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ERG — Investor Presentation 2015
May 13, 2015
4235_10-q_2015-05-13_7696d18f-bdb0-4296-9937-73411d259809.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FIRST QUARTER 2015 RESULTS
13 MAY 2015
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
1Q 2015 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 1Q 2015 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- ✓ Investments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Q1 figures driven by Renewables
CFO
PAOLO MERLI
Results Review
(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC
1Q 2015 GROUP EBITDA
Growth in Renewables offset a tough regulatory framework in Power
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
RENEWABLES RESULTS
Production recovery both in Italy and abroad
(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
POWER RESULTS
Volumes (GWh)
New regulatory framework penalized ERG Power results
Results Review
ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS
(1) Renewables adjusted for LUKERG Renew (50%).
1Q 2015
1Q 2014 Pro-forma
(1)
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
(1) Figures refer to 100% of TOTALERG
| 4Q 2014 | Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Adjusted RC EBITDA | 22 | 4 |
| 39 | - Marketing | 21 | 11 |
| (4) | - Refining & Logistics | 1 | (7) |
| (22) | Adjusted Depreciation | (20) | (21) |
| 12 | Adjusted RC EBIT | 2 | (17) |
| 7 | Adjusted Net Profit | (6) | (17) |
| 23 | Investments | 11 | 11 |
| 252 | NFP | 456 | 479 |
| 10.6% | TOTALERG retail market share | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014 | 2014 | 2014 | 2015 |
Industry Retail Fuels Volumes (M tons)
Results Review
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
| Pro-forma |
|---|
| 4Q 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | RC Adjusted EBITDA | 111 | 107 |
| (47) | Amortization and depreciation | (41) | (39) |
| 33 | RC Adjusted EBIT | 71 | 68 |
| (19) | Net financial income (expenses) | (15) | (11) |
| 3 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | (3) | (8) |
| 17 | RC Results before taxes | 52 | 49 |
| (11) | Income taxes | (15) | (17) |
| 6 | RC Results for the period | 37 | 32 |
| 0 | Minority interests | (2) | (2) |
| 6 | RC Net profit | 34 | 30 |
Adj. Net Debt 31/03/2015
NFP 50% LUKERG Renew
Net Debt 31/03/2015 reported
Taxes and Other
(1) Net of divestments
(2) Equity consideration for two wind projects in Poland currently under construction
Key Financials
2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
CEO
LUCA BETTONTE
2015 GUIDANCE(1) AND CONCLUSIONS
✓Further growth in Renewables ✓Lower contribution from CCGT following the new regulation since 1 January 2015
✓CAPEX focus on wind development in Poland
2015 guidance revised to take into account TotalErg deconsolidation
✓Increase reflecting one-off tax item (ISAB Energy), CAPEX for development and dividends
(1) Previous guidance for 2015 (including TotalErg,) was: EBITDA of €400mn, CAPEX of €150mn and NFP of €650mn.
APPENDIX
3Q 2014 (€ mn)
132
4Q 2014 (€ mn)
2014 NET PROFIT PRO-FORMA
1Q 2015 RESULTS
| 4Q 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233 | Adjusted Revenues | 275 | 280 | |
| 80 | RC EBITDA Adjusted | 111 | 107 | |
| 66 | - Renewables | 95 | 86 | |
| 19 | - Power | 22 | 29 | |
| = | (6) | - Corporate | (6) | (7) |
| 4Q 2014 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,341 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,341 | 1,340 |
| of which: | |||
| 1,087 | - Italy | 1,087 | 1,086 |
| 86 | - Germany | 86 | 86 |
| 64 | - France | 64 | 64 |
| 27 | - Bulgaria (1) | 27 | 27 |
| 77 | - Romania (1) | 77 | 76 |
| 632 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 860 | 805 |
| of which: | |||
| 481 | - Italy | 680 | 636 |
| 41 | - Germany | 49 | 48 |
| 32 | - France | 44 | 47 |
| 22 | - Bulgaria (1) | 26 | 18 |
| 55 | - Romania (1) | 62 | 56 |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
(1) ERG 's stake = 50%
| 4Q 2014 | Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| RC EBITDA: | |||
| 56 | Italy | 84 | 74 |
| 4 | Germany | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | LUKERG (1) | 5 | 4 |
| of which: | |||
| 2 | - Bulgaria (1) | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | - Romania (1) | 3 | 3 |
| 66 | Total RC EBITDA | 95 | 86 |
| (39) | Depreciation | (33) | (32) |
| 27 | RC EBIT | 62 | 54 |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 4Q 2014 | Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 614 | 600 |
| 19 | RC EBITDA | 22 | 29 |
| (6) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 14 | RC EBIT | 15 | 21 |
| 4Q 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | (1) Renewables |
11 | 8 |
| 4 | Power | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Corporate | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Adjusted Total | 13 | 12 |
INVESTMENTS
(1) It includes ERG quota of investments made by LUKERG Renew