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Dovalue — Earnings Release 2018
Aug 8, 2018
4145_ip_2018-08-08_912faf83-fac5-423a-9ee9-c9643940dbfb.pdf
Earnings Release
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Financial Results to 30 June 2018
August 8, 2018
Summary
| Financial results 1H18 vs 1H17 |
Gross Collections: €882m vs €888m in 1H17 (-1%): 2018 GBV wins still in ramp-up phase Gross Revenues: €105m, stable vs €105m in 1H17, growing average performance and base fees Net Revenues: €94m, stable vs €94m in 1H17 EBITDA: €34m vs €30m in 1H17 (+13%), EBITDA margin up from 29% to 32% Net Income: €21m vs €20m in 1H17 (+7%) Net Cash Position: €30m post dividend payment and second tranche of Italian Recovery Fund investment (€13m); improving NWC and Cash conversion (EBITDA-Capex) at 94.5% |
|---|---|
| Main events YTD |
On-boarding of €12.1bn new mandates in Special Servicing: set-up completed, portfolios currently in ramp-up phase, full impact of collections not yet reflected in P&L 2018-2020 Business Plan envisaging material changes to Group structure to be completed by beginning 2019, unlocking full M&A potential and laying out a mid-term path of significant revenue growth and margin expansion Landmark €1.8bn GBV servicing mandate signed with four Greek systemic banks Progress in the BancoBPM process with access to binding offer phase Dividend payment of €30.9m on 23 May (€0.394/per share) with industry-leading yield |
| What's next | Market outlook: active short-term pipeline, material progress on €3bn GBV NPL mandates out of €3-5 bn 2018 pipeline in Italy. doBank UTP offering gaining traction among major Italian banks Focus on Business Plan execution: development of UTP and Greek servicing businesses, IT investments to deliver significant increase in operational efficiency Continued focus on cost control and operating leverage while actively exploring M&A opportunities counting on available leverage up to approximately 3x Net Debt/EBITDA from 2019 |
Berenice REV and MPS
Currently in early rampup phase
2018-2020 Business Plan
Transformational new Group structure
doBank in 2020 a larger, more diversified and more profitable company
First Greek Servicing Mandate
Most important servicing mandate signed in Greece to date
Competitive award process confirming capabilities of doBank vis-à-vis Italian and International peers
UTP project
In set-up phase, advanced contacts with potential clients
Execution on core business and meaningful progress towards Business Plan targets
Landmark portfolio win from 4 Greek systemic banks for €1.8bn
- Alpha Bank, National Bank of Greece, Eurobank and Piraeus Bank selected doBank, among >30 international servicers, to manage a portfolio of common NPEs, marking a pioneering systemic collaboration
- First international servicing mandate for the Group, local branch operational since April with >25 staff
- Relevance beyond current GBV size due to systemic nature of agreement and complexity of loan management
- On-boarding operations to start in August with business planning phase completed in autumn
- doBank to create the most complete database on the portfolio in the market due to information from 4 banks
- Current fee model structured as a cost coverage mechanism during set-up phase, limiting potential downside risk
| Key features of agreement | Implications for doBank | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio Size |
|
€1.8bn Gross Book Value >300 debtors, €6m avg. size |
|
Current GBV only a fraction of total common exposures Low number of debtors and high ticket size to shorten startup timing and simplify business planning |
||
| Debtor type and security |
|
100% corporate SME Highly secured Mix of UTP and NPL |
|
Debtor type and portfolio security in line with doBank's current focus, limiting execution risk Individual business planning to maximize recovery rates drawing on doBank local team's extensive experience |
||
| Uniqueness of Common exposures |
|
Debtors exposed to at least two of four banks Key servicer role to reduce collateral asymmetry and servicing cost |
| High value-added role of servicer, significant delegation levels to coordinate negotiations and legal actions |
Unparalleled opportunity for a low-risk and high potential market entry
Promising short-term pipeline across markets and asset classes
| Market potential | Recent updates | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| s s e n si u b e r o C |
Bad loans servicing Italy |
Servicing market at ca.240bn in M/T Regulatory framework still supportive, lots of work to do for banks: Total new inflows (including portfolio sales): €84bn in 2018E, €20bn in 2019E, and €13bn in 2020E Growing outsourcing levels Following jumbo deals, market focused on mid-sized GACS transactions and platform sales with long-term flow agreements |
Material progress on €3bn NPL mandates, reinforcing conviction on 2018 GBV target of up to €5bn (in addition to the new mandates already secured in YTD 2018) |
| s u s |
UTP servicing Italy |
UTP exposures expected to become the next area of focus for banks' asset quality Servicing market at €18bn in 2018E, expected at >€25bn in M/T |
Strengthening of UTP team capabilities doBank UTP offering gaining traction among major Italian banks |
| o s e u n g si ti n u o b C |
UTP and bad loans servicing Greece |
Early stage market with significant growth potential and no incumbent €40bn NPL reduction by 2019 target by BoG/SSN out of more than €90bn total NPL |
First contract with 4 systemic banks signed Active business development with banks and investors |
Confirmed focus on core Italian Bad Loans market while adding new sources of growth by products and countries
Key strategic pillars of doBank business plan
2. Financial Review
Key financial highlights
| H1 2017 | H1 2018 | ∆ (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e s u r n e e |
Largest servicing portfolio in the Italian market |
GBV EoP | €79.5bn | €86.8bn | +9.2% | ~€12.1bn new servicing mandates on boarded progressively in the semester €0.7bn inflows from existing clients |
| v v ri e d R |
Best-in-class collections |
Gross collections |
€0.89bn | €0.88bn | -0.7% | Collections in line with different bonus timing in 2018 vs 2017 New mandates not yet fully reflected |
| Visible revenue base | Gross revenues |
€105.1m | €105.3m | +0.2% | Growth in base fees, ancillary and other revenues, lower indemnity fees Improving average performance fee |
|
| L & e r P u e ct pl u r m |
Operating leverage | Operating costs |
€64.2m | €60.3m | -6.2% | Lower costs driven by IT and SG&A efficiencies Fixed HR costs at 85% of total HR costs |
| EBITDA | €30.3m | €34.1m | +12.6% | Operating leverage driving a 2-digit |
||
| st Si |
Proven profitability | EBITDA margin |
28.8% | 32.4% | +3 p.p. | growth in EBITDA |
| Net income | €19.7m | €21.0m | +7% | Net Income growth dented by higher non-cash tax provisions (DTA fees not present in 2017) |
||
| n o h ti a s |
Limited capex | Cash conversion1 |
€28.1m | €32.5m +15.3% |
95% cash conversion rate1 Most of IT and other investments expensed at income statement |
|
| r a e C n e g |
Benefits from tax assets |
Tax Assets2 |
€94.2m | €87.5m | (7%) | Tax assets fully off-settable against direct and indirect taxes |
- EBITDA – Capex
Evolution of gross book value under management
- Significant growth in GBV to €86.8bn driven by new servicing mandates
- REV, Berenice and MPS portfolios progressively on-boarded during the period, plus additional minor portfolios
- €0.7bn inflows from existing clients, in line with expectations. Lower portfolio sales (€1.9bn in H1 2017)
Portfolio diversification
guarantees & other
Seasonality of collections across quarters
-
Collections for 2015 based on Italfondiario only. Italfondiario collections for 2015-16 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting 3. 2017 and 2018collections are accounted for as gross collections
-
Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in H1 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period
Ancillary and other revenues
- Ancillary and other revenues above 10% of Group total which was IPO target for 2019YE
- Contract with FINO started with full effect on IBIS, doReal Estate and Judicial Management
- Contract with UCI on legal services now fully operational
- New contracts related to new on-boarded clients (eg. REV, MPS, etc.)
- 2 data remediation contracts agreed on non-captive portfolios recently closed
- Ongoing due diligence activity on new GACS
From gross to net revenues
Q2 2017
% of Gross revenues
Fees
Revenues
Other
Ancillary & Other Servicing
revenues
12
Focus on operating expenses
NWC and net financial position
Condensed consolidated income statement H1 2018
| Condensed consolidated income statement | First Semester | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | Amount | % | |
| Serv icing rev enues | 94,641 | 95,816 | (1,175) | (1)% |
| o/w Banks | 61,767 | 89,242 | (27,475) | (31)% |
| o/w Investors | 32,874 | 6,574 | 26,300 | n.s. |
| Co-inv estment rev enues | 475 | 159 | 316 | n.s. |
| Ancillary and other rev enues | 10,158 | 9,134 | 1,024 | 11% |
| Gross Revenues | 105,274 | 105,109 | 165 | 0% |
| Outsourcing fees | (10,879) | (10,563) | (316) | 3% |
| Net revenues | 94,395 | 94,546 | (151) | (0)% |
| Staff expenses | (45,070) | (40,543) | (4,527) | 11% |
| Administrativ e expenses | (15,192) | (23,683) | 8,491 | (36)% |
| o/w IT | (6,324) | (12,419) | 6,095 | (49)% |
| o/w Real Estate | (4,157) | (4,047) | (110) | 3% |
| o/w SG&A | (4,711) | (7,217) | 2,506 | (35)% |
| Operating expenses | (60,262) | (64,226) | 3,964 | (6)% |
| EBITDA | 34,133 | 30,320 | 3,813 | 13% |
| EBITDA Margin | 32% | 29% | 4% | 12% |
| Impairment/Write-backs on property, plant, equipment and intangible assets | (1,188) | (837) | (351) | 42% |
| Net Prov isions for risks and charges | (80) | (1,179) | 1,099 | (93)% |
| Net Write-downs of loans | 388 | 221 | 167 | 76% |
| Net income (losses) from inv estments | 340 | 1,494 | (1,154) | (77)% |
| EBIT | 33,593 | 30,019 | 3,574 | 12% |
| Net financial interest and commissions | 536 | (68) | 604 | n.s. |
| EBT | 34,129 | 29,951 | 4,178 | 14% |
| Income tax for the year | (13,084) | (9,903) | (3,181) | 32% |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax | - | (390) | 390 | (100)% |
| Net Profit (Loss) for the period | 21,045 | 19,658 | 1,387 | 7% |
| Minorities | - | - | - | n.s. |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group before PPA | 21,045 | 19,658 | 1,387 | 7% |
| Economic effects of "Purchase Price Allocation" |
- | - | - | n.s. |
| Goodwill impairment | - | - | - | n.s. |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group | 21,045 | 19,658 | 1,387 | 7% |
| Earnings per share | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 7% |
Consolidated balance sheet H1 2018
| Main consolidated balance sheet items | 30/06/2018 | 31/12/2017 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € | % | ||||
| Financial assets | 80,855 | 76,303 | 4,552 | 6% | |
| at fair v alue through profit or loss | 36,586 | 22,998 | 13,588 | 59% | |
| at fair v alue through comprehensiv e income | 1,000 | 1,003 | (3) | (0)% | |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with banks | 40,744 | 49,449 | (8,705) | (18)% | |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with customers | 2,525 | 2,853 | (328) | (11)% | |
| Tax assets | 87,504 | 94,187 | (6,683) | (7)% | |
| Other assets | 121,120 | 127,010 | (5,890) | (5)% | |
| Total assets | 289,479 | 297,500 | (8,021) | (3)% | |
| Financial liabilities | 12,226 | 12,106 | 120 | 1% | |
| at amortised cost - due to banks | - | - | - | n.s. | |
| at amortised cost - due to customers | 12,226 | 12,106 | 120 | 1% | |
| Employee Termination Benefits and Prov ision for risks and charges | 30,803 | 36,939 | (6,136) | (17)% | |
| Other liabilities | 46,734 | 41,758 | 4,976 | 12% | |
| Shareholders' equity | 199,716 | 206,697 | (6,981) | (3)% | |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 289,479 | 297,500 | (8,021) | (3)% |
Consolidated cash flow H1 2018
| Cash Flow | 6/30/2018 | 3/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 34,133 | 30,320 |
| Capex | (1,638) | (2,146) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 32,495 | 28,174 |
| as % of EBITDA | 95% | 93% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
2,763 | - |
| Changes in NWC | 1,704 | (27,716) |
| Changes in other assets/liabilities | (2,995) | 12,877 |
| Operating Cash Flow | 33,967 | 13,335 |
| Tax paid (IRES/IRAP) | - | (475) |
| Free Cash Flow | 33,967 | 12,860 |
| (Inv estments)/div estments in financial assets |
(11,966) | 1,903 |
| Div idend paid |
(30,908) | (52,330) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period | (8,907) | (37,567) |
| - | - | |
| Net financial Position - Beginning of period | 38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period | 29,698 | (8,108) |
| Change in Net Financial Position | (8,907) | (37,567) |
Key Performance Indicators H1 2018
| Key performance indicators |
6/30/2018 | 6/30/2017 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
86,819 | 79,522 | 76,703 |
| Collections for the period - in millions of Euro - |
882 | 888 | 1,836 |
| Collections for the Last Twelv e Months (LTM) - in millions of Euro - |
1,830 | 1,978 | 1,836 |
| LTM Collections/GBV (EoP) |
2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| LTM Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) |
2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
37% | 33% | 37% |
| Collections/Serv icing LTM FTE |
2,479 | 2,542 | 2,509 |
| Cost/Income ratio |
64% | 68% | 64% |
| EBITDA | 34,133 | 30,320 | 70,102 |
| EBT | 34,129 | 29,951 | 68,134 |
| Margin EBITDA |
32% | 29% | 33% |
| Margin EBT |
32% | 28% | 32% |
| EBITDA – Capex |
32,495 | 28,174 | 63,545 |
| Net Working Capital |
76,561 | 107,036 | 78,265 |
| Net Financial Position of cash/(debt) |
29,698 | (8,108) | 38,605 |
Regulatory capital
Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as to remunerate investors
Tax assets
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Certification of the financial reporting officer
Mauro Goatin, in his capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this press release is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.