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Dovalue — Earnings Release 2018
May 11, 2018
4145_ip_2018-05-11_fd98b65f-3edd-4018-878a-8a8c9bfa2855.pdf
Earnings Release
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Financial Results to 31 March 2018
May 11th 2018
doBank team presenting today
Andrea Mangoni Group CEO
Fabio Balbinot Chief Financial Officer
Manuela Franchi Head of IR, Finance, M&A
- General Manager of Fincantieri in 2015
- From 2013 to 2015 Chairman and CEO of Sorgenia
- CFO, General Manager of International Operations of Telecom Italia and Chairman of Telecom Italia Sparkle from 2009 to 2013
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Previously CEO of ACEA
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CEO of Italfondiario from 2011 to 2016 and General Manager since 2010
- Senior Vice President Fortress Group from 2005 to 2017
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Finance and Acquisition at Pirelli RE (Prelios) from 2001 to 2004
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Joined doBank in August 2016
- Investment Banking Italian Coverage team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch from 2007 to 2016, Managing Director 2012 - 2016
- Investment Banking Telecommunication, Media & Technology team at Goldman Sachs from 2000 to 2007
Summary
| Financial results Q1 18 vs Q1 17 |
Gross Collections: €374m vs €394m in Q1 2017: -5% despite -9% stock GBV1, ex new on-boarding Gross Revenues: €46m vs €45m in Q1 2017 (+2%) Net Revenues: €43m vs €41m in Q1 2017 (+4%), outsourcing fees -12% EBITDA: €11m vs €10m in Q1 2017 (+12%), EBITDA margin up from 22% to 24% Net Income: €7m vs €5m in Q1 2017 (+23%) Cash flow generation: Net cash position €48m (+€10m vs YE 2017), 96% operating cash flow conversion (EBITDA-Capex) |
|---|---|
| Main events in Q1 18 and YTD 18 |
On-boarding of €12.1bn new mandates in Special Servicing, of which, among others: Berenice and REV: process completed in February MPS: process started in March, full impact on collections beginning from Q2 2018 and progressing in line with recovery curves, as expected New Greek branch operational, passporting of banking licence successfully completed, actively pursuing servicing opportunities with banks and investor clients |
| What's next | Market outlook: Italian NPL servicing market showing significant growth opportunities; recent market trends towards mid-size GACS structures doBank participating in several award processes Continued focus on cost control and operating leverage. Exploit net cash position for M&A opportunities Dividend payment of €31.5m on 23 May (€0.394/per share) with dividend yield above peers 2018-2020 Business Plan presentation on June 19th in London |
| 1. | Excluding €12.1bn GBV progressively onboarded during Q1 2018 with limited impact on Q1 2018 collections, in line with expectations 3 |
Q1 2018 Financial results
- New servicing mandates (ca. €12.1bn GBV), on-boarded progressively during the quarter, to be fully reflected in collections from Q2 onwards
- Gross Revenues growth due to higher base fees, improving average performance fees, higher ancillaries & other revenues and indemnity fees
- Double-digit growth in both Ebitda and Net Income, sustained by cost control
| FY 2017 | Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | Δ (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Collections | €1.8bn | €0.39bn | €0.37bn | -5% |
| Gross Revenues | €213.0m | €45.2m | €46.3m | +2% |
| Operating Costs | €124.8m | €31.2m | €31.6m | +1% |
| EBITDA | €70.1m | €9.9m | €11.0m | +12% |
| EBITDA Margin | 32.9% | 21.8% | 23.8% | +2 p.p. |
| Net income | €45.0m | €5.3m | €6.6m | +23% |
On-boarding of recent contract wins on track with expectations
- Massive, automatized on-boarding process in line with budget and involving >100k loan files in Q1 18
- Timing phase-out of different portfolios:
- REV and Berenice: on-boarding started in mid-February, loan management in March
- MPS: on-boarding started in March, loan management in April
On-boarding process and status update of new special servicing mandates
Italian NPL servicing market growth opportunities
- Growing portfolio sales to investors helped drive Italian banks' NPL volumes down from the 2015 peak and sustained the third-party servicing market, expected at €240bn in 2018 from approximately €170bn in 2017
- Italian banks' strategies continue to recognize the importance of a partnership with a specialized NPL servicer and need of outsourcing, creating opportunities for market leaders offering best-in-class recovery rates
- Current market environment characterized by several mid-size servicing opportunities, with banks trying to take advantage of GACS schemes before the September 2018 deadline
- doBank, the clear leader in the Italian Special & Master Servicing markets, actively pursuing GACS, investors portfolio acquisitions and tier-2 banking groups outsourcing deals
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The NPE volumes at the end of 2017 still show a large amount of UTP (€94bn of GBV) in the books of the Italian banks reaching the levels of bad loans in terms of NBV (€66bn vs €64bn respectively). doBank already manages €1.8bn for bank clients
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Source: Third party consultant retimates
Greek market opportunity
- doBank set-up its first foreign branch in Q1 18 through passporting of banking license
- Branch operational since April with 15+ FTEs by June 2018 and specialized in both NPE liquidation and restructuring
- Several servicing opportunities with banks and investors clients in the pipeline due to SSM targets that require current stock of NPEs to decrease by c.€40bn in 2 years
Strategic pillars of IPO plan for 2017
1) Add more servicing
1
2
3
- 2) Increase collections and efficiency
- 3) Grow ancillary services business
Key financial highlights
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | ∆ (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e s u r n e e v v ri e d R |
Largest servicing portfolio in the Italian market |
GBV EoP | €82.5bn | €87.5bn | +6.1% | ~€12.1bn new servicing mandates on boarded between Feb. and March €0.3bn inflows from existing clients |
| Best-in-class collections |
Gross collections |
€0.39bn | €0.37bn | -4.9% | Collections in line with expectations New mandates on-boarded progressively during the quarter, not yet fully reflected in collections |
|
| L | Visible revenue base | Gross revenues |
€45.3m | €46.2m | +2.3% | Revenues from base fees, indemnity fees, ancillary and other revenues more than compensated lower collection fees Improving average performance fee |
| & e r P u e ct pl u r m st |
Operating leverage | Operating costs |
€31.2m | €31.6m | +1.3% | Fixed HR costs equal to 89% of total HR costs IT & SG&A efficiencies nearly offset higher HR expenses |
| Si | Proven profitability | EBITDA | €9.9m | €11.0m | +11.6% | Operating leverage driving a 2-digit growth in EBITDA EBITDA margin up from 21.8% to 23.8% |
| n o h ti a s |
Limited capex | Cash conversion1 |
€9.1m | €10.6m | +15.6% | Most of IT and other investments expensed at income statement 96% conversion rate1 |
| r a e C n e g |
Benefits from tax assets |
Tax Assets |
€131m | €93m | (29%) | Tax assets fully off-settable against direct and indirect taxes |
Evolution of gross book value under management
- Significant growth in GBV to €87.5bn (+€10.8bn or +14% vs YE 2017) driven by new servicing mandates
- REV, Berenice and MPS portfolios progressively on-boarded during the quarter as well as other minor ones
- Inflows from existing clients and portfolio sales by clients in line with expectations
Portfolio diversification
SP 8% 32% REV FINO Other 4% Banks Fortress 3% 20% Other Investors 3% UniCredit 20% Italian Recovery Fund 11%
Q1 2018
| # of Claims |
693k |
|---|---|
| Loan Size | €124k |
| % "Large" Loans (> €500k GBV) |
53% |
| % Corporate | 71% |
| % Northern/Central Italy |
68% |
Loan Profile Q1 2018
- Higher diversification vs IPO time:
- Banks at 31% of GBV (60% at IPO)
- Investors at 69% of GBV (40% at IPO)
- Much higher client diversification
- All new GBV from IPO provided by new clients
- Intrum/Intesa transaction is expected to impact only a minor position of the Intesa portfolio managed. Closing in 4Q18
- Portfolio profile in line with market
- Vintage improved due to new portfolios ~80% on-boarding and flow agreements
48% Soft Secured
covered by collateral or guarantees
Seasonality of collections across quarters
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Collections for 2015 based on Italfondiario only. Italfondiario collections for 2015-16 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting 3. 2017 and 2018collections are accounted for as gross collections
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Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in Q1 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period
Ancillary and other revenues
- Contract with FINO started with full effect on IBIS, doReal Estate and Judicial Management
- Contract with UCI on legal services now fully operational
- New contracts related to new on-boarded clients (eg. REV, MPS, etc.)
- Data governance product offer enriching IBIS yielding results post Q1 18 and already closing new contracts
- Ongoing due diligence activity on new GACS
From gross to net revenues
Focus on operating expenses
NWC and net financial position
Regulatory capital
Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as remunerate investors
Notes: Regulatory capital ratios T.U.B. include dividend distribution approved in April 2018 and the impact of the Italian Recovery Fund investment of €30m (of which €15m already paid)
Condensed consolidated income statement Q1 2018
(€/000)
| consolidated income Condensed statement |
First | Quarter | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | Amount | % | |
| Serv icing rev enues |
41,947 | 41,721 | 226 | 1% |
| o/w Banks |
27,053 | 38,454 | (11,401) | (30)% |
| o/w Investors |
14,894 | 3,267 | 11,627 | n.s. |
| Co-inv estment rev enues |
236 | - | 236 | n.s. |
| Ancillary and other rev enues |
4,069 | 3,486 | 583 | 17% |
| Gross Revenues |
46,252 | 45,207 | 1,045 | 2% |
| Outsourcing fees |
(3,684) | (4,191) | 507 | (12)% |
| Net revenues |
42,568 | 41,016 | 1,552 | 4% |
| Staff expenses |
(22,496) | (19,436) | (3,060) | 16% |
| Administrativ e expenses |
(9,071) | (11,719) | 2,648 | (23)% |
| o/w IT |
(3,343) | (6,905) | 3,562 | (52)% |
| o/w Real Estate |
(1,925) | (1,967) | 42 | (2)% |
| o/w SG&A |
(3,803) | (2,847) | (956) | 34% |
| Operating expenses |
(31,567) | (31,155) | (412) | 1% |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 | 1,140 | 12% |
| EBITDA Margin |
24% | 22% | 2% | 9% |
| Impairment/Write-backs on property, plant, equipment and intangible assets |
(559) | (506) | (53) | 10% |
| isions for risks Net Prov and charges |
(211) | (135) | (76) | 56% |
| Net Write-downs of loans |
8 | 70 | (62) | (89)% |
| Net income (losses) from inv estments |
340 | - | 340 | n.s. |
| EBIT | 10,579 | 9,290 | 1,289 | 14% |
| Net financial interest and commissions |
(46) | (46) | - | n.s. |
| EBT | 10,533 | 9,244 | 1,289 | 14% |
| for period Income tax the |
(3,960) | (3,572) | (388) | 11% |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax |
- | (341) | 341 | (100)% |
| Net Profit (Loss) for the period |
6,573 | 5,331 | 1,242 | 23% |
Consolidated balance sheet Q1 2018
(€/000)
| Main consolidated balance sheet items |
3/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial assets |
83,965 | 76,303 |
| fair profit at v alue through or loss |
22,853 | 22,998 |
| at fair v alue through comprehensiv e income |
1,002 | 1,003 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with banks |
55,645 | 49,449 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with customers |
4,465 | 2,853 |
| Tax assets |
92,791 | 94,187 |
| Other assets |
124,631 | 127,010 |
| Total assets |
301,387 | 297,500 |
| Financial liabilities |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| at amortised cost - due to customers |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| E.T.B. and prov ision for risks and charges |
38,221 | 36,939 |
| liabilities Other |
70,740 | 41,758 |
| Shareholders' equity |
183,895 | 206,697 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity |
301,387 | 297,500 |
Consolidated cash flow Q1 2018
| (€/000) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Cash Flow |
31/03/2018 | 31/03/2017 |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 |
| Net Capex |
(439) | (722) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 10,562 | 9,139 |
| as % of EBITDA |
96% | 93% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
1,607 | - |
| Changes in NWC |
(4,162) | (13,786) |
| Changes in other assets/liabilities |
1,842 | 3,466 |
| Operating Cash Flow |
9,849 | (1,181) |
| Financial interests paid/collected |
(46) | (46) |
| Cash Flow Free |
9,803 | (1,227) |
| (Inv estments)/div in financial estments assets |
(73) | (751) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period |
9,730 | (1,978) |
| financial Position - Beginning of period Net |
38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period |
48,335 | 27,481 |
| Change in Net Financial Position |
9,730 | (1,978) |
Key Performance Indicators Q1 2018
(€/000)
| performance indicators Key |
3/31/2018 | 3/31/2017 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
87,523 | 82,496 | 76,703 |
| Collections for the period - in millions of Euro - |
374 | 394 | 1,836 |
| Collections for the Last Twelv e Months (LTM) - in millions of Euro - |
1,817 | 1,899 | 1,836 |
| Collections/GBV (EoP) LTM |
.1% 2 |
3% 2 |
4% 2 |
| Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) LTM |
2 4% |
2 4% |
2 4% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
37% | 33% | 37% |
| Collections/Servicing FTE LTM |
2,523 | 2,414 | 2,510 |
| Cost/Income ratio |
74% | 76% | 64% |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 | 70,102 |
| EBT | 10,533 | 9,244 | 68,134 |
| Margin EBITDA |
24% | 22% | 33% |
| Margin EBT |
23% | 20% | 32% |
| EBITDA – Capex |
10,562 | 9,139 | 64,436 |
| Working Capital Net |
82,427 | 93,106 | 78,265 |
| Net Financial Position of cash/(debt) |
48,335 | 27,481 | 38,605 |
Tax assets
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