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Kajaria Ceramics Ltd Call Transcript 2022

May 20, 2022

60694_rns_2022-05-20_ec966208-71cf-486f-a839-49b161bcd895.pdf

Call Transcript

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INDIA'S NO.1

May 20,2022

SSE Limited P.J. Towers Dalal Street Mumbai - 400 001

Dear Sir,

The National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. Exchange Plaza Bandra Kurla Complex Bandra (E) Mumbai - 400051

Re.: Transcript of Conference Call

In continuation of our letter dated May 17, 2022, informing about the uploading of the audio recording of the Conference Call held on May 17, 2022, we enclose herewith transcript of the said Conference Call, in compliance of the provisions of the SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015.

The above said transcript has been uploaded at the Company's website www.kajariaceramics.com

Kindly take the above on your records.

Thanking you,

For Kajaria Ceramics Limited

~

COO (A&T) & Company Secretary

Enc!.: As above

Kajaria Ceramics Limited

Corporate Office: 11/81 (Extn.), Mohan Co - op Industrial Estate, Mathura Road, New Delhi - 110044, Ph.: +91-11-269464091 Fax: +91-11- 26946407 Regd Office: SF-It Second Floor,JMDRegent Plaza, MehrauIi Gurgaon Road, Village Sikanderpur Ghosi, Gurgaon-122001, Haryana, Ph.: +91-0124-4081281 CINNo.: L26924HR1985PLC056150, E-mail: [email protected] I Web.: www.kajariaceramics.com

"Kaj aria Ceramics Limited Q4 FY22 Earnings Conference Call"

May 17,2022

MANAGEMENT: MR. ASHOK KAJARIA - CHAIRMAN AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, KAJARIA CERAMICS LIMITED MR. CHETAN KAJARIA-JOINT MANAGING DIRECTOR, KAJARIA CERAMICS LIMITED MR. RISHI KAJARIA - JOINT MANAGING DIRECTOR, KAJARIA CERAMICS LIMITED MR. SANJEEV AGARWAL - CFO, KAJARIA CERAMICS LIMITED Ms. PALLA VI BHALLA - INVESTOR RELATIONS· MODERATORS: MR. AASIM BHARDE - DAM CAPITAL ADVISORS LTD.

Page 1 of 18

Kaj ,. ne

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17,2022

Moderator:

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Kajaria Ceramics Limited Q4 FY22 earnings conference call hosted by DAM Capital Advisors Limited. As a reminder, all participants' lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing' *, then' 0' on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand over the conference over to Mr. Aasim Bharde from DAM Capital. Thank you and over to you, Sir.

Aasim Bharde:

Thanks, Ryan. Hi and good evening, all. On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors, it's a pleasure to welcome you all on Kajaria Ceramics Q4 FY22 earnings conference call. From the management we have Mr. Ashok Kajaria - Chairman and Managing Director, Mr. Chetan Kajaria - Joint Managing Director, Mr. Rishi Kajaria - Joint Managing Director. and Mr. Sanjeev Agarwal - CFO. I would now hand over the floor to the management for their opening remarks. Thank you and over to you.

Management:

Good evening, everyone. It gives me great pleasure to welcome you to the Quarter 4 F22 earnings call of Kajaria Ceramics Limited. As just said, joining me on this con ference call are my sons Chetan and Rishi, our CFO Sanjeev and Pallavi Bhalla from Investor Relations. All of us sincerely hope that you and your family are safe and healthy. I would have liked to meet you and address you in person as we do each year, but the current unprecedented circumstances have compelled us to use this format.

Financial year 2021-2022 was a year of revival for Indian economy. From COVID induced disruptions, the country made rapid progress in vaccination and closed the year with the majority of the Indian population vaccinated with both doses.

For Kajaria, the fourth quarter was the best quarter ever in terms of both volume and value. We clocked the highest ever sales volume of 25.97 million square meters in Quarter 4 and 9 I.65 million square meters for the year without addition of any new capacities.

We achieved the highest quarterly and annual turnover of Rs. 1,102 crores and Rs. 3,705 crores respectively despite tremendous disruption faced during the year. FY2021-2022 was tremendously challenging in terms of cost pressure for the industry, as well as for Kajaria. Back in July-August energy crisis started resulting in supply shortages and huge spikes in power & full costs. Next there were spikes in paper prices, freight costs, etc. Then the disruption due to current inflationary challenges. resulting I,'OITI the geopolitical tensions in the Russia-Ukraine region.

However, despite these headwinds, we have managed to keep our business on track and continue to build confidence with our customers. Though the rising gas prices and commodity cost inflation pose a near-term pressure on operating margins, our price hikes around 2% from 151 of May will partially mitigate these cost pressures.

Page 2 of 18

,_ III a}ar,a Kajaria Ceramics Limited

May 17, 2022

Today India is among the fastest growing ceramic tile markets, especially for branded players. This momentum is likely to continue given the ongoing recovery of the real estate sector and increased spending on home and workspace beautification and appearance. Thus, we see accelerated traction not just from new projects, but also from increased application of tiles in replacement and renovation projects. In fact, we expect strong momentum from the replacement market going forward, We remain optimistic about the future and expect the next financial year to be a strong year for the company.

Now for this quarter's performance:

In Q4 F22 consol ida ted revenue from operations increased by 16% year-on-year to Rs. I, I02 crores from Rs. 953 crores in Q4 F21 Revenue from the bath ware segment grew by 16% from Rs. 71 crores to Rs. 83 crores in Q4 Currently our monthly sales run rate is more than Rs. 30 crores for this segment. Revenue from the plywood segment grew by 25% from Rs. 15 crores to Rs. 19 crores in Quarter 4. In the quarter, power and fuel cost have gone up by Rs. 82 crores as compared to the corresponding quarter of the last financial year which has impacted the EBlTDA margins. EBITDA margins for this quarter stood at 15.06% as compared to 2004% in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Consolidated PAT in Quarter 4 is Rs. 96 crores. As of 31 SI of March '22 working capital days have marginally increased by 2 days to 52 days as compared to 50 days as on 3151 of March '21.

Let me now provide an update on ongoing expansion plans:

We have commenced commercial production at our Jaxx Plant in Morbi in April '22. The other two expansion projects at Gailpur and Srikalahasti has also been commissioned in this month. In the previous quarter, we had announced the organic expansion of 5 million square meters of slab manufacturing capacity in Gujarat with plant investment of Rs. 210 crores. Today the Board has decided to withdraw the proposed investment as project has become less viable due to steep rise in prices of natural gas and inconsistency in gas supply at Morbi.

With this, I take this opportunity of thanking you for taking your time out and for joining us today. Over to you,

Moderator: Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question comes from the line ofSujit .Ia 111 with ASI( Investment Managers Limited. Please go ahead,

Sujit Jain: Ashok ji, one question on the average gas price for the quarter and you can give the average gas price for the base quarter as well

Ashok Kajaria: The average gas price for the Quarter 4 was about Rs. 49,79 and for the current quarter it is about Rs. 50.30.

Sujit Jain: This 2% price hike that you have taken post May, does that now fully cover the price hikes that should have been taken for FY22?

Ashok
Kajaria:
Not necessary.
Because
gas situation,
you must understand,
you might
be interacting
with other
industries,
first of all, the supply
is uncertain
because
there was a gas cut in Morbi
by 20% gas
cut in North
is to the extent
of 10%, and the prices
are very erratic,
and nobody
can say at this
stage
what
the gas prices
will be next 1110nth or month
after.
So, looking
at that, whatever
we
can do under the current
circumstances
we are doing.
Sujit
Jain:
In terms of our growth
guidance
14%-15%
kind of growth
in tiles. does that continue"
Ashok
Kajaria:
We are looking
at 15% to 20% volume
growth
for the year 2022-2023
and a revenue
growth
of
about 20% to 25%.
Sujit
Jain:
And our medium-term
target
also 15% to 20% in revenue
growth?
About
three years target
that
you used to gi ve.
Ashok
Kajaria:
What
we are saying
today
situation
has
improved
better
as we have just
completed
three
expansions.
So, looking
at that, as I said earlier
that this growth
has come
with no expansion,
now three expansions
have been completed.
So, with this we are looking
at 15% to 20% volume
growth
for the year 2022-2023
and 20% to 25% revenue
growth.
Revenue
growth
is because
prices
have already
increased
in the latter
half of the year last year. So that will be reflected
in
the revenue.
Sujit
Jain:
One last question,
your estimated
market
size and export
size in FY22
for the entire
industry.
Ashok
Kajaria:
For Kajaria?
Sujit
Jain:
For the industry.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Industry
size for 2021-2022.
the domestic
market
is close to about
Rs. 21,000
crores
and export
has been to the extent
of Rs
12,700 crores.
Moderator: Our next question
comes
from the line of Son ali Salgonkar
with Jefferies
India. Please go ahead.
Sonali
Salgonkar:
My first question
is regarding
your price hikes for the entire
year FY22.
Could
you help us with
an approximate
range
of your
cumulative
price
hikes
in tiles,
bath ware
and sanitary
ware
as
well?
Ashok
Kajaria:
You see in tiles the average
price hike for the year starting
from April,
July then October
then
November
was about
10%. The cumulative
effect
is about
10%. For sanitary
ware, the price hike
last financial
year was to the extent
of about
15% and for bath fittings
it was close to about
12%
to 13% roughly.
Sonali
Salgonkar:
My second
question
is regarding
Morbi
exports.
You told us that the export
market
currently
in
FY22
is about
Rs. 12,700 crores.
What was it in FY2 I" And currently
do you think that there is
an impending
risk that Morbi
which
used to export
about 45- 50% of the production,
could start
targeting
domestic
markets"

Kajaria

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17,2022

Ashok Kajaria: Sonali Salgonkar: Ashok Kajaria: Sonali Salgonkar: Ashok Kajaria: Sonali Salgonkar: Rishi Kajaria: Moderator: Ach al Lohade: Ashok Kajaria: Achal Lohade: Ashok Kajaria: Achal Lohade: See, 2-3 things have happened. First, the year '21 the export was about Rs. 12,000 crores. Last year there were disruptions and mainly because of the freight cost going up exports didn't go much, it was about Rs. 12,700 crores. This year, as you all might be aware, the costs in Europe have gone lip sky high. The cost of electricity as gone lip by 300% in Italy and Spain. The cost of gas has gone lip by 400% in Italy and Spain. Their costs have gone lip like anything. Similarly, in China, the gas costs have gone up by 150%. In the current scenario, the exports look very promising from Morbi. My personal estimate is that this year against Rs. 12,700 crores, they should end up with Rs. 17,000 to 18,000 crores of exports, because the export market has really opened lip with their costs going up and India cost not going up that much, costs have definitely gone up as you are aware, cost not going up as much the exports will pick lip from Rs. 12,700 crores to close to Rs. 17,000 to Rs. 18,000 crores. Currently what production of Morbi is being exported? That is very hard to say. Because you see, the gas prices keep on changing, but this year definitely they should export at least 30%-35% of their production is exports. Maybe 40% or 50%. Their main focus is exports, so they are trying to export as much as they can. You don't foresee any risk that they will start a price war in the domestic market') Not at all. It's not easy also. It's not easy to suddenly switch markets from export to domestic. It is not easy. They are happy exporting, and they are going to increase their market share there. My last question is regarding your guidance for CAPEX. You mentioned that you have withdrawn one of your projects in Gujarat, so what is the revised guidance for FY23ry The reason we withdrew this plant was that because of the high cost of gas and the erratic supply of gas, we said we will defer the plant. We don't want to expand right now. We are going to outsource. And we have just put our latest plant in south of India for the same big tiles. So, we are going to move from there. Our next question comes from the line of Achal Lohade with .1MFinancial. Please go ahead. Can you help me with the gas cost for the full year FY22 and FY21 ') If you could also split in terms of North, West and South please? The full-year gas cost is Rs. 42.3 I for Kajaria for FY22. Would it be possible to split in North, South and West? North is close to about Rs. 41, South is close to about Rs. 44 and West is Rs. 49. At this point in time, what would these prices cost will be') You said blended Rs. 50, something. If you could give the cost at this point in time?

Page 5 of 18

Ashok Kajaria:

As of now, North is about Rs. 52, South is Rs. 59 and West is of course Rs. 68.50, which is the GSPC prices.

Achal Lohade: In terms of the margin guidance, you talked about 15% to 20% volume growth. Would it be possible to give any color on the margin guidance?

Ashok Kajaria: Margin it will be very difficult to share. The biggest factor is costs have gone up everywhere in gas, paper, transport, right now it's very difficult. And I personally feel at this stage, it's too early to guide the margins. Let things settle down. And a lot of things will automatically come out with the numbers which we are talking about. We are talking about 15% to 20% volume growth, 20% to 25% revenue growth. I think a lot of things will come out from there. There is no extra manpower addition because whatever the people are there, they are there. So, with this some traction will come out of there. But one sector, we are not able to say anything at this stage is the cost of gas. But internationally, just for your information, prices of gas have come down. It was as high as \$33 two months back, spot market the gas prices have come down to about \$21, that change has already happened.

Achal Lohade: Just last question, in terms of the momentum if we see for the quarter, it is about 2% growth YoY in terms of the tiles sales volume. While we are talking about 15%-20%, is it possible to get some color given January-February was impacted? How has been the March exit?

Ashok Kajaria:

One thing for sure that you can't compare it quarter to quarter. Some quarters are very-very good in the earlier year. If you start comparing, like in the first quarter of this financial year, the volume growth could be as high as 50%, because the last quarter there was a pandemic, the entire India was in this COVID So, that is not the way to clo it. The correct way to do it compare it to year to year.

Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Abhishek Ghosh with DSP Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

The last price hike was taken in November end which was roughly 4% to S%.

Abhishek Ghosh:

A couple of questions. You mentioned about a price hike from ISI of May of about 2%. When was the last price hike taken before that?

Rishi Kajaria;

Abhishek Ghosh:

Rishi, just to understand one thing, because we have been looking at inflation across every line item, be it freight, paper, everything and if you also see the cost orgas differential between your own plants vis-a-vis with Morbi is fairly high. So, the price hikes were not initiated because that would have impacted demand. How should we look at it in terms of the competitive intensity scenario?

Ashok Kajaria: Price hike is what the market determines, if it is not taken, we should not take, number one. My cost of north has also gone up. The gas prices if you see the numbers which I have given you, they have gone up drastically in a period of one year. Last year at this time, Quarter 4 '21, the prices of gas was Rs. 29 at Gailpur. Now in Quarter 4 F22, it went up to Rs. 49. So, you see it's

a question of which plant when to take a price hike. There was no general thing that I have to take it across plants. It's a question of where my costs are going up and Ihave to see that at what prices we can sell in those markets.

Abhishek Ghosh: As you mentioned that gas prices have started to soften, and we also hear that Gujarat gas has also removed that supply cut. So, at some point will you again reconsider if these things were to sustain in terms of the slab plant, or will you keep outsourcing and source it from Southern plant only more in the medium term?

Rishi Kajaria: Right now, the plant is not in the cards. Right now, we are going to outsource from Gujarat or mostly supply from our south plant and we will reassess again in 6 to 8 months, see how the market is.

And the prices have gone up, they have put 100%, but the prices have gone up by Rs. 5, don't forget that.

Abhishek Ghosh:

Ashok Kajaria:

So, it's also a matter of cost and supply both. Whenever you think reversing, then will you take a call after six months is what the understanding is, right?

.Just two other quick things, in terms of the sanitary ware where you are putting about almost Rs. 80 crores with about Rs. 8 lakhs per annum of pieces, what would be the broad peak revenues

Rishi Kajaria:

Abhishek Ghosh:

Rishi Kajaria:

Abhishek Ghosh

Revenue will be around the Rs. 175 to Rs. 190 crores.

So about 2-2.5x asset turns one should work with.

that can come out of that?

Rishi Kajaria:

Correct.

for tiles as well?

Correct .

Abhishek Ghosh:

Rishi Kajaria:

Moderator:

Our next question comes from the line of Sneha Talreja with Edelweiss Securities. Please go ahead.

.Just one last thing, channel checks are suggesting that April given the inflation and other things post March has been a slowdown for most of the building material product. Are you seeing that

We have been okay. It was a decent one for us. We are not seeing a slowdown.

Sneha Talreja:

Ijust wanted to understand what would be the current run rate of the slab plant that we must be doing in approximate percentage figure in terms of overall revenues, just to get a sense that how much would be outsourcing and how much are we getting it n-om the south plant?

•• • BIarD

Kajaria Ceramics Limited

May 17,2022
Rishi Kajaria: It's a very small percentage of our entire sales. So, our plant isjust starting in south, and we just
commenced
commercial
production on 16,h of May, that is yesterday. So, let the material come
out, then we will take a call but it's too early to say We are just starting it.
Sneha Talreja: Till now we have been outsourcing?
Ashok
Kajaria:
Little bit.
Sneha Talreja: Secondly, just wanted to understand about the margins. You highlighted
couple of things apart
from power and fuel cost going higher. I think paper prices, freight prices any of those costs
have normalized.
And this 2% price hike takes care of what proportion of the price increase, any
sense on that? So that we get to know what could be the margin run rate going ahead?
Ashok
Kajaria:
Margin run rate I can't tell you right now as I said earlier. but if you look at the overall cost in
this particular financial year starting from April, the cost should have gone up by about 3%-3.5%
taking into account the difference between Quarter 4 of last year, that means the year whichjust
I
ended and Quarter
of this year. But with this 2% cover partly. We are not covering fully and
as we go forward, we will see how the gas prices behave, because the main factor would be the
gas prices. Paper prices which have gone up are stable right now, it has not come down and
costs are normalized
because there was freight increase because of this Kisau
Andolan
freight
and all that. So that is normalized. But whatever the diesel cost has gone up that freight has gone
up.
Sneha Talreja: Last one, any tlavor on the demand in terms ofTier-2,
Tier-3 cities, how's it going? Your sense
on the new versus the replacement
demand that which one is picking up more, are we seeing
good amount of demand from the project side. I mean some tlavor there on demand front.
Kajaria:
Chetan
We are seeing an ongoing recovery in the real estate sector, an increased spending on home and
workspace
beautification
and appearance.
Also, we see accelerated
traction not just from new
projects,
especially
in smaller
towns
and cities,
but also increased
application
of tiles in
replacement
and renovation projects. In fact, we expect very strong momentum from the smaller
cities Tier-3 and below going forward. For example, a couple of examples
for sharing with you,
one of our dealers in Bihar wants to open a 16,000 square teet showroom.
Similarly, a dealer in
Rayya which is near Anuitsar
wants to open a 38,000 square feet showroom.
This shows the
latent demand in these smaller cities where the demand will come in the coming future. I hope
that answers your question.
Sueha Talreja: Yes, it does. So, largely from the Tier-3, Tier-4 cities is driving additional applications
that you
are seeing from the tile space that's driving.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Next three years, the demand will come from Tier-3 and Tier-4 cities. That's what Chetan was

Moderator:

Our next question comes from the line of Keshav Garg with CCIPL. Please go ahead.

trying to convey. That's where the action would be in the next three to four years.

Page 8 of 18

Keshav
Garg:
Again, on the question of gas prices. If I heard correctly, you mentioned that Qvon-Q our gas
prices increased from Rs. 49.79 to 50.30. So, that's a very marginal increase whereas if we see
the newspapers
are announcing
that the government
has doubled the administered
price of gas
to \$6.IO/MMBtu
and from l " October, it is further expected to increase to \$9/MMBtu
So, in
that case how come in our case
Ashok
Kajaria:
My dear friend, we are not getting that gas. That gas is not available to people like Kajaria and
other manufacturers.
That is for fertilizer power and other sectors. The gas which we are buying
today the price which we are paying is much-much
higher than what we are talking about.
Keshav
Garg:
I get your point that you are not getting administered
price gas, but the market price of gas itself
has shot up even more in the international
markets.
Then how come our gas prices are so
marginally
increased?
Ashok Kajaria: It is not marginal increase. I think you didn't listen. Ijust said Quarter 4 of2020-2021,
my gas
prices were Rs. 29 supplied by GAIL per SCM and today a year later in the same quarter I am
paying Rs. 49. It is 70% price increase in one year. It is at the peak. Morbi prices were at Rs. 36
on 24th of August, it went up to Rs. 40 on 24th of August, it went up to Rs. 50 on 4th of October,
it went up to Rs. 63 on lSIof November and now it has gone up to Rs. 68. That means in a space
of nine months the prices have gone up from Rs. 36 to Rs. 68, it is more than 85%. Who is saying
it is cheaper?
Keshav
Garg:
Sure sir. I get your point totally that throughout
last financial year prices have been going up.
But my point is that quarter-on-quarter
have the gas prices in the spot market not increased
further? Q-on-Q I am talking about. Q I of this year that we are currently in versus last quarter.
Ashok
Kajaria:
See Quarter 3, the average gas price was Rs. 46.50, Q4 the average gas prices were about Rs.
50, and this quarter the price is only close to about Rs. 52 or Rs. 53 roughly. That's what it is.
Keshav
Garg:
And you were mentioning
that you were also not sure about the supply of gas. In case we are
not able to obtain the gas that is required, is there any alternate?
Ashok
Kajaria:
That doesn't only apply to me. Why do you put such a question? That applies to every single
person in the country. Ifthe war continues there is a problem, it will apply to every single person.
Why this kind of a question?
Keshav
Garg:
Lastly, just wanted to get a broad idea that our cost of gas, how does it compare with the other
major tile manufacturers?
Where do we fall, on the higher side or the lower side?
Ashok
Kajaria:
Our cost is on lower side because we are getting north prices which are lower.
Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Rajesh Ravi with HDFC Securities.
Please go ahead.

Page 9 of 18

Rajesh
Ravi:
On the gas price again, if you could give the breakup which you gave for Q I FY23? For Q4 and
Q3 what was the price across all the three regions north, south and west please? Rs. 49 you said
is for north. South and west in Q4, how are they?
Ashok Kajaria: Q4, north was Rs. 45.5. South was Rs. 50 and West, of course, was Rs. 63 because it is a GSPC
only.
Rajesh Ravi: And Q3, how were the numbers?
Ashok Kajaria: Q3 the north was Rs. 43, south was Rs. 55.5 and West was Rs. 58.17 in average because the
prices went up for cost of number
Rajesh Ravi: And for FY21 could you share these break-ups please, you gave for FY22 average.
Ashok Kajaria: FY21, full year"
Rajesh Ravi: Yes, full year
Ashok Kajaria: North was Rs. 26, west was Rs. 28.5 and south was close to about Rs. 12.5.
Rajesh
Ravi:
Rs. 12.5 is now Rs. 60.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Yes.
Rajesh
Rayi:
And now given that from pi of May, we have been able to take a 2% price increase and given
that even on a quarter-on-quarter
basis, there is a 7%-8% jump in the average fuel cost, energy
cost. How do you look at the margins sequentially?
Ashok Kajaria: Don't repeat these questions
I already said, margins we cannot comment at this stage.
Rajesh Ravi: You are right. You cannot comment.
But I am saying,
are you already seeing pressure
on
sequential basis on the margins which has already come.
Ashok Kajaria: How gas prices will behave, it is not in my hands today. What I can do, I can do. What I cannot
do, I cannot do. Don't ask me to do something which I cannot do.
Rajesh
Ravi:
And given that your own production
has now got commissioned,
do you see that improve, that
would lead to better margins vis-a-vis your (Inaudible
29.56)?
Ashok Kajaria: It should.
Rajesh Ravi: This sanitary expansion, what is your timeline for that?
Rishi Kajaria: Sanitary ware expansion will take about 15 months from hereon.

Page 10 of 18

Kaja~·

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17,2022

Rajesh
Ravi:
So, somewhere
FY24 second hal I'we will have this plant ready?
Rishi Kajaria: In .July FY23 we should start commercial
production
Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Peter Agnel with Sherna Wealth Management
Please
go ahead.
Peter Agnel: My first question is can you please shed some light on what is the raw material basket cost this
quarter and this full year? And at what raw material basket cost is it comfortable
to maintain
close to 18% margins according to you?
Ashok
Kajaria:
First of all, don't beat around the bush and ask questions
about
18% margins.
I just said that
margins
we are not able to comment
on. Why are you beating
around the bush about
18%
margins, number one. Number two, as far as raw material costs are concerned,
raw material costs
more or less are in line with what was in 2020-2021
and 2021-2022,
except some increase in
freight where raw material
is concerned
because of the increase in the diesel cost and all that.
Secondly,
I also said that packing costs have gone up. The paper cost has gone up as a result cost
of boxes have done gone up drastically.
That's a 16% impact from that point of view on the cost
of boxes.
Peter
Agnel:
My next question is that, in the previous call it was mentioned
that in order to maintain the (+)
15% volume growth, Rs. 300 crores of CAPE X for the next three years would be planned.
Ashok Kajaria: I didn't say that. I said every year it will be like that. Every year it will be close to Rs. 300 crores
CAPEX. That's what I said.
Peter Agnel: Yes, every year Rs. 300 crores CAPEX.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Close to that, yes. This year we have already spent Rs. 250-260 crores of CAPEX in the three
expansions .
Peter Agnel: .lust wanted to confirm that, same thing what you mentioned
last time is continuing.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Yes. It is there.
Peter
Agnel:
My final question is that we have seen that there are some new store openings.
You shared some
data on some newer dealers wanting to expand the stores. But any other key market share gaining
strategies
being adopted by you?
Ashok
Kajaria:
The simple thing is if Kajaria has to grow by 15% to 20% in volume terms in the year which we
are talking about and (+)
15% tor the next two years. we have to have our dealer additions.
We
are talking about adding close to 400 dealers in the next three years. And out of 400 you can say
about
175 will be exclusive
dealers of Kajaria.
[t could be a dealer who is working
in two
divisions,
it could be a dealer who is working
all the three divisions,
it could be a dealer
exclusively
in one division.
But definitely it will be exclusive
Kajaria at least 170-175 dealers.

Page 11 of 18

Moderator: Our next question
comes
from the line of Shrenik
Bachhawat
with L1C Mutual
Fund. Please
go
ahead.
Shrenik Bachhawat: My first question
is what is the cumulative
price hike that you had taken in the last one year and
what
would
that be for the unorganized
players?
So, I am trying
to understand
has the price
difference
reduced
over the last one year?
Ashok
Kajaria:
We at Kajaria,
have taken about
10% price hike cumulative
for the whole
year. As far as Morbi
is concerned,
we are not aware
what they have done, but that you have to find out.
Bachhawat:
Shrenik
Can you please
throw some
light on how our bath ware business
is progressing
and how is the
industry
behaving
on that side and what
is the growth
that we can expect
in the bath ware
segment
for the next three years?
Ashok Kajaria: Ijust shared
it. See, three years is very difficult
in the current
situation
of gas uncertainty
because
people
are very disturbed
at Morbi.
more disturbed
than here. And three-year
scenario
is very
tough,
but we can share that last year they did exports
of about
Rs. 12,700 crores. I personally
feel the export
should
be as high as Rs.
17.000-18,000
crores
this year
because
of the cost
increase
in Europe,
Spain,
and Italy and China
as well,
a big-big
cost increase.
As far as the
domestic
is concerned,
last year was about
Rs. 21,000
crores
and if all goes well it should
be
Rs. 23,000
crores.
close to about
Shrenik
Bachhawat:
My question
was regarding
the bath ware business
of Kajaria
Rishi Kajaria: I'll tell you; bath ware we are looking
at around
30% to 35% volume
and turnover
growth
in the
next three years.
Every year we are looking
at 30% to 35% growth
in turnover.
From this year
we did Rs. 210 to Rs. 275 crores,
which
is about 30% to 35% growth.
We are going to maintain
the same growth
in the next three years cumulative,
every year.
Shrenik
Bachhawat:
in India?
On SKU front are we in line with the large bath ware players
Rishi Kajaria: Absolutely.
We have all the products,
and we have all the product
lines which other people
have
as well.
Moderator: Our next question
comes
from the line of .Ienish Karia with Antique
Stock
Braking
Ltd. Please
go ahead.
Jenish Karia: First question
is what capacity
utilization
can we expect
going
forward?
Chetan Kajaria: Going
forward
we will try optimum
capacity
utilization
as we keep on going forward.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Close
to 95%-96%.

Page 12 of 18

Jcnish Karia: Pallavi Bhalla: Jenish Karia: Pallavi Bhalla: Moderator: Anik Mitra: Rishi Kajaria: Anik Mitra: Rishi Kajaria: Anik Mitra: Ashok Kajaria: Moderator: Mohit Agarwal: And I see that for the quarter, the depreciation charge has gone up, but there's only increase in capital work in progress and not the net block. So, is that the run rate we should be expecting going forward for the depreciation? We don't see this is going to be the run rate going forward. This is one of the case. We have charged a little higher depreciation in few of the assets as required. But this is not going to be the run rate. Are they write-offs or because it's just change in depreciation policy? Right now, there are a few assets where we need to charge a little higher depreciation and this rate will change obviously because we have commissioned three plants and you will get new depreciation from April onwards because of the commissioning of the new plants. So, this is not going to be the run rate. Our next question comes from the line of Anik Mitra with Wall fort Financial Services Ltd. Please go ahead. Can you throw some light on the sanitary ware market situation currently? Is there any headwind for unorganized players in this particular segment? Sanitary market, there's a lot of demand and that is the reason why we are expanding and putting up a very high-end plant because we are getting demand from the market We are not able to outsource much because the products are selling well even from the unorganized markets. So that's the reason. So, there is a lot of demand happening and that's the reason for our expansion. Can you give a rough number how much is the unorganized market of sanitary ware? Sanitary ware is a very unorganized market. I think overall in the entire market size, 50%-60% would be unorganized and 50% would be organized. One small question regarding gas prices. I came across that in Q4 FY22 one of the manufacturers, not based out of Morbi, but obviously based out of Gujarat, they are saying that they are getting gas prices otRs 13, a 13 point something per MMBtu from GAIL. So, Ijust wanted to understand is there any special arrangement where GAIL is giving a much lower than market prices to some of the manufacturers, some of the players? Good luck to him and good luck to you for this information. Our next question comes from the line ofMohit Agarwal with IIFL. Please go ahead. My question is on demand. You were even mentioning that real estate is doing quite well. I want you to understand this 15% to 20% growth in 2023. Is it going to come largely from the retail side or real estate project sales also will be a big focus? And if you could share what is the current share of project sales to developers in your sales mix?

Page 13 of 18

May 17,2022
Chetan
Kajaria:
A majority demand comes from retail sales. Our normal split is 75% retail, 25% projects. So,
we are focusing on building more showrooms
as CMD said, and more exclusive
showrooms
also. So, that's the split of au I" retail to project sales.
Rishi Kajaria: Andjust
to add to that the demand is coming from everywhere.
Now the real estate projects are
also happening,
government
projects are also happening.
So, as we are looking at 15% to 20%
volume growth, we have to cater to all the segments.
Mohit Agarwal: So, broadly the mix will remain same old 23 as well.
Rishi Kajaria: Yes.
Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Ritesh Shah with lnvestec, Please go ahead.
Ritesh Shah: My first question is we have indicated a guidance on volume growth. Rightfully so we have not
given any guidance
on margins because of gas pricing volatility.
But how do you think of
balancing volume growth versus margins? It's a bit of a philosophical
question, but just trying
to understand the thought pr-ocess?
Ashok
Kajaria:
First of all, there will be a very good balance between the volume sales and the margins. Right
now, we are not able to answer. I could have answered this question of margin, but right now,
because of absolute uncertainty of gas prices, we are not able to answer that. I am sure next time
when we meet after three months lot of answers will be there and we will know exactly what is
happening.
But just one information
I must share which I said earlier but I wish to share again,
the gas prices a month, and a half back was close to \$33 in the spot market per se. Today the
prices have come down in the international market to \$21. That means the scenario is improving.
Ifscenario
improves, definitely
people like GAIL, people like GSPC, or Indian Oil, they will try
to find better opportunities
and try to bring the prices down. II'the prices come down, it will
definitely not only benefit Kajaria, it will benefit the entire industry. So, I think we should wait
for 2-3 months when we meet next. You will have lot of answers in this, because this is a very
difficult time, so we are not able to give you the right answers. But definitely you will see that
gas prices have to ease because lot of developments
have happened. People are trying to explore
more options, so things should ease. But only thing one can tell you with confidence
that at
Ritesh
Shah:
Kajaria we will clo this 15% to 20% volume growth with the three new expansions
coming up.
My second question is you did indicate a withdrawal
of this Rs. 210 crores pertaining to slab

highlighting economics. How different would it be for say GVT, (Inaudible 43,29) ceramics, in the sense that this is something which is a niche product Is it entirely contingent to the product category that we are looking at or does it also put that question, the wider economics for any incremental capacities which are actually coming up in Morbi')

Rishi Kajaria:

Basically, this plant we were putting to feed all over India for this slab plant. But then looking at the gas prices and I think their supply .. we have just completed expansion in our Tirupati plant, and this is the latest technology from Italy called Continua plus. And we are the only plant

Kajar;

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17,2022

in south of India to have this technology. So, we thought that let this plant start, let us start feeding the north and the western market from this plant and as we go along, we will take a call. So, that's why we have deferred the expansion as of now. This year I think we will be comfortable without it. Later we will see how we will take a call later.

Ritesh Shah: What I am trying to understand is if a company Iike Kajaria withdraws it which is a good thing, what happens to the smaller players in Morbi given their cost out will be something similar. We have balance sheet, brand, working capital, everything on our side. Does it mean that there is an evident shift which will happen when it comes to volumes, it will come to the larger guys like Kajaria?

Rishi Kajaria:

You are not getting it right. It is more of strategic call. We are not saying maybe a volume pressure or something, it is more of a strategic call that we do not want to invest so much money in Morbi right now. We want to see how the south plant is, see the demand and then take a call. That does not mean the demand of this product will be not there. We have taken a strategic call looking at the higher gas price and the gas costs and the supply. But to also add to that there is no more new slab plants being added in Morbi as per the knowledge we have.

Ritesh Shah:

Just last one question for Ashok ji. Sir, you indicated the export market can go from Rs. 17,000 crores to Rs. 18,000 crores. Can you give some more data points basically if it highlights what the container freight charges are? Is the export run rate for Morbi really good on a monthly basis of late which gives us confidence of this Rs. 18,000 crores number? Because it's a sizeable number. We understand gas prices in Europe versus India. The other variable is container freight. How should one understand this? Can you please help?

Ashok Kajaria:

Good question. The costs in Europe, which is the biggest export market, you see for your information, Italy exports 70% of its production for exports. Spain exports 78% of its production is exports. These countries, the cost of gas, electricity, as I said earlier from November-December onwards has gone up by 300% for electricity and 400% for gas, plus paper, plus pellets, everything, it has been written in the Ceramic World Review magazine. With this, India will become viable, and India will export to many markets including USA where our presence was much less, and these markets will open up for India. And I am sure with the kind of aggressiveness the Gujarat people have from Morbi and exports, they will be able to do the numbers which I am talking about because our costs have not gone up that high compared to the costs of Italy and China. So, that's one reason. In the month of March, they have done exports ofRs. 1200 crores which had fallen as low as Rs. 800 crorcs in the month of December-January. They have picked up. They have done Rs. 1200 crores. April data I don't have, but I am sure with the ongoing time the numbers should be met, whatever we are talking about.

Ritesh Shah:

Just a related question, is there a raw material angle when it comes to the European basically, I am referring Spain, when it comes to procurement of raw material from Ukraine, is that also angle what I am referring to clay')

BJ ,.-

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17, 2022

Ashok Kajaria: They are working to solve this problem, but they have a serious problem. In Europe, Spain and
Italy they use a lot of Ukraine clay for manufacture
of these slabs. So, there has been a very
serious problem,
but I am not touching that issue right now, I am only touching the issue of
electricity and gas and other input cost like paper r said, there also the cost has gone up, pellets,
freight, everything
has gone up. So, I am not touching that thing about raw material. But that is
something
we are sitting here cannot comment on, but there are having a very serious issue,
Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Saumil Mehta with Kotak Life Insurance,
Please go
ahead,
Saumil Mehta: Two question, First on the bookkeeping,
What was the total A&P spends we have had for FY22
as a whole? And any guidance on FY23-24, ballpark?
Rishi Kajaria: You are talking about the advertising
spend, right?
Saumil Mehta: Yes,
Rishi Kajaria: We spent around Rs. 80 crores in financial
year 2021-2022.
And we are looking at a slightly
higher spend in this coming financial year,
Saumil Mehta: So, as a percentage of sales that number should be still 2% odd percentage
of revenues?
Rishi Kajaria: Yes"
Saumi! Mehta: The second
question
is more on the working
capital.
Now, obviously
we have seen some
moderation
of working capital which used to be about 65-70 days, which has peaked in 2019-
2020 from there we are down to SO, If I take a slightly longer (Inaudible
49.00), maybe 2014,
2015,2016
we used to be average 30 days of working capital. So, from there working capita] is
still about 50. Over the next 2-3 years do we believe that working capital days can actually come
down with more formalization,
maybe smaller players getting out of system, taking more stress?
How should we look at working capital?
Ashok Kajaria: When you compared the data you are forgetting that the years you are talking about, there was
a lot of imports of polished
rectified tiles from China, And when YOli
import, you have less
requirement
of money because you pay after 180 days. When normally if you look at the three
tor the last six years. Ir you look at the data from 2018,2019,
year data, imports have stopped
2020,2021,
you will find that the working capital has been roaming around here. And going
forward it could be 2-3 days plus, 2-3 days minus, that's about it.
Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Sumakesh with Carlyle, Please go ahead.
Sumakesh: I want to understand how the product mix has moved between GVT-PVT
and ceramics, with a
comparison
between FY21, FY22 and what is the projection of the budget for FY23') Then more
structural thing that I am trying to understand
is that has the consumer demand changed because

of this pass through of gas prices?

Rishi Kajaria: So, the revenue mix is the following: ceramics is 38%, PYT is 32% and GYT is 30%. And the volume mix is 44% ceramics, 30% PYT and 26% GYT. And we see an equal growth opportunity in all the three divisions going forward. Nothing much has changed. It's stable.

Surnakesh: So, we have basically not observed people moving from G YT to PYT or ceramics because of . this intlation in prices, correct"

Ashok Kajaria: See, you are forgetting one thing. Chelan shared some data with you. We had a dealer meet very recently. A guy in Bihar who is dealing with Kajaria has a 4,000 square feet showroom near Darbhanga. He is opening a 16,000 square feet showroom near that place and the demand is for all the products. Similarly, a guy in Rayya, which is one hour drive from Amritsar airport, he is on the highway, he has an 8,000 to 10,000 square feet showroom. He is top 10 of Kajaria. He wants to open a 38,000 square feet showroom. He is on a highway. He sells everything. So, it's not a question of, the price change will make a difference. People are making house once in five years, once in 10 years. They want the best of everything. And the impact of the total cost of tiles in sanitary in a house is about 6%.

Sumakesh: The only reason why I was asking this question is because earlier you had mentioned that there's only a certain level of price increase that we can take.

Ashok Kajaria:

That is not because of any other thing. That is because we have to beat the market. We have to compete with 700 people from Morbi and we have to compete with our other fellow organized players. So, keeping that in mind, we have to strike the right balance. It's not a question of what the market will take. It's a question of, you have to be there to sell. You can't have 15% to 20% volume growth and you take a price hike just like that. So, it has to be a very balanced approach.

Moderator:

Our next question comes from the line of Devanshu Sampat with Yes Securities. Please go ahead.

Devanshu Sam pat:

Just one question. So, your plans for exports have been moving as per how this scenario has been. So, now that you are saying that it's slightly improving, can we expect a higher contribution from exports for Kajaria?

Ashok Kajaria:

Kajaria, you don't expect much contribution because we want to focus more on domestic market. Kajaria is hardly doing about 3% of its turnover as exports. We would like to maintain that even in future.

Moderator: Our next question comes from the line of Keshav Garg with CCIPL. Please go ahead.

Keshav Garg:

Just wanted to understand the competitive scenario? Do you think in your judgment, the organized players especially in the tiles are they basically passing on the prices or are they basically holding on to prices for the sake of volumes? What is the basic direction that the competition is taking?

Page 17 of 18

.- rial

Kajaria Ceramics Limited May 17,2022

Ashok Kajaria:

Mix of both. See, depending on what your individual mission is. My mission is right now to have a 15% to 20% growth as Kajaria. That's our mission. Keeping that in mind, we will do a balanced price hike. And if you are not looking back, if you look back last year, in spite of everything we have taken a 10% cumulative price hike right from April to July to October to November. So, now we are only in the month of May. We have already taken a price hike of2% from lSIof May. If the situation demands, why should I miss that opportunity? But I can't say today. Let the market move and then we will take that call.

Moderator: As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand over the conference to the management for closing comments.

Ashok Kajaria: Thank you very much for this interaction. I am thankful to all the participants who have given their valuable time and spent here and put some good questions. And we as a management, plus our team of Sanjeev and Pallavi, we will be too happy to answer any questions later on, on an individual basis also. Many thanks for this call today.

Moderator:

Thank you. On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors Limited that concludes this conference. Thank you forjoining us and you may now disconnect your lines.