AI assistant
ACE — Interim / Quarterly Report 2021
Mar 12, 2021
52427_rns_2021-03-12_23fb7ae8-402d-4584-a43e-04e47dbd22fc.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Jinan Acetate Chemical
4763 TT 4Q20 Results Presentation 12 March 2021
The Little Giant in a Global Oligopoly Industry
-
ü Jinan Acetate is a fully-integrated, independent manufacturer of superior quality acetate tows and flakes , participating in a highly profitable oligopoly market with high entry barriers . Acetate tows are the key raw material used in making cigarette filters. Acetate flakes are primarily used in the production of acetate tows and optical frames.
-
ü We continue to invest while producing robust cash flows . Advanced R&D and production expertise keep our costs significantly lower than our global peers , who are reducing and repurposing their capacity while we target double digit annual capacity growth over the next 5 years. In order to stay ahead of industry trends, we are developing new biodegradable products and new applications for existing products. We have also been investing in cost-saving equipment to maintain our cost advantage.
-
ü We are optimistic on the prospects for demand growth in our core markets over the next five years. Southeast Asia and Africa & the Middle East are characterized by younger, growing populations with rising incomes. Cigarette consumption is projected to grow in these markets, while consumption in the developed world remains flat to slightly down.
-
ü We aim to double our market share for acetate tows within 5 years from 1.8% currently (2020). Our focus clients are mid-to-small sized brands located in emerging market countries , which have greater growth potential than the established global brands. We also hope to gain business from one or more Tier-1 Tobacco players within the next 12-24 months.
-
ü We aim to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio between 60-80% and ROE in excess of 20%.
2
Jinan Acetate Chemical @ a Glance
-
Ticker: 4763 TT
-
Market Cap – 26 February 2021 : US$229 mn
-
2020 Revenue : US$80 mn
-
ROE : Averaged 23% in 2016 through 2020
-
2020 Cash Dividend : NT$5.50 per share*
-
Business Scope : Exports to more than 50 countries
-
Client Diversification : Top 5 are less than 40% of sales
==> picture [193 x 17] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Acetek Material
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [194 x 18] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Jinan Acetate
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [193 x 106] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [194 x 104] intentionally omitted <==
-
Jinan, Shandong
-
Zaozhung, Shandong
-
Acetate Tow Production
-
Acetate Flake Production
-
Employees: 170
-
Employees: 100
==> picture [371 x 371] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT$m Sales Breakdown by Products
2,500
28%
2,000
29%
17%
1,500 25%
72%
71%
1,000 83% 75%
500
2017 2018 2019 2020
Acetate Tow Acetate Flake
Products - Applications
Fiber Grade
Acetate
Diacetate Cigarette Filter
Tow
Flake
Plastic Grade
Optical Frames
Diacetate Flake
----- End of picture text -----
*BOD proposed Cash DPS for FY2020, subject to approval at the upcoming AGM.
3
4Q20 Performance
Key 4Q20 Performance Metrics
4Q20 and 2020 Highlights
-
ü 2020 sales grew 8% YoY to NT$2,353m.
-
ü Revenue from acetate tows rose 9% YoY, and acetate flake revenue rose 6% YoY.
-
ü Key Performance Highlights were:
-
Gross margin was 33.5% versus 31.0% in 2019.
-
Operating margin was 21.2% vs 18.0% in 2019.
-
Net Income adjusting out the MTM effect of Acetek’s CB was NT$449m, up 36% YoY.[1]
-
ü 4Q20 revenue hit a record high as acetate tow and flake revenue grew 4% and 21% YoY respectively.
-
ü We successfully raised tow prices by 1% across customer groups.
-
ü Continuous optimization of our manufacturing process, greater economies of scale and production efficiency improvements led to margin improvement.
-
ü The BOD has proposed a cash dividend of NT$5.50 and a stock dividend of NT$1.50.
-
EPS adjusted for CB MTM effect was NT$8.95.[1]
Note 1: Mark-to-market paper gain/loss from the 2Q17 and 3Q20 CB issue are not included in these calculations, to better reflect core earning capability.
4
Revenue and Margin Trend
-
4Q20 revenue reached a record high of NT$665m, increasing 10% YoY and 7% QoQ.
-
Gross margin reached 33.8%, surpassing 30% for the seventh quarter in a row, while operating margin was 21.4%. Gross and operating margins have been trending up since 2Q18, on production efficiency improvements, vertical integration into acetate flakes and strong top line growth.
-
4Q20 mark-to market paper gain on our CBs was NT$87mn. 4Q20 Net margin was 16.9%, not including the MTM paper gains.
==> picture [765 x 225] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT$m Quarterly Revenue Trend Quarterly Margin Trend
750 50% 40.0% 40.0%
500 30% 30.0% 30.0%
250 10% 20.0% 20.0%
0 -10% 10.0% 10.0%
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20
Revenue (NT$m) Growth(YoY) Gross Margin Operating Margin Net Margin
----- End of picture text -----*
- Note: On this page, Net Margin numbers exclude the mark-to-market paper gain/loss from the 2Q17 and 3Q20 CB issue.
5
Earnings and Growth Trend
-
4Q20 Operating Income hit a record high NT$142m, rising 7% YoY.
-
4Q20 Net Income rose 15% YoY to NT$112m. 4Q20 EPS was NT$2.25. Net Income and EPS have shown positive YoY
-
growth for 10 consecutive quarters.
==> picture [770 x 259] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
NT$m Earnings & Growth Trend NT$ EPS
150 200% 3.00
100 125% 2.00
50 50% 1.00
0 -25%
0.00
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20
Operating Profit Net Income to Parent Net Income Growth(YoY) EPS
----- End of picture text -----
- Note: On this page, all Net Income & EPS numbers, as well as related growth calculations, exclude the mark-to-market paper gain/loss from the 2Q17 and 3Q20 CB issue. 20
6
Sales Breakdown
January through December 2020
==> picture [160 x 141] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Acetate Flake
28%
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [71 x 26] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Acetate Tow
72%
----- End of picture text -----
Acetate Tow Acetate Flake
January through December 2019
==> picture [313 x 235] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Acetate Flake
29%
Acetate Tow
71%
----- End of picture text -----
Acetate Tow Acetate Flake
7
Market Share Increased Further in 2020
ü 2020 Market Share Reached 1.8%
==> picture [776 x 329] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Jinan Acetate's tow shipments (tonnes) (LHS) Jinan Acetate's market share (RHS)
20,000 2.0%
15,000 1.5%
10,000 1.0%
5,000 0.5%
0 0.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
----- End of picture text -----
Source: Tobacco Merchants Association & Bloomberg
8
Investing in our Future Through R&D
The Current Focus of our R&D spending is biodegradable products
-
ü R&D spending was roughly 4.1% of sales in 2020. We have been developing several types of biodegradable products, including tows, non-woven material and straws.
-
ü We plan to increase in R&D spending by 10% YoY in 2021, as we gear up for initial mass production of our green products, in particular disposable straws for sale in the China domestic market.
It takes 12 to 24 months for R&D spending to create earnings growth
-
ü R&D as a percent of sales was 5-6% of sales in 2017 and 2018 as we built, tested, debugged and began production of acetate flakes.
-
ü In 2019 and 2020, R&D spending has remained close to peak levels in absolute terms, while falling as a percent of sales.
R&D Expense as % of Revenue (%)
==> picture [258 x 219] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
6.4%
5.6%
4.4%
4.1%
2.9%
1.3%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
----- End of picture text -----
9
Item Details We are on schedule to begin test runs in early June and we aim to begin commercial Land Area 100 Chinese Mu production in July. Leasing Cost, Land NT$38m Vertical We expect to spend roughly NT$213m Plant and Equipment NT$175m to build 60,000 tonnes of design Integration capacity. Est. Annual About NT$14m into the Depreciation Production of We estimate it will reduce our cost of 4-5% per tonne of Est. Cost Savings flakes production by about 4-5%. * More Acetic importantly, we expect that it will make Construction Begins 2020 Q4 Anhydride* our profits more stable, greatly reducing the effect acetic anhydride Completion Date 2021 Q2 spot price movements. Design Capacity 60,000 tonnes The factory site is big enough to provide for future expansion. Current Internal Use 35,000 tonnes
*Based on a spot price of $5,250 RMB per tonne of acetic anhydride
10
Outlook for 2021
Jan to Feb 2021 Cumulative sales were NT$399m, up 20% YoY because of strong demand for tows and orders for fibergrade flakes from China Tobacco.
Tows
Flakes
4Q20 tow sales grew 4% YoY and capacity utilization was about 95%. Demand remains robust, with excellent order visibility. We successfully raised tow prices by 1% in 4Q20 and by 1% again in 1Q21 across our client base. Our peers have also raised prices. On Celanese’s 4Q20 Results Call, CEO Lori Ryerkerk commented, “As we've been negotiating in '20 for '21, I'd say the prices are stable and, in some cases, a little bit up…We saw less decline in smoking last year than expected. In some areas, even an increase in smoking.” Flake sales grew 21% YoY in 4Q20, as shipments of plastic grade flakes for eyewear frames rebounded strongly. We are now in low season for sales of eyeglass wear flakes, but shipments of fiber grade flakes to China Tobacco have bolstered 1Q21 sales. Order guidance from customers for 2021 for plastic and fiber grade flakes is robust, and we expect flake revenues to grow strongly as we begin to utilize the 5k tonnes of acetate flake capacity that we added in 2H20. In 1Q21, we have achieved price increases of 2-3% for plastic grade flakes across our client base.
Sales Growth & Profitability
Based on current order visibility, double digit growth in revenues appears likely in 2021. The outlook for margins is mixed. A strong demand environment for tows and flakes has created a favorable pricing environment, and further price hikes are possible. We have also negotiated a 2-3% reduction in wood pulp prices and will benefit from improved economies of scale in flake production. Furthermore, we will see a considerable reduction in costs in 2H21 when our Acetic Anhydride plant begins commercial production. However, acetic anhydride prices have jumped 65-70% from their 2H20 lows. Shipping costs also remain high but appear likely to moderate moving in 2H21. Additional US$ depreciation vs the NT$ and RMB could put some pressure on margins.
11
Staying Ahead of Industry Trends and Developing New Revenue Sources
Biodegradable cigarette filters
Biodegradable cigarette filters Acetate film for agriculture Biodegradable cellulose acetate film
By 2025 all cigarettes sold in the EU will be required to have filters that will biodegrade within 45 days after use.
==> picture [118 x 269] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Other plastic
products
----- End of picture text -----
-
Sun houses for agriculture
-
Agricultural and consumer packaging to meet EU requirements
Heated tobacco products
- Diaphragm membranes for lithium batteries.
Heated tobacco products
==> picture [148 x 136] intentionally omitted <==
Acetate tow for heated tobacco products, such as IQOS, GLO, and Ploom Tech.
Biodegradable flakes for other products
-
Recyclable straws
-
Recyclable Facial Masks
-
Other Non-Woven Products
-
Hair Dye and Hair Color Products
12
Our 5-Year Targets
Double our share of the acetate tow market and increase our 01 share of the acetate flake market by 50% Be an industry leader in the development of biodegradable 02 acetate flakes We aim to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio between 03 60-80%* 04 Sustain ROE in excess of 20% *Based on net income before mark-to-market paper gain/loss from the 2Q17 and 3Q20 CBs.
Consolidated Statements of Income - Quarterly
| Unit: NTD million | 4Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q19 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Revenue | 665 | 621 | 607 | 7 | 10 |
| Gross Profit | 225 | 199 | 214 | 13 | 5 |
| Gross Margin | 33.8% | 32.0% | 35.2% | ||
| Operating Expenses | 82 | 70 | 81 | 18 | 2 |
| OPEX/Sales | 12.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | ||
| Operating Income | 142 | 129 | 133 | 10 | 7 |
| Operating Margin | 21.4% | 20.8% | 21.9% | ||
| MTM Gain (Loss) on CB (non-cash) | 87 | (51) | 5 | ||
| Other Non-Operating Income (Loss), Net | (18) | 17 | (4) | ||
| Pre-Tax Income | 211 | 95 | 133 | 123 | 58 |
| Income Tax Expense | 11 | 10 | 32 | ||
| Minority Interest | 0 | 3 | (0) | ||
| Net Income to Parent | 199 | 81 | 102 | 146 | 95 |
| Net Margin | 30.0% | 13.1% | 16.8% | ||
| EPS (NT$) | 3.98 | 1.62 | 2.02 | 146 | 97 |
| ROE – not annualized | 31.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | ||
| Depreciation | 28 | 27 | 25 | ||
| CAPEX | 132 | 36 | 38 |
14
Consolidated Statements of Income – 2020 vs 2019
| Unit: NTD million | 2020 | 2019 | YoY(%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Revenue | 2,353 | 2,175 |
8 |
| Gross Profit | 789 | 673 |
17 |
| Gross Margin | 33.5% | 31.0% | |
| Operating Expenses | 289 | 282 |
3 |
| OPEX/Sales | 12.3% | 13.0% | |
| Operating Income | 499 | 391 |
28 |
| Operating Margin | 21.2% | 18.0% | |
| MTM Gain (Loss) on CB (non-cash) | 56 | 0 |
55890 |
| Other Non-Operating Income (Loss), Net | (2) | (13) | |
| Pre-Tax Income | 553 | 378 |
46 |
| Income Tax Expense | 43 | 47 |
|
| Minority Interest | 5 | 2 |
|
| Net Income to Parent | 505 | 330 |
53 |
| Net Margin | 21.4% | 15.2% | |
| EPS (NT$) | 10.07 | 6.52 |
54 |
| ROE | 36.7% | 27.0% | |
| Depreciation | 105 | 98 |
|
| CAPEX | 221 | 105 |
15
Consolidated Balance Sheet – 2020
| Unit: NT$ million | 2020/12/31 | 2020/12/31 | 2020/09/30 | 2020/09/30 | 2019/12/31 | 2019/12/31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $ | % | $ | % | $ | % | |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 831 | 27 | 1,020 | 33 | 589 | 23 |
| Notes and Accounts Receivable, Net | 661 | 21 | 571 | 19 | 438 | 17 |
| Inventories | 220 | 7 | 207 | 7 | 243 | 9 |
| Other Current Assets | 200 | 6 | 135 | 4 | 260 | 10 |
| Fixed Assets | 898 | 29 | 851 | 28 | 827 | 32 |
| Other Long-term Assets | 298 | 10 | 276 | 9 | 230 | 9 |
| Total Assets | 3,109 | 100 | 3,061 | 100 | 2,586 | 100 |
| Current CB Payable | 474 | 15.2 | 469 | 15 | 457 | 18 |
| Other Current Liabilities | 442 | 14.23 | 600 | 20 | 748 | 29 |
| Non-Current CB Payable | 514 | 16.52 | 509 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 71 | 2.27 | 109 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,501 | 48 | 1,688 | 55 | 1,214 | 47 |
| Common Stock | 511 | 511 | 511 | |||
| Total Equity | 1,608 | 52 | 1,373 | 45 | 1,373 | 53 |
| Book Value per Share (NT$) | 29.8 | 25.1 | 24.9 | |||
| Key Indices | ||||||
| Current Ratio ( Current Assets / Current Liabilities) | 209% | 181% | 127% | |||
| Net Cash (Debt) to Equity | -13% | 1% | -5% |
16
Appendix
CB-1 Terms and Trading Information
| nd Trading Information | nd Trading Information | nd Trading Information | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issue Date | 2017/06/09 | ||||
| Issue Date | 2017/06/09 | ||||
| Maturity Date | 2022/06/09 | ||||
| Maturity Term | 5 years | ||||
| Coupon Rate | 0.00% | ||||
| Issue Amount | NT$ 500,000,000 | ||||
| Issue Price | NT$ 101.0 | ||||
| Latest Conversion Price | NT$ 137.0 | ||||
| Conversion Premium | 103.59% | ||||
| Trading Price (2021/02/26) | NT$ 102.80 | ||||
| CB Holder Redemption Option | |||||
| Date | Put Price (NT$) | Yield to Put | |||
| 2020/06/09 | 101.5075 | 0.5% | |||
| 2021/06/09 | 2021/06/09 | 102.0151 | 1.0% | ||
18
CB-2 Terms and Trading Information
| nd Trading Information | nd Trading Information | nd Trading Information | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issue Date | 2020/09/25 | ||||
| Issue Date | 2020/09/25 | ||||
| Maturity Date | 2025/09/25 | ||||
| Maturity Term | 5 years | ||||
| Coupon Rate | 0.00% | ||||
| Issue Amount | NT$ 600,000,000 | ||||
| Issue Price | NT$ 101.0 | ||||
| Latest Conversion Price | NT$ 130.7 | ||||
| Conversion Premium | 102% | ||||
| Trading Price (2021/02/26) | NT$ 106.30 | ||||
| CB Holder Redemption Option | |||||
| Date | Put Price (NT$) | Yield to Put | |||
| 2023/09/25 | 100.75 | 0.25% | |||
| 2024/09/25 | 2024/09/25 | 101.00 | 0.50% | ||
19
Disclaimer
•The information contained in this confidential document ("Presentation") has been prepared by Jinan Acetate Chemical Co., Ltd. (Cayman) (the "Company"). It has not been fully verified and is subject to material updating, revision and further amendment. While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers gives, has given or has authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation, or any revision or supplement thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers (all such information being referred to as "Information") and liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers takes any responsibility for, or will accept any liability whether direct or indirect, express or implied, contractual, tortious, statutory or otherwise, in respect of, the accuracy or completeness or injury of the Information or for any of the opinions contained herein or for any errors, omissions or misstatements or for any loss, howsoever arising, from the use of this Presentation or the information.
•Neither the issue of this Presentation nor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction and the right is reserved by the Company to terminate any discussions or negotiations with any prospective investors. In no circumstances will the Company be responsible for any costs, losses or expenses incurred in connection with any appraisal or investigation of the Company. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company does not undertake or agree to any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation which may become apparent.
•This Presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Each party to whom this Presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. In particular, any estimates or projections or opinions contained herein necessarily involve significant elements of subjective judgment, analysis and assumptions and each recipient should satisfy itself in relation to such matters.
•This Presentation includes certain statements that may be deemed “forward-looking statements”. All statements in this discussion, other than statements of historical facts, that address future activities and events or developments that the Company expects, are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes the expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements include market prices, continued availability of capital and financing, general economic, market or business conditions and other unforeseen events. Prospective Investors are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements.
20
Thank You
==> picture [11 x 7] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
21
----- End of picture text -----