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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2016
May 13, 2016
199_ip_2016-05-13_09dffc0f-5c4a-4393-8dae-92d584692019.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation – 1st Quarter Results 2016
Disclaimer
2
Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company´s forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company´s press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company´s analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
Opening remarks
1) Subject to a mutually satisfactory completion of the negotiations and the mutual due diligence exercise
| Our deliverables | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Our industry | Financial highlights: | ||
| Our position | |||
| Our track record | and remained profitable despite record low rates | ||
| Our objectives | |||
| Transport volume | Freight rate | Transport expenses | |
| +2.1% | -19.8% | -17.0% | |
| Q1 2016: 1.8 TEU m | Q1 2016: 1,067 USD/TEU | Q1 2016: 970 USD/TEU | |
| EBITDA | EBIT | Group profit / loss | |
| USD 136 m | USD 5 m | USD -47 m | |
| 6.4% EBITDA margin | Break-even EBIT | In line with Q4 2015 | |
| Equity | Liquidity reserve | Financial debt | |
| USD 5.4 bn | USD 904 m | USD 4.2 bn | |
| Solid equity base | Adequate liquidity | Reduced debt |
| Our deliverables | |
|---|---|
| Our industry | |
| Our position | |
| Our track record | |
| Our objectives |
Initial signs of an uptick – freight rates increased, volume rose by 2.8% as compared to prior year Difficult market – Freight rates are on record low levels and carrier results remain under pressure
Global volumes pick up slightly in Q1…
…while freight rates remain on record lows
Q4 results were already under pressure…
…and Q1 2016 results continue to be
Note: Company reporting. EBIT margin as stated, otherwise calculated 1) Group EBIT margin
| Our deliverables | |
|---|---|
| Our industry | |
| Our position | |
| Our track record | |
| Our objectives |
Capacity measures are being taken esp. Asia-Europe & Asia-Latin America – Yet, potentially more to come
Asia – ECSA1) [annualized capacity] Europe – ECSA1) [annualized capacity]
7 Source: Alphaliner, Drewry
There are some signs to expect a sequential recovery over the coming months of 2016
Orders for newbuilds normalized… Q1 2016 19% 3.9 2015 19% 4.1 2014 16% 3.2 2013 20% 3.6 2012 21% 3.6 2011 26% 4.3 2010 26% 4.0 2009 35% 5.0 2008 47% 6.4 2007 56% 6.8 …no vessel orders reported in 2016 so far… TEU m Share of world fleet
…and ship deliveries in Q1 slowed down
Idle capacity at record highs…
| Our deliverables | |
|---|---|
| Our industry | |
| Our position | |
| Our track record | |
| Our objectives |
Going forward the industry is changing – Alliances are being reshaped and leading players are consolidating
The industry is changing
9 1) Subject to a successful closure of the transaction between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC, as well as regulatory approvals, the UASC tonnage is anticipated to become part of THE Alliance
Source: MDS Transmodal April 2016, Hapag-Lloyd data, only vessels >399TEU 1
| Our deliverables |
|---|
| Our industry |
| Our position |
| Our track record |
| Our objectives |
Hapag-Lloyd will be a leading partner in a strong and integrated alliance to start in April 2017
- THE Alliance covers all East-West trades
- Atlantic, Transpacific and Far East including
- Asia-Middle East / Persian Gulf and Red Sea
- Binding agreement signed by all six partners
- Begin of operation in April 20172)
- The initial period will be 5 years
- Combined capacity of 3.5 m TEU or 18% of world fleet vessel pool taken from a total of 650 ships
- In case of successful merger talks between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC, the overall nominal capacity would increase to approx. 4 m TEU
- Leading product characterized by fast transit times, broad port coverage and the latest vessels
Six leading players create THE Alliance Competitive position on East-West trades1)
1) Subject to a successful closure of the transaction between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC, as well as regulatory approvals, the UASC tonnage is anticipated to become part of THE Alliance 2) Subject to approval of all relevant authorities
Forms of cooperation being discussed / No binding results yet
- Hapag-Lloyd AG (HL) and United Arab Shipping Company SAG (UASC) are currently discussing forms of cooperation including a potential combination of their mutual container shipping operations
- In case of a business combination, the parties are basing their discussions on a relative valuation of the two businesses at 72% (HL) and 28% (UASC), subject to a mutually satisfactory completion of the negotiations and the mutual due diligence exercise
- To date, the discussions conducted between the two carriers have not resulted in any binding agreement and no assurance can be given that these discussions will lead to a definitive agreement
Should any relevant development occur, more information will be published
Our fleet remains competitive – We will not invest further at this time
| Vessel fleet as of 31 March 2016 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owned1) Chartered4) Current Current Fleet age [% of total capacity] fleet orderbook |
|||||||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 131,674 | 131,674 | 52,945 | Average age 8.1 years5) | |||||
| >10,000 TEU | Vessels | 10 | 10 | 5 | MODERN | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 243,614 | 76,602 | 320,216 | 42% 45% |
57% | ||||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
Vessels | 28 | 9 | 37 | 55% | 1% | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 49,743 | 44,913 | 94,656 | ≤10 years | 10-20 years | >20 years | |||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
Vessels | 7 | 7 | 14 | Fleet ownership [%] | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 68,154 | 202,440 | 270,594 | Owned 55% | Chartered 45% | ||||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
Vessels | 15 | 43 | 58 | Average vessel size [TEU] | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 30,292 | 75,314 | 105,606 | ||||||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
Vessels | 10 | 25 | 35 | +377 | +2,162 | |||
| 5,460 | 5,083 | 3,298 | |||||||
| <2,300 TEU | Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
3,918 2 |
28,821 19 |
32,739 21 |
HL | Top 20 | World Fleet | ||
| Total | Capacity [TEU] | 527,3952) | 3) 428,090 |
955,485 | 52,945 | Total container fleet |
1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 3 chartered-out 3) Incl. 1 chartered-out 4) Includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters 5) Weighted average age by capacity 6) 2x 3,508 TEU vessels built 2015 acquired by HLAG from NileDutch in February / April 2016
12 Source: MDS Transmodal January 2016
| Our deliverables | ||
|---|---|---|
| Our industry | ||
| Our position | ||
| Our track record | OCTAVE 2 project gained further traction in Q1 2016 | |
| Our objectives | ||
OCTAVE project
Existing OCTAVE initiatives
| G6 Enhancement – create integrated alliance |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| s e v ati ti |
Procure ment |
– reduction of expenses Procurement |
|
| Transshipment – optimize shipment flows |
Further cost savings and efficiency |
||
| ni i E V A T C |
Fleet & Network |
Ship Size – increase operational intake |
improvements: |
| Stowage – optimize stowage process |
High double-digit USD million figure by 2017 |
||
| O w e |
– reduce complexity Service Portfolio |
||
| N | Sales & | – optimize space usage Weight Utilization |
|
| Product | – increase collection Demurrage / Detention |
| Our deliverables |
|---|
| Our industry |
| Our position |
| Our track record |
| Our objectives |
Improved sales organization and better sales processes with significant potential to improve revenues
COMPETE TO WIN Project
We achieved a break-even EBIT despite record low freight rates
| Operational KPIs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2016 Q4 2015 QoQ ∆/% YoY ∆/% Q1 2015 |
||||||||
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 1,811 | 1,822 | -11 / -0.6% | 1,774 | +37 / +2.1% | |||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,067 | 1,116 | -49 / -4.4% | 1,331 | -264 / -19.8% | |||
| Bunker price [USD/t] | 178 | 245 | -67 / -27.3% | 378 | -200 / -52.9% | |||
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.10 | 1.09 | +0.01 / +0.7% | 1.13 | -0.03 / -2.1% | |||
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,124 | 2,225 | -101 / -4.5% | 2,593 | -469 / -18.1% | |||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 136 | 152 | -16 / -10.5% | 319 | -183 / -57.4% | |||
| EBIT [USD m] | 5 | 18 | -13 / -70.6% | 196 | -191 / -97.3% | |||
| EAT [USD m] | -47 | -52 | +5 / +10.1% | 144 | -191 / n.m. | |||
| Investments [USD m]1) | 105 | 46 | +59 / +129.9% | 319 | -214 / -67.2% |
1) Balance sheet investments in PPE
Transport volume increased by 2.1% while freight rates decreased 19.8%
Transport volume [TTEU]
Freight rate [USD/TEU]
FX-rate (USD/EUR)
Bunker price [USD/mt]
Due to active yield management, we decreased our volumes on selected trades (FE and LA)
Transport volume [TTEU]
1) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014
Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t]
1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per year 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per year, 2014 excl. CCS (1M) 3) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
1) Cost of purchased services Q1 2015: 992 USD/TEU
Adequate liquidity reserve [USD m] Solid shareholder base
Positive free cash flow of USD 37 m in Q1 2016 – Net repayment in financial debt of USD 93 m
Cash flow Q1 2016 [USD m]
| Our deliverables | ||
|---|---|---|
| Our industry | Hapag-Lloyd stock in SDAX since March 2016 – | |
| Our position | ||
| Our track record | Next change of redemption prices in October 2016 | |
| Our objectives |
Share trading Bonds trading 60 80 100 120 6-Nov 6-Dec 6-Jan 6-Feb 6-Mar 6-Apr 6-May Hapag-Lloyd Maersk Evergreen NOL OOCL SDAX DAX Global Shipping
| EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | USD Bond 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
|||
| Volume | EUR 250 m | EUR 400 m | USD 125 m1) | |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1144214993 / A13SNX |
XS0974356262 / A1X3QY |
USD33048AA36 / A1E8QB |
|
| Maturity date |
Oct 15, 2019 | Oct 1, 2018 | Oct 15, 2017 | |
| Redemption price |
as of Oct 15, 2016:103.750% as of Oct 15, 2017:101.875% as of Oct 15, 2018:100% |
as of Oct 1, 2015:103.875% as of Oct 1, 2016:101.938% as of Oct 1, 2017:100% |
as of Oct 15,2015:102.4375% as of Oct 15, 2016:100% |
|
| Coupon | 7.50% | 7.75% | 9.75% |
Stock exchange Market segment / Index ISIN / WKN / Ticker Symbol Primary listing Number of shares Lock-up Frankfurt Stock Exchange / Hamburg Stock Exchange Regulated market (Prime Standard) / SDAX DE000HLAG475 / HLAG47 / HLAG 6 November 2015 118,110,917 4 May 2016
1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015
22 Source: Bloomberg (12 May 2016); Citi (11 May 2016)
We expect a moderate increase in EBITDA for 2016 with focus in the second half of this year
| Hapag-Lloyd guidance for FY 2016 | Market forecasts for FY 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume |
Increasing slightly |
Global economic growth |
+3.2% | ||
| Bunker consumption price |
Clearly decreasing | Increase in global trade Increase in global container transport volume |
+3.1% +3.0% |
||
| Freight rate | Clearly decreasing | Hapag-Lloyd sensitivities for Q2-Q4 2016 | |||
| EBITDA | Increasing moderately | Transport volume Freight rate |
+/- 100 TTEU +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD <0.1 bn +/- USD ~0.3 bn |
|
| Bunker price | +/- 100 USD/t |
-/+ USD <0.3 bn | |||
| EBIT | Clearly increasing | EUR / USD | +/- 0.1 EUR/USD |
-/+ USD <0.1 bn |
Closing remarks
Current spot rates reflect recent freight rate increases by various carriers
Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)
Comments
- Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) only reflects Shanghai outbound rate development
- Freight rates especially on Asia / Europe trade remain volatile
- Freight rates on Transpacific trade tend to be less volatile while freight rates on Latin America show a downward trend
- Hapag-Lloyd freight rates with more stable development
* Hapag-Lloyd trade definition
Our Way Forward – Further improvements expected from our existing initiatives
Well-balanced exposure to global trade with strong position in attractive markets and niche businesses
Imbalances: Hapag-Lloyd outperforms the market
1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded
Source: IHS Global Insight April 2016; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition
31
Bunker price [Rotterdam; USD/mt]
Bunker consumption [mt/slot; mt/TEU; k mt]
Bunker mix [MFO; MDO]
Bunker expenses6) [USD/TEU; USD m]
1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) HLAG excluding CCS 3) Including technical effect due to initial addition of CSAV fleet at the beginning of 2015 4) HLAG + CCS as of 2nd December 2014 5) Due to CCS integration slight categorization differences may occur 6) Expenses for raw materials and supplies
32 Source: Bloomberg (12 May 2016) Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported
Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue
Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3)
| Income statement [USD m] | Transport expenses [USD m] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | % change | ||||
| Revenue | 2,124.0 | 2,593.1 | -18% | Expenses for raw materials | ||
| Other operating income |
24.8 | 112.1 | -78% | and supplies Cost of purchased services |
1,601.3 | 1,759.5 |
| Transport expenses | -1,756.0 | -2,071.8 | -15% | Thereof Port, canal and terminal costs |
757.9 | 767.6 |
| Personnel expenses | -156.3 | -134.3 | 16% | Chartering, leases and | ||
| Depreciation, amorti zation and impairment |
-130.8 | -123.1 | 6% | container rentals Container transport costs |
507.5 | 648.1 |
| Other operating expenses |
-106.8 | -184.5 | -42% | Maintenance/repair/other Transport expenses |
64.1 1,756.0 |
50.1 2,071.8 |
| Operating result | -1.1 | 191.5 | n.m | Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU] | ||
| Share of profit of equi ty-acc. investees |
6.4 | 9.2 | -31% | Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
||
| Other financial result | 0.0 | -4.4 | n.m. | Cost of purchased services | 884.2 | 992.0 |
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) |
5.3 | 196.3 | -97% | Thereof Port, canal and terminal costs Chartering, leases and |
418.5 | 432.7 |
| Interest result | -47.5 | -43.1 | 10% | container rentals | ||
| Income taxes | -5.0 | -8.8 | -43% | Container transport costs Maintenance/repair/other |
280.2 35.4 |
365.3 28.2 |
| Group profit/loss | -47.2 | 144.4 | n.m. | Transport expenses | 969.6 | 1,168.1 |
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
154.7 | 312.3 | -50% |
| Cost of purchased services | 1,601.3 | 1,759.5 | -9% |
| Thereof | |||
| Port, canal and terminal costs | 757.9 | 767.6 | -1% |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals |
271.8 | 293.7 | -7% |
| Container transport costs | 507.5 | 648.1 | -22% |
| Maintenance/repair/other | 64.1 | 50.1 | 28% |
| Transport expenses | 1,756.0 | 2,071.8 | -15% |
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
| Transport expenses | 969.6 | 1,168.1 | -17% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintenance/repair/other | 35.4 | 28.2 | 25% |
| Container transport costs | 280.2 | 365.3 | -23% |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals |
150.1 | 165.6 | -9% |
| Port, canal and terminal costs | 418.5 | 432.7 | -3% |
| Thereof | |||
| Cost of purchased services | 884.2 | 992.0 | -11% |
| Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
85.4 | 176.1 | -51% |
| 31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 31.03.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Non-current assets | 10,371.2 | 10,363.7 | 10,262.2 |
| Of which fixed assets | 10,299.4 | 10,301.7 | 10,170.3 |
| Current assets | 1,605.2 | 1,704.8 | 2,014.3 |
| Of which cash and cash equivalents |
518.8 | 625.0 | 832.4 |
| Total assets | 11,976.4 | 12,068.5 | 12,276.5 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Equity | 5,423.9 | 5,496.8 | 5,136.0 |
| Borrowed capital | 6,552.5 | 6,571.7 | 7,140.5 |
| Of which non-current liabilities | 3,903.8 | 3,958.4 | 4,424.4 |
| Of which current liabilities | 2,648.7 | 2,613.3 | 2,716.1 |
| Of which financial debt | 4,207.0 | 4,256.3 | 4,430.1 |
| thereof | |||
| Non-current financial debt | 3,497.7 | 3,591.7 | 3,900.4 |
| Current financial debt | 709.3 | 664.6 | 529.7 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 11,976.4 | 12,068.5 | 12,276.5 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 31.03.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 518.8. | 625.0. | 832.4. |
| Financial debt | 4,207.0 | 4,256.3 | 4,430.1 |
| Net debt | 3,688.2 | 3,631.3 | 3,597.7 |
| Unused credit lines | 385.0 | 423.4 | 265.1 |
| Liquidity reserve | 903.8 | 1,048.4 | 1,097.5 |
| Equity | 5,423.9 | 5,496.8 | 5,136.0 |
| Gearing (net debt/equity) (%) | 68.0% | 66.1% | 70.0% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 45.3% | 45.5% | 41.8% |
36
Senior Director Investor Relations
Tel +49 40 3001-2896
Fax +49 40 3001-72896
http://ir.hapag-lloyd.com/websites/hapaglloyd/English/0/ir-home.html