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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2016
Aug 31, 2016
6242_iss_2016-08-31_1af8db1a-8f62-44d9-a0ce-5d21db394b11.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 2016 Results
1
World leader in the international seaborne transportation of crude oil
August 31, 2016
Forward Looking Statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCINGAND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
Company Highlights
Q2 2016 Highlights Subsequent Events
Solid Performance
- Achieved net income attributable to the Company of \$48.7 million, or \$0.31 per share, adjusted for non-cash charges
- Cash dividend of \$0.20 per share for the second quarter
Fleet Development
- Acquired two VLCC newbuildings at \$84 million each
- Sold six MR tankers at an enbloc price of \$172.5 million
- The company took delivery of two LR2 newbuildings
- Terminated long term charter for Front Vanguard blt '98
Newbuilding Program
• Unclear whether STX will deliver the four VLCC newbuildings Frontline has on order
Attractive Financing Secured
- Secured up to \$548 million in bank debt financing
- In the final stages of obtaining further bank debt financing of up to \$325 million
Financial Review
Q2 2016 Financial Highlights
| 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Million \$ except per share) | Apr - Jun | Jan - Mar | YTD | |
| Total operating revenues net of voy.exp | 160 | 192 | 352 | |
| EBITDA* | 72 | 141 | 213 | |
| EBITDA excl gain/loss and impairment charges | 98 | 141 | 239 | |
| Net income | 14 | 79 | 93 | |
| Net income adj** | 49 | 89 | 138 | |
| Impairment loss on assets | 25 | 0 | ' 25 |
|
| Impairment loss on marketable securities | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Mark-to-Market derivatives/minority | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Earnings per share | 0,09 | 0,50 | 0,60 | |
| Earnings per share (adjusted) | 0,31 | 0,57 | 0,88 | |
| Interest bearing debt | 962 | 916 | ||
| Cash | 135 | 272 | ||
| Cash dividend declared | 0,20 | 0,40 | 0,60 |
*Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization
** Excl impairment charges, mark-to-market and minority interest
(1) Based on 156,386,506 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2016
Financial Review
Income statement
| (in thousands of \$) | 2016 Apr - Jun |
2016 Jan - Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues Gain on cancellation and sale of newbuilding contracts |
191 756 - |
227 103 - |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 31 989 | 35 525 |
| Contingent rental (income) expense | 732 | (3 386) |
| Ship operating expenses | 32 487 | 29 458 |
| Charter hire expenses | 20 500 | 14 052 |
| Impairment loss on vessels | 25 480 | - |
| Administrative expenses | 8 114 | 10 773 |
| Depreciation | 35 414 | 37 907 |
| Total operating expenses | 154 716 | 124 329 |
| Net operating income | ' 37 040 |
102 774 |
| Interest income | 96 | 87 |
| Interest expense | (13 829) | (13 944) |
| Share in results of associated companies | - | - |
| Impairment loss on shares | (4 563) | (2 351) |
| Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | (155) | 338 |
| Mark to market (loss) gain on derivatives | (4 210) | (8 050) |
| Other non-operating items | 137 | 174 |
| Net income before income taxes and non-controlling interest | 14,526 | 79 028 |
| Income tax expense | (54) | (50) |
| Net income | 14 472 | 78 978 |
| Net (income) loss attributable to non-controlling interest | (150) | (72) |
| Net income attributable to the Company | 14 322 | 78 906 |
Financial Review
Low cash breakeven levels
Estimated average daily cash breakeven rates(1)
- Cash breakeven levels down 3 % since Q1-16
- All figures include all costs
- Not adjusted for TC Cover contribution
(1) Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2016 includes bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock, and G&A expenses.
Balance sheet
| (in \$ million) | 2016 Jun 30 |
2016 Mar 31 |
2015 Dec 31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 130 | 272 | 265 |
| Restricted cash | 5,5 | 0,7 | 0,4 |
| Other Current assets | 166 | 174 | 203 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Newbuildings | 326 | 243 | 266 |
| Vessels | 2 095 | 2 066 | 1 924 |
| Goodwill | 225 | 225 | 225 |
| Other long term assets | ' | 0,4 | |
| Total assets | 2 948 | 2 980 | 2 883 |
| Current liabilities | 233 | 227 | 242 |
| Long term debt | 896 | 852 | 746 |
| Obligations under capital lease | 394 | 431 | 447 |
| Other long term liabilities | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 0,1 | 0,1 | 0,1 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 421 | 1 467 | 1 446 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 2 948 | 2 980 | 2 883 |
Second Quarter 2016
Q2 Performance and Q3 Guidance
(1) Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2016 includes bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock, and G&A expenses.
Market Review & Outlook
Time Charter Coverage Secures Cash Flow
Time charters secured during the recent strong market
• For the balance of 2016 the cover is 28%
• In 2017 the cover is 13%
Breakeven levels are lowered by time charter cover
Forward Contribution from TC cover *
* Net free cash flow after current cash break even
Time Charter Coverage
Market Review & Outlook
Crude Tanker Orderbook
Fleet growth is significant
- The crude tanker order book remains substantial on VLCC and Suezmax
- Cancellation and slippage can be expected
- At the same time the fleet is aging
- New orders have slowed down significantly
- A lot of secondhand tonnage for sale
- The current market could lead to scrapping
- It is expected that older tonnage will become increasingly difficult to trade
Source: Fearnleys Jul-16
Current Market
Q3 is often the slow season, especially so in 2016
- Significant drop in ton mile over the summer, primarily due to supply disruption in the Atlantic Basin
- Refinery maintenance is high
- Easing congestion in ports worldwide, especially in Iraq and China, where it has more than halved versus Q1 '16
- 25 VLCC's delivered 1H 2016
- Virtually no scrapping of older tonnage
History is in favor of a market improvement as we move towards Q4, but higher vessel utilization is required.
Frontline
- Significant commercial scale and financial flexibility
- Low breakeven levels lowered by time charter coverage
- Disciplined, yet opportunistic approach to dynamic market