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Avio — Investor Presentation 2021
Mar 19, 2021
4127_10-k_2021-03-19_d1e39a72-3896-4cfd-b115-0a60c6426cc9.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Avio 2020 Full Year Results
Rome, 19 March 2020
AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page.
Disclaimer
This document has been prepared by Avio S.p.A. ("Avio" or the "Company"). This document is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This document might contain certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Avio's current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Avio to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Avio does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Avio shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy Avio's securities, nor shall the document form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, or constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of Avio.
This document may not be reproduced, redistributed or published in whole or in part without Avio's authorization.
❑ 2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
❑ FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)
❑ 2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
2020 results within guidance, long-term visibility improved
- 2020 Guidance substantially achieved
- Heavy non recurring efforts due to COVID-19
- Vega on the launch pad, getting ready to return to flight
- New development contracts kicked-off and in progress
- Improved backlog and cash provide better long-term visibility
- Dividend distribution securing shareholders' return
FY 2020 results in guidance, backlog and cash better than expected
Data in €-M
| Highlights | 2020 Results | 2020 Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Backlog | 736 | 650-680 |
| Revenues | 322 | 325-345 |
| EBITDA Reported | 35.2 | 34-36 |
| EBITDA Adjusted | 43.3 | 41-43* |
| Net Income | 14.9 | 16-19 |
| Net Financial Position | 62.6 | 42-46** |
*Projected on the EBITDA Reported Guidance plus the indication of €7 M of Non-recurring costs given in September 2020 **Min & Max values of consensus
2020 economics slowed down vs 2019 due to COVID-19, but backlog and cash improved
Data in €-M
| Highlights | 2020 Results | 2019 Results |
|---|---|---|
| Backlog | 736 | 669 |
| Revenues | 322 | 369 |
| EBITDA Reported | 35.2 | 42.6 |
| EBITDA Adjusted | 43.3 | 44 |
| Net Income | 14.9 | 27 |
| Net Financial Position | 62.6 | 57.9 |
*Projected on the EBITDA Reported Guidance plus the indication of €7 M of Non-recurring costs given in September 2020 **Min & Max values of consensus
AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: ESA, Arianespace, Press search
One remarkable success: 53 sats in orbit with SSMS
AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: ESA, Arianespace, Press search
- Sat mass from 1 to 150 kg
- Released on two different orbital planes (1st time)
- Next mission with a SSMS-derived module already on VV18 in April 2021
VV17 anomalies understood, corrective actions defined, return to flight with VV18 underway
Event
• At ~8:00 min. (242km altitude) degradation of trajectory observed, thrust vector control stroke anomaly
Root Cause Investigation
- Integration mistake in the electrical actuation system of the 4th stage (AVUM)
- Defined corrective actions for return-to-flight
Inquiry Commission Recommendations
- Full review of quality controls and check procedures
- Over-inspection for acceptance of flight hardware
- Longer-term improvement plan agreed
- VV18 scheduled for April 2020
Return to flight path
- Launcher Integration started early March
- Launcher readiness by second half of April
(*) Established on 18 November 2020, chaired by ESA and Arianespace with participation of CNES and Avio SOURCE: Arianespace, ESA
P80
Z23
Z9
AVUM
Ongoing VV18 integration at the CSG in Kourou
AVUM shipping
10 Solid stages already integrated
Development activities progressing with new projects
Vega C Ground Qualification Review Vega E firing test in the USA
Space Rider contract signature
SPTF facility under construction in Sardinia
Vega backlog enriched by CO3D launch contract in December and supported by the Batch 4 signing today
Vega C Batch 4 production kicked-off
- 10 new Vega C missions for the 2023-26 period
- European institutional customers (ESA, EC, National Space Agencies)
- 9 Copernicus satellites launch contracts with Vega C under discussion with the European Commission expected by 2021
New launch contract: CO3D
- Jointly developed with the French Space Agency (CNES)
- 50 cm resolution optical earth observation satellites
- Constellation featuring 4x 300 kg satellites
- High revisit rate to quickly produce 3D maps of the planet surface
- Single rideshare Vega C launch to polar orbit at 500 km of altitude
AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. SOURCE: Arianespace, ESA
2020: Secured robust backlog for both Ariane 6 and Vega C Potential upside from a new European constellation
Ariane Backlog: >20 flights Vega Backlog: 8 flights
-
Ariane 5: 8 flights until program ends in 2022-23
-
Ariane 6: >12 flights in backlog until 2025-26 including:
- 9 EU institutional
- 5 commercial/Export
• ~40 Galileo satellites for the EU Commission to be launched by 2030
- 8 Vega/Vega C flights in backlog until 2023-24:
- 4 EU Institutional
- 4 Commercial/Export
• ~10 Copernicus satellites EU Commission to be launched by 2030 (1 sat x flight)
New EU connectivity constellation under study:
- EU LEO-based broadband constellation
- Reliable, secure and cost-effective high-speed communication
- Launch and services expected from 2025-2030
AVIO SpA- All rights reserved – subject to the restrictions of last page. Source : Arianespace, ESA, EU Commission, EuroConsult
New contracts signed for tactical propulsion
Aster
- Contract with MBDA France S.A.S.
- Production activities for a first stock of boosters for ASTER-30
- Start of the preparatory activities instrumental for the future production of additional boosters
- Contract value 50+ Euro million
- Production period of around 3 years with deliveries starting in 2022
Pribes
- New training system for the Italian Armed Forces capable of validating the performance of national tactical air defence launchers
- Contract with the Naval Armaments Directorate (NAVARM) of the Italian General Secretariat of Defence and National Armaments Directorate
- Avio leader of a consortium with Politecnico di Milano
❑ 2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
❑ FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)
❑ 2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
Net Order Backlog increased by 10% versus 2019
Net Order Backlog evolution 2019-2020 (€ - M)
Comments
New contracts signed in 2020 include:
- Vega: new production batch for 135M and ground activities for 35M
- Space Rider development contract for €55M
- Tactical production Aster booster for ~€60M
Contracts expected to be signed in 2021 include:
- Completion of new Vega Production Batch 4
- Residual ESA '19 Ministerial Council related development contracts
- Second part of Ariane 6 P120 contract
- Additional tactical propulsion contracts
Net Revenues trend impacted by COVID-19
Revenues reduction in 2020 due to slowdown after Covid-19 outbreak and CSG closure
Data in €-M
EBITDA Adjusted 2020 substantially in line with 2019 exclcuding not-recurring costs confirming resilience
FY 2020 not-recurring costs by nature
FY 2020 Not-recurring Costs = 8.1 EUR Mln (100%)
- Extra costs for Vega VV16 return to flight
- Protection devices Covid-19
- HR costs Covid-19 related
- Donations Covid-19 related
- Other
Stable EBITDA Adjusted confirms business resilience
| FY 2019 | MAIN ECONOMICS | FY 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € - M | € - M | Comments | |
| 368,7 | NET REVENUES | 322,0 | Reduction from Ariane 5 ramp-down partially compensated by Ariane 6 ramp-up and decrease in Vega production due to impact from COVID-19 on return to flight |
| 42,6 11,6% |
EBITDA REPORTED % on net revenues |
35,2 10,9% |
€8M not-recurring costs driven by Covid-19 (launch base in Guyana closure, return to flight launch missions repetition) |
| 44,0 11,9% |
EBITDA ADJUSTED % on net revenues |
43,3 13,4% |
Increase in operational costs by disruption of planning activities compensated by savings in industrial fixed costs |
| 26,5 7,2% 28,0 |
EBIT REPORTED % on net revenues EBIT Adjusted |
15,9 4,9% 24,0 |
Increase in amortization principally related to the start of exploitation of the new P120 engine (Ariane 6 / Vega C) and Zefiro 40 engine (Vega C) assets |
| 7,6% | % on net revenues | 7,5% | |
| 27,0 7,3% |
PROFIT BEFORE TAXES % on net revenues |
15,4 4,8% |
In 2019 one-offs in interest income on VAT tax credits refunded and in |
| 27,0 7,3% |
NET INCOME % on net revenues |
14,9 4,6% |
taxes |
Cash generation in 2020 thanks to working capital contribution
| 31 DEC 2019 | 31 DEC 2020 | DELTA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTUAL | MAIN SOURCES AND USES | ACTUAL | Comments | |
| € - M | € - M | € - M | ||
| (96,2) | WORKING CAPITAL | (111,9) | (15,7) | Working capital structurally negative with a timing improvement for the slowdown of certain |
| (43,4) | PROVISIONS (EMPLOYEES' BENEFITS AND RISKS) |
(43,0) | 0,4 | activities by suppliers and sub-contractors due to the Covid-19 pandemic |
| 77,8 | DEFERRED TAX ASSETS | 78,0 | 0,2 | |
| 61,0 | GOODWILL | 61,0 | - | |
| 36,6 | CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP ASSET | 33,6 | (3,0) | |
| 204,0 | FIXED ASSETS | 225,4 | 21,4 | Mainly for capex on P120,Vega cadence and |
| 6,1 | FINANCIAL RECEIVABLES | 6,3 | 0,2 | development of new lauchers of Vega family, net of depreciation |
| 245,9 | NET INVESTED CAPITAL | 249,4 | 3,5 | |
| 57,9 | NET CASH POSITION | 62,6 | 4,7 | |
| (303,9) | EQUITY | (312,0) | (8,1) | Positive contribution of 2020 net income, less |
| (245,9) | TOTAL SOURCES | (249,4) | (3,5) | share buyback (€ 6.4M) |
Data in €-M
❑ 2020 Highlights – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
❑ FY 2020 Financials – Alessandro Agosti (CFO)
❑ 2021 Outlook – Giulio Ranzo (CEO)
• Flight activity:
2021 and beyond
- Up to 3-4 flights for Ariane 5
- Up to 3 flights for Vega
- Vega C Maiden Flight preparation
- Production:
- P120 production ramp-up: up to 50% vs 2020
- Tactical propulsion production ramp-up: up to 20% vs 2020
- Progress on Space Rider and Vega E development
- Medium-term (2025) growth prospects more robust
- Order backlog to improve while approaching A6/Vc maiden flights
- Industrial efficiency to improve across A5/6 and V/Vc transition
New dividend policy and share buyback program to remunerate investors
FY 2020 proposed dividend
€ 0.285 dividend per share Total dividend distribution = €7.3M
Proposed modification
• Maximum dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% of net earnings
Objectives
• Increase the flexibility for the return to shareholders part of the liquidity generated by Avio operational performance
New dividend policy New share buyback program
Objectives
- Efficient use of liquidity generated by the ordinary business activities through a medium-long term investment
- Offer an additional return to shareholders along with dividend payments
- Possible use own shares in M&A transactions
- Possible use to serve incentive plans
Program scheme
• €9.1M maximum investment amount (as in the first program already completed)
Following the purchases made in the first buyback program, Avio S.p.A. holds no. 671,233 own shares, corresponding to 2.55% of the total Avio's shares (August 2019 – October 2020)
Quarterly pattern of Adjusted EBITDA and Net Cash Position
- Includes effects of IFRS 16
- Includes Non-recurring tax effect
Economics in line with industry performance, backlog and cash generation better than average
Data in €-M
Delta 2020 vs 2019 performance
Benchmark includes: Leonardo, Airbus, Safran, Dassault, Thales, OHB SOURCE: FY 2020 Results' Presentations