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Equinor Earnings Release 2014

Feb 6, 2015

3597_rns_2015-02-06_5ab62ab2-e5d8-4b5e-8591-092ac766db4a.pdf

Earnings Release

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London, 6 February 2015 Eldar Sætre, President and CEO

Forward-looking statements

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. In some cases, we use words such as "ambition", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "focus", "likely", "may", "outlook", "plan", "strategy", "will", "guidance" and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, among others, statements regarding future financial position, results of operations and cash flows; changes in the fair value of derivatives; future financial ratios and information; future financial or operational portfolio or performance; future market position and conditions; business strategy; growth strategy; future impact of accounting policy judgments; sales, trading and market strategies; research and development initiatives and strategy; market outlook and future economic projections and assumptions; competitive position; projected regularity and performance levels; expectations related to our recent transactions and projects, completion and results of acquisitions, disposals and other contractual arrangements; reserve information; future margins; projected returns; future levels, timing or development of capacity, reserves or resources; future decline of mature fields; planned maintenance (and the effects thereof); oil and gas production forecasts and reporting; domestic and international growth, expectations and development of production, projects, pipelines or resources; estimates related to production and development levels and dates; operational expectations, estimates, schedules and costs; exploration and development activities, plans and expectations; projections and expectations for upstream and downstream activities; oil, gas, alternative fuel and energy prices; oil, gas, alternative fuel and energy supply and demand; natural gas contract prices; timing of gas off-take; technological innovation, implementation, position and expectations; projected operational costs or savings; projected unit of production cost; our ability to create or improve value; future sources of financing; exploration and project development expenditure; effectiveness of our internal policies and plans; our ability to manage our risk exposure; our liquidity levels and management; estimated or future liabilities, obligations or expenses and how such liabilities, obligations and expenses are structured; expected impact of currency and interest rate fluctuations; expectations related to contractual or financial counterparties; capital expenditure estimates and expectations; projected outcome, objectives of management for future operations; impact of PSA effects; projected impact or timing of administrative or governmental rules, standards, decisions, standards or laws (including taxation laws); estimated costs of removal and abandonment; estimated lease payments, gas transport commitments and future impact of legal proceedings are forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons.

These forward-looking statements reflect current views about future events and are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including levels of industry product supply, demand and pricing; price and availability of alternative fuels; currency exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations; the political and economic policies of Norway and other oil-producing countries; EU directives; general economic conditions; political and social stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; the sovereign debt situation in Europe; global political events and actions, including war, terrorism and sanctions; security breaches; situation in Ukraine; changes or uncertainty in or noncompliance with laws and governmental regulations; the timing of bringing new fields on stream; an inability to exploit growth or investment opportunities; material differences from reserves estimates; unsuccessful drilling; an inability to find and develop reserves; ineffectiveness of crisis management systems; adverse changes in tax regimes; the development and use of new technology; geological or technical difficulties; operational problems; operator error; inadequate insurance coverage; the lack of necessary transportation infrastructure when a field is in a remote location and other transportation problems; the actions of competitors; the actions of field partners; the actions of governments (including the Norwegian state as majority shareholder); counterparty defaults; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions, climate change, and other changes to business conditions; an inability to attract and retain personnel; relevant governmental approvals; industrial actions by workers and other factors discussed elsewhere in this report. Additional information, including information on factors that may affect Statoil's business, is contained in Statoil's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2013, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found on Statoil's website at www.statoil.com.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Unless we are required by law to update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this report, either to make them conform to actual results or changes in our expectations.

Firm priorities, stepping up commitments

High value
growth

~2% organic production growth 2014-16

Reducing
organic capex level to USD 18 bn
in 2015

FCF to cover dividend in 2016@100, 2017@80
and
2018@60

Robust financials: Maintaining
15-30% net debt to capital employed
Increase
efficiency

USD 5 bn
in cash improvements

Increasing
efficiency programme
target by 30%

Cash flow neutrality reduced by USD ~30 per barrel
Prioritise capital
distribution

Firm dividend policy

dividend maintained at NOK 1.80/share1)
4Q 2014

Strengthening our capacity to create long-term value

Firm priorities, stepping up commitments
High value growth - ~2% organic production growth 2014-16
. Reducing organic capex level to USD 18 bn in 2015
- FCF to cover dividend in 2016@100, 2017@80 and 2018@60
. Robust financials: Maintaining 15-30% net debt to capital employed
Increase efficiency . USD 5 bn in cash improvements
Increasing efficiency programme target by 30%
. Cash flow neutrality reduced by USD~30 per barrel
Prioritise capital
distribution
. Firm dividend policy
+ 4Q 2014 dividend maintained at NOK 1.80/share 1)
diacto accroial fort the critical General Meatrix
The Capital Markets Undate 2014

Efficiency programme on track

  • Strengthened balance sheet
  • High-graded portfolio

  • Stepping up efficiency programme

  • Strict capital prioritisation
  • Managing portfolio flexibility

Well prepared Seizing the opportunity Investing in world-class projects

  • Safe and efficient operations
  • Strong and flexible portfolio
  • Long-term value creation

2014 | Financial and operational performance

Four percent production growth

225 Solid adjusted earnings NOK bn

A leading explorer

Discovered bn boe

Returns reflecting price movement

1) Number of serious incidents per million working hours

2) 2013 Rebased production of 1.85 mmboe/d

Firm financial framework - through the cycle

Investing in premium projects

Resilient cash flow

Cash flow from operations, USD bn

Robust balance sheet

Net debt to capital

7 Note: The various scenarios for CFFO also imply different operational assumptions. The USD 100/bbl scenario assumes lower utilisation of capex flexibility while the USD 60/bbl case assumes larger utilisation of capex flexibility.

Stepping up our improvement programme

  • 1) Modification costs include Statoil operated modifications and is compared to 2013 actual spend.
  • 2) Well delivery time is compared to planned delivery time on sanction date per well.
  • 3) Workforce reduced by 1900 compared to December 2013.

Step-change in operational performance

5 %-points increase in production efficiency1)

  • 50,000 additional boe/d
  • Reduced unplanned losses
  • Reduced maintenance backlog
  • Efficient execution of turnarounds

Proven execution track record

  • Start-up of Gudrun, Valemon, Jack/St. Malo and CLOV
  • Three new fast-track projects on stream

Delivering high-value growth

Strengthening midstream and trading business

  • Proximity and access to premium markets
  • High flexibility across value chain
  • Integrated trading organisation in place

Value uplift and trading A modernised European contract portfolio

  • A variety of sales channels
  • Limited exposure to oil indexation
  • Long term contracts still part of the tool box

Changes in oil vs gas risk exposure1)

  • An increasingly liberalized European gas market
  • Different market fundamentals for oil and gas
  • Changes in corporate risk profile

Johan Sverdrup | A world-class project

11

Continued focus on exploration

A leading explorer1)

  • 4.4 bn boe discovered last four years
  • Significantly increased efficiency

Consistent exploration effort Build for the future in 2015

  • USD 3.2 bn in exploration spend
  • Extensive drilling programme in high-value basins

  • Deepening positions in prolific basins

  • Entry into five new basins
  • Actively pursue playopening opportunities

Sustainable performance

Competitiveness Carbon Communities

  • Extensive efficiency programme
  • High-graded and flexible portfolio

  • A leading O&G company on carbon efficiency1)

  • Developing low cost / low carbon solutions

  • Transparency the currency for trust

  • Local suppliers programme

Key messages

  • Priorities remain unchanged
  • Well prepared
  • Seizing the opportunity
  • Investing for the future

London, 6 February 2015 Torgrim Reitan, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Forward-looking statements

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. In some cases, we use words such as "ambition", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "focus", "likely", "may", "outlook", "plan", "strategy", "will", "guidance" and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, among others, statements regarding future financial position, results of operations and cash flows; changes in the fair value of derivatives; future financial ratios and information; future financial or operational portfolio or performance; future market position and conditions; business strategy; growth strategy; future impact of accounting policy judgments; sales, trading and market strategies; research and development initiatives and strategy; market outlook and future economic projections and assumptions; competitive position; projected regularity and performance levels; expectations related to our recent transactions and projects, completion and results of acquisitions, disposals and other contractual arrangements; reserve information; future margins; projected returns; future levels, timing or development of capacity, reserves or resources; future decline of mature fields; planned maintenance (and the effects thereof); oil and gas production forecasts and reporting; domestic and international growth, expectations and development of production, projects, pipelines or resources; estimates related to production and development levels and dates; operational expectations, estimates, schedules and costs; exploration and development activities, plans and expectations; projections and expectations for upstream and downstream activities; oil, gas, alternative fuel and energy prices; oil, gas, alternative fuel and energy supply and demand; natural gas contract prices; timing of gas off-take; technological innovation, implementation, position and expectations; projected operational costs or savings; projected unit of production cost; our ability to create or improve value; future sources of financing; exploration and project development expenditure; effectiveness of our internal policies and plans; our ability to manage our risk exposure; our liquidity levels and management; estimated or future liabilities, obligations or expenses and how such liabilities, obligations and expenses are structured; expected impact of currency and interest rate fluctuations; expectations related to contractual or financial counterparties; capital expenditure estimates and expectations; projected outcome, objectives of management for future operations; impact of PSA effects; projected impact or timing of administrative or governmental rules, standards, decisions, standards or laws (including taxation laws); estimated costs of removal and abandonment; estimated lease payments, gas transport commitments and future impact of legal proceedings are forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons.

These forward-looking statements reflect current views about future events and are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including levels of industry product supply, demand and pricing; price and availability of alternative fuels; currency exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations; the political and economic policies of Norway and other oil-producing countries; EU directives; general economic conditions; political and social stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; the sovereign debt situation in Europe; global political events and actions, including war, terrorism and sanctions; security breaches; situation in Ukraine; changes or uncertainty in or noncompliance with laws and governmental regulations; the timing of bringing new fields on stream; an inability to exploit growth or investment opportunities; material differences from reserves estimates; unsuccessful drilling; an inability to find and develop reserves; ineffectiveness of crisis management systems; adverse changes in tax regimes; the development and use of new technology; geological or technical difficulties; operational problems; operator error; inadequate insurance coverage; the lack of necessary transportation infrastructure when a field is in a remote location and other transportation problems; the actions of competitors; the actions of field partners; the actions of governments (including the Norwegian state as majority shareholder); counterparty defaults; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions, climate change, and other changes to business conditions; an inability to attract and retain personnel; relevant governmental approvals; industrial actions by workers and other factors discussed elsewhere in this report. Additional information, including information on factors that may affect Statoil's business, is contained in Statoil's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2013, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found on Statoil's website at www.statoil.com.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Unless we are required by law to update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this report, either to make them conform to actual results or changes in our expectations.

2014 | Strong operational quality

Earnings Stable cost level, earnings impacted by prices and impairments
Production Higher than expected due to strong regularity
Capex USD 19.6 bn
Reserves 96% organic RRR
Resources 540 million boe
added from exploration
Projects On cost and schedule
Portfolio USD 4.3 bn in proceeds from announced divestments
Dividend NOK 7.20 per share1)

Financial results negatively impacted by prices

Full year 2014

NOK bn

Fourth quarter 2014

NOK bn

Cost focus across the business

Statoil Group1) Strong operational quality

High operational efficiency

Johan Sverdrup: Statoil recommended as operator

Valemon: New field on stream in the North Sea

D&P Norway D&P International MPR Impacted by exploration and US onshore

Peregrino: High production

Solid results from gas value chains

Good results from European gas business

recommended as operator in the North Sea regularity gas business
NOK bn
Adj.earnings
Pre
tax
After
tax
Pre
tax
After
tax
Pre
tax
After
tax
Pre
tax
After
tax
FY2014 136.1 39.1 105.5 29.1 13.9 2.6 17.8 8.1
FY2013 163.1 46.4 132.5 34.8 20.7 8.1 11.1 4.2
4Q'14 26.9 4.3 24.2 6.8 (2.8) (5.0) 5.1 2.2
4Q'13 42.3 11.0 35.4 8.8 3.6 0.5 3.7 1.7

Strong production above guided level

  • 4% organic growth YoY
  • Record operational efficiency on NCS
  • Record international production

Cash flow 2014 in line with expectations

NOK bn

  • Dividends paid for both 2013 and first two quarters of 2014
  • Investments in line with guiding
  • Net debt to capital employed at year end: 20%

Organic RRR ~1

  • Solid organic RRR in 2014; total RRR impacted by divestments
  • − 96% organic RRR, 62% total RRR
  • − Both organic and total RRR for liquids above 100%
  • − 117% three-year average organic RRR
  • IOR, revisions and extensions remain important contributors to reserve additions

Capital markets update Firm priorities, stepping up commitments

High value
growth

~2% organic production growth 2014-16

Reducing
organic capex level to USD 18 bn
in 2015

FCF to cover dividend in 2016@100, 2017@80
and
2018@60

Robust financials: Maintaining
15-30% net debt to capital employed
Increase
efficiency

USD 5 bn
in cash improvements

Increasing
efficiency programme
target by 30%

Cash flow neutrality reduced by USD ~30 per barrel
Prioritise capital
distribution

Firm dividend policy

dividend maintained at NOK 1.80/share1)
4Q 2014

Prepared to use material flexibility

Material flexibility in portfolio

Johan Sverdrup

Sanctioned capex

Flexibility from onshore and non-sanctioned projects 1)

US onshore Snorre 2040 Johan Castberg Bressay Krafla Trestakk Vito

Bay du Nord Tanzania LNG Pão de Açúcar King Lear Asterix Peon Lavrans

Opportunity to enhance value

  • Prioritising high value projects
  • Lower costs
  • Simpler concepts

Growth to 2020 based on projects under execution 1)

Start-up year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Valemon
Goliat
Edvard
Grieg
Corrib
Big Foot
Ivar Aasen
Julia
Heidelberg
Aasta
Hansteen
Gina Krog
Mariner
Gullfaks
Rimfaksdalen
Hebron
Hibernia SW
Stampede Johan Sverdrup 2)
Peregrino
phase II

Steering through volatility with strong cash flow

Strong cash flow from operations (CFFO)

Well positioned across scenarios

Average Brent price

0

5

10

15

20

USD bn

25

30

Robust financial framework

  • Strong balance sheet to be maintained
  • A-category rating on standalone basis
  • Net debt to capital employed at 15-30%
  • Long term financing
  • Average ~9 years to maturity
  • Firm dividend policy
  • 4Q 2014 dividend of NOK 1.80 per share1)
  • Share buy back remains part of toolbox

USD 5 bn in cash improvements

Efficiency improvements on track

  • USD 0.6 bn realised in 2014
  • Stepping up 2016 ambition by 30%
  • Efficiency programme covers full operated cost base
  • Strong momentum across organisation

Production growth from 2014-18 from projects in execution

Equity production

mboe/d

  • 4% organic growth YoY in 2014
  • ~2% production CAGR for 2014-16
  • Johan Sverdrup start-up 2019

2) Rebased 2014 is adjusted with 59 mboe/d for full year impact of transactions with Wintershall and Petronas.

Enhancing value

Period Outlook Key messages
Capex 2015 USD ~18 bn1)
USD
~2 bn
reduction
Prepared to use flexibility
Production 2014-16 ~2% annual
organic
growth
Improved regularity
Cash
improvements
2016 USD 5 bn
(total)

neutrality
barrel
Reducing cash flow
by USD 30 per
ROACE 2015-16 Maintaining returns at
2013 level adjusted
for price and currency
Improving cost and
capital efficiency
Exploration 2015 ~3.2 bn1)
USD

Investing
for the
future

Investing for profitable growth

Investment profile 2015-16

  • 65% in liquids
  • 55% in new assets
  • 60% in operated assets
  • 90% upstream related

Sensitivities1)– Indicative effects on 2015 results

NOK bn

Long term debt portfolio

Redemption profile 31.12.2014