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Axactor SE — Investor Presentation 2023
May 9, 2023
3549_rns_2023-05-09_e99bfddc-5f06-4afb-9e02-c8504a884df6.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Financial highlights for the quarter on continuing operations

- Renewal of EUR 545m revolving credit facility
- 3-year maturity, option to extend the maturity with additional two years1
- Satisfying terms

Cash EBITDA growth of 4% y-o-y
- Estimated growth of 11% y-o-y with constant currency and normalized legal cashflow in Spain2
- Nordics and Germany burdened by macroeconomic headwind

- Strong EBITDA margin reaching 49% (48%) for the quarter
- EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 28m last year despite headwind

- Stable annualized return on equity of 8% (8%)
- Despite increased cost of funding
3 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations 1) Subject to separate credit approval 2) Legal strike in Spain started 24 January and ended 28 March 2023

Going forward we will stick to our successful strategy developed in 2020
| 1 Accretive investments |
• Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL • Target of reaching total backbook Gross IRR above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR of 25+% on newly signed acquisitions |
|---|---|
| 2 Cost leadership |
• Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized processes and a strong cost culture • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to further excel |
| 3 Best at what we do |
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured • Markets: Existing six countries |

Axactor has had healthy growth since year-end 2021
NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR billion)

NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing
- Gross IRR on total NPL book gradually increasing, up 1.7pp last 2 years


NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year
NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year
- Invested EUR 33m during the quarter
- Additional EUR 42m in committed NPL investments
Experiencing fewer transactions as sellers and buyers are trying to agree on new price levels.
NPL cost-to-collect stabilizing at a record low level
- Materializing in an EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry
Axactor NPL cost-to-collect per year1

8 1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in future expectations.

Q1 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y
Gross revenue (EUR million)

- Gross revenue is up 5% y-o-y
- NPL gross revenue growth of 7% y-o-y
- 3PC gross revenue growth of -4% y-o-y
- Estimated gross revenue growth of 11% y-o-y with constant currency and normalized legal cashflow in Spain1
NPL segment: Steady total income growth with stable margins
NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Satisfying growth in total income of 12% y-o-y, with stable margins, despite headwind.
Collection performance of 98% for the quarter
- Debtors in Nordics and Germany opt for longer payment plans with lower monthly installments
- Bailiff reservation amount and payment free months increased in several markets
- Negative effect from legal strike in Spain
3PC segment: Total income burdened by strike and FX
3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

- 3PC total income growth of 4% y-o-y excluding Spain
- Spain burdened by negative effects from legal strike1
- Total income in Norway and Sweden burdened by adverse currency movements
- Axactor is currently going through all 3PC contracts and terminate those with too low margins
Group: Growth y-o-y in all key parameters despite legal strike in Spain and headwind on currency
Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) 20 25 13 -17 30 30 31 30 49% Q1 '21 38% Q4 '21 47% Q2 '21 -125% Q3 '21 33% 48% Q1 '22 50% Q2 '22 51% Q3 '22 Q4 '22 49% Q1 '23 28
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

RCF refinanced according to the plan. Expect to refinance ACR02 in Q2 or Q3 according to the plan

Update on hedging
Cash effects
• Axactor currently has a 1-year, EUR 573m, 0.5% EURIBOR strike contract with end date 15 Dec 2023
P&L effects
- The current 1-year hedge was obtained by swapping with a previous 3-year hedge of EUR 200m
- IFRS hedge accounting requires the positive effects of the hedge to follow the original 3-year duration
- Hence, Q1 interest expenses has lower interest rate protection than the current hedge, but will on the other hand protect over a 3-year period

Stable ROE of 10% on continuing operations last twelve months
Return on equity to shareholders (%)


Q1 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Outlook
| Key driver | Outlook | |
|---|---|---|
| Accretive investments |
+ | • Highly accretive gross IRR on new deals of 25+% compared to the backbook of 17% |
| Growth | + | NPL: Minimum 10% growth in interest income in 20231 • • 3PC: Expect market growth driven by increased defaults. Axactor is reviewing customer profitability and will terminate unprofitable contracts |
| Funding | ~ | • Interest rate hedge secures partial protection of financial expenses for 11 more quarters • RCF renewed. Next step is the planned refinancing of ACR02 in Q2 or Q3 |
| Collection | ~ | • Expect continued negative macroeconomic impact in Nordics and Germany • Collection curves are adjusted to reflect the current macroeconomic conditions |

Q1 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A

Supporting information
NPL investment commitments of EUR 46m next 12 months
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 12% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022
ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region
3PC Total income split by geographic region

- Spain accounting for 48% of total income on 3PC
- Italy share of Total income increased to 20% (15%) following organic growth in Italy
Discontinued operations
- REO book value reduced to EUR 6m ultimo Q1
REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)
- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF
Loan-to-value - covenant ≤75%
(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)
- Leverage ratio increasing due to FX and new portfolios with low initial cash flow
Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x
(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations
Abbreviations
WAEP Weighted average exercise price
| 3PC | Third-party collection |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| AGM | Annual general meeting |
||
| APM | Alternative performance measures |
||
| ARM | Accounts receivable management |
||
| B2B | Business to business |
||
| Terms | B2C | Business to consumer |
|
| BoD | Board of Directors |
||
| Active forecast |
Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios |
BS | Consolidated statement of financial position (balance sheet) |
| Board | Board of directors |
CF | Consolidated statement of cash flows |
| Cash EBITDA margin |
Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue |
CGU | Cash generating unit |
| Chair | Chair of the board of directors |
CM | Contribution margin |
| Contribution margin (%) |
Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage |
D&A | Depreciation and amortization |
| of total income |
Dopex | Direct operating expenses |
|
| Collection performance |
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of | EBIT | Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax |
| repossessed assets in relation to book value |
|||
| Cost-to-collect | Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata | EBITDA | Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization |
| allocation of unallocated operating expenses and unallocated depreciation and |
ECL | Expected credit loss |
|
| amortization. The segment operating expense is used as allocation key for the |
EGM | Extraordinary general meeting |
|
| unallocated costs | EPS | Earnings per share |
|
| Equity ratio |
Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities |
ERC | Estimated remaining collection |
| Forward flow agreement |
Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery |
ESG | Environmental, social and governance |
| Gross IRR |
The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to |
ESOP | Employee stock ownership plan |
| NPL book value, calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period |
FSA | The financial supervisory authority |
|
| Group | Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries |
FTE | Full time equivalent |
| GHG | Greenhouse gas emissions |
||
| NPL amortization rate |
NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios |
IFRS | International financial reporting standards |
| NPL cost-to-collect ratio |
NPL cost to collect divided by NPL total income excluding NPV of changes in |
LTV | Loan to value |
| collection forecasts and change in fair value of forward flow commitments |
NCI | Non-controlling interests |
|
| One off portfolio acquisition |
Acquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs |
NPL | Non-performing loan |
| Opex | Total operating expenses |
OB | Outstanding balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under |
| Recovery rate |
Portion of the original debt repaid |
management, including outstanding principal, interest and fees |
|
| Replacement capex |
Acquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period |
OCI | Consolidated statement of other comprehensive income |
| Repossession | Taking possession of property due to default on payment of loans secured by |
P&L | Consolidated statement of profit or loss |
| property | PCI | Purchased credit impaired |
|
| Repossessed assets |
Property repossessed from secured non-performing loans |
PPA | Purchase price allocations |
| REO | Real estate owned |
||
| SG&A, IT and corporate cost |
Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc |
ROE | Return on equity |
| Solution rate |
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated | SDG | Sustainable development goal |
| collectable principal amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis |
SG&A | Selling, general & administrative |
|
| SPV | Special purpose vehicle |
||
| VIU | Value in use |
||
| VPS | Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian central securities depository |
||
| WACC | Weighted average cost of capital |
||
