Earnings Release • Apr 20, 2023
Earnings Release
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Index
| NSI HIGHLIGHTS | 3 |
|---|---|
| CEO COMMENTS | 4 |
| SUPPORTING DATA | 6 |
| Publication half year results H1 2023 | 14 July 2023 | For additional info please contact: |
|---|---|---|
| Publication trading update Q3 2023 | 13 October 2023 | NSI N.V. |
| Publication preliminary result FY 2023 | 25 January 2024 | Investor Relations |
| Publication annual report 2023 | 8 March 2024 | |
| Laura Gomez Zuleta | ||
| AGM | 21 April 2023 | T +31 (0)20 763 0300 |
| Ex-dividend date (final dividend 2022) | 25 April 2023 | E [email protected] |
| Record date | 26 April 2023 | |
| Stock dividend election period | 27 April – 7 May 2023 | Publication date: |
| Payment date | 16 May 2023 | 20 April 2023 |
| Q1 2023 | Q1 2022 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental income | 12,408 | 12,773 | -2.9% |
| Net rental income - like-for-like | 12,175 | 12,229 | -0.4% |
| Direct investment result | 8,544 | 8,600 | -0.7% |
| Indirect investment result | -461 | 1,004 | -145.9% |
| Total investment result | 8,083 | 9,604 | -15.8% |
| EPRA earnings per share | 0.43 | 0.44 | -2.4% |
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding | 20,054,241 | 19,869,975 | 0.9% |
| EPRA cost ratio (excl. direct vacancy costs) | 28.2% | 25.8% | 2.4 pp |
| 31 March 2023 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 1,240,920 | 1,259,235 | -1.5% |
| Net debt | -331,004 | -365,480 | -9.4% |
| Other assets / liabilities | -14,871 | -6,746 | 120.4% |
| Equity | 895,045 | 887,008 | 0.9% |
| EPRA NTA per share | 44.60 | 44.17 | 1.0% |
| Number of ordinary shares outstanding | 20,054,241 | 20,054,241 | |
| Net LTV | 26.4% | 28.7% | -2.3 pp |
| 31 March 2023 | 31 December 2022 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRREM building energy intensity (kWh/sqm/year) | 1312 | 131 | n/a |
| EPC-label (percentage portfolio with label A or better) | 90.0% | 88.0% | 2.0 pp |
| GRESB score | 932 | 93 | n/a |
| 31 March 2023 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amsterdam | Other G4 | Other NL | TOTAL | 31 December 2022 | Change | |
| Number of properties | 23 | 14 | 10 | 47 | 49 | -4.1% |
| Market value (€ m)3 | 734 | 346 | 180 | 1,259 | 1,275 | -1.2% |
| Lettable area (sqm k) | 165 | 125 | 65 | 355 | 382 | -7.0% |
| Annualised contractual rent (€ m)4 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 75 | 78 | -4.6% |
| ERV (€ m) | 44 | 26 | 13 | 83 | 88 | -6.2% |
| EPRA net initial yield | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | -0.3 pp |
| Gross initial yield | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1 pp |
| EPRA vacancy | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 0.5 pp |
| Wault | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.0% |
1 The trading update is based on unaudited results.
2 CREMM building energy intensity and GRESB score are available only at yearend; 2023 figures represent yearend 2022 figures.
3 Reported in the balance sheet at book value including right of use leasehold (IFRS 16), excluding lease incentives and part of NSI HQ (own use).
4 Before free rent and other lease incentives.

At the capital markets day in April 2022 we moved on from asset rotation to position NSI as an active investor/developer of offices, with a strong focus on sustainability and services, to continue our pursuit for long term value creation.
Since then a lot has changed. We are very much at risk of losing the FBI tax-regime, property values have started to adjust in response to rising (normalising) interest rates, whilst project development economics are clearly much less favourable at this time. Meanwhile, demand for offices is proving increasingly limited to the best, sustainable product in the best locations.
These circumstances have a significant impact on how we will run the business over the period ahead and on the decisions we make. We believe the investor/developer strategy still holds in the long run, but we will not pursue this at all cost in the short run just to make this point. We already demonstrated our capital discipline when we paused Well House in Q4 last year, despite all the permits being obtained by the development team and with the project ready to go.
In Q4 2022, given the potentially significant implications of the likely forthcoming FBI abolishment, we started a strategic review of the business, which at this time is still ongoing. We acknowledge the current wide discount to NAV and although many of our peers are trading at similarly wide discounts, the share price in our view does not reflect the value of the business, the assets nor the platform.
Whilst we see the challenges and uncertainties ahead, which we will have to address, we are firmly operating on the front foot. We have an excellent balance sheet, at 26.4% LTV, a very strong and committed team, a solid Amsterdam-focussed portfolio, a very clear and executable Paris-aligned sustainability strategy, a genuine emphasis on services, and the flexibility to further streamline, adjust and optimise the business and our capital structure.
As we move back to more normal interest rate levels, following the end of a 14-year low interest rates era, markets are having to adjust. Yields are up, the cost of capital is up and capital is scarce, for the time being. Investment mistakes are no longer being bailed out by falling yields. In short, the game is different.
As a result new office development is slowing down, as margins are under pressure or have evaporated, risk appetite is lower and funding is unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Yet, at the same time, it is evident that occupiers increasingly demand to have highly sustainable offices, properly amenitised, in vibrant central locations with good transport infrastructure. It is also increasingly clear that they are willing to pay up for this, in part because they are likely to end up using less space overall, but also to take their corporate responsibility on sustainability, to attract talent and to make WFH/hybrid working work.
So, occupational markets want the product that is now not being built. Most of the supply will therefore have to come from upgrading existing office stock and yet, many older buildings are in the wrong location, were not designed (or are too small) to deliver all the amenities, nor are all the required sustainability upgrades economically viable. These buildings will end up being stranded and not owning these is the new imperative for the market (and has been the guiding principle for our asset rotation in recent years).
The bifurcation in office markets is set to accelerate, where the best assets will continue to attract strong interest, higher rents and ergo higher capital values, whilst the rest is at risk of being valued as ex-growth, depreciating assets.
Given the changes in the market, our development economics are now increasingly challenging, and so it may be cheaper to buy than to build. Yet, the quality of what we can build is far superior to the quality of what we can buy.
This quality gap can obviously be bridged by capex, however market pricing is still in the process of adjusting to the necessary levels to make the economics for upgrading assets attractive.
Very much in line with the change in market conditions, for one of our potential redevelopments, Alexanderhof in Rotterdam, we made the decision in Q1 not to proceed creating plans and have now let the space to the municipality for the coming years.
The Dutch High Court ruled in Q1 that owner-associations need a 100% vote in favour to ratify certain decisions, not the 80% we were working off. Unfortunately this ruling, from an unrelated case, now also applies to our Vitrum redevelopment, which, in all likelihood, will see us require court approval before we can start our redevelopment plans. This may well delay the start by a year, or perhaps by as much as three years if there is an appeals procedure to navigate as well.
So at Vitrum we are now at a crossroad. It has now been vacant for just under two years, but it is hard to justify to keep it vacant for much longer. We are now actively reviewing all our options for Vitrum, including scaling back the project to avoid the court approval process or temporarily leasing up the space, to find a viable way forward.
At Laanderpoort the municipality of Amsterdam received one objection to its plans to rezone the Laanderpoort area (from the owner of an adjacent asset) in early April. The timeline for the project is now under review, but there is a risk this may end up in court. We are in discussions with ING on the way forward for the project.
As it stands none of our development projects are ready to move to the realisation phase in the near term. The team will continue to work hard to further all projects, including the medium term pipeline, but no time lines will be communicated until we have obtained all the necessary permits.
In Mid-March, the draft legislation for the abolishment of the FBI legislation was published, which left us with more questions than answers. There was no mention of the plight of the listed sector, nor any special measures to accommodate us.
The wider industry lobby for an exception for the listed sector continues, but we cannot just assume that this will go our way. As a result, and as a precautionary measure, we have started preparations to optimise our post-FBI fiscal structure based on all the available information at this time.
We expect clarity on the final FBI law by late Q4 2023 and we have now put measures in place that allow us to decide in Q4, depending on the final law and market conditions at the time, to proactively leave the regime per January 2023 - in the most taxefficient way possible.
As a non-FBI the tax rate for NSI, on running income, would still appear to end up at around the 10% level. Yet it may well end up substantially lower, depending on clarification of certain elements of the draft legislation in the final version of the FBI law later this year.
In Q1 2023 we have leased up the remaining vacancy at HNK Amsterdam Zuid-Oost. We are also close to finding a solution for our vacancy at Donauweg.
The overall vacancy rate at the end of Q1 increased by 0.5% to 6.7%. This is due to Laanderpoort moving to the development pipeline during the quarter, but we also got some space back at Sloterdijk and at Centerpoint at the start of 2023, which is being refreshed and put back onto a still active letting market.
The 5.2% increase in like-for-like gross rents in Q1 underpins our guidance that indexation is set to increase our annual rent roll in 2023 by circa 6%. The decline in net rents reflects the pickup in maintenance spending in Q1, vs Q1 2022.
2023 is a pivotal year for NSI. There are material unknowns (FBI, interest rates, asset repricing, development time tables and economics, a new level of normalised office demand and further demands on sustainability) that will significantly impact the direction of travel for the business over the coming years.
We expect to complete our strategic review over the coming months, which will map out our fiscal, operational/strategic and capital options and we intend to engage with stakeholders before we finalise the review. Once we have the necessary clarity on the FBI legislation, we will update shareholders on the outcome of the review and the future direction of the business.
At NSI, we have emphasised the importance of quality in terms of location, services and amenities, and sustainability for years, as is reflected in our asset rotation program, our HNK offering, and most recently our validated sustainability plans to become Paris aligned. We continue to work on all of these, to stay on the right side of the office bifurcation debate. In combination with our low 26.4% LTV and the strength of our team, we firmly believe we are in a solid position to manage our way through the period ahead and come out stronger at the other end.
Bernd Stahli
| Q1 2023 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | ||||||
| Amsterdam | Other G4 | Netherlands | Corporate | TOTAL | Q1 2022 | |
| Gross rental income | 8,731 | 5,879 | 2,836 | 17,446 | 17,386 | |
| Service costs not recharged | -296 | 9 | -20 | -307 | -243 | |
| Operating costs | -1,999 | -1,679 | -1,053 | -4,731 | -4,370 | |
| Net rental income | 6,435 | 4,209 | 1,764 | 12,408 | 12,773 | |
| Administrative costs | -2,099 | -2,099 | -1,999 | |||
| Earnings before interest and taxes | 6,435 | 4,209 | 1,764 | -2,099 | 10,309 | 10,774 |
| Net financing result | -1,765 | -1,765 | -2,173 | |||
| Direct investment result before tax | 6,435 | 4,209 | 1,764 | -3,864 | 8,544 | 8,600 |
| Corporate income tax | -1 | -1 | -1 | |||
| Direct investment result / EPRA earnings | 6,435 | 4,209 | 1,764 | -3,865 | 8,544 | 8,600 |

| Q1 2023 | Q1 2022 | L-f-l | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amsterdam | 8.6 | 8.3 | 2.6% |
| Other G4 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 8.8% |
| Other Netherlands | 2.7 | 2.6 | 5.9% |
| TOTAL | 17.1 | 16.3 | 5.2% |
| Q1 2023 | Q1 2022 | L-f-l | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amsterdam | 6.5 | 6.8 | -4.2% |
| Other G4 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 8.3% |
| Other Netherlands | 1.7 | 1.8 | -4.4% |
| TOTAL | 12.2 | 12.2 | -0.4% |
| Mar. 2023 | Dec. 2022 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt outstanding | 335.5 | 353.2 | -17.7 |
| Amortisation costs | -1.4 | -1.6 | 0.1 |
| Book value of debt | 334.1 | 351.6 | -17.6 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -5.5 | -0.2 | -5.3 |
| Debts to credit institutions | 2.4 | 14.0 | -11.6 |
| Net debt | 331.0 | 365.5 | -34.5 |

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