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PEET LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2016
Oct 11, 2016
65600_rns_2016-10-11_809f57a4-033a-4204-9bb4-500870d79010.pdf
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MACQUARIE WA FORUM
PRESENTATION OCTOBER 2016
FY16 RESULTS OVERVIEW
Continued strong momentum
- » FY16 operating profit1 after tax of $42.6m, up 11%
- » EPS of 8.7 cents per share, up 5% FY14 Result
- » Underlying business performance
- − Revenue2 of $285m with 2,865 lots settled
- − EBITDA3 down 3% to $89.8m
- − EBITDA3 margin increased to 32%, up 6%
- − ROCE4 of 13.2%
- − Record contracts on hand5 of 2,426 lots valued at $546m, up 18% & 24%, respectively
- » Fully franked final dividend of 2.75cps, bringing total FY16 dividend to 4.5cps, fully franked
Notes:
-
- Operating profit is a non-IFRS measure that is determined to present the ongoing activities of the Group in a way that reflects its operating performance. Operating profit includes the effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures. Operating profit excludes unrealised fair value gains/(losses) arising from the effect of revaluing assets and liabilities and adjustments for realised transactions outside the core ongoing business activities
-
- Includes share of net profits from associates and joint ventures
-
- Includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures
-
- EBITDA / (average net debt + average total equity)
-
- Includes equivalent lots. Excludes Arena englobo sale

KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FY16
Focused strategy delivering strong results
| GROWTH | »Diversified pipeline of over 48,000 lots with a low cost base and an on-completion value of | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANDANDFY14 ResultFY14 | approximately $12 billion | ||||
| POSITIONINGResultPOSITIONING | »Selective acquisitions of land holdings to restock pipeline | ||||
| −Acquisition strategy to focus on eastern states | |||||
| Secured three new projects comprising approximately 3,700 lots/dwellings with GDV1 of circa $930m− | |||||
| »Whole Green (VIC), RedbankPlains (QLD), Tonsley(SA) | |||||
| »Introductionof new wholesale/institutional partner | |||||
| −Entered into a conditional agreement with University of Canberra for the proposed residential | |||||
| development of approximately 3,300 dwellings with an expected GDV1 of $1.7 billion | |||||
| »Sale of Greenvale for $93.1m in August 2015 | |||||
| »Redeployment of funds into lower cost base acquisitions | |||||


KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FY16 (CONTINUED)
| GROWTHANDPOSITIONINGFY14 ResultFY14Result | »Flagstone (QLD) project successfully launched in April 2016−Solid pre-sales achieved since launch, including a retail shopping centresite−Strong sales enquiry building momentum into FY17»New $25m Werribee(VIC) retail land syndication successfully completed (oversubscribed)−Significant increase in applications from new investors, predominantly from eastern states, furtherstrengthening the Group's retail investor base |
|---|---|
| CAPITALMANAGEMENT | »Business generating solid operating cash flows−FY16 net operating cash flow (before land acquisitions) of $67m−Cash interest cover up strongly to 4.3x»Completed $100m Bond issue to refinance convertible notes, diversify the Group's debt capital structure and tosupport growth objectives |
| Notes: | »Senior debt facility extended to October 2019Gearing1 of 28.8%»−Within target range of 20% -30%−Total net debt of $194m –increased due to Whole Green acquisition−Cost of debt lower due to repayment of convertible notes and expiry of hedges−Focused strategy on reducing gearing to lower end of target range |
- (Total interest bearing liabilities (including land vendor liabilities) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets). Excluding syndicates consolidated under AASB10

KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FY16 (CONTINUED)
STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
Result
- » Acquisition strategy continued to be selective with a focus on the eastern states
- − Focus on securing low cost projects to ensure delivery of affordable product
- » Maintained geographic diversity
- FY14 Result FY14 » Continued to grow and diversify Funds Management/JV business
- − Acquisition of new projects to be predominantly through funds platform
- − Developing relationships with potential new wholesale/institutional partners
- » Strengthened balance sheet position with diversified funding sources
- » Maintained focus on cost and debt reduction
- » Actively managing land bank with a focus on increasing ROCE1



IMPROVING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Growth in earnings driven by our focused strategy, market conditions and new projects
- » Solid operating profit growth 3 year CAGR1 of 32.5%
- 1,990 1,990 » EBITDA2 in FY15 includes the settlement of Quayside apartment project
- » Ongoing EBITDA2 margin improvement driven by improved gross margin through net price growth, cost efficiencies and greater impact of high margin projects

1 CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
2 Includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures

FOCUS ON DRIVING SHAREHOLDER RETURNS
- » 3 year EPS CAGR1 of 17%
- » FY16 DPS of 4.5cps, fully franked
- − Target payout ratio of 50% going forward maintained
- » Book NTA per share increased by 5%
- − Does not include value uplift on co-investment stakes in funds and JVs
- − Does not include value for Funds Management business
- » Market adjusted NTA reflects current low point of WA market cycle and the Gladstone (QLD) market

1 CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
2 Market adjusted NTA is based on independent bank-instructed mortgage valuations, adjusted for development costs and settlements post valuation date

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Further improvement in capital position
- » ROCE1 of 13.2%
- 2,184 − Impacted in short-term due to acquisition of Whole Green (VIC) project in 1H16
- » Gearing2 of 28.8%
- − Impacted by 1H16 acquisition and due to delay of Whole Green settlements of $15m into early July 2016
- − Focused strategy on reducing gearing to lower end of target range
- » Improving cash interest coverage3 to 4.3x
- − Cost of debt decreased to 6.7% down 1%

Notes:
1 EBITDA / (average net debt + average total equity)
2 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including land vendor liabilities) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets). Excluding syndicates consolidated under AASB10
3 EBIT / Total interest cost (including capitalised interest). Excludes syndicates consolidated under AASB10
4 Development projects and Funds Management/JV only
5 Includes bonds/convertible notes
FUNDS MANAGEMENT

FUNDS MANAGEMENT & JOINT VENTURE EBITDA1 ($m)


- » Funds Management strategy delivering strong results
- − Wholesale/institutional co-investment strategy delivering emerging profits
- − A number of wholesale/institutional ventures commencing development which will contribute to FM/JV growth in next 3 years+
- − Introduction of a new wholesale/capital partner
- » GDV trend steadily improving over past 5 years $9.3 billion at year end, representing almost 80% of the total GDV2
- » Fee income growing as FM sales growth increases
- » Future fee income from FM business not reflected in NTA
Notes:

1 Includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures
2 Gross Development Value


GROUP OPERATING PERFORMANCE
- » Peet's diversified portfolio of projects has allowed it to capitalise on the eastern states' strength
- » Contribution from eastern states projects increased to 82% of EBITDA1 (FY15: 68%)
- − Higher contribution driven by Victoria
- » WA market at or close to low point of current cycle
- − Market conditions expected to remain at current levels through FY17 and into FY18
- » Funds Management/Joint Venture business provided solid earnings base representing circa 60% of Group EBITDA1
- » Eastern states EBITDA1 contributions continue to offset WA and NT weakness
- − Flagstone (QLD), Whole Green (VIC) & Redbank Plains (QLD) projects to contribute to FY17 earnings

1 Includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures

EBITDA1 COMPOSITION BY BUSINESS TYPE (%) EBITDA1 COMPOSITION BY GEOGRAPHY (%)
GROUP SALES ACTIVITY
- » Group sales for FY16 of 3,253 lots
- » Strong sales from eastern states projects
- − Flagstone (QLD) to make full year contribution to eastern states sales in FY17
- » WA and NT sales volumes reflect challenging market conditions, however solid demand remains for affordably priced lots
- » Seven new projects commenced selling in FY16:
- − Botanic Village (VIC) 783 lots
- − Haven (VIC) 300 lots
- − Hilbert Park (WA) 997 lots
- − Flagstone City (QLD) 12,000 lots
- − Greenlea (WA) 503 lots
- − Movida (WA) 1,072 lots
- − Whole Green (VIC) 1,752 lots
- » Four new projects to commence development/sales in FY17
- − Werribee (VIC) 944 lots
- − Tonsley (SA) 850 lots
- − Redbank Plains (QLD) 1,100 lots
- − Byford (WA) 259 lots

SALES COMPOSITION BY GEOGRAPHY (LOTS)

CONTRACTS ON HAND
- » Contracts on hand1 increased to 2,647 lots since 30 June 2016, up 9%
- − Increase driven by Victorian market as well as stable and improving eastern states market conditions
- − Value of contracts on hand increased by a further 10% to $601m since year end providing solid momentum into FY17
- » Victorian contracts on hand have remained solid since 30 June 2016 as a result of continued strong market conditions



NATIONAL REACH

NEW PROJECTS IN FY17 - FY19
Pipeline of approximately 48,000 lots providing visibility of future earnings
- » Up to 8 new projects expected to commence development within the next 2-3 years
- FY14 Result FY14 − Up to 4 new projects commencing development/sales in FY17
- Result − Approximately 75% of the lots in these projects sit within the Funds Management business
- − Average project duration of circa 6 years providing visibility of future earnings and cash flows
- » Approximately 80% of entire land bank is expected to be in development by end of FY17
- » Land portfolio well balanced across key growth corridors
- » Flagstone (QLD) project successfully launched in April 2016
- − Solid pre-sales achieved since launch including a retail shopping centre site
- − Strong sales enquiry building momentum into FY17
- − Pricing tracking above expectations
| Project | State | Segment | First Sales | Lots | Project Life (Years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werribee | VIC | Funds | 2017 | 944 | 7yrs |
| Redbank Plains | QLD | Funds | 2017 | 1,100 | 7yrs |
| Tonsley | SA | JV | 2017 | 850 | 6yrs |
| Byford | WA | Funds | 2018 | 259 | 4yrs |
| Mundijong | WA | Owned | 2018 | 759 | 6yrs |
| Rockbank | VIC | Owned | 2019 | 673 | 5yrs |
| Eyre Kingston | ACT | JV | 2019 | 1511 | 2yrs |
| Mundijong | WA | Funds | 2019 | 852 | 8yrs |
| Total | 5,588 | Ave:6 yrs |
FY17 - FY19 PROJECT RELEASE SCHEDULE

MACQUARIE WA FORUM PRESENTATION ǀ OCTOBER 2016 ǀ PAGE 17
KEY PROJECT – FLAGSTONE CITY, QLD
- » Flagstone is a 1,245 hectare greenfield master planned community situated in a key South East Queensland growth corridor 38 km south west of Brisbane's CBD
- » Joint Venture with MTAA Super with 12,000 lots
- » Flagstone City will become home to over 30,000 people, with retail, commercial, education and childcare, recreation, health, sporting and community infrastructure
- » Existing Flagstone Rise community of approximately 4,000 residents providing education, childcare and retail amenity



KEY PROJECT – FLAGSTONE CITY, QLD
- » Environmental approvals for the entire development site in place
- » Government catalyst funding to assist with start-up infrastructure funding
- ̵ Construction of bridge over the interstate railway line to access the core site area underway
- ̵ Sub-regional sewer network in Logan City Council
- » Solid pre-sales achieved since launch in April 2016
- ̵ Large display village due to open June 2017 quarter
- ̵ Sale of 1.8ha supermarket site, includes specialty retail and express service station
- ̵ Strong sales enquiry building momentum into FY17
- » First settlements forecast to commence in March 2017 quarter





SUMMARY INFORMATION – IN PROGRESS
| Acquisition Date | June 2011 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Location | Greater Flagstone, Logan | |||
| Project Value (Incl. GST) | $3.3b | |||
| Total Lots | 12,000 | |||
| Lots Remaining | 12,000 | |||
| Expected Settlement Period | FY17 –FY41 | |||
| Ownership Structure | 50% Peet Limited; 50% MTAA Super | |||
| Price Range | $130,000 -$240,000 | |||
| Lot Size Range | 250m–720m |
- » Infrastructure and stage development works under construction including:
- ̵ Completed office and Sales and Information centre
- ̵ Catalyst funded (Qld government) bridge currently under construction
- ̵ Entry works including main arterial road servicing over 750 lots is 90% complete
- ̵ Construction of first residential stages approximately 60% complete





Melbourne
- » Ongoing population growth, relative affordability and solid economy to support dwelling demand
- − Metropolitan Melbourne growth expected to remain strong
- − Volumes beginning to stabilise near current high levels with moderate price growth
Brisbane
- » Market demand continues to remain steady supported by affordability and improving economic fundamentals
- − Brisbane land market continues to experience supply constraints and as a result is seeing moderate price growth
- − Price growth continues to lag VIC and NSW to date
- − Increased purchaser demand via a recovery in interstate migration should see improved price growth
Sydney / Canberra
- » Demand remains solid supported by pent-up demand and improved economy
- − NSW population growth has accelerated over the past few years
- − Undersupply of dwellings relative to demand is expected to continue in the near term
- − Price growth expected to moderate
Perth
- » Subdued economic conditions continue to impact the market
- − Sales volumes at or close to low point of current market cycle
- − Demand for affordable product is being supported by policy incentives such as low interest rates and First Home Buyers' grants
- − Moderate decline in prices expected as production levels are adjusted to reflect current market conditions
- − Current market conditions are expected to continue through FY17 and into FY18 as economy continues to transition

OUTLOOK
Portfolio well positioned for sustainable long-term growth and value creation
- » Outlook generally supported by market fundamentals with sustained low interest rates and modest economic growth
- − Conditions across Victoria, New South Wales/ACT and South Australia are expected to remain supportive, while Western Australia and Northern Territory are expected to remain subdued through FY17 and into FY18
- − Activity in the Queensland residential market continues to improve due to its relative affordability, which has been a factor in the recovery in interstate migration
- » Peet's key strategic focus
- − Accelerating production where possible and appropriate, and active management of product mix
- » Delivery of affordable product targeted at the low and middle market segments
- − Actively managing land bank with a focus on increasing ROCE1
- − Development spend to be self-funded through operating cash flows
- − Selective acquisition of projects to restock pipeline, predominantly through funds platform
- − Maintain strong balance sheet position
- − Accelerating production where possible and appropriate, and active management of product mix
- » The Group has moved into FY17 well-positioned to target earnings growth, subject to market conditions and the timing of settlements, with earnings expected to be weighted to 2H17




DISCLAIMER
While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Peet does not warrant or represent that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future earnings and distributions that are based on information and assumptions available to Peet as at the date of this presentation. Actual results performance or achievements could be significantly different from those expressed in, or implied by these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Peet's control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in the release.
The information provided in this presentation may not be suitable for your specific needs and should not be relied upon by you in substitution of you obtaining independent advice. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Peet accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.
This presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire Peet securities or any other financial products in any jurisdictions, and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes only.
