Earnings Release • Nov 11, 2021
Earnings Release
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November 11, 2021 Jochen Klösges (CEO) Marc Hess (CFO) - Christof Winkelmann (CMO)



| Aareal Bank Group |
Still uncertain environment |
▪ Gradually normalising environment supporting positive development ▪ Covid-19 related uncertainties continue, esp. for the running winter quarter ▪ Swoosh scenario expected to remain intact (economic recovery) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Encouraging performance |
▪ Successfully executing our strategy - significant top line driven profit increase continued ▪ Strong NII development based on profitable, risk conscious portfolio growth ▪ LLP as expected still above normalised average due to remaining Covid-19 related uncertainties ▪ SPF: - Strong new business with attractive margins further supporting growth plan - Portfolio-YoD significantly recovered - Portfolio volume already above original YE-target ▪ BDS: - NCI further increased - Deposit volume at high level ▪ Aareon: - Successful M&A activities - Sales revenue growth still diluted by Covid-19 |
|||
| Outlook | ▪ Operating profit target for 2021 confirmed, FY-tax rate as communicated between 50% - 60% expected ▪ The Bank invited to an EGM to be held on 9 Dec. 2021 for shareholders to vote on the second tranche of the dividend for the 2020 financial year amounting to 1.10 € per share. ▪ However the discussions with Centerbridge and Advent are still ongoing. In the event of an offer being submitted the dividend proposal for the EGM might be reassessed |


| € mn | Q3 '20 | Q4 '20 | Q1 '21 | Q2 '21 | Q3 '21 | 9M '20 | 9M '21 | 2021-Comments | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 128 | 139 | 138 | 142 | 155 | 373 | 435 | Strong NII development based on profitable, risk conscious portfolio growth |
|
| Loss allowance | 61 | 177 | 7 | 33 | 39 | 167 | 79 | LLP as expected still above normalised average due to remaining uncertainties |
|
| Net commission income | 57 | 66 | 59 | 59 | 56 | 168 | 174 | 9M growth driven by Aareon's recurring revenue and M&A. Sales revenue growth still diluted by Covid-19 |
|
| Derecognition result | 3 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 15 | Positive effects from early loan repayments in line with expectations |
|
| FV- / hedge-result |
-2 | -19 | -4 | -2 | -5 | -7 | -11 | Q3 incl. € -7 mn value adjustments (NPLs) |
|
| Admin expenses | 114 | 117 | 150 | 118 | 125 | 352 | 393 | Cost discipline maintained; 9M increase mainly driven by Aareon growth and lower Covid-19 related underspend |
|
| Others | 0 | -1 | -4 | -15 | 1 | -10 | -18 | ||
| Operating profit (EBT) | 11 | -99 | 32 | 41 | 50 | 24 | 123 | Successfully executing our strategy - significant top line driven profit increase continued |
|
| Income taxes | 10 | -13 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 7 | 67 | FY-tax rate as communicated between 50% - 60% expected |
|
| Minorities | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | ||
| AT1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | ||
| Consolidated net income allocated to ord. shareholders |
-4 | -93 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 44 | ||
| Earnings per share (€) | -0.05 | -1.56 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.06 | 0.73 |



Cost discipline maintained; LLP as expected still slightly above normalised average due to remaining uncertainties

Bank:
Aareon:
▪ Increase vs. Q3/20 driven by investments in organic growth (Value creation program) and M&A activities


Business environment recovering step by step
Business Environment
Impact on asset classes
| Hotel | ▪ Hotels back open after lockdown measures have been lifted around the world ▪ Performance improvement driven by national and international tourism ▪ Business travel picking up and is expected to further increase during 2022 ▪ Conference bookings for the next few years show positive and promising trend ▪ Filling open positions due to labour shortage remains major focus |
|---|---|
| Retail | ▪ Retail parks showed stable cash flows during the crisis, malls are recovering ▪ Market value decline is bottoming out – first transactions with stabilised values ▪ Declining demand for space, primarily in B- and C-locations, due to a greater focus on online retail and quality rather than quantity ▪ Structural change caused by online retailing = increased omnichannel development |
| Logistic | ▪ Supply chain problems will lead to an increased need for buffer capacities in the future ▪ Increasing importance of online trading ▪ Original speed of growth accelerated by Covid-19 ▪ Rising importance of last-mile-logistics due to demands for fast delivery |
| Office | ▪ General trend towards more office presence ▪ Lower space demands due to more home office partially compensated by hygiene rules ▪ Increasing demands for flexible space options to enable hybrid working models ▪ Buildings must be "sustainable" or be adaptable via investments |


More than 20% of the portfolio fulfills Aareal's demanding Green Finance Framework

portfolio within three years
1) All buildings within a financing have to qualify as green buildings according to Aareal GFF
2) Partnership for Carbon Accounting Financials
Portfolio already above original YE-target



2) Incl. Student housing (UK & Australia only)
Gradually normalising environment



Update on hotel- and retail portfolio




NCI further increased, deposits at high level


New products based on new technologies, e.g.
DACH: Further increased market share, expanded product offering and increased cross-selling potentials
UK: Increased market reach by tapping and consolidating fastgrowing adjacent SMB property management market
NL: Strong platform further expanded – new client group, increased cross-selling potential
▪ Twinq (05/21): SaaS solution privately owned housing management
Focus on transforming process to become a full SaaS company

Growth driven by increased recurring revenues and acquisitions, remaining on sustainable growth path despite temporarily lower PS

Note: Numbers not adding up refer to rounding 1) PS (Professional Services) = Consulting business

21

1) Underlying RWA estimate, incorporating the higher figure determined using the revised AIRBA or the revised CRSA (phased-in), based on the draft version dated 27 October 2021 of the European implementation of Basel IV by the European Commission. The conservative calculation of the material impact upon Aareal Bank is subject to the final EU implementation as well as the implementation of additional regulatory requirements, such as the EBA requirements.



| METRIC | 2020 | OUTLOOK 20211) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| p u o Gr |
▪ Net interest income ▪ Net commission income ▪ LLP ▪ Admin expenses |
€ 512 mn € 234 mn € 344 mn € 469 mn |
€ 550 - 580 mn € 570 - 590 mn € 250 - 270 mn € 240 - 250 mn € 125 - 200 mn € 520 - 540 mn |
||
| ▪ Operating profit ▪ Earnings per share (EPS) |
€ -75 mn € -1.50 |
€ 100 - 175 mn € ~0.40 - ~1.202) |
| Aareal Next Level |
METRIC | 2020 | OUTLOOK 20211) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s nt e |
"Activate" | Structured Property Financing |
▪ REF Portfolio ▪ New business |
€ 27.8 bn € 7.2 bn |
€ ~30 bn3) € ~29 bn3) € 7 bn - € 8 bn |
| m g e S |
"Elevate" | Banking & Digital Solutions |
▪ Deposit volume ▪ NCI |
€ 11.0 bn € 26 mn |
€ ~12 bn € ~11 bn € ~28 mn |
| "Accelerate" | Aareon | ▪ Revenues ▪ Adj. EBITDA |
€ 258 mn € 62 mn |
€ 270 - 274 mn € 276 - 280 mn € 63 mn - € 65 mn |
1) Based on "Swoosh" scenario. In the current environment, this forecast is subject to significant uncertainty, especially with regard to the assumed duration and intensity of the crisis, the pace of recovery and the associated effects on our clients, as well as prevailing unclear regulatory and accounting provisions, and the possibility that individual loan defaults cannot be reliably predicted.

2) EPS calculation based on expected FY-tax ratio between 50% and 60%
3) Subject to FX development
24


Group results Q3 / 9M 2021

| 01.07.- 30.09.2021 |
01.07.- 30.09.2020 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 155 | 128 | 21% |
| Loss allowance | 3 9 |
6 1 |
-36% |
| Net commission income | 5 6 |
5 7 |
-2% |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 7 | 3 | 133% |
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -3 | -4 | -25% |
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | -2 | 2 | -200% |
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method | 0 | 0 | 0 % |
| Administrative expenses | 125 | 114 | 10% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 1 | 0 | |
| Operating Profit | 5 0 |
1 1 |
355% |
| Income taxes | 2 7 |
1 0 |
170% |
| Consolidated net income | 2 3 |
1 | 2200% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 0 | 1 | -100% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 2 3 |
0 | |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 2 3 |
0 | |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 2 0 |
-4 | -600% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 3 | 4 | -25% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.33 | -0.05 | -760% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.03 | 0.04 | -25% |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

| Structured Property Financing |
Banking & Digital Solutions |
A a r e |
Aareon | Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.07.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2020 |
||
| € mn | |||||||||||
| Net interest income | 146 | 119 | 1 1 |
9 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 128 | |
| Loss allowance | 3 9 |
6 1 |
0 | 0 | 3 9 |
6 1 |
|||||
| Net commission income | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 0 |
5 3 |
-3 | -3 | 5 6 |
5 7 |
|
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |||||||
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -3 | -4 | 0 | -3 | -4 | ||||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | -2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |||||||
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Administrative expenses | 5 9 |
5 6 |
1 7 |
1 5 |
5 2 |
4 6 |
-3 | -3 | 125 | 114 | |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Operating profit | 5 1 |
4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 0 |
1 1 |
|
| Income taxes | 2 8 |
9 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 2 | 2 7 |
1 0 |
|||
| Consolidated net income | 2 3 |
-5 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 3 |
1 | |
| Allocation of results | |||||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
2 3 |
-5 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 3 |
0 |

Results 9M 2021
| 01.01.- 30.09.2021 |
01.01.- 30.09.2020 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 435 | 373 | 17% |
| Loss allowance | 7 9 |
167 | -53% |
| Net commission income | 174 | 168 | 4 % |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 1 5 |
1 9 |
-21% |
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -7 | -11 | -36% |
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | -4 | 4 | -200% |
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method | -1 | 0 | |
| Administrative expenses | 393 | 352 | 12% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -17 | -10 | 70% |
| Operating Profit | 123 | 2 4 |
413% |
| Income taxes | 6 7 |
7 | 857% |
| Consolidated net income | 5 6 |
1 7 |
229% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 2 | 2 | 0 % |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 5 4 |
1 5 |
260% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 5 4 |
1 5 |
260% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 4 4 |
3 | |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 1 0 |
1 2 |
-17% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.73 | 0.06 | |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.10 | 0.12 | -17% |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

| Structured Property Financing |
Solutions | Banking & Digital |
A a Aareon r e |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2020 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2021 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2020 |
||
| € mn | |||||||||||
| Net interest income | 406 | 345 | 3 3 |
2 9 |
-4 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 435 | 373 | |
| Loss allowance | 7 9 |
167 | 0 | 0 | 7 9 |
167 | |||||
| Net commission income | 6 | 4 | 2 0 |
1 8 |
157 | 155 | -9 | -9 | 1 5 |
168 | |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 1 5 |
1 9 |
1 5 |
1 9 |
|||||||
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -7 | -11 | 0 | 0 | -7 | -11 | |||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | -4 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |||||||
| Net gain or loss from investments | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | ||||||
| accounted for using the equity method | |||||||||||
| Administrative expenses | 193 | 173 | 5 3 |
5 0 |
156 | 138 | -9 | -9 | 393 | 352 | |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -21 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -17 | -10 | |
| Operating profit | 123 | 1 0 |
-1 | -3 | 1 | 1 7 |
0 | 0 | 123 | 2 4 |
|
| Income taxes | 6 8 |
4 | -1 | -2 | 0 | 5 | 6 7 |
7 | |||
| Consolidated net income | 5 5 |
6 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 2 |
0 | 0 | 5 6 |
1 7 |
|
| Allocation of results | |||||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
5 5 |
6 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 1 0 |
0 | 0 | 5 4 |
1 5 |

| Financing | Structured Property | Banking & Digital Solutions |
Aareon | Consolidation / Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | Q2 2021 |
Q1 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 | Q3 | Q2 2021 |
Q1 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 | Q3 | Q2 2021 |
Q1 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 | Q3 | Q2 2021 |
Q1 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 | Q3 | Q2 2021 |
Q1 | Q4 2020 |
Q3 | |
| € mn | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 146 | 133 | 127 | 129 | 119 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | - 2 |
- 2 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 142 | 138 | 139 | 128 |
| Loss allow ance |
39 | 33 | 7 | 177 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 177 | 61 | ||||||||||
| Net commission income | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 54 | 53 | 58 | 53 | - 3 |
- 3 |
- 3 |
- 4 |
- 3 |
56 | 59 | 59 | 66 | 57 |
| Net derecognition gain or loss |
7 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Net gain / loss from fin. instruments (fvpl) |
- 3 |
- 3 |
- 1 |
-21 | - 4 |
0 | 0 | - 3 |
- 3 |
- 1 |
-21 | - 4 |
|||||||||||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting |
- 2 |
1 | - 3 |
2 | 2 | - 2 |
1 | - 3 |
2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Net gain / loss from investments acc. for using the equity method |
2 | - 1 |
0 | 0 | 0 | - 1 |
0 | 0 | - 1 |
0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| Administrative expenses |
59 | 50 | 84 | 54 | 56 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 52 | 54 | 50 | 50 | 46 | - 3 |
- 3 |
- 3 |
- 5 |
- 3 |
125 | 118 | 150 | 117 | 114 |
| Net other operating income / expenses |
- 1 |
-15 | - 5 |
- 3 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - 1 |
0 | 1 | -14 | - 4 |
- 1 |
0 |
| Operating profit | 51 | 43 | 29 | -109 | 4 | 1 | - 1 |
- 1 |
0 | 0 | - 2 |
- 1 |
4 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 41 | 32 | -99 | 11 |
| Income taxes | 28 | 30 | 10 | -18 | 9 | 0 | - 1 |
0 | 1 | - 1 |
- 1 |
0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 29 | 11 | -13 | 10 | |||||
| Consolidated net income |
23 | 13 | 19 | -91 | - 5 |
1 | - 1 |
- 1 |
- 1 |
1 | - 1 |
- 1 |
3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | 21 | -86 | 1 |
| Cons. net income attributable to non controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |||||
| Cons. net income attributable to ARL shareholders |
23 | 13 | 19 | -91 | - 5 |
1 | 0 | - 1 |
- 1 |
1 | - 1 |
- 2 |
2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 20 | -89 | 0 |



€ 29.0 bn highly diversified



1) Incl. Student housing (UK & Australia only)






1) Figures as of 30/06/21 less two NPLs derecognised in 08/21
39 4) Based on B3 CET1-ratio of 18.8%
5) Based on B4 CET1-ratio (phase-in) of 17.3%







Well balanced

1) Other assets includes € 0.3 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.3 bn public sector loans


As at 30.06.2021 – all figures are nominal amounts 1) Composite Rating


| P&L Aareon segment - Industry format1) € mn |
Q3'20 | 9M'20 | Q3'21 | 9M'21 | ∆ Q3 '21/'20 |
∆ 9M '21/'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue ▪ Thereof ERP ▪ Thereof Digital |
63 49 14 |
188 144 44 |
62 46 16 |
195 145 49 |
-2% -6% 13% |
3% 1% 12% |
| Costs2) ▪ Thereof material |
-50 -10 |
-150 -34 |
-54 -12 |
-169 -38 |
8% 16% |
11% 12% |
| EBITDA | 13 | 36 | 8 | 25 | -40% | -31% |
| Adjustments2) | -2 | -4 | -5 | -16 | >100% | >100% |
| Adj. EBITDA | 15 | 41 | 13 | 42 | -12% | 2% |
| EBITDA | 13 | 36 | 8 | 25 | -40% | -31% |
| D&A / Financial result | -6 | -20 | -9 | -24 | 42% | 24% |
| EBT / Operating profit | 6 | 17 | -2 | 1 | <-100% | -94% |
| R&D, RPU and operating cashflow | |
|---|---|
| Revenue per unit (RPU) – LTM (€) |
22 |
| R&D spend as % of software revenue – YTD |
23% |
| YTD Operating Cash Flow (€ mn) | 13 |
1) Calculation refers to unrounded numbers
2) Incl. New product, VCP, Ventures, M&A and one-offs



Operating profit target of € ~300 mn to be achieved already in 20231)
| January 2020 |
▪ We introduced our strategy 'Aareal Next Level' with three strategic pillars ACTIVATE!, ELEVATE! and ACCELERATE! |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | ▪ Management initiated a 360° review of 'Aareal Next Level' in the context of Covid-19 and its mid term structural implications supported by McKinsey ▪ Key focus of 360° review: i) create sustainable shareholder value in a new normal after Covid-19 mid-term1) and ii) resume our track record as reliable dividend payer2) with the aim of earning our CoE |
||
| ▪ 360° review confirms 'Aareal Next Level' remaining a successful and attractive strategy even in a post Covid-19 environment. Thus, we will enter into first stage evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' |
|||
| Early 2021 | 1 2 3 4 5 ▪ We identified additional levers within the 'Aareal Next Level' strategic framework to significantly improve our successful performance in the future |
||
| already in 20233) which translates ▪ We envisage to achieve an operating profit target of € ~300 mn into a return on equity after taxes of ~8%1) on Group as well as on Bank level |
|||
| ▪ Free capital retained for either M&A and/or capital management |
1) 15% CET 1 reference ratio (Basel IV, phase-in, revised IRBA) exceeding the market average as a reference; excluding any potential acquisitions; subject to the Covid 19 crisis being fully overcome by then

2) Subject to ECB approval
50 Note: All 2020 figures preliminary and unaudited 3) Excluding any potential acquisitions, and subject to the Covid-19 crisis being fully overcome by then


Strategy and business model confirmed, being successful in a normalised environment post Covid-19

First evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' enables utilising market opportunities in Covid-19 environment and increase efficiency in organisation, of processes and infrastructure
Operating profit target of € ~300 mn to be achieved already in 20231) translating into a RoE after taxes of ~8%2) on Group and Bank level
Additional investment budget4) for Aareon with growth costs in context of VCP implementation (2021: € ~8 mn) leading to a temporary dilution of EBT
3) Formerly known as Consulting / Services Bank: has been renamed effective from Jan. 2021

1) Excluding any potential acquisitions, and subject to the Covid-19 crisis being fully overcome by then
2) 15% CET 1 reference ratio (Basel IV, phase-in, revised IRBA) exceeding the market average as a reference; excluding any potential acquisitions; subject to the Covid 19 crisis being fully overcome by then

Take advantage of market opportunities, grow book and optimize funding
We continue to leverage on expanded origination, structuring and exit opportunities – "Play the Matrix" i .e. countries, property types and structures
| Lever | First stage evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' |
Targets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Continue to pursue risk-conscious and ESG conform, organic expansion of financing business based on attractive margins to increase our on-balance credit portfolio |
REF portfolio: YE 21: € ~29 bn |
|
| ▪ As done in Q4, utilizing market opportunities in the Covid-19 environment with attractive risk / return profiles building on our USPs |
YE 22: € ~30 bn | ||
| ▪ Increase our NII, leverage our platform and enhance profitability through RoE accretive business, syndication capability is continuously used to improve structure of new business and profitability / return |
|||
| ▪ We will continue to further develop our asset light strategy |
|||
| 2 | Optimisation of funding mix and capital structure to enhance profitability and return ▪ Review and fine-tune our liquidity and ALM strategy, but maintain prudent liquidity ratios ▪ Enhance our funding mix regarding new products e.g. establishing a CP programme and optimize funding costs, by speeding up our cover pool process ▪ Optimize our regulatory capital structure |
Q1 21: Termination of T2 € 300 mn YE 22: Executed ALM / liquidity strategy |

Preliminary data on climate performance for about 85% of our existing CREF portfolio has been collected – pursuit of further data ongoing

53

Leverage on our deeply embedded customer integration and increase NCI
We continue to leverage and grow our housing and adjacent industries business through elevation and expansion of our product suite with focus on NCI based income and take opportunities in cooperation with customers and other partners
| Lever 3 |
First stage evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' |
Targets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase our opportunities for a further expansion with a particular focus on our net commission income in our Digital Solutions business |
Ø 23: Deposit volume of |
||
| ▪ Sharpening our strategic profile and enhance our development capabilities |
€ >11 bn | ||
| ▪ Continue to leverage and grow our housing and adjacent industries business through cross selling with an increasing contribution of our innovation portfolio |
Grow NCI with a CAGR of 13% |
||
| ➢ grow NCI with a CAGR of 13% until 2023 |
until 2023 | ||
| ▪ On top: Innovation budget for growth initiatives of on average € ~2 mn p.a. between 2021 and 2023 together with pursuing selected M&A opportunities with the ambition to double NCI until 2025 |
Ambition to double NCI until 2025 |
▪ Sticky deposit base at attractive terms and costs from group perspective, further upside in a rising rate environment and the opportunity of additional cross selling
1) Formerly known as Consulting / Services Bank: has been renamed effective from Jan. 2021

property industry with a strong value proposition
ACCELERATE! Aareon
VCP, developed with Advent, Aareon and Aareal, to increase mid-term adj. EBITDA target from € >110 mn to € 135 mn and M&A on top ▪ Accelerate investment in developing new digital products and offerings to add to Aareon's growing portfolio of Digital Solutions ▪ Go to market excellence and accelerate "new logo" wins ▪ Leveraging Aareon's core ERP installed base to upsell / cross sell new modules and digital solutions from Aareon's Smart World ▪ Additional investment budget1) for Aareon with growth costs in context of VCP implementation (2021: € ~8 mn) leading to a temporary dilution of EBT YE 23: VCP with add. positive EBT impact (organic) YE 25: Increase adj. EBITDA from € >110 mn to € ~135 mn; achieve Rule of 402) Implementing Aareon's strategic M&A roadmap ▪ Execution of strategic M&A roadmap and EBITDA contribution from M&A activities on top ▪ Initially up to € 250 mn debt funding of M&A roadmap negotiated EBITDA from M&A on top Lever First stage evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' Targets 4 M&A
VCP to increase mid-term adj. EBITDA target to € 135 mn, M&A on top
We continue to strengthen Aareon's position as the leading and independent software company for the
▪ Recent acquisition of SaaS company Arthur being the first evidence of the successful partnership with Advent
1) Excluding costs for Aareon M&A and M&A financing
2) Rule of 40: Sum of Aareon's annual revenue growth and adj. EBITDA margin will at least reach 40%
55






Operational business (as presented at Investor Day)

Aareon further increased strong financial outlook
| 2020A | Former Mid Term |
2025E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 2% | 7-9% | 10%* |
| % Recurring revenues of total revenue |
67% | - | 70% |
| Revenue per unit (RPU) in € | 24 | 35-40 | 40 |
| Adj. EBITDA in €m (without M&A) |
62 | 110 | 135 |
| Rule of 40 | 27% | - | ≥40% |
| % R&D spend** (of software revenue) |
22% | 20% | 20% |
| **short-term up to 25% |
*CAGR 20/25 |


Maintaining strict cost discipline and implement further efficiency measures
| Lever | First stage evolution of 'Aareal Next Level' |
Targets |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | YE 23: SPF CIR of <40%1) Transformation budget financed by related one off effects |
|
| / Income Ratio LTM2) Cost ARL SPF1) Aareon1) ARL ex. Continued cost discipline, Target 23 Aareon1) ARL SPF1) ex. 20 20 23 costs underlines our compared to peers best in 49% class Cost/Income Ratio 44% <40% |
additional efficiency measures and growth at low marginal |
|
| 1) | Excluding bank levy; 2020 ARL ex Aareon incl. bank levy 54% / 2020 ARL SPF incl. bank levy 48% |
2) Euro StoxxBanks plus Deutsche Pfandbriefbank as of 15.02.2021, total non-interest expense LTM divided by revenue before loan losses LTM (excluding unusual Items like goodwill impairments, restructuring costs etc.); Source: S&P Capital IQ
Note: All 2020 figures preliminary and unaudited
59
Operating profit target of € ~300 mn to be achieved already in 20231)
| On track to achieve 'Aareal Next Level' objectives (February 2020) |
Our KPIs and targets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2023 | 2025 | |||
| Aareal Bank Group | |||||
| Revenues2) ▪ |
€ 746 mn | ✓ | Mid-single digit growth CAGR |
||
| ▪ Operating profit |
€ -75 mn | € ~300 mn1) Incl. positive impact of VCP |
|||
| ▪ RoE post tax Group |
-3.5% | ~8%3) | |||
| ▪ Dividend policy |
Announced | Unchanged, 50% base dividend plus 20-30% supplementary dividend4) | |||
| Aareal Bank | |||||
| ▪ CIR SPF5) |
44% | <40% | |||
| Aareon | |||||
| ▪ Revenue |
€ 258 mn | ✓ | 10% CAGR | ||
| ▪ Adj. EBITDA |
€ 62 mn | ✓ | € ~135 mn Achieve rule of 40 |
||
| EBITDA from M&A on top |
3) 15% CET 1 reference ratio (Basel IV, phase-in, revised IRBA) exceeding the market average as a reference; excluding any potential acquisitions; subject to the Covid-19 crisis being fully overcome by then



Note: All 2020 figures preliminary and unaudited
Strengthening ESG as an integral part of our DNA by refining our strategy and setting ambitious goals and targets

1) e.g. Building certificates (i.e. DGNB, BREEAM, HQE, LEED, NABERS) or energy-performance certificates based on an ongoing dialogue with our clients as well as research in external databases






Distribute approx. 50% of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend
A supplementary dividend up to 20 - 30% of the EpS to be considered, if
For FY 2021, payable in 2022: Further development of Covid-19 and above-mentioned factors to be considered regarding supplementary dividend

Attractive dividend policy and significant book value growth created sustainable value for Aareal and hence our shareholders




Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| € mn | 31.12. 2016 |
31.12. 2017 |
31.12. 2018 |
31.12. 2019 |
31.12. 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Retained Profit ▪ Net income ▪ Profit carried forward from previous year ▪ Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
122 122 - - |
147 147 - - |
126 126 - - |
120 120 - - |
90 90 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
720 | 720 | 720 | 720 | 840 |
| Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) = |
842 | 870 | 846 | 840 | 930 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6) of the German Commercial Code |
235 28 |
283 35 |
268 42 |
314 40 |
320 43 |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 579 | 552 | 536 | 486 | 566 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
46 | 32 | 24 | 23 | 21 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
625 | 584 | 560 | 509 | 587 |
1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only

Definitions and contacts

| = New Business |
New business = Newly acquired business + renewals |
|---|---|
| Common Equity = Tier 1 ratio |
CET 1 Risk weighted assets |
| = Pre tax RoE |
Operating profit/income ./. loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 coupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, AT1 and dividends |
| = CIR |
Admin expenses (excl. bank levy, et al.) Net income |
| = Net income |
net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income |
| Net stable funding = ratio |
Available stable funding Required stable funding |
| Liquidity coverage = ratio |
Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress |
| = Earnings per share |
operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 coupon Number of ordinary shares |
| = Yield on Debt |
NOI x 100 (Net operating income, 12-months forward looking) Outstanding incl. prior/pari-passu loans (without developments) |
| = CREF-portfolio |
Commercial real estate finance portfolio excl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans |
| = REF-portfolio |
Real estate finance portfolio incl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans |
| = NPL-ratio |
NPL-exposure acc. CRR (excl. exposure in cure period) Total REF Portfolio |

Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]
Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]
Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3009 [email protected]
Group Sustainability Officer Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3424 [email protected]
Manager Sustainability Management Phone: +49 611 348 3554 [email protected]
Sustainability Management Phone: +49 611 348 3433 [email protected]
Sustainability Management Phone: +49 611 348 2335 [email protected]
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Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.



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