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ERG Investor Presentation 2015

Aug 7, 2015

4235_er_2015-08-07_23e5176d-74da-4fee-8412-fc13ab0d7ece.pdf

Investor Presentation

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SECOND QUARTER 2015 RESULTS

7 AUGUST 2015

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

  • 2Q 2015 Highlights
  • Acquisition of Hydro Business
  • Other Developments in 2Q 2015
  • Results Review
  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 2Q 2015 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

Highlights

ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS

ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - KEY FIGURES

  • On August 6, 2015 ERG signed an agreeement with E.ON. Italia to acquire through its subsidiary ERG Power Generation 100% of the Hydro business of E.ON. Produzione
  • Price on a debt/cash free basis of ca. €0.95bn

Key Transaction Terms

527MW Hydro capacity

  • 16 Hydro generation plants, 7 dams, 3 reservoirs and 1 pumping station for a total of 38 generation units, of which 21 reservoirs
  • 2014 production: 1.8TWh
  • Annual average production expected of 1.4TWh (based on last 30 years average)
  • Repowering completed in 2013 for more than 70% of capacity for an investment of ca. €200mn
  • Ca. 40% with GCs, with average maturity in 2024
  • End of concession: 2029

ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - FINANCING

  • ✓ €700mn corporate acquisition loan
  • ✓ Pool of 7 international banks involved
  • ✓ at very competitive cost conditions (leveraging on current financial markets)

Acquisition of Hydro Business

ACQUISITION OF HYDRO BUSINESS - RATIONALE

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCTNOV DEC

•Complementary seasonality between Hydro and Wind generation

Balancing of ERG Generation Portfolio

Asset Positioning and

(1) It includes ERG Renew wind capacity and E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity (527MW) (2) It refers to ERG Group installed capacity at the end of December 2014 plus E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity (3) It refers to ERG Group production at the end of 2014; production for E.ON. Produzione Hydro capacity is based on last 30 years average

Acquisition of Hydro Business

OTHER DEVELOPMENTS IN 2Q 2015

FURTHER CONSOLIDATION IN FRENCH WIND GENERATION

  • On June 17, 2015 ERG Renew signed an agreement to acquire 6 wind farms in France for a total installed capacity of 63.4MW
  • EV of €72mn
  • Parks in operation since 2005-2008
  • Producibility: ca. 2,300 heq
  • Closing on July 27, 2015

Deal description

  • Further consolidation in France, doubling the installed capacity from 64MW to 127MW
  • Further step towards geographical diversification

Strategic rationale

ERG Renew - pro-forma(1) MW installed as of 30.6.15

LUKERG ASSETS SPLIT

  • Increase ERG Renew presence in Eastern Europe
  • ERG Renew takes full control of 3 good quality assets
  • More direct control on wind farms operations in Eastern Europe
  • Option to internalize O&M activities
  • Possibility to pursue other growth opportunities in those countries

Key figures of the deal

Strategic rationale of the deal

Before
Asset Split
After
Asset Split
Delta
Tcherga 20 40 20
Hrabrovo 7 14 7
Total MW in Bulgaria 27 54 27 +100%
Topolog 42 -42
Gebeleisis 35 70 35
Total MW in Romania 77 70 -7 -9%
Total MW 104 124 20 +19%

Direct control on good quality assets in Eastern Europe

Other Developments in 2Q 2015

  • On June 25, 2015 ERG and LUKOIL agreed to close the JV LUKERG Renew and to break up the assets
  • ERG Renew will take Tcherga wind farm (40MW) and Hrabrovo (14MW) in Bulgaria, Gebeleisis (70MW) in Romania
  • LUKOIL will keep Topolog (84MW) in Romania
  • EV of €27mn related to the additional 20MW
  • Implied EV/MW is €1.3mn per MW
  • Closing expected in 4Q 2015

CFO

PAOLO MERLI

(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC

2Q 2014 Pro-forma

Renewables Power Corporate 2Q 2015

2Q 2015 GROUP EBITDA

RC Ebitda (€ mn)

RENEWABLES RESULTS

Volumes (GWh)

Results Review

(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania

Overall higher production; 2Q 2014 boosted by a positive one-off

RC Ebitda (€ mn)

POWER RESULTS

Volumes (GWh)

Results benefiting from cost cutting and Energy Management

(1)

TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)

(1) Figures refer to 100% of TOTALERG

1H 2015 1H 2014 Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
53 25 Adjusted RC EBITDA 31 20
48 41 - Marketing 27 30
5 (17) - Refining & Logistics 4 (10)
(41) (43) Adjusted Depreciation (21) (22)
12 (18) Adjusted RC EBIT 10 (1)
(3) (17) Adjusted Net Profit 3 (0)
25 31 Investments 13 21
255 273 NFP 255 273
10.6% 10.8% TOTALERG retail market share 10.6% 10.6%
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2014 2014 2014 2015 2015

Industry Retail Fuels Volumes (M tons)

KEY FINANCIALS

PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

Key Financials

1H 2015 1H 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
Pro-forma
198 183 RC Adjusted EBITDA 86 75
(81) (80) Amortization and depreciation (41) (41)
116 102 RC Adjusted EBIT 46 34
(31) (26) Net financial income (expenses) (15) (15)
(1) (8) Net income (loss) from equity investments 2 0
84 68 RC Results before taxes 32 19
(24) (25) Income taxes (9) (8)
60 43 RC Results for the period 23 11
(3) (3) Minority interests (1) (1)
57 40 RC Net profit 23 10

21

Leverage

(1) It includes ca. €100mn of taxes mainly related to ISAB Energy disposal, which took place on June 30, 2014

Key Financials

2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS

CEO

LUCA BETTONTE

2015 GUIDANCE(1) AND CONCLUSIONS

EBITDA:

CAPEX:

NFP:

✓Guidance updated from €120mn to €230mn to include wind acquisiton in France and LUKERG asset split

New guidance revised upwards from €530mn to €600mn reflecting: ✓acquisition of French wind assets (+€72mn) ✓LUKERG Renew asset split (+€27mn) ✓Higher operating cash generation

(1) 2015 guidance does not yet include acquisition of Hydro business

Guidance revised upwards from €330mn to €350mn including: ✓French wind assets as of 2H 2015 ✓Improvement in ERG Power figures

2015 Guidance and Conclusions

APPENDIX

Pro-forma

1H 2015 GROUP EBITDA

Growth driven by Renewables and Power

Leverage

(1) Equity consideration for two wind projects in Poland currently under construction (2) It includes ca. €100mn of taxes mainly related to ISAB Energy disposal, which took place on June 30, 2014

Appendix

1H AND 2Q 2015 RESULTS

Appendix

(1) It includes a positive one-off of about €6mn related to the abolition of unbalance costs

1H 2015 1H 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
Pro-forma
497 529 Adjusted Revenues 222 249
198 183 RC EBITDA Adjusted 86 75
157 149 - Renewables 62 (1)
63
52 47 - Power 30 19
(11) (14) - Corporate (5) (6)
1H 2015 1H 2014 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
1,383 1,341 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,383 1,341
of which:
1,087 1,087 - Italy 1,087 1,087
86 86 - Germany 86 86
64 64 - France 64 64
27 27 - Bulgaria (1) 27 27
77 77 - Romania (1) 77 77
42 n.a - Poland (2) 42 n.a.
1,481 1,408 Electricity Production (GWh) 620 602
of which:
1,181 1,128 - Italy 501 491
82 77 - Germany 33 29
71 72 - France 27 25
45 32 - Bulgaria (1) 18 14
103 99 - Romania (1) 40 43

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

Appendix

(1) ERG 's stake = 50%

(2) Production in Poland started in July 2015

1H 2015 1H 2014 Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
RC EBITDA:
138 131 Italy 54 57
6 7 Germany 3 3
5 5 France 2 1
8 7 LUKERG (1) 4 3
of which:
3 2 - Bulgaria (1) 1 1
5 5 - Romania (1) 3 2
157 149 Total RC EBITDA 62 63
(66) (65) Depreciation (33) (33)
91 84 RC EBIT 29 30

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES

1H 2015 1H 2014 Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
1,211 1,185 Electricity Production (GWh) 597 585
52 47 RC EBITDA 30 19
(15) (14) Depreciation (7) (7)
37 33 RC EBIT 22 11
1H 2015 1H 2014
Pro-forma
Euro millions 2Q 2015 2Q 2014
Pro-forma
48 13 Renewables 37 4
3 6 Power 2 3
1 1 Corporate 0 0
52 19 Adjusted Total 39 7

INVESTMENTS