on DAC amortisation while the mean reversion assumption lies within the corridor. At 30 June 2020, it would take approximate movements in separate account values of more than either negative 30 per cent or positive 42 per cent for the mean reversion assumption to move outside the corridor.

39

C5 Borrowings

C5.1 Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Central operations:

Subordinated and other debt not substituted to M&G plc in 2019:

Subordinated debt:
US$250m 6.75% Notesnote (i) 250 250
250
US$300m 6.5% Notesnote (i) 300 300
300
US$700m 5.25% Notes 700 700
700
US$1,000m 5.25% Notes 997 994
996
US$725m 4.375% Notes 723 721
721
US$750m 4.875% Notes 746 743
744
€20m Medium Term Notes 2023 22 23
22
£435m 6.125% Notes 2031 533 548
571
Senior debt:note (ii)
£300m 6.875% Notes 2023 366 375
392
£250m 5.875% Notes 2029 280 285
298
$1,000m 3.125% Notes 2030note (iii) 982 -
-
Bank loansnote (iv)
$350m Loan 2024 350 -
350
£275m Loan 2022 - 350
-
Total debt not substituted to M&G plc in 2019 6,249 5,289
5,344

Subordinated debt substituted to M&G plc in 2019
- 3,931
-
Total central operations 6,249 9,220
5,344

Jackson US$250m 8.15% Surplus Notes 2027note (v)
250 250
250
Total core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses 6,499 9,470
5,594

Notes

(i) These borrowings can be converted, in whole or in part, at the Company’s option and subject to certain conditions, on any interest payment date, into one or more series of Prudential preference shares.

(ii) The senior debt ranks above subordinated debt in the event of liquidation.

(iii) In April 2020, the Company issued $1,000 million 3.125 per cent senior debt maturing on 14 April 2030 with proceeds, net of costs of $982 million.

(iv) The bank loan of $350 million was drawn in November 2019 at a cost of LIBOR plus 0.2 per cent. The loan matures on 7 November 2024. The £275 million bank loan was repaid by the Group in October 2019.

(v) Jackson’s borrowings are unsecured and subordinated to all present and future indebtedness, policy claims and other creditor claims of Jackson.

C5.2 Operational borrowings

2020 $m 2019 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun 31 Dec
Borrowings in respect of short-term fixed income securities programmes – commercial

paper
506 841 520

Lease liabilities under IFRS 16
318 291 371
Non-recourse borrowings of consolidated investment fundsnote (a) 1,081 694 1,045

Other borrowingsnote (b)
97 292 406
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed businesses 2,002 2,118 2,342
Lease liabilities under IFRS 16 224 272 259
Other borrowings 19 31 44
Operational borrowings attributable to with-profits businesses 243 303 303
**Total operational borrowings ** 2,245 2,421 2,645

Notes

(a) In all instances, the holders of the debt instruments issued by consolidated investment funds do not have recourse beyond the assets of those funds.

(b) Other borrowings mainly include senior debt issued through the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis (FHLB), secured by collateral posted with the FHLB by Jackson.

40

C6 Sensitivity analysis to key market risks

The Group’s risk framework and the management of risk, including that attached to the Group’s financial statements, have been included in the ‘Group Chief Risk and Compliance Officer’s Report on the risks facing our business and how these are managed’. The following sections set out the sensitivity of the Group’s segmental profit or loss and shareholders’ equity to instantaneous changes in interest rates and equity levels, which are then assumed to remain unchanged for the long term. Further information of the Group’s sensitivity to key risks was set out in the Group’s financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2019.

The published sensitivities in notes C6.1 and C6.2 below only allow for limited management actions such as changes to policyholder bonuses, where applicable. If the economic conditions set out in the sensitivities persisted, the financial impacts may differ to the instantaneous impacts shown below. Given the continuous risk management processes in place, management could take additional actions to help mitigate the impact of these stresses, including (but not limited to) rebalancing investment portfolios, further market risk hedging, increased use of reinsurance, repricing of in-force benefits, changes to new business pricing and the mix of new business being sold. The sensitivities reflect all consequential impacts from market movements at the valuation date. In particular, where relevant the 30 June 2020 sensitivities reflect potential tax benefits that would arise under the relief provided by the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act in the US for 2020.

C6.1 Sensitivity to interest rate risk

The sensitivities shown below are for movements in risk-free rates (based on local government bond yields at the valuation date) in isolation and are subject to a floor of zero. They do not include movements in credit risk that may affect credit spreads and hence the valuation of debt securities and policyholder liabilities. A one-letter credit downgrade in isolation (i.e. ignoring any consequential change in valuation) would not have a material impact on IFRS profit or shareholders’ equity.

Following the fall in interest rates during the first half of 2020, the estimated sensitivity to a decrease in interest rates at 30 June 2020 has been updated to a decrease of 0.5 per cent. This compares to a 1 per cent change at 31 December 2019. The estimated sensitivity to a decrease and increase in interest rates at 30 June 2020 is as follows:

30 June 2020 Asia insurance $m US insurance $m
Decrease of 0.5%
Increase of 1%

Decrease of 0.5%
Increase of 1%
Net effect onshareholders'equity* (1,203)
**64 **
(90)
(123)
* The effect from the instantaneous changes in interest rates above, if they arose, would impact profit after tax for Asia insurance operations and would mostly be

recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. The impact on profit after tax would be the same as the net effect on shareholders’ equity. For US
insurance operations, the instantaneous changes in interest rates above, if they arose, would cause the net effect on equity shown above through two constituent

movements. Firstly, profit after tax, net of related changes in the amortisation of DAC, would be impacted (decrease of 0.5 per cent: $(1,036) million; increase of 1

per cent: $1,577 million), and would mostly be recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. Secondly, the effect would also impact other

comprehensive income (decrease of 0.5 per cent: $946 million; increase of 1 per cent: $(1,700) million) in respect of the direct effect on the carrying value of the

available-for-sale debt securities, net of related changes in the amortisation of DAC and related tax effects.

The estimated sensitivity to a decrease and increase in interest rates at 31 December 2019 is as follows:

31 December 2019 Asia insurance $m US insurance $m
Decrease of 1%
Increase of 1%

Decrease of 1%
Increase of 1%
Net effect onshareholders'equity* (702)
(718)
20
(553)
* The effect from the instantaneous changes in interest rates above, if they arose, would impact profit after tax for Asia insurance operations and would mostly be
recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. The impact on profit after tax would be the same as the net effect on shareholders’ equity. For US

insurance operations, the instantaneous changes in interest rates above, if they arose, would cause the net effect on equity shown above through two constituent

movements. Firstly, profit after tax, net of related changes in the amortisation of DAC, would be impacted (decrease of 1 per cent: $(2,224) million; increase of 1

per cent: $1,691 million), and would mostly be recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. Secondly, the effect would also impact other

comprehensive income (decrease of 1 per cent: $2,244 million; increase of 1 per cent: $(2,244) million) in respect of the direct effect on the carrying value of the

available-for-sale debt securities, net of related changes in the amortisation of DAC and related tax effects.

Asia insurance operations

The degree of sensitivity of the results of the non-linked shareholder-backed business of the Asia operations to movements in interest rates depends upon the degree to which the liabilities under the ‘grandfathered’ IFRS 4 measurement basis reflects market interest rates from year to year. This varies by local business unit. For example:

  • certain Asia businesses apply US GAAP, for which the results can be more sensitive as the effect of interest rate movements on the backing investments may not be offset by liability movements;

  • the level of options and guarantees in the products written in a particular business unit will affect the degree of sensitivity to interest rate movements; and

  • the degree of sensitivity of the results is dependent on the interest rate level at that point of time.

The sensitivity of the Asia operations presented as a whole at a given point in time will also be affected by a change in the relative size of the individual businesses.

Following the substantial fall in interest rates over the first half of 2020, at 30 June 2020 the ‘decrease of 0.5 per cent’ sensitivity is dominated by the impact of interest rate movements on some local business units’ policyholder liabilities, which are expected to increase more than the offsetting increase in the value of government and corporate bond investments. This is similar to the effect described in note B1.2(i), with the impacts exacerbated if interest rates were to fall further from the historically low levels at 30 June 2020.

Liabilities become less sensitive to interest rates as interest rates rise. If interest rates were to increase by 1 per cent from 30 June 2020 levels, the change in the value of assets is expected to be of a similar magnitude to the change in the value of

41

policyholder liabilities. At higher levels of interest rates, the change in the value of assets is expected to exceed the change in the value of liabilities, as evident in the ‘increase of 1 per cent’ sensitivity at 31 December 2019.

US insurance operations

The GMWB features attached to variable annuity business (other than ‘for life’ components) are accounted for under US GAAP at fair value and, therefore, will be sensitive to changes in interest rates. Debt securities and related derivatives are marked to fair value. Value movements on derivatives, again net of related changes to amortisation of DAC and deferred tax, are recorded within the income statement. Fair value movements on debt securities, net of related changes to amortisation of DAC and deferred tax, are recorded within other comprehensive income.

The sensitivity movements provided in the table above are at a point in time and reflect the hedging programme in place on the balance sheet date, while the actual impact on financial results would vary contingent upon a number of factors. Jackson’s hedging programme is primarily focused on managing the economic risks in the business and protecting statutory solvency under larger market movements, and does not explicitly aim to hedge the IFRS accounting results. The magnitude of the impact of the sensitivities on profit after tax at 30 June 2020 is broadly similar to the impact at 31 December 2019, reflecting largely offsetting effects with the impact of more sensitive guarantee liabilities at 30 June 2020 being broadly matched by the impact from a change in the position of Jackson’s interest rate hedging at that date. The reduction in the magnitude of the impact of the sensitivities on other comprehensive income, and hence shareholders’ equity, reflects the reduction in the volume of availablefor-sale debt securities following the Athene reinsurance transaction described in note D1(i).

Asset management and other operations

The profit for the period of asset management operations is sensitive to the level of assets under management, as this significantly affects the value of management fees earned by the business in the current and future periods.

The Group’s asset management and other operations do not hold significant financial investments. At 30 June 2020, the financial investments of the other operations are principally short-term treasury bills held by the Group’s treasury function for liquidity purposes and so there is limited sensitivity to interest rate movements.

C6. 2 Sensitivity to equity and property price risk

In the equity risk sensitivity analysis shown, the Group has considered the impact of an instantaneous 20 per cent fall in equity markets. If equity markets were to fall by more than 20 per cent, the Group believes that this would not be an instantaneous fall but rather would be expected to occur over a longer period of time, during which the hedge positions within Jackson, where the underlying equity risk is greatest, would be rebalanced. The equity risk sensitivity analysis provided assumes that all equity indices fall by the same percentage.

The estimated sensitivity to a 10 per cent and 20 per cent change in equity and property prices at 30 June 2020 is as follows:

30 June 2020 Asia insurance $m US insurance $m
Decrease of 20%
Increase of 10%

Decrease of 20%
Increase of 10%
Net effect on shareholders' equity* (559)
302
2,174
(484)
*The effect from the instantaneous changes in equity and property prices above, if they arose, would impact profit after tax for Asia and the US
insurance operations, which would mostly be recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
The estimated sensitivity to a 10 per cent and 20 per cent change in equity and property prices at 31 December 2019 is as

follows:
31 December 2019 Asia insurance $m US insurance $m
Decrease of 20%
Increase of 10%

Decrease of 20%
Increase of 10%
Net effect on shareholders' equity* (816)
408

762
608
  • The effect from the instantaneous changes in equity and property prices above, if they arose, would impact profit after tax for Asia and the US insurance operations, which would mostly be recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns.

Asia insurance operations

Generally, changes in equity and property investment values are not directly offset by movements in non-linked policyholder liabilities. Movements in equities backing with-profits and unit-linked business have been excluded as they are generally matched by an equal movement in insurance liabilities (including unallocated surplus of with-profits funds). The impact on changes to future profitability as a result of changes to the asset values within unit-linked or with-profits funds have not been included in the instantaneous sensitivity above. The estimated sensitivities shown above include equity and property investments held by the Group’s joint venture and associate businesses.

US insurance operations

The sensitivity movements shown above exclude the impact of the instantaneous equity movements on the separate account fees, and include the movements relating to the reinsurance of GMIB guarantees.

They assume instantaneous market movements, while the actual impact on financial results would vary contingent upon the volume of new product sales and lapses, changes to the derivative portfolio, correlation of market returns and various other factors including volatility, interest rates and elapsed time.

Jackson is exposed to equity risk through the options embedded in the fixed indexed annuity liabilities and guarantees included in certain variable annuity benefits. This risk is managed using an equity hedging programme to minimise the risk of a significant economic impact as a result of increases or decreases in equity market levels. Jackson purchases futures and options that hedge the risks inherent in these products. Due to the nature of the valuation of the free-standing derivatives and the variable

42

annuity guarantee features under IFRS, this hedge, while effective on an economic basis, would not automatically offset within the financial statements as the impact of equity market movements resets the free-standing derivatives immediately while some of the hedged liabilities reset more slowly and fees are recognised prospectively in the period in which they are earned. Jackson’s hedging programme is primarily focused on managing the economic risks in the business and protecting statutory solvency in the circumstances of larger market movements. The hedging programme does not explicitly aim to hedge IFRS accounting results, which can lead to volatility in the IFRS results in a period of significant market movements, as was seen in the first half of 2020. In addition to the exposure explained above, Jackson is also exposed to equity risk from its holding of equity securities, partnerships in investment pools and other financial derivatives.

The sensitivities reflect the actual hedging portfolio in place at 30 June 2020 and 31 December 2019. The nature of Jackson’s dynamic hedging programme means that the portfolio, and hence the results of these sensitivities, will change on an ongoing basis. The impacts shown under an increase or decrease in equity markets at 30 June 2020 reflect the factors discussed above. The changes from the values shown at 31 December 2019 largely arise from the additional equity protection in place at 30 June 2020 following the market volatility seen over the first half of the year.

Asset management and other operations

The profit for the period of asset management operations is sensitive to the level of assets under management, as this significantly affects the value of management fees earned by the business in the current and future periods. Assets under management will rise and fall as equities increase or decrease in value with a consequential impact on profitability.

With the exception of the above, there is limited sensitivity to equity price risk.

C7 Deferred tax

The statement of financial position contains the following deferred tax assets and liabilities in relation to:

Half year 2020 $m
Movement in
Movement
through
other
comprehensive
Other
movements
including
foreign
Balance
income

income and

currency
Balance
at 1 Jan
statement
equity

movements
at 30 Jun
Deferred tax assets
Unrealised losses or gains on investments -
-
-
1
1

Balances relating to investment and insurance contracts
32
8
-
(1)
39

Short-term temporary differences
3,889
238
-
1
4,128

Unused tax losses
154
(64)
-
1
91
Total 4,075
182
-
2
4,259
Deferred tax liabilities
Unrealised losses or gains on investments (877)
19
7
3
(848)

Balances relating to investment and insurance contracts
(1,507)
(110)
-
68
(1,549)

Short-term temporary differences
(2,853)
(28)
-
-
(2,881)
Total (5,237)
(119)
7
71
(5,278)

43

C8 Share capital, share premium and own shares

30 Jun 2020 30 Jun 2019 31 Dec 2019
Number of Number of Number of
ordinary
Share
Share
ordinary
Share
Share

ordinary
Share
Share
Issued shares of 5p each shares
capital
premium
shares
capital
premium
shares
capital
premium

fully paid:


$m
$m


$m
$m


$m
$m
Balance at beginning of

period
2,601,159,949
172
2,625
2,593,044,409
166
2,502
2,593,044,409
166
2,502

Shares issued under share-
based schemes 7,700,498
-
10
6,751,790
-
13
8,115,540
-
22
Impact of change in

presentation currency
-
-
-
-
(1)
(3)
-
6
101
Balance at end of period 2,608,860,447
172
2,635
2,599,796,199
165
2,512
2,601,159,949
172
2,625

Options outstanding under save as you earn schemes to subscribe for shares at each period end shown below are as follows:

Number of shares Share price range Exercisable
to subscribe for from
to
by year
30 Jun 2020
2,197,782
1,104p
1,455p
2025
30 Jun 2019
3,808,687


901p
1,455p
2024
31 Dec 2019
3,805,447


1,104p
1,455p
2025

Transactions by Prudential plc and its subsidiaries in Prudential plc shares

The Group buys and sells Prudential plc shares (‘own shares’) either in relation to its employee share schemes or, up until the demerger of its UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) in October 2019, via transactions undertaken by authorised investment funds that the Group is deemed to control. The cost of own shares of $237 million at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $228 million; 31 December 2019: $183 million) is deducted from retained earnings. The Company has established trusts to facilitate the delivery of shares under employee incentive plans. At 30 June 2020, 11.5 million (30 June 2019: 9.5 million; 31 December 2019: 8.4 million) Prudential plc shares with a market value of $173 million (30 June 2019: $207 million; 31 December 2019: $161 million) were held in such trusts, all of which are for employee incentive plans. The maximum number of shares held during the period was 11.5 million which was in June 2020.

Within the trusts, shares are notionally allocated by business unit reflecting the employees to which the awards were made.

The Company purchased the following number of shares in respect of employee incentive plans:

Number of shares
purchased Cost*
(in millions) $m
Half year 2020 5.8 75.2
Half year 2019 3.1 64.2
Full year 2019 3.7 73.8
  • The cost in US dollars shown has been calculated from the share prices in pounds sterling using the monthly average exchange rate for the month in which those shares were purchased.

The Group consolidated a number of authorised investment funds where it was deemed to control these funds under IFRS up until the demerger in October 2019. Some of these funds held shares in Prudential plc and the cost of acquiring these shares was included in the cost of own shares in 2019.

All share transactions were made on an exchange other than the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong.

Other than set out above, the Group did not purchase, sell or redeem any Prudential plc listed securities during half year 2020 or 2019.

44

D OTHER INFORMATION

D1 Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Gain arising on reinsurance of Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity

businessnote (i)
846 -
-
Gain on disposalsnote (ii) - 270
265

Other transactionsnote (iii)
- (253)
(407)
Totalgain(loss) attaching to corporate transactions 846 17
(142)

Notes

(i) With effect from 1 June 2020, Jackson reinsured substantially all of its in-force portfolio of US fixed and fixed indexed annuities with Athene Life Re Ltd, which resulted in a pre-tax gain of $846 million, after allowing for the write-off of deferred acquisition costs associated with the business reinsured. The transaction excluded Jackson’s legacy life and institutional business as well as the REALIC portfolio and group pay-out annuity business reinsured from John Hancock and was collateralised to reduce the exposure to counterparty risk.

Under the reinsurance arrangement, Jackson reinsured $27.6 billion liabilities (valued at 1 June 2020) in return for a premium of $28.9 billion net of ceding commission, comprising principally of bonds. The pre-tax gain also includes the realised gains arising on the bonds net of the deferred acquisition costs written off as a result of the transaction. After allowing for tax and the reduction in unrealised gains recorded directly in other comprehensive income, the impact of the reinsurance transaction on IFRS shareholders’ equity is a reduction of $(1.1) billion.

(ii) In 2019, the gain on disposals principally related to profits arising from a 4 per cent reduction in the Group’s stake in its associate in India, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company, and the disposal of Prudential Vietnam Finance Company Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary that provides consumer finance.

(iii) In 2019, other transactions primarily reflected costs related to the demerger of the Group’s UK and Europe operations (M&G plc).

D2 Contingencies and related obligations

The Group is involved in various litigation and regulatory proceedings. These may from time to time include class actions involving Jackson. While the outcome of such litigation and regulatory issues cannot be predicted with certainty, the Company believes that their ultimate outcome will not have a material adverse effect on the Group’s financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

There have been no material changes to the Group’s contingencies and related obligations in the six month ended 30 June 2020.

D3 Post balance sheet events

First interim ordinary dividend

The 2020 first interim ordinary dividend approved by the Board of Directors after 30 June 2020 is as described in note B6.

Completion of the equity investment by Athene into US business

On 17 July 2020, the Group completed the equity investment by Athene into the US business, which was announced in June 2020. Under the transaction, Athene Life Re Ltd invested $500 million in Prudential’s US business in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest for which the voting interest is 9.9 per cent. Athene’s investment is in the form of a cash subscription for the issuance of new common equity in the holding company containing Prudential’s US businesses, including Jackson National Life Insurance Company and PPM America. If the transaction had completed at 30 June 2020, the effect on the IFRS shareholders’ equity would have been a reduction of $550 million. There would have been no impact on profit or loss for the period.

D4 Related party transactions

There were no transactions with related parties during the six months ended 30 June 2020 which have had a material effect on the results or financial position of the Group.

The nature of the related party transactions of the Group has not changed from those described in the Group’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2019.

45

Statement of Directors’ responsibilities

The Directors (who are listed below) are responsible for preparing the Half Year Financial Report in accordance with applicable law and regulations.

Accordingly, the Directors confirm that to the best of their knowledge:

  • the condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34, ‘Interim Financial Reporting’, as adopted by the European Union;

  • the Half Year Financial Report includes a fair review of information required by:

  • (a) DTR 4.2.7R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being an indication of important events that have occurred during the six months ended 30 June 2020, and their impact on the condensed consolidated financial statements, and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year; and

  • (b) DTR 4.2.8R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being related party transactions that have taken place during the six months ended 30 June 2020 and that have materially affected the financial position or performance of the Group during that period; and any changes in the related party transactions described in the Group’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2019 that could do so.

Prudential plc Board of Directors:

Prudential plc Board of Directors:
Chairman Independent Non-executive Directors
Paul Manduca The Hon. Philip Remnant CBE FCA
Jeremy Anderson CBE
Executive Directors David Law ACA
Michael Wells Kaikhushru Nargolwala FCA
Mark FitzPatrick CA Anthony Nightingale CMG SBS JP
James Turner FCA FCSI FRM Alice Schroeder
Shriti Vadera
Thomas Watjen
Fields Wicker-Miurin OBE
Amy Yip

11 August 2020

46

Independent Review Report to Prudential plc

Conclusion

We have been engaged by the Company to review the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) condensed set of financial statements in the Half Year Financial Report for the six months ended 30 June 2020 which comprises the Condensed Consolidated Income Statement, the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income, the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Changes in Equity, the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position, the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows and the related explanatory notes.

Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the IFRS condensed set of financial statements in the Half Year Financial Report for the six months ended 30 June 2020 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting as adopted by the European Union ('EU') and the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules ('the DTR') of the UK's Financial Conduct Authority ('the UK FCA').

We have also been engaged by the Company to review the European Embedded Value (EEV) basis supplementary financial information for the six months ended 30 June 2020 which comprises the Summarised Consolidated Income Statement, the Movement in Shareholders' Equity, the Summary Statement of Financial Position and the related explanatory notes.

Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the EEV basis supplementary financial information for the six months ended 30 June 2020 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the European Embedded Value Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in 2016 ("the EEV Principles"), using the methodology and assumptions set out in the Notes to the EEV basis supplementary financial information.

Scope of review

We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the UK. A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. We read the other information contained in the Half Year Financial Report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the IFRS condensed set of financial statements or the EEV basis supplementary financial information.

A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

Directors’ responsibilities

The Half Year Financial Report, including the IFRS condensed set of financial statements therein, is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the Directors. The Directors are responsible for preparing the Half Year Financial Report in accordance with the DTR of the UK FCA. The Directors have accepted responsibility for preparing the EEV basis supplementary financial information in accordance with the EEV Principles and for determining the methodology and assumptions used in the application of those principles.

The annual financial statements of the Group are prepared in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the EU. The Directors are responsible for preparing the IFRS condensed set of financial statements included in the Half Year Financial Report in accordance with IAS 34 as adopted by the EU.

The EEV basis supplementary financial information has been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles using the methodology and assumptions set out in the Notes to the EEV basis supplementary financial information. The EEV basis supplementary financial information should be read in conjunction with the IFRS condensed set of financial statements.

Our responsibility

Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the IFRS condensed set of financial statements in the Half Year Financial Report and the EEV basis supplementary financial information based on our reviews.

The purpose of our review work and to whom we owe our responsibilities

This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with the terms of our engagement to assist the Company in meeting the requirements of the DTR of the UK FCA and also to provide a review conclusion to the Company on the EEV basis supplementary financial information. Our review of the IFRS condensed set of financial statements has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we are required to state to it in this report and for no other purpose. Our review of the EEV basis supplementary financial information has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we have been engaged to state in this report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company for our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have reached.

Philip Smart For and on behalf of KPMG LLP

Chartered Accountants 15 Canada Square London E14 5GL 11 August 2020

47

I Additional financial information

I(i) Group capital position

Overview

Prudential plc applies the local capital summation method (LCSM) that has been agreed with the Hong Kong Insurance Authority (IA) to determine group regulatory capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels). Ultimately, Prudential will become subject to the Group Wide Supervision (GWS) framework. The timing of finalisation and implementation of the GWS Framework remains uncertain, although it is expected to become effective in early 2021. The Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region approved the enabling primary legislation in July and further implementation guidance is expected in the second half of the year. Subject to that guidance we currently expect the GWS methodology to be largely consistent to that applied under LCSM. Further detail on the LCSM is included in the basis of preparation section below.

For regulated insurance entities, the available and required capital included in the LCSM measure for Hong Kong IA Group regulatory purposes are based on the local solvency regime applicable in each jurisdiction. At 30 June 2020, the Prudential Group’s total surplus of available capital over the regulatory Group Minimum Capital Requirement (GMCR), calculated using this LCSM was $25.5 billion, before allowing for the payment of the 2020 first interim ordinary dividend.

The Group holds material participating business in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. If the available capital and minimum capital requirement attributed to this policyholder business are excluded, then the Prudential Group shareholder LCSM surplus of available capital over the regulatory GMCR at 30 June 2020 was $12.4 billion, before allowing for the payment of the 2020 first interim ordinary dividend.

Estimated Group LCSM capital position based on Group Minimum Capital Requirement (GMCR)

30 Jun 2020 31 Dec 2019
Less Less
Total
policyholder
Shareholder

Total
policyholder
Shareholder
Available capital ($bn) 37.0
(19.3)
17.7

33.1
(19.1)
14.0

Group Minimum Capital Requirement ($bn)
11.5
(6.2)
5.3

9.5
(5.0)
4.5

LCSM surplus (over GMCR) ($bn)
25.5
(13.1)
12.4

23.6
(14.1)
9.5

LCSM ratio (overGMCR) (%)
323%
334%
348%
309%

The shareholder LCSM capital position by segment is presented below at 30 June 2020 and 31 December 2019 for comparison:

Shareholder
Total
Less
Unallocated
Group
30 Jun 2020 ($bn)
Asia
policyholder
Asia
US
to a segment
total
Available capital
29.0
(19.3)
9.7
8.2
(0.2)
17.7

Group Minimum Capital Requirement
9.4
(6.2)
3.2
2.1
-
5.3

LCSM surplus (over GMCR)
19.6
(13.1)
6.5
6.1
(0.2)
12.4
Shareholder
Total
Less
Unallocated
Group
31 Dec 2019 ($bn)
Asia
policyholder
Asia
US
to a segment
total
Available capital
26.8
(19.1)
7.7
5.3
1.0
14.0


Group Minimum Capital Requirement
8.0
(5.0)
3.0
1.5
-
4.5


LCSM surplus(over GMCR)
18.8
(14.1)
4.7
3.8
1.0
9.5

The 30 June 2020 Jackson local statutory results reflect the reinsurance of an in-force portfolio of Jackson’s US fixed and fixed indexed annuity liabilities to Athene Life Re Ltd the effect of which is shown in the table below. Athene’s $500 million equity investment in Prudential’s US business in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest completed in July 2020 and is not reflected in the 30 June 2020 results above. If this transaction had been completed at 30 June 2020 the Group LCSM shareholder surplus (i.e. after allowing for the minority interest) would be $0.2 billion lower with the cover ratio increasing by 6 percentage points.

The 30 June 2020 Group LCSM position includes the impact of a change in the calculation of the valuation interest rate (VIR) used to value long term insurance liabilities in Hong Kong, which has been formally granted by the regulator.

Sensitivity analysis

The estimated sensitivity of the Group shareholder LCSM capital position (based on GMCR) to significant changes in market conditions is as follows:

conditions is as follows:
30 Jun 2020 31 Dec 2019
LCSM surplus
LCSM ratio

LCSM surplus
LCSM ratio
Impact of market sensitivities ($bn)
(%)
($bn)
(%)
Base position 12.4
334%
9.5
309%

Impact of:

10% instantaneous increase in equity markets
(0.7)
(3)%
n/a
n/a

20% instantaneous fall in equity markets
(0.2)
(5)%
1.5
(9)%

40% fall in equity marketsnote (1)
(1.2)
(19)%
(0.2)
(39)%

50 basis points reduction in interest rates
(0.2)
(13)%
(0.2)
(17)%

100 basis points increase in interest rates
(0.1)
24%
(1.3)
(19)%

100 basis pointsincreaseincredit spreadsnote (2)
0.2
12%
(1.6)
(36)%

48

Notes

  • (1) Where hedges are dynamic, rebalancing is allowed for by assuming an instantaneous 20 per cent fall followed by a further 20 per cent fall over a four-week period.

  • (2) At 31 December 2019 the US RBC solvency position was included using a stress of 10 times expected credit defaults rather than the 100 basis points increase in credit spreads applied at 30 June 2020.

The sensitivity results above assume instantaneous market movements and reflect all consequential impacts as at the valuation dates. In particular, where relevant, the 30 June 2020 sensitivities reflect potential tax benefits that would arise under the relief provided by the CARES Act in the US for 2020. An exception to the instantaneous market movements assumed is the -40 per cent equity sensitivity where for Jackson an instantaneous 20 per cent market fall is assumed to be followed by a further market fall of 20 per cent over a four-week period with dynamic hedges assumed to be rebalanced over the period. Aside from this assumed dynamic hedge rebalancing for Jackson in the -40 per cent equity sensitivity, the sensitivity results only allow for limited management actions such as changes to future policyholder bonuses. If such economic conditions persisted, the financial impacts may differ to the instantaneous impacts shown above. In this case management could also take additional actions to help mitigate the impact of these stresses. These actions include, but are not limited to, rebalancing investment portfolios, further market risk hedging, increased use of reinsurance, repricing of in-force benefits, changes to new business pricing and the mix of new business being sold.

Analysis of movement in Group shareholder LCSM surplus

A summary of the estimated movement in the Group shareholder LCSM surplus (based on GMCR) from $9.5 billion at 31 December 2019 to $12.4 billion at 30 June 2020 is set out in the table below.

December 2019 to $12.4 billion at 30 June 2020 is set out in the table below.
2020 ($bn) 2019 ($bn)
Half year Full year
Balance at beginning of period 9.5 9.7
Operating:
Operating capital generation from the in-force business 1.2 2.5
Investment in new business (0.2) (0.6)
Operating capital generation 1.0 1.9
Non-operating and other capital movements:
Non-operating experience (including market movements and modelling changes) 0.4 (0.6)
Regulatory changes 2.2 0.1
Reinsurance of US fixed and fixed indexed annuity in-force portfolio to Athene 0.8 -
Other corporate activities (excluding demerger items) (0.8) (0.8)
Demerger costs - (0.4)
Subordinated debt redemption - (0.5)
Demerger related impacts - 1.0
Non-operating results 2.6 (1.2)
Remittances from discontinued operations (M&G plc) - 0.7
External dividends (0.7) (1.6)
Net dividend impact (0.7) (0.9)
Net movement in LCSM surplus 2.9 (0.2)
Balance at end ofperiod 12.4 9.5

The estimated movement in the Group shareholder LCSM surplus over first half of 2020 is driven by:

  • Operating capital generation of $1.0 billion: generated by expected return on in-force business net of strain on new business written in 2020;

  • Non-operating experience of $0.4 billion : this reflects the impact of falling interest rates and equity markets on the level of policyholder reserves and required capital net of the favourable impact of mitigating hedging measures together with other management actions, including a $1.1 billion benefit from the change to the Hong Kong valuation interest rate described earlier, and US modelling refinements;

  • Regulatory changes of $2.2 billion : reflecting the benefit from the new Singapore risk-based capital framework (RBC2) effective at 31 March 2020;

  • Reinsurance of US fixed and fixed indexed annuity in-force portfolio to Athene of $0.8 billion : the impact of the transaction, which was effective at 1 June 2020, was an increase to LCSM surplus comprising of the ceding commission received and required capital released less tax and adverse consequential effects on the US’s available capital. This corresponds to a 25 percentage point increase in the Group LCSM cover ratio and is before the effect of the $500 million equity investment by Athene discussed above;

  • Other C orporate activities (excluding demerger items) of $(0.8) billion : this is the effect on LCSM surplus of corporate transactions in the period, which in 2020 comprised the strategic bancassurance partnership with TMB in Thailand, and;

  • Net dividend impact of $(0.7) billion : this is the payment of the 2019 second interim dividend paid in May 2020.

49

Reconciliation of Group shareholder LCSM surplus to EEV free surplus (excluding intangibles)

31 Dec 2019
30 Jun 2020 $bn $bn
Unallocated
Asia
US
to a segment
Group total
Group total
Estimated Group shareholder LCSM surplus (over GMCR) 6.5
6.1
(0.2)
12.4
9.5

Increase required capital for EEV free surplusnote (1)
(0.7)
(3.2)
-
(3.9)
(2.8)

Adjust surplus assets and core structural borrowings to market

valuenote (2)
0.3
0.2
(0.3)
0.2
0.3
Add back inadmissible assetsnote (3) 0.2
0.1
-
0.3
0.2
Deductions applied to EEV free surplusnote (4) (2.8)
-
-
(2.8)
(0.9)

Other
(0.1)
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.3
EEV free surplus excluding intangibles* 3.4
3.4
(0.4)
6.4
6.6
  • As per the “Free surplus excluding distribution rights and other intangibles” from note 10 of the Group’s EEV basis results.

Notes

  • (1) Required capital under EEV is set at least equal to local statutory notification requirements for Asia and so can differ from the minimum capital requirement. Jackson required capital is set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the NAIC at the Company Action Level (CAL). This is higher than the solo legal entity statutory minimum capital requirement of 100 per cent CAL that is included in the LCSM surplus (over GMCR).

  • (2) The EEV Principles require surplus assets to be included at fair value and central core senior debt is held at market value. Within LCSM surplus, some local regulatory regimes value certain assets at cost and core senior debt is held at amortised cost.

  • (3) LCSM restricts the valuation of certain sundry non-intangible assets. In most cases these assets are considered fully recognisable in free surplus. As an exception to this, both LCSM surplus and EEV free surplus restrict the deferred tax asset held by Jackson to the level allowed to be admitted by the local regulator in local statutory available capital.

  • (4) Deductions applied to EEV free surplus primarily include: the impact of reporting EEV free surplus for Singapore based on the Tier 1 requirements under the RBC2 framework, which removes certain negative reserves permitted to be recognised in the full RBC 2 regulatory position used for LCSM and applying the embedded value reporting approach issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA) within EEV free surplus as compared to the C-ROSS surplus reported for local regulatory purposes (predominantly arising from the requirement under the CAA embedded value methodology to establish a deferred profit liability within EEV net worth).

Reconciliation of Group IFRS shareholders’ equity to shareholder LCSM available capital position

30 Jun 2020 31 Dec 2019
$bn $bn
Group IFRS shareholders’ equity 19.1 19.5
Remove DAC, goodwill and intangibles recognised on the IFRS statement of financial position (19.3) (18.2)
Add subordinated debt at IFRS book valuenote (1) 4.5 4.6
Valuation differencesnote (2) 13.5 8.6
Other (0.1) (0.5)
Estimated Group shareholder LCSM available capital 17.7 14.0

Notes

(1) Subordinated debt is treated as available capital under LCSM but as a liability under IFRS.

(2) Valuation differences reflect differences in the basis of valuing assets and liabilities between IFRS and local statutory valuation rules, including deductions for inadmissible assets. Material differences arise in Jackson where IFRS variable annuity guarantee reserves are valued on a fair value basis compared to local statutory reserves which reflect long term historic rates. Further, local US statutory reserves are reduced by an expense allowance linked to surrender charges, whereas IFRS makes no such allowance but instead defers acquisition costs on the balance sheet as a separate asset (which is not recognised on the statutory balance sheet). Other material differences include in Singapore where the local available capital position under RBC2 permits the recognition of certain negative reserves in the local statutory position that are not recognised under IFRS.

50

Basis of preparation

In advance of the GWS framework coming into force, Prudential applies the local capital summation method (LCSM) that has been agreed with the Hong Kong IA to determine group regulatory capital requirements (both minimum and prescribed levels). The summation of local statutory capital requirements across the Group is used to determine group regulatory capital requirements, with no allowance for diversification between business operations. The Group available capital is determined by the summation of available capital across local solvency regimes for regulated entities and IFRS net assets (with adjustments described below) for non-regulated entities.

In determining the LCSM available capital and required capital the following principles have been applied:

  • For regulated insurance entities, available and required capital are based on the local solvency regime applicable in each jurisdiction, with minimum required capital set at the solo legal entity statutory minimum capital requirements. The treatment of participating funds is consistent with the local basis;

  • For the US insurance entities, available and required capital are based on the local US RBC framework set by the NAIC, with minimum required capital set at 100 per cent of the CAL RBC;

  • For asset management operations and other regulated entities, the shareholder capital position is derived based on the sectoral basis applicable in each jurisdiction, with minimum required capital based on the solo legal entity statutory minimum capital requirement;

  • For non-regulated entities, the available capital is based on IFRS net assets after deducting intangible assets. No required capital is held in respect of unregulated entities;

  • Investments in subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates (including, if any, loans that are recognised as capital on the receiving entity’s balance sheet) are eliminated from the relevant holding company to prevent the double counting of available capital; and

  • The Hong Kong IA has agreed that specific bonds (being those subordinated debt instruments held by Prudential plc at the date of demerger) can be included as part of the Group’s capital resources for the purposes of satisfying group minimum and prescribed capital requirements. Senior debt instruments held by Prudential plc have not been included as part of the Group capital resources and are treated as a liability in the LCSM results presented above (this is equivalent to a 27 per cent reduction in the Group shareholder LCSM coverage ratio (over GMCR)). Grandfathering provisions under the GWS framework remain subject to further consultation and the Hong Kong legislative process in due course.

51

I(ii) Funds under management

For Prudential’s asset management businesses, funds managed on behalf of third parties are not recorded on the statement of financial position. They are, however, a driver of profitability. Prudential therefore analyses the movement in the funds under management each period, focusing on those which are external to the Group and those primarily held by the Group’s insurance businesses. The table below analyses, by segment, the funds of the Group held in the statement of financial position and the external funds that are managed by Prudential’s asset management businesses.

external funds that are managed by Prudential’s asset management businesses.
2020 $bn 2019 $bn
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec*
Asia operations:
Internal funds 149.7 127.9
141.9
Eastspring Investments external funds, including M&G plc (as analysed in note I(v)) 98.1 110.1
124.7
247.8 238.0
266.6
US operations - internal funds 242.9 261.3
273.4

Other operations
3.4 5.0
3.9
TotalGroupfunds under management 494.1 504.3
543.9
* The half year 2019 comparatives have been adjusted to include cash and cash equivalents and to exclude assets held that are attributable to external unit holders
of consolidated collective investment schemes to align to the current period’s presentation since full year 2019. In addition, funds managed on behalf of M&G plc

are presented as external rather than internal funds under management to align to the presentation since the demerger in October 2019.

Note

Total Group funds under management comprise:

2020 $bn 2019 $bn
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Total investments and cash and cash equivalents held by the continuing operations on the

consolidated statement of financial position
388.4 389.2
412.6

External funds of Eastspring Investments, including M&G plc
98.1 110.1
124.7

Internally managed funds held in joint ventures and associate, excluding assets attributable

to external unit holders of the consolidated collective investment schemes and other
adjustments 7.6 5.0
6.6
Total Groupfunds under management 494.1 504.3
543.9

52

I(iii) Holding company cash flow

The holding company cash flow describes the movement in the cash and short-term investments of the centrally managed group holding companies and differs from the IFRS cash flow statement, which includes all cash flows in the year including those relating to both policyholder and shareholder funds. The holding company cash flow is therefore a more meaningful indication of the Group’s central liquidity.

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year


note (f)
note (f)
Net cash remitted by business units:note (a)

From continuing operations
Asianote (b) 400
578
950
Jacksonnote (b) -
509
509
Other operations 32
6
6
Total continuing operations 432 1,093
1,465

From discontinued UK and Europe operations
- 453
684
Net cash remittances by business units 432 1,546
2,149

Net interest paidnote (c)
(147) (283)
(527)

Tax received
94 120
265
Corporate activities (119) (125)
(260)
Total central outflows (172) (288)
(522)
Holding company cash flow before dividends and other movements 260 1,258
1,627

Dividends paid
(674) (1,108)
(1,634)
Operating holding company cash flow after dividends but before other movements (414) 150
(7)

Other movements
Issuance and redemption of debt for continuing operations 982
(504)
(504)

Other corporate activities relating to continuing operationsnote (d)
(762)
(330)
(338)

Transactions to effect the demerger, including debt substitutionnote (e)
-
(237)
(146)

Demerger costs
(17)
(211)
(424)

Early settlement of UK-inflation-linked derivative liability
- -
(587)
Total other movements 203 (1,282)
(1,999)
Total holding company cash flow (211) (1,132)
(2,006)

Cash and short-term investments at beginning of period
2,207 4,121
4,121

Foreign exchange movements
(89) 21
92
Cash and short-term investments at end of period 1,907 3,010
2,207

Notes

(a) Net cash remittances comprise dividends and other transfers from business units that are reflective of emerging earnings and capital generation.

  • (b) Significant cash remittances from business units were hedged into sterling using forward contracts during 2019 and these contracts determine the amount of sterling recorded in the holding company cash flow for the relevant remittances. The implicit rates may therefore differ from that applied to present the holding company cash flow in US dollars (see note (f)). The dividend paid by Jackson in the US in US dollars in 2019 was $525 million.

(c) The net interest paid in half year 2019 included $115 million (full year 2019: $231 million) on debt substituted to M&G plc shortly prior to its demerger.

  • (d) Other corporate activities relating to continuing operations primarily reflect payments made for bancassurance arrangements including those with UOB and TMB Bank.

  • (e) Transactions to effect the demerger represented the effects on holding company cash flow of steps taken in 2019 as part of the preparation for the demerger of the UK and Europe operations (M&G plc). These included the transfer of subsidiaries, settlement of intercompany loans, receipt of the pre-demerger dividend and the substitution of M&G plc as issuer of certain sub-ordinated debt in place of Prudential plc. Further information is provided in note I(iii) in additional financial information for the year ended 31 December 2019.

(f) At 31 December 2019, the Group changed its basis of managing central cash-holdings from sterling to US dollars. Accordingly, the half year 2020 holding company cash flow statement presented above has been prepared directly in US dollars and half year 2019 amounts are re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change. Half year and full year 2019 comparatives were prepared in sterling, reflecting the management of holding company cash at that time. Cash movements in the period have been converted from sterling into US dollars by using the month-end sterling to US dollar exchange rate for the month in which the transaction occurred. Cash balances at the start and end of the period were translated from sterling to US dollars using the spot rates at the beginning and end of the period respectively. As an exception to the above, external dividends paid during 2019 have been translated at the exchange rate relevant to the day they were paid to ensure consistency with the financial statements.

53

I(iv) Analysis of adjusted operating profit by driver

This schedule classifies the Group’s adjusted operating profit from continuing operations into the underlying drivers using the following categories:

  • Spread income represents the difference between net investment income and amounts credited to certain policyholder accounts. It excludes the operating investment return on shareholder net assets, which has been separately disclosed as expected return on shareholder assets.

  • Fee income represents profit driven by net investment performance, being fees that vary with the size of the underlying policyholder funds, net of investment management expenses.

  • With-profits represents the pre-tax shareholders’ transfer from the with-profits business for the period.

  • Insurance margin primarily represents profit derived from the insurance risks of mortality and morbidity.

  • Margin on revenues primarily represents amounts deducted from premiums to cover acquisition costs and administration expenses (see below).

  • Acquisition costs and administration expenses represent expenses incurred in the period attributable to shareholders. These exclude items such as restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs, which are not included in the segment profit, as well as items that are more appropriately included in other categories (eg investment expenses are netted against investment income as part of spread income or fee income as appropriate).

  • DAC adjustments comprise DAC amortisation for the period, excluding amounts related to short-term fluctuations in investment returns, net of costs deferred in respect of new business written in the period.

(a) Margin analysis

The following analysis expresses certain of the Group’s sources of adjusted operating profit as a margin of policyholder liabilities or other relevant drivers.

Half year 2020
Group Average
Asia US total liability Margin
$m $m $m $m bps
note (b) note (c)
Spread income 146 273 419 93,964 89
Fee income 135 1,596 1,731 208,714 166
With-profits 58 - 58 68,347 17
Insurance margin 1,287 708 1,995
Margin on revenues 1,345 1,345
Expenses:
Acquisition costs (864) (484) (1,348) 2,644 (51)%
Administration expenses (711) (853) (1,564) 310,524 (101)
DAC adjustments 117 (10) 107
Expected return on shareholder assets 95 26 121
1,608 1,256 2,864
Share of related tax charges from joint ventures and associate (18) - (18)
Adjusted operating profit – long-term business 1,590 1,256 2,846
Adjusted operating profit–asset management 143 10 153
Total segment adjusted operating profit 1,733 1,266 2,999
Half year 2019 AER Half year 2019 AER
Group Average
Asia US total liability Margin
$m $m $m $m bps
note (b) note (c)
Spread income 154 298 452 83,861 108
Fee income 144 1,601 1,745 203,145 172
With-profits 53 - 53 55,118 19
Insurance margin 1,103 711 1,814
Margin on revenues 1,454 1,454
Expenses:
Acquisition costs (1,038) (494) (1,532) 3,635 (42)%
Administration expenses (708) (825) (1,533) 290,416 (106)
DAC adjustments 170 247 417
Expected return on shareholder assets 90 18 108
1,422 1,556 2,978
Share of related tax charges from joint ventures and associate (5) - (5)
Adjusted operating profit – long-term business 1,417 1,556 2,973
Adjusted operating profit–asset management 133 16 149
Totalsegment adjusted operating profit 1,550 1,572 3,122

54

Half year 2019 CER
Group
Average
Asia
US

total

liability
Margin


$m
$m
$m
$m
bps
note (b)
note (c)
note (1)
note (2)
Spread income 150
298
448
84,020
107

Fee income
140
1,601
1,741
202,997
172
With-profits 52
-
52
55,170
19

Insurance margin
1,086
711
1,797

Margin on revenues
1,440
-
1,440

Expenses:

Acquisition costs
(1,029)
(494)
(1,523)
3,615
(42)%

Administration expenses




(695)
(825)
(1,520)
290,426
(105)

DAC adjustments




169
247
416

Expected return on shareholder assets
88
18
106
1,401
1,556
2,957
Share of related tax charges from joint ventures and associate (5)
-
(5)
Adjusted operating profit – long-term business 1,396
1,556
2,952

Adjusted operating profit–asset management
130
16
146
Totalsegment adjusted operating profit 1,526
1,572
3,098

55

(b) Margin analysis – Asia

Half year 2020 Half year 2019 AER Half year 2019 CERnote (6)
Average Average Average
Profit
liability
Margin
Profit
liability
Margin
Profit
liability
Margin
$m
$m
bps
$m
$m
bps
$m
$m
bps
note (1)
note (2)

note (1)
note (2)
note (1)
note (2)
Spread income 146
37,082
79
154
27,774
111
150
27,933
107

Fee income
135
27,712
97
144
26,536
109
140
26,388
106
With-profits 58
68,347
17
53
55,118
19
52
55,170
19

Insurance margin
1,287 1,103 1,086

Margin on revenues
1,345 1,454 1,440

Expenses:

Acquisition costsnote (3)
(864)
1,665
(52)%
(1,038)
2,560
(41)%
(1,029)
2,540
(41)%

Administration expenses
(711)
64,794
(219)


(708)
54,310
(261)
(695)
54,320
(256)

DAC adjustmentsnote (4)
117

170
169

Expected return on shareholder

assets
95 90 88
1,608 1,422 1,401
Share of related tax charges

from joint ventures and

associatenote (5)
(18) (5) (5)
Adjusted operating profit – long-

term business
1,590 1,417 1,396
Adjusted operating profit – asset

management

(Eastspring Investments)
143 133 130
Total Asia adjusted operating

profit
1,733 1,550 1,526

Notes

(1) For Asia, opening and closing policyholder liabilities have been used to derive an average balance for the period, as a proxy for average balances throughout the period.

(2) Margin represents the operating return earned in the period as a proportion of the relevant class of policyholder liabilities excluding unallocated surplus.

(3) The ratio of acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE sales including with-profits sales. Acquisition costs include only those relating to shareholder-backed business.

(4) The DAC adjustments contain a credit of $13 million in respect of joint ventures and associate in half year 2020 (half year 2019: credit of $32 million on an AER basis).

(5) Under IFRS, the Group’s share of results from its investments in joint ventures and associate accounted for using the equity method is included in the Group’s profit before tax on a net of related tax basis. These tax charges are shown separately in the analysis of Asia operating profit drivers in order for the contribution from the joint ventures and associate to be included in the margin analysis on a consistent basis as the rest of the Asia’s operations.

(6) The half year 2019 comparative information has been presented at both AER and CER to eliminate the impact of exchange translation. CER results are calculated by translating prior period results using the current year foreign exchange rates. All CER profit figures have been translated at current period average rates. For Asia, CER average liabilities have been translated using current period opening and closing exchange rates.

56

(c) Margin analysis – US

Half year 2020 Half year 2020 Half year 2019
Average Average
Profit
liability
Margin
Profit
liability
Margin


$m
$m
bps
$m
$m
bps
note (1)
note (2)
note (1)
note (2)
Spread income 273
56,882
96
298
56,087
106

Fee income
1,596
181,002
176
1,601
176,609
181
Insurance margin 708
-
-
711
-
-

Expenses:

Acquisition costsnote (3)
(484)
979
(49)%
(494)
1,075
(46)%

Administration expenses
(853)
245,730
(69)
(825)
236,106
(70)

DAC adjustments
(10) 247

Expected return on shareholder assets
26 18
Adjusted operating profit – long-term business 1,256 1,556

Adjusted operating profit–asset management
10 16
Total US adjusted operating profit 1,266 1,572

Notes

(1) The calculation of average liabilities for the US is generally derived from month-end balances throughout the period as opposed to opening and closing balances only. The average liabilities for fee income in the US have been calculated using daily balances instead of month-end balances in order to provide a more meaningful analysis of the fee income, which is charged on the daily account balance. Average liabilities for spread income are based on the general account liabilities to which spread income is attached and exclude the liabilities reinsured to Athene in the June 2020 month-end balance. Average liabilities used to calculate the administration expenses margin exclude the REALIC liabilities reinsured to third parties prior to the acquisition by Jackson and the liabilities reinsured to Athene in the June 2020 month-end balance.

(2) Margin represents the operating return earned in the period as a proportion of the relevant class of policyholder liabilities.

(3) The ratio of acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE sales relating to shareholder-backed business.

Analysis of adjusted operating profit for US insurance operations before and after acquisition costs and DAC adjustments

**Halfyear 2020 $m ** **Halfyear 2020 $m ** **Halfyear 2019 $m ** **Halfyear 2019 $m **
Before
acquisition
costs and DAC
After
acquisition
costs and
DAC
Before
acquisition
costs and
DAC
After
acquisition
costs and DAC
costs an

costs and DAC
DAC
adjustment s
Acquisition costs
adjustments
adjustment s
Acquisition costs
adjustments
Incurred
Deferred
Incurred
Deferred
Total adjusted operating profit before acquisition costs and

DAC adjustments

1,750
-
-
1,750
1,803
-
-
1,803

Less investment in new business
-
(484)
353
(131)
-
(494)
369
(125)
Other DAC adjustments - amortisation of previously

deferred acquisition costs:

Normal
-
-
(331)
(331)
-
-
(313)
(313)
Deceleration (acceleration) -
-
(32)
(32)
-
-
191
191
TotalUS adjusted operating profit– long-termbusiness 1,750
(484)
(10)
1,256
1,803
(494)
247
1,556

57

I(v) Asia operations – analysis of adjusted operating profit by business unit

(a) Analysis of adjusted operating profit by business unit

Adjusted operating profit for Asia operations are analysed below. The table below presents the half year 2019 results on both AER and CER bases to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

Half year 2020 vs half year
2020 $m 2019 $m
2019 %
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Half year AER
CER

AER
CER

AER
China JV 101 89
86

13%
17%

219
Hong Kong 412 337
340

22%
21%

734

Indonesia
249 258
251

(3)%
(1)%

540
Malaysia 158 141
136


12%
16%


276

Philippines
40 34
34

18%
18%

73

Singapore
262 228
219

15%
20%

493

Taiwan
37 31
32

19%
16%

74
Thailand 75 62
63

21%
19%

170
Vietnam 125 108
108

16%
16%

237
Other 45 38
39

18%
15%

70
Non-recurrent items* 104 96
93

8%
12%

138
Total insurance operations 1,608 1,422
1,401

13%
15%

3,024

Share of related tax charges from joint

ventures and associate
(18) (5)
(5)

260%
260%

(31)
Total long-term business 1,590 1,417
1,396

12%
14%

2,993

Asset management (Eastspring Investments)

143
133
130

8%
10%

283
Total Asia 1,733 1,550
1,526
12%
14%
3,276
  • In half year 2020, the adjusted operating profit for Asia insurance operations included a net credit of $104 million (half year 2019: $96 million; full year 2019: $138 million) representing a small number of items that are not expected to reoccur.

(b) Analysis of Eastspring Investments adjusted operating profits

2020 $m
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Operating income before performance-related feesnote (1) 313
309
636

Performance-related fees
2
1
12
Operating income (net of commission)note (2) 315
310
648

Operating expensenote (2)
(157)
(157)
(329)

Group's share of tax on joint ventures'operating profit
(15)
(20)
(36)
Adjusted operating profit 143
133
283
Average funds managed by Eastspring Investments $224.1bn
$206.7bn
$214.0bn

Margin based on operating income*
28bps
30bps
30bps

Cost/income ratio†

50%




51%
52%

Notes

(1) Operating income before performance-related fees for Eastspring Investments can be further analysed as follows:

Retail
Margin
Institutional‡
Margin
Total
Margin***


$m
bps
$m
bps
$m
bps
30 Jun 2020
188
50
125
17
313
28
30 Jun 2019
191
51
118
18
309
30
31 Dec2019
392
52
244
18
636
30
  • Margin represents operating income before performance-related fees as a proportion of the related funds under management (FUM). Half year figures have been annualised by multiplying by two. Monthly closing internal and external funds managed by Eastspring have been used to derive the average. Any funds held by the Group's insurance operations that are managed by third parties outside the Prudential Group are excluded from these amounts.

  • † Cost/income ratio represents cost as a percentage of operating income before performance-related fees.

  • Institutional includes internal funds.

  • (2) Operating income and expense include the Group’s share of contribution from joint ventures. In the condensed consolidated income statement of the Group IFRS basis results, the net post-tax income of the joint ventures and associates is shown as a single line item.

58

(c) Eastspring Investments total funds under management

Eastspring Investments, the Group’s asset management business in Asia, manages funds from external parties and also funds for the Group’s insurance operations. The table below analyses the total funds managed and Eastspring Investments.

2020 $bn
2019 $bn
30 Jun
30 Jun
31 Dec*
External funds under management, excluding funds managed on behalf

of M&G plcnote (1)
Retail 59.4
62.4
73.7
Institutional 10.0
9.4
11.0
Money market funds (MMF) 13.0
13.4
13.3
82.4
85.2
98.0
Funds managed on behalf of M&G plcnote (2) 15.7
24.9
26.7
External funds under management including M&G plc 98.1
110.1
124.7

Internal funds under management
121.6
105.6
116.4
Total funds under managementnote (3) 219.7
215.7
241.1
  • The half year 2019 comparatives have been re-presented to show the $24.9 billion of funds managed on behalf of M&G plc as external rather than internal funds under management to align to the presentation since the demerger in October 2019.

Notes

(1) External funds under management, excluding those managed on behalf of M&G plc – analysis of movements

2020 $m
2019 $m
30 Jun
30 Jun
31 Dec
At beginning of period 98,005
77,762
77,762

Market gross inflows
69,839
154,998
282,699

Redemptions
(78,172)
(152,306)
(276,215)

Market and other movements
(7,348)
4,770
13,759
At end ofperiod* 82,324
85,224
98,005
  • The analysis of movements above includes $13,021 million relating to Asia Money Market Funds at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: $13,352 million; 31 December 2019: $13,337 million). Investment flows for half year 2020 include Eastspring Money Market Funds gross inflows of $48,234 million (half year 2019: gross inflows of $133,709 million; full year 2019: $236,603 million) and net inflows of $29 million (half year 2019: net outflows of $(1,264) million; full year 2019: net outflows of $(1,856) million).

  • (2) Funds managed on behalf of M&G plc – analysis of movements

2020 $m
30 Jun
At beginning of period 26,717

Net flows
(7,258)
Other (3,717)
At end ofperiod 15,742
  • (3) Total funds under management – analysis by asset class
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2019
31 Dec 2019
$bn
% of total
$bn
% of total
$bn
% of total
Equity
86.3
39%
98.8
46%
107.0
44%

Fixed income
115.7
53%
99.3
46%
116.2
48%
Alternatives
2.9
1%
3.1
1%
3.4
2%
Money Market Funds
14.8
7%
14.5
7%
14.5
6%
Total funds under management
219.7
100%
215.7
100%
241.1
100%

59

II Calculation of alternative performance measures

The half year 2020 report uses alternative performance measures (APMs) to provide more relevant explanations of the Group’s financial position and performance. This section sets out explanations for each APM and reconciliations to relevant IFRS balances.

II(i) Reconciliation of adjusted operating profit to profit before tax

Adjusted operating profit presents the operating performance of the business. This measurement basis adjusts for the following items within total IFRS profit before tax:

  • Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business;

  • Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments arising on the purchase of business; and

  • Gain or loss on corporate transactions, such as the effect of the Jackson’s reinsurance arrangement with Athene Life Re Ltd in half year 2020, disposals undertaken and costs connected to the demerger of M&G plc from Prudential plc in 2019.

More details on how adjusted operating profit is determined are included in note B1.3 of the Group IFRS basis results. A full reconciliation to profit after tax is given in note B1.1.

II(ii) Calculation of IFRS gearing ratio

IFRS gearing ratio is calculated as net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses divided by closing IFRS shareholders’ equity plus net core structural borrowings.

shareholders’ equity plus net core structural borrowings.
2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses 6,499 9,470
5,594

Less holding company cash and short-term investments
(1,907) (3,010)
(2,207)
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses 4,592 6,460
3,387

Closing shareholders’equity
19,110 25,037
19,477
Closing shareholders’ equity plus net core structural borrowings 23,702 31,497
22,864
IFRS gearing ratio 19% 21%
15%

II(iii) Return on IFRS shareholders’ equity

As stated in the 2019 Annual Report, the Group has introduced a new return on equity performance measure for the Group’s 2020 Prudential Long-Term Incentive Plan (PLTIP) awards alongside other metrics. This measure is calculated as adjusted operating profit after tax, and net of non-controlling interests, divided by average shareholders’ equity. Accordingly, the calculation of the return on IFRS shareholders’ equity has been aligned at half year 2020 and is now based on average shareholders’ equity.

In terms of comparatives, the significant changes in Group’s shareholders’ equity as a result of the demerger of M&G plc in October 2019 results in Group half year 2019 comparatives that are not meaningful. Asia and US half year 2019 returns on shareholders’ equity have been re-presented on average shareholders’ equity basis. The full year 2019 returns disclosed in the table below are consistent with those previously published and use profit from continuing operations and closing shareholders’ equity. As supplementary information, full year 2019 Asia and US returns on shareholders’ equity have also been presented on an average shareholders’ equity basis.

Detailed reconciliation of adjusted operating profit to IFRS profit before tax for the Group is shown in note B1.1 to the Group IFRS basis results.

IFRS basis results.
Half year 2020* $m Half year 2019* $m
Asia
US
Other
Group†
Asia
US
Adjusted operating profit 1,733
1,266
(458)
2,541
1,550
1,572

Tax on adjusted operating profit
(260)
(195)
(12)
(467)
(217)
(263)
Operating profit attributable to non-
(22)
-
-
(22)
(5)
-

controlling interests
Adjusted operating profit, net of tax and
1,451
1,071
(470)
2,052
1,328
1,309

non-controlling interests

Average shareholders’equity
11,198
8,942
(846)
19,294
8,951
7,879
Operating return on average
26%
24%
n/a
21%
30%
33%

shareholders’ equity (%)
  • Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.

† Given the significant changes of Group shareholders’ equity as a result of the demerger of the UK and Europe operations in October 2019, it is not meaningful to compare the half year 2020 and half year 2019 returns on shareholders’ equity at a Group level. The half year 2019 comparatives have therefore excluded the presentation of a Group return on shareholders’ equity. Additionally, the half year 2019 comparatives for Asia and US operations have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the use of average rather than opening shareholders’ equity to be on a comparable basis with the half year 2020 calculation.

==> picture [514 x 48] intentionally omitted <==

60

Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Add back
demerger-
related
Adjusted
Group
(excluding
demerger-
related
Continuing operations Asia
US
Other
Group
items
items)*
Adjusted operating profit 3,276
3,070
(1,036)
5,310
179
5,489

Tax on adjusted operating profit

(436)
(437)
100
(773)
(34)
(807)

Operating profit attributable to non-controlling interests





(6)
-
(3)
(9)
-
(9)
Adjusted operating profit, net of tax and non-controlling interests 2,834
2,633
(939)
4,528
145
4,673

Closing shareholders’equity

10,866
8,929
(318)
19,477
-
19,477
Operating return on closing shareholders’ equity (%) 26%
29%
n/a
23%
-
24%
Supplementary information:

Average shareholders’ equity
9,521
8,046

Operating returnon average shareholders’ equity (%)
30%
33%
* Demerger-related items comprise interest on the subordinated debt that was substituted to M&G plc prior to the demerger ($179 million pre-tax) and one-off costs

of the demerger ($407 million pre-tax).
Average shareholders’ equity has been based on opening and closing balances as follows:
Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Asia
US
Other
Group

Asia
US
Asia
US
Balance at beginning of period 10,866
8,929
(318)
19,477

8,175
7,163
8,175
7,163

Balance at end of period
11,529
8,955
(1,374)
19,110

9,727
8,594
10,866
8,929
Average shareholders’ equity 11,198
8,942
(846)
**19,294 **

8,951
7,879
9,521
8,046

II(iv) Calculation of IFRS shareholders’ funds per share

IFRS shareholders’ funds per share is calculated as closing IFRS shareholders’ equity divided by the number of issued shares at the end of the period (30 June 2020: 2,609 million shares; 30 June 2019: 2,600 million shares; 31 December 2019: 2,601 million shares).

30 Jun 2020
Total
continuing
Discontinued
UK and
Europe
Asia
US
Other

operations

operations
Group total
Closing IFRS shareholders’ equity ($ million) 11,529
8,955
(1,374)
19,110
-
19,110

Shareholders’ fundsper share(cents)
442¢
343¢
(53)¢
732¢
-
732¢
30 Jun 2019
Total
continuing
Discontinued
UK and
Europe
Asia
US
Other

operations

operations
Group total
Closing IFRS shareholders’ equity ($ million) 9,727
8,594
(3,822)
14,499
10,538
25,037

Shareholders’ fundsper share(cents)
374¢
331¢
(147)¢
558¢
405¢
963¢
31 Dec 2019
Total
continuing
Discontinued
UK and
Europe
Asia
US
Other

operations

operations
Group total
Closing IFRS shareholders’ equity ($ million) 10,866
8,929
(318)
19,477
-
19,477

Shareholders’ fundsper share(cents)
418¢
343¢
(12)¢
749¢
-
749¢

61

II(v) Calculation of asset management cost/income ratio

The asset management cost/income ratio is calculated as asset management operating expenses, adjusted for commission and joint venture contribution, divided by asset management total IFRS revenue adjusted for commission, joint venture contribution, performance-related fees and non-operating items.

performance-related fees and non-operating items.
Eastspring Investments
2020 $m
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Operating income before performance-related feesnote 313
309
636

Share of joint venture revenue
(111)
(120)
(244)

Commission
85
88
165
Performance-related fees 2
1
12
IFRS revenue 289
278
569
Operating expense 157
157
329

Share of joint venture expense
(45)
(52)
(102)

Commission
85
88
165
IFRS charges 197
193
392
Cost/income ratio: operating expense/operating income

beforeperformance-related fees
50%
51%
52%

Note

IFRS revenue and charges for Eastspring Investments are included within the IFRS Income statement in ‘other income’ and ‘acquisition costs and other expenditure’ respectively. Operating income and expense include the Group’s share of contribution from joint ventures. In the consolidated income statement of the Group IFRS basis results, the net post-tax income of the joint ventures and associates is shown as a single line item.

II(vi) Reconciliation of Asia renewal insurance premium to gross premiums earned

Reconciliation of Asia renewal insurance premium to gross earned premiums and calculation of Asia Life weighted premium income.

2020 $m
2019 $m
AER
CER
Half year
Half year
Half year
Full year
Asia renewal insurance premium 9,702
9,177
9,123
19,007

Add: General insurance premium
66
65
65
135

Add: IFRS gross earned premium from new regular and single premium business
2,054

3,113
3,101
6,386

Less: Renewal premiums from joint ventures
(932)

(897)
(858)
(1,771)
Asia segment IFRS gross premiums earned
10,890
11,458
11,431
23,757
Asia renewal insurance premium (as above)
9,702

9,177
9,123
19,007

Asia APE
1,665

2,560
2,540
5,161
Asia life weighted premium income
**11,367 **

11,737
11,663
24,168

II(vii) Reconciliation of APE new business sales to gross premiums earned

The Group reports APE new business sales as a measure of the new policies sold in the period. This differs from the IFRS measure of gross premiums earned as shown below:

measure of gross premiums earned as shown below:
2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Annual premium equivalents (APE) 2,644 3,635
7,384

Adjustment to include 100% of single premiums on new business sold in the periodnote (a)
10,205 11,337
23,409

Premiums from in-force business and other adjustmentsnote (b)
6,993 6,109
14,271
Grosspremiums earned 19,842 21,081
45,064

Notes

  • (a) APE new business sales only include one-tenth of single premiums, recorded on policies sold in the period. Gross premiums earned include 100 per cent of such premiums.

  • (b) Other adjustments principally include amounts in respect of the following:

  • Gross premiums earned include premiums from existing in-force business as well as new business. The most significant amount is recorded in Asia, where a significant portion of regular premium business is written. Asia in-force premiums form the vast majority of the other adjustment amount;

  • APE includes new policies written in the period which are classified as investment contracts without discretionary participation features under IFRS 4, arising mainly in Jackson for guaranteed investment contracts. These are excluded from gross premiums earned and recorded as deposits;

  • APE new business sales are annualised while gross premiums earned are recorded only when revenues are due; and

  • – For the purpose of reporting APE new business sales, the Group’s share of amounts sold by the Group’s insurance joint ventures and associates are included. Under IFRS, joint ventures and associates are equity accounted and so no amounts are included within gross premiums earned.

==> picture [514 x 49] intentionally omitted <==

62

II(viii) Reconciliation between IFRS and EEV shareholders’ equity

The table below shows the reconciliation of EEV shareholders’ equity and IFRS shareholders’ equity at the end of the period:

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
EEV shareholders’ equity 48,942 67,983
54,711

Less: Value of in-force business of long-term businessnote (a)
(33,771) (45,267)
(41,893)

Deferred acquisition costs assigned zero value for EEV purposes
14,601 13,291
14,239

Othernote (b)
(10,662) (10,970)
(7,580)
IFRS shareholders’ equity 19,110 25,037
19,477

Notes

(a) The EEV shareholders’ equity comprises the present value of the shareholders’ interest in the value of in-force business, total net worth of long-term business operations and IFRS shareholders’ equity of asset management and other operations. The value of in-force business reflects the present value of expected future shareholder cash flows from long-term in-force business which are not captured as shareholders’ interest on an IFRS basis. Total net worth represents the net assets for EEV reporting that reflect the regulatory basis position, with adjustments to achieve consistency with the IFRS treatment of certain items as appropriate.

(b) Other adjustments represent asset and liability valuation differences between IFRS and the local regulatory reporting basis used to value total net worth for long-term insurance operations. These also include the mark-to-market value movements of the Group’s core structural borrowings which are fair valued under EEV but are held at amortised cost under IFRS. The most significant valuation differences relate to changes in the valuation of insurance liabilities. For example, in Jackson, IFRS liabilities are higher than the local regulatory basis as they are principally based on policyholder account balances (with a deferred acquisition costs recognised as an asset), whereas the local regulatory basis used for EEV reporting is based on expected future cash flows due to the policyholder on a prudent basis, with the consideration of an expense allowance, as applicable, but with no separate deferred acquisition cost asset.

==> picture [514 x 39] intentionally omitted <==

63

European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results

European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results
European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results
Page
Summarised consolidated income statement
1
Movement in EEV basis shareholders’ equity
2
Summary statement of EEV basis financial position
3
Notes on the EEV basis results
1
Basis of preparation
4
2
Results analysis by business area
5
3
Analysis of new business profit
6
4
Operating profit from long-term business in force
7
5
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
8
6
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
8
7
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses
9
8
Loss attaching to corporate transactions
9
9
Analysis of movement in total net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
10
10
Analysis of movement in free surplus
11
11
Sensitivity of results to alternative economic assumptions
14
12
Methodology and accounting presentation
16
13
Assumptions
21
14
Insurance new business
24
15
Post balance sheet event
24
Additional EEV financial information*
A
New business schedules
25
A(i)
Insurance operations (actual and constant exchange rates)
26
A(ii)
Insurance new business APE (actual and constant exchange rates)
27
A(iii)
Insurance new business profit (actual and constant exchange rates)
27
A(iv)
Investment operations (actual exchange rates)
28
B
Calculation of return on embedded value
29
C
Calculation of EEV shareholders’ funds per share
30
Description of EEV basis reporting
In broad terms, IFRS profit for long-term business reflects the aggregate of results on a traditional accounting basis. By contrast,
EEV is a way of reporting the value of the life insurance business.
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO
Forum in 2016. The EEV Principles provide consistent definitions, a framework for setting actuarial assumptions and an
approach to the underlying methodology and disclosures. All results are stated net of tax and converted using actual exchange
rates (AER) unless otherwise stated. AER are actual historical exchange rates for the specific accounting period.

* The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG LLP independent review opinion.

European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results

SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT

SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
Half year 2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year
Full year*
Note
Asia
US
Group total


Group total
Group total
Continuing operations:

New business
3
912
248
1,160
2,125
4,405
Business in force
4
998
440
1,438
1,652
3,240
Long-term business 1,910
688
2,598
3,777
7,645

Asset management
126
8
134
131
275
Operating profit from long-term and asset management businesses 2,036
696
2,732
3,908
7,920
Other income and expenditurenote (i) (415) (467)
(923)

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(102)

(26)
(92)
Operating profit for the period 2,215 3,415
6,905

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
5
415 2,884
3,254
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
6
(7,026) (1,774)
(1,868)

Impact of NAIC reform, hedge modelling and other related changes in the


USnote (ii)
- -
(3,457)
Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings
7
17
(636)
(466)

Loss attaching to corporate transactions
8
(423)

(31)
(207)
Non-operating (loss) profit (7,017) 443
(2,744)
(Loss) profit for the period from continuing operations (4,802) 3,858
4,161

Profit (loss) for the period from discontinued operations
- 1,657
(4,797)
(Loss) profit for the period (4,802) 5,515
(636)
Attributable to:
Equity holders of the Company:

From continuing operations
(4,824) 3,852
4,152

From discontinued operations
- 1,657
(4,797)

Non-controlling interests from continuing operations
22
6
9
(4,802) 5,515
(636)
EEV basis basic earnings per share
2020 2019
Half year Half year
Full year
Based on operating profit from continuing operations, after non-controlling

interests (in cents)
84.5¢ 132.0¢
266.6¢

Based on (loss) profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the

Company (in cents)
From continuing operations
From discontinued operations
(185.8)¢ 149.1¢
160.5¢
- 64.2¢
(185.4)¢
(185.8)¢ 213.3¢
(24.9)¢
Weighted average number of shares in the period (millions) 2,596 2,583
2,587
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Notes

(i) EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis results for other operations (including interest costs on core structural borrowings, corporate expenditure for head office functions in London and Hong Kong, the Group’s treasury function and Africa operations) less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 12(i)(g)).

(ii) The $(3,457) million impact of NAIC reform, hedge modelling and other related changes in the US in full year 2019 related to the implementation of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) changes to the US statutory reserve and capital framework for variable annuities, early-adopted by Jackson at 31 December 2019. As part of the implementation of these changes, enhancements were made to the model used to allow for hedging within US statutory reporting, which were subsequently utilised within EEV to update the allowance for the long-term cost of hedging under EEV economic assumptions, alongside a number of other changes following the NAIC reform with the objective of bringing the EEV free surplus more in line with the US statutory basis of reporting. No subsequent changes were made to the approach to the long-term cost of hedging allowance for EEV reporting in half year 2020.

1

MOVEMENT IN EEV BASIS SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

Half year 2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year
Full year*
Asia
US
Other
Group total

Group total

Group total
Continuing operations:

Operating profit from long-term and asset management

businesses
2,036
696
-
2,732
3,908
7,920
Other income and expenditure
-
-
(415)
(415)
(467)
(923)

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(29)
(9)
(64)
(102)

(26)
(92)
Operating profit (loss) for the period
2,007
687
(479)
2,215
3,415
6,905

Non-operating (loss) profit
(3,161)
(3,927)
71
(7,017)
443
(2,744)
(Loss) profit for the period from continuing

operations
(1,154)
(3,240)
(408)
(4,802)
3,858
4,161

(Loss) profit for the period from discontinued

operationsnote (iv)
1,657
(4,797)
(Loss) profit for the period
(1,154)
(3,240)
(408)
(4,802)
5,515
(636)
Non-controlling interests
(22)
-
-
(22)
(6)
(9)

Foreign exchange movements on operations
(540)
-
27
(513)

154
666

Intra-group dividends and investment in operationsnote (i)
(356)
-
356
-
-
-

External dividends
-
-
(674)
(674)
(1,108)
(1,634)
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets
backing surplus and required capital
-
317
-
317
177
206

Other movementsnote (ii)
89
124
(288)
(75)
(151)
95
Demerger dividend in specie of M&G plcnote (iv)
-
-
-
-
-
(7,379)
Net (decrease) increase in shareholders’ equity
(1,983)
(2,799)
(987)
(5,769)
4,581
(8,691)

Shareholders'equity at beginning of period
39,235
16,342
(866)
54,711

63,402
63,402
Shareholders’ equity at end ofperiod
37,252
13,543
(1,853)
48,942
67,983
54,711
Representing:

Long-term business
35,940
13,531
-
49,471
68,927
54,179

Asset management and other
538
12
(1,879)
(1,329)
(3,061)
(290)

Goodwill attributable to shareholders
774
-
26
800

2,117
822
Shareholders'equity at end of period
37,252
13,543
(1,853)
48,942
67,983
54,711
Shareholders'equity pershare at end ofperiodnote (iii)
1,428¢
519¢
(71)¢
1,876¢
2,615¢
2,103¢
Long-term business
37,843
16,336
-
54,179
64,174
64,174

Asset management and other
596
6
(892)
(290)
(2,874)
(2,874)

Goodwill attributable to shareholders
796
-
26
822

2,102
2,102
Shareholders'equity at beginning of period
39,235
16,342
(866)
54,711
63,402
63,402
Shareholders' equity per share at beginning of

periodnote (iii)
1,508¢
628¢
(33)¢
2,103¢
2,445¢
2,445¢
* The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from

pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Notes

(i) Intra-group dividends represent dividends that have been declared in the period. Investment in operations reflects movements in share capital. The amounts included for these items in the analysis of movement in free surplus (note 10) for Asia are as per the holding company cash flow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, foreign exchange and other non-cash items.

(ii) Other movements include reserve movements in respect of share capital subscribed, share-based payments, treasury shares and intra-group transfers between operations that have no overall effect on the Group’s shareholders’ equity.

(iii) Based on the number of issued shares at 30 June 2020 of 2,609 million shares (30 June 2019: 2,600 million shares; 31 December 2019: 2,601 million shares).

(iv) Discontinued operations for half year and full year 2019 related to the UK and Europe operations (M&G plc) that were demerged from the Group in October 2019. The demerger dividend in specie of M&G plc was recorded at the fair value of M&G plc at the date of the demerger on 18 October 2019. The difference between the fair value and its carrying value, together with profit earned up to the date of the demerger were recorded as loss for the period from the discontinued UK and Europe operations in full year 2019.

2

SUMMARY STATEMENT OF EEV BASIS FINANCIAL POSITION

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec*
Assets less liabilities before deduction of insurance funds 371,825 599,294
396,241
Less insurance fundsnote
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers’ share) and unallocated surplus of

with-profits funds
(352,518) (574,228)
(376,572)
Shareholders’ accrued interest in the long-term business 29,832 42,946
35,234
(322,686) (531,282)
(341,338)
Less non-controlling interests (197)
(29)
(192)
Total net assets attributable to equity holders of the Company 48,942 67,983
54,711
Share capital 172 165
172

Share premium
2,635 2,512
2,625

IFRS basis shareholders’reserves
16,303 22,360
16,680
IFRS basis shareholders’ equity 19,110 25,037
19,477

Shareholders’accrued interest in the long-term business
29,832 42,946
35,234
EEV basis shareholders’ equity 48,942 67,983
54,711
Representing:

Continuing operations
48,942 50,472
54,711

Discontinued UK and Europe operations
- 17,511
-
48,942 67,983
54,711
  • The half year 2019 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the change in the Group’s presentation currency from pounds sterling to US dollars at 31 December 2019.

Note

Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.

3

NOTES ON THE EEV BASIS RESULTS

1 Basis of preparation

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in 2016. The EEV Principles provide consistent definitions, a framework for setting actuarial assumptions and an approach to the underlying methodology and disclosures. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of EU-endorsed IFRS. The Directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles.

Overview

Results prepared under the EEV Principles represent the present value of the shareholders’ interest in the post-tax future profits (on a local statutory basis) expected to arise from the current book of long-term business, after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders’ interest in the Group’s long-term business comprises:

  • The present value of expected future shareholder cash flows from the in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less explicit allowance for the cost of locked-in required capital and the time value of financial options and guarantees across a range of economic scenarios;

  • Locked-in required capital, based on the applicable local statutory regulations, including any amounts considered to be required above the local statutory minimum requirements to satisfy regulatory constraints (the application of this principle to each business unit is set out below); and

  • – The shareholders’ total net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus). Free surplus is defined in note 10.

Required capital

For shareholder-backed business, the following capital requirements apply for long-term business:

– Asia: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to local statutory notification requirements. For Singapore life operations, from 31 March 2020 the level of net worth and required capital is based on the Tier 1 Capital position under the new risk-based capital framework (RBC2), which removes certain negative reserves permitted to be recognised in the full RBC2 regulatory position applicable to the Group’s Local Capital Summation Method (LCSM), in order to better reflect free surplus and its generation. For China JV life operations, the level of required capital follows the approach for embedded value reporting issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA) reflecting the China Risk Oriented Solvency System (CROSS) regime; and – US: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL).

Key assumptions

The value of in-force business is determined by projecting post-tax future profits (on a local statutory basis) by product, using best estimate assumptions for operating factors such as persistency, mortality, morbidity and expenses. Explicit allowances are made for the cost of holding required capital under the applicable local statutory regimes and the time value of financial options and guarantees (TVOG). The TVOG is determined by weighting the probability of outcomes across a large number of different economic scenarios, and is less applicable to health and protection business that generally contains more limited financial options or guarantees.

As well as best estimate assumptions for operating factors, the projected cash flows assume a level of future investment return and are discounted using a risk discount rate. Both the risk discount rate and investment return are updated at each valuation date to reflect current market risk-free rates, with the effect that changes in the risk-free rates impact all projected future cash flows. During the first half of 2020, this has had an overall negative effect on new business and in-force profitability. Different products will be sensitive to different assumptions, for example, spread-based products or products with guarantees are likely to benefit from higher assumed investment returns.

Risk discount rates are set equal to the risk-free rate at the valuation date plus a product-specific allowance for market and nonmarket risks, excluding risks explicitly captured elsewhere such as via the TVOG. Products such as participating and unit-linked business will typically have a higher allowance for market risk as compared to health and protection products due to a higher proportion of equity-type assets within the investment portfolio. Other product design and business features also affect the risks attached to the emergence of shareholder cash flows, for example the construct of with-profits funds in some business units can reduce the sensitivity of both policyholder and shareholder cash flows for participating products. Risk discount rates in any one business unit will reflect a blend of the risks attaching to the products written in that business.

The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value. For the purposes of preparing EEV basis results, insurance JVs and associates are included at the Group’s proportionate share of the embedded value. Non-insurance subsidiaries, JVs and associates are included at the Group’s proportionate share of IFRS net assets, which may differ from a fair value approach.

A description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 12, including an explanation of the delineation of profit between operating and non-operating items. Further details of best estimate assumptions are provided in note 13.

4

2 Results analysis by business area

The half year 2019 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2019 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2020 average exchange rates for US dollars following the change in the Group’s presentation currency.

Annual premium equivalents and new business profit from continuing operations[note 14]

Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m
Change %
Half year 2019 $m
Change %
Annual
premium
New
business
Annual
premium
New
business
Annual
premium
New
business
Annual
New
Annual
New
premium
business
premium
business
equivalent
profit
equivalent
profit
equivalent
profit
equivalent
profit
equivalent
profit
Asia 1,665
912
2,560
1,675
(35)%
(46)%
2,540
1,673
(34)%
(45)%
US

979
248
1,075
450
(9)%
(45)%
1,075
450
(9)%
(45)%
**Group total ** 2,644
1,160
3,635
2,125
(27)%
(45)%
3,615
2,123
(27)%
(45)%

Profit for the period

Profit for the period
Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year Half year Half year
2020 $m 2019 $m
Change %
2019 $m
Change %
Continuing operations:

Asia
Long-term business
1,910
2,751
(31)%
2,738
(30)%

Asset management
126
117
8%
115
10%
Total
2,036
2,868
(29)%
2,853
(29)%
US
Long-term business (Jackson)
688
1,026
(33)%
1,026
(33)%

Asset management
8
14
(43)%
14
(43)%
Total
696
1,040
(33)%
1,040
(33)%
Operating profit from long-term and asset management businesses
2,732
3,908
(30)%
3,893
(30)%

Other income and expenditure
(415)
(467)
11%
(458)
9%

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(102)
(26)
(292)%
(25)
(308)%
Operating profit for the period
2,215
3,415
(35)%
3,410
(35)%
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
415
2,884 2,894
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
(7,026)
(1,774) (1,782)

Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings
17
(636) (619)

Loss attaching to corporate transactions
(423)
(31) (30)
Total non-operating (loss) profit from continuing operations
(7,017)
443 463
(Loss) profit for the period from continuing operations
(4,802)
3,858
(224)%
3,873
(224)%

Profit for the period from discontinued operations
-
1,657
n/a
1,613
n/a
(Loss) profit for the period
(4,802)
5,515
(187)%
5,486
(188)%

EEV basis basic earnings per share

Actual exchange rate Actual exchange rate Constant exchange rate Constant exchange rate
Half year 2020 Half year 2019
Change %
Half year 2019
Change %
Based on operating profit from continuing operations

after non-controlling interests (in cents)
84.5¢ 132.0¢
(36)%
132.0¢
(36)%

Based on (loss) profit for the period attributable to

equity holders of the Company (in cents):
From continuing operations (185.8)¢ 149.1¢
(225)%
149.9¢ (224)%

From discontinued operations
- 64.2¢
n/a
62.4¢ n/a
(185.8)¢ 213.3¢
(187)%
212.3¢
(188)%

5

3 Analysis of new business profit

Half year 2020
Present value
Annual premium
of new business
New business
New business margin
equivalents (APE)
premiums (PVNBP)
profit
APE
PVNBP



$m
$m
$m
%
%
note 14
note 14
note (i)
Asianote (ii) 1,665
9,173
912
55%
9.9%
US 979
9,789
248
25%
2.5%
**Group total ** 2,644
18,962
1,160
44%
6.1%
Half year 2019
Present value
Annual premium
of new business
New business
New business margin
equivalents (APE)
premiums (PVNBP)
profit
APE
PVNBP



$m
$m
$m
%
%
note 14
note 14
note (i)
Asianote (ii) 2,560
14,218
1,675
65%
11.8%
US 1,075
10,752
450
42%
4.2%
**Group total ** 3,635
24,970
2,125
58%
8.5%
Full year 2019
Present value
Annual premium
of new business
New business
New business margin
equivalents (APE)
premiums (PVNBP)
profit
APE
PVNBP



$m
$m
$m
%
%
note 14
note 14
Asianote (ii) 5,161
29,244
3,522
68%
12.0%
US 2,223
22,231
883
40%
4.0%
Group total 7,384
51,475
4,405
60%
8.6%

Notes (i) The movement in new business profit from $2,125 million for half year 2019 to $1,160 million for half year 2020 is analysed as follows:

Asia $m
US $m
Group total $m
Half year 2019 new business profit
1,675
450
2,125

Foreign exchange movement
(2)
-
(2)



Effect of changes in interest rates and other economic assumptions
(78)
(119)
(197)




Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year 2019
-
(47)
(47)



Sales volume, business and product mix and other items
(683)
(36)
(719)
Halfyear 2020 new business profit
912
248
1,160

(ii) Asia new business profit is analysed as follows:

2020 $m 2019 $m
AER
CER
AER
Half year Half year
Half year
Full year
China JV 127 126
122
262
Hong Kong 353 1,070
1,081
2,042

Indonesia
68 85
82
227
Taiwan 35 28
30
75
Other 329 366
358
916
Total Asiainsurance 912 1,675
1,673
3,522

6

4 Operating profit from long-term business in force

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Group Group Group
Asia
US
total
Asia
US
total
Asia
US
total
Unwind of discount and other expected

returnsnote (i)
753
299
1,052
805
459
1,264
1,542
728
2,270
Effect of changes in operating

assumptionsnote (ii)
118
-
118
169
-
169
539
1
540
Experience variances and other

itemsnote (iii)
127
141
268
102
117
219
285
145
430
Total operating profit from long-term

businessin force
998
440
1,438
1,076
576
1,652
2,366
874
3,240

Notes

(i) The movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns from $1,264 million for half year 2019 to $1,052 million for half year 2020 is analysed as follows:

Asia $m
US $m
Group total $m
Half year 2019 unwind of discount and other expected returns
805
459
1,264

Foreign exchange movement
(11)
-
(11)



Effect of changes in interest rates and other economic assumptions
(165)
(76)
(241)




Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year 2019
-
(86)
(86)



Growth in opening value of in-force business and other items
124
2
126
Halfyear 2020 unwind of discount and other expected returns
753
299
1,052

(ii) The half year 2020 effect of changes in operating assumptions of $118 million in Asia principally reflects the beneficial effect on the effective tax rate for Indonesia from changes to local tax legislation in the first half of 2020.

(iii) In Asia, the half year 2020 effect of experience variances and other items of $127 million is driven overall by positive mortality and morbidity experience in a number of local business units, together with overall positive persistency experience.

In the US, the effect of experience variances and other items is analysed as shown below. Other items for half year 2020 mainly includes the effect of positive persistency experience.

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Spread experience variance (12) 16
38

Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses
53 47
102

Other items
100 54
5
Total US experience variances and other items 141 117
145

7

5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Asia
Hong Kong 966 1,161
1,526

Indonesia
(157) 6
(14)
Malaysia (30) 10
(20)

Singapore
(18) 198
338

Taiwan
72 120
147
Thailand (75) 117
319
Other 7 44
155
Total Asianote (i) 765 1,656
2,451
US
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (ii) (123) (21)
(243)

Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force variable
annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account return, net of

related hedging activity and other itemsnote (iii)
(257) 1,275
1,119
Total US (380) 1,254
876
Other operations 30 (26)
(73)
**Group total ** 415 2,884
3,254

Notes

  • (i) In half year 2020, the credit of $765 million includes higher than expected bond returns following generally lower interest rates across the region, partially offset by lower than expected equity returns.

  • (ii) The net result relating to fixed income securities reflects a number of offsetting items as follows:

  • The impact on portfolio yields of changes in the asset portfolio in the period;

  • Credit experience versus the longer-term assumption (which was positive for all periods); and

  • The difference between actual realised gains and losses and the amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses that is recorded within operating profit.

  • (iii) This item reflects the net impact of:

  • Changes in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the difference between the actual return on separate account asset values in the period of negative 3.5 per cent and that assumed (geometric) of positive 1.7 per cent (half year 2019: actual growth of 15.2 per cent compared to assumed growth of 2.3 per cent; full year 2019: actual growth of 24.1 per cent compared to assumed growth of 4.8 per cent); and

  • Related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity and interest rate derivatives compared to the expected long-term allowance for hedging costs recorded in operating profit, and other items.

6 Effect of changes in economic assumptions

2020 $m 2019 $m
Half year Half year
Full year
Asia
Hong Kong (3,470) (618)
(853)

Indonesia
(42) 43
141
Malaysia 10 44
127

Singapore
(179) (131)
18

Taiwan
(172) (85)
(142)
Thailand (2) (80)
(220)
Other (71) 106
262
Total Asianote (i) (3,926) (721)
(667)
US
Variable annuity businessnote (ii) (3,491) (1,461)
(1,556)

General account businessnote (iii)
391 408
355
Total US (3,100) (1,053)
(1,201)
**Group total ** (7,026) (1,774)
(1,868)

Notes

(i) In half year 2020, the negative effect of $(3,926) million primarily arises from movements in long-term interest rates, resulting in lower assumed fund earned rates in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan that impact all projected future cash flows, partially offset by lower risk discount rates. This impact includes a benefit of $170 million from a change to the calculation of the valuation interest rate used to value long term insurance liabilities in Hong Kong, as discussed in note I(i) of the additional financial information.

(ii) In half year 2020, the charge of $(3,491) million mainly reflects the effect of a decrease in the assumed separate account return following the 120 basis points decrease in the US 10-year treasury yield over the period, resulting in lower projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs for variable annuity business, partially offset by lower risk discount rates.

(iii) For general account business, the credit of $391 million mainly reflects the increase in the present value of future projected spread income from the combined effect of the decrease in interest rates and increase in credit spreads in the period, partially offset by the effect of an increase in the additional credit risk allowance as described in note 12(i)(h).

8

7 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses

2020 $m 2019 $m
30 Jun 30 Jun 31 Dec
Mark-to
-market
EEV
basis at


Mark-to
-market
EEV
basis at

Mark-to
-market
EEV
basis at
IFRS
value
market

IFRS
value
market

IFRS
value
market
basis
adjustment
value

basis
adjustment
value
basis
adjustment
value
Holding company cash and short-term

investmentsnote (i)
(1,907)
-
(1,907)

(3,010)
-
(3,010)
(2,207)
-
(2,207)
Central borrowings:
Subordinated and other debt not substituted to
M&G plc in 2019:
Subordinated debt 4,271
196
4,467
4,279
207
4,486
4,304
327
4,631
Senior debtnote (ii) 1,628
283
1,911
660
226
886
690
221
911
Bank loan 350
-
350
350
-
350
350
-
350
6,249
479
6,728

5,289
433
5,722
5,344
548
5,892
Subordinated debt substituted to M&G plc in

2019note (ii)
-
-
-
3,931
266
4,197
-
-
-
Total central borrowings 6,249
479
6,728

9,220
699
9,919
5,344
548
5,892
Total net central funds 4,342
479
4,821

6,210
699
6,909
3,137
548
3,685
Jackson Surplus Notes 250
109
359

250
79
329
250
85
335
Net core structural borrowings of

shareholder-financed businessesnote (iii)
4,592
588
5,180
6,460
778
7,238
3,387
633
4,020

Notes

(i) Holding company includes central finance subsidiaries.

(ii) In April 2020, the Company issued $1,000 million 3.125 per cent senior debt maturing on 14 April 2030.

(iii) The movement in the value of core structural borrowings includes foreign exchange effects for pounds sterling denominated debts, which are included in ‘Exchange movements on foreign operations’. The movement in the mark-to-market value adjustment can be analysed as follows:

2020 $m
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Mark-to-market value adjustment at beginning of period 633
233
233

Mark-to-market value adjustment on subordinated debt substituted to M&G

plc at fair value in October 2019 at beginning of period
-

-
(82)

Change in fair value of debt under IFRS as a result of consent process in

preparation for the demerger
-

(219)
-

(Credit) charge in the period included in the income statement
(17)*


766
466

Effect of foreign exchange movements
(28)

(2)
16
Mark-to-marketvalue adjustment at end ofperiod
588
778
633
  • The total income statement charge of $766 million in half year 2019 related to $636 million from continuing operations and $130 million from discontinued operations.

8 Loss attaching to corporate transactions

2020 $m
2019 $m
Half year
Half year
Full year
Loss on reinsurance of Jackson’s in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity portfolionote (i) (423)
-
-

Gain on disposalsnote (ii)
- 181
178

Other transactionsnote (iii)
- (212)
(385)
Total (423) (31)
(207)

Notes

(i) In June 2020, the Group announced the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s in-force portfolio of fixed and fixed indexed annuity business to Athene Life Re Ltd. Further details are included in note D1 of the IFRS basis results. The effect on the EEV position largely reflects the loss of future profits recorded in the value of in-force business as a result of the reinsurance and the loss of unrealised gains on assets passed to Athene, partly offset by the reinsurance commission received after deducting tax.

(ii) In 2019, the gain on disposals principally related to profits arising from a 4 per cent reduction in the Group’s stake in its associate in India, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company, and the disposal of Prudential Vietnam Finance Company Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary that provides consumer finance.

(iii) In 2019, other transactions primarily reflected costs related to the demerger of the Group’s UK and Europe operations (M&G plc).

9

9 Analysis of movement in total net worth and value of in-force for long-term business

Half year 2020 $m
Value of
Total
Free
Required
Total
in-force
embedded
surplus

capital
net worth
business
value
Groupnote (i)
Shareholders’ equity at beginning of period 5,395
6,891
12,286
41,893
54,179

New business contributionnote 3
(517)
369
(148)
1,308
1,160
Existing business – transfer to net worth 1,665
(459)
1,206
(1,206)
-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4
70
103
173
879
1,052

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
130
121
251
135
386

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(17)
-
(17)
-
(17)
Operating profit 1,331
134
1,465
1,116
2,581

Non-operating (loss) profit
186
1,586
1,772
(8,860)
(7,088)
(Loss) profit for the period 1,517
1,720
3,237
(7,744)
(4,507)

Foreign exchange movements
(72)
(55)
(127)
(378)
(505)

Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(235)
-
(235)
-
(235)

Other movements
539
-
539
-
539
Shareholders' equity at end of periodnote (ii) 7,144
8,556
15,700
33,771
49,471
Asia
Shareholders’ equity at beginning of period 3,624
3,182
6,806
31,037
37,843

New business contributionnote 3
(298)
104
(194)
1,106
912
Existing business – transfer to net worth 1,009
(205)
804
(804)
-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4
52
35
87
666
753

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
99
101
200
45
245

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(10)
-
(10)
-
(10)
Operating profit 852
35
887
1,013
1,900

Non-operating (loss) profit
(508)
83
(425)
(2,736)
(3,161)
(Loss) profit for the period 344
118
462
(1,723)
(1,261)

Foreign exchange movements
(72)
(55)
(127)
(378)
(505)

Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(235)
-
(235)
-
(235)

Other movements
98
-
98
-
98
Shareholders' equity at end of period 3,759
3,245
7,004
28,936
35,940
US
Shareholders’ equity at beginning of period 1,771
3,709
5,480
10,856
16,336

New business contributionnote 3
(219)
265
46
202
248
Existing business – transfer to net worth 656
(254)
402
(402)
-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4
18
68
86
213
299

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
31
20
51
90
141

Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(7)
-
(7)
-
(7)
Operating profit 479
99
578
103
681

Loss (gain) on reinsurance of in-force fixed and fixed indexed annuity

portfolionote 8
851
(627)
224
(647)
(423)
Other non-operating (loss) profit (157)
2,130
1,973
(5,477)
(3,504)
(Loss) profit for the period 1,173
1,602
2,775
(6,021)
(3,246)

Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
-
-
-
-
-

Other movements
441
-
441
-
441
Shareholders' equity at end ofperiod 3,385
5,311
8,696
4,835
13,531

Notes

(i) Long-term business only.

(ii) The net value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital for long-term business as shown below:

30 Jun 2020 $m 31 Dec 2019 $m
Group Group
Asia
US
totalnote (i)
Asia
US
totalnote (i)
Value of in-force business before deduction of cost of
capital and time value of options and guarantees 30,383
6,674
37,057
32,396
11,417
43,813

Cost of capital
(998)
(481)
(1,479)
(866)
(370)
(1,236)

Time value of options and guaranteesnote (iii)
(449)
(1,358)
(1,807)
(493)
(191)
(684)
Net value of in-force business 28,936
4,835
33,771
31,037
10,856
41,893
Total net worth 7,004
8,696
15,700
6,806
5,480
12,286
Totalembeddedvalue 35,940
13,531
49,471
37,843
16,336
54,179

(iii) The time value of options and guarantees (TVOG) arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future and is, where appropriate, calculated as the difference between an average outcome across a range of economic scenarios, calibrated around a central scenario, and the outcome from one central economic scenario, as described in note 12(i)(d). The TVOG and the outcome from the central economic scenario are linked; as the central economic scenario is updated for market conditions and the outcome reflects more or less of the guaranteed benefit payouts and associated product charges, there will be consequential changes to the TVOG.

10

10 Analysis of movement in free surplus

For EEV covered business, free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (total net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to total net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value, rather than at cost, to comply with the EEV Principles. In the Group’s Asia and US operations, assets deemed to be inadmissible on a local regulatory basis are included in net worth where considered recognisable on an EEV basis, with the exception of deferred tax assets in the US that are inadmissible under the local regulatory basis, which have been included in the value of in-force business (VIF) within the Group’s EEV results. Free surplus for asset management and other operations (including assets and liabilities of the Group’s central operations, the Group’s treasury function and Africa operations) is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of goodwill attributable to shareholders, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under the Group’s capital regime. A reconciliation of EEV free surplus to the Group’s LCSM surplus over Group minimum capital requirements is set out in note I(i) of the additional financial information.

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2020 $m
Total
insurance
and asset
Group
Asia
US
management
Other
total
note (a)
note (b)
Operating free surplus generated before impact of US EEV hedge

modelling enhancements and restructuring and IFRS 17

implementation costsnote (d)
988
1,029
2,017
(415)
1,602
Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year

2019note (d)
-
(535)
(535)
-
(535)
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring and IFRS 17

implementation costs
988
494
1,482
(415)
1,067
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs (29)
(9)
(38)
(64)
(102)
Operating free surplus generated 959
485
1,444
(479)
965
Gain on reinsurance of Jackson's in-force fixed and fixed indexed
annuity portfolionote 8(i) -
851
851
-
851
Other non-operating lossnote (e) (508)
(157)
(665)
(47)
(712)
Free surplus generated 451
1,179
1,630
(526)
1,104

Net cash flows paid to parent companynote (f)
(400)
-
(400)
400
-

External dividends
-
-
-
(674)
(674)
Foreign exchange movements on foreign operations, timing

differences and other itemsnote (g)
26
441
467
(351)
116
Net movement in free surplus 77
1,620
1,697
(1,151)
546

Balance at beginning of period
4,220
1,777
5,997
3,739
9,736
Balance at end of periodnote (h) 4,297
3,397
7,694
2,588
**10,282 **
Representing:

Free surplus excluding distribution rights and other intangibles
3,426
3,377
6,803
(424)
6,379

Distribution rights and other intangibles
871
20
891
3,012
3,903
4,297
3,397
7,694
2,588
10,282
Half year 2019 $m
Discontinued
UK and
Europe
Group
Continuing operations
operations



total
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
note (a)
note (b)
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring and

IFRS 17 implementation costsnote (d)
886
1,075
1,961
(467)
- 1,494


Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(17)
(1)
(18)
(8)
- (26)
Operating free surplus generated
869
1,074
1,943
(475)
- 1,468


Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operationsnote (e)
872
(525)
347
(239)
- 108



Free surplus generated from discontinued operations
-
-
-
-
1,260 1,260
Free surplus generated in the period
1,741
549
2,290
(714)
1,260 2,836
Net cash flows to parent companynote (f)
(578)
(525)
(1,103)
1,562
(459) -




External dividends
-
-
-
(1,108)
- (1,108)

Foreign exchange movements, timing differences and

other itemsnote (g)
(45)
163
118
377
(972) (477)
Net movement in free surplus
1,118
187
1,305
117
(171) 1,251

Balance at beginning of period
2,591
2,760
5,351
3,831
5,977 15,159
Balance at end of periodnote (h)
3,709
2,947
6,656
3,948
5,806 16,410
Representing:

Free surplus excluding distribution rights and

other intangibles
3,151
2,921
6,072
1,710
5,781 13,563

Distribution rights and other intangibles
558
26
584
2,238
25 2,847
3,709
2,947
6,656
3,948
5,806 16,410

11

Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Discontinued
UK and Europe
Group
Continuing operations
operations



total
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
note (a)
note (b)
Operating free surplus generated before impact of US

EEV hedge modelling enhancements and restructuring

costsnote (d)
1,772
2,028
3,800
(923)
- 2,877
Impact of US EEV hedge modelling enhancements -
(903)
(903)
-
- (903)
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring and

IFRS 17 implementation costs
1,772
1,125
2,897
(923)
- 1,974
Restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs
(31)
(5)
(36)
(56)
- (92)
Operating free surplus generated
1,741
1,120
2,861
(979)
- 1,882
Non-operating (loss) profit from continuing operationsnote (e)
1,195
(1,763)
(568)
(448)
- (1,016)




Free surplus generated from discontinued operations
-
-
-
-
2,512 2,512
Free surplus generated
2,936
(643)
2,293
(1,427)
2,512 3,378
Net cash flows paid to parent companynote (f)
(950)
(525)
(1,475)
2,159
(684)
-




Demerger dividend in specie of M&G plc
-
-
-
-

(7,379)


(7,379)

External dividends
-
-
-
(1,634)

-


(1,634)
Foreign exchange movements on foreign operations,

timing differences and other itemsnote (g)
(357)
185
(172)
810
(426)
212
Net movement in free surplus
1,629
(983)
646
(92)
(5,977)
(5,423)



Balance at beginning of year
2,591
2,760
5,351
3,831

5,977


15,159
Balance at end of yearnote (h)
4,220
1,777
5,997
3,739
- 9,736
Representing:

Free surplus excluding distribution rights and

other intangibles
3,624
1,753
5,377
1,227
-
6,604

Distribution rights and other intangibles
596
24
620
2,512
- 3,132
4,220
1,777
5,997
3,739
-
9,736

Notes

(a) Operating free surplus generated by Asia insurance and asset management operations before restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs can be analysed as follows:

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m % change
AER
CER
AER
CER
Operating free surplus generated from

in-force life business
1,160 1,092
1,075
6%
8%
Investment in new businessnote (c) (298) (323)
(319)
8%
7%
Long-term business 862 769
756
12%
14%

Asset management
126 117
115
8%
10%
Total Asia 988 886
871
12%
13%

(b) Operating free surplus generated by US insurance and asset management operations before restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs can be analysed as follows:

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m % change
Operating free surplus generated from in-force life business before EEV

hedge modelling enhancementsnote (d)
1,240
1,405 (12)%
Impact of EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year 2019note (d)
(535)
- n/a
Operating free surplus generated from

in-force life business
705
1,405 (50)%
Investment in new businessnote (c)
(219)
(344) 36%
Long-term business
486
1,061 (54)%

Asset management
8
14
(43)%
TotalUS
**494 **
1,075 (54)%

(c) Free surplus invested in new business primarily represents acquisition costs and amounts set aside for required capital. (d) US in-force free surplus generation before EEV hedge modelling enhancements in 2019 included a $355 million benefit from the release of incremental reserves in the first half of 2019 following the integration of the John Hancock business. The EEV hedge modelling enhancements in full year 2019 reduced the value of in-force business at 31 December 2019, and the subsequent unwind of those cash flows over half year 2020 reduces the expected transfer to net worth and hence operating free surplus generation by $(535) million.

(e) Other non-operating items include short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business and the effect of other corporate transactions. For half year 2020 these amounts include the benefit of a change to the valuation interest rate used to value long term insurance liabilities in Hong Kong, as discussed in note I(i) of the additional financial information. In addition, for full year 2019 these amounts included the impact of the NAIC reform, hedge modelling and other related changes in the US.

(f) Net cash flows to parent company for Asia operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow. (g) Foreign exchange movements, timing differences and other items represent:

12

Half year 2020 $m
Total insurance
and asset Group
Asia US management Other
total
Foreign exchange movements (107) - (107) (19)
(126)
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital - 317 317 -
317
Other items (including intra-group loans and other
intra-group transfers between operations and
other non-cash items) 133 124 257 (332)
(75)
26 441 467 (351) 116
Half year 2020 $m
Total insurance
and asset
Group
Asia
US
management
Other
total
Foreign exchange movements (107)
-
(107)
(19)
(126)

Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital -
317
317
-
317

Other items (including intra-group loans and other

intra-group transfers between operations and

other non-cash items)
133
124
257
(332)
(75)
26
441
467
(351)
116
Half year 2019 $m
Discontinued
UK and Europe
Group
Continuing operations

operations

total
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
Foreign exchange movements 44
-
44
(26)
(7)
11

Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital -
177
177
-
-
177

Other items (including intra-group loans and other

intra-group transfers between operations and

other non-cash items)
(89)
(14)
(103)
403
(965)
(665)
(45)
163
118
377
(972)
(477)
Full year 2019 $m
Discontinued
UK and Europe
Group
Continuing operations

operations

total
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
Foreign exchange movements 99
-
99
91
77
267

Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital -
206
206
-
-
206

Other items (including intra-group loans and other

intra-group transfers between operations and

other non-cash items)*
(456)
(21)
(477)
719
(503)
(261)
(357)
185
(172)
810
(426)
212
  • The Group total for other items in full year 2019 included the effect of the redemption of $0.5 billion of subordinated debt.

(h) Free surplus from continuing operations can be analysed as:

30 Jun 2020 $m
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
Group total
Long-term business 3,759
3,385
7,144
-
7,144

Asset management and other
538
12
550
2,588
3,138
Total 4,297
3,397
7,694
2,588
**10,282 **
30 Jun 2019 $m
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
Group total
Long-term business 3,315
2,883
6,198
-
6,198

Asset management and other
394
64
458
3,948
4,406
Total 3,709
2,947
6,656
3,948
10,604
31 Dec 2019 $m
Total insurance
and asset
Asia
US
management
Other
Group total
Long-term business 3,624
1,771
5,395
-
5,395

Asset management and other
596
6
602
3,739
4,341
Total 4,220
1,777
5,997
3,739
9,736

13

11 Sensitivity of results to alternative economic assumptions

The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 30 June 2020 and 31 December 2019 and the new business profit for half year 2020 and full year 2019 to:

  • 1 per cent increase in interest rates, including consequential changes in assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets and risk discount rates (but excluding changes in the allowance for market risk);

  • 0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates, including consequential changes in assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets and risk discount rates (but excluding changes in the allowance for market risk);

  • 1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;

  • 20 per cent fall (10 per cent fall for 2019) in the market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);

  • – 1 per cent increase in the risk discount rates. The main driver for changes in the risk discount rates from period to period is changes in the risk-free rates, the impact of which is generally expected to be offset by a corresponding change in assumed investment returns. Both of these effects are factored into the interest rate sensitivities described above; and

  • The Group minimum capital requirements under the LCSM in contrast to EEV basis required capital (embedded value only).

The sensitivities shown below are for the impact of instantaneous (and permanent) changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets (including derivatives) held at the valuation dates indicated. The sensitivities reflect the consequential impacts from market movements at the valuation date. In particular, where relevant the 30 June 2020 sensitivities reflect potential tax benefits that would arise under the relief provided by the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act in the US for 2020. The results only allow for limited management actions such as changes to future policyholder bonuses where applicable. If such economic conditions persisted, the financial impacts may differ to the instantaneous impacts shown below. In this case management could also take additional actions to help mitigate the impact of these stresses. No change in the assets held at the valuation date is assumed when calculating sensitivities.

If the changes in assumptions shown in the sensitivities were to occur, the effects shown below would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following period, namely the effect of changes in economic assumptions and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition, for changes in interest rates, the effect shown below for the US (Jackson) would also be recorded within mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital, which are taken directly to shareholders’ equity. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown below, the other components of the profit for the following period would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business profit and unwind of discount and other expected returns, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads.

New business profit from long-term business

New business profit from long-term business
Half year 2020 $m Full year 2019 $m
Group Group
Asia
US
total Asia
US
total
New business profitnote 3 912
248
1,160 3,522
883
4,405
Interest rates and consequential effects – 1% increase 64
143
207 (46)
207
161
Interest rates and consequential effects – 0.5% decrease (68)
(85)
(153) (121)
(123)
(244)
Equity/property yields – 1% rise 62
34
96 210
70
280
Riskdiscountrates– 1%increase (176) (3) (179) (715) (22) (737)
Embedded value of long-term business
Embedded value of long-term business
30 Jun 2020 $m 31 Dec 2019 $m
Group Group
Asia US total Asia US total
Shareholders' equitynote 9 35,940 13,531 49,471 37,843 16,336 54,179
Interest rates and consequential effects – 1% increase (510) 1,362 852 (1,408) 798 (610)
Interest rates and consequential effects – 0.5% decrease (730) 92 (638) (28) (686) (714)
Equity/property yields – 1% rise 1,413 542 1,955 1,758 556 2,314
Equity/property market values – 10% fall n/a n/a n/a (810) (1,205) (2,015)
Equity/property market values – 20% fall (1,577) (764) (2,341) n/a n/a n/a
Risk discount rates – 1% increase (4,621) (417) (5,038) (5,263) (509) (5,772)
Groupminimum capital requirements 246 287 533 175 221 396

Overall, the directional movements in the sensitivities from 31 December 2019 to 30 June 2020 reflect the generally lower government bond yields and lower equity markets at 30 June 2020, and, in the case of the US, the actual hedging portfolio in place at both valuation dates, which varies from period to period due to the nature of Jackson’s dynamic hedging programme.

Asia insurance operations

Interest rate sensitivities for the Asia long-term business embedded value have been impacted by the generally lower risk-free rates at 30 June 2020 as compared to 31 December 2019, and have become more sensitive to changes in assumed investment returns. For a 1 per cent increase in interest rates the effect of increasing the risk discount rates exceeds the benefit of higher assumed investment returns, but to a lesser extent than at 31 December 2019. For a 0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates the negative impact of lower assumed investment returns outweighs the benefit of lower risk discount rates to a great extent than at 31 December 2019.

US insurance operations

The interest rate and equity/property market values sensitivity movements provided in the table above are at a point in time and reflect the hedging programme in place on the valuation date, while the actual impact on financial results would vary contingent upon a number of factors.

14

The sensitivity of the US long-term business embedded value to interest rates is driven by the change in assumed investment returns, and the consequential impact on projected future fee income and benefit costs, offset by the impact of market value movements on derivatives and other assets. At the lower interest rates at 30 June 2020, the positive impact from higher assumed investment returns from a 1 per cent increase in risk-free rates is higher than at 31 December 2019. For a 0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates the increase in expected benefit costs has been more than offset by the hedging protection held to manage such a risk.

The equity/property market values sensitivity is driven by a negative effect from lower future fee income and increased projected benefit costs on variable annuity business, partially offset by market value movements on equity derivatives held at the valuation date. Following the substantial fall in interest rates over the first half of 2020, the larger impact from lower future fee income and increased projected benefit costs is more than offset by the additional equity protection in place at 30 June 2020.

15

12 Methodology and accounting presentation

(i) Methodology

(a) Covered business

The EEV basis results for the Group are prepared for ‘covered business’ as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group’s long-term insurance business (including the Group’s investments in joint venture and associate insurance operations), for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders.

The EEV basis results for the Group’s covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group’s asset management and other operations (including interest costs on core structural borrowings, corporate expenditure for head office functions in London and Hong Kong, the Group’s treasury function and Africa operations). Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note (g) below.

The definition of long-term insurance business comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall under the technical definition.

(b) Valuation of in-force and new business

The EEV basis results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, persistency, mortality, morbidity and expenses, as described in note 13(iii)(a). These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the projected future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate, as shown in note 13(i), which reflects both the time value of money and all other non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.

The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated under the EEV basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the EEV basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under the EEV methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profit with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the period.

New business

In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing regular and single premium business as set out in the Group’s new business sales reporting.

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to the covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as investment contracts under IFRS. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis.

New business profit represents profit determined by applying operating and economic assumptions as at the end of the period. New business profitability is a key metric for the Group’s management of the development of the business. In addition, new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums on new business written in the period and one-tenth of single premiums. PVNBP is calculated as the aggregate of single premiums and the present value of expected future premiums from regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and the other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business profit.

Valuation movements on investments

With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders’ equity as they arise.

The results for the covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the post-tax IFRS basis results and the movements in the additional shareholders’ interest recognised on an EEV basis. Therefore, the start point for the calculation of the EEV basis results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on an IFRS basis.

In determining the movements in the additional shareholders’ interest, for Jackson’s debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV basis results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business incorporates the discounted value of expected future spread earnings. This value is generally not affected by short-term market movements in debt securities that, broadly speaking, are held for the longer term. Consequently, within EEV total net worth, Jackson’s debt securities backing liabilities are held on a statutory basis (largely at book value), while those backing surplus and required capital are accounted for at fair value. Consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS, for Jackson’s debt securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation and depreciation on these securities are accounted for directly in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in ‘Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital’ in the statement of movement in shareholders’ equity.

(c) Cost of capital

A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of locked-in required capital supporting the Group’s long-term business. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital held and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital, allowing for post-tax investment earnings on the capital.

The EEV results are affected by the movement in this cost from period to period, which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.

16

Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets within the fund is already adjusted to reflect its expected release over time and so no further adjustment to the shareholder position is necessary.

(d) Financial options and guarantees

Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential’s long-term business

Asia

Participating products in Asia, principally written in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia, have both guaranteed and nonguaranteed elements. These products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses: regular and final. Regular bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular products. Final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration.

There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole-of-life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that typically accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.

US (Jackson)

Jackson issues variable annuity contracts for which it contractually guarantees to the contract holder, subject to specific conditions, either: a) a return of no less than total deposits made to the contract, adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract, adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date, adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable upon depletion of funds (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefits (GMWB)) or as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholder’s contract value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMWB and GMDB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, with an expected long-term future hedging cost allowed for within the EEV value of in-force business to reflect the equity options and futures expected to be held based on the Group’s current dynamic hedging programme and consideration of past practice. This allowance was re-estimated in 2019 following the NAIC reform for variable annuity business. Jackson also historically issued a small amount of income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)), which are now materially fully reinsured.

In June 2020 the Group announced the reinsurance of substantially all of Jackson’s in-force portfolio of fixed and fixed indexed annuity business to Athene Life Re Ltd. These contracts included some financial options and guarantees (as described in the Group’s 2019 Annual Report), and, as at 30 June 2020, are materially fully reinsured.

Time value

The value of financial options and guarantees comprises the intrinsic value (arising from a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions) and the time value (arising from the variability of economic outcomes in the future).

Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of financial options and guarantees. The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, such as separate modelling of individual asset classes with an allowance for correlations between various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in note 13(ii).

In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to, investment allocation decisions, levels of regular and final bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions. In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options available to management.

The time value of financial options and guarantees reflects how the market value of the assets (including derivatives) held to manage the liability portfolios are expected to vary across the range of economic scenarios considered. In some economic scenarios the derivative portfolio may project gains in excess of the cost of the underlying guarantees on an EEV basis.

If the calculation of the time value of options and guarantees results in a positive outcome for a particular product then the figure is capped at zero, reflecting the strong interaction between the outcome of the central economic scenario and the time value of financial options and guarantees in these circumstances, and the reported value of in-force business before deduction of cost of capital and time value of options and guarantees will reflect the outcome from the full stochastic valuation.

(e) Level of required capital

In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on the applicable local statutory regulations, including any amounts considered to be required above the local statutory minimum requirements to satisfy regulatory constraints.

For shareholder-backed businesses, the following capital requirements for long-term business apply:

  • Asia: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to local statutory notification requirements. For Singapore life operations, from 31 March 2020 the level of net worth and required capital is based on the Tier 1 Capital position under the new risk-based capital framework (RBC2), which removes certain negative reserves permitted to be recognised in the full RBC2 regulatory position applicable to the Group’s LCSM position, in order to better reflect free surplus and its generation. For China JV life operations, the level of required capital follows the approach for embedded value reporting issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA) reflecting the C-ROSS regime; and

  • US: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL).

17

(f) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate

For the Group’s relevant Asia operations, the proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the with-profits funds has been based on the applicable profit distribution between shareholders and policyholders. The EEV methodology includes the value attributed to the shareholders’ interest in the residual estate of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. As required, adjustments are also made to reflect any capital requirements for with-profits business in Asia in excess of the available capital of the with-profits funds.

(g) Internal asset management

The in-force and new business results from long-term business include the projected future profit or loss from asset management and service companies that support the Group’s covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group’s asset management operations include the current period profit from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders’ other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the life funds for the period as included in ‘Other’ operations. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Accordingly, Group operating profit includes the variance between the actual and expected profit margin in respect of the management of the assets for the covered business.

(h) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates

Overview

Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of expected future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin.

The risk-free rates are largely based on local government bond yields at the valuation date and are generally assumed to remain constant throughout the projection.

The risk margin reflects any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. In order to better reflect differences in relative market risk volatility inherent in each product group, Prudential sets the risk discount rates to reflect the expected volatility associated with the expected future cash flows for each product group in the embedded value model, rather than at a Group level.

Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, risk discount rates exclude the effect of these product features.

The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.

Market risk allowance

The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium.

The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product-specific cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profit from each product is affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return, it is possible to derive a product-specific beta.

Product level betas reflect the product mix at the valuation date to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product group.

Additional credit risk allowance

The Group’s methodology allows for credit risk. The total allowance for credit risk covers expected long-term defaults, a credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels) and short-term downgrades and defaults.

These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses largely backed by holdings of debt securities, the allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.

The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending on the type of business as described below:

Asia

For Asia, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance is considered to be sufficient. Accordingly, no additional allowance for credit risk is required.

The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over the risk-free rate.

US (Jackson)

For Jackson, the allowance for long-term defaults of 0.19 per cent at 30 June 2020 (30 June 2019: 0.17 per cent, 31 December 2019: 0.17 per cent) is reflected in the risk margin reserve charge that is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.

The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for the credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults, as shown in note 13(i)(b). In determining this allowance, a number of factors have been considered, in particular including:

18

  • How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased short-term credit risk not reflected in the risk margin reserve long-term default assumptions and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments that cannot be easily converted into cash at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimate the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and

  • Policyholder benefits for certain lines of business are not fixed. It is possible, in adverse economic scenarios, to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features), through lower investment returns credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.

The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. In the first half of 2020 the additional allowance for non-variable annuity business was increased by 50 basis points, primarily to reflect additional short-term credit risk arising from the Covid-19 crisis. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the additional allowance for non-variable annuity business to reflect the longterm proportion of variable annuity business invested in general account debt securities.

Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks

The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. An allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks is estimated as set out below.

A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group’s covered business. For the Group’s businesses in less mature markets (such as the Philippines and Thailand), additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points. The level and application of these allowances are reviewed and updated based on an assessment of the Group’s exposure and experience in the markets. For the Group’s business in more mature markets, no additional allowance is necessary.

(i) Foreign currency translation

Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the period. Foreign currency transactions are translated at the spot rate prevailing at the date of the transactions. This includes external dividends paid to shareholders in 2019. All subsequent dividends are declared in US dollars and no foreign currency translation is required. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at closing exchange rates. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the Group IFRS financial statements.

(j) Taxation

In determining the post-tax profit for the period for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected future cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using tax rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.

(ii) Accounting presentation

(a) Analysis of post-tax profit

To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV basis profit or loss for the period is consistent with the classification between operating and non-operating results that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results are determined as described in note (b) below and incorporate the following:

  • New business profit, as defined in note (i)(b) above;

  • Unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note (c) below;

  • The impact of routine changes of estimates relating to operating assumptions, as described in note (d) below; and

  • Operating experience variances, as described in note (e) below.

In addition, operating results include the effect of changes in tax legislation, unless these changes are one-off and structural in nature, such as a small impact from the corporate tax changes in the US as part of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act in half year 2020, or primarily affect the level of projected investment returns, in which case they are reflected as a non-operating result.

Non-operating results comprise:

  • Short-term fluctuations in investment returns;

  • Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings;

  • Effect of changes in economic assumptions;

  • Impact of NAIC reform, hedge modelling and other related changes in the US in full year 2019; and

  • The impact of corporate transactions undertaken in the period, such as the effect of Jackson’s reinsurance arrangement with Athene Life Re Ltd in half year 2020, disposals undertaken and costs related to the demerger of M&G plc from Prudential plc in 2019.

Total profit or loss in the period attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Group believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.

(b) Investment returns included in operating profit

For the investment element of the assets covering the total net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rates of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio.

19

For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of Jackson for general account business, a risk margin reserve charge is included, which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds; for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed (as disclosed in note 13(i)(b)), which reflects the aggregation of risk-free rates and the equity risk premium at the end of the reporting period. For variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force business adjusted to reflect projected rates of return at the end of the reporting period, with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating results, together with related hedging activity variances.

(c) Unwind of discount and other expected returns

The Group’s methodology in determining the unwind of discount and other expected returns is by reference to the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of changes in economic and operating assumptions in the current period) and required capital and surplus assets.

(d) Effect of changes in operating assumptions

Operating profit includes the effect of changes to operating assumptions on the value of in-force business at the end of the reporting period. For presentational purposes the effect of changes is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force business as operating assumption changes, with the experience variances subsequently being determined by reference to the assumptions at the end of the reporting period, as discussed below.

(e) Operating experience variances

Operating profit includes the effect of experience variances on operating assumptions, such as persistency, mortality, morbidity, expenses and other factors, which are calculated with reference to the assumptions at the end of the reporting period.

(f) Effect of changes in economic assumptions

Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the year caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related changes in the time value of financial options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.

20

13 Assumptions

(i) Principal economic assumptions

The EEV basis results for the Group’s covered business have been determined using economic assumptions where both the longterm expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to risk-free rates of return at the end of the reporting period. The risk-free rates of return are largely based on local government bond yields, which are generally assumed to remain constant throughout the projection, and are shown below for each of the Group’s insurance operations. Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium to the risk-free rate based on the Group’s long-term view. Both the risk discount rate and expected rates of return are updated at each valuation date to reflect current market risk-free rates, with the effect that changes in the risk-free rates impact all projected future cash flows.

As described in note 12(i)(h), risk discount rates are set equal to the risk-free rate at the valuation date plus allowances for market risk, additional credit risk and non-diversifiable non-market risks appropriate to the features and risks of the underlying products and markets. Risks that are explicitly allowed for elsewhere in the EEV basis, such as via the cost of capital and the time value of the cost of options and guarantees, are not included in the risk discount rates.

Given the linkage to current risk-free rates, which are at historically low levels, risk discount rates at 30 June 2020 are generally lower than has historically been the case. Under our EEV methodology there is a corresponding reduction in assumed future investment returns, which will also be lower than historical norms, countering the impact of the lower risk discount rates.

(a) Asia[notes (2)(3)]

Risk discount rate % Risk discount rate % Risk discount rate %
New business In-force business
2020 2019 2020 2019
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec

30 Jun
30 Jun
31 Dec
China JV 7.9 8.0
8.2

7.9
8.0
8.2
Hong Kongnotes (2)(4) 1.8 3.8
3.7

2.7
3.8
3.7

Indonesia
10.6 11.8
10.8

10.6
11.8
10.8
Malaysianote (4) 5.5 6.2
5.8

5.6
6.2
5.9
Philippines 10.7 12.5
12.3

10.7
12.5
12.3

Singaporenote (4)
2.5 3.5
3.3

3.0
4.3
3.9
Taiwan 2.8 4.3
3.4

2.4
4.2
3.0
Thailand 9.1 9.6
9.2

9.1
9.6
9.2
Vietnam 4.7 9.1
5.3

5.0
9.0
5.5
Total weighted averagenote (1) 4.4 5.0
4.9
4.1 5.2
4.9
10-year government bond yield % Expected long-term inflation %
2020 2019 2020 2019
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec

30 Jun
30 Jun
31 Dec
China JV 2.9 3.3
3.2

3.0
3.0
3.0
Hong Kongnotes (2)(4) 0.7 2.0
1.9

2.5
2.5
2.5

Indonesia
7.8 7.5
7.2

4.5
4.5
4.5
Malaysianote (4) 3.0 3.7
3.3

2.5
2.5
2.5
Philippines 2.9 5.0
4.6

4.0
4.0
4.0

Singaporenote (4)
1.0 2.0
1.7

2.0
2.0
2.0
Taiwan 0.5 0.7
0.7

1.5
1.5
1.5
Thailand 1.4 2.1
1.5

3.0
3.0
3.0
Vietnam 3.0 4.7
3.4

5.5
5.5
5.5

Notes

(1) Total weighted average risk discount rates for Asia shown above have been determined by weighting each business’s risk discount rates by reference to the EEV basis new business profit and the net closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia businesses reflect the movements in the local government bond yields, changes in the allowance for risk and changes in product mix.

(2) For Hong Kong, the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other businesses, the assumptions shown are for local currency denominated business.

(3) Equity risk premiums (geometric) in Asia range from 2.9 per cent to 4.8 per cent (30 June 2019: 2.6 per cent to 4.5 per cent; 31 December 2019: 2.9 per cent to 4.8 per cent).

(4) The geometric equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia businesses are:

2020 % 2019 %
30 Jun 30 Jun
31 Dec
Hong Kong (US dollar denominated business) 3.6 4.6
4.8

Malaysia
7.0 7.4
7.3

Singapore
5.0 5.8
5.7

21

(b) US

2020 %
2019 %
30 Jun
30 Jun
31 Dec
Risk discount rate:
Variable annuity:

Risk discount rate
5.3 6.4
6.5
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 12(i)(h) 0.3 0.2
0.2
Non-variable annuity:

Risk discount rate
2.9 3.7
3.7
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 12(i)(h) 1.5 1.0
1.0
Total weighted average:

New business
4.8 6.1
6.1
In-force business 4.9 6.1
6.2
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 12(i)(h) 0.19 0.17
0.17

US 10-year treasury bond yield
0.7 2.0
1.9

Equity risk premium (geometric)
2.9 2.6
2.9

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities (geometric)
3.6 4.6
4.8

Expected long-term rate of inflation
2.7 2.8
2.9

S&P 500 equityreturn volatilitynote (ii)(b)
17.5 17.5
17.5

Note

Assumed new business spread margins are as follows:

2020 % 2019 %
Jan to Jun issues Jan to Jun issues
Jul to Dec issues
Fixed annuity business* 0.85 1.50
0.85

Fixed indexed annuity business†
0.50 0.50
0.50

Institutional business
1.00 0.50
0.50
  • Including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account. The assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.

  • The assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points over five years, increasing by a further 125 basis points to a long-term assumption at the end of the index option period (2019 issues: grades up linearly by 100 basis points over five years, increasing by a further 50 basis points to a long-term assumption at the end of the index option period).

(ii) Stochastic assumptions

Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 12(i)(d).

(a) Asia

  • The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Vietnam businesses;

  • The principal asset classes are government bonds, corporate bonds and equity;

  • Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields;

  • Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;

  • The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread;

  • The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent for all periods; and

  • The volatility of government bond yields ranges from 1.1 per cent to 2.0 per cent for all periods.

(b) US (Jackson)

  • Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data;

  • Corporate bond returns are based on treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions;

  • The volatility of equity returns ranges from 17 per cent to 26 per cent for all periods; and

  • The standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.7 per cent to 2.9 per cent (30 June 2019: 3.3 per cent to 3.5 per cent; 31 December 2019: from 3.1 per cent to 3.3 per cent).

(iii) Operating assumptions

Best estimate assumptions are used for projecting future cash flows, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.

Assumptions required in the calculation of the time value of financial options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.

Demographic assumptions

Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience, and reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management’s expectations. When projecting future cash flows for medical reimbursement business that is repriced annually, explicit allowance is made for expected future premium inflation and separately for future medical claims inflation.

Expense assumptions

Expense levels, including those of the service companies that support the Group’s long-term business, are based on internal expense analysis and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. For mature business, it is Prudential’s policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the actions to achieve the savings have been delivered. An allowance is made for short-term required expenses that are not representative of the longer-term expense loadings of the relevant businesses. At 30 June 2020 the allowance held for these costs across the Group was $222

22

million, arising in Asia. Expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived, including businesses that are growing rapidly or are sub-scale.

For Asia, expenses comprise costs borne directly and costs recharged from the Group head office function in Hong Kong that are attributable to the covered business. The assumed future expenses for these businesses also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are allocated to Asia covered business and are charged as incurred.

Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises expenditure of the Group head office function in Hong Kong that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management, primarily for corporate related activities that are charged as incurred, and expenditure of the Group head office function in London, together with restructuring and IFRS 17 implementation costs incurred across the Group.

Tax rates

The assumed long-term effective tax rates for operations reflect the expected incidence of taxable profit and loss in the projected future cash flows as explained in note 12(i)(j). Except for a reduction in the Indonesia corporate tax rate from 25 per cent to 22 per cent for 2020 and 2021, with a further reduction to 20 per cent from 2022, there has been no material change in the effective tax rates applied for projecting future cash flows.

23

14 Insurance new business[note (a)]

Present value of new Present value of new
Annual premium business premiums
Single premiums Regular premiums equivalents (APE) (PVNBP)
2020 $m 2019 $m 2020 $m 2019 $m 2020 $m
2019 $m
2020 $m 2019 $m
Half Half
Full

Half
Half
Full

Half

Half
Full
Half Half
Full
year year
year

year
year
year

year

year
year
year year
year
Asia
Cambodia - -
-

4
14
24

4

15
24
20 66
111
China JVnote (b) 592 468
710

260
303
518

319

350
590
1,479 1,534
2,586
Hong Kong 78 213
387

380
1,052
1,977

388

1,075
2,016
2,671 6,701
12,815

Indianote (c)
102 78
155

73
129
245

83

137
260
298 618
1,179
Indonesia 112 121
292

112
144
361

123

156
390
494 666
1,668
Malaysia 45 90
209

118
149
333

123

158
355
688 881
2,090

Philippines
15 14
51

54
70
153

56

71
158
205 239
561

Singapore
420 500
1,217

187
249
539

229

299
660
1,695 2,100
4,711

Taiwan
112 253
544

144
125
278

155

149
332
623 625
1,418
Thailand 65 95
192

84
53
140

90

62
159
389 318
763
Vietnam 9 13
22

94
87
215

95

88
217
611 470
1,342
Total Asia 1,550 1,845
3,779

1,510
2,375
4,783

1,665

2,560
5,161
9,173 14,218
29,244
US
Variable annuities 6,417 6,283
12,692

-
-
-

643

628
1,270
6,417 6,283
12,692
Elite Access
(variable annuities) 882 961
2,002

-
-
-

88

96
200
882 961
2,002

Fixed annuities
314 229
1,194

-
-
-

31

23
119
314 229
1,194
Fixed indexed annuities 892 1,201
3,821

-
-
-

89

120
382
892 1,201
3,821
Institutional 1,284 2,078
2,522

-
-
-
128
208
252
1,284 2,078
2,522
Total US 9,789 10,752
22,231

-
-
-
979
1,075
2,223
9,789 10,752
22,231
Group totalnote (d) 11,339 12,597
26,010
1,510 2,375
4,783
2,644
3,635
7,384
18,962 24,970
51,475

Notes

(a) The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profit for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the Group IFRS income statement.

(b) New business in China JV is included at Prudential’s 50 per cent interest in the joint venture.

(c) New business in India is included at Prudential's 22 per cent interest in the associate.

(d) In half year 2020, the Africa business sold new business APE of $54 million (half year 2019: $38 million on an actual exchange rate basis, $34 million on a constant exchange rate basis; full year 2019: $82 million on an actual exchange rate basis, $75 million on a constant exchange rate basis). Given the relative immaturity of the Africa business, it is incorporated into the Group’s EEV basis results on an IFRS basis and is excluded from new business sales and profit metrics.

15 Post balance sheet event

Completion of the equity investment by Athene into US business

On 17 July 2020, the Group completed the equity investment by Athene into the US business, which was announced in June 2020. Under the transaction, Athene Life Re Ltd invested $500 million in Prudential’s US business in return for an 11.1 per cent economic interest, for which the voting interest is 9.9 per cent. If the transaction had completed at 30 June 2020, the effect on EEV shareholders’ equity would have been a reduction of around $1.1 billion. There would have been no impact on profit for the period. Further details are included in note D1 of the IFRS basis results.

24

Additional EEV financial information*

A New business schedules

Basis of preparation

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as ‘insurance’ refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for local regulatory reporting purposes.

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4, ‘Insurance Contracts’, as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in Jackson and certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in Asia insurance operations.

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting and for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis.

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

Post-tax new business profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement.

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period when policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for local statutory basis reporting.

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.

* The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG LLP independent review opinion.

Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(iv)

(1) Prudential plc reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) to eliminate the impact of exchange translation. The rates below are for US dollars against local currency.

Average rate Average rate Closing rate
% appreciation % appreciation
(depreciation) of USD 30 Jun 30 Jun
(depreciation) of USD
$ : local currency Half year 2020 Half year 2019 against local currency 2020 2019
against local currency
China 7.03 6.78 4% 7.07 6.87
3%
Hong Kong 7.76 7.84 (1)% 7.75 7.81
(1)%
Indonesia 14,574.24 14,192.79 3% 14,285.00 14,127.50
1%
Malaysia 4.25 4.12 3% 4.29 4.13
4%
Singapore 1.40 1.36 3% 1.4 1.35
4%
Thailand 31.62 31.61 0% 30.87 30.69
1%
UK 0.79 0.77 3% 0.81 0.79
2%
Vietnam 23,303.21 23,253.04 0% 23,206.00 23,305.00 0%
Average rate Average rate Closing rate
% appreciation % appreciation
(depreciation) of USD 30 Jun 31 Dec
(depreciation) of USD
$ : local currency Half year 2020 Full year 2019 against local currency 2020 2019
against local currency
China 7.03 6.91 2% 7.07 6.97
1%
Hong Kong 7.76 7.84 (1)% 7.75 7.79
(1)%
Indonesia 14,574.24 14,140.84 3% 14,285.00 13,882.50
3%
Malaysia 4.25 4.14 3% 4.29 4.09
5%
Singapore 1.40 1.36 3% 1.4 1.34
4%
Thailand 31.62 31.05 2% 30.87 29.75
4%
UK 0.79 0.78 1% 0.81 0.75
7%
Vietnam 23,303.21 23,227.64 0% 23,206.00 23,172.50
0%

(2) Annual premium equivalents (APE) are calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums on business written in the period and one-tenth of single premiums. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as the aggregate of single premiums and the present value of expected future premiums from regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and the other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.

(3) New business in China JV is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the joint venture.

(4) New business in India is included at Prudential's 22 per cent interest in the associate.

(5) Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product flows in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in the Hong Kong MPF business.

(6) Investment flows for the period exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflow of $48,234 million (half year 2019: gross inflow of $133,709 million; full year 2019: gross inflow of $236,603 million) and net inflow of $29 million (half year 2019:

25

net outflow of $(1,264) million; full year 2019: net outflow of $(1,856) million). The flows exclude any amounts managed by M&G plc, which was demerged from the Group in October 2019.

(7) Balance sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rates.

Schedule A(i) Insurance operations (actual and constant exchange rates)

AER Single premiums Regular premiums APEnote (2) PVNBPnote (2)
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
year
year
+/(-)
year
year
+/(-)

year
year
+/(-)
year
year
+/(-)
$m
$m
%
$m
$m
%

$m
$m
%
$m
$m
%
Asia
Cambodia -
-
-
4
14
(71)%

4
15
(73)%
20
66
(70)%
China JVnote (3) 592
468
26%

260
303
(14)%



319
350
(9)%
1,479
1,534
(4)%
Hong Kong 78
213
(63)%

380
1,052
(64)%



388
1,075
(64)%
2,671
6,701
(60)%

Indianote (4)
102
78
31%

73
129
(43)%



83
137
(39)%
298
618
(52)%
Indonesia 112
121
(7)%

112
144
(22)%



123
156
(21)%
494
666
(26)%
Malaysia 45
90
(50)%

118
149
(21)%



123
158
(22)%
688
881
(22)%

Philippines
15
14
7%

54
70
(23)%



56
71
(21)%
205
239
(14)%

Singapore
420
500
(16)%

187
249
(25)%



229
299
(23)%
1,695
2,100
(19)%

Taiwan
112
253
(56)%

144
125
15%



155
149
4%
623
625
(0)%
Thailand 65
95
(32)%
84
53
58%

90
62
45%
389
318
22%
Vietnam 9
13
(31)%
94
87
8%

95
88
8%
611
470
30%
Total Asia 1,550
1,845
(16)%
1,510
2,375
(36)%

1,665
2,560
(35)%
9,173
14,218
(35)%
US
Variable annuities 6,417
6,283
2%
-
-
-

643
628
2%
6,417
6,283
2%
Elite Access (variable

annuity)
882
961
(8)%
-
-
-

88
96
(8)%
882
961
(8)%
Fixed annuities 314
229
37%
-
-
-

31
23
35%
314
229
37%
Fixed indexed annuities 892
1,201
(26)%
-
-
-

89
120
(26)%
892
1,201
(26)%
Wholesale 1,284
2,078
(38)%
-
-
-
128
208
(38)%
1,284
2,078
(38)%
Total US 9,789
10,752
(9)%
-
-
-
979
1,075
(9)%
9,789
10,752
(9)%
Group total 11,339
12,597
(10)%
1,510
2,375
(36)%

2,644
3,635
(27)%
18,962
24,970
(24)%
* In half year 2020, the Africa business operations sold APE new business of $54 million (half year 2019: $38 million on an actual exchange rate basis). Given the

relative immaturity of the Africa business, it is incorporated into the Group’s EEV basis results on an IFRS basis and is excluded from new business sales and profit
metrics.
CER Single premiums Regular premiums APEnote (2) PVNBPnote (2)
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
2020
Half
2019
Half
year
year
+/(-)
year
year
+/(-)

year
year
+/(-)
year
year
+/(-)
$m
$m
%
$m
$m
%

$m
$m
%
$m
$m
%
Asia
Cambodia -
-
-
4
14
(71)%

4
14
(71)%
20
66
(70)%
China JVnote (3) 592
449
32%

260
292
(11)%



319
337
(5)%
1,479
1,479
-
Hong Kong 78
215
(64)%

380
1,063
(64)%



388
1,086
(64)%
2,671
6,771
(61)%

Indianote (4)
102
74
38%

73
123
(41)%



83
130
(36)%
298
584
(49)%
Indonesia 112
119
(6)%

112
140
(20)%



123
152
(19)%
494
648
(24)%
Malaysia 45
88
(49)%

118
145
(19)%



123
153
(20)%
688
854
(19)%

Philippines
15
15
-

54
71
(24)%



56
73
(23)%
205
246
(17)%

Singapore
420
485
(13)%

187
241
(22)%



229
290
(21)%
1,695
2,041
(17)%

Taiwan
112
262
(57)%

144
129
12%



155
155
-
623
645
(3)%
Thailand 65
96
(32)%
84
53
58%

90
62
45%
389
318
22%
Vietnam 9
12
(25)%
94
87
8%

95
88
8%
611
469
30%
Total Asia 1,550
1,815
(15)%
1,510
2,358
(36)%

1,665
2,540
(34)%
9,173
14,121
(35)%
US
Variable annuities 6,417
6,283
2%
-
-
-

643
628
2%
6,417
6,283
2%
Elite Access (variable

annuity)
882
961
(8)%
-
-
-

88
96
(8)%
882
961
(8)%
Fixed annuities 314
229
37%
-
-
-

31
23
35%
314
229
37%
Fixed indexed annuities 892
1,201
(26)%
-
-
-

89
120
(26)%
892
1,201
(26)%
Wholesale 1,284
2,078
(38)%
-
-
-
128
208
(38)%
1,284
2,078
(38)%
Total US 9,789
10,752
(9)%
-
-
-
979
1,075
(9)%
9,789
10,752
(9)%
Group total 11,339
12,567
(10)%
1,510
2,358
(36)%

2,644
3,615
(27)%
18,962
24,873
(24)%
* In half year 2020, the Africa business operations sold APE new business of $54 million (half year 2019: $34 million on a constant exchange rate basis). Given the

relative immaturity of the Africa business, it is incorporated into the Group’s EEV basis results on an IFRS basis and is excluded from new business sales and profit

metrics.

26

Schedule A(ii) Insurance new business APE (actual and constant exchange rates)

2019 $m 2019 $m 2020 $m
AER CER AER
H1
H2

H1
H2
H1
Asia
Cambodia 15
9

14
10
4
China JVnote (3) 350
240

337
242
319
Hong Kong 1,075
941

1,086
950
388

Indianote (4)
137
123

130
117
83
Indonesia 156
234

152
226
123
Malaysia 158
197

153
192
123

Philippines
71
87

73
89
56

Singapore
299
361

290
355
229

Taiwan
149
183

155
187
155
Thailand 62
97

62
94
90
Vietnam 88
129

88
128
95
Total Asia 2,560
2,601

2,540
2,590
1,665
US
Variable annuities 628
642

628
642
643
Elite Access (variable

annuity)
96
104

96
104
88
Fixed annuities 23
96

23
96
31
Fixed indexed annuities 120
262

120
262
89
Wholesale 208
44

208
44
128
Total US 1,075
1,148

1,075
1,148
979
Group total 3,635
3,749

3,615
3,738
2,644

Note Comparative results for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2019 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The H2 amounts are presented on year-to-date average exchange rates (including the effect of retranslating H1 results for movements in average exchange rates between H1 and the year to date).

Schedule A(iii) Insurance new business profit (actual and constant exchange rates)

2019 2019 2020
AER CER AER
HY
FY

HY
FY
HY
New business profit ($m)

Asia
1,675
3,522

1,673
3,515
912
US 450
883

450
883
248
Group total 2,125
4,405

2,123
4,398
1,160
APE ($m)note (2)
Asia 2,560
5,161

2,540
5,130
1,665
US 1,075
2,223

1,075
2,223
979
Group total 3,635
7,384

3,615
7,353
2,644
New business margin (NBP as a % of APE)

Asia
65%
68%

66%
69%
55%
US 42%
40%

42%
40%
25%
Group total 58%
60%

59%
60%
44%
PVNBP ($m)note (2)
Asia 14,218
29,244

14,121
29,081
9,173
US 10,752
22,231

10,752
22,231
9,789
Group total 24,970
51,475

24,873
51,312
18,962
New business margin (NBP as a % of PVNBP)

Asia
11.8%
12.0%

11.8%
12.1%
9.9%
US 4.2%
4.0%

4.2%
4.0%
2.5%
Group total 8.5%
8.6%
8.5%
8.6%
6.1%

27

Schedule A(iv) Investment operations (actual exchange rates)

2019 $m 2020 $m
Eastspring investment operations (excluding those managed on

behalf of M&G plc):
H1
H2
H1
Third-party retail:note (5)

Opening FUM
55,198
62,441
73,644

Net Flows:note (6)
2,682
3,313
(8,026)
- Gross Inflows 19,628
23,005
19,983
- Redemptions (16,946)
(19,692)
(28,009)
Other Movements* 4,561
7,890
(6,272)
Closing FUMnote (7) 62,441
73,644
59,346
Third-party institutional:

Opening FUM
7,788
9,431
11,024

Net Flows:
1,274
1,071
(336)
- Gross Inflows 1,661
1,802
1,621
- Redemptions (387)
(731)
(1,957)
Other Movements 369
522
(731)
Closing FUMnote (7) 9,431
11,024
9,957
Total third-party (excluding MMF) 71,872
84,668
69,303
* Other movements in H2 2019 included an inflow of $7.0 billion funds under management (excluding MMF) from the acquisition of Thanachart Fund Management Co.,
Ltd. (‘TFUND’) in Thailand.

28

B Calculation of return on embedded value

Operating return on embedded value is calculated as the annualised post-tax EEV operating profit for the period as a percentage of average EEV basis shareholders’ equity.

Half year 2020*
Asia
US
Other
Group
EEV basis operating profit for the period from continuing operations, net of tax ($ million) 2,036
696
(517)
2,215

Average EEV basis shareholders’equity ($ million)
38,244
14,943
(1,360)
51,827
Operating return on average shareholders’ equity (%) 11%
9%
n/a
9%
* Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
Half year 2019*†
Full year 2019†
Asia
US
Asia
US
EEV basis operating profit for the period from continuing operations, net of tax ($ million) 2,868
1,040
6,138
1,782

Average EEV basis shareholders’equity ($ million)
33,758
19,141
35,622
17,526
Operating return on average shareholders’ equity (%) 17%
11%
17%
10%
* Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
  • Given the significant changes in Group shareholders’ equity as a result of the demerger of the UK and Europe operations in October 2019, the 2019 comparatives excluded the presentation of a Group return on shareholders’ funds. Additionally, the half year and full year 2019 comparatives for Asia and US operations have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the use of average rather than opening or closing shareholders’ equity to be on a comparable basis with the half year 2020 calculation.

New business profit over embedded value is calculated as the annualised post-tax EEV new business profit for the period as a percentage of average EEV basis shareholders’ equity.

Half year 2020* Half year 2019*† Full year 2019†
Asia
US

Asia
US

Asia
US
New business profit ($ million) 912
248

1,675
450

3,522
883

Average EEV basis shareholders’equity ($ million)
38,244
14,943

33,758
19,141

35,622
17,526
New business profit over embedded value (%) 5%
3%
10%
5%
10%
5%
  • Half year new business profits are annualised by multiplying by two.

  • The half year and full year 2019 comparatives for Asia and US operations have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the use of average rather than opening or closing shareholders’ equity to be on a comparable basis with the half year 2020 calculation.

Average EEV basis shareholders’ equity has been based on opening and closing balances as follows:

Half year 2020 $m Half year 2019 $m Full year 2019 $m
Asia
US
Other
Group

Asia
US
Asia
US
Balance at beginning of period 39,235
16,342
(866)
54,711

32,008
18,709
32,008
18,709

Balance at end of period
37,252
13,543
(1,853)
48,942

35,507
19,573
39,235
16,342
Average EEV basis shareholders’ equity 38,244
14,943
(1,360)
51,827

33,758
19,141
35,622
17,526

29

C Calculation of EEV shareholders’ funds per share

EEV shareholders’ funds per share is calculated as closing EEV shareholders’ equity divided by the number of issued shares at 30 June 2020 of 2,609 million (30 June 2019: 2,600 million; 31 December 2019: 2,601 million). EEV shareholders’ funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders is calculated in the same manner, except goodwill attributable to shareholders is deducted from closing EEV shareholders’ equity.

30 Jun 2020
Group
Asia
US
Other

total
Closing EEV shareholders' equity ($ million) 37,252
13,543
(1,853)
48,942

Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders ($ million)
(774)
-
(26)
(800)
ClosingEEVshareholders'equity excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders ($million) 36,478
13,543
(1,879)
48,142
Shareholders' funds per share (in cents) 1,428¢
519¢
(71)¢
1,876¢

Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders (incents)
1,398¢
519¢
(72)¢
1,845¢
30 Jun 2019
Group
Asia
US
Other

total
Closing EEV shareholders' equity ($ million) 35,507
19,573
(4,608)
50,472

Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders ($ million)
(649)
-
-
(649)
ClosingEEVshareholders'equity excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders ($million) 34,858
19,573
(4,608)
49,823
Shareholders' funds per share (in cents) 1,366¢
753¢
(177)¢
1,941¢

Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders (incents)
1,341¢
753¢
(177)¢
1,916¢
31 Dec 2019
Group
Asia
US
Other

total
Closing EEV shareholders' equity ($ million) 39,235
16,342
(866)
54,711

Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders ($ million)
(796)
-
(26)
(822)
ClosingEEVshareholders'equity excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders ($million) 38,439
16,342
(892)
53,889
Shareholders' funds per share (in cents) 1,508¢
628¢
(33)¢
2,103¢

Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwillattributable to shareholders (incents)
1,478¢
628¢
(34)¢
2,072¢

30

Additional information

Risk Factors

A number of risk factors may affect Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and/or prospects and, accordingly, the trading price of its shares. The risk factors mentioned below should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. The information given is as of the date of this document, and any forward-looking statements are made subject to the reservations specified under ‘Forward-looking statements’.

Prudential’s approaches to managing risks are explained in the section of this document headed ‘Group Chief Risk and Compliance Officer’s Report on the risks facing our business and how these are managed’.

1. RISKS RELATING TO PRUDENTIAL’S FINANCIAL SITUATION

  • 1.1 The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on financial market volatility and global economic activity, increased operational disruption risks to the Group and has adversely impacted Prudential’s sales in affected markets and its financial condition, results of operations and prospects. The full extent of the longer-term impacts from the pandemic remains uncertain.

The Covid-19 pandemic has significantly increased the volatility of equity markets, interest rates and credit spreads, reduced market liquidity and reduced global economic activity. The potential adverse impacts to the Group of these effects are detailed in the Financial Market and Economic Conditions risk factor detailed in section 1.2 below. However, the full extent of the impact of the pandemic on financial markets and economic growth is highly uncertain and unpredictable and will be influenced by the actions, including the duration and effectiveness of mitigating measures of governments, policymakers and the public. Where these impacts are prolonged, this may impact the solvency position of Prudential’s subsidiaries and prevent or limit their ability to make remittances, adversely impacting the financial condition and prospects of the Group.

The immediate regulatory and supervisory responses to the Covid-19 pandemic have been broad and have included increased scrutiny of the operational resilience, liquidity and capital strength (including the impact of making dividend payments) of financial services companies. Various governments have effected, or are considering effecting, the postponement of elections and other constitutional or legislative processes in response to the pandemic, and this may result in an increase in constitutional and political uncertainty in the markets in which the Group operates. The longer term political, regulatory and supervisory developments resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic remain highly uncertain. These may include changes to government fiscal policies, laws or regulations aimed at increasing financial stability and/or measures on businesses or specific industries to contribute to, lessen or otherwise support, the financial cost to governments in addressing the pandemic.

The Covid-19 pandemic, and measures to contain it, have slowed economic and social activity in the Group’s geographical markets. While these conditions persist, the level of sales activity in affected markets has been, and will continue to be, adversely impacted through a reduction in travel and agency and bancassurance activity. The impact to economic activity and employment levels may result in an elevated incidence of claims, lapses, or surrenders of policies, and some policyholders may choose to defer or stop paying insurance premiums or reduce deposits into retirement plans. Extended travel restrictions in particular may adversely impact product persistency in the Group’s Asia business. While these impacts to the Group have not been material to date, the full extent of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic is currently highly uncertain and the Group’s claims experience to date and its current insurance assumptions cannot be taken as an indicator of future potential experience from the Covid-19 pandemic which may deteriorate significantly and have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

Disruption to Prudential’s operations may result where its employees, or those of its service partners and counterparties, contract the coronavirus or are affected by travel restrictions; where office closures and other measures impacting working practices are effected, such as the imposition of remote working arrangements; and where quarantine requirements and isolation measures under local laws apply, and as a result of social distancing and/or other psychosocial impacts. While such measures are in place, there may be an increase in attempts to compromise IT systems through phishing and social engineering tactics.

In some markets Prudential has implemented changes to its sales and distribution processes. These include virtual face-toface sales of its products and the online recruitment, training and, where possible, licensing of agents. Such changes may increase or introduce new operational and regulatory risks in particular those focused on customer outcomes and conduct. A failure to implement appropriate governance and management of these new or incremental risks may adversely impact Prudential’s reputation and brand and the results of its operations. In markets where the level of sales under these new processes is material or where such processes become permanent distribution channels, the commercial value of the Group’s existing sale and distribution arrangements, such as bancassurance arrangements, may be adversely impacted.

==> picture [514 x 84] intentionally omitted <==

1

  • 1.2 Prudential’s businesses are inherently subject to market fluctuations and general economic conditions, each of which may adversely affect the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

Uncertainty, fluctuations or negative trends in international economic and investment climates could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business and profitability. Prudential operates in a macroeconomic and global financial market environment that presents significant uncertainties and potential challenges. For example, interest rates in the United States (“US”) and some Asian countries in which Prudential operates have decreased to historic lows driven by the responses of central banks to mitigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the transition to a lower carbon economy may impact long-term asset valuations.

Global financial markets are subject to uncertainty and volatility created by a variety of factors. These factors include slowdowns or reversals in world economic growth (particularly where this is abrupt, as has been the case with the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic), fluctuations in global energy prices, changes in monetary policy in China, the US and other jurisdictions together with their impact on the valuation of all asset classes and effect on interest rates and inflation expectations, and concerns over sovereign debt. Other factors include the increased level of (geo)political risk and policyrelated uncertainty (including the broader market impacts resulting from the trade negotiations between the US and China) and socio-political, climate-driven and pandemic events. The extent of financial market and economic impact of these factors may be highly uncertain and unpredictable and influenced by the actions, including the duration and effectiveness of mitigating measures of governments, policymakers and the public.

The adverse effects of such factors could be felt principally through the following items:

  • Lower interest rates and reduced investment returns arising on the Group’s portfolios including impairment of debt securities and loans, which could reduce Prudential’s capital and impair its ability to write significant volumes of new business, increase the potential adverse impact of product guarantees included in Jackson’s variable annuities and nonunit-linked savings products in Asia, increase reinvestment risk for some of the Group’s investments from accelerated prepayments and increased redemptions and/or have a negative impact on its assets under management and profit.

  • A reduction in the financial strength and flexibility of corporate entities which may result in a deterioration of the credit rating profile and valuation of the Group’s invested credit portfolio (which may result in an increase in regulatory capital requirements for the Group or its businesses), as well as higher credit defaults and wider credit and liquidity spreads resulting in realised and unrealised credit losses. Similarly, mortgages and mortgage-backed securities in the Group’s investment portfolio are subject to default risk and may be adversely impacted by delays or failures of borrowers to make payments of principal and interest when due.

  • Failure of counterparties who have transactions with Prudential (such as banks, reinsurers and counterparties to derivative transactions) to meet commitments that could give rise to a negative impact on Prudential’s financial position and on the accessibility or recoverability of amounts due or, for derivative transactions, adequate collateral not being in place. Concentrations of counterparty credit risk could exacerbate the impact of these events where they materialise.

  • Estimates of the value of financial instruments becoming more difficult because in certain illiquid or closed markets, determining the value at which financial instruments can be realised is highly subjective. Processes to ascertain such values require substantial elements of judgement, assumptions and estimates (which may change over time). Where the Group is required to sell its investments within a defined timeframe, such market conditions may result in the sale of these investments at below expected or recorded prices.

  • The Group holds certain investments that may lack liquidity, such as privately placed fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans, mortgage-backed securities and alternative investments. If these investments were required to be liquidated on short notice, the Group may experience difficulty in doing so and may be forced to sell them at a lower price than it otherwise would have been able to realise.

  • A reduction in revenue from the Group’s products where fee income is linked to account values or the market value of the funds under management. In particular, equity price falls impact the amount of revenue derived from fees from the unit-linked products in the Group’s Asia business and from annuity contracts at Jackson, where fees are charged on account and asset values.

  • Increased illiquidity, which includes the risk that expected cash inflows from investments and operations will not be adequate to meet the Group’s anticipated short-term and long-term policyholder benefits and expense payment obligations. Increased illiquidity also adds to uncertainty over the accessibility of financial resources which in extreme conditions can impact the functioning of markets and may reduce capital resources as valuations decline. This could occur where external capital is unavailable at sustainable cost, increased liquid assets are required to be held as collateral under derivative transactions or redemption restrictions are placed on Prudential’s investments in illiquid funds. In addition, significant redemption requests could also be made on Prudential’s issued funds and while this may not have a direct impact on the Group’s liquidity, it could result in reputational damage to Prudential. The potential impact of increased illiquidity is more uncertain than for other risks such as interest rate or credit risk.

In general, upheavals in the financial markets may affect general levels of economic activity, employment and customer behaviour. As a result, insurers may experience an elevated incidence of claims, lapses, or surrenders of policies, and some policyholders may choose to defer or stop paying insurance premiums or reduce deposits into retirement plans. The demand for insurance products may also be adversely affected. In addition, there may be a higher incidence of counterparty failures. If sustained, this environment is likely to have a negative impact on the insurance sector over time and may consequently have a negative impact on Prudential’s business and its balance sheet and profitability. For example, this could occur if the recoverable value of intangible assets for bancassurance agreements and deferred

2

acquisition costs are reduced. New challenges related to market fluctuations and general economic conditions may continue to emerge.

For some non-unit-linked savings products, in particular those written in some of the Group’s Asia operations, it may not be possible to hold assets which will provide cash flows to match those relating to policyholder liabilities. This is particularly true in those countries where bond markets are less developed and in certain markets where regulated premium and claim values are set with reference to the interest rate environment prevailing at the time of policy issue. This results in a mismatch due to the duration and uncertainty of the liability cash flows and the lack of sufficient assets of a suitable duration. While this residual asset/liability mismatch risk can be managed, it cannot be eliminated. Where interest rates in these markets remain lower than those used to calculate premium and claim values over a sustained period, this could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s reported profit and the solvency of its business units. In addition, part of the profit from the Group’s Asia operations is related to bonuses for policyholders declared on with-profits products, which are impacted by the difference between actual investment returns of the with-profits fund (which are broadly based on historical and current rates of return on equity, real estate and fixed income securities) and minimum guarantee rates offered to policyholders. This profit could be lower in particular in a sustained low interest rate environment.

Jackson writes a significant amount of variable annuities that offer capital or income protection guarantees. The value of these guarantees is affected by market factors (such as interest rates, equity values, bond spreads and realised volatility) and policyholder behaviour. Changes in markets, or deviations in policyholder behaviour experience from assumptions, may result in the need to hold additional reserves for these products, which may impact Jackson’s liquidity, require it to raise additional capital and/or adversely impact its net income. Jackson uses a derivative hedging programme to reduce its exposure to market risks arising on these guarantees. There may be circumstances where the derivatives that Jackson enters into to hedge its market risks may not sufficiently or effectively offset its exposures under the guarantees, or where its exposures may be over-hedged. This includes circumstances where:

  • The derivative markets for the instruments which most appropriately reflect the equity funds in which policyholders have invested may not be of sufficient size or liquidity to effectively hedge these risks;

  • Operational errors occur in the execution of Jackson’s hedging strategy; or

  • Actual experience materially deviates from the assumptions used in the models which inform Jackson’s hedging strategy. These assumptions include, amongst others, mortality, lapse, surrender and withdrawal rates and amounts of withdrawals, election rates, fund performance, equity market returns and volatility, interest rate levels and correlation among various market movements.

If the results from Jackson’s hedging programs do not correlate with the economic effect of changes in benefit exposures to customers, it could experience economic losses and increased volatility in its earnings which could adversely impact the Group’s business, financial condition and results of operations. The cost of any guarantees that remain unhedged will also affect Jackson’s results.

Periods of significant and sustained downturns in securities markets, increased equity volatility, reduced interest rates, or deviations in expected policyholder behaviour could also increase the cost of hedging beyond that anticipated in the pricing of the products being hedged and could produce losses not addressed by the risk management techniques employed.

In addition, Jackson hedges the guarantees on its variable annuity book on an economic basis (with consideration of the local regulatory position) and, thus, accepts variability in its accounting results in the short term in order to achieve the appropriate result on these bases. In particular, for Prudential’s Group International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) reporting, the measurement of the Jackson variable annuity guarantees is typically less sensitive to market movements than for the corresponding hedging derivatives, which are held at market value. However, depending on the level of hedging conducted regarding a particular risk type, certain market movements can drive volatility in the economic or local regulatory results that may be less significant under IFRS reporting.

Also, Jackson has a mix of spread-based and mortality business with assets invested in fixed-income securities and its results are therefore affected by fluctuations in prevailing interest rates. In particular, stable value products written by Jackson expose Prudential to the risk that changes in interest rates, which are not fully reflected in the interest rates credited to customers, will reduce spread. The spread is the difference between the rate of return Jackson is able to earn on the assets backing the policyholders’ liabilities and the amounts that are credited to policyholders in the form of benefit increases, subject to minimum crediting rates. Declines in spread from these products or other spread businesses that Jackson conducts, and increases in surrender levels arising from interest rate rises, could have a material impact on its businesses or results of operations.

Any of the foregoing factors and events, individually or together, could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

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1.3 As a holding company, Prudential is dependent upon its subsidiaries to cover operating expenses and dividend payments

The Group’s insurance and investment management operations are generally conducted through direct and indirect subsidiaries, which are subject to the risks discussed elsewhere in this ‘Risk Factors’ section.

As a holding company, Prudential’s principal sources of funds are remittances from subsidiaries, shareholder-backed funds, the shareholder transfer from long-term funds and any amounts that may be raised through the issuance of equity, debt and commercial paper.

Certain of Prudential’s subsidiaries are subject to applicable insurance, foreign exchange and tax laws, rules and regulations (including in relation to distributable profits) that can limit their ability to make remittances. In some circumstances, including where there are changes to general market conditions, this could limit Prudential’s ability to pay dividends to shareholders or to make available funds held in certain subsidiaries to cover operating expenses of other members of the Group.

A material change in the financial condition of any of Prudential’s subsidiaries may have a material effect on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

  • 1.4 (Geo)political risks and political uncertainty may adversely impact economic conditions, increase market volatility, cause operational disruption to the Group and impact its strategic plans, which could have adverse effects on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

The Group is exposed to (geo)political risks and political uncertainty in the markets in which it operates. Recent shifts in the focus of some national governments toward more protectionist or restrictive economic and trade policies with specific markets, and international trade disputes, could impact on the macroeconomic outlook and the environment for global financial markets. This could take effect, for example, through increased friction in cross-border trade, such as implementation of trade tariffs or the withdrawal from existing trading blocs or agreements and the exercise of executive powers to restrict overseas trade, financial transactions, capital movements and/or investment. The degree and nature of regulatory changes and Prudential’s competitive position in some geographic markets may also be impacted, for example, through measures favouring local enterprises, such as changes to the maximum level of non-domestic ownership by foreign companies or differing treatment under regulations and tax rules.

(Geo)political risks and political uncertainty may also adversely impact the Group’s operations and its operational resilience. Increased (geo)political tensions may increase cross-border cyber activity and therefore increase cyber security risks. (Geo)political tensions may also lead to civil unrest and/or acts of civil disobedience. This includes the unrest in Hong Kong, where mass anti-government demonstrations have given rise to increased disruption throughout the region. Such events could impact operational resilience by disrupting Prudential’s systems, operations, new business sales and renewals, distribution channels and services to customers, which may result in a reduction in contributions from business units to the central cash balances and profit of the Group, decreased profitability, financial loss, adverse customer impacts and reputational damage and may impact Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

Responses by the US, UK and other governments to the recently enacted national security law in Hong Kong, the final form and full extent of which currently remain uncertain, may adversely impact Hong Kong’s economy with potential adverse sales, operational and product distribution impacts to the Group due to the territory being a key market which also hosts regional and head office functions. For internationally active groups such as Prudential, operating across these jurisdictions, government measures and responses may also add to the complexity of legal and regulatory compliance. Compliance with Prudential’s legal or regulatory obligations in one jurisdiction may conflict with the law or policy objectives of another jurisdiction, or may be seen as supporting the law or policy objectives of that jurisdiction over another, creating additional legal, regulatory compliance and reputational risks for the Group.

1.5 Prudential is subject to the risk of potential sovereign debt credit deterioration owing to the amounts of sovereign debt obligations held in its investment portfolio

Investing in sovereign debt creates exposure to the direct or indirect consequences of political, social or economic changes (including changes in governments, heads of state or monarchs) in the countries in which the issuers of such debt are located and to the creditworthiness of the sovereign. Investment in sovereign debt obligations involves risks not present in debt obligations of corporate issuers. In addition, the issuer of the debt or the governmental authorities that control the repayment of the debt may be unable or unwilling to repay principal or pay interest when due in accordance with the terms of such debt, and Prudential may have limited recourse to compel payment in the event of a default. A sovereign debtor’s willingness or ability to repay principal and to pay interest in a timely manner may be affected by, among other factors, its cash flow situation, its relations with its central bank, the extent of its foreign currency reserves, the availability of sufficient foreign exchange on the date a payment is due, the relative size of the debt service burden to the economy as a whole, the sovereign debtor’s policy toward local and international lenders, and the political constraints to which the sovereign debtor may be subject.

Moreover, governments may use a variety of techniques, such as intervention by their central banks or imposition of regulatory controls or taxes, to devalue their currencies’ exchange rates, or may adopt monetary and other policies (including to manage their debt burdens) that have a similar effect, all of which could adversely impact the value of an investment in sovereign debt even in the absence of a technical default. Periods of economic uncertainty may affect the volatility of market prices of sovereign debt to a greater extent than the volatility inherent in debt obligations of other types of issuers.

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In addition, if a sovereign default or other such events described above were to occur as has happened on occasion in the past, other financial institutions may also suffer losses or experience solvency or other concerns, which may result in Prudential facing additional risks relating to investments in such financial institutions that are held in the Group’s investment portfolio. There is also risk that public perceptions about the stability and creditworthiness of financial institutions and the financial sector generally might be adversely affected, as might counterparty relationships between financial institutions.

If a sovereign were to default on its obligations, or adopt policies that devalued or otherwise altered the currencies in which its obligations were denominated this could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

  • 1.6 Downgrades in Prudential’s financial strength and credit ratings could significantly impact its competitive position and damage its relationships with creditors or trading counterparties

Prudential’s financial strength and credit ratings, which are used by the market to measure its ability to meet policyholder obligations, are an important factor affecting public confidence in Prudential’s products, and as a result its competitiveness. Downgrades in Prudential’s ratings as a result of, for example, decreased profitability, increased costs, increased indebtedness or other concerns could have an adverse effect on its ability to market products, retain current policyholders, and the Group’s ability to compete for acquisition and strategic opportunities. Downgrades may also impact the Group’s financial flexibility, including its ability to issue commercial paper at current levels and pricing. The interest rates at which Prudential is able to borrow funds are affected by its credit ratings, which are in place to measure the Group’s ability to meet its contractual obligations.

In addition, changes in methodologies and criteria used by rating agencies could result in downgrades that do not reflect changes in the general economic conditions or Prudential’s financial condition.

Any such downgrades could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Prudential cannot predict what actions rating agencies may take, or what actions Prudential may therefore take in response to the actions of rating agencies, which could adversely affect its business.

1.7 Prudential is subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations owing to the geographical diversity of its businesses

Due to the geographical diversity of Prudential’s businesses, Prudential is subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations. Prudential’s operations generally write policies and invest in assets denominated in local currencies. Although this practice limits the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on local operating results, it can lead to fluctuations in Prudential’s consolidated financial statements upon the translation of results into the Group’s presentation currency. This exposure is not currently separately managed. The Group now presents its consolidated financial statements in US dollars, which is the currency in which a large proportion of the Group’s earnings and assets and liabilities are denominated or linked to (such as the Hong Kong dollar, which is pegged to the US dollar). There remain some entities within the Group the results of which are not denominated in or linked to the US dollar and transactions which are conducted in non- US dollar currencies. Prudential is subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations from the translation of the results these entities and transactions and the risks from the maintenance of the Hong Kong dollar peg to the US dollar.

2. RISKS RELATING TO PRUDENTIAL’S BUSINESS ACTIVITIES AND INDUSTRY

  • 2.1 The implementation of large-scale transformation, including complex strategic initiatives, gives rise to significant design and execution risks, may affect Prudential’s operational capability and capacity, and may adversely impact the Group and the delivery of its strategy if these initiatives fail to meet their objectives

In order to implement its business strategies for growth, improve customer experiences, strengthen operational resilience, meet regulatory and industry requirements and maintain market competitiveness, Prudential undertakes Group restructuring, large-scale transformation and acquisitions and disposals across its business. Many of these change initiatives are complex, interconnected and/or of large scale, including a current focus on preparations for a potential minority initial public offering and evaluation of other strategic options in relation to Jackson and its related companies, advancing the Group’s digital capability, expanding strategic partnerships and industry and regulatory-driven change. There may be a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects if these initiatives incur unplanned costs, are subject to implementation delays, or fail to fully meet their objectives. Additionally, there may be adverse non-financial (including operational, regulatory, conduct and reputational) implications for the Group. These initiatives inherently give rise to design and execution risks, and may increase existing business risks, such as placing additional strain on the operational capacity, or weakening the control environment, of the Group.

Implementing further initiatives related to significant regulatory changes, such as IFRS 17 and the transition to a legislative framework in Hong Kong for the group-wide supervision of insurance groups, may amplify these risks. Risks relating to these regulatory changes are explained in the “Legal and Regulatory Risk” risk factor detailed in section 3.1.

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2.2 Adverse experience in the operational risks inherent in Prudential’s business, and those of its material outsourcing partners, could disrupt its business functions and have a negative impact on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

Operational risks are present in all of Prudential’s businesses, including the risk of direct or indirect loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems or human error, fraud, the effects of natural or man-made catastrophic events (such as natural disasters, pandemics, cyber-attacks, acts of terrorism, civil unrest and other catastrophes) or from other external events. These risks may also adversely impact Prudential through its partners which provide bancassurance and product distribution, outsourcing, external technology, data hosting and other services.

Exposure to such events could impact Prudential’s operational resilience and ability to perform necessary business functions by disrupting its systems, operations, new business sales and renewals, distribution channels and services to customers, or result in the loss of confidential or proprietary data. Such events, as well as any weaknesses in administration systems (such as those relating to policyholder records) or actuarial reserving processes, may also result in increased expenses, as well as legal and regulatory sanctions, decreased profitability, financial loss, customer conduct risk impacts and may damage Prudential’s reputation and relationship with its customers and business partners.

Prudential’s business is dependent on processing a large number of transactions for numerous and diverse products. It also employs a large number of complex and interconnected IT and finance systems and models, and user developed applications in its processes. The long-term nature of much of the Group’s business also means that accurate records have to be maintained securely for significant time periods. Further, Prudential operates in an extensive and evolving legal and regulatory environment (including in relation to tax) which adds to the complexity of the governance and operation of its business processes and controls.

The performance of the Group’s core business activities and the uninterrupted availability of services to customers rely significantly on, and require significant investment in, IT infrastructure and security, system development, data governance and management, compliance and other operational systems, personnel, controls and processes. During times of significant change, the resilience and operational effectiveness of these systems and processes at Prudential and/or its third party providers may be adversely impacted. In particular, Prudential and its business partners are making increasing use of emerging technological tools and digital services, or forming strategic partnerships with third parties to provide these capabilities. Automated distribution channels to customers increase the criticality of providing uninterrupted services. A failure to implement appropriate governance and management of the incremental operational risks from emerging technologies may adversely impact on Prudential’s reputation and brand, the results of its operations, its ability to attract and retain customers and its ability to deliver on its long-term strategy and therefore its competitiveness and long-term financial success.

Although Prudential’s IT, compliance and other operational systems, models and processes incorporate governance and controls designed to manage and mitigate the operational and model risks associated with its activities, there can be no assurance as to the resilience of these systems and processes to disruption or that governance and controls will always be effective. Due to human error, among other reasons, operational and model risk incidents do occur from time to time and no system or process can entirely prevent them, although Prudential has not, to date, identified any such incidents that have had a material impact. Prudential’s legacy and other IT systems, data and processes, as with operational systems and processes generally, may also be susceptible to failure or security/data breaches.

In addition, Prudential relies on the performance and operations of a number of bancassurance, outsourcing (including external technology and data hosting) and service partners. These include back office support functions, such as those relating to IT infrastructure, development and support and customer facing operations and services, such as product distribution and services (including through digital channels) and investment operations. This creates reliance upon the resilient operational performance of these partners, and failure to adequately oversee the partner, or the failure of a partner (or of its IT and operational systems and processes) could result in significant disruption to business operations and customers, may have reputational or conduct risk implications and which could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

2.3 Attempts to access or disrupt Prudential’s IT systems, and loss or misuse of personal data, could result in loss of trust from Prudential’s customers and employees, reputational damage and have material adverse effects on the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

Prudential and its business partners are increasingly exposed to the risk that individuals (which includes connected persons such as employees, contractors or representatives of Prudential or its third-party service providers, and unconnected persons) or groups may intentionally or unintentionally disrupt the availability, confidentiality and integrity of its IT systems or compromise the integrity and security of data (both corporate and customer), which could result in disruption to key operations, make it difficult to recover critical services or damage assets, any of which could result in loss of trust from Prudential’s customers and employees, reputational damage and direct or indirect financial loss. The cyber-security threat continues to evolve globally in sophistication and potential significance. Prudential’s increasing profile in its current markets and those in which it is entering, growing customer interest in interacting with their insurance providers and asset managers through the internet and social media, improved brand awareness and the 2016 designation of Prudential as a G-SII could also increase the likelihood of Prudential being considered a target by cyber criminals. Further, there have been changes to the threat landscape in recent years and the risk from untargeted but sophisticated and automated attacks has increased.

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There is an increasing requirement and expectation on Prudential and its business partners to not only hold customer, shareholder and employee data securely, but use it in a transparent and appropriate way, including ensuring appropriate decision-making where automated processes are employed, and to ensure its ongoing accuracy. The risk of not meeting these requirements and expectations may be increased by the use of emerging technological tools which could increase the volume of data that Prudential collects and processes. Developments in data protection worldwide (such as the implementation of EU General Data Protection Regulation that came into force in 2018 and the California Consumer Protection Act that came into force on 1 January 2020) may also increase the financial and reputational implications for Prudential following a significant breach of its (or its third-party suppliers’) IT systems or data. New and currently unforeseeable regulatory issues may also arise from the increased use of emerging technology, data and digital services. Although Prudential has experienced or has been affected by cyber and data breaches, to date, it has not identified a failure or breach, or an incident of data misuse in relation to its legacy and other IT systems and processes which has had a material impact. However, Prudential has been, and likely will continue to be, subject to potential damage from computer viruses, unauthorised access and cyber-security attacks such as ‘denial of service’ attacks (which, for example, can cause temporary disruption to websites and IT networks), phishing and disruptive software campaigns.

Prudential is continually enhancing its IT environment to remain secure against emerging threats, together with increasing its ability to detect system compromise and recover should such an incident occur. However, there can be no assurance that such events will not take place which may have material adverse consequential effects on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

2.4 Prudential operates in certain markets with joint venture partners, minority shareholders and other third parties, resulting in certain risks that Prudential does not face with respect to its wholly-owned subsidiaries.

Prudential operates, and in certain markets is required by local regulation to operate, through joint ventures and other joint ownership or third-party arrangements. For such Group operations the level of control exercisable by the Group depends on the terms of the contractual agreements, in particular, those terms providing for the allocation of control among, and continued cooperation between, the participants. In addition, the level of control exercisable by the Group could be subject to changes in the maximum level of non-domestic ownership imposed on foreign companies in certain jurisdictions.

Prudential may face financial, reputational and other exposure (including regulatory censure) in the event that any of its partners fails or is unable to meet its obligations under the arrangements, encounters financial difficulty, or fails to comply with local or international regulation and standards such as those pertaining to the prevention of financial crime. In addition, a significant proportion of the Group’s product distribution is carried out through arrangements with third parties not controlled by Prudential such as bancassurance and agency arrangements in Asia and broker-dealer networks in the US and is therefore dependent upon continuation of these relationships. A temporary or permanent disruption to these distribution arrangements, such as through significant deterioration in the reputation, financial position or other circumstances of the third party, material failure in controls (such as those pertaining to the third-party system failure or the prevention of financial crime) or failure to meet any regulatory requirements could adversely affect Prudential’s reputation and its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

2.5 Adverse experience relative to the assumptions used in pricing products and reporting business results could significantly affect Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

In common with other life insurers, the profitability of the Group’s businesses depends on a mix of factors including mortality and morbidity levels and trends, policy surrenders and take-up rates on guarantee features of products, investment performance and impairments, unit cost of administration and new business acquisition expenses. The Group’s businesses are subject to inflation risk. In particular, the Group’s medical insurance businesses in Asia are also exposed to medical inflation risk.

Prudential needs to make assumptions about a number of factors in determining the pricing of its products, for setting reserves, and for reporting its capital levels and the results of its long-term business operations.

Assumptions about future expected levels of mortality are of relevance to the Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (“GMWB”) of Jackson’s variable annuity business.

A further factor is the assumption that Prudential makes about future expected levels of the rates of early termination of products by its customers (known as persistency). This is relevant to a number of lines of business in the Group, especially for Jackson’s portfolio of variable annuities and across product lines in Asian markets. Prudential’s persistency assumptions reflect a combination of recent past experience for each relevant line of business and expert judgement, especially where a lack of relevant and credible experience data exists. Any expected change in future persistency is also reflected in the assumption. If actual levels of future persistency are significantly different than assumed, the Group’s results of operations could be adversely affected. Furthermore, Jackson’s variable annuity products are sensitive to other types of policyholder behaviour, such as the take-up of its GMWB product features.

In addition, Prudential’s business may be adversely affected by epidemics, pandemics and other effects that give rise to a large number of deaths or additional sickness claims, as well as increases to the cost of medical claims. Pandemics, significant influenza and other epidemics have occurred a number of times historically but the likelihood, timing, or the severity of future events cannot be predicted. The effectiveness of external parties, including governmental and nongovernmental organisations, in combating the spread and severity of any epidemics could have a material impact on the Group’s claims experience. The risks to the Group resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic are included in the “Covid-19” risk factor detailed in section 1.1.

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Prudential uses reinsurance to selectively transfer mortality, morbidity and other risks. This exposes the Group to the counterparty risk of a reinsurer being unable to pay reinsurance claims or otherwise meet their commitments; the risk that a reinsurer changes reinsurance terms and conditions of coverage, or increases the price of reinsurance which Prudential is unable to pass on to its customers; and the risk of ambiguity in the reinsurance terms and conditions leading to uncertainty whether an event is covered under a reinsurance contract.

Any of the foregoing, individually or together, could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

2.6 Prudential’s businesses are conducted in highly competitive environments with developing demographic trends and continued profitability depends upon management’s ability to respond to these pressures and trends

The markets for financial services in the US and Asia are highly competitive, with several factors affecting Prudential’s ability to sell its products and continued profitability, including price and yields offered, financial strength and ratings, range of product lines and product quality, brand strength and name recognition, investment management performance and fund management trends, historical bonus levels, the ability to respond to developing demographic trends, customer appetite for certain savings products and technological advances. In some of its markets, Prudential faces competitors that are larger, have greater financial resources or a greater market share, offer a broader range of products or have higher bonus rates. Further, heightened competition for talented and skilled employees, agents and independent financial advisers may limit Prudential’s potential to grow its business as quickly as planned. Technological advances may result in increased competition to the Group (including from outside the insurance industry) and a failure to be able to attract sufficient numbers of skilled staff.

In Asia, the Group’s principal competitors include global life insurers together with regional insurers and multinational asset managers. In most Asia markets, there are also local companies that have a material market presence.

Jackson’s competitors in the US include major stock and mutual insurance companies, mutual fund organisations, banks and other financial services companies.

Prudential believes that competition will intensify across all regions in response to consumer demand, digital and other technological advances (including the emergence of new distribution channels), the need for economies of scale and the consequential impact of consolidation, regulatory actions and other factors. Prudential’s ability to generate an appropriate return depends significantly upon its capacity to anticipate and respond appropriately to these competitive pressures. This includes managing the potential adverse impacts to the commercial value of the Group’s existing sale and distribution arrangements, such as bancassurance arrangements, in markets where new distribution channels develop.

Failure to do so may negatively impact Prudential’s ability to attract and retain customers and, importantly, may limit Prudential’s ability to take advantage of new business arising in the markets in which it operates, which may have an adverse interest on the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

2.7. Prudential is exposed to ongoing risks as a result of the demerger of M&G plc (the “Demerger”)

On 21 October 2019, Prudential completed the Demerger and, in connection with this, Prudential entered into a demerger agreement with M&G plc. Among other provisions, the demerger agreement contains a customary indemnity under which Prudential has agreed to indemnify M&G plc against liabilities incurred by the M&G plc group that relate to the business of the Group. Although it is not anticipated that Prudential will be required to pay any substantial amount pursuant to such indemnity obligations, if any amount payable thereunder is substantial this could have a material adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

3. LEGAL AND REGULATORY RISK

  • 3.1 Prudential conducts its businesses subject to regulation and associated regulatory risks, including a change to the basis in the regulatory supervision of the Group, the effects of changes in the laws, regulations, policies and interpretations and any accounting standards in the markets in which it operates

Changes in government policy and legislation (including in relation to tax), capital control measures on companies and individuals, regulation or regulatory interpretation applying to companies in the financial services and insurance industries in any of the markets in which Prudential operates (including those related to the conduct of business by Prudential or its third party distributors), or decisions taken by regulators in connection with their supervision of members of the Group, which in some circumstances may be applied retrospectively, may adversely affect Prudential. The impact from any regulatory changes may be material to Prudential, for example changes may be required to its product range, distribution channels, handling and usage of data, competitiveness, profitability, capital requirements, risk management approaches, corporate or governance structure and, consequently, reported results and financing requirements. Also, regulators in jurisdictions in which Prudential operates may impose requirements affecting the allocation of capital and liquidity between different business units in the Group, whether on a geographic, legal entity, product line or other basis. Regulators may also change solvency requirements, methodologies for determining components of the regulatory or statutory balance sheet including the reserves and the level of capital required to be held by individual businesses (with implications to the Group capital position), the regulation of selling practices, and could introduce changes that impact products sold or that may be sold. Furthermore, as a result of interventions by governments in light of financial and global economic conditions, there may continue to be changes in government regulation and supervision of the financial services industry, including the possibility of higher capital requirements, restrictions on certain types of transactions and enhancement of supervisory powers.

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Further information on specific areas of regulatory and supervisory requirements and changes are included in the subsections below.

(a) Group-wide supervision

With effect from 21 October 2019, the group-wide supervisor of Prudential plc changed to the Hong Kong Insurance Authority (the “Hong Kong IA”). On 24 July 2020 the Insurance (Amendment (No 2) Ordinance, being the enabling primary legislation providing for the framework for the group-wide supervision of insurance groups by the Hong Kong IA (the “GWS Framework”), was enacted. The primary legislation (once effective) will be supported by subsidiary legislation and guidance material, which is subject to consultation with the industry and to the Hong Kong legislative process. As such, the timing of finalisation and implementation of the GWS Framework remains uncertain, although it is expected to become effective in early 2021. Until then the Group is being supervised on an interim basis in line with principles agreed with the Hong Kong IA. Until the GWS Framework is finalised, the Group cannot be certain of the nature and extent of differences between the interim principles agreed with the Hong Kong IA and the specific regulatory requirements of the GWS Framework. With the agreement of the Hong Kong IA, Prudential is applying the Local Capital Summation Method (the “LCSM”) to determine Group regulatory capital requirements. Whilst Prudential currently expects the capital requirements under the GWS Framework to be largely consistent with these interim supervisory requirements, any differences in the final requirements adopted under the GWS Framework may lead to changes to the way in which capital requirements are calculated and to the eligibility of the capital instruments issued by Prudential to satisfy such capital requirements. The Group’s existing processes and resources may also need to change to comply with the final GWS Framework or any other requirements of the Hong Kong IA. The need to adapt to any such changes or to respond to any such requirements may lead to increased costs or otherwise impact the business, financial condition, results, profitability and/or prospects of the Group.

While the Hong Kong IA has agreed that the subordinated debt instruments Prudential has in issue can be included as part of the Group’s capital resources for the purposes of satisfying the capital requirements imposed under the LCSM under the interim principles agreed with the Hong Kong IA, the grandfathering provisions under the GWS Framework remain subject to the Hong Kong legislative process. Although Prudential currently expects to be able to include the subordinated debt instruments it has in issue as part of the Group’s capital resources for the purposes of satisfying the capital requirements imposed under the GWS Framework, if Prudential is ultimately not able to do so it may need to raise additional capital, which may in turn lead to increased costs for the Group.

(b) Global regulatory requirements and systematic risk regulation

Currently there are also a number of other global regulatory developments which could impact Prudential’s businesses in the many jurisdictions in which they operate. These include the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (“Dodd-Frank Act”) and its subsequent amendments in the US which provided for a comprehensive overhaul of the financial services industry within the US including reforms to financial services entities, products and markets, the work of the Financial Stability Board (the “FSB”) in the area of systemic risk including the reassessment of the designation of Global Systemically Important Insurers (“G-SIIs”), and the Insurance Capital Standard (the “ICS”) being developed by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (the “IAIS”). In addition, regulators in a number of jurisdictions in which the Group operates are further developing their local capital regimes. Across Asia this includes China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand and India. There remains a high degree of uncertainty over the potential impact of such changes on the Group.

In November 2019 the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) adopted the Common Framework (“ComFrame”) which establishes supervisory standards and guidance focusing on the effective group-wide supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups (“IAIGs”). The ComFrame proposals, which include the ICS, could result in enhanced capital and regulatory measures for IAIGs. Prudential was included in the first register of IAIGs released by the IAIS on 1 July 2020 and was designated an IAIG by the Hong Kong IA following an assessment against the established criteria in ComFrame.

In November 2019 the FSB endorsed a new Holistic Framework (“HF”), intended for the assessment and mitigation of systemic risk in the insurance sector, for implementation by the IAIS in 2020 and has suspended G-SII designations until completion of a review to be undertaken in 2022. Many of the previous G-SII measures have already been adopted into the Insurance Core Principles (“ICPs”) and ComFrame. As an IAIG, Prudential is expected to be subject to these measures. The HF also includes a monitoring element for the identification of a build-up of systemic risk and to enable supervisors to take action where appropriate. As a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, this monitoring requirement has been replaced with a Covid-19-focused exercise for 2020. In June 2020 the IAIS published an application paper on the liquidity risk elements introduced into the ICPs and ComFrame. A public consultation on the development of liquidity metrics to be used as an ancillary indicator for monitoring is planned for Q4 2020, with a further consultation focused on macroeconomic elements expected to follow in 2021.

The IAIS continues to develop the ICS as part of ComFrame. The implementation of ICS will be conducted in two phases – a five-year monitoring phase followed by an implementation phase.

(c) IFRS 17

The Group’s accounts are prepared in accordance with current IFRS applicable to the insurance industry. The International Accounting Standards Board (the “IASB”) introduced a framework that it described as Phase I which, under its standard IFRS 4, permitted insurers to continue to use the statutory basis of accounting for insurance assets and liabilities that existed in their jurisdictions prior to January 2005. In May 2017, the IASB published its replacement standard on insurance accounting (IFRS 17, ‘Insurance Contracts’). Some targeted amendments to this standard, including to the effective date, were issued in June 2020. IFRS 17, ‘Insurance Contracts’, as amended, will have the effect of introducing fundamental changes to the statutory reporting of insurance entities that prepare accounts according to IFRS from 2023. The UK Endorsement Board, once established, will apply a process for assessing whether IFRS 17 meets the necessary criteria for

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endorsement into the UK-adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS). The UK-adopted IAS will apply to the Group’s financial results reporting after the Brexit transition period, replacing the EU-endorsed IFRS. The Group is reviewing the complex requirements of this standard and considering its potential impact. The effect of changes required to the Group’s accounting policies as a result of implementing the new standard is currently uncertain, but these changes can be expected to, amongst other things, alter the timing of IFRS profit recognition. Given the implementation of this standard is likely to require significant enhancements to IT, actuarial and finance systems of the Group, it will also have an impact on the Group’s expenses.

Any changes or modification of IFRS accounting policies may require a change in the way in which future results will be determined and/or a retrospective adjustment of reported results to ensure consistency.

(d) Inter-bank offered rate (“IBOR”) reforms

In July 2014, the FSB announced widespread reforms to address the integrity and reliability of IBORs. The discontinuation of IBORs in their current form and their replacement with alternative risk-free reference rates such as the Sterling Overnight Index Average benchmark (“SONIA”) in the UK and the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”) in the US could, among other things, impact the Group through an adverse effect on the value of Prudential’s assets and liabilities which are linked to or which reference IBORs, a reduction in market liquidity during any period of transition and increased legal and conduct risks to the Group arising from changes required to documentation and its related obligations to its stakeholders.

(e) Investor contribution schemes

Various jurisdictions in which Prudential operates have created investor compensation schemes that require mandatory contributions from market participants in some instances in the event of a failure of a market participant. As a major participant in the majority of its chosen markets, circumstances could arise in which Prudential, along with other companies, may be required to make such contributions.

3.2 The resolution of several issues affecting the financial services industry could have a negative impact on Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects or on its relations with current and potential customers

Prudential is, and in the future may continue to be, subject to legal and regulatory actions in the ordinary course of its business on matters relevant to the delivery of customer outcomes. Such actions relate, and could in the future relate, to the application of current regulations or the failure to implement new regulations (including those relating to the conduct of business), regulatory reviews of broader industry practices and products sold (including in relation to lines of business already closed) in the past under acceptable industry or market practices at the time and changes to the tax regime affecting products. Regulators may also focus on the approach that product providers use to select third-party distributors and to monitor the appropriateness of sales made by them. In some cases, product providers can be held responsible for the deficiencies of third-party distributors.

In the US, there has been significant attention on the different regulatory standards applied to investment advice delivered to retail customers by different sectors of the industry. As a result of reports relating to perceptions of industry abuses, there have been numerous regulatory inquiries and proposals for legislative and regulatory reforms. This includes focus on the suitability of sales of certain products, alternative investments and the widening of the circumstances under which a person or entity providing investment advice with respect to certain employee benefit and pension plans would be considered a fiduciary subjecting the person or entity to certain regulatory requirements. There is a risk that new regulations introduced may have a material adverse effect on the sales of the products by Prudential and increase Prudential’s exposure to legal risks.

Any regulatory action arising out of the Group’s position as a product provider could have an adverse impact on the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects, or otherwise harm its reputation.

3.3 Litigation, disputes and regulatory investigations may adversely affect Prudential’s business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects

Prudential is, and may in the future be, subject to legal actions, disputes and regulatory investigations in various contexts, including in the ordinary course of its insurance, investment management and other business operations. These legal actions, disputes and investigations may relate to aspects of Prudential’s businesses and operations that are specific to Prudential, or that are common to companies that operate in Prudential’s markets. Legal actions and disputes may arise under contracts, regulations (including tax) or from a course of conduct taken by Prudential, and may be class actions. Although Prudential believes that it has adequately provided in all material respects for the costs of litigation and regulatory matters, no assurance can be provided that such provisions are sufficient. Given the large or indeterminate amounts of damages sometimes sought, other sanctions that might be imposed and the inherent unpredictability of litigation and disputes, it is possible that an adverse outcome could have an adverse effect on Prudential’s business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects.

3.4 Changes in tax legislation may result in adverse tax consequences for the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects

Tax rules, including those relating to the insurance industry, and their interpretation may change, possibly with retrospective effect, in any of the jurisdictions in which Prudential operates. Significant tax disputes with tax authorities, and any change in the tax status of any member of the Group or in taxation legislation or its scope or interpretation could affect Prudential’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

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4. ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE RISKS

  • 4.1 The failure to understand and respond effectively to the risks associated with environmental, social or governance (“ESG”) factors could adversely affect Prudential’s achievement of its long-term strategy

The business environment in which Prudential operates is continually changing. A failure to manage those material risks associated with the ESG themes detailed below may adversely impact the reputation and brand of the Group, the results of its operations, its ability to attract and retain customers and staff, its ability to deliver on its long-term strategy and therefore its long-term financial success. Ensuring high levels of transparency and responsiveness to stakeholders is a key aspect of this. ESG-related issues may also directly or indirectly impact key stakeholders, ranging from customers to institutional investors, employees, suppliers and regulators, all of whom have expectations in this area, which may differ.

The environmental risks associated with climate change is one ESG area that poses significant risks to Prudential and its customers. These risks include transition risks and physical risks. The global transition to a lower carbon economy could have an adverse impact on investment valuations as the financial assets of carbon-intensive companies re-price and could result in some asset sectors facing significantly higher costs and a disorderly adjustment to their asset values. The speed of this transition will be influenced by factors such as public policy, technology and changes in market or investor sentiment. This may adversely impact the valuation of investments held by the Group. The potential broader economic impact from this may adversely affect customer demand for the Group’s products. The physical impacts of climate change, driven by both specific short-term climate-related events such as natural disasters and longer-term changes to the natural environment, will increasingly influence the longevity, mortality and morbidity risk assessments of the Group’s underwriting product offerings. Climate-driven changes in countries in which Prudential, or its key third parties, operate could impact its operational resilience and could change its claims profile. There is an increasing expectation from stakeholders for Prudential to understand, manage and provide increased transparency of its exposure to climate-related risks. Given that Prudential’s investment horizons are long term, it is potentially more exposed to the long-term impact of climate change risks. Additionally, Prudential’s stakeholders increasingly expect an approach to responsible investment that demonstrates how ESG considerations are effectively integrated into investment and engagement decisions, and fiduciary and stewardship duties.

Social risks that could impact Prudential may arise from a failure to consider the rights, diversity, well-being, and interests of people and communities in which the Group, or its third parties, operates. These risks are increased as Prudential operates in multiple jurisdictions with distinct local cultures and considerations. Emerging population risks associated with public health trends (such as an increase in obesity) and demographic changes (such as population urbanisation and ageing) may affect customer lifestyles and therefore may impact claims against the Group’s insurance product offerings. As a provider of insurance and investment services, Prudential has access to extensive amounts of customer personal data, including data related to personal health, and is therefore exposed to the regulatory and reputational risks associated with customer data misuse or security breaches. These risks are explained in section 2.3. The potential for reputational risks extends to the Group’s supply chains, which may be adversely impacted by factors such as poor labour standards and abuses of human rights by third parties. As an employer, the Group is also exposed to the risk of being unable to attract, retain and develop highly-skilled staff, which can be increased where Prudential does not have responsible working practices.

A failure to maintain high standards of corporate governance may adversely impact the Group and its customers, staff and employees, through poor decision-making and a lack of oversight of its key risks. Poor governance may arise where key governance committees have insufficient independence, a lack of diversity, skills or experience in their members, or unclear (or insufficient) oversight responsibilities and mandates. Inadequate oversight over remuneration increases the risk of poor senior management behaviours. Prudential operates across multiple jurisdictions and has a group and subsidiary governance structure which may add further complexity to these considerations. Participation in joint ventures or partnerships where Prudential does not have direct overall control increases the potential for reputational risks arising from poor governance.

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By order of the Board Prudential plc Tom Clarkson Company Secretary

11 August 2020, London

As at the date of this announcement, the Board of Directors of Prudential plc comprises:

Chairman

Paul Victor Falzon Sant Manduca

Executive Directors

Michael Andrew Wells (Group Chief Executive) , Mark Thomas FitzPatrick CA and Stuart James Turner FCA FCSI FRM

Independent Non-executive Directors

Jeremy David Bruce Anderson CBE, David John Alexander Law ACA, Kaikhushru Shiavax Nargolwala FCA, Anthony John Liddell Nightingale CMG SBS JP, The Hon. Philip John Remnant CBE FCA, Alice Davey Schroeder, Shriti Vinodkant Vadera, Thomas Ros Watjen, Jane Fields Wicker-Miurin OBE and Yok Tak Amy Yip

* For identification purposes