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Frontline Plc — Interim / Quarterly Report 2017
Nov 22, 2017
6242_rns_2017-11-22_349f0130-e0a3-49a3-8f52-926f9b539ec8.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Q3 2017 Results
Forward Looking Statements Third Quarter 2017
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
Company Highlights Third Quarter 2017
Q3 2017 Highlights
- Reports a net loss attributable to the Company adjusted for certain non-cash items of \$23.1 million, or \$0.14 per share, for the third quarter of 2017.
- ' • Reports a net loss attributable to the Company of \$24.1 million, or \$0.14 per share, for the third quarter of 2017, primarily due to lower average spot daily time charter equivalent ("TCE") earnings achieved by our fleet and a \$5.8 million loss on the termination of the charter of Front Ardenne.
- Terminated the long-term charter for the 1997-built Suezmax tanker Front Ardenne.
1
• Took delivery of five newbuildings, including two VLCCs, one Suezmax and two LR2/Aframax tankers
Q3 2017 Financial Highlights
| (Million \$ except per share) | 2017 Q3 | 2017 Q2 | 2017 Q1 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues (net of voyage expenses) (*) | 76 | 90 | 122 | 288 |
| Net Income (loss) | -24 | -19 | 27 | -16 |
| Net income (loss) adj (*) | -23 | -14 | 28 | -9 |
| EBITDA adj (*) | 31 | 37 | 78 | 146 |
| Earnings (loss) per share | -0,14 | -0,11 | 0,16 | -0,10 |
| Earnings (loss) per share adjusted | -0,14 | -0,08 | 0,16 | -0,06 |
| Cash | 120 | 129 | 128 | |
| Interest bearing debt | 1 594 | 1 365 | ' 1 153 |
(*) See Appendix 1 for reconciliation to nearest comparable GAAP figure
Earnings per share is based on 169,809,324 weighted average shares outstanding
Income Statement
| 2017 | 2017 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Jul - Sep | Apr - Jun | Jan-Dec |
| Total operating revenues | 140 471 | 150 148 | 754 306 |
| Other operating gain (loss) | (5 949) | (12 239) | (2 683) |
| Voyage expenses and commission Contingent rental (income) expense |
64 611 (6 735) |
60 155 (8 688) |
161 641 (18 621) |
| Ship operating expenses | 34 158 | 37 552 | 119 515 |
| Charter hire expenses | 3 104 | 4 839 | 67 846 |
| Impairment loss on vessels and vessels under capital lease | - | - | 61 692 |
| Provision for uncollectible receivable | - | - | 4 000 |
| Administrative expenses | 9 552 | 10 599 | 37 026 |
| Depreciation Total operating expenses |
35 221 139 911 |
34 859 139 316 |
141 043 574 142 |
| Net operating income (loss) | (5 389) | ' (1 406) |
177 481 |
| Interest income | 70 | 142 | 367 |
| Interest expense | (18 745) | (15 975) | (56 687) |
| Impairment loss on shares | - | - | (7 233) |
| Gain (loss) on sale of shares | (62) | 475 | - |
| Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | (47) | 193 | 9 |
| Gain (loss) on derivatives | 201 | (3 107) | 3 718 |
| Other non-operating items | 86 | 511 | 204 |
| Net income (loss) before income taxes and non-controlling interest | (23 886) | (19 168) | 117 858 |
| Income tax expense | (16) | (63) | (345) |
| Net income (loss) | (23 902) | (19 231) | 117 514 |
| Net income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interest | (169) | (148) | (504) |
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | (24 071) | (19 379) | 117 010 |
| Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to the Company (\$) | (0,14) | (0,11) | 0,75 |
Balance Sheet
| (in million \$) | 2017 Sep 30 |
2017 Jun 30 |
2016 Dec 31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 119 | 128 | 202 |
| Restricted cash | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Other current assets | 195 | 199 | 181 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Newbuildings | 73 | 162 | 308 |
| Vessels | 2 772 | 2 477 | 2 014 |
| Goodwill | ' 225 |
225 | 225 |
| Other long-term assets | 26 | 28 | 35 |
| Total assets | 3 411 | 3 221 | 2 966 |
| Current liabilities | 214 | 197 | 183 |
| Long term debt | 1 492 | 1 275 | 915 |
| Obligations under capital lease | 267 | 286 | 366 |
| Other long-term liabilities | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 437 | 1 459 | 1 500 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 3 411 | 3 221 | 2 966 |
Cash Breakeven Rates and Opex
Cash BE estimate remainder of 2017 Opex Q3 2017
• Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2017 include bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock and G&A expenses.
Third Quarter 2017
Q3 Performance and Q4 Guidance
Market Review & Outlook
Current Market
Deliveries continue to weigh
- High pace of deliveries continues; vessels returning from dry dock adds to the pressure
- Typical seasonal upturn has been subdued due to excess supply of vessels
Crude oil demand remains strong
- All major reporting agencies expect strong demand growth continuing in 2018
- Global oil inventories are in decline, oil market balancing
Crude oil supply resilient
• Increasing long haul trade from Atlantic basin to Asia is positive for tonne miles
Market Review & Outlook
Crude Tanker Orderbook
Pace of 2017 newbuilding deliveries slowing
- 44 VLCCs and 48 Suezmaxes delivered year to date
- Delivery pace expected to slow towards the end of the year before picking up again in Q1 2018
Older vessels leaving the fleet
- 9 Suezmaxes and 10 VLCCs reported scrapped to date as demolition prices are up 50% YoY.
- We expect scrapping to increase going forward as the spot markets remains especially challenging for older tonnage
Source: Fearnleys Nov-17
Market Review & Outlook
Scrapping Finally a Real Alternative
Continue Trading vs. Scrapping
- When the vessel reaches 17.5 or 20 years, its typically dry-docked or sold for scrap
- Dry-dock cost is about 2-3 million USD, scrapping presently gives you 17 million USD
- A 15 year old vessel is valued at about 21,5 million USD
- Demand for tankers for scrapping firming as scrapping activity of other vessel classes slows
Summary Third Quarter 2017
- Frontline continues to renew fleet
- Proactive steps to increase earnings potential
- Near term pressure on rates due to fleet growth, scrapping expected to pick up
- Positive long term view, as oil demand growth continues at a strong pace and fleet balances
Frontline is fully focused on returning value to shareholders, and expect to generate substantial returns to our shareholders in a strong tanker market, like we have a long history of doing.
Third Quarter 2017
Third Quarter 2017
Appendix 1
| Reconciliation (Million \$ except per share) |
Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 YTD | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | ||||
| Total operating revenues | 140 | 150 | 177 | 468 |
| Voyage expenses | -65 | -60 | -55 | -180 |
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | 76 | 90 | 122 | 288 |
| Net income adj. | ||||
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | -24 | -19 | 27 | -16 |
| Add back: | ||||
| Loss on termination of vessel lease, net of cash paid | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Vessel impairment loss | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 |
| Loss on derivatives | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Less: | ||||
| Gain on termination of lease | 0 | 0 | -21 | -21 |
| Gain on derivatives | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net income (loss) adj. | -23 | -14 | 28 | -9 |
| (in thousands) | ||||
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares | 169 809 169 809 169 809 169 809 | |||
| (in \$) | ||||
| Basic earnings (loss) per share adjusted for certain non-cash charges | -0,14 | -0,08 | 0,16 | -0,06 |
| EBITDA adj. | ||||
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | -24 | -19 | 27 | -16 |
| Add back: | ||||
| Interest expense | 19 | 16 | 15 | 50 |
| Depreciation | 35 | 35 | 35 | 105 |
| Income tax expense | 0,2 | -0,1 | 0,0 | 0,1 |
| Net (income) loss attributable to the non-controlling interest | 0,2 | -0,1 | -0,1 | 0,0 |
| Loss on termination of vessel lease, net of cash paid | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Vessel impairment loss | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 |
| Loss on derivatives | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Less: | ||||
| Gain on termination of lease | 0 | 0 | -21 | -21 |
| Gain on derivatives | -0,2 | 0,0 | 0,0 | -0,2 |
| EBITDA adj. | 31 | 37 | 78 | 146 |
This presentation describes: total operating revenues net of voyage expenses, net income attributable to the Company adjusted for certain non-cash items ("Net income adj.") and related per share amounts and Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortisation adjusted for the same non-cash items ("EBITDA adj."), which are not measures prepared in accordance with US GAAP ("non-GAAP").
We believe the non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release provides investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the Company's management evaluates the Company's operating performance.
' These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, nor superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Due to rounding, numbers presented in this document may not add up precisely to the totals provided.