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AMP LIMITED Annual Report 2008

Feb 18, 2009

64379_rns_2009-02-18_bb395649-ee60-40a1-8b07-ce3e270d250f.pdf

Annual Report

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2008 full year results

Craig Dunn

Chief Executive Officer

Paul Leaming Chief Financial Officer

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Executive summary

  • Sound result in tough market underscores resilience of AMP’s business

  • Underlying profit of A$810m, with good profit growth in nonAUM businesses

  • Controllable cost growth kept to 1%

  • Contemporary wealth management net cashflows over A$2b

  • Capital resources exceed minimum regulatory requirements (MRR) by A$898m

  • Group gearing low at 14% on an S&P basis, with high underlying interest cover at 10.9 times

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Outline

  • Group overview

  • Business line review

  • Financial overview

  • Outlook and strategy

  • Summary

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Key performance measures

  • Underlying return on equity increased 1.0 percentage points to 38.9%

  • Total operating earnings of A$737m, down 4%

  • Cost ratio up to 41.3% from 39.7% in FY 07

  • Growth measures:

  • Net cashflows in AMP Financial Services of A$1.4b, down from A$2.9b in FY 07; AMP Capital Investors external net cashflows A$(804m) down from A$1.7b

  • Value of risk new business[1] up 41% to A$114m

  • 63% of AUM met or exceeded benchmark over five years

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Overview – 2008 full year profit summary

A$m FY 08 FY 07 % change
AFS Contemporary Wealth Management 266 306 -13%
AFS Contemporary Wealth Protection 154 119 +29%
AFS Mature 161 190 -15%
AFS New Zealand 56 48 +17%
AMP Capital Investors 136 150 -9%
BU operating earnings 773 813 -5%
Group office costs (36) (43) -16%
Total operating earnings 737 770 -4%
Underlying investment income 140 158 -11%
Interest expense on Group debt (82) (59) +39%
AMP Limited tax loss recognition 15 13 +15%
Underlying profit 810 882 -8%
Market adjustment – investment income (260) 13 -
Discontinued business – Cobalt/Gordian - 171 -
Other items 73 7 -
Seed pool valuation adjustments (42) - -
Profit after income tax before timing differences 581 1,073 -46%
Market adjustment – annuity fair value (117) (13) -
Loan hedge revaluations
Accounting mismatches
(41)
157
(4)
(71)
-
-

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Overview – assets under management

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140
129
121
120 18.5
18.9
104 1.8 105
2.3
100
90 16.2
18.3
1.5
3.1
80 18.9
3.4
60
108.8
100.2
87.1
40 82.3
67.3
20
A$b 0
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08
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Overview – group cost performance

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900 871 879
812
800 782 780
94bps
81bps
700 45.8%
75bps
72bps
68bps
41.7%
600 39.6%
41.3%
39.7%
500
400
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08
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Capital management

  • Approach to capital management based on priority to preserve capital in volatile market and maintain balance sheet strength

  • Proactive management of both capital and funding requirements have enhanced AMP’s financial strength, despite ongoing volatility

  • Raised A$559m in equity in Nov/Dec through over-subscribed institutional and retail raisings

  • Raised A$350m in senior debt in May, as part of ongoing program of refinancing corporate debt maturities well ahead of time

  • Range of other capital management initiatives to limit market impacts on capital requirements

  • Final declared dividend of 16cps takes total FY 08 dividend to 38cps – representing a payout ratio of 89% of underlying profit

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Business line review

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AMP Financial Services – FY 08 highlights

  • Diversified business delivered solid results in difficult environment, with operating earnings of A$637m, down 4% on FY 07, despite 19% fall in AUM

  • Contemporary Wealth Management’s operating earnings down 13% to A$266m reflecting impact of market turbulence

  • Contemporary Wealth Protection’s earnings up 29% as a result of strong new business growth and better claims experience

  • Operating earnings for the New Zealand business up 17% driven by risk growth, improved claims experience, cost control and success in KiwiSaver

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AFS overview – FY 08 cashflows

  • Resilient business model and strong mandated super position drove relative outperformance in cashflows, despite fall in member contributions

  • Total net cashflows of A$1.4b compared with A$2.9b in FY 07

  • Retail superannuation and pensions/annuities net cashflows of A$1.3b compared to A$2.4b in FY 07

  • Corporate super net cashflows (ex-mandate wins) up 57% to A$554m, largely driven by solid employer contributions

  • NZ net cashflows increased to A$126m from A$73m in FY 07

1

  • Positive net cashflows helped drive market share growth of 0.5%

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AFS overview – FY 08 cashflows

  • Planner channels reflected investor reticence but still had positive cashflows

  • AMP Financial Planning net cashflows of A$863m compared to A$2b in FY 07

  • Hillross net cashflows of A$56m compared to A$664m in FY 07

  • Persistency¹ strengthened across the board

  • Overall persistency up to 90.3% from 88.6%

  • Retail super persistency up to 91.9% from 89.3%

  • Corporate super persistency up to 94.0% from 92.0%

  • Allocated annuities and pensions persistency up to 86.8% from 83.0%

  • Outflows slowed

  • Outflows overall down 18% to A$13b from $16b

  • Outflows from Mature book down 22% on FY 07

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AFS – cost performance

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600
560
553
546
533 535
500
100bps
87bps
42.8%
400 76bps
75bps
69bps
300 38.5%
35.2% 35.4%
200
34.2%
100
0
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08
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AFS Australian contemporary wealth management

Contemporary
wealth management
Change
FY 08
FY 07
Operating earnings A$266m
A$306m
- 13%
Controllable costs1 A$352m1
A$354m
+ 1%
Cost to income ratio1 42.7%1
46.5%
+ 3.8 percentage points
Net cashflows A$2,077m
A$4,086m
- 49%
Operating earnings to AUM2 48bps
54bps
- 6 basis points
Persistency 88.5%
90.3%
+ 1.8 percentage points
AUM (pre capital) A$43.4b
A$56.5b
- 23%
Return on equity 46.5%
54.1%
- 7.6 percentage points

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AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection

Contemporary Contemporary Contemporary Contemporary
wealth protection Change
FY 08 FY 07
Profit margins A$135m A$115m + 17%
Experience profits A$19m A$4m + A$15m
Operating earnings A$154m A$119m + 29%
Operating earnings / API1 23.9% 20.7% + 3.2 percentage points
Controllable costs A$78m A$73m + 7%
Individual risk API A$547m A$469m + 17%
Individual risk lapse rate 10.8% 10.6% + 0.2 percentage points
RoEV pre transfers @ 3%
discount margin
22.9% 8.2% + 14.7 percentage points
VNB @ 3% discount margin² A$90m A$65m + 39%
Return on equity 31.5% 28.9% + 2.6 percentage points

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AFS Australian mature

Mature Mature Mature Change
FY 08 FY 07
Operating earnings A$161m A$190m - 15%
Controllable costs A$64m A$64m Steady
Controllable costs/AUM1 37bps 34bps + 3 basis points
Net cashflows (A$1,036m) (A$1,433m) + 28%
Persistency 89.7% 87.0% + 2.7 percentage points
AUM (pre-capital) A$16.1b A$18.4b - 13%
RoEV pre transfers @ 3%
discount margin
(19.6%) 18.9% - 38.5 percentage points
VNB @ 3% discount margin² A$21m A$32m - 34%
Return on equity 158.2% 193.3% - 35.1 percentage points

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AFS New Zealand

New Zealand New Zealand New Zealand Change
FY 08 FY 07
Profit margins A$50m A$47m + 6%
Experience profits A$6m A$1m + A$5m
Operating earnings A$56m A$48m + 17%
Controllable costs A$64m A$64m steady
Cost to income ratio 41.4% 44.3% - 2.9 percentage points
Individual risk API¹ A$112m A$104m + 8%
Lapse rates 8.2% 7.1% + 1.1 percentage points
Net cashflows A$126m A$73m + A$53m
AUM (pre capital) A$4.5b A$4.7b - 4%
RoEV pre transfers @ 3%
discount margin²
16.5% 11.7% + 4.8 percentage points
VNB @ 3% discount margin3,4
Return on equity
A$26m
27.2%
A$20m
27.6%
+ 30%
- 0.4 percentage points

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AMP Capital Investors – FY 08 highlights

  • Solid performance with operating earnings down 9% on FY 07 to A$136m

  • Total management fees increased 3% to A$387m from A$375m, reflecting a change in product mix and growth in non-AUM sourced income

  • Performance and transaction fees of A$86m, down from A$94m

  • AUM fell 17% to A$92b from A$111b in FY 07, driven by falling investment markets

  • Tight cost control and lower staff remuneration held costs to 4% increase over FY 07

  • 63% of AUM met or exceeded benchmark over five years to 31 December 2008, impacted by extraordinary markets in 2008, when 17% of AUM met or exceeded benchmark

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AMPCI overview – FY 08 key financial results

AMPCI AMPCI AMPCI Change
FY 08 FY 07
Operating earnings A$136m A$150m - 9%
Internal management fees A$176m A$170m + 4%
External management fees A$211m A$205m + 3%
Total performance &
transaction fees
1
A$86m A$94m - 9%
Controllable costs A$268m A$257m + 4%
Cost to income ratio 56.3% 53.1% + 3.2 percentage points
External net cashflows (A$804m) A$1.71b
Return on equity 59.9% 64.2% - 4.3 percentage points

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AMPCI – drivers of cashflows

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120
1.4
0.1
110 111.1 (0.2) (0.5) (0.1) (0.4)
(1.6)
100
(18.0) 91.8
90
80
External Internal
A$b 70
AUM at Australian Asian NZ market Australian AMP Australian NZ market Investment AUM at 31
31 Dec 07 market distribution flows run-off flows returns and Dec 08
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AMPCI – volumes and profit margins

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120 13.6 13.4
11.7 41.5
100
10.8
39.2
35.7
9.7
80
28.8
23.6
60
51.0 56.0 62.1 69.0 62.4
40
20
0
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08
$Ab
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AMPCI fund quartile performance

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Australian Australian Australian Balanced
Direct Property Equities Fixed Interest Growth
Return Ranking Return Ranking Return Ranking Return Ranking
5 years 12.57 Q1 9.21 Q2 6.83 Q1 5.9 Q1
3 years 12.82 Q2 -1.35 Q2 6.72 Q1 - 1.05 Q1
1 year 0.92 Q2 -34.77 Q2 13.92 Q2 - 24.23 Q3
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AMPCI – performance against benchmarks

63% of AUM met or exceeded benchmark over five years 40% over three years and 17% over 12 months to 31 December 08

Multi-manager

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AMPCI managed Multi-manager
98%
97%
94%
88%
Target 73%
69%
75%
61%
53% 53%
51%
43%
32%
29%
27%
22%
21%
15%
6%
4%
3%
0% 0% 0% [2%]
Australasian Australasian Infrastructure Property Diversified International International Diversified
equities fixed interest and private equities fixed interest
equity
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AMPCI – performance fee breakdown

Performance fees by asset class

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Property
Equities
25% 27%
Private equity
Infrastructure
16%
32%
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Performance fees by benchmark v absolute return

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Absolute
33%
Relative
67%
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AMPCI – cost performance

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300
268
257
250 61.7%
57.8%
223 56.3%
53.1%
56.0%
198
200 184
150
26.4bps
24.7bps
23.3bps 22.8bps 23.3bps
100
50
A$m 0
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Financial overview

Paul Leaming Chief Financial Officer

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Financial overview – key points on P&L

Interest expense on Group
A$m FY 08 FY 07 % debt – includes cost of
change holding additional senior
debt for 6 months
Total operating earnings 737 770 -4%
Interest expense on Group debt
Underlying investment income
(82)
140
(59)
158
+39%
-11%
Investment income market
adjustment – mostly
consistent with current
AMP Limited tax loss recognition 15 13 +15% sensitivities
Market adjustment – investment income
Underlying profit
(260)
810
13
882
-8%
-
Other items – provision
releases, project costs
Discontinued business – Cobalt/Gordian - 171 - written off
Other items
Seed pool valuation adjustments
73
(42)
7
-
-
-
Seed pool – abnormal
revaluation losses on
Profit after income tax before timing differences 581 1,073 -46% Singapore property and
retirement village assets
Market adjustment – annuity fair value (117) (13) - Timing differences:
Loan hedge revaluations (41) (4) - Annuities:
Accounting mismatches 157 (71) - - widening credit spreads, no
defaults
Net profit attributable to shareholders of AMP 580 985 -41% - change in liability valuation

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Financial overview – capital movements 2H 08

A$m

Capital resources AMP Life
Statutory
Funds
AMP
Group
As at 30 June 2008 1,162 1,473
2H 08 statutory profits 212 214
Mismatch items - (69)
Dividend (net of DRP) - (365)
Capital raising - 559
Movements in intangibles - 104
Subordinated debt amortisation - (53)
Defined benefit fund deficit - (88)
Transfer of AMP head office building 1 211 -
Year end profit transfer (70) -
Other 12 (48)
As at 31 December 2008 1,527 1,727

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Financial overview – capital movements 2H 08 A$m

Minimum regulatory capital requirements AMP Life
Statutory
Funds
AMP
Group
As at 30 June 2008 521 808
AMP Life impact of investment markets
1
328 328
Tactical equities and bonds protection (206) (206)
Asset mix changes (116) (116)
AMP Life net risk business capital requirements 74 74
AMP Life reduction in investment linked AUM (22) (22)
Net movements in non-Life businesses - (37)
As at 31 December 2008 579 829
Excess above regulatory requirements
2
As at 30 June 2008 641 665

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Financial overview – capital sensitivity

  • These sensitivities are a point in time view of the impact of movements in equity markets, bond yields and property values on the 31 December 2008 capital position

  • AMP’s dynamic capital management framework includes market-related trigger points at which management will take action to reduce the impact of market movements on its capital position

  • These sensitivities do not make any allowance for these management actions

31 December 2008 capital sensitivities –
regulatory capital resources above MRR
AMP Life
Statutory
Funds
AMP
Group
1
Actual 31 December 2008 (ASX 200 @ 3,722, Australian bond yields @ 4%) 948 898
Equity sensitivity - ASX 200 @ 4,000
@ 3,500
@ 3,000
@ 2,500
Australian bond yield sensitivity - @ 5.0%
90
(80)
(260)
(440)
(140)
110
(100)
(310)
(520)
(130)
- @ 4.5% (60) (50)
- @ 3.5% (70) (80)
- @ 3.0%
Property sensitivity - 10% increase in unlisted property values
- 10% reduction in unlisted property values
(250)
100
(130)
(260)
100
(130)

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Financial overview – capital management strategy

  • AMP remains strongly capitalised, with A$898m in surplus capital above MRR, reflecting disciplined and dynamic capital management approach

  • Capital management strategy aims to deliver:

  • strong balance sheet in a challenging market, with focus on capital preservation

  • business flexibility for growth

  • optimised capital mix, subject to market conditions

  • Capacity to raise up to A$660m additional Tier 2 capital

� Intend to replace maturing A$267m in subordinated debt with

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Financial overview – dividend

  • Final dividend of 16cps, franked to 85%, takes FY 08 dividend to 38cps¹ – a payout ratio of 89% of underlying profit.

  • Dividend decision driven by:

  • current cash earnings

  • expected future underlying profits (1-2 years)

  • preservation of capital and balance sheet strength

  • Prudent decision consistent with overall capital strategy of maintaining strong balance sheet in a challenging market, particularly given material worsening of market since 1H 08

  • Target payout ratio likely to be in range of 75%-85% of underlying profits going forward

  • DRP (uncapped, issued not bought) will be offered at a 2.5% discount

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Financial overview – franking

  • Sufficient franking credits to frank final dividend to 85%

  • Tax payable in 2H 08 significantly down on prior periods due to impact of markets

  • Supply of franking credits reduced as a result of interim dividend being greater than earnings

  • 85% franking ratio remains appropriate target provided investment markets stabilise

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Financial overview – shareholder debt profile

Repayment (years) 31 Dec 2008 31 Dec 2007
A$m A$m
0-1 443 190
1-2 230 267
2-5 748 629
5-10 - -
10+ 83 83
  • Group gearing remains low at 14% on an S&P basis, while underlying interest cover is high at 10.9 times

  • Program of refinancing or repaying corporate debt maturities well ahead of time continues

  • A$443m of 0-1 year debt comprises:

  • A$267m subordinated debt callable in August 09

  • A$76m of commercial paper with maturities ranging up to 3 months

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Financial overview – summary

  • Proactive management of capital resources has strengthened AMP’s capital position despite continuing market turbulence

  • Significant flexibility remains for management to take action to preserve capital against further market downturn

  • Future dividend payout likely to be in the range of 75% to 85% of underlying profit, targeting 85% franking

  • Strong bias remains toward having more capital rather than less in the current environment

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Outlook & strategy

Craig Dunn Chief Executive Officer

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Market outlook – short term

  • Continued market volatility through 2009

  • Full consequences of credit crunch still working way through economy

  • Subdued investor sentiment

  • Flight to safety and quality

  • ‘Deleveraging’ of households

  • Returns favouring liquid investors

  • Rapidly changing competitive environment

  • New opportunities for strong, well-capitalised industry participants

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Short-term priorities

  • Prudently managing costs, liquidity and capital to protect our financial position in the short term

  • Ongoing focus on risk management, as risks heightened in volatile and uncertain environment

  • Acting on opportunities to sustain and improve revenues in current market, by

  • Growing revenues in non AUM-based businesses

    • eg banking and risk insurance
  • Improving investment performance

  • Focusing strongly on customer retention

  • Continuing investment to increase scale and productivity of our distribution footprint

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Outlook – costs

  • Total controllable costs moderated in 2H 08 (down 3% on 2H 07), reflecting actions to reduce cost base, including lower staff numbers

  • AFS costs expected to be around 3% lower in FY 09 on FY 08, as continued investment in growth initiatives is offset by cost efficiencies

  • AMPCI costs will be managed closely, contingent on market opportunities and conditions, and variables such as staff remuneration and increased technology spend

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Market outlook – medium to long term

  • Robust growth outlook for wealth management sectors in Australia, New Zealand and selected :

  • Asian markets, underpinned by

  • Ageing demographics

  • Bi-partisan party support for mandatory superannuation regime in Australia – super now tax free after age 60

  • KiwiSaver and PIE initiatives in New Zealand

  • Economic, social and political development in selected Asian markets, opening up new sources of funds and assets

  • Long-term outlook for key geographic markets

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Outlook – growth goal

  • Over-arching goal to deliver top quartile TSR performance to shareholders

  • Aim to be in top 25% of the top 50 listed Australian industrials in terms of total shareholder returns over every five-year cycle

  • Strong alignment between shareholder goal and long term incentive (LTI) for executives

  • Requires prudent and pragmatic management of costs, capital and liquidity in current market, while maintaining investment in critical growth initiatives for medium to long term (and as markets recover)

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Strategic response

Continuing to invest today in improving distribution and enhancing products and services to drive strong value growth over the longer term by:

  1. Growing planner capacity and broadening distribution

  2. Expanding to Asia through AMP Capital Investors

  3. Growing customers in high-value segments

  4. Reshaping AMP Capital Investors into a high value-add investment manager

  5. Building our capacity for profitable growth

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1. Growing planner capacity and broadening distribution

Goal: Strengthen core planner franchise, while building new channels to reach more customers in high-value segments by:

increasing planner numbers and improving their productivity in the short term

  • Planner numbers up by 63 planners or 3% to 2,095; 27 new AMPFP planner practices and 7 new Hillross practices added to AFS network

  • Continued strong interest in planner academy, with over 3,600 total applications to date

  • New planner software to improve productivity now rolled out to 212 practices

  • Paraplanning services extended to 175 practices

  • Increased take-up of low-touch program, with almost 130,000 clients now being serviced

developing broader, complementary distribution channels in both AFS and AMPCI over the medium term

  • AMPCI capabilities now represented on 38 of the top 50 Australian retail platforms, with the Core Property, the Small Companies, Responsible Investment Leaders and Sustainable funds recently added to leading external platforms

  • 32% increase in insurance new business distributed through third party and mortgage broker market

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2. Expanding to Asia through AMP Capital Investors

Goal: Establish AMPCI as strong competitor in select investment capabilities in targeted Asian funds management markets by:

expanding Asian distribution channels and alliances to market existing Australian and global products in the short term

  • AMPCI products now distributed in Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, Korea

  • Strengthened distribution team, appointing Head of Institutional Business in Japan

  • Won mandates from Japan’s T&D Asset Management for European and Asia Pacific infrastructure funds

establishing investment capabilities in Asia to manage Asian assets over the medium term

  • Appointed a Head of Asia Pacific Equities; Head of Private Debt Asia; Co-head of Infrastructure Asia

  • Won 2nd China Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) mandate of US$100m - the only Australian investment manager to have received two QFII mandates

  • Established investment advisory office in Beijing and signed Memorandum of Understanding with China Life Asset Management Company, China’s largest asset

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3. Growing customers in high-value segments

Goal:

Attract new customers and develop stronger relationships with existing customers in high-value segments with new offers based on customer needs by:

  • developing and rolling out improved product and service offerings, and extending relationships with customers over the medium term � In 2008 AFS rolled out:

    • The insurance offering Loan Cover, along with several risk enhancements

    • AMP Super Cash – a deposit product with AMP Banking that provides low risk investment returns in a superannuation environment – to Corporate Superannuation customers

    • AMP Banking’s First Home Saver Account

    • Term deposits on super and pension investment menus

    • The AMP Growth Bond

  • Customer Value pilots reached more than 8,000 customers in two tests in ’08; ramping up to reach over 36,000 customers in ’09 with targeted offers

  • AMPCI focusing on customers in high-value markets in Asia and Europe; new mandates from:

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4. Reshaping AMP Capital Investors into a high value-add investment manager

Goal: Drive margin growth in higher value business and market segments, by delivering superior value to clients by:

refreshing investment platforms and research capabilities in short term

  • Continued investment in technology platforms to underpin growth initiatives in Asia and new investment capabilities

expanding investment capabilities in higher value segments which are more specialised and attract higher margins

  • Continued to attract higher management fees externally than internally

  • Launched Asian Giants Infrastructure Fund, raising A$145m and intends its initial investment to be a minority stake in an Indian infrastructure company

  • Continued shopping centre investment program; portfolio 41 centres strong

  • Made two new infrastructure acquisitions in Europe totalling £300m

  • Continuing to build strong external recognition of investment capabilities

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5. Building our capacity for profitable growth

Goal: Provide a strong platform to support business growth by:

continuing to invest in people, technology and brand

  • Purpose-built programs (eg Sustainable Leadership Program in AFS and Investment Leadership Initiative in AMPCI) to attract, develop and retain key talent

  • Continuing to simplify and rationalise existing technology platforms, while building new systems and processes to support business growth, eg

  • Separately Managed Account platform, AMP Super Cash, Loan Cover, documentation simplification program and new planner software in AFS

  • Continued investment in technology platforms to underpin growth initiatives in Asia and new investment capabilities

  • New advertising campaign showing AMP as more contemporary, smart and high performing

  • Investing in business process management technologies to drive cost-efficient growth

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Summary

  • Sound FY 08 results in testing environment demonstrates fundamental resilience of AMP’s business model, planner base and brand

  • Managing business tightly through short term volatility while investing to set business up for stronger growth over the medium to longer term

  • Capital preservation and balance sheet strength a key priority, to enable business to withstand market volatility and provide strong base for future growth

  • Remain confident of long term prospects for wealth management sectors in Australia, NZ and selected Asian markets

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Appendices

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Further information about…

Further information about… Further information about…
Topic Chart
AMP’s earnings by business line 51
AFS cashflows by channel and product line 52, 53
AMP Banking

Business and funding model
54

Business profile
55
Non-listed asset valuations 56 - 58
AMP fixed interest portfolio – shareholder exposure 59
Legacy book – impact of markets 60
Comparison of gross returns with gross crediting rate 61
Shareholder funds portfolio 62
5 year dividend chart 63

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AMP’s earnings by business line

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FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08
AFS Contemporary Wealth Protection AFS New Zealand operating earnings
operating earnings
154
56
52
121 119 50 48
107
40
82
A$m
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AFS net cashflows by major channel on rolling 12 month basis

(A$m)

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Corporate Super direct
3,500 Corporate Super – exc. mandate wins
Corporate Super
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
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Hillross
2,300
Hillross
1,800
1,300
800
300
-200
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
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2,500 AMP Financial Planning
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
-500
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
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2,300 New Zealand
New Zealand
1,800
1,300
800
300
-200
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
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AFS net cashflows by wealth management product line on rolling 12 month basis

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(A$m)
Corporate Super 1 AMP-manufactured retail products 2
3,500 Corporate Super – exc. mandate wins 3,000
Corporate Super
2,500
3,000
2,000
2,500
1,500
2,000 1,000
1,500 500
0
1,000
-500
500 -1,000
0 -1,500
-2,000
External platforms 2,500 Mature
2,000
1,500
1,500
1,000 1,000
500 500
0
0
-500
-500
-1,000
-1,000
-1,500
-1,500 -2,000
-2,000 -2,500
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
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AMP Banking – business and funding model

  • Branchless Australian bank offering residential mortgages, deposits and white-labeled credit cards

  • Direct and third-party distribution, including AMP Financial Planning and mortgage brokers

  • Operating earnings of A$21m ($A10m at FY 07)

  • Capital adequacy ratio of 12.2% at 31 Dec 2008

  • A$9.6b mortgage book (66% mortgage insured); 1% market share of residential lending

  • Less than 4% of residential mortgages are classified as low doc and are 100% mortgage insured

  • The weighted average LVR for the total mortgage portfolio is 56%

  • Loans with LVR >80% at origination are mortgage insured

  • 90+ day arrears at 0.57% (0.31% at FY 07)

  • Historical bad debt experience totals $1.7m over the past 5 years

  • Doubtful debt provision of $0.9m and specific provision of $1.3m at Dec 08

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AMP Banking – business profile

Credit quality

Deposit mix

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1.20% 90+ days past due
1.00%
0.80%
0.60%
0.40%
0.20%
0.00%
Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08
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2007 2008
14% 9%
Cash Management 21% 10%
Business Saver
3%
Investment Accounts 13%
46% 4%
Transaction Accounts
Savings Accounts 7%
22%
Term Deposits 0% 16%
Super Deposits
23% 12%
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Deposit growth relative to market

Strong mortgage growth relative to market

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AMP Bank Limited Total Market
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AMP Bank Limited Total Market
7.00% 3.50%
6.00%
5.00% 3.00%
4.00% 2.50%
3.00%
2.00%
2.00%
1.00% 1.50%
0.00% 1.00%
-1.00%
0.50%
-2.00%
-3.00% 0.00%
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Non-listed asset valuations

Asset type Portfolio Valuation approach in current Valuation approach in current Outcome
size market
�Valuation cycle twice a year for major �High quality core property
properties portfolio
Property A$18.1b
AMP Life
�Independent external valuers use a range
of market data to arrive at fair value,
including comparable sales analysis,
discounted cash flow analysis and
capitalisation of income approach
�Overall the gross values of the
Australian assets have fallen by
about3.5% due to an increased
weighted average capitalisation
rate from 6.1% to 6.6%, offset by
an 8.2% increase in income
A$8b �High proportion of properties valued in 6 �A similar trend was experienced
months to 31 December 2008, with 98% of for the NZ portfolio
AMP Life properties valued in last 6
months, and majority valued in Q4 ‘08
Independent valuations undertaken every �Valuations generally stable or
six months marginally stronger, with fall in
Infrastructure A$4.1b
Valuations primarily based on discounted
cash flow models, with a consideration of
any relevant market transactions
discount rate offsetting the
impact of reduced revenue and
increased debt costs
AMP Life
A$1b
3 factors influencing infrastructure
valuations currently:
• fall in risk free rate
�Valuations supported by recent
market transactions, eg sale of
AMPCI’s managed stake in
• economic outlook
• increase in cost of debt refinancing
assumptions
Brisbane airport in December ’08,
sale of Mackay airport and partial
sell down of the Australian Pacific
Airport Corporation to the Future
Fund


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Unlisted property portfolio mix

Total portfolio A$18.1b

AMP Life portfolio A$8b

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Other
Other
18%
7%
Office/Commercial Office/Commercial
34%
35%
Industrial Retail
Retail Industrial
7%
52%
7%
40%
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Non-listed asset valuations

Asset type Portfolio
Valuation approach in current
Outcome
size market
�Valuations prepared every six months �Approx 37% fall in value of
Private equity A$1.2b �Most common valuation method is multiple of
sustainable earnings, with an illiquidity discount
private equity portfolio as at 31
December 2008, reflecting
average 30% drop in comparable
�Investments less than one year old generally listed company earnings
valued at cost multiples, combined with
AMP Life
A$0.7b
�AMPCI-managed private equity investments
valued internally, subject to peer review and
pressure on earnings forecasts
for most companies
ratified by Private Equity Valuation Committee
�Externally managed investments valued on net
asset valuation and ratified by Private Equity
Valuation Committee
�Change in valuation approach from face value �While some debt investments
(or amortised cost) plus accrued interest (as a were impaired, such as
Debt A$2.8b proxy for fair value) to asset by asset review, Diversified CMBS (valuations
using available market data or underlying asset down 15%), this was partially
valuations offset by holdings of guaranteed
debt with contracted minimum
AMP Life �Structured High Yield Fund continues to returns, which continue to be
A$0.7m calculate unit prices on the basis of cost plus
accrued interest as set out in the product
disclosure statement
held at face value

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Immaterial shareholder exposure to these assets

AMP fixed
interest portfolio
($m)
AMP fixed
interest portfolio
($m)
AMP
shareholder
fund SF1
Annuities
SF1
Annuities
SF1 Other
20%1
Fixed
interest portfolio
535526 2,5992,478 2,0471,966
US Alt A 31 - - -
4
All underlying issues in
monoline portfolio are
US subprime 54 - - 11 Australian or New Zealand
credits. More than 90% are
investment grade.
Monoline wrapped 159 133 152 4141 Incorporating the rating of the
monoline insurer 19% are AA
rated or above, 9% A rated and
SIV
CDO
Sub-total
95
1920
5139
-
15
148
-
14
166
1111
5452
107109
the remainder are BBB.
CDOs backed by
predominantly Australian
corporate loans originated by
major Australian banks. Over
90% rated AAA.

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Legacy book – impact of markets

  • Amount of AMP’s AUM comprised of non-cash based capital guaranteed products has reduced significantly

  • At 31 December 2008, customer AUM A$15b Australia and A$1.6b New Zealand (excluding capital and tax reserves)

  • Assets are managed by AMP Capital Investors and held in Statutory Fund No 1

  • Benchmark asset allocation is prudent

  • 40% fixed interest

  • 17% cash

  • 43% growth assets (including property)

  • Sensitivity to movements in investment markets described on pages 43 and 44 of FY 08 Investor Report

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Comparison of gross returns with gross crediting rate

Equities versus bonds versus crediting rate

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Shareholder funds portfolio – how invested

Dec 2008 Dec 2007
Cash 57% 35%
Fixed Interest 21% 23%
Equities1 11% 29%
Property 11% 13%

Key changes in FY 08

  • Previously, the investment risk in the shareholder funds was managed by reference to the probability of loss over a one-year time horizon at a 99% confidence level (Value at Risk).

  • This loss tolerance was set at 3% of shareholder funds (with a tolerance range of + or - 0.5%) under a fat-tailed distribution.

  • During 2008, AMP reviewed its financial risk settings across the group. In view of

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Financial overview – dividends and capital returns

A$5.7b in dividends and capital returns distributed to AMP shareholders over past five years

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46
40 2 40
2
32
22
27
21 16
18
14 40 40 40
22 22
19
13 14
Cents
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
per
share
15% franked - interim 75% franked 75% franked 85% franked 85% franked
85% franked - final
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