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JOST Werke AG — Investor Presentation 2017
Sep 27, 2017
237_ip_2017-09-27_5d701664-df2c-4f18-a519-f87605666764.pdf
Investor Presentation
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H1 2017 Update presentation
Lars Brorsen (CEO) Christoph Hobo (CFO)
Disclaimer
THIS FINANCIAL REPORT IS BEING PROVIDED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION. THIS FINANCIAL REPORT, WHICH HAS BEEN PREPARED BY JOST WERKE AG (THE "COMPANY"), SHOULD NOT BE TREATED AS GIVING INVESTMENT ADVICE AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM, PASSED ON OR OTHERWISE MADE AVAILABLE, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, TO ANY OTHER PERSON, OR PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE. IN PARTICULAR, THIS FINANCIAL REPORT MUST NOT BE RELEASED, PUBLISHED OR DISTRIBUTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (THE "UNITED STATES"), AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY OTHER JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL. ANY FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THESE RESTRICTIONS MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS.
For the purposes of this notice, "report" means this document, its contents or any part of it. This report does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
This report is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and should not be relied upon in making any investment decision to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire any securities. The information and opinions contained in this report are provided as at the date of this report and may be subject to updating, revision, amendment or change without notice. This report is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its shares. Neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this report or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent or to provide you with any additional information. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this report, or any other information discussed verbally, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
Certain information in this report is based on management estimates. Such estimates have been made in good faith and represent the current beliefs of applicable members of management. Those management members believe that such estimates are founded on reasonable grounds. However, by their nature, estimates may not be correct or complete. Accordingly, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is given that such estimates are correct or complete. Where this report quotes any information or statistics from any external source, it should not be interpreted that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This report contains forward-looking statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project", "target", "may", "will", "would", "could" or "should" or similar terminology. Forwardlooking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this report and include statements regarding the Company's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates and potential or ongoing acquisitions. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company's control that could cause the Company's actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Similarly, past performance should not be taken as an indication of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. The development of the Company's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates, and the effect of acquisitions on the Company may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forwardlooking statements contained in this report or past performance. In addition, even if the development of the Company's prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which it operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this report or past performance, those developments may not be indicative of the Company's results, liquidity or financial position or of results or developments in subsequent periods not covered by this report. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date of this report is provided to the recipient and it is up to the recipient to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions. The Company undertakes no obligation publicly to release the results of any revisions to any forward-looking statements in this report that may occur due to any change in its expectations or to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report.
To the extent available, the industry and market data contained in this report has come from third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. In addition, certain information in this report are selective and may not necessarily be representative for the Company. Further, certain of the industry and market data contained in this report come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this report.
Company overview and key highlights
JOST – leading global supplier of safety critical truck and trailer solutions
JOST has ~55% market share globally in products representing 64% of sales8
1CAGR assuming MBTAS reflected in 2014 sales, 2Excluding PPA D&A and exceptional items, including pro rata net income from Brazil JV, 3Cash flow (CF) defined as adjusted EBITDA – capex; cash conversion defined as (adjusted EBITDA – capex)/adjusted EBITDA, 4 Sales by region including consolidation effects, 5 Sales by region represent global sales of JOST's branded products including 100% of Brazil JV, which had sales of €29m in 2016, 6 Includes aftermarket and trading, 7 Including other, 8 Fifth wheel: JOST 54%, Other 46%; Landing gear: JOST 56%, Other 44%
Rockinger Agriculture Coupling Varioblock Turntable Cylinder Turntable Towing Hitch Cross Member Container Technology, Supporting Leg Axles Landing Gear Fifth Wheel Forced Steering Overview of our main products Drawbar Drawbar King Pin Vehicle interface (74% sales) Handling solution (10% sales)7 Manoeuvring (16% sales)
Key takeaways
1
2
Key investment highlights
- Leadership – Global leadership in branded products
- Attractive company growth – Market outperformance: upselling, market expansion and bolt-on M&A
- Market growth – Sustained growth on the back of strong fundamentals 3
- 4 Diversification – High aftermarket content and high diversification by customer and geography
- 5 Business model – Flexible and asset-light business model
- 6 Track record – Industry-leading margins and cash generation profile
Additional investment back up highlights in appendix
1 Global leadership in branded products
One of the leading global suppliers of truck and trailer systems with high market share in core segments
1 player in key products3 that account for 64% of total sales
1By sales
2Includes Brazil JV 3Fifth wheel and landing gear
2 Market outperformance: upselling, market expansion and bolt-on M&A
JOST's strategy is focused on further enhancing its cash generative baseline business while developing advanced solution systems to provide long-term growth
2 Market outperformance: upselling, market expansion and bolt-on M&A
JOST's successful strategy to outgrow the market
| JOST's approach to outperform the market | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manual landing gear | E-Drive landing gear Increased content |
||||||
| 1 | Higher content | Upselling through innovations |
(e.g >4x |
compared to base version for landing gear) |
|||
| per product | Manual fifth wheel | LubeTronic fifth wheel Comfort Coupling System |
|||||
| 2 | on gi Re uct Prod |
Growth in US: gain market share with OEMs |
By region | By product | |||
| Growth | Localisation of Rockinger and Tridec in China |
||||||
| initiatives | Growth in axles: expand in aftermarket |
||||||
| Growth in hydraulics: expand capacity |
|||||||
| 3 | Accretive M&A | Strong M&A track record Potential add-on M&A opportunities |
|||||
| Trailer Axle Systems |
3 Sustained growth on the back of strong fundamentals
Truck and trailer in all other regions are expected to outperform GDP growth on the back of favorable long-term economic factors
(>15 to GVW)
2Includes medium and heavy duty commercial vehicle trailers 3Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Russia
5China, India, Asia Pacific, RoW Source: Roland Berger 2017
Sustained growth on the back of strong fundamentals
China's newly implemented truck overload restrictions positively impact truck and trailer demand in China
- Implementation of new regulation on truck overload restrictions (GB1589)
- No transition phase permitted
3
- New restrictions on truck and trailer dimensions:
- Length of maximum 22.0 meters of truck and trailer combination
- For example, car carriage capacity significantly drops
- From c.22 cars per vehicle to 6 10 cars per vehicle depending1
- The key positive implications for JOST:
- Higher number of swivel points in a truck (eg replacement of rigid with articulated trucks)
- Replacement demand for existing fleet
- Higher focus on quality and safety of couplings
Truck overload restrictions Traditional car carrier in China
Car carriage capacity
Historical
Current1
New China policies are expected to provide short- and long-term support to the market
1 Semitrailer with a capacity of 6 cars; drawbar trailer with a capacity of 10 cars Source: Roland Berger 2017
4 High aftermarket content and high diversification by customer and geography
High resilience due to high customers fragmentation and leading AM business
1 Including Brazil JV
² Top 20 customers with average relationship of 33 years represent 45% of sales
3 Value based
5 Flexible and asset light business model
Ability to quickly adapt to changing market environment due to asset light and efficient supply and production platform
Employees located in low cost countries Purchasing from low cost countries4
1 On the example of fifth wheel
2Low-cost countries include Russia, Poland, Hungary, Portugal, South Africa, China, India
3High-cost countries include Germany, France, Spain, Italy, UK, The Netherlands, Australia, USA, Singapore and Japan
4 High-cost regions include Western Europe and North America; Low-cost regions include Eastern Europe, Asia and Brazil
6 Industry-leading margins and cash generation profile
JOST has continuously outperformed the truck market since 2003 showing high profitability and strong cash generation
1 Weighted by approximate weight of truck and trailer revenues
2 Cash flow defined as Adjusted EBITDA-Capex and cash conversion defined as (Adjusted EBITDA-Capex) / Adjusted EBITDA
Key financials
H1 2017 best half year in JOST's history with strong improvement in margins across all regions
¹ Sales split by origin
2 CAGR assuming MBTAS reflected in 2014 sales
3Adjusted EBIT split by origin, including pro-rata net income from Brazil JV
4 Pro-rata net income from Brazil JV not allocated to segments and therefore shown separately
Strong cash generation profile supported by low capex spend and disciplined working capital planning
1 Cash flow defined as adjusted EBITDA – capex; cash conversion defined as (adjusted EBITDA – capex)/adjusted EBITDA 2 Capex calculated as payments to acquire property, plant and equipment as well as intangible assets Source: Company information
H1 2017 highlights
Sales +7%
- Record H1 sales performance
- Continuing strong growth in APA
- Recovering truck markets in North America
- Stable development in Europe
High capital efficiency
ROCE1 of 18%
Cash conversion2 of 90%
to €362m Adj. EBIT +18% to €44m
Outlook 2017 confirmed
Mid single digit sales growth rate High single adj. EBIT growth rate
1LTM adj. EBIT / interest bearing capital employed (interest bearing capital: shareholders equity + financial liabilities – liquid assets + provisions for pensions) 2 adj. EBITDA – capex / adj. EBITDA
Subsequent events
| FY 2016 (€m) | 2016 (% of sales) |
Outlook 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 634 | Mid single digit growth |
|
| Adjusted EBIT (% margin) |
62 | 9.8% | High single digit growth |
| Capex1 (% of sales) |
18 | 2.9% | 2.0 – 2.5% of sales |
| Net working capital (% of sales) |
123 | 19.4% | <20% |
| Leverage | 3.5x | ~ 1.5x |
1 Capex calculated as payments to acquire property, plant and equipment as well as intangible assets
2 Current and non-current interest-bearing loans and borrowings less cash and cash equivalents
Appendix
Reconciliation of earnings
Key highlights
- Adjustments to EBIT predominantly from D&A of PPA
- Costs associated with the stock listing expected in H2
- For comparability, the adjusted net income excludes shareholder loan effects on net finance result and income taxes
- Shareholder loan was fully converted prior to the stock listing on July 20th
Organic sales development
| Profit & loss statement adjusted for exceptionals, PPA and shareholder loan effects | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€m) | FY2014A | FY2015A | FY2016A | H1 2016 |
H1 2017 | % | |
| Sales | 516.3 | 649.8 | 633.9 | 337.6 | 361.9 | 7% | |
| Cost of sales | (376.2) | (485.2) | (456.1) | (247.2) | (260.7) | 5% | |
| Gross profit | 140.1 | 164.6 | 177.9 | 90.4 | 101.2 | 12% | |
| Selling expenses adj. for PPA | (45.7) | (52.5) | (56.9) | (27.7) | (29.8) | 8% | |
| R&D expenses | (7.6) | (9.4) | (10.7) | (5.3) | (5.3) | 0% | |
| Administrative expenses | (35.6) | (55.5) | (54.4) | (23.2) | (23.1) | 0% | |
| Other income / expenses | (1.1) | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | (0.2) | (123)% | |
| Share of JV profit | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 57% | |
| Exceptionals | 6.0 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | (74)% | |
| Adj. EBIT | 58.8 | 62.2 | 61.9 | 37.4 | 44.3 | 19% | |
| % ofsales |
11.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | ||
| Adj. Net finance result | (8.3) | (17.8) | (19.6) | (9.7) | (7.8) | (19)% | |
| Adj. Profit before tax | 50.5 | 44.4 | 42.3 | 27.7 | 36.5 | 32% | |
| Adj. Income taxes | (10.2) | (15.2) | (10.6) | (7.7) | (9.3) | 21% | |
| Adj. Consolidated net income | 40.4 | 29.2 | 31.7 | 20.0 | 27.1 | 36% |
| Profit & loss statement | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€m) | FY2014A | FY2015A | FY2016A | H1 2016 |
H1 2017 |
| Sales revenues | 516.3 | 649.8 | 633.9 | 337.6 | 361.9 |
| Cost of sales | (376.2) | (485.2) | (456.1) | (247.2) | (260.7) |
| Gross profit | 140.1 | 164.6 | 177.9 | 90.4 | 101.2 |
| Selling expenses | (1.2) | (81.0) | (82.1) | (40.3) | (42.4) |
| Research and development expenses | (7.6) | (9.4) | (10.7) | (5.3) | (5.3) |
| Administrative expenses | (35.6) | (55.5) | (54.4) | (23.2) | (23.1) |
| Other income / expenses |
(1.1) | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | (0.2) |
| Share of profit of loss of equity method investments | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 97.4 | 24.6 | 33.1 | 23.0 | 31.2 |
| Net financial result | (47.1) | (75.5) | (35.2) | (19.4) | (141.8) |
| Profit before tax | 50.2 | (50.9) | (2.1) | 3.7 | (110.5) |
| Income taxes | (21.9) | (1.2) | (13.1) | (7.2) | 28.6 |
| Consolidated net income for the year | 28.3 | (52.1) | (15.2) | (3.5) | (81.9) |
| Non-controlling interests | (0.0) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Profit attributable to owners of the parent | 28.3 | (52.1) | (15.2) | (3.5) | (81.9) |
Global leadership
JOST's leading market positions – focus on fifth wheel and landing gear
JOST is the global leader in fifth wheel and landing gear
1Includes the following countries: AUT, BEL, DEN, FIN, FRA, GER, ITA, NED, NOR, POR, ESP, SWE, CH, UK, CRO, SRB, BLR, BGR, CZE, EST, HUN, LAT, LTU, POL, ROM, SVK, SVN, TUR, UKR 2 Includes the following countries: CAN, MEX, USA, COL, ECU, VEN, ARG
3Includes the following countries: IDN, MYS, THA, PHL, KOR, JAP, AUS, PAK, TWN, IND, CHN, DZA, EGY, MOR, TUN, SAU, UAE, other MEA
4Including Brazil JV
Source: Roland Berger 2017