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Nordic Financials ASA Earnings Release 2017

May 24, 2017

3521_iss_2017-05-24_124abf30-718c-4512-988f-879ea4b28de6.pdf

Earnings Release

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AEGA ASA FIRST QUARTER 2017

24 May 2017

Agenda

  • Q1 highlights
  • Business overview
  • Financial review
  • Guidance
  • Q & A

Highlights from the quarter

Key figures

  • Revenue: EUR 567k
  • EBITDA: EUR 13k

Power production

  • Power production of 1 701MWh in the first quarter of 2017
  • 15% increase compared to the same period the year before
  • 23% above investment base case

Closed the private placement and acquisition of key assets from Solex AS

  • Taking over all activities directly in AEGA ASA
  • Non-recurring cost of Euro 124k related to the acquisition
  • All exposures/upsides going forward remains now within AEGA ASA
  • Private placement of Euro 1 629k @ NOK 3.00/share effective in January 2017

Key events after the quarter

  • Acquired Casale S.r.l., a 1MWp solar PV plant located in Emilia-Romagna
  • Total production capacity increased to 7MWp or around 9GWh clean electric power produced per year

BUSINESS OVERVIEW Aega ASA – Q1 report

Pure play PV asset operator in Italy

Aega is an independent power producer (IPP) owning and operating solar power plants located in Italy;

  • 80-85% of Aega's revenues come from 20 year long feed-in tariffs which secures a guaranteed payment for the electricity produced
  • The remaining income is from electricity sale in the Italian spot market
  • All power produced are discharged into the Italian national grid, and demand for all our produced power will always be present.

  • Sub-optimally operated solar PV parks in the 1-5MWp segment

  • Fixed, ground mounted installations
  • Focus on assets located north of Rome
  • Equity IRR above 15%
  • The assets are ready financed

  • 24/7 electronic and remote surveillance of the production at stringer level

  • Quick response to any and all production deviations
  • Modifications to improve and stabilise production
  • Re-financing of existing debt

  • Combining all parks into a portfolio for professional and efficient operation, maintenance, security and insurance services

  • Commercial gains as well as operational
  • To date, Aega has increased average production of acquired plants with >4%

Overview of current Solar PV portfolio

Seven high quality solar parks with a combined production capacity of 7MWp Close proximity secures operational efficiency

Solar PV Power Plants Capacity (MWp) FiT (EUR/kWh)
Montalto di Castro (Photo-Volt One S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q3 2014
• Commenced commercial operation in August 2011 1.0 0.24
Terni (DT S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q1 2015
• Commenced commercial operation in April 2011 1.0 0.32
Narni (Collesanto S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q1 2015
• Commenced commercial operation in January 2011 1.0 0.32
Porchiano/Amelia (Collesanto S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q1 2015
• Commenced commercial operation in April 2011 1.0 0.32
Magnacavallo (Jer-12 S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q4 2015
• Commenced commercial operation in June 2012 1.0 0.17
Piano Mulino (Piano Mulino S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q2 2016
• Commenced commercial operation in December 2009 1.0 0.29
Casale (Casale S.r.l)
• Acquired in Q2 2017
• Commenced commercial operation in March 2011 1.0 0.30
Total 7.0

Purchase of Casale S.r.l

  • Aega ASA (Aega) has on 21 April 2017 signed a contract to acquire all shares in Casale S.r.l, which owns a 1MWp solar PV plant in Mercato Saraceno, Emilia-Romagna
  • Aega paid EUR 880k + NWC for the plant
  • The revenue and EBITDA contribution from Casale S.r.l in 2017 to AEGA ASA's Financial statement is estimated to be around 75% of the numbers indicated below, since the plant was acquired on 21 April 2017.
  • Casale S.r.l has a fixed interest swap related to the leasing agreement.
Estimates Casale S.r.l 2017 E
Operating revenue EUR 413k
Operating result (EBITDA) EUR 368k
Debt outstanding 1 January 2017 EUR 1
976k
Enterprise value EUR 2
856k

Significant growth opportunites

Immediate pipeline of new solar power plants Equity price
indication (EURm)
Capacity (MWp): Estimated equity
IRR
Location:
Plants
1-3
4.23 6.5 15.5% Marche/Piemonte/Lazio
Short-term pipeline of
new
solar power
plants
Equity price
indication (EURm)
Capacity (MWp): Estimated equity
IRR
Location:
Plant 4-10 8.31 9.4 15.0% North of
Rome
Long-term pipeline of
new
solar power
plants
Equity price
indication (EURm)
Capacity (MWp): Estimated equity
IRR
Location:
Long-term pipeline of
new
solar power
plants
Equity price
indication (EURm)
Capacity (MWp): IRR Location:
Plant
11-100
~81 89.3 15.0% North
of
Rome

Significant growth opportunities cont'd

The company owns and operates 7MWp of installed capacity; has 105.2MWp at various stages in the pipeline and ca. 1 895MWp in additional opportunities

  • In total, the management team estimates that roughly 2 000MWp out of the total 19 000MWp installed in Italy meets the company's investment criteria
  • Aega's pipeline consists of 105.2MWp of current opportunities in various stages
  • Immediate pipeline to acquire three high quality solar parks for an equity consideration of approx. EUR 4.23 million, with a combined capacity of 6.5MWp. For these three parks, Aega has signed exclusive agreements to acquire the plants and enter into a Share Purchase Agreement (SPA) within weeks. The DD process is well underway, and we are confident about the quality of these three parks in all respects.
  • Short-term pipeline of combined 9.4MWp at an equity cost of EUR 8.31 million. These are parks we have visited, and for some, even DDs have been done. We are on «Term Sheet level» with all these parks, and we are ready to accelerate the process once we have security on available funding.
  • Long-term pipeline of combined 89.3MWp at an expected equity cost of approx. EUR 81 million.

FINANCIAL REVIEW Aega ASA – Q1 report

Key financial results

Revenues of EUR 504k

  • 46% increase compared to Q1 2016
  • Production of 1 701MWh
  • 15% increase compared to Q1 2016*
  • 23% above base case when acquired
  • Market price on electricity has in addition been high in the quarter, resulting in total revenues 24% above forecasts

EBITDA of EUR 13k

  • Significant non-recurring cost in Q1 2017 due to APA with Solex ASA (124kEUR)
  • Although higher than expected, lower production/revenue during the winter season

Financial development

Revenue EBITDA Non-recurring

* Adjusted for installed capacity

Power production

Power production of 1 701MWh

  • Up 37% compared to same quarter last year
  • One solar park added from Q3 2016 (20% increased production capacity)
  • Minor optimizations/modifications done at several plants
  • High irradiation in Q1 2017
  • High Performance Ratio (PR) in average 83,0% for the quarter

Power production MWh/quarter

Base Case Actual

Opex continuing its downward trend

Opex is stabilising and downward trending. The figures include:

  • Operation
  • Maintenance
  • Spare parts
  • Security
  • Insurance
  • O&M Management (from Q2 onwards)

Base Case vs Actual vs Target Opex (k€/MWp/year)

Market price on electricity has rebounded somewhat

  • The market price component of Aega's revenue represent around 15-20% of total revenue
  • The average market price on electricity has increased 25% from Q4 2016 average to YTD average in 2017.

Spot price increase due to:

  • Higher electricity demands
  • Increased alternative power source cost

Aega uses currently a spot price of 0.04EUR/kWh (=40EUR/MWh) when assessing investment opportunities.

Average National Single Price Italy (EUR/MWh)

Financial results

  • Naturally the Q2 and Q3 revenues are the highest because of the high irradiation and subsequent power production in the summer months.
  • HQ cost and admin, are cost that to a large extent are fixed. Salary to administration and the Board in Oslo, auditors, accounting, listing fees etc. It is not expected to grow notably with MWp under management compared to other costs that are proportional with the size of the portfolio.
  • Large non-recurring cost in 2016 due to purchase of Aega Yieldco, listing cost, due diligence cost regarding a large portfolio that the company did not end up buying, and costs related to restructuring of the group.
  • Non-recurring in Q1 2017 are cost related to the asset purchase agreement with Solex AS. A goodwill of EUR
  • 1 884k recognized due to the same transaction.

Key figures

(EUR 000') Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 FY 16 Q1 17
Revenue 390 662 857 578 2
487
567
EBITDA operations 160 455 590 290 1
495
413
HQ cost and admin (121) (185) (96) (141) (543) (277)
Non recurring cost (637) (509) (76) 81 (1
141)
(124)
EBITDA (599) (239) 418 230 (189) 13

Cash flow

Cash flow from operating activities of negative EUR 48k

  • Ordinary profit before tax loss of EUR 378k
  • Depreciation of EUR 303k

Cash flow from investing activities of negative EUR 665k

• Solex transaction had negative cash effect of EUR 665k, due to Aega ASA assuming liabilities from Solex.

Cash flow from financing activities of EUR 1 439k

• Issuance of 4 991 184 shares at NOK 3.00 resulting in net proceeds of EUR 1.628 million.

Cash development from Q4 2016 to Q1 2017 (In EUR)

Balance sheet

  • The assets on the balance sheet mainly consists of Balance sheet the portfolio of six individual solar parks in Italy
  • The asset base has grown further following the acquisition of Casale in late April 2017
  • The solar parks are financed with bank loans or leasing finance, where the assets of the parks are registered as collateral
  • The solar parks are held in separate single purpose vehicles (SPVs), and each SPV has separate loan financing (ring fenced)
  • Cash position of EUR 1 462k at the end of the first quarter of 2017
  • Equity ratio of 41% in Q1 2017 compared to 31% previous year.
(EUR 000') Q1 2017 31 Dec 2016
Property, plant and equipment 14
875
700
15
168
954
DTA and Goodwill 2
479
923
691
449
Receivables 1
111
085
1
104
031
Other current assets 796
872
1
002
556
Cash and short term deposits 1
462
192
688
066
Total assets 20
725
771
18
655
056
Long term loans 2
978
993
3
019
563
Leasing 7
025
567
7
182
426
Trade payables and other payables 501
203
629
451
Short term financing 964
895
963
660
Current tax - 19
152
Derivative financial instruments 760
707
771
477
Total liabilities 12
231
365
12
585
729
Share capital 4
786
290
3
950
008
Share premium 8
329
427
6
524
409
Accumulated profit & loss (5
003
098)
(4
737
873)
Foreign Currency translation reserve 381
788
332
784
Total equity 8
494
407
6
069
327

GUIDANCE Aega ASA – Q1 report

Q2 and 2017 guidance

Production Revenue
MWh kEUR
Q2 2 944 Q2 954
2017 9 120 2017 2 992
  • The above estimates are based on actual figures to date, and base case figures for the remainder of the relevant periods
  • It is further based on the existing 7MWp portfolio only no further acquisitions included in the forecasts. Production from Casale is first included from 1 May 2017.

APPENDIX Aega ASA – Q1 report

(EUR) Q1 2017 Q1 2016 FY 2016
Feed-In Tariff revenue 472
670
326
454
2
078
247
Sales of electricity 94
235
63
117
314
270
Other revenue - - 93
863
Revenues 566
905
389
571
2
486
380
Cost of operations (72
343)
(59
160)
(358
516)
Sales, general and administration expenses (357
895)
(291
652)
(1
176
135)
Acquisition and transaction costs (123
784)
(637
375)
(1
141
020)
EBITDA 12
883
(598
616)
(189
293)
Depreciation, amortizations and write downs (303
000)
(202
633)
(975
720)
Other Operating profit before OGL (EBIT) (290
117)
(801
249)
(1
165
013)
Finance income 4
026
362 2
246
Finance costs (99
492)
(73
421)
(577
983)
Mark to market adjustment derivatives 7
996
(22
232)
45
950
Net foreign exchange gain/(losses) (461) (417) (70
229)
Profit before income tax (378
048)
(896
957)
(1
765
029)
Income tax gain/(expense) 21
833
(692) (106
249)
Profit/(loss) for the period (356
216)
(897
649)
(1
871
278)

Profit and loss Other comprehensive income

Q1 2017 Q1 2016 FY 2016
49
004
1
663
93
738
49
004
1
663
93
738
(1
777
541)
(356
216)
(897
649)
(1
871
278)
(307
212)
(895
986)
(1
777
541)
(0.01) (0.03) (0.06)
42
489
081
27
360
295
31
078
951
(307
212)
(895
986)
(EUR) 31 Mar 2017 31 Dec 2016
Property, plant and equipment 14
875
700
15
168
954
Intangibles and DTA 596
239
635
776
Goodwill 1
883
684
-
Other long term assets - -
Non-current assets 17
355
623
15
804
730
Receivables 1
111
085
1
104
031
Other current assets 796
872
1
039
077
Cash and short term deposits 1
462
192
688
066
Current assets 3
370
149
2
831
174
TOTAL ASSETS 20
725
771
18
635
904

Balance sheet – Assets Balance sheet – Equity and liabilities

(EUR) 31 Mar 2017 31 Dec 2016
Share capital 4
786
290
3
950
008
Share premium 8
329
427
6
524
409
Paid in capital 13
115
717
10
474
417
Accumulated profit & loss (5
003
098)
(4
737
873)
Other equity - -
Foreign Currency translation reserve 381
788
332
784
Other equity (4
621
311)
(4
405
089)
Total equity 8
494
407
6
069
327
Long term loans 2
978
993
3
019
563
Leasing 7
025
567
7
182
426
Other long term debt - -
Total non-current liabilities 10
004
561
10
201
990
Trade payables and other payables 501
203
629
451
Short term financing -
interest bearing
964
895
963
660
Derivative financial instruments 760
707
771
477
Other current liabilities - -
Total current liabilities 2
226
804
2
364
588
Total liabilities 12
231
365
12
566
578
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 20
725
771
18
635
905

Cash flow

(EUR) Q1 2017 Q1 2016 FY 2016
Ordinary profit before tax (378
048)
(896
957)
(1
765
029)
Paid income taxes - (10
389)
(138
341)
Depreciation 303
000
202
633
975
720
Write down - 637
375
-
Changes in trade receivables and trade payable (135
302)
(69
218)
(536
670)
Changes in other accruals 162
166
(194
075)
(8
995)
Cash flow from operations (48
184)
(330
631)
(1
473
315)
Acquisition net of cash acquired (665
336)
93
551
(1
106
449)
Cash flow from investments (665
336)
93
551
(1
106
449)
Proceeds from issue of share capital 1
636
072
- 3
148
217
Dividends or shareholder distributions - 76
114
(732
091)
Repayment of loans (197
429)
(128
496)
(629
553)
Cash flow from financing 1
438
643
(52
381)
1
786
574
Cash at beginning of period 688
066
1
387
494
1
387
519
Net currency translation effect 49
004
(1
663)
93
738
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 725
123
(289
461)
(793
191)
Cash at end of period 1
462
192
1
096
369
688
066

Change in equity

Foreign
Share Share Other Other Currency
translation
Total
(EUR) capital premium fund paid in equity equity reserve equity
Equity 2016 3
950
008
6
524
408
(4
737
873)
332
784
6
069
327
1
094
096
Share issue Aega Yieldco 3 January 2017 498
749
1
129
951
1
628
700
(308
201)
Share issue asset purchase 337
534
675
068
90
990
1
103
591
3
492
009
Profit (loss) After tax (356
216)
(356
216)
(385
655)
Other comprehensive income 49
004
49
004
267
128
Equity 31 March 2017 4
786
290
8
329
427
(5
003
099)
381
787
8
494
406
4
681
449
(EUR) Share
capital
Share
premium fund
Other
paid in equity
Other
equity
Foreign
Currency
translation
reserve and
derivates
Total
equity
Equity 2015 60
442
4
829
919
(387
621)
239
046
4
741
786
4
681
449
Share issue Aega Yieldco 7 January 2016 4
710
562
342
567
052
932
169
Acqusition NOFIN, inc. Increase denomination 2
969
549
198
380
(2
478
974)
688
955
(416
045)
Dividends or distribution to shareholders (732
091)
(732
091)
2
751
590
Capital increase 30 May 2016 915
307
1
665
859
2
581
166
(1
762
421)
Profit (loss) After tax (1
871
278)
(1
871
278)
(180
050)
Other comprehensive income 93
738
93
738
Other - 162
121
Equity 2016 3
950
008
6
524
408
(4
737
873)
332
784
6
069
327
6
168
813

Aega ASA

Visit us at: Oscars gate 52, 0258 Oslo, Norway | www.aega.no Markus H. Enge | CFO | +4740064820 | [email protected] Rolf M. Normann | CEO | +4791344134 | [email protected]