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NRC Group — Investor Presentation 2016
Nov 8, 2016
3693_rns_2016-11-08_e4a69970-2a8a-4b70-8e6c-0075468cada5.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q3 2016 Presentation
Oslo 8 November 2016
Disclaimer
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical facts are forward-looking. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements for many reasons.
These forward-looking statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are by their nature subject to significant risk and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity or performance will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Unless we are required by law to update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this presentation, either to conform them to actual results or to changes in our expectations.
Highlights
All-time high revenue and profit for the quarter High activity, particularly in Sweden Strong order backlog of NOK 1,444 million in Q3 2016
Revenues of NOK 645.1 million in Q3 2016 vs NOK 417.8 million in Q3 2015 EBITDA of NOK 88.9 million in Q3 2016 vs NOK 51.7 million in Q3 2015 EBITDA margin of 13.8% in Q3 2016 vs. 12.4% in Q3 2015
Key events post Q3
SEK 180 million extension makes Ludvika-Frövi project the largest contract awarded to date, bringing the total contract value to SEK 295 million
Sale of Blom UK
Acquisition of Gravco to strengthen position in tram and metro market
Dividend policy decided by the Board of Directors
Financials 2
Market 3
Q3 2016 pro forma key figures – profit and loss
- Revenue of NOK 645.1 million (NOK 417.8 million)
- Strong growth in Sweden
- EBITDA NOK 88.9 million (NOK 51.7 million)
- EBITDA margin of 13.8 per cent (12.4 per cent)
- EBIT NOK 75.0 million (NOK 43.5 million)
| (Amounts in NOK 1 000) | Q3 2016 | Q3 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 645 065 | 417 835 | 1 559 976 | 866 011 |
| Operating expenses | 556 176 | 366 119 | 1 423 329 | 802 697 |
| EBITDA | 88 890 | 51 716 | 136 647 | 63 314 |
| EBITA | 78 442 | 47 116 | 114 560 | 50 448 |
| EBIT | 74 968 | 43 553 | 104 015 | 39 760 |
| EBT | 72 818 | 41 342 | 96 684 | 32 484 |
| EBITDA (%) | 13,8 % | 12,4 % | 8,8 % | 7,3 % |
Includes pro forma figures for 2016 and 2015, adjusted for transaction costs of NOK 2.0 million and one-offs of NOK 10.8 million, and transaction costs of NOK 22 million and oneoffs of NOK 12 million, in 2016 and 2015 respectively.
Order book development
Order book development Q2 16 – Q3 16 In NOK million
Order book Q3 2014- Q3 2016 In NOK million
Seasonal fluctuations in earnings
Revenues Q3 2014- Q3 2016 In NOK million
EBITDA Q3 2014- Q3 2016
In NOK million
Q3 2016 key figures – balance sheet
- Intangible assets of NOK 600.4 million vs. NOK 614.7 million as per 31 December 2015
- Net debt is NOK 49.9 million vs. net cash of NOK 8.3 million as per 31 December 2015
- Equity ratio is 51.9 per cent per 30 September 2016 vs 53.6 per cent per 31 December 2015
| (Amounts in NOK 1 000) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | 30.09.2016 | 30.09.2015 | 31.12.2015 |
| Intangible non-current assets | 600 380 | 351 442 | 614 675 |
| Other non-current assets | 134 039 | 129 790 | 128 986 |
| Other current assets | 505 457 | 294 045 | 359 362 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 187 754 | 127 538 | 258 229 |
| Total assets | 1 427 630 | 902 814 | 1 361 251 |
| (Amounts in NOK 1 000) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 30.09.2016 | 30.09.2015 | 31.12.2015 |
| Total equity | 741 113 | 347 641 | 729 004 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 115 563 | 175 070 | 162 088 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 41 587 | 31 855 | 33 006 |
| Total interest-bearing current liabilities | 122 119 | 96 613 | 87 841 |
| Total other current liabilities | 407 248 | 251 635 | 349 312 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1 427 630 | 902 814 | 1 361 251 |
Q3 2016 key figures – cash flow
| Q3 2015 (Re | YTD 2015 (Re | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | Cash balance at NOK 187.7 million per 30 | (Amounts in NOK 1 000) | Q3 2016 | presented) | YTD 2016 | presented) |
| September 2016 vs. NOK 258.2 million per 31 | ||||||
| December 2015 | Profit/loss before tax | 72 881 | 22 326 | 83 773 | 2 770 | |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 80 812 | 1 784 | 54 475 | -14 641 | ||
| • | Cash flow from operating activities in Q3 is NOK | Net cash flow from investing activities | -23 073 | -19 943 | -71 795 | -163 370 |
| 80.8 million | ||||||
| Net cash flow from financing activities | -28 461 | 83 987 | -37 689 | 247 505 | ||
| A+B+C Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 29 278 | 65 828 | -55 009 | 69 494 | ||
| • | Net cash flow from investing activities in Q3 is | |||||
| NOK -23.1 million | Cash and cash equivalents at the start of the period | 167 446 | 56 475 | 258 228 | 52 390 | |
| – Prepayment tamping machine ~ NOK 19 |
||||||
| million | Translation differences | -8 969 | 5 235 | -15 465 | 5 654 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 187 754 | 127 538 | 187 754 | 127 538 | ||
• Net cash flow from financing activities in Q3 is NOK -28.5 million
Summary & outlook
Macro trends driving rail, tram and metro investments
Infrastructure investment drivers
- Population growth
- Bigger and older population
- Urbanization
- Strong global trend
- Sustainability
- Need for environmentally friendly solutions
- Large maintenance backlog
- Severe underinvestment in public transport systems over the last 30-40 years in Norway and Sweden
Source: Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden
Source: EY / World Economic Forum "Global Competitiveness Index 2015/2016. European assessment of the quality of rail infrastructure grades ranging from 7 (efficient and universally well developed) to 1 (underdeveloped)
Political commitment to long-term railway spending
3.3 3.4 3.7 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.5 6.7 6.5 8.2 7.8 10.0 10.0 10.0 1.4 2.3 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.4 5.1 6.5 9.1 11.2 9.9 10.2 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.2 8.2 8.2 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Operations and maintenance (non-adressable) Investments NTP High vs. baseline scenario in proposed NTP 2018-2029
*)Sources:
NOK billion
2006-2017: The Norwegian national budget and the National railroad authority
From 2018: Baseline scenario vs. high scenario from the proposal to Norwegian National Transport Plan 2018-2029
A new National Transport Plan (NTP) for 2018-29 is due in 2017
The proposed Medium case indicates an overall increase in annual spending of ~40% from the previous NTP
Spending over the national budget has averaged 7% above the current NTP for 2014-2017
The primary market for NRC Group is considered to be approximately NOK 4 billion per year
Maintenance is carried out by a government owned entity. Primary market is expected to increase to more than NOK 6 billion when maintenance is privatized
Sweden is already accelerating rail investments
Source: The Swedish national budget proposal for 2017, Proposal for new NTP 2018-2029
The addressable Swedish railway market is approximately 4x the size of the Norwegian market and tenders are typically larger
A SEK 623 billion NTP for the period 2018 – 2029 was proposed by the government in October 2016
Representing an increase of 20% from the previous plan period (2014-25)
Including a 47% increase to SEK 125 billion in operations and maintenance spending
The NTP proposal included extra railway maintenance allocations impacting from 2016
Sweden is the biggest market for NRC Group
NRC Group addressable market
Sources: NRC Group, The Norwegian and Swedish NTP's and 2017 budget proposals
Source: Jernbaneverket, Railroad statistics 2015, Trafikvärket
Tram and metro investments to grow significantly
Public transport spending Oslopakke 3
- Large projects are underway and under planning in both Norway and Sweden
- Solves challenges posed by urbanisation and population growth
- An exceptional market opportunity
- NRC Group has the in-house capabilities to execute large tram and metro projects
- Position is further strengthened by Gravco acquisition
Source: Vegvesenet. Oslopakke 3 Handlingsprogram 2017-20.
Planned spending on investments in and operations of public transport in Oslo and Akershus.
*) The full Fornebubanen investment included with construction assumed executed in the period 2020-2025. Majorstuen-Bryn tunnel not included
Tramway tenders and awards due in 2017
Overview of key Oslo-package 3 projects
- A number of tramway projects approved for 2017 start-up
- First tenders expected by end of H1 2017 with completion by end 2020
- A total of 27 projects planned executed ahead of delivery of 87 new tram wagons being tendered
- The largest projects may range from NOK 200 million to NOK 400 million each
- Selected projects with expected completion by 2019
- Majorstuen (2017 -2018)
- Storgata (2017 -2019)
- Storokrysset (2018 2019)
- Thorvald Meyersgate (2018 -2019)
- Ekebergbanen (2018 2019)
- All of these projects feature a combination of groundworks, rail and water/wastewater
The Gravco acquisition strengthens NRC Group's position in Norway
- Gravco AS is a leading water and wastewater entrepreneur in the Oslo area
- Established in 1977 with 42 employees
- The acquisition enables NRC Group to bid for and execute upcoming turnkey tramline upgrade contracts including water line related work
- The Oslo tram system will undergo a major upgrade triggering a number of contracts with start-up from 2017 in order to prepare for the delivery of new tram wagons in 2021
- The city of Oslo will in parallel with the tramline upgrades, renew water and wastewater lines
- The enterprise value is NOK 75 million and is based on a guaranteed 2016 and 2017 EBITDA of NOK 15 million
Company overview and deal rationale Strengthening position within groundwork
Summary & outlook
- All-time high revenue and profit
- High tendering activity with awards expected through first half 2017
- Reaffirmed Norwegian and Swedish political commitment to increase railway spending
- Increased focus on tram and metro entered water/wastewater market by acquisition of Gravco
- Dividend policy in place
20 largest shareholders
Per 7 November 2016
| INVESTOR | NO OF SHARES | % OF TOTAL | ACC TYPE | COUNTRY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DATUM | 5 100 000 | 14,44 % | NOR | |
| SWEDBANK | 3 903 917 | 11,06 % | NOM | SWE |
| URBEX INVEST | 3 807 033 | 10,78 % | NOR | |
| DANSKE BANK | 2 864 108 | 8,11 % | NOM | SWE |
| DNB NOR MARKETS | 2 032 809 | 5,76 % | NOR | |
| NORDEA BANK | 1 988 061 | 5,63 % | NOM | SWE |
| CHARLOTTE HOLDING | 1 928 008 | 5,46 % | NOR | |
| ARCTIC FUNDS | 1 564 884 | 4,43 % | IRL | |
| SOGN INVEST | 1 281 046 | 3,63 % | NOR | |
| ALFRED BERG GAMBAK | 1 126 210 | 3,19 % | NOR | |
| GRANSHAGEN INVEST | 601 007 | 1,70 % | NOR | |
| MIDDELBORG INVEST | 600 000 | 1,70 % | NOR | |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB | 570 517 | 1,62 % | NOR | |
| STATOIL PENSJON | 548 141 | 1,55 % | NOR | |
| ALFRED BERG NORGE | 534 040 | 1,51 % | NOR | |
| HOLMEN SPESIALFOND | 450 000 | 1,27 % | NOR | |
| ENSKILDA SEB | 432 064 | 1,22 % | NOM | LUX |
| KRAG INVEST AS | 400 000 | 1,13 % | NOR | |
| SORA | 390 000 | 1,10 % | NOR | |
| MP PENSJON | 316 008 | 0,89 % | NOR | |
| TOTAL NUMBER OWNED BY TOP 20 | 30 437 853 | 86,18 % | ||
| TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES | 35 311 362 |