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Eni — Investor Presentation 2022
Mar 18, 2022
4348_rns_2022-03-18_8f4eac0f-4432-4d2c-8bcb-f64decd64558.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
IMPORTANT: You must read the following before continuing.
The following applies to this document, the oral presentation of the information in this document by Eni S.p.A., Eni Plenitude S.p.A. società benefit, and their affiliates (collectively, the "Company") or any person on behalf of the Company, and any question-and-answer session that follows the oral presentation (collectively, the "Information"). In accessing the Information, you agree to be bound by the following terms and conditions.
The Information may not be reproduced, redistributed, published or passed on to any other person, directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This document may not be removed from the premises. If this document has been received in error it must be returned immediately to the Company.
The Information is not intended for potential investors and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase securities of the Company, and nothing contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
The Information contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements give the Company's current expectations and projections relating to its financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business. Such statements, that may include statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans' 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, the Company's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in the Company's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to: (i) fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals; (ii) strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets; (iii) safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG emissions; (iv) risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with development projects; (v) uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves; (vi) the time and expense required to develop reserves; (vii) material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which the Company operates; (viii) risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under the Company take-or-pay long-term gas supply contracts; (ix) laws and regulations related to climate change; (x) risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti-corruption legislation; (xii) risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and (xiii) exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Information or the opinions contained therein. The Information has not been independently verified and will not be updated. The Information, including but not limited to forward-looking statements, applies only as of the date of this document and is not intended to give any assurances as to future results. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to the Information, including any financial data or forward-looking statements, and will not publicly release any revisions it may make to the Information that may result from any change in the Company's expectations, any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which these forward-looking statements are based, or other events or circumstances arising after the date of this document. Market data used in the Information not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified.
ENI DISTINCTIVE APPROACH
Delivering value through the transition
PROPRIETARY AND BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES
LEADING EDGE COMPETITIVE BUILDING SCALE
NEW BUSINESS MODELS
matching business growth with dedicated leadership team and capital structure
LEANER & FIT GROWTH & VALUE-ORIENTED
STAKEHOLDER ALLIANCES
3
OUR PEOPLE CUSTOMERS INDUSTRIES CITIZENS
PROPRIETARY AND BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES
A portfolio of technologies to meet decarbonized energy needs
RENEWABLES & NEW ENERGIES
MAGNETIC FUSION ENERGY STORAGE WAVE ENERGY
on the path to clean and reliable energy
DECARBONIZED SOLUTIONS
CARBON CAPTURE UTILIZATION & STORAGE
deploying safe, easy to apply and costeffective solutions for CO2 capture, utilization and storage
CIRCULAR & BIO PRODUCTS
ADVANCED BIOFUELS BIO-FEEDSTOCK HYDROGEN WASTE VALORIZATION
for a rapid transition to low-carbon mobility and circularity
NEW BUSINESS MODELS
Through dedicated satellite companies
AZULE ENERGY
SUSTAINABLE
MOBILITY
PLENITUDE
Accelerating growth and decarbonization
Deeper operational focus
Access to diversified capital markets
Tailored capital allocation
Strategic and financial flexibility
VÅR ENERGI
5
STAKEHOLDER ALLIANCES
Leveraging a strong network of collaborations
Our People
30 thousand people fully engaged in the transition leveraging experience and skills
Industrial partners
Working with long term industrial partners to help create new low carbon ecosystems
Customers
10 million customer base supplied with green power and services
5 thousand service stations across Europe with ~1.5 million touchpoints per day
6
Communities, Institutions & Citizens
advocating and contributing to a just energy transition
TOWARDS A NET ZERO ENERGY BUSINESS
Accelerating our GHG emission reduction targets
TOWARDS A NET ZERO ENERGY BUSINESS
Multiple business levers to reach targets
Net Absolute GHG Emissions (Scope 1+2+3)
NEW ENERGY SOLUTIONS
A growing and balanced new energies and services portfolio
DECARBONIZING AND ENHANCING OUR UPSTREAM PORTFOLIO
2022-2025 HIGHLIGHTS
REDUCING BREAKEVEN AND CARBON FOOTPRINT
DECARBONIZING UPSTREAM
Growing production while reducing carbon footprint
€ 29 Bln CUMULATIVE FCF 2022-25 € 4.5 BLN 2022-25 CAPEX AVERAGE PER YEAR -65 % NET CARBON FOOTPRINT (SCOPE 1+2) BY 2025 (vs 2018) KEY METRICS 2021 2022 2025 Baseline Start up Ramp Up 1.68 1.70 1.89 UPSTREAM PRODUCTION | Mboed CAGR ~3 % Brent (\$/bbl) 71 80 70
EXPLORATION Accelerating time to market through discovery of advantaged barrels
ENABLING A GROWING GAS PORTFOLIO
INTEGRATED NATURAL GAS A competitive portfolio to secure supply to key markets
GROWING OUR INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO THROUGH FAST TRACK PROJECTS
14 FCF is post working capital and includes portfolio initiatives
ANGOLA BUSINESS COMBINATION Azule Energy: a bp-Eni Company
GETTING BIGGER AND STRONGER ENHANCING GROWTH AND EFFICIENCY
AZULE ENERGY >200 KBOED PRODUCTION 2 BLN BOE NET RESOURCES
NEW GAS CONSORTIUM
OPERATING ANGOLA'S FIRST NON-ASSOCIATED GAS PROJECT
DEVELOPMENT
CONTRIBUTING TO UNLOCK NEW GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
INTEGRATED OPERATING MODEL:
DIVERSIFIED & SYNERGIC PORTFOLIO ~15% COST REDUCTION
GOVERNANCE: INDEPENDENT - 50/50 bp-ENI EQUITY EQUAL REPRESENTATION AT BOARD LEVEL
FINANCIAL BENEFITS: DEBT DECONSOLIDATION THIRD-PARTY INVESTMENT ACCESS
BOOSTING OUR INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO
RELIABLE DIVIDEND STREAM
CCS Becoming a leader in carbon management
GROWING PROFITABLY WHILE TRANSFORMING
2022-2025 HIGHLIGHTS
GROWING PROFITABLE NEW ENERGY BUSINESSES
SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY A winning multienergy, multiservice hub
>5,000 ENI SERVICE STATIONS
SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
A profitable customer-centric and integrated proposition
PLENITUDE Towards upcoming IPO
IPO RATIONALE
BUSINESS DIVISION TARGETS
TARGETING NET ZERO BY 2040 & BOOSTING STAKEHOLDER VALUE
EBITDA 2022 € > 0.6 BLN EBITDA 2025 € 1.4 BLN
Figures include pro-quota of non-consolidated companies *Charging points figure as of 31 January 2022
FINANCIALS
FINANCIALS Aligning industrial and financial strategy
OUR FINANCIAL PLAN
Balancing strict capital discipline and valuable growth
Green: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables
SELECTIVE FLEXIBILE HIGH VALUE
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
25
New business models and M&A to speed up transformation
| NEW BUSINESS MODELS |
PORTFOLIO HIGH-GRADING |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| BUSINESS COMBINATIONS SPIN OFF/IPO SPAC |
RATIONALIZATION OF NON-CORE ASSETS SELECTIVE ACQUISITIONS OPTIMIZATION |
€ 3 BLN NET CONTRIBUTION 2022-2025 |
SUSTAINABLE FINANCE
A structural core component in the execution of our plan
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CASH FLOW GROWTH A solid FCF generation
CFFO and FCF before working capital at replacement cost
DISTRIBUTION POLICY Sharing the upside with our shareholders
SHARING VALUE CREATION
| 2022 DISTRIBUTION | UPSIDE | RESILIENCE |
|---|---|---|
| € 0.88 DIVIDEND PER SHARE € 1.1 BLN BUYBACK BRENT REFERENCE PRICE @ 80 \$/BBL |
ADDITIONAL BUYBACK 30% OF INCREMENTAL FCF FOR BRENT ABOVE 90 \$/BBL (NEW PRICE ASSESSMENT IN JULY AND OCTOBER) |
SIMPLIFIED, ENHANCED DPS SLIDING SCALE VS PREVIOUS POLICY |
DIVIDEND PAID ON A QUARTERLY BASIS STARTING 3Q 2022
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
A DISTINCTIVE STRATEGY
Offering clean, affordable and secure energy
ACCELERATED NET
ZERO PATH
Bringing forward our intermediate GHG emission targets
ROBUST CASH GENERATION
Capital discipline and an innovative portfolio management
IMPROVED
SHAREHOLDER REMUNERATION
Enhancing our dividend and buyback program
BACK UP
SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS
| 4YP SCENARIO | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 80 | 75 | 70 | 70 |
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.15 | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) |
-1.5 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | -0.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) | 21.1 | 14.4 | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| PSV (€/kcm) | 688 | 452 | 363 | 293 |
| SENSITIVITY 2022 | EBIT ADJ (€ BLN) | Net adj (€ bln) | FCF (€ BLN) | |
| Brent (+1 \$/bbl) |
0.21 | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Exchange rate \$/€ (-0.05 \$/€) |
0.59 | 0.37 | 0.46 |
Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas changes are directional and proportional. Sensitivity is valid for limited price variation.
DISTRIBUTION POLICY
UPSIDE BUYBACK FOR BRENT SCENARIO > \$90/BBL EQUIVALENT TO 30% OF INCREMENTAL FCF
MAIN DECARBONISATION TARGETS
a) 100% according to operatorship
b) Including CCUS services for third parties
MAIN BUSINESS TARGETS
KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2022-25 [1/2]
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2022-25 [2/2]
Start up: 2024 (Struct. A) Production (kboed):
205 (100%) – 120 (equity) @2027
Cassiopea 60% WI
| LIBYA |
|---|
Merakes East/Maha 65%/40% WI Start up: 2024 Production (kboed): 32 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2025 GAS
LIQ
ITALIA
UAE
| Breidablikk | 22% WI | |
|---|---|---|
| Start up: 2024 | LIQ | |
| Production (kboed): | ||
| 57 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2026 |
27 (100%) – 16 (equity) @2025
Melehia ph.2 76% WI Start up: 2025 (Gas) 2022 Equity: 7 kboed (oil) Production (kboed): 50 (100%) – 27 (equity) @2025 [oil & gas] LIQ/GAS
Dalma Gas 25% WI
Start up: 2024 Progress: 23% Production (kboed):
GAS
GAS
Start up: 2025 Production (kboed): 56 (100%) – 14 (equity) @2025
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
PLENITUDE: RENEWABLES PIPELINE
EXPANDING AND DE-RISKING OUR PIPELINE
1High visibility and medium maturity pipeline contains projects that have already secured land rights, demonstrated feasibility and have connection rights and/or permitting process already completed or in an advanced stage. 2The majority of projects in this category have land already secured or about to be secured and the feasibility confirmed. 3 Includes storage and other technologies.
4Undisclosed M&A already risked.
5 Includes Australia and Kazakhstan.
6 Mainly offshore wind.
Note: installed capacity includes pro-quota of consolidated and non-consolidated capacity.