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Iren Investor Presentation 2017

Nov 14, 2017

4243_iss_2017-11-14_9ee12032-1d56-4bb4-b758-68446ff86dca.pdf

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Our Circular Vision

Business Plan@2022 14 November 2017

The first 9 months results in 2017 led to positive expectations on FY 2017 Results

in line with the growth path of the last 3 years

The sound cash-flow generation has driven the company into the

"FLEXIBILITY AREA"

(NFP/EBITDA<3x)

The flexibility paves the way to strategic options:

New growth opportunities

Improving the dividend policy according to financial sustainability

KPIs
(m€)
EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)
m€ 9M
'16*
9M
'17
Δ Δ% 14 13 622
Revenues 2,228 2,614 +386 17.3% 559 36
Ebitda 559 622 +63 11.3%
Ebit 281 341 +60 21.4%
Net profit 126 180 +53 42.3%
Tech.
Capex
157 200 +43 27.8% Ebitda
9M
2016
Scenario
and
Organic
Growth
Synergies Consolidation Ebitda
9M
2017
NFP 2,457 2,378 -79 -3.2%

REVENUES +17.3%:

Growth in revenues linked mainly to higher commodities prices (PUN +38.5%).

EBITDA +11.3%:

80% of the total growth is attributable to synergies and organic growth. 13m€ derive from the 2016 M&A transactions (mainly Atena, SAP and REI).

NET PROFIT +42.3%:

Good operating results reflected in the bottom line, including lower financial charges and lower taxes (lower IRES percentage effect).

Tech. Capex +27.4%:

Strong increase in particular in network-based business, in line with expectations.

NFP -3.2%:

Further improvement in debt reduction thanks to robust cash-generation.

+30% EBITDA growth in 3 years.

Strong improvement in operating KPIs leading to a structural profitability increase.

Integration and company streamlining.

Significant M&A transactions confirming IREN as a consolidator leader in its territories.

NFP/EBITDA (m€)

Cagr >40% Cagr >10% NET PROFIT (m€) 69 118 174 2014 2015 2016 2017E 5.23 5.50 6.25 2014 2015 2016 2017E >200 DPS (€c/sh) 7.0

2017 expected NFP/EBITDA ratio lower than IREN's financial flexibility target set at 3.0x.

2014-2017 EBITDA C.a.g.r ~10%.

Stable NFP in spite of several M&A acquisitions (TRM, Atena, etc).

Constant growth in Net profit and DPS in the last 2 years, expected to recur also at the end of 2017.

@2030

After a long-term process of organizational turnaround, IREN will be able to adopt cutting-edge technologies to fulfil the Clients' needs. The Client will be at the centre of IREN's strategies, also with regards to environmental sustainability.

8

SCENARIO PILLARS

Needs for investments in waste treatment and integrated water cycle management

Fragmented market in reference areas and upcoming tender season

Supply market ongoing liberalization

Structural reduction in electricity oversupply

Italian economy recovery and supportive financial market

DEVELOPMENT

Structural increase in Group's profitability leads to a significant growth

Organic growth coming mainly from Networks, Waste and District Heating sectors.

Strong visibility on growth drivers: 70% of EBITDA increase will be achieved by 2020.

130m€ potential additional EBITDA from M&A, on top of which incremental margin could be added thanks to further opportunities.

CLIENTS

Strategy

A wide range of initiatives, leveraging on macro-trends

E-mobility, Energy Efficiency, New downstream, an innovative approach to offer the Citizen/Client high value added services.

«New downstream» project: innovation, smartness and agility to improve connections with Clients

In the last 30 months IREN Clients base rocketed from 1.5 to 1.7 million clients. Innovative offer is changing IREN's role, from a simple energy provider to an expert of high value added services.

Agile time to market for launching new products and services with a full and comprehensive omni-channel approach (e-commerce, physical stores, teleselling, d2d).

ENERGY EFFICIENCY E-MOBILITY

ADVANCED SOLUTIONS TO REDUCE POLLUTION AND SAVING ENERGY CONSUMPTION

A NEW WAY OF MOVING, COMMUTING AND LIVING THROUGH THE USAGE OF CLEANER MEANS OF TRANSPORT

INCREASING ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROFILE OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE BUILDINGS (RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS USE)

INNOVATIVE HEAT MANAGEMENT THROUGH THE OFFERING OF TAYLOR-MADE SERVICES

COMMERCIAL PARTNERSHIPS WITHIN REFERENCE AREAS FOSTERING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TERRITORIES

IN THE NEXT 2 YEARS, 10% OF WASTE COLLECTION TRUCKS AND 25% OF IREN'S CAR FLEET WILL BE ELECTRIC

BECOMING A TOP PLAYER IN THE SECTOR OF ELECTRIC RECHARGE POINTS WITHIN IREN'S REFERENCE AREAS

IREN BRANDED E-BIKE AND E-SCOOTER SHARING

Further improvement in efficiency

On-top of 50m€ synergies achieved in '15-'16.

Reduction in cost-to-serve thanks to digitalization and billing process/CRM improvement .

Continuous improvement in asset/workforce management systems in Waste and Networks sectors to optimize maintenance and management processes.

75% of the cumulated synergies will be achieved by 2020.

Innovation, care and new ideas to be prepared to the challenges of the future

By 2022 more than half of IREN's population will be part of the performance management plan to foster meritocracy.

The number of IREN workers <30y.o. will double by 2020. This initiative together with the new lay-off scheme will help to keep IREN's workers avg. age stable.

Youngsters <30 x2

Growth and requalification based on the integration between selection-training-development systems.

SUSTAINABILITY Strategy

DECARBONIZATION CIRCULAR ECONOMY WATER SOURCES RESILIENT TOWN
N
O
TI
C
A
E
T
A
M
LI
C
Reduction in GHG emission
DH networks development
Renewables
Energy
efficiency
in production
Energy
efficiency
services for
Clients
Education
towards
sustainability
Higher
sorted
waste
percentage
Extension
of
«pay-as-you
throw»
systems
Higher
recycling
in
Group's
plants
Energy
production from
non-
recoverable
waste
Zero
landfill
for
urban
waste
Excellence
in
water
networks
Reduction
in
drinking water
taken
from
the environment
Higher
purification
capacity
and
quality
Re-use
of
purified
water
for agriculture
Electricity
storage
systems
Smart
grid
Smart
metering
LED
in
public
lighting
Distributed
photovoltaic
generation
Sustainable
mobility
2022
Main
Avoided
CO
2
+14% Urban waste
recovered*
100% Waste-Water
treatment capacity
+15% District heated
volumes
+14%
targets +11%
Energy savings (KToE
)
Energy produced from
+13%
waste
Districted and
85%
monitored water ntwks
97%
Smart gas meter
Capex % ~10% ~20% ~35% ~35%
~1.0
Billion cumulated capex

GENERATION AND DISTRICT HEATING

  • A long-term scenario underpinned by higher generation from renewables (grid parity in 3-5y), smart grids, European market coupling.
  • Confirming IREN as the leading player in District heating sector (+12mcm of volumes heated) strengthening the stability of margins.
  • Exploiting and increasing IREN's plants portfolio flexibility, also through heat and electricity storage plants.

MARKET

  • Citizen/Client/Personas is the focus of the strategy in the sector: IREN is moving from a simple energy provider to the expert in high value added services.
  • Full deployment of the "New Downstream" project. 10 successful initiatives have been already launched, further are to come.
  • Strong focus on digitalization: 50% of our operations with energy clients will be managed through digital channels with an omnichannel approach and end-to-end processes based on best practices.

WASTE

  • The circular economy concept will guide the activity in the sector: higher capacity in waste treatment in particular in plastic/paper/organic waste sectors, producing also biomethane, and secondary solid fuel.
  • Launch of "Just IREN": a new integrated ITC/Management/operating system improving the relationship between citizen/client and the company, simplifying internal process.

NETWORKS

  • A unitary and integrated vision of the business (IRETI), along with a deeper implementation of asset and workforce management systems will lead to the exploitation of further synergies.
  • Increased investments plan (>1,2 billion euros) to improve services quality and safety, with a strong growth in RAB.
  • Completion of ATEMs in which IREN is incumbent and possible opportunities in others.

Significant growth in EBITDA (Cagr. 3.3%) in spite of the expiry of Green Certificates (~40 million euros by 2019) affecting the hydroelectric sector.

All the business units contributing: IREN will maintain its balanced business portfolio (more than 70% of 2016 and 2022 EBITDA coming from Regulated and quasi-regulated activities).

~2.5 billion Euro capex in 6 years

~15% increase in capex compared to the previous business plan.

100m€ investments devoted to energy efficiency projects.

750m€ linked to development mainly in district heating and waste sector.

Significant increase in RAB.

FINANCIAL OPPORTUNITIES AND OBJECTIVES Economic and Financial KPIs

Keeping the investment-grade rating (and possibly increasing it) will be one of the key elements in IREN's financial strategy

NFP AND NFP/EBITDA RATIO

Financial flexibility target (NFP/EBITDA 3.0x) already achieved (2 years in advance).

Part of this flexibility will be used to further develop the company business (through organic growth and M&Aopportunities) and the other part will go towards further improving dividend policy.

Only 50% of expiring debt is going to be refinanced mainly because of debt reduction.

Significant reduction in cost of debt thanks to liability management operations and supportive scenario.

IREN's LT debt avg. maturity is 5.8y, from previous ~5.0y thanks to the emission of the 500m€ Green Bond in Oct. 2017.

The percentage of IREN's debt funded by bonds is currently 60% ad it is expected to grow in the coming years (compatibly with financial market scenario)

Improvement in all indicators vs. previous plan.

+170 million euro growth in EBITDA excluding any out-of-the-plan upside option.

Net profit cagr doubled compared to the EBITDA cagrthanks to a sound financial policy management and lower taxes.

M&A TARGET

Significant M&A Opportunities in IREN reference areas, with a focus on 100m€ additional EBITDA (not included in BP figures) from more than 20 small/mid-size potential deals (on top of possible 30m€ addition EBITDA coming from ACAM).

IREN'S FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY

EXPECTED 2017 NFP/EBITDA <3x Financial flexibility threshold reached, enabling further exploitation of M&A opportunities.

3% POSSIBILE CAPITAL INCREASE Already resolved upon. It could be use to complete M&A transactions instead of cash.

Important growth options have been identified but not included in the business plan figures as we don't have a complete visibility on the projects.

After 200m€ growth in the last 3 years, we are targeting 950 million Euro @2022

without including M&A transactions and other development options

The growth path is based on actions under the company control

(investments and synergies)

The upside options are expected not to have a material impact on financial dynamic: IREN can provide a

50% avg. payout ratio

*2017 data

REGULATED ACTIVITIES (45% OF EBITDA) QUASI REGULATED ACTIVITIES (26% OF EBITDA) UNREGULATED ACTIVITIES (29% OF EBITDA) ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE . Electricity distribution: 7,700km covered . Gas distribution: 8,000km covered WATER SERVICE . ~18,500km of water pipes . 170 mcm distributed volumes URBAN WASTE COLLECTION . 147 municipalities covered . 1.2m tons Municipal waste collected . 59% of sorted waste (vs. national avg. 47.5%) HYDROELECTRIC GREEN CERT. . 600 GWh GCs produced through hydro generation DISTRICT HEATING . >900km of pipes and 850,000 inhabitants covered . 86mcm of district heated volumes . 2.9 Twht volumes produced URBAN WASTE DISPOSAL . 3 Waste To Energy plants (~800Kton/y) 2,700 MW OF GENERATION CAPACITY . 1,300 MW from cogen. plants connected to DH networks . 600 MW from hydroelectric plants . 800 MW from Turbigo plant (the only thermoelectric plant running on merchant base) ENERGY MARKET . ~9.5 TWh electricity uses; ~2.8 bcm gas uses SPECIAL WASTE . ~410K tons of special waste collected CUSTOMERS: ~1.7M in the energy sector ~2.7M served inhabitants in the water service ~2.1M served inhabitants in the waste sector ~1.0M served inhabitants in district heating >3.5 services provided per clients >7million Inhabitants in IREN's reference areas 2016 data

Growth in margins in spite of the expiry of ~40m€ incentives on Hydro.

Full utilization of existing heat production sources (Plants/WTEs) thanks to the Increase in volumes heated (+12mcm).

Additional volumes heated could come from a number of opportunities not included in BP figures.

Prudent assumptions in cogeneration and heat production due to mainly to energy efficiency trend.

Increase in IREN's generation fleet flexibility, in order to be more competitive in ancillary services (neutral impact of capacity market expected).

2016 2020 2022
908 933 996
234 238 244
0.7%
483

Full deployment of the "New Downstream" project : +22% increase in client base; +25% of electricity sold to retail Clients; keeping the churn rate as one of the lowest in the sector.

Selective focus on Business Clients (S/M size companies and PA).

Moving from a commodities provider to an expert in high value added services: led bulbs, consumption remote controller, insurances, smart thermostat, home safety kit etc.

Digitalization will be one of the drivers of the reduction in cost-toserve. (50% of operations will be digitally carried out by 2022).

m€ 2016 2020 2022
Revenues 2,187 2,230 2.473
EBITDA 114* 127 138
Cagr. '16-'22 3.3%
191
Cumulated Capex

*Net of 20m€ derived from 2016 exceptional market conditions

>500m€ increase in RAB (+240m€ compared to the previous BP) thanks to higher investments.

Maintaining all the gas and water concessions in which IREN is incumbent and on which a tenders will be launched within business plan horizon.

Possible participation in tenders related to ATEMs in IREN's reference areas (not included in BP figures).

Continuous improvement in asset/workforce management systems exploiting further synergies.

2016 2020 2022
854 925 980
314* 348 373
2.9%
1,237

*Net of 15m€ derived from 2016 time-lag mechanism

Significant increase in waste treatment capacity, starting from 2020 (plastic, organic fraction and paper) and consequently in profitability also from special waste.

Self-sufficiency in completing the entire waste cycle thanks to 3 IREN's WTEs which will be fully connected to the DH networks to WTE plants.

Confirming all the concessions currently owned. Possible participation in tenders within reference areas in which IREN is not incumbent (not included in BP figures).

2016 2020 2022
502 589 597
119 171 173
6.4%
326
GAS
TENDERS
CONCESSIONS WASTE CONCESSIONS WATER ELECTR.
CONCESSIONS
ATEM Expiry Start AREA Expiry Start AREA Expiry Start AREA Expiry Start
Genova 1 Expired 2018 Parma Expired On
going
Piacenza Expired 2018 Torino 2030
Parma Expired 2018 Piacenza Expired 2019 Reggio Emilia Expired 2018 Parma 2030
Reggio
Emilia
Expired 2018 Reggio Emilia Expired 2018 Genova >2030 Vercelli 1 2030
Vercelli Expired 2019 Torino >2030 Parma 2025
Piacenza 2 -
Est
Expired 2019 Vercelli 1 2028 Vercelli 1 2023
Vercelli 2 2019
GAS
DISTRIBUTION
ELECTRICITY
DISTRIBUTION
WATER
SERVICE
Regulatory period 6 years (2014 –
2019)
8 years (2016 –
2023)
4 years (2016 –
2019)
WACC methodology update 6 years (2016 –
2021)
6 years (2016 –
2021)
-
WACC update every three years (2019) every three years (2019)
every two years (2018)
2017 -
2018
2019 -
2022
Gas distribution 6.1% 5.9%
Gas metering 6.6% 6.4%
Electricity distrib. and metering 5.6% 5.6%
2017 2018 -
2019
2020 -
2022
Integrated water service 5.39% 5.39% 5.39%

Already defined values Assumptions

2016 2020 2022
PUN (€/MWh) 42.7 54.7 58.3
PSV (€/MWh) 17.7 20.7 21.3
ETS (€/Ton) 5.4 11.0 15.0
Clean spark spread -
PSV
(€/MWh)
6.0 5.0 6.0
Hydro Green Certificates
(€/MWh)
100.1 97.8 94.7
Energy Efficiency
Certificates (€)
137 200 200

The majority of IREN's Shareholders are public entities: FSU (50% Turin Municipality and 50% Genoa Municipality) ~33%, Emilia Municipalities (Reggio Emilia, Parma, Piacenza and other minor Municipalities) ~18%.

Public Shareholders

2 Shareholders Agreements

Two Shareholders' agreements (one between Emilia Shareholders and one between the latters and FSU) guarantee that all the most important decisions relating to Corporate Governance (appointment of CEO, Chairman and Vice-Chairman in particular) are by agreement of all the public Shareholders.

LSS Loyalty Shares

Scheme

The introduction of LSS in IREN's bylaws (May 2016) and the elimination of the obligation for Public shareholders to hold at least 51% of IREN's share capital, could have the effect of increasing the free-float of the Group.

3% Capital Increase

In May 2016 the Shareholders' meeting authorized the Board of Director to proceed, whithn 3 years, with a 3% possible capital increase devoted to M&A operations.

*Shares without voting rights; Finanziaria Città di Torino launched an exchangeable bond on 80,498,014 IREN's preferred stocks in November 2015. Bond's maturity is 5 years and it can be converted into IREN's ordinary share anytime until 45 days prior the date fixed for the redemption of the bond. The conversion price is the reference price (1,4334€/Sh) plus 30% premium. **9M 2017

PUBLIC ENTITIES-SHAREHOLDERS

IREN Shareholding
structure
IREN Shareholding structure Pre-
convers
pref.
sh.
Post
convers
pref.
sh.
Shareholders # Shares % %
Finanziaria
Sviluppo Utilities
424,999,233
Municipality
of Reggio Emilia
91,427,464
Municipality
of Parma
41,158,566
Municipality
of Piacenza
19,759,547
Other Municipalities 74,479,353
Ordinary shares owned by
public entities
651,824,163 51.1% 51.1%
Preferred
shares
without
voting
rights
(owned by
Turin municipality)
80,498,014
Total
shares
held
by
public
entities
732,322,177 57.4% 51.1%
Other Shareholders 543,903,500 42.6% 48.9%
Total share capital 1,276,225,677

At present no public Shareholders has a double voting right. Such right will mature 2 years after subscription in the Registered Shareholders list. Since June 2016 all the public entities part of the shareholders agreement subscribed to the Registered shareholders list.

SHAREHOLDERS AGREEMENT

627,878,303 are the shares belonging to the Shareholders' agreement, corresponding to 52.6% of IREN's ordinary share capital.

510,490,271 of which are also part of a «non-negotiable» agreement. They cannot be sold until the expiration of the Shareholders' agreement.

117,288,032 of which are are instead negotiable but could be sold only through particular procedures in order to avoid any overhang effect.

23,945,860 shares are outside the Shareholders' agreement and are therefore negotiable on the market.

117,288,032 + 23,945,860 = 141,333,892 ordinary shares held by public entities which can be currently sold (Turin and Genoa Municipality have already expressed their intention to sell approximately 65m shares in the upcoming months)

*Shares without voting rights; Finanziaria Città di Torino launched an exchangeable bond on 80,498,014 IREN's preferred stocks in November 2015. Bond's maturity is 5 years and it can be converted into IREN's ordinary share anytime until 45 days prior the date fixed for the redemption of the bond. The conversion price is the reference price (1,4334€/Sh) plus 30% premium. **9M 2017

  • IREN's stake in OLT is formed of 17m€ equity interest and a 439m€ loan (FY 2016 value).
  • The OLT Terminal has been recognised by the Italian Government as a national strategic asset; as a result, part of its revenues are granted.
  • RAB is approximately 900m€. The ordinary capital remuneration is set at 6.6% (plus the additional one) and applied to 64% RAB.
  • The AEEGSI resolution n. 548/2017 published in July recognized the additional remuneration on invested capital equal to 2% (floor) with a further 1% based on regasification terminal use.
  • The additional remuneration (3%) implies the substantial break-even result for OLT.

OLT SHAREHOLDING STRUCTURE

The Manager in charge of drawing up the corporate accounting documents and the Chief Financial Officer of IREN S.p.A., Mr. Massimo Levrino, hereby declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154 bis of the Consolidated Finance Act (Legislative Decree No 58/1998), that the accounting information contained in this presentation is consistent with the accounting documents, records and books.

This document was prepared by IREN mainly for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts.

This document does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or subscribe shares and neither this entire document or any portion of it may constitute a basis or provide a reference for any contract or commitment.

Some of the information contained in this document may contain projected data or estimates that are based on current expectations and on opinions developed by IREN and are based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects. Consequently, it is recommended that they be viewed as indicative only.

Projected data and estimates entail risks and uncertainties. There are a number of factors that could produce significant differences between projected results and actual results. In addition, results may be affected by trends that are often difficult to anticipate, are generally beyond IREN's control and could produce results and developments that are substantially different from those explicitly or implicitly described or computed in the abovementioned projected data and estimates. The non-exhaustive list that follows being provided merely by way of example, these risks include: significant changes in the global business scenario, fluctuations in the prices of certain commodities, changes in the market's competitive conditions and changes in the general regulatory framework. Notice is also given that projected data are valid only on the date they are produced. Except for those cases in which the applicable statutes require otherwise, IREN assumes no obligation to provide updates of the abovementioned estimates and projected data.