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Frontline Plc — Earnings Release 2013
Feb 27, 2014
6242_iss_2014-02-27_540a6f7b-832a-4a8f-b53b-9e300c63b283.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q4 2013 Results
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.
Agenda
- Fourth Quarter 2013 Highlights and Transactions
- Financial Review
- Newbuildings
- Market Update
- Outlook
- Q & A
Fourth Quarter 2013
Highlights and Transactions
- Termination of long term charter party with SFL for two VLCCs in October 2013:
- Golden Victory ('99)
- Front Champion ('98)
- \$25 million of the Convertible Bond exchanged with shares and cash payment in October 2013.
- Issued 1,193,300 new ordinary shares in the fourth quarter under the ATM program.
- Issued 8,829,063 new ordinary shares in January 2014 under the ATM program.
- Increased the ATM limit from \$40 million to \$100 million during January 2014.
Financial Highlights
Q4 - 2013 results
- Net loss : \$13.0m
- Net loss per share \$0.15
Preliminary full year 2013 results
- Net loss : \$188.5m, equivalent to loss per share of \$2.36
- Net loss (ex impairment loss): \$84.8m, equivalent to loss per share of \$1.06
No dividend declared in Q4-2013
Share price NYSE February 26, 2014: \$4.34
– Market cap: \$413.8m
Income Statement
| 2012 | 2013 | CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct-Dec | Oct-Dec | (in thousands of \$) | Jan-Dec | Jan-Dec |
| 152,781 | 143,571 | Total operating revenues | 517,190 | 578,361 |
| 14,887 | 13,826 | Gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains | 23,558 | 34,759 |
| 83,026 | 80,170 | Voyage expenses and commission | 299,741 | 269,845 |
| 27,232 | 23,221 | Ship operating expenses | 109,872 | 118,381 |
| 3,580 | 1,709 | Contingent rental (income) expense | (7,761) | 22,456 |
| 6,362 | - | Charter hire expenses | 4,176 | 37,465 |
| 9,224 | 8,460 | Administrative expenses | 31,628 | 33,906 |
| 4,726 | - | Impairment loss on vessels | 103,724 | 4,726 |
| 26,945 | 23,421 | Depreciation | 99,802 | 107,437 |
| 161,095 | 136,981 | Total operating expenses | 641,182 | 594,216 |
| 6,573 | 20,416 | Net operating (loss) income | (100,434) | 18,904 |
| 40 | 2 | Interest income | 83 | 130 |
| (23,026) | (22,417) | Interest expense | (90,718) | (94,089) |
| (171) | 493 | Share of results from associated companies | 13,539 | (4) |
| (16) | 32 | Foreign currency exchange (loss) gain | (92) | 84 |
| (536) | - | Mark to market (loss) gain on derivatives | (585) | (1,725) |
| - | (12,654) | Debt conversion expense | (12,654) | - |
| - | - | Gain on redemption of debt | - | 4,600 |
| 338 | 328 | Other non-operating items | 1,267 | 1,244 |
| (16,798) | (13,800) | Net loss before tax and noncontrolling interest | (189,594) | (70,856) |
| (122) | (9) | Taxes | (284) | (379) |
| (16,920) | (13,809) | Net loss from continuing operations | (189,878) | (71,235) |
| (3) | (188) | Net loss from discontinued operations | (1,204) | (12,540) |
| (16,923) | (13,997) | Net loss | (191,082) | (83,775) |
| 357 | 966 | Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | 2,573 | 1,021 |
| (16,566) | (13,031) | Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd. | (188,509) | (82,754) |
| \$(0.21) | \$(0.15) | Basic loss per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. | \$(2.36) | \$(1.06) |
Income on time charter basis
| 2013 | 2012 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$/day | FY | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | FY | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 |
| VLCC Spot DH | 15 400 | 21 600 | 13 900 | 11 200 | 14 600 | 22 400 | 18 500 | 13 300 | 31 500 | 25 400 |
| VLCC w hole fleet |
17 400 | 22 400 | 16 100 | 14 100 | 17 000 | 22 200 | 19 300 | 12 300 | 31 000 | 25 600 |
| Suezmax Spot DH | 13 400 | 12 900 | 12 400 | 13 800 | 14 500 | 15 200 | 14 000 | 10 500 | 16 200 | 19 500 |
| OBO | 13 300 | - | - | - | 13 300 | 33 600 | 35 100 | 33 700 | 28 100 | 37 800 |
Financial Review
Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
No scheduled drydockings in Q1 2014
8
Financial Review
Balance Sheet
| Balance sheet | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | 2013 | 2013 | 2012 |
| Dec 31 | Sept 30 | Dec 31 | |
| Cash | 54 | 79 | 138 |
| Restricted cash | 68 | 59 | 88 |
| Other Current assets | 138 | 139 | 167 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Vessels | 970 | 993 | 1 176 |
| Newbuildings | 30 | 29 | 27 |
| Other long term assets | 108 | 110 | 93 |
| Total assets | 1 368 | 1 409 | 1 688 |
| Current liabilities | 131 | 135 | 187 |
| Long term liabilities | 1 255 | 1 319 | 1 370 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | -27 | -55 | 120 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 1 368 | 1 409 | 1 688 |
Cash Cost Breakeven
| Estimated Cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2014 (\$/day) |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLCC Suezmax |
23,100 18,100 |
Comments to B/E rates:
- Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest and admin. expenses
- B/E rates exclude capex. and ITCL vessels
Newbuilding Overview Newbuilding
- Total newbuilding program as of December 31, 2013:
- Two Suezmax tankers
- Remaining installments to be paid approx. \$87.9m
Corporate Overview
Frontline Fleet
Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings
As per 27 February 2014 DH: Double Hull
Earnings & Market Factors
Q4 2013 2012 Ave 2009 - 2013
Q4 – Average Market earnings / Marex
- VLCC (TD3) : \$ 34,000/day (Q3-13: \$5,500/day)
- Suezmax (TD5) : \$24,000/day (Q3-13: 11,500/day)
The Market:
- According to IEA global oil demand increased by 0.2 mb/d in Q4 compared to Q3.
- Total VLCC and Suezmax fleet remained almost unchanged during the quarter
- Seven VLCC newbuildings and one Suezmax tanker were delivered during the quarter
- Seven VLCCs and two Suezmax tankers were removed during the quarter
- Better balance between supply and demand resulted in higher spot rates during the second half of the quarter
- Both Europe, Caribbean, West Africa and Arabian gulf stayed active until the end of the quarter and into Q1
13
VLCC Fleet
Fleet
| Current Fleet | 623 | Orderbook | 82 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DH Fleet | 622 | Delivered 2013 | 32 |
| SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet | 1 | Estimated deliveries 2014 | 30 |
Current fleet & Orderbook
Suezmax Fleet
| Fleet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Fleet | 446 | Orderbook | 40 | |||
| DH Fleet | 443 | Delivered 2013 | 29 | |||
| SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet | 3 | Estimated deliveries 2014 | 17 |
Delivery Schedule
Source: Fearnleys January 2013
Values and Rates
NEWBUILDING
16
Outlook
General
- Higher volatility signaling a more balanced supply/demand scenario than recent years
- Increased VLCC Newbuiliding activity from bullish owners
- Limited increase in Suezmax newbuildings
- Higher newbuilding and secondhand prices
- Marked dips just as deep as present years meaning the spikes are still fragile
Frontline
- Fleet at core levels.
- Five planned dockings in 2014
- Potential upside in spot positions
- Improved tanker market and improved financial position creates opportunities going forward