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Pirelli & C — Investor Presentation 2021
Nov 11, 2021
4052_ip_2021-11-11_b7c5b8c2-9685-4c4e-8139-1ea312a3f2c8.pdf
Investor Presentation
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9M 2021 FINANCIAL RESULTS
Milan, November 11th, 2021
DISCLAIMER
In General. This disclaimer applies to this document and any oral comments of any person presenting it. This document, taken together with any such oral comments, is referred to herein as the "Presentation". This document has been prepared by Pirelli & C. S.p.A. ("Pirelli" or the "Company" and, together with its subsidiary the "Group"). The Presentation is being furnished to you for information purposes only and for use in presentations of the results and strategies of the Group.
No distribution of this Presentation. This Presentation is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or redistributed to any other individual or legal entity.
Forward-looking statement. ""Forward-looking statements" (which expression shall include opinions, predictions or expectations about any future event) that may be contained in the Presentation are based on a variety of estimates and assumptions by the Group, including, among others, estimates of future operating results, the value of assets and market conditions. These estimates and assumptions are inherently uncertain and are subject to numerous business, industry, market, regulatory, geo-political, competitive and financial risks that are outside of the Group's control. There can be no assurance that the assumptions made in connection with the forward-looking statements will prove accurate, and actual results may differ materially. The inclusion of the forward-looking statements herein should not be regarded as an indication that the Group considers the forward-looking statements to be a reliable prediction of future events and the forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as such. Neither the Group nor any of its representatives has made or makes any representation to any person regarding the forward-looking statements and none of them intends to update or otherwise revise the forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances existing after the date when made or to reflect the occurrence of future events, even in the event that any or all of the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are later shown to be in error.
The forward-looking statements does not take into account any additional negative effects that may arise from impacts on the global market in which Pirelli operates and more generally on the macroeconomic scenario, also following any further governmental measures related to the spread of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) and any potential delay in the vaccines campaign.
No update. The information and opinions in this Presentation is provided to you as of the dates indicated and the Group does not undertake to update the information contained in this Presentation and/or any opinions expressed relating thereto after its presentation, even in the event that the information becomes materially inaccurate, except as otherwise required by applicable laws.
Verbal explanation. This Presentation has to be accompanied by a verbal explanation. A simple reading of this Presentation without the appropriate verbal explanation could give rise to a partial or incorrect understanding.
No offer to purchase or sell securities. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
Rounding. Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this Presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Miscellanea. This Presentation has been prepared on a voluntary basis. Pirelli is therefore not bound to prepare similar presentations in the future, unless where provided by law.
Neither the Company nor any member of the Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors, employees or agents accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
Francesco Tanzi, the manager in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents, declares that, pursuant to art. 154-bis,paragraph 2, of the Legislative Decree no. 58 of February 24, 1998, the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
Non-IFRS and Other Performance Measures
This Presentation contains certain items as part of the financial disclosure which are not defined under IFRS. Accordingly, these items do not have standardized meanings and may not be directly comparable to similarly-titled items adopted by other entities.
Pirelli management has identified a number of "Alternative Performance Indicators" ("APIs"). These APIs (i) are derived from historical results of Pirelli & C. S.p.A. and are not intended to be indicative of future performance, (ii) are non-IFRS financial measures and, although derived from the Financial Statements, are unaudited and (iii) are not an alternative to financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.
The APIs presented herein are EBIT, EBIT margin, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, net income and net income margin.
In addition, this Presentation includes certain measures that have been adjusted by us to present operating and financial performance net of any non-recurring events and non-core events. The adjusted indicators are EBITDA adjusted, EBIT adjusted and net income adjusted. In order to facilitate the understanding of our financial position and financial performance, this Presentation contains other performance measures, such as Net Financial (liquidity) / debt Position, Net cash flow before dividends and convertible bond impact, Net cash flow before dividends & extraordinary operations, Net cash flow before dividends and Net cash flow.
These measures are not indicative of our historical operating results, nor are they meant to be predictive of future results.
These measures are used by our management to monitor the underlying performance of our business and operations. Similarly entitled non-IFRS financial measures reported by other companies may not be calculated in an identical manner, consequently our measures may not be consistent with similar measures used by other companies. Therefore, investors should not place undue reliance on this data.
KEY MESSAGES
> Industry scenario: positive outlook confirmed, but volatility is increasing
- Solid High Value Replacement demand and healthy pricing environment
- Higher volatility due to supply shortages (e.g. semi-conductor and logistics) and inflation
- Pirelli is fully seizing H.V. market recovery and anticipating external headwinds
> Industrial Plan delivery well on track in all programs
- Commercial: outperformance confirmed in Car ≥18"
- Innovation: product portfolio renewal on-going; increasing homologations in ≥19" and Specialties
- Competitiveness: reached 74% of FY'21 net efficiencies target
- ESG: progressing in our decarbonisation plan targeting 100% renewable electricity1 worldwide by 2025 and carbon neutrality by 2030
> Solid 3Q results, driving the FY'21 guidance upgrade
- +10.9% price/mix in 3Q driven by price increase and mix improvement across segments
- €104 million Net Cash Flow (7.4% on Sales), supported by a tight working capital management
- Revenues and Net Cash Flow target raised, adjusted EBIT margin confirmed
2021 SCENARIO, STRATEGY & TARGETS
9M 2021 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
9M 2021 FINANCIALS IN DETAIL
APPENDIX
2021 EXTERNAL SCENARIO UPDATE
| MACRO-ECON. | INFLATION | TYRE DEMAND | TYRE PRICING | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth momentum weakening |
Rising rate | High Value demand outlook confirmed |
Supportive pricing environment |
|
| >+5% Global GDP growth in 2021E, -0.2pp vs. Aug expectations due to supply chain disruptions & ongoing COVID outbreaks |
Global inflation +3.7% in 2021E (Ind. Plan +2.3%) with headwinds on raw mat., energy, transportation & labour costs |
FY'21E Car ≥18" demand +12% YoY, with sound Repl. (+18%) O.E. revised downwards |
Additional price increases implemented in 3Q & October across Regions by all players |
Pirelli is intensifying actions with all levers to counter external headwinds, i.e.:
- I. Price/mix improvement to offset Raw Mat. and FX
- II. Competitiveness Plan to more than cover inflation increase
- III. A well structured action plan to mitigate supply chain volatility impact
Milan, November 11th, 2021 4 Source: Pirelli Insight GDP growth estimates based on third party data; Pirelli Car Tyre market estimates based on third party and associations of tyre producers market data
INDUSTRIAL PLAN DELIVERY, WELL ON TRACK ON ALL PROGRAMS
| PLAN TARGETS | 9M MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS | Ind. Plan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial | • Capture H.V. rebound & gain share • Growing exposure to higher rims and technologies |
• Vol. +10 pp vs. Car ≥18" market 66% weight of ≥19" (+3pp YoY)1 • • Elect volumes ~10x vs. 9M'20 levels |
|
| Innovation | • Homologations in ≥19" and Specialties • Speeding-up product pipeline with focus on Regional lines |
• ~85% homologations ≥19", o/w ~45% Specialties • Product launches on going, with 5 new lines to tackle different regional Consumer needs (All seasons, Winter, push-lines) |
|
| Competitiveness | • Wave 2 program: €155M gross savings in FY'21 (4% of '20 baseline), €80M net |
• €110M gross savings (€59M net) |
|
| Operations | • Completion of footprint rationalization and volumes ramp-up to full saturation |
• Completed plant restructuring, with Gravatai closure (in 3Q) and Burton reorganization (in 2Q) • Capacity utilization confirmed above 90% |
|
| ESG | • Progressing our decarbonization Plan • Nurture Environment & Communities • Leadership among ESG evaluations |
100% renewable power in EU2 • • Pirelli, BMW & Birdlife project for de-forestation free natural rubber in Indonesia • Confirmed in the UN Global Compact LEAD list - the only Automotive company |
PIRELLI 9M 2021 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
€ million
599
Net Income Net Financial Position
FY 2021 CAR TYRE MARKET OUTLOOK UPDATE
> Lower 2021 Car market growth, mainly due to weaker O.E.
- O.E. impacted by chip shortage (O.E. total -1% YoY vs. +6% Aug. outlook; O.E. ≥18" +3%, -7pp vs. Aug. outlook)
- Repl. ≥18" trend confirmed (+18% YoY), slowing down in ≤17" (+8% YoY, -1pp vs. Aug. outlook) due to temporary lockdowns in 3Q
- > Pirelli 2021E volumes growth confirmed (~+14%÷~+15% YoY) benefitting from exposure to High Value where we are gaining share.
PIRELLI FY 2021 TARGETS UPDATE
| € billion | 2020 A | @ 5-Aug 2021 E |
@ 11-Nov 2021 E |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 4.3 | ~5.0 ÷ ~5.1 |
~5.1 ÷ ~5.15 |
• Volumes ~+14% ÷ ~+15% (Aug. guid. confirmed) • Price/mix ~+7% (Aug. guid. ~+4.5% ÷ ~+5%) |
| adj. EBIT margin | 11.6% | ~15% ÷ ~15.5% |
confirmed | • FX ~-2% (Aug. guid. ~-2.5% ÷ ~-2%) |
| CapEx (% of Sales) |
0.14 (3.3%) |
~0.33 (~7%) |
~0.33 (~6.5%) |
|
| Net Cash Flow bef. Dividends |
0.211 | ~0.36 ÷ ~0.39 |
~0.39 ÷ ~0.41 |
|
| Net Financial Position NFP / adj. EBITDA |
3.3 3.65x |
<3.0 ≤2.6x |
confirmed | |
| ROIC Post taxes |
10.4% | ≥16% | confirmed |
Milan, November 11th, 2021 8 1. not including the impact related to Convertible Bond amounting to €41 million
2021 SCENARIO, STRATEGY & TARGETS
9M 2021 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
9M 2021 FINANCIALS IN DETAIL
APPENDIX
CAR TYRE MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
H.V. market > 2019 level, with solid Repl. demand; O.E. impacted by chip shortage Pirelli outperformance confirmed in 3Q, despite a tough comparison base
COMMERCIAL PROGRAM PROGRESS
Strong over-performance mainly driven by ≥19" and Specialties
INNOVATION PROGRAM PROGRESS (1/2)
World's leading OEMs in Munich motor show chose Pirelli tyres for their EV cars
Pirelli FSC-certified tyres on display for the first time
Pirelli P Zero - with FSC-certified natural rubber & rayon fitted on:
- New BMW iX5 Hydrogen
- BMW X5 xDrive45e Plug-In Hybrid
INNOVATION PROGRAM PROGRESS (2/2)
in 3Q, completed the Cinturato family renewal
- Winter tyre for medium-sized cars and CUVs
- More Safety and Comfort with extendable tyre sipes, a Pirelli pioneered technology
- More mileage thanks to an innovative compound
- Developed with virtual simulation
- Eco-friendly tyre: low R. Resistance (B/C on EU label), low noise (A/B on EU label)
The Elect-marked Cinturato Winter 2 is available in selected sizes….
……as well as on Pirelli's cutting-edge Seal Inside technology.
The Cinturato Winter 2 offers market-leading performance in all sorts of winter weather, as proven by renowned German certification board TÜV SÜD, which has awarded Pirelli's new tyre its Performance Mark1
ESG: PIRELLI, BIRDLIFE & BMW FOR DEFORESTATION FREE RUBBER IN INDONESIA
An additional milestone in our natural rubber sustainability journey, after producing the first ever FSC certified tyre in 2Q
3-year partnership project in Hutan Harapan rainforest (island of Sumatra), home to ~1,350 different animal species
Objectives:
- conserving a deforestation-free area of 2,700 hectares
- improving indigenous communities' quality of life
- promoting women's rights
- improving natural rubber quality
- Protecting endangered animal species
Project Activities - in line with Global Platform of Sustainable Natural Rubber1goals
Agroforestry
Forest protection
Local community engagement & female empowerment
Good Agricultural practices Traceability and use of sustainable natural rubber
Milan, November 11th, 2021 14 1. GPSNR, the multi-stakeholder platform for the sustainable development of the natural rubber business, of which Pirelli, BMW and BirdLife are founder members
COMPETITIVENESS PROGRAM PROGRESS
9M'21 efficiencies delivery in line with Industrial Plan targets
2021 SCENARIO, STRATEGY & TARGETS
9M 2021 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
9M 2021 FINANCIALS IN DETAIL
APPENDIX
9M 2021 RESULTS Milan, November 11th, 2021
9M 2021 NET SALES BRIDGE
Top line supported by strong commercial performance; record 3Q price/mix driven by price increases and mix improvement
1. Car ≥18" 2Q'20: -35%, -43% O.E., -30% Repl.
Milan, November 11th, 2021 17
9M / 3Q 2021 ADJUSTED EBIT BRIDGE
Strong Internal levers contribution offsetting external headwinds, 3Q margin YoY trend impacted by the reversal of 2020 COVID actions
9M 2021 NET INCOME BRIDGE
Earnings driven by improving operating performance
9M'21 NET FINANCIAL POSITION
Cash Flow better vs. 9M'19, due to Working Capital management
PIRELLI CAPITAL STRUCTURE AS OF SEPT. 30TH 2021
Liquidity Margin covering maturities until 1H'23, considering the extension option Cost of debt trend in line with FY'21 assumptions
€ million
9M 2021 RESULTS Milan, November 11th, 2021 21
2021 SCENARIO, STRATEGY & TARGETS
1H 2021 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
1H 2021 FINANCIALS IN DETAIL
PIRELLI LEADING POSITION IN SUSTAINABILITY RANKINGS & INITIATIVES
| Major sustainability ratings (Nov-21) | last update |
score | positioning in the reference sector |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 84 | #1 ATX Auto Components |
|
| 2021 | Gold class | #1 Max score |
|
| 2020 | A | #1 Max score |
|
| 2021 | AA | #2 Auto Components (PI #2 / 36) |
|
| 2021 | 4.5 / 5 | #1 Auto & Parts / Tyres |
|
| 2021 | LEAD | #1 Max score |
|
| 2021 | 10.4 | #3 Auto Components (PI #3 / 209) |
|
| 2020 | B | #1 Auto Components (PI #1 / 78) |
|
| 2021 | Platinum | n.a. | |
| 2020 | Advanced | #2 Automobiles (PI #2 / 40) |
|
9M 2021 RESULTS Milan, November 11th, 2021 23
PIRELLI 3Q / 9M RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
€ million
| 3Q'20 | 3Q'21 | Δ YoY | 9M'20 | 9M'21 | Δ YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,277 | 1,414 | +10.7% | 3,094 | 3,979 | +28.6% |
| Organic Growth1 | +10.5% | +31.0% | ||||
| High Value Revenues | 918 | 997 | +8.7% | 2,203 | 2,842 | +29.0% |
| adj. EBITDA2 | 309 | 320 | +3.5% | 577 | 894 | +54.9% |
| Margin | 24.2% | 22.6% | -1.6pp | 18.7% | 22.5% | +3.8pp |
| adj. EBIT3 | 214 | 221 | +3.6% | 280 | 599 | n.m. |
| Margin | 16.7% | 15.7% | -1.0pp | 9.1% | 15.0% | +5.9pp |
| PPA amortization | (29) | (28) | (86) | (85) | ||
| Non recurring & restructuring costs |
(33) | (15) | (99) | (87) | ||
| EBIT | 152 | 178 | 96 | 426 | ||
| Margin | 11.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 10.7% | ||
| Results from Equity Investments | (1) | (0) | (6) | 2 | ||
| Financial Income (Charges) |
(40) | (35) | (113) | (107) | ||
| EBT | 111 | 142 | (24) | 321 | ||
| Tax Rate | 24.2% | 26.4% | 25.0% | 26.4% | ||
| Net Income | 84 | 105 | (18) | 236 | ||
| Net Income adjusted3 | 129 | 136 | 115 | 360 |
Milan, November 11th, 2021 24 1. Excl. FX; 2. before non-recurring items & restructuring costs; 3. before amortization of PPA, non-recurring items & restructuring costs; 3. calculated by adjusting Net Income (Loss) for EBIT adjustments, net financial expenses and taxes
PIRELLI BALANCE SHEET
| € million | 30-Sept-2020 | 31-Dec-2020 | 30-Sept-2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed assets (before IFRS 16) | 8,465 | 8,423 | 8,396 |
| Right of use IFRS 16 | 444 | 434 | 427 |
| Fixed assets (incl. IFRS 16) | 8,909 | 8,857 | 8,823 |
| Inventories | 825 | 836 | 974 |
| Trade receivables |
949 | 598 | 939 |
| Trade payables | (808) | (1,268) | (1,044) |
| Operating net working capital |
965 | 166 | 869 |
| Other receivables / payables |
51 | (26) | (29) |
| Net Working Capital | 1,016 | 141 | 840 |
| Total net invested capital | 9,925 | 8,998 | 9,662 |
| Equity | 4,404 | 4,552 | 4,911 |
| Provisions | 1,269 | 1,187 | 1,036 |
| Net Financial Position (excl. IFRS 16) |
3,780 | 2,793 | 3,256 |
| Lease Obligations (IFRS 16) | 472 | 466 | 459 |
| Net Financial Position (incl. IFRS 16) |
4,252 | 3,258 | 3,715 |
| Total financing and shareholders' equity | 9,925 | 8,998 | 9,662 |
PIRELLI 3Q / 9M GROUP CASH FLOW
€ million
| 3Q'20 | 3Q'21 | 9M'20 | 9M'21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBIT1 | 214 | 221 | 280 | 599 |
| Depreciation & Amortization (excl. PPA amortization) |
96 | 99 | 297 | 295 |
| Capital expenditures | (25) | (61) | (106) | (213) |
| Rights of use (IFRS 16) | (15) | (10) | (62) | (60) |
| Change in working capital / other |
(173) | (62) | (902) | (706) |
| Operating Cash Flow |
97 | 188 | (493) | (85) |
| Financial income / (expenses) | (40) | (35) | (113) | (107) |
| Taxes paid | (16) | (27) | (70) | (99) |
| Cash-out for non recurring items and restructuring costs |
(42) | (33) | (91) | (103) |
| Exchange rates difference / other | 15 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| Net cash flow before dividends & extraordinary operations |
12 | 104 | (745) | (381) |
| Financial asset disposals / (acquisitions) |
- | - | - | 4 |
| Net cash flow before dividends | 12 | 104 | (745) | (377) |
| Dividends paid | - | (1) | - | (80) |
| Net cash flow | 12 | 103 | (745) | (457) |
KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: EUROPE
Milan, November 11th, 2021 27 Source: Pirelli tyre market estimates based on main data provider for the Region; historical market data may be subject to restatement
KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: NORTH AMERICA
Milan, November 11th, 2021 28 Source: Pirelli tyre market estimates based on main data provider for the Region; historical market data may be subject to restatement; 1. N. America Replacement includes imports
9M 2021 RESULTS
KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: ASIA PACIFIC
Milan, November 11th, 2021 29 Source: Pirelli tyre market estimates based on main data provider for the Region; historical market data may be subject to restatement
9M 2021 RESULTS
KEY MARKET TRENDS: RUSSIA, NORDICS, MEAI / SOUTH AMERICA
Milan, November 11th, 2021 30 Source: Pirelli tyre market estimates based on main data provider for the Region; historical market data may be subject to restatement; 1. South America Replacement restated to include Brazilian imports
9M 2021 RESULTS