AI assistant
ERG — Investor Presentation 2015
Aug 7, 2015
4235_er_2015-08-07_23e5176d-74da-4fee-8412-fc13ab0d7ece.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
SECOND QUARTER 2015 RESULTS
7 AUGUST 2015
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
- 2Q 2015 Highlights
- Acquisition of Hydro Business
- Other Developments in 2Q 2015
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 2Q 2015 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Highlights
ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS
ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - KEY FIGURES
- On August 6, 2015 ERG signed an agreeement with E.ON. Italia to acquire through its subsidiary ERG Power Generation 100% of the Hydro business of E.ON. Produzione
- Price on a debt/cash free basis of ca. €0.95bn
Key Transaction Terms
527MW Hydro capacity
- 16 Hydro generation plants, 7 dams, 3 reservoirs and 1 pumping station for a total of 38 generation units, of which 21 reservoirs
- 2014 production: 1.8TWh
- Annual average production expected of 1.4TWh (based on last 30 years average)
- Repowering completed in 2013 for more than 70% of capacity for an investment of ca. €200mn
- Ca. 40% with GCs, with average maturity in 2024
- End of concession: 2029
ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - FINANCING
- ✓ €700mn corporate acquisition loan
- ✓ Pool of 7 international banks involved
- ✓ at very competitive cost conditions (leveraging on current financial markets)
Acquisition of Hydro Business
ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - RATIONALE
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCTNOV DEC
•Complementary seasonality between Hydro and Wind generation
Balancing of ERG Generation Portfolio
Asset Positioning and
(1) It includes ERG Renew wind capacity and E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity (527MW) (2) It refers to ERG Group installed capacity at the end of December 2014 plus E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity (3) It refers to ERG Group production at the end of 2014; production for E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity is based on last 30 years average
Acquisition of Hydro Business
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS IN 2Q 2015
FURTHER CONSOLIDATION IN FRENCH WIND GENERATION
- On June 17, 2015 ERG Renew signed an agreement to acquire 6 wind farms in France for a total installed capacity of 63.4MW
- EV of €72mn
- Parks in operation since 2005-2008
- Producibility: ca. 2,300 heq
- Closing on July 27, 2015
Deal description
- Further consolidation in France, doubling the installed capacity from 64MW to 127MW
- Further step towards geographical diversification
Strategic rationale
ERG Renew - pro-forma(1) MW installed as of 30.6.15
LUKERG ASSETS SPLIT
- Increase ERG Renew presence in Eastern Europe
- ERG Renew takes full control of 3 good quality assets
- More direct control on wind farms operations in Eastern Europe
- Option to internalize O&M activities
- Possibility to pursue other growth opportunities in those countries
Key figures of the deal
Strategic rationale of the deal
| Before Asset Split |
After Asset Split |
Delta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tcherga | 20 | 40 | 20 | |
| Hrabrovo | 7 | 14 | 7 | |
| Total MW in Bulgaria | 27 | 54 | 27 | +100% |
| Topolog | 42 | -42 | ||
| Gebeleisis | 35 | 70 | 35 | |
| Total MW in Romania | 77 | 70 | -7 | -9% |
| Total MW | 104 | 124 | 20 | +19% |
Direct control on good quality assets in Eastern Europe
Other Developments in 2Q 2015
- On June 25, 2015 ERG and LUKOIL agreed to close the JV LUKERG Renew and to break up the assets
- ERG Renew will take Tcherga wind farm (40MW) and Hrabrovo (14MW) in Bulgaria, Gebeleisis (70MW) in Romania
- LUKOIL will keep Topolog (84MW) in Romania
- EV of €27mn related to the additional 20MW
- Implied EV/MW is €1.3mn per MW
- Closing expected in 4Q 2015
CFO
PAOLO MERLI
(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC
2Q 2014 Pro-forma
Renewables Power Corporate 2Q 2015
2Q 2015 GROUP EBITDA
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
RENEWABLES RESULTS
Volumes (GWh)
Results Review
(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania
Overall higher production; 2Q 2014 boosted by a positive one-off
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
POWER RESULTS
Volumes (GWh)
Results benefiting from cost cutting and Energy Management
(1)
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
(1) Figures refer to 100% of TOTALERG
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 25 | Adjusted RC EBITDA | 31 | 20 |
| 48 | 41 | - Marketing | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | (17) | - Refining & Logistics | 4 | (10) |
| (41) | (43) | Adjusted Depreciation | (21) | (22) |
| 12 | (18) | Adjusted RC EBIT | 10 | (1) |
| (3) | (17) | Adjusted Net Profit | 3 | (0) |
| 25 | 31 | Investments | 13 | 21 |
| 255 | 273 | NFP | 255 | 273 |
| 10.6% | 10.8% | TOTALERG retail market share | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014 | 2014 | 2015 | 2015 |
Industry Retail Fuels Volumes (M tons)
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 183 | RC Adjusted EBITDA | 86 | 75 |
| (81) | (80) | Amortization and depreciation | (41) | (41) |
| 116 | 102 | RC Adjusted EBIT | 46 | 34 |
| (31) | (26) | Net financial income (expenses) | (15) | (15) |
| (1) | (8) | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 2 | 0 |
| 84 | 68 | RC Results before taxes | 32 | 19 |
| (24) | (25) | Income taxes | (9) | (8) |
| 60 | 43 | RC Results for the period | 23 | 11 |
| (3) | (3) | Minority interests | (1) | (1) |
| 57 | 40 | RC Net profit | 23 | 10 |
21
Leverage
(1) It includes ca. €100mn of taxes mainly related to ISAB Energy disposal, which took place on June 30, 2014
Key Financials
2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
CEO
LUCA BETTONTE
2015 GUIDANCE(1) AND CONCLUSIONS
EBITDA:
CAPEX:
NFP:
✓Guidance updated from €120mn to €230mn to include wind acquisiton in France and LUKERG asset split
New guidance revised upwards from €530mn to €600mn reflecting: ✓acquisition of French wind assets (+€72mn) ✓LUKERG Renew asset split (+€27mn) ✓Higher operating cash generation
(1) 2015 guidance does not yet include acquisition of Hydro business
Guidance revised upwards from €330mn to €350mn including: ✓French wind assets as of 2H 2015 ✓Improvement in ERG Power figures
2015 Guidance and Conclusions
APPENDIX
Pro-forma
1H 2015 GROUP EBITDA
Growth driven by Renewables and Power
Leverage
(1) Equity consideration for two wind projects in Poland currently under construction (2) It includes ca. €100mn of taxes mainly related to ISAB Energy disposal, which took place on June 30, 2014
Appendix
1H AND 2Q 2015 RESULTS
Appendix
(1) It includes a positive one-off of about €6mn related to the abolition of unbalance costs
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 497 | 529 | Adjusted Revenues | 222 | 249 |
| 198 | 183 | RC EBITDA Adjusted | 86 | 75 |
| 157 | 149 | - Renewables | 62 | (1) 63 |
| 52 | 47 | - Power | 30 | 19 |
| (11) | (14) | - Corporate | (5) | (6) |
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,383 | 1,341 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,383 | 1,341 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,087 | 1,087 | - Italy | 1,087 | 1,087 |
| 86 | 86 | - Germany | 86 | 86 |
| 64 | 64 | - France | 64 | 64 |
| 27 | 27 | - Bulgaria (1) | 27 | 27 |
| 77 | 77 | - Romania (1) | 77 | 77 |
| 42 | n.a | - Poland (2) | 42 | n.a. |
| 1,481 | 1,408 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 620 | 602 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,181 | 1,128 | - Italy | 501 | 491 |
| 82 | 77 | - Germany | 33 | 29 |
| 71 | 72 | - France | 27 | 25 |
| 45 | 32 | - Bulgaria (1) | 18 | 14 |
| 103 | 99 | - Romania (1) | 40 | 43 |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
Appendix
(1) ERG 's stake = 50%
(2) Production in Poland started in July 2015
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC EBITDA: | ||||
| 138 | 131 | Italy | 54 | 57 |
| 6 | 7 | Germany | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | France | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | LUKERG (1) | 4 | 3 |
| of which: | ||||
| 3 | 2 | - Bulgaria (1) | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | - Romania (1) | 3 | 2 |
| 157 | 149 | Total RC EBITDA | 62 | 63 |
| (66) | (65) | Depreciation | (33) | (33) |
| 91 | 84 | RC EBIT | 29 | 30 |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 | Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,211 | 1,185 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 597 | 585 |
| 52 | 47 | RC EBITDA | 30 | 19 |
| (15) | (14) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 37 | 33 | RC EBIT | 22 | 11 |
| 1H 2015 | 1H 2014 Pro-forma |
Euro millions | 2Q 2015 | 2Q 2014 Pro-forma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 13 | Renewables | 37 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | Power | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate | 0 | 0 |
| 52 | 19 | Adjusted Total | 39 | 7 |