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Ashok Leyland Ltd. Audit Report / Information 2020

Mar 25, 2020

60668_rns_2020-03-25_c04b7bc5-4ee6-4489-94c7-427d4d2f8e38.pdf

Audit Report / Information

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March 25, 2020

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National Stock Exchange of India Limited BSE Limited Exchange Plaza Phiroze Jeejeebhoy Towers C-1, Block G, Bandra Kurla Complex Dalal Street Bandra (E), Mumbai - 400 051 Mumbai - 400 001 Scrip Code : ASHOKLEY Stock Symbol : 500477

Through : NEAPS Through: BSE Listing Centre

Dear Sirs/Madam,

Sub: Intimation under Regulation 30 (4) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015 - Credit Rating

Pursuant to Regulation 30 (4) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015 please find below the details of the revision in Credit Rating for the Company:

Name of the
agency
Instrument Amount
**(Rs. crore) **
Rating Action
ICRA Limited Long-term: Fund-based working
capital limits
2,000.00 [ICRA]AA (negative); downgraded
from [ICRA]AA+; outlook revised
from stable
Long-term: Term loans 500.00 [ICRA]AA(negative);assigned
Short-term: Non-fund-based limits 1,200.00 [ICRA]A1+;Reaffirmed
Long-term: Non-convertible
debenture
600.0 [ICRA]AA (negative); assigned
Short-term: Commercialpaper 2,000.00 [ICRA]A1+;Reaffirmed
Total 6,300.00

A copy of the report from the credit rating agency covering the rationale for revision in credit rating is enclosed for your information.

Yours faithfully, for ASHOK LEYLAND LIMITED

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N Ramanathan Company Secretary Encl.: a/a

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March 25, 2020

Ashok Leyland Limited: Long-term rating downgraded to [ICRA]AA (negative); short-term rating reaffirmed at [ICRA]A1+

Summary of rating action

Instrument* Previous Rated Amount
(Rs. crore)

Current Rated Amount
(Rs. crore)
Rating Action
Long-term: Fund-based working
capital limits
900.00 2,000.00 [ICRA]AA (negative);
downgraded from [ICRA]AA+;
outlook revised from stable
Long-term: Term loans - 500.00 [ICRA]AA (negative); assigned
Short-term: Non-fund based limits 750.00 1,200.00 [ICRA]A1+; Reaffirmed
Short-term: Unallocated 255.00 - -
Long-term: Non-convertible
debenture
- 600.0 [ICRA]AA (negative); assigned
Short-term: Commercial paper 2,000.00 2,000.00 [ICRA]A1+; Reaffirmed
Total 3,905.00 6,300.00

*Instrument details are provided in Annexure-1

Rationale

The rating action considers the expected deterioration in Ashok Leyland Limited’s (ALL) financial risk profile over the medium term with the longer than expected slowdown in domestic commercial vehicle (CV) industry and ALL’s increasing investment outlay in group entities. Demand sentiments remain weak amidst factors like slowing economic growth, surplus capacity, likely impact of COVID-19 on end user industries etc. This coupled with the higher than expected increase in debtfunded investments in group entities {including ~Rs. 390 crore in NBFC-arm, Hinduja Leyland Finance Limited (HLFL)} is likely to impact ALL’s debt coverage indicators over the next three to four quarters.

ALL’s dependence on the medium and heavy commercial vehicle (M&HCV) industry continues to be high despite some successful attempts at de-risking into light commercial vehicles (LCV). ALL’s sales volumes declined by 39% in the M&HCV segment and 6% in the LCV segment during 11m FY2020. To minimise the impact, the company has taken various cost control and stock correction measures, which supported by healthy financial flexibility with lenders is likely to mitigate the impact to an extent. The ratings remain tempered by vulnerability of ALL’s earnings to the inherent cyclicality in the CV industry, stiff competition in the industry, and subdued performance of few subsidiaries and group entities, necessitating continuous funding requirement. The ratings also consider ALL’s position as second largest player in the domestic M&HCV segment, its long operational track record, experienced management team, strong brand recall, product and technological capability and well-diversified network. The ratings also favourably consider ALL’s comfortable capital structure and strong liquidity position supported by healthy growth in revenues and earnings over the last three years (ending FY2019).

Key rating drivers and their description

Credit strengths

Strong operational profile - ALL, by virtue of its long-standing presence, diversified product portfolio, strong brand recall, well-diversified network presence, product and technological capability and its products finding application across key end-user industries, is a dominant player in the domestic M&HCV industry with a market share of 34% in FY2019. ALL’s market share declined to 32% in 11M FY2020 amidst intense competition. Over the last one decade, ALL has transformed from a South-centric to a pan-India player and holds a strong market share in most of the geographies that it operates in. Aggressive network expansion in non-south markets, strong brand outreach, new product launches, increased acceptance

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of its engines and technology, and strong servicing capabilities aided its market share gains. With the current transition to new emission norms (BS-VI) with effect from April 1, 2020 and its focus on new modular platform wherein it would work on a made-to-order production system, ALL expects to improve the market share with launch of more variants (in M&HCV, LCV and export segments), although vehicle pricing will be a key monitorable.

Comfortable credit metrics - ALL’s performance in the last three years (ending FY2019) was strong, supported by healthy demand from core industries, pickup in construction activities as well as pent-up demand post transition to Goods and Service Tax (GST). This coupled with turnaround in its key investee companies (especially the LCV-related subsidiaries[1] ) supported the improvement in ALL’s credit profile. ALL’s financial profile is characterised by comfortable capital structure and strong liquidity position supported by healthy growth in revenues and earnings in the last three years (ending FY2019). The standalone and consolidated gearing is estimated at 0.4x (standalone) and 0.6x (consolidated excluding NBFC related business) as of March 2020. The company’s liquidity position is supported by Rs. 1,700 crore of cash balances (as of January 2020) and sanctioned fund-based lines of Rs. 2,000 crore, on which the utilisation has been minimal.

Credit challenges

Vulnerability of earnings to the cyclicality and competition in CV industry - With over 85% of standalone revenues being derived from CV sales (in FY2019), ALL’s dependence on the inherently cyclical CV industry is high with close linkages of demand to economic development, industrial growth, investments in infrastructure and regulatory changes (emission norms, scrappage policy etc). CV demand has been sluggish in the last 18 months affected by slowing economic growth, revision in axle load norms, tightened lending environment and rise in operating costs impacting small fleet owners. ICRA expects the CV demand to remain subdued in FY2021. Also, the industry is characterised by intense competition with elevated pricing pressure from major players. ALL’s ability to maintain its market share and earnings profile and debt protection metrics will be key credit monitorable.

Around 88% and 91% of consolidated revenues and net profits respectively was derived from its standalone operations in FY2019. Due to the slowdown, ALL’s standalone revenues de-grew by ~32% while operating and net profits had declined by 54% and 78% respectively during the period Apr-Dec 2019. While the company has undertaken several cost control and stock corrective measures, the effect of lower revenues and higher dividend pay-out affected the cash accruals during 9M FY2020. During FY2020, the company paid out dividend of Rs. 1,093 crore and has declared an interim dividend of Rs. 0.5 per share in March 2020 (subject to approval of shareholders) taking the total pay-out to ~Rs. 1,270 crore. ALL has scaled down its standalone capital expenditure (capex) from Rs. 1,800 crore to ~Rs. 1,300 crore for FY2020; while the investment spend in its group entities is estimated at ~Rs. 600 crore (including ~Rs. 390 crore in NBFC-arm, HLFL). For FY2021, the cumulative spend on capex and investments is expected to be less than Rs. 700 crore.

Increased investment in group companies and subdued performance of key investee entities - Over the years, ALL has written off/closed several loss-making ventures and remains open to further pruning of investments, if required. While the funding support to the investee company have gradually reduced in recent years, the performance of few key investee entities remains subdued (especially Optare PLC and Ashok Leyland (UAE) LLC).

Breaking away from past trends, the company is increasing its stake in its NBFC arm during March 2020. Given the current market conditions, this investment is entirely debt funded. This coupled with subdued performance of key investee entities like (Optare PLC, Albonair GmBH, Ashok Leyland (UAE) LLC) will result in moderation of consolidated earnings and debt coverage indicators over the next few quarters. Nevertheless, some of these investments are aimed at strengthening technological capabilities and achieving business and geographical diversification. The ability of these investee entities to achieve self-sustenance and support the consolidated cash flows will remain critical credit monitorables.

1 Ashok Leyland Vehicles Limited, Ashley Powertrain Limited and Ashok Leyland Technologies Limited were merged with ALL in FY2019

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Liquidity position: Strong

ALL’s liquidity is strong with cash and liquid investments of over Rs. 1,700 crore as of January 2020, and sanctioned fundbased lines of Rs. 2,000 crore, on which the utilisation has been minimal. The company primarily uses the low-cost commercial paper (Rs. 2,000 crore) for funding its working capital requirements. While the ongoing slowdown shall restrict the operational cashflows in near-term, the same is likely to improve over the medium term.

Rating sensitivities

Positive triggers: Negative outlook on the long-term rating currently restricts an upgrade in the rating. Sustained improvement in earnings, cashflows and debt coverage metrics supported by a faster than expected revival in demand shall support a favourable rating action.

Negative triggers: Downward pressure on the rating could arise with sharp deterioration in ALL’s financial profile affected by longer than expected recovery in demand scenario, high debt funded capital expenditure/investment in group companies or dividend payouts.

Analytical approach

Analytical Approach
Comments
Applicable Rating Methodologies
Corporate Credit Rating Methodology
Rating Methodology for Commercial Vehicle Industry
Parent/Group Support
Not Applicable
For arriving at the ratings, ICRA has considered the consolidated financials of ALL,
Consolidation / Standalone
excluding the NBFC-subsidiary - Hinduja Leyland Finance Limited (HLFL). However,
the analysis considers the ongoing and future funding support likely to be
extended by ALL to HLFL.

About the company

ALL is the second-largest manufacturer in the M&HCV segment in India. ALL is the flagship entity of the Hinduja Group. ALL’s key products include buses, trucks, engines, defence and special vehicles. It has manufacturing plants located in Ennore (Tamil Nadu), Hosur (Tamil Nadu), Alwar (Rajasthan), Bhandara (Maharashtra), and Pantnagar (Uttarakhand). In FY2019, ALL merged its wholly-owned LCV-related subsidiaries namely Ashok Leyland Vehicles Limited, Ashley Powertrain Limited and Ashok Leyland Technologies Limited with itself to have operational synergies and greater flexibility in decision making.

Key financial indicators (audited)

Standalone Standalone Consolidated# Consolidated#
FY2018 FY2019 FY2018 FY2019
Operating Income (Rs. crore) 26,356.4 29,055.0 29,635.6 33,196.8
PAT (Rs. crore) 1,717.7 1,983.2 1,813.8 2,194.6
OPBDIT/OI (%) 11.2% 10.8% 14.3% 14.8%
RoCE (%) 30.8% 30.9% 17.4% 16.8%
Total Outside Liabilities/Tangible Net Worth (times) 1.4 1.2 3.0 3.0
Total Debt/OPBDIT (times) 0.4 0.2 3.7 3.9
Interest Coverage (times) 20.1 44.6 3.5 3.3
DSCR 2.6 4.2 1.0 0.9

Source: ALL, ICRA research; OPBDITA: Operating Profit before Depreciation, Interest and Taxes; PAT: Profit after Tax; RoCE: Return on Capital Employed #Consolidated includes NBFC; however, the NBFC numbers has been excluded for analysis purpose

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Status of non-cooperation with previous CRA: Not applicable

Any other information: None

Rating history for past three years

Instrument
Current Rating (FY2020)
Chronology of Rating History for
the past 3 years
Type
Amount
Rated
(Rs.
crore)
Amount
Outstand
ing (Rs.
crore)
FY2020
FY2018
FY2017
March
2020
July
2019
April
2019
March
2018
Sep
2017
Jan 2017
Instrument
Current Rating (FY2020)
Chronology of Rating History for
the past 3 years
Type
Amount
Rated
(Rs.
crore)
Amount
Outstand
ing (Rs.
crore)
FY2020
FY2018
FY2017
March
2020
July
2019
April
2019
March
2018
Sep
2017
Jan 2017
1
Commercial
paper
Short term
2,000
NA
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
2Non-convertible
Debenture
Long term
195.0
195.0
[ICRA]AA
(negative)
-
Withdrawn[ICRA]AA
(positive)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
3
Fund based
limits
Long term
2,000
NA
[ICRA]AA
(negative)
[ICRA]AA+
(stable)
[ICRA]AA+
(stable)
[ICRA]AA
(positive)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
4 Term loans
Long term
500.0
500.0
[ICRA]AA
(negative)
-
-
[ICRA]AA
(positive)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
[ICRA]AA
(stable)
5
Non-
fundbased
limits
Short term
1,200
NA
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
6Fund based
limits
Short term
0.0
NA
-
-
-
[ICRA]A1+ [ICRA]A1+ [ICRA]A1+
7
Unallocated
Short term
0.0
NA
-
[ICRA]A1+
[ICRA]A1+
-
-
-

Amount in Rs. crore

Complexity level of the rated instrument

ICRA has classified various instruments based on their complexity as "Simple", "Complex" and "Highly Complex". The classification of instruments according to their complexity levels is available on the website click here

Annexure-1: Instrument details

Date of
Issuance / Coupon
Maturity
Amount Rated Current Rating and
ISIN No Instrument Name Sanction Rate Date (Rs. crore) Outlook
NA Cash Credit/WCDL - - - 2,000.00 [ICRA]AA (negative)
NA Non-fund based - - - 1,200.00 [ICRA]A1+
NA Commercial paper - ~6% 7-365 days 2,000.00 [ICRA]A1+
NA Term loans Sep 2020 ~8% FY2026 500.0 [ICRA]AA (negative)
NA NCD NA NA NA 600.00 [ICRA]AA (negative)

Source: ALL

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Annexure-2: List of entities considered for consolidation (as of 31.03.2019)

Company name Ownership Consolidation Approach
Subsidiaries
Global TVS Bus Body Builders Limited 66.67% Full consolidation
Gulf Ashley Motor Limited 92.98% Full consolidation
Optare Plc and its subsidiaries 99.11% Full consolidation
Ashok Leyland (Nigeria) Limited 100.00% Full consolidation
Ashok Leyland (Chile) SA 100.00% Full consolidation
HLF Services Limited 82.38% Full consolidation
Albonair (India) Private Limited 100.00% Full consolidation
Albonair GmbH and its subsidiary 100.00% Full consolidation
Ashok Leyland (UAE) LLC and its subsidiaries 100.00% Full consolidation
Ashley Aviation Limited 100.00% Full consolidation
Joint ventures
Ashley Alteams India Limited 50.00% Equity method
Hinduja Tech Limited 62.00% Equity method
Associates
Ashok Leyland Defence Systems Limited 48.49% Equity method
Mangalam Retail Services Limited 37.48% Equity method
Lanka Ashok Leyland Plc 27.85% Equity method

Note - Ashok Leyland Vehicles Limited, Ashley Powertrain Limited and Ashok Leyland Technologies Limited (erstwhile subsidiaries) were merged with ALL in FY2019

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Analyst Contacts

Subrata Ray

+91 22 6114 3408 [email protected]

Pavethra Ponniah

+91 44 4596 4314 [email protected]

Sri Kumar K

+91 44 4596 4318 [email protected]

Relationship Contact

L Shivakumar

+91 22 2433 1084 [email protected]

Media and Public Relations Contact

Ms. Naznin Prodhani Tel: +91 124 4545 860 [email protected]

Helpline for business queries:

  • 91-9354738909 (open Monday to Friday, from 9:30 am to 6 pm)

[email protected]

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About ICRA Limited

ICRA Limited was set up in 1991 by leading financial/investment institutions, commercial banks and financial services companies as an independent and professional investment Information and Credit Rating Agency.

Today, ICRA and its subsidiaries together form the ICRA Group of Companies (Group ICRA). ICRA is a Public Limited Company, with its shares listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange. The international Credit Rating Agency Moody’s Investors Service is ICRA’s largest shareholder.

For more information, visit www.icra.in

ICRA Limited

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© Copyright, 2020 ICRA Limited. All Rights Reserved.

Contents may be used freely with due acknowledgement to ICRA.

ICRA ratings should not be treated as recommendation to buy, sell or hold the rated debt instruments. ICRA ratings are subject to a process of surveillance, which may lead to revision in ratings. An ICRA rating is a symbolic indicator of ICRA’s current opinion on the relative capability of the issuer concerned to timely service debts and obligations, with reference to the instrument rated. Please visit our website www.icra.in or contact any ICRA office for the latest information on ICRA ratings outstanding. All information contained herein has been obtained by ICRA from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable, including the rated issuer. ICRA however has not conducted any audit of the rated issuer or of the information provided by it. While reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information herein is true, such information is provided ‘as is’ without any warranty of any kind, and ICRA in particular, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of any such information. Also, ICRA or any of its group companies may have provided services other than rating to the issuer rated. All information contained herein must be construed solely as statements of opinion, and ICRA shall not be liable for any losses incurred by users from any use of this publication or its contents.

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