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Lassonde Industries Inc. Call Transcript 2020

Aug 7, 2020

42777_rns_2020-08-07_1845b0e7-aecd-4338-98b9-39356743c4bf.pdf

Call Transcript

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Q2 2020 Results Call August 7, 2020

1

Forward Looking Statements

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Certain statements in this document constitute "forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements" (collectively, "forward-looking statements"). Any such forward-looking statements are intended to provide information about management's current expectations and plans and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward-looking statements may include financial and other projections, as well as statements regarding our future plans, strategic objectives or economic performance, or the assumptions underlying any of the foregoing, and other statements that are not recitations of historical fact. We use words such as "may", "would", "could", "should", "will", "likely", "expect", "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "plan", "aim", "forecast", "outlook", "project", "estimate", "target" and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or events to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements relating to: our actions in response to the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic, including those relating to employee health and safety, as well as the expected impact of our right-sizing/restructuring actions; the timing and success of upcoming launches; our expectations regarding the impact of program delays or cancellations on our business; our expectations regarding Total Sales, EBIT margin percentage, interest expense, tax rate, capital spending, working capital; future Adjusted Debt to EBITDA ratio; and implied second-half of 2020 light vehicle production, Total Sales, EBIT, Free Cash Flow and decremental margin.

Forward-looking statements are based on information currently available to us and are based on assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our experience and our perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors we believe are appropriate in the circumstances. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for making any such forward-looking statements, they are not a guarantee of future performance or outcomes. Whether actual results and developments conform to our expectations and predictions is subject to a number of risks, assumptions and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, and the effects of which can be difficult to predict, including, without limitation:

Risks Related to the Automotive Industry

  • economic cyclicality;

  • regional production volume declines, including as a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic;

  • intense competition;

  • • potential restrictions on free trade; • trade disputes/tariffs;

Customer and Supplier Related Risks

  • concentration of sales with six customers;

  • OEM consolidation and cooperation;

  • shifts in market shares among vehicles or vehicle segments;

  • shifts in consumer "take rates" for products we sell;

  • quarterly sales fluctuations;

  • potential loss of any material purchase orders;

• a deterioration in the financial condition of our supply base, including as a result of the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic;

Manufacturing Operational Risks

  • product and new facility launch risks;

  • • operational underperformance; • restructuring costs; • impairment charges; • labour disruptions;

IT Security/Cybersecurity Risk

  • IT/Cybersecurity breach;

  • Product Cybersecurity breach;

Pricing Risks

  • pricing risks between time of quote and start of production;

  • • price concessions;

  • commodity costs;

  • • declines in scrap steel prices;

Warranty / Recall Risks

  • costs related to repair or replacement of defective products, including due to a recall;

  • warranty or recall costs that exceed warranty provision or insurance coverage limits;

  • • product liability claims;

Acquisition Risks

  • inherent merger and acquisition risks;

  • • acquisition integration risk;

Other Business Risks

  • risks related to conducting business through joint ventures;

  • our ability to consistently develop and commercialize innovative products or processes;

  • our changing business risk profile as a result of increased investment in electrification and autonomous driving, including: higher R&D and engineering costs, and challenges in quoting for profitable returns on products for which we may not have significant quoting experience;

  • risks of conducting business in foreign markets;

  • fluctuations in relative currency values;

  • tax risks;

  • reduced financial flexibility as a result of an economic shock;

  • • changes in credit ratings assigned to us;

Legal, Regulatory and Other Risks

  • antitrust risk;

  • legal claims and/or regulatory actions against us; and

  • changes in laws and regulations, including those related to vehicle emissions.

  • COVID-19 (Coronavirus) shutdowns;

  • supply disruptions, including as a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic;

  • • climate change risks;

  • attraction/retention of skilled labour;

In evaluating forward-looking statements or forward-looking information, we caution readers not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statement, and readers should specifically consider the various factors which could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including the risks, assumptions and uncertainties above which are discussed in greater detail in this document under the section titled "Industry Trends and Risks" and set out in our Annual Information Form filed with securities commissions in Canada and our annual report on Form 40-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, and subsequent filings.

2

Reminders

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  • All amounts are in U.S. Dollars (unless otherwise noted)

  • Today’s discussion excludes the impact of other expense (income), net (Unusual Items)

  • “Organic”, in the context of sales movements, means “excluding the impact of foreign exchange, acquisitions and divestitures”

3

Restart of Operations

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  • Health and safety of employees remains our top priority

  • Reintegrating employees back into plants and offices

  • Following established protocols, assessment tools & guidance documents

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4

Challenging Production Environment in Key Markets…

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Challenging Q2

Trend shows sequential improvement

Mid-term production trending lower than previously anticipated

  • NA & EU markets experienced significant YOY reductions

  • Volume declines worse than the Great Financial Crisis

  • Industry environment recovering off of the lows

  • Expecting significant improvement in our H2 sales vs H1

  • Initiated and accelerated restructuring

  • Right-sizing the business to align cost structure

  • Recorded $168M charge in Q2, 2020

5

… However, Some Encouraging Elements Emerged

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Q2/20 Decremental Margin of ~22%

Conserving Additional Cash

Improved Decremental Margin Expected Beyond Q2

  • On sales impacted by Reduced capital COVID-19 spending

  • Reduction in discretionary spending

  • Driven by:

  • Cost reduction across the company

  • Right sizing actions

We Continue to Invest for the Future

6

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GM Supplier of the Year Awards

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Mirrors Truck Frames
Supplier of
the Year
Awards
6
Driveline Fascias
Systems
Seat Systems FREEFORM
Innovation
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Most Ever for a Supplier in a Single Year

7

Update on Restart of Production

  • China and North America

  • Capacity getting close to levels anticipated at beginning of the year for this timeframe

  • Europe

  • Capacity levels a little bit behind China and North America

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  • Softer demand environment

  • Program delays and cancellations

  • Not expected to have significant impact to our business over next couple of years

  • Supply base

  • Continue to track a number of suppliers

  • Mitigation plans in place

  • To this point, no major issues impacting our operations

8

Advancing Our Protocols

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  • Smart Start Playbook provided an excellent framework for managing a “new normal”

  • Production ramped up without significant disruption to production efficiency

  • Team of varying backgrounds developed recommendations:

  • How our global operations could be adjusted to stay prepared

  • Over and above our current playbook

  • Incorporated into our regular operating procedures and policies

9

Continue to Monitor Ongoing and Potential New Trends

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Magna Well Positioned to Remain a Leader in Mobility

10

Executive Leadership Announcement

  • Sherif Marakby has joined Magna as Executive Vice President of Research and Development

  • Will manage all aspects of innovation and new product development strategy

  • 30 years of experience in automotive and technology industries

  • Extensive experience in electrification

  • Previously served as President & CEO of Ford Autonomous Vehicles LLC

  • Served on the Board of Directors for Argo AI

  • Spent time with Uber as Vice President of Global Vehicle Programs

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11

Vehicle Production in Q2-2020

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Region

YOY Change in Production

North America Europe China Global

  • 70% - 59% + 3% - 42%

Estimated COVID-19 Impact on Magna’s Q2-2020 Results:

Total Sales EBIT Decremental Margin

~$5.5 billion ~$1.2 billion

~22%

12

Q2 2020 Consolidated Sales

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Key Factors:

  • Impact of COVID-19 pandemic ~$5.5B (-)

  • End of production of certain programs (-)

$10.1B $4.3B Q2 2019 Q2 2020

  • Foreign exchange translation (-)

  • Net customer price concessions (-)

13

Sales Performance vs Market

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Q2 2020 vs Q2 2019

Unweighted Weighted
Performance vs Performance vs
Reported Organic
1
Global Production Global Production
Body Exteriors & Structures (62%) (61%) (20%) (2%)
Power & Vision (54%) (53%) (12%) 6%
Seating (64%) (63%) (22%) (4%)
Complete Vehicles (48%) (47%) (6%) 12%
TOTAL SALES (58%) (57%) (16%) 2%
Unweighted Production Growth (42%)
Weighted Production Growth
2
(59%)

1 Excluding acquisitions net of divestitures and FX movements

2 Calculated by applying Magna geographic sales weighting, excluding Complete Vehicle sales, to regional production

14

Q2 2020 Adjusted EBIT

ADJUSTED EBIT - $1.3B

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$677M
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($600)M
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Q2 2019 Q2 2020
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Key Factors:

  • COVID-19 ~$1.2B (-)

  • Lower tooling contribution (-)

  • Higher engineering costs in our ADAS business including retroactive social tax costs (-)

  • Net provisions for customer claims (-)

  • Net warranty costs (-)

  • Lower spending associated with electrification, autonomy, and R&D (+)

  • Favourable mix within Complete Vehicle assembly programs (+)

  • Benefit of a cost cutting initiative in Complete Vehicles (+)

15

Q2 2020 Financial Highlights

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ADJUSTED EFFECTIVE ADJUSTED NET INCOME ADJUSTED
TAX RATE
ATTRIBUTABLE TO MAGNA DILUTED EPS
23.5%
$1.59
$509M
16.9%
($1.71)
($511)M
Q2 2019 Q2 20201 Q2 2019 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q2 2020 2
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  • 1 Lower adjusted effective tax rate is primarily related to an increase in losses not benefitted in Europe.

2 Assuming a tax rate of ~24.5% when we last provided an outlook in February, we estimate our adjusted diluted EPS was impacted by approximately $0.15.

16

Q2 2020 Cash Flow

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$ MILLIONS

Cash from Operations Net Loss + Non-Cash Items Changes in Non-Cash Operating Assets & Liabilities

Investment Activities Fixed Assets Investments, Other Assets & Intangibles Proceeds from Disposition and Other Free Cash Flow Private Equity Investments Dividends Paid

$ (298) $ (934) $ (1,232) $ (169) $ (72) $ (241) $ 11 $ (1,462) $ (2) $ (116)

17

Liquidity Position

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$ MILLIONS UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED

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Available Operating & Term Lines of Credit $ 3,490
Cash & Cash Equivalents $ 648
Total Available Liquidity (6/30/20) $ 4,138
In June, 2020 Completed Offering of $750M of
10-year Senior Unsecured Notes Bearing Interest at 2.45%

18

Adjusted Debt to Adjusted EBITDA

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$ MILLIONS

Q2 2020
LTM EBITDA $ 2,311
Lease Adjustment $ 316
Other $ (10)
Adjusted EBITDA $ 2,617
Debt per Balance Sheet $ 4,109
Lease Liability per Balance Sheet $ 1,798
Other $ 237
Adjusted Debt $ 6,144
Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA 2.35x

19

2020 Outlook 1

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$ BILLIONS UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED

U.S. GAAP August 2020
Total Sales $30.0 - $32.0
EBIT Margin % 2.9% - 3.3%
Interest Expense ~$90M
Tax Rate ~30%
Capital Spending ~$1.4

1 In this outlook we have assumed no material unannounced acquisitions or divestitures or other significant transactions. In addition, there is increased uncertainty related to our outlook above as a result of elevated risks associated with consumer demand, as well as continuing COVID-19 risks to various aspects of our business and the automotive industry, as discussed in our MD&A for the second quarter of 2020, our Annual Information Form / Form 40-F dated March 27, 2020 and subsequent filings.

20

2020 Outlook YOY Implications for 2[nd] Half

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Implied
H2 2020
H2 2019 Change
LIGHT VEHICLE PRODUCTION:
North America 7.4M 7.8M
5%
Europe 8.9M 10.0M 10%
Global 39.6M 44.7M 11%
KEY FINANCIALS:
Total Sales 17.05B – 19.05B 18.7B 9% –2%
EBIT ~1.05B – ~1.25B 1.15B
Free Cash Flow 1.3B – 1.5B 1.45B
Decremental Margin < 20%

Solid Outlook the Result of Actions Taken Across Magna

21

Q2 2020 RESULTS

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APPENDIX

22

1

Estimated COVID-19 Q2-2020 Impact by Segment

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$ MILLIONS

Approximate Approximate
Sales Decremental
Segment Impact Margin
Body Exteriors and Structures $ 2,650 >20%
Power & Vision $ 1,450 >20%
Seating $ 1,000 ~20%
Complete Vehicles $ 400 <10%
Magna $ 5,500 ~22%

1 It is difficult to determine with a high degree of accuracy the value of sales lost as well as the impact to EBIT specifically as a result of our customers’ production suspensions and volume reductions attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, based on our expectations prior to the production suspensions compared to final production levels for the second quarter, we estimate such lost sales to have been approximately $5.5 billion and that Adjusted EBIT was negatively impacted by approximately $1.2 billion.

23

Segment Impact on Adjusted EBIT % of Sales

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Q2 2020 vs Q2 2019 $ MILLIONS

Adjusted
EBIT as a
Adjusted Percentage
Sales EBIT of Sales
2nd Quarter of 2019 $ 10,126 $ 677 6.7%
Increase (Decrease) Related to:
Body Exteriors & Structures $ (2,620) $ (656) (11.2)%
Power & Vision $ (1,510) $ (427) (7.6)%
Seating Systems $ (928) $ (167) (2.5)%
Complete Vehicles $ (869) $ 1 1.4%
Corporate and Other $ 94 $ (28) (0.8)%
2nd Quarter of 2020 $ 4,293 $ (600) (14.0)%

24

Q2 2020 Reconciliation of Reported Results

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EXCLUDING OTHER EXPENSE (INCOME), NET $ MILLIONS – EXCEPT PER SHARE FIGURES

Other Other Excluding Excluding
Expense Other
Reported (Income) (Income)
Loss Before Income Taxes $ (789) $ 168 $ (621)
% of Sales (18.4)% (14.5)%
Income Tax Benefit $ (137) $ 32 $ (105)
% of Pretax 17.4% 16.9%
Loss Attributable to
Non-Controlling Interests $ 5 $ - $ 5
Net Loss Attributable to Magna $ (647) $ 136 $ (511)
Loss Per Share $ (2.17) $ 0.46 $ (1.71)

25

Q2 2019 Reconciliation of Reported Results

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EXCLUDING OTHER EXPENSE (INCOME), NET $ MILLIONS – EXCEPT PER SHARE FIGURES

Other Other Excluding Excluding
Expense Other
Reported (Income) (Income)
Income Before Income Taxes $ 595 $ 68 $ 663
% of Sales 5.9% 6.5%
Income Tax Expense $ 145 $ 11 $ 156
% of Pretax 24.4% 23.5%
Loss Attributable to
Non-Controlling Interests $ 2 $ - $ 2
Net Income Attributable to Magna $ 452 $ 57 $ 509
Earnings Per Share $ 1.42 $ 0.17 $ 1.59

26

Geographic Sales

Q2 2020 vs Q2 2019 NORTH AMERICA

($Billions)

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5.0
1.6
PRODUCTION -70%
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ASIA
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($Millions)
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547
475
PRODUCTION -20%
(China +3)
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 Q2 2019  Q2 2020
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EUROPE

($Billions)

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4.5
2.2
PRODUCTION -59%
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REST OF WORLD

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($Millions)
155
25
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S.A. PRODUCTION -78%
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