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ERG Investor Presentation 2015

May 13, 2015

4235_10-q_2015-05-13_7696d18f-bdb0-4296-9937-73411d259809.pdf

Investor Presentation

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FIRST QUARTER 2015 RESULTS

13 MAY 2015

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

1Q 2015 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • Results Review
  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 1Q 2015 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • ✓ Investments
  • Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

Q1 figures driven by Renewables

CFO

PAOLO MERLI

Results Review

(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC

1Q 2015 GROUP EBITDA

Growth in Renewables offset a tough regulatory framework in Power

RC Ebitda (€ mn)

RENEWABLES RESULTS

Production recovery both in Italy and abroad

(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania

RC Ebitda (€ mn)

POWER RESULTS

Volumes (GWh)

New regulatory framework penalized ERG Power results

Results Review

ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS

(1) Renewables adjusted for LUKERG Renew (50%).

1Q 2015

1Q 2014 Pro-forma

(1)

TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)

(1) Figures refer to 100% of TOTALERG

4Q 2014 Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
35 Adjusted RC EBITDA 22 4
39 - Marketing 21 11
(4) - Refining & Logistics 1 (7)
(22) Adjusted Depreciation (20) (21)
12 Adjusted RC EBIT 2 (17)
7 Adjusted Net Profit (6) (17)
23 Investments 11 11
252 NFP 456 479
10.6% TOTALERG retail market share 10.7% 11.0%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2014 2014 2014 2014 2015

Industry Retail Fuels Volumes (M tons)

Results Review

KEY FINANCIALS

PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

Key Financials

Pro-forma
4Q 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
Pro-forma
80 RC Adjusted EBITDA 111 107
(47) Amortization and depreciation (41) (39)
33 RC Adjusted EBIT 71 68
(19) Net financial income (expenses) (15) (11)
3 Net income (loss) from equity investments (3) (8)
17 RC Results before taxes 52 49
(11) Income taxes (15) (17)
6 RC Results for the period 37 32
0 Minority interests (2) (2)
6 RC Net profit 34 30

Adj. Net Debt 31/03/2015

NFP 50% LUKERG Renew

Net Debt 31/03/2015 reported

Taxes and Other

(1) Net of divestments

(2) Equity consideration for two wind projects in Poland currently under construction

Key Financials

2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS

CEO

LUCA BETTONTE

2015 GUIDANCE(1) AND CONCLUSIONS

✓Further growth in Renewables ✓Lower contribution from CCGT following the new regulation since 1 January 2015

✓CAPEX focus on wind development in Poland

2015 guidance revised to take into account TotalErg deconsolidation

✓Increase reflecting one-off tax item (ISAB Energy), CAPEX for development and dividends

(1) Previous guidance for 2015 (including TotalErg,) was: EBITDA of €400mn, CAPEX of €150mn and NFP of €650mn.

APPENDIX

3Q 2014 (€ mn)

132

4Q 2014 (€ mn)

2014 NET PROFIT PRO-FORMA

1Q 2015 RESULTS

4Q 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
Pro-forma
233 Adjusted Revenues 275 280
80 RC EBITDA Adjusted 111 107
66 - Renewables 95 86
19 - Power 22 29
= (6) - Corporate (6) (7)
4Q 2014 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
1,341 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,341 1,340
of which:
1,087 - Italy 1,087 1,086
86 - Germany 86 86
64 - France 64 64
27 - Bulgaria (1) 27 27
77 - Romania (1) 77 76
632 Electricity Production (GWh) 860 805
of which:
481 - Italy 680 636
41 - Germany 49 48
32 - France 44 47
22 - Bulgaria (1) 26 18
55 - Romania (1) 62 56

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

(1) ERG 's stake = 50%

4Q 2014 Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
RC EBITDA:
56 Italy 84 74
4 Germany 3 4
2 France 3 3
4 LUKERG (1) 5 4
of which:
2 - Bulgaria (1) 2 1
3 - Romania (1) 3 3
66 Total RC EBITDA 95 86
(39) Depreciation (33) (32)
27 RC EBIT 62 54

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES

4Q 2014 Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
707 Electricity Production (GWh) 614 600
19 RC EBITDA 22 29
(6) Depreciation (7) (7)
14 RC EBIT 15 21
4Q 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 1Q 2015 1Q 2014
Pro-forma
9 (1)
Renewables
11 8
4 Power 2 3
1 Corporate 0 0
13 Adjusted Total 13 12

INVESTMENTS

(1) It includes ERG quota of investments made by LUKERG Renew