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Frontline Plc Investor Presentation 2016

Aug 31, 2016

6242_iss_2016-08-31_1af8db1a-8f62-44d9-a0ce-5d21db394b11.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q2 2016 Results

1

World leader in the international seaborne transportation of crude oil

August 31, 2016

Forward Looking Statements

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.

FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.

THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.

IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCINGAND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

Company Highlights

Q2 2016 Highlights Subsequent Events

Solid Performance

  • Achieved net income attributable to the Company of \$48.7 million, or \$0.31 per share, adjusted for non-cash charges
  • Cash dividend of \$0.20 per share for the second quarter

Fleet Development

  • Acquired two VLCC newbuildings at \$84 million each
  • Sold six MR tankers at an enbloc price of \$172.5 million
  • The company took delivery of two LR2 newbuildings
  • Terminated long term charter for Front Vanguard blt '98

Newbuilding Program

• Unclear whether STX will deliver the four VLCC newbuildings Frontline has on order

Attractive Financing Secured

  • Secured up to \$548 million in bank debt financing
  • In the final stages of obtaining further bank debt financing of up to \$325 million

Financial Review

Q2 2016 Financial Highlights

2016
(Million \$ except per share) Apr - Jun Jan - Mar YTD
Total operating revenues net of voy.exp 160 192 352
EBITDA* 72 141 213
EBITDA excl gain/loss and impairment charges 98 141 239
Net income 14 79 93
Net income adj** 49 89 138
Impairment loss on assets 25 0 '
25
Impairment loss on marketable securities 5 2 7
Mark-to-Market derivatives/minority 4 8 12
Earnings per share 0,09 0,50 0,60
Earnings per share (adjusted) 0,31 0,57 0,88
Interest bearing debt 962 916
Cash 135 272
Cash dividend declared 0,20 0,40 0,60

*Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization

** Excl impairment charges, mark-to-market and minority interest

(1) Based on 156,386,506 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2016

Financial Review

Income statement

(in thousands of \$) 2016
Apr - Jun
2016
Jan - Mar
Total operating revenues
Gain on cancellation and sale of newbuilding contracts
191 756
-
227 103
-
Voyage expenses and commission 31 989 35 525
Contingent rental (income) expense 732 (3 386)
Ship operating expenses 32 487 29 458
Charter hire expenses 20 500 14 052
Impairment loss on vessels 25 480 -
Administrative expenses 8 114 10 773
Depreciation 35 414 37 907
Total operating expenses 154 716 124 329
Net operating income '
37 040
102 774
Interest income 96 87
Interest expense (13 829) (13 944)
Share in results of associated companies - -
Impairment loss on shares (4 563) (2 351)
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) (155) 338
Mark to market (loss) gain on derivatives (4 210) (8 050)
Other non-operating items 137 174
Net income before income taxes and non-controlling interest 14,526 79 028
Income tax expense (54) (50)
Net income 14 472 78 978
Net (income) loss attributable to non-controlling interest (150) (72)
Net income attributable to the Company 14 322 78 906

Financial Review

Low cash breakeven levels

Estimated average daily cash breakeven rates(1)

  • Cash breakeven levels down 3 % since Q1-16
  • All figures include all costs
  • Not adjusted for TC Cover contribution

(1) Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2016 includes bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock, and G&A expenses.

Balance sheet

(in \$ million) 2016
Jun 30
2016
Mar 31
2015
Dec 31
Cash 130 272 265
Restricted cash 5,5 0,7 0,4
Other Current assets 166 174 203
Long term assets:
Newbuildings 326 243 266
Vessels 2 095 2 066 1 924
Goodwill 225 225 225
Other long term assets ' 0,4
Total assets 2 948 2 980 2 883
Current liabilities 233 227 242
Long term debt 896 852 746
Obligations under capital lease 394 431 447
Other long term liabilities 3 3 3
Noncontrolling interest 0,1 0,1 0,1
Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity 1 421 1 467 1 446
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 2 948 2 980 2 883

Second Quarter 2016

Q2 Performance and Q3 Guidance

(1) Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2016 includes bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock, and G&A expenses.

Market Review & Outlook

Time Charter Coverage Secures Cash Flow

Time charters secured during the recent strong market

• For the balance of 2016 the cover is 28%

• In 2017 the cover is 13%

Breakeven levels are lowered by time charter cover

Forward Contribution from TC cover *

* Net free cash flow after current cash break even

Time Charter Coverage

Market Review & Outlook

Crude Tanker Orderbook

Fleet growth is significant

  • The crude tanker order book remains substantial on VLCC and Suezmax
  • Cancellation and slippage can be expected
  • At the same time the fleet is aging
  • New orders have slowed down significantly
  • A lot of secondhand tonnage for sale
  • The current market could lead to scrapping
  • It is expected that older tonnage will become increasingly difficult to trade

Source: Fearnleys Jul-16

Current Market

Q3 is often the slow season, especially so in 2016

  • Significant drop in ton mile over the summer, primarily due to supply disruption in the Atlantic Basin
  • Refinery maintenance is high
  • Easing congestion in ports worldwide, especially in Iraq and China, where it has more than halved versus Q1 '16
  • 25 VLCC's delivered 1H 2016
  • Virtually no scrapping of older tonnage

History is in favor of a market improvement as we move towards Q4, but higher vessel utilization is required.

Frontline

  • Significant commercial scale and financial flexibility
  • Low breakeven levels lowered by time charter coverage
  • Disciplined, yet opportunistic approach to dynamic market

Long history of returning value to shareholders